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Energy Transfer LP (ET)
NYSE:ET
US Market

Energy Transfer (ET) AI Stock Analysis

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ET

Energy Transfer

(NYSE:ET)

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Outperform 70 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
$18.50
â–²(11.71% Upside)
Energy Transfer's overall stock score is driven by strong operational efficiency and a solid dividend yield, making it attractive to income-focused investors. However, challenges in maintaining growth momentum and mixed earnings call sentiment temper the outlook. The recent increase in cash distribution is a positive corporate event, supporting investor confidence.
Positive Factors
Operational Efficiency
Strong operational efficiency indicates effective cost management and robust core operations, supporting long-term profitability and competitive positioning.
Growth Opportunities
These expansions represent strategic investments that can enhance capacity and revenue, positioning the company for future growth in a rising demand environment.
Cash Distribution Increase
Increasing cash distributions reflects strong cash flow and financial health, boosting investor confidence and supporting long-term shareholder value.
Negative Factors
Negative Revenue Growth
Declining revenue growth can indicate market challenges or competitive pressures, potentially impacting long-term financial performance and strategic positioning.
Decreased EBITDA
A decrease in EBITDA suggests reduced profitability and operational challenges, which may affect the company's ability to invest in growth and maintain margins.
Guidance Revision
Revising guidance downward indicates potential difficulties in achieving financial targets, which could affect investor confidence and strategic planning.

Energy Transfer (ET) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Energy Transfer Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionEnergy Transfer LP provides energy-related services. The company owns and operates approximately 11,600 miles of natural gas transportation pipeline, and three natural gas storage facilities in Texas and two natural gas storage facilities located in the state of Texas and Oklahoma; and 19,830 miles of interstate natural gas pipeline. It also sells natural gas to electric utilities, independent power plants, local distribution and other marketing companies, and industrial end-users. The company owns and operates natural gas gathering and natural gas liquid (NGL) pipeline, processing plant, and treating and conditioning facilities in Texas, New Mexico, West Virginia, Pennsylvania, Ohio, Oklahoma, Arkansas, Kansas, and Louisiana; natural gas gathering, oil pipeline, and oil stabilization facilities in South Texas; and a natural gas gathering system in Ohio, as well as transport and supplies water to natural gas producer in Pennsylvania. It owns approximately 5,215 miles of NGL pipeline; NGL and propane fractionation facilities; NGL storage facilities with working storage capacity of approximately 50 million barrels (MMBbls); and other NGL storage assets and terminal with an aggregate storage capacity of approximately 17 MMBbls. The company provides crude oil transportation, terminalling, acquisition, and marketing activities; and sells and distributes gasoline, middle distillate, and motor fuels and other petroleum product. It offers natural gas compression service; carbon dioxide and hydrogen sulfide removal, natural gas cooling, dehydration, and British thermal unit management service; and manages coal and natural resources properties, as well as sells standing timber, leases coal-related infrastructure facilities, collects oil and gas royalty, and generate electrical power. The company was formerly known as Energy Transfer Equity, L.P. and changed its name to Energy Transfer LP in October 2018. The company was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Dallas, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyEnergy Transfer generates revenue through multiple key streams, primarily from the transportation and storage of hydrocarbons. The company earns fees for transporting natural gas and liquids through its extensive pipeline system, charging customers based on the volume of product transported. Additionally, it makes money from the storage of these products, collecting fees for the capacity used by customers. The company also engages in the sale of natural gas and related products, generating revenue from its retail marketing segment. Significant partnerships with major energy producers and shippers enhance its revenue-generating capabilities, while long-term contracts provide stability and predictability in cash flows. Furthermore, Energy Transfer benefits from the increasing demand for energy infrastructure and the need for reliable transportation solutions in the evolving energy landscape.

Energy Transfer Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
NGL Transportation Volumes
NGL Transportation Volumes
Measures the volume of natural gas liquids transported, indicating the company's operational scale and efficiency in moving energy products, which impacts revenue and market positioning.
Chart InsightsEnergy Transfer's NGL transportation volumes have shown a consistent upward trend, peaking in late 2024. The recent earnings call highlights the completion of the Flexport NGL export expansion, which is expected to further boost volumes as services commence. This aligns with the company's strategic focus on expanding its midstream segment, despite challenges in the crude oil sector. The anticipated ramp-up in earnings from ongoing projects like the Hugh Brinson pipeline suggests a positive outlook for sustained growth in NGL volumes.
Data provided by:The Fly

