tiprankstipranks
Kinder Morgan Inc (KMI)
NYSE:KMI
Want to see KMI full AI Analyst Report?

Kinder Morgan (KMI) AI Stock Analysis

6,608 Followers

Top Page

KMI

Kinder Morgan

(NYSE:KMI)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$38.00
▲(18.68% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/20/26
The score is driven primarily by strong cash-flow performance and a very constructive earnings call (raised outlook, strong YoY growth, and a growing project backlog). The main constraints are moderate leverage and a valuation that is reasonable but not clearly cheap, while technicals are supportive but somewhat overextended.
Positive Factors
Strong cash generation
Consistently strong operating cash flow and rising free cash flow provide durable funding for dividends, capex and M&A without excessive equity issuance. Stable cash generation underpins sustainability of dividend policy and funds backlog execution even through commodity cycles.
Negative Factors
Moderate leverage
Leverage around mid-to-high single digits for adjusted EBITDA limits financial flexibility and increases sensitivity to interest rates or weaker cash flow. It constrains ability to fund large new projects without issuing debt and elevates refinancing risk in adverse markets.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong cash generation
Consistently strong operating cash flow and rising free cash flow provide durable funding for dividends, capex and M&A without excessive equity issuance. Stable cash generation underpins sustainability of dividend policy and funds backlog execution even through commodity cycles.
Read all positive factors

Kinder Morgan Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Average Net Oil Production
Average Net Oil Production
Measures the average amount of oil produced, reflecting operational efficiency and the company's capacity to meet market demand.
Chart InsightsKinder Morgan's average net oil production has been on a declining trend since 2019, with a notable drop in 2024 and 2025. This decline aligns with the company's strategic focus on expanding its natural gas segment, which is outperforming and driving strong earnings growth. The earnings call highlighted a robust project pipeline in natural gas, supported by increased demand projections. While oil production decreases, Kinder Morgan's strategic pivot towards natural gas and its financial strength suggest a positive long-term outlook despite short-term oil production challenges.
Data provided by:The Fly

Kinder Morgan (KMI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Kinder Morgan Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Kinder Morgan, Inc. operates as an energy infrastructure company in North America. The company operates through four segments: Natural Gas Pipelines, Products Pipelines, Terminals, and CO2. The Natural Gas Pipelines segment owns and operates inter...
How the Company Makes Money
Kinder Morgan primarily makes money by providing fee-based “midstream” services—moving, storing, and handling energy commodities—rather than by taking large direct exposure to commodity prices. A significant portion of revenue is earned through lo...

Kinder Morgan Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 22, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jul 22, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call communicated materially positive operational and financial momentum: strong quarter-to-quarter earnings growth (large EPS and EBITDA increases), improved leverage and a credit upgrade, expanding project backlog, strategic acquisition (Monument), high utilization across pipelines and terminals, and meaningful storage and RNG operational improvements. Lowlights are largely execution/permitting risks on certain expansions (e.g., Northeast, Western Gateway), modest declines in some product volumes driven by asset conversions, temporary commodity/market dislocations, and limited near-term carbon capture opportunities. On balance, the positives—robust earnings beat, strengthened balance sheet, backlog growth, and contract-backed assets—substantially outweigh the highlighted challenges.
Positive Updates
Strong Earnings and Profitability Growth
Net income attributable to KMI of $976 million and EPS of $0.44 for Q1 2026, which are 36% and 38% above Q1 2025, respectively; adjusted EPS up 41% and EBITDA up 18% year-over-year.
Negative Updates
Refined Products and Crude Volume Pressure
Refined product volumes down 2% YoY and crude/condensate volumes reported down 12% YoY (largely due to Double H pipeline removal for NGL conversion); excluding Double H, crude/condensate volumes were up ~2%.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Strong Earnings and Profitability Growth
Net income attributable to KMI of $976 million and EPS of $0.44 for Q1 2026, which are 36% and 38% above Q1 2025, respectively; adjusted EPS up 41% and EBITDA up 18% year-over-year.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management raised full‑year expectations, now projecting adjusted EBITDA to be >3% ahead of budget (over $250M of upside) after a strong Q1 that produced net income attributable to KMI of $976M and EPS of $0.44 (Q1 increases of 36% and 38%), with adjusted EPS up 41% and EBITDA up 18%. Operational strength included transport volumes +8%, gathering volumes +15% (KinderHawk/Haynesville +34%), CO2 oil production +2% (SACROC +5%), NGLs +5%, CO2 volumes +1% and RNG +63%; the five largest gas pipelines are >90% utilized and Kinder Morgan forecasts U.S. gas demand of ~150 Bcf/day by 2031 (~27% growth from this year). Growth backlog rose to $10.1B (up $145M QoQ) with $375M of new projects added, $230M placed in service, a backlog multiple <6x and average in‑service date of Q1 2028 (three largest projects >50% of backlog on time and on budget); management is advancing opportunities to serve >10 Bcf/day of power demand and 3 Bcf/day of LNG. On capital and liquidity, Kinder announced the ~ $500M Monument acquisition (WACL ~9 years, >90% utilities/industrials, medium‑term target multiple <8x), generated $1.49B cash from ops in Q1, spent $800M capex and $650M dividends, saw net debt rise ~$82M to a net debt/adjusted EBITDA of ~3.6x (down from 3.8x, expected ~3.7x at year‑end 2026), declared a $0.2975 quarterly dividend ($1.19 annualized, +2%), and highlighted >700 Bcf of storage, 78,000 miles of pipeline and 136 terminals with tanks ~99% utilized in key hubs.

