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Kinder Morgan Inc (KMI)
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Kinder Morgan (KMI) AI Stock Analysis

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KMI

Kinder Morgan

(NYSE:KMI)

Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
$31.00
▲(10.56% Upside)
Kinder Morgan's stock score is driven by a solid financial performance and a positive outlook from the latest earnings call, highlighting strong financial growth and strategic project expansions. However, the technical indicators suggest neutral momentum, and the valuation indicates a balanced market perspective, limiting the overall score. The absence of significant corporate events keeps the focus on core operations and strategic initiatives.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
KMI reiterates its FY25 EBITDA guidance should exceed annual budgeted levels, highlighting strong financial performance expectations.
Market Confidence
Analyst recommends a Buy rating for Kinder Morgan, reflecting confidence in future backlog growth and company performance.
Project Development
The company increased its backlog by $1.3B, reflecting strong project development and future revenue potential.
Negative Factors
CO2 Business Segment
CO2 business segment earnings, which include Energy Transition Ventures, were down due to lower CO2 and D3 RIN prices.
Competitive Growth
Growth should inflect in 2027, making 2026 EBITDA growth less competitive relative to peers.
Tariff and Regulatory Challenges
The changing tariff landscape has created challenges for shippers on the Copper State Connector project due to complex agreements.

Kinder Morgan (KMI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Kinder Morgan Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionKinder Morgan, Inc. (KMI) is one of the largest energy infrastructure companies in North America. The company operates primarily in the sectors of natural gas, petroleum products, and carbon dioxide (CO2) transport and storage. Its core services include owning and controlling pipelines and terminals that facilitate the transportation of natural gas, refined petroleum products, crude oil, and CO2, as well as the storage and handling of various energy products. With a vast network of pipelines and storage facilities, Kinder Morgan plays a critical role in the energy supply chain, connecting energy producers with consumers across the continent.
How the Company Makes MoneyKinder Morgan primarily generates revenue through the fees it charges for transporting and storing energy products. The company's extensive network of pipelines and terminals allows it to charge transportation fees to energy producers for moving natural gas, oil, and refined products from production sites to refineries, distribution centers, and end consumers. Additionally, Kinder Morgan earns money from storage fees by providing storage capacity for energy products at its terminals. The company also engages in long-term contracts and take-or-pay agreements, which provide stable and predictable revenue streams. Key revenue streams include transportation fees from natural gas pipelines, refined petroleum pipelines, and CO2 transport, as well as terminal fees for storage and handling. Significant partnerships with energy producers and utility companies further enhance Kinder Morgan's revenue generation by ensuring a steady demand for its infrastructure services.

Kinder Morgan Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Average Net Oil Production
Average Net Oil Production
Measures the average amount of oil produced, reflecting operational efficiency and the company's capacity to meet market demand.
Chart InsightsKinder Morgan's average net oil production has been on a declining trend since 2019, with a slight stabilization in recent quarters. Despite this, the company is strategically shifting focus towards natural gas, as highlighted in their latest earnings call. Record natural gas demand and significant project backlog growth indicate a pivot to capitalize on LNG and power demand, potentially offsetting the declining oil production. This strategic realignment could enhance long-term growth prospects, especially given the resilience of their revenue model with minimal exposure to commodity price fluctuations.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Kinder Morgan Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 16, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 1.52%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 15, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a generally positive outlook for Kinder Morgan, driven by strong financial growth, an expanding project backlog, and favorable conditions in the LNG export market. While there were some challenges in natural gas gathering volumes and CO2 segment, these were outweighed by the positive developments.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Growth
Adjusted EBITDA increased by 6% and adjusted EPS increased by 12% over the second quarter of 2024. Net income attributable to KMI was $715 million, 24% above the second quarter of 2024.
Expansion in Project Backlog
Project backlog increased from $8.8 billion to $9.3 billion. Added $1.3 billion in new projects and placed approximately $750 million of projects in service.
LNG Export Growth
S&P Global Commodity Insights estimates a 3.5 Bcf/day increase in U.S. LNG feed gas demand this summer compared to summer 2024, and it will more than double by 2030.
Dividend Increase
Declared a dividend of $0.2925 per share, a 2% increase from the 2024 dividend.
Improved Federal Permitting Environment
Federal permitting environment has improved with faster permitting by the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers and favorable FERC actions.
Negative Updates
Decline in Natural Gas Gathering Volumes
Natural gas gathering volumes were down 6% in the quarter versus the second quarter of 2024, mainly due to impacts in the Haynesville system.
Tariff Challenges
Tariffs could potentially impact project economics, though currently estimated to impact project costs by roughly 1%.
CO2 Segment Challenges
The CO2 segment experienced a 3% decrease in oil production volumes and an 8% decrease in CO2 volumes in the quarter versus the second quarter of 2024.
Company Guidance
During the quarterly earnings call on July 16, 2025, Kinder Morgan provided guidance highlighting their strong financial performance and future outlook. Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter increased by 6% year-over-year, while adjusted EPS rose by 12%. The company expects to exceed its original budget for the year, partly due to contributions from the Outrigger acquisition. Looking ahead, the company projects significant growth in U.S. natural gas demand, with a 20% increase anticipated by 2030 according to WoodMac estimates. Kinder Morgan's project backlog grew from $8.8 billion to $9.3 billion, with $1.3 billion in new projects added, including Trident Phase 2 and the Louisiana Line Texas Access project. Approximately 50% of the projects in the backlog are aimed at serving power demand, with a backlog multiple of 5.6x, slightly improved from Q1. The company also anticipates significant cash tax benefits in 2026 and 2027 due to recent tax reforms, with no material cash taxpayer status expected until 2028. Despite challenges such as tariffs, Kinder Morgan remains confident in its strategy of investing in high-return projects while maintaining a solid balance sheet.

