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Energy Transfer LP (ET)
NYSE:ET
US Market
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Energy Transfer (ET) AI Stock Analysis

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ET

Energy Transfer

(NYSE:ET)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$19.00
â–²(9.83% Upside)
Energy Transfer's overall stock score reflects a balance of strong dividend yield and strategic growth initiatives against challenges in revenue growth and high leverage. The company's technical indicators suggest mixed market sentiment, while the earnings call provides cautious optimism with strategic projects offset by segment declines.
Positive Factors
Strategic Growth Initiatives
The Desert Southwest pipeline project is a significant expansion that enhances Energy Transfer's infrastructure capabilities, supporting long-term growth and increased capacity in key regions.
Record-Setting Volume Metrics
Record-setting volumes in various segments indicate robust demand and operational efficiency, contributing to sustained revenue and market position.
Permian Basin Growth
Growth in the Permian Basin, driven by processing plant upgrades, enhances Energy Transfer's competitive edge and revenue potential in a key energy-producing region.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
Significant reliance on debt poses risks to financial stability and limits flexibility, potentially impacting future investment capabilities.
Decline in Free Cash Flow Growth
Decreasing free cash flow growth may constrain future investments and operational flexibility, affecting long-term strategic initiatives.
Revenue Growth Challenges
Negative revenue growth indicates potential market challenges and competitive pressures, which could hinder long-term profitability and expansion.

Energy Transfer (ET) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Energy Transfer Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionEnergy Transfer LP provides energy-related services. The company owns and operates approximately 11,600 miles of natural gas transportation pipeline, and three natural gas storage facilities in Texas and two natural gas storage facilities located in the state of Texas and Oklahoma; and 19,830 miles of interstate natural gas pipeline. It also sells natural gas to electric utilities, independent power plants, local distribution and other marketing companies, and industrial end-users. The company owns and operates natural gas gathering and natural gas liquid (NGL) pipeline, processing plant, and treating and conditioning facilities in Texas, New Mexico, West Virginia, Pennsylvania, Ohio, Oklahoma, Arkansas, Kansas, and Louisiana; natural gas gathering, oil pipeline, and oil stabilization facilities in South Texas; and a natural gas gathering system in Ohio, as well as transport and supplies water to natural gas producer in Pennsylvania. It owns approximately 5,215 miles of NGL pipeline; NGL and propane fractionation facilities; NGL storage facilities with working storage capacity of approximately 50 million barrels (MMBbls); and other NGL storage assets and terminal with an aggregate storage capacity of approximately 17 MMBbls. The company provides crude oil transportation, terminalling, acquisition, and marketing activities; and sells and distributes gasoline, middle distillate, and motor fuels and other petroleum product. It offers natural gas compression service; carbon dioxide and hydrogen sulfide removal, natural gas cooling, dehydration, and British thermal unit management service; and manages coal and natural resources properties, as well as sells standing timber, leases coal-related infrastructure facilities, collects oil and gas royalty, and generate electrical power. The company was formerly known as Energy Transfer Equity, L.P. and changed its name to Energy Transfer LP in October 2018. The company was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Dallas, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyEnergy Transfer generates revenue primarily through the transportation and storage of hydrocarbons. The company earns fees from transporting natural gas, crude oil, and NGLs through its pipeline systems, which are charged per unit of volume moved. Additionally, it derives income from its storage services, where customers pay for the capacity to store their products. Energy Transfer also engages in processing activities, which involve the separation of natural gas liquids from raw natural gas, earning further income through processing fees. The company benefits from long-term contracts with its customers, providing stable revenue streams. Moreover, strategic partnerships and joint ventures with other energy companies enhance its operational capabilities and market reach, contributing significantly to its earnings. Overall, a combination of fee-based revenue and diversified service offerings positions Energy Transfer as a key player in the energy infrastructure sector.