Kinder Morgan Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong and improving cash generation (TTM operating cash flow ~$6.3B; FCF ~$3.9B, up ~8.1%) and solid sector margins (TTM gross ~47%, operating ~29%, net ~19%). Offsetting factors are moderate leverage (debt-to-equity ~1.0; management cited net debt/adj. EBITDA ~3.6x) and a historically uneven multi-year revenue trend despite a firmer TTM recovery.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
64
Positive
Cash Flow
81
Very Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue17.52B16.95B15.07B15.16B19.55B17.53B
Gross Profit8.23B7.40B5.53B5.13B5.50B6.37B
EBITDA7.57B7.48B7.63B7.25B7.03B5.85B
Net Income3.31B3.06B2.61B2.39B2.55B1.78B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets73.07B74.55B71.41B71.02B70.08B72.37B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments72.00M109.00M88.00M83.00M745.00M1.14B
Total Debt32.06B32.39B32.34B32.63B32.31B33.91B
Total Liabilities40.49B42.10B39.54B39.29B37.96B40.45B
Stockholders Equity31.32B31.16B30.53B30.31B30.74B30.82B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow3.89B3.22B3.01B4.15B3.35B4.43B
Operating Cash Flow6.31B6.25B5.63B6.49B4.97B5.71B
Investing Cash Flow-2.63B-3.51B-2.63B-4.17B-2.17B-2.31B
Financing Cash Flow-3.79B-2.84B-2.89B-3.01B-3.15B-3.46B

Kinder Morgan Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price32.02
Price Trends
50DMA
32.53
Positive
100DMA
31.26
Positive
200DMA
28.80
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.45
Negative
RSI
59.24
Neutral
STOCH
71.27
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For KMI, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 32.02 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 32.45, below the 50-day MA of 32.53, and above the 200-day MA of 28.80, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.45 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.24 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 71.27 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for KMI.

Kinder Morgan Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$74.73B19.1110.69%4.27%12.38%28.17%
73
Outperform
$68.86B13.2513.97%8.04%12.46%-10.48%
73
Outperform
$85.22B13.9520.04%6.72%-9.49%1.01%
73
Outperform
$58.06B18.4115.92%5.61%41.04%9.18%
73
Outperform
$56.26B15.9133.27%7.31%3.18%6.43%
70
Outperform
$94.81B24.4022.37%3.35%9.99%22.02%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
KMI
Kinder Morgan
33.79
7.04
26.31%
ET
Energy Transfer
20.07
3.50
21.14%
EPD
Enterprise Products Partners
39.63
10.32
35.22%
OKE
Oneok
94.03
17.13
22.27%
WMB
Williams Co
78.47
21.35
37.38%
MPLX
MPLX
56.47
9.69
20.70%

Kinder Morgan Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Kinder Morgan Shareholders Back Board, Auditor and Pay
Positive
May 19, 2026
Kinder Morgan, Inc. held its 2026 Annual Meeting of Stockholders on May 13, 2026, with 1,974,609,446 common shares represented, sufficient to constitute a quorum for conducting business. Shareholders voted on the election of directors, ratificatio...
Business Operations and Strategy
Kinder Morgan Schedules Investor Conferences, Highlights Ongoing Outreach
Positive
May 15, 2026
On May 14, 2026, Kinder Morgan, Inc. said its representatives plan to meet investors at the EIC Annual Energy Infrastructure Investor Conference on May 19 and the Bernstein Strategic Decisions Conference on May 27 to discuss the company&#8217;s bu...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 20, 2026