Energy Transfer Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 18, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected a mixed sentiment. While there are several promising growth opportunities and volume records, challenges such as decreased EBITDA and revised guidance present concerns for the company’s near-term financial performance.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Volume Records
Energy Transfer saw several volume records during the quarter, including midstream gathering, NGL transportation, terminal volumes, and NGL export volumes, indicating robust operational performance.
NGL and Refined Products Growth
Adjusted EBITDA for the NGL and refined products segment was $1.1 billion, up from $1 billion in the third quarter of last year due to higher throughput across Gulf Coast and Mariner East pipeline operations.
Growing Demand for Natural Gas Services
Energy Transfer announced the Desert Southwest and Hugh Brinson Pipeline projects, with the former fully contracted for 1.5 Bcf/day and potential for increased capacity due to high demand.
Data Center Expansion
Multiple agreements were signed to supply natural gas to U.S. data centers, including Oracle, highlighting growth in data center energy demand.
Negative Updates
Decrease in Adjusted EBITDA
The company reported adjusted EBITDA of $3.84 billion, down from $3.96 billion in the same quarter last year, indicating a slight decline in core earnings.
Interstate and Intrastate Natural Gas Segment Decline
Adjusted EBITDA for the interstate natural gas segment decreased to $431 million from $460 million, and the intrastate segment fell to $230 million from $329 million compared to the third quarter of last year.
Guidance Revision
Energy Transfer expects to be slightly below the lower end of their guidance range of $16.1 billion to $16.5 billion for the year, indicating potential challenges in meeting initial financial expectations.
Company Guidance
During the Energy Transfer Q3 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided guidance indicating they expect to be slightly below the lower end of their adjusted EBITDA guidance range of $16.1 billion to $16.5 billion for 2025. They highlighted substantial growth opportunities, with significant projects such as the Hugh Brinson and Desert Southwest pipeline expansions, as well as the Flexport Permian processing and NGL transport projects, which are expected to drive earnings growth in 2026 and 2027. Energy Transfer reported a third-quarter 2025 adjusted EBITDA of $3.84 billion, compared to $3.96 billion in 2024, with year-to-date adjusted EBITDA reaching $11.8 billion. The company plans to spend approximately $4.6 billion on organic growth capital projects in 2025, down from the previous guidance of $5 billion, with expectations to invest about $5 billion in growth capital in 2026, mainly in the natural gas segments.

Energy Transfer Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Energy Transfer's financial statements show strong operational efficiency and profitability margins, but challenges in revenue growth and high leverage. The balance sheet indicates significant reliance on debt, which could pose risks if not managed carefully. Cash flow generation remains robust, although recent declines in free cash flow growth warrant attention.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Energy Transfer's income statement shows a mixed performance. The company has maintained a stable gross profit margin around 18% over the TTM, which is healthy for the industry. However, the net profit margin has slightly decreased to 5.81%, indicating some pressure on profitability. Revenue growth has been negative recently, with a decline of 1.81% in the TTM, which could be a concern if the trend continues. The EBIT and EBITDA margins remain strong, reflecting efficient operations.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio of 1.35, which is a reduction from previous years but still indicates significant leverage. Return on equity is solid at 12.38%, suggesting effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio stands at 36.42%, showing a reasonable level of equity financing relative to total assets. Overall, the balance sheet shows stability but with a notable reliance on debt.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Cash flow analysis indicates a decline in free cash flow growth by 5.88% in the TTM, which could impact future investments. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 0.94, suggesting good cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.51, indicating that a significant portion of net income is converted into free cash flow, though this has decreased from previous periods.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue79.76B82.67B78.59B89.88B67.42B38.95B
Gross Profit16.33B15.69B13.80B13.31B13.45B10.25B
EBITDA15.20B15.40B12.56B12.29B12.63B9.54B
Net Income4.52B4.81B3.94B4.76B5.47B-648.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets129.33B125.38B113.70B105.64B105.96B95.14B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.59B312.00M161.00M257.00M336.00M367.00M
Total Debt63.97B60.56B53.22B49.11B50.57B52.33B
Total Liabilities82.19B78.95B68.98B64.49B65.83B62.99B
Stockholders Equity34.68B35.12B36.68B33.03B31.30B18.54B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow5.26B7.34B6.42B5.67B8.34B2.23B
Operating Cash Flow10.84B11.51B9.55B9.05B11.16B7.36B
Investing Cash Flow-5.90B-5.90B-4.33B-4.02B-2.77B-4.90B
Financing Cash Flow-1.67B-5.45B-5.33B-5.11B-8.42B-2.39B

Energy Transfer Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price16.56
Price Trends
50DMA
16.53
Positive
100DMA
16.80
Negative
200DMA
16.84
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.01
Positive
RSI
48.06
Neutral
STOCH
17.00
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ET, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 16.56 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 16.68, above the 50-day MA of 16.53, and below the 200-day MA of 16.84, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 48.06 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 17.00 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ET.

Energy Transfer Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
82
Outperform
$46.32B13.5417.14%5.60%58.76%13.74%
81
Outperform
$55.45B11.5634.35%7.19%5.19%11.09%
76
Outperform
$69.68B12.1919.98%6.72%-6.46%-0.87%
76
Outperform
$74.40B31.5219.00%3.34%11.48%-17.82%
70
Outperform
$56.34B13.1413.09%7.94%-4.67%-8.06%
68
Neutral
$59.16B21.808.87%4.36%8.54%7.22%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ET
Energy Transfer
16.56
-0.81
-4.66%
EPD
Enterprise Products Partners
32.13
2.63
8.92%
KMI
Kinder Morgan
26.73
1.29
5.07%
OKE
Oneok
73.59
-24.12
-24.69%
WMB
Williams Co
59.74
7.58
14.53%
MPLX
MPLX
54.85
10.72
24.29%

Energy Transfer Corporate Events

Dividends
Energy Transfer Increases Quarterly Cash Distribution
Positive
Oct 28, 2025

On October 28, 2025, Energy Transfer LP announced an increase in its quarterly cash distribution to $0.3325 per common unit, marking a more than 3 percent rise compared to the third quarter of 2024. This distribution will be paid on November 19, 2025, to unitholders of record as of November 7, 2025. The announcement reflects positively on the company’s financial health and commitment to returning value to its stakeholders, potentially enhancing its market positioning and investor confidence.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025