Kinder Morgan Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Kinder Morgan demonstrates solid financial health with strong profitability and efficient operations. The company shows a strong gross profit margin and a healthy net profit margin, but faces challenges with modest revenue growth and declining free cash flow. Despite moderate leverage, its stable capital structure and effective equity management support resilience.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Kinder Morgan shows a strong gross profit margin of approximately 49.1% TTM, indicating efficient control over production costs. The net profit margin stands at around 17.1% TTM, reflecting healthy profitability. Revenue has shown modest growth, with a 5.75% increase from the previous year. EBIT and EBITDA margins TTM are robust at about 27.7% and 44.6%, respectively, indicating solid operational performance. However, the revenue growth rate is relatively low, which may pose challenges in the competitive market.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The debt-to-equity ratio is approximately 1.06, suggesting a moderate level of leverage, which is typical in the industry but could pose risks in adverse conditions. Return on equity is strong at about 8.86% TTM, indicating effective management of shareholder investments. The equity ratio stands at around 42.5%, showing a stable capital structure. Overall, the balance sheet reflects a balanced approach to leveraging with potential for improved financial stability.
Cash Flow
68
Positive
Operating cash flow covers net income well, with an operating cash flow to net income ratio of 2.04 TTM, indicating strong cash generation ability. Free cash flow shows a decline of 11.2% from the previous year, which could impact future investment capabilities. The free cash flow to net income ratio is healthy at 0.98, suggesting a good capacity to support dividends and debt repayment. Overall, the cash flow situation is stable, but the decline in free cash flow growth rate warrants attention.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue15.10B15.33B19.20B16.61B11.70B
Gross Profit8.41B8.15B7.76B7.75B6.68B
EBITDA6.74B6.51B6.22B6.67B5.66B
Net Income2.61B2.39B2.55B1.78B119.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets71.41B71.02B70.08B70.42B71.97B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments88.00M83.00M745.00M1.14B1.18B
Total Debt31.67B31.89B31.57B33.21B34.58B
Total Liabilities39.54B39.29B37.96B38.49B39.41B
Stockholders Equity30.53B30.31B30.74B30.82B31.44B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow3.01B4.15B3.35B4.43B2.84B
Operating Cash Flow5.63B6.49B4.97B5.71B4.55B
Investing Cash Flow-2.63B-4.17B-2.17B-2.31B-911.00M
Financing Cash Flow-2.89B-3.01B-3.15B-3.46B-2.64B

Kinder Morgan Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price28.04
Price Trends
50DMA
27.69
Positive
100DMA
27.24
Positive
200DMA
26.74
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.08
Negative
RSI
55.89
Neutral
STOCH
86.44
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For KMI, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 28.04 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 27.48, above the 50-day MA of 27.69, and above the 200-day MA of 26.74, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.08 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 55.89 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 86.44 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for KMI.

Kinder Morgan Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (45)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$67.56B11.6420.49%6.96%-0.30%
78
Outperform
$51.92B12.0731.38%7.17%5.53%11.29%
78
Outperform
$47.28B14.7616.05%5.17%40.55%19.24%
74
Outperform
$60.85B13.3513.73%7.30%1.04%22.31%
69
Neutral
$62.31B23.208.86%4.13%3.95%11.32%
68
Neutral
$72.05B30.4019.64%3.24%8.63%-20.98%
45
Neutral
AU$1.32B-8.62-15.56%7.70%2.10%-32.50%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
KMI
Kinder Morgan
28.04
7.87
39.02%
ET
Energy Transfer
17.73
2.63
17.42%
EPD
Enterprise Products Partners
31.15
3.77
13.77%
OKE
Oneok
75.70
-5.79
-7.11%
WMB
Williams Co
59.00
16.71
39.51%
MPLX
MPLX
50.86
11.95
30.71%

Kinder Morgan Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
Kinder Morgan to Attend Barclays Infrastructure Conference
Neutral
Jun 13, 2025

On June 12, 2025, Kinder Morgan, Inc. announced its participation in the Barclays Global Infrastructure Conference scheduled for June 17, 2025. This engagement is aimed at discussing the company’s business operations and affairs, potentially impacting its industry positioning and providing insights to stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (KMI) stock is a Buy with a $28.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kinder Morgan stock, see the KMI Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Kinder Morgan Holds Annual Stockholders Meeting
Neutral
May 20, 2025

On May 15, 2025, Kinder Morgan, Inc. held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders, where 1,942,512,111 shares were represented, forming a quorum. During the meeting, stockholders elected eleven directors to the board, ratified PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as the independent accounting firm for 2025, and conducted an advisory vote on executive compensation.

The most recent analyst rating on (KMI) stock is a Buy with a $28.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kinder Morgan stock, see the KMI Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 30, 2025