Energy Transfer Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
NGL Transportation Volumes
NGL Transportation Volumes
Measures the volume of natural gas liquids transported, indicating the company's operational scale and efficiency in moving energy products, which impacts revenue and market positioning.
Chart InsightsEnergy Transfer's NGL transportation volumes have shown a consistent upward trend, peaking in late 2024. The recent earnings call highlights the completion of the Flexport NGL export expansion, which is expected to further boost volumes as services commence. This aligns with the company's strategic focus on expanding its midstream segment, despite challenges in the crude oil sector. The anticipated ramp-up in earnings from ongoing projects like the Hugh Brinson pipeline suggests a positive outlook for sustained growth in NGL volumes.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Energy Transfer Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 29, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted significant volume achievements and strategic project announcements, particularly in the Permian Basin and the launch of the Desert Southwest pipeline project. However, there were notable declines in key segments like crude oil and NGL, coupled with a revised guidance reflecting weaker than expected performance in certain areas. The sentiment reflects a careful balance between strategic growth initiatives and immediate operational challenges.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-Setting Volume Metrics
Multiple volume records were set in Q2 2025, including midstream gathering, crude transportation, NGL transportation, NGL and refined products terminal, and NGL export volumes.
Permian Basin Growth
Permian Basin legacy volumes were up 10% due to processing plant upgrades and increased plant utilization, contributing to midstream adjusted EBITDA increase from $693 million in Q2 2024 to $768 million in Q2 2025.
Desert Southwest Pipeline Project Announcement
Energy Transfer announced the Desert Southwest pipeline project, a significant expansion with a 516-mile 42-inch pipeline, expected to provide 1.5 Bcf per day of transportation capacity from the Permian Basin to Arizona.
Lake Charles LNG Progress
Lake Charles LNG signed 20-year SPAs with Kyushu Electric Power Company and Chevron USA. Advanced discussions are ongoing to reach the target of 15 million metric tonnes per annum.
New Processing Facilities
Placed the Lenorah II and Badger processing plants into service, adding significant processing capacity in the Permian Basin.
Negative Updates
NGL and Refined Products Segment Decline
Adjusted EBITDA for NGL and refined products was $1 billion, down from $1.1 billion in Q2 2024, due to lower gains from inventory optimization and lower blending margins.
Crude Oil Segment Decline
Crude oil segment adjusted EBITDA decreased from $801 million in Q2 2024 to $732 million in Q2 2025, primarily due to lower transportation revenues on the Bakken pipeline.
Guidance Revision
The company expects to be at or slightly below the lower end of their guidance range of $16.1 billion to $16.5 billion, due to weakness in the Bakken and slower recovery in dry gas areas.
Interstate Natural Gas Segment Challenges
Interstate natural gas adjusted EBITDA was $284 million, down from $328 million in Q2 2024, due to reduced pipeline optimization and shifts to more long-term contracts.
Company Guidance
During the Energy Transfer Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided several key metrics and guidance for the fiscal year. Energy Transfer reported an adjusted EBITDA of $3.9 billion for Q2 2025, up from $3.8 billion in Q2 2024. The company highlighted several volume records in midstream gathering, crude transportation, NGL transportation, and export volumes. Distributable cash flow (DCF) attributable to partners was approximately $2 billion. For the first half of 2025, Energy Transfer spent about $2 billion on organic growth capital, excluding SUN and USA Compression CapEx. The company announced its expectation to spend around $5 billion on organic growth capital projects in 2025, with mid-teen returns anticipated for most projects. Additionally, Energy Transfer unveiled the Desert Southwest pipeline project, a significant expansion with an estimated cost of $5.3 billion, expected to be operational by Q4 2029. Despite some challenges, the company remains optimistic about its growth prospects, particularly in natural gas and NGL segments, and anticipates ongoing strong demand for its services. The company adjusted its annual guidance, expecting to be at or slightly below the lower end of its previous range of $16.1 billion to $16.5 billion due to weaker performance in certain areas.

Energy Transfer Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Energy Transfer's financial performance is stable with strong operational efficiency and profitability margins. However, challenges include declining revenue growth and high leverage. The balance sheet shows significant reliance on debt, and recent declines in free cash flow growth warrant attention.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Energy Transfer's income statement shows a mixed performance. The company has maintained a stable gross profit margin around 18% over the TTM, which is healthy for the industry. However, the net profit margin has slightly decreased to 5.81%, indicating some pressure on profitability. Revenue growth has been negative recently, with a decline of 1.81% in the TTM, which could be a concern if the trend continues. The EBIT and EBITDA margins remain strong, reflecting efficient operations.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio of 1.35, which is a reduction from previous years but still indicates significant leverage. Return on equity is solid at 12.38%, suggesting effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio stands at 36.42%, showing a reasonable level of equity financing relative to total assets. Overall, the balance sheet shows stability but with a notable reliance on debt.
Cash Flow
68
Positive
Cash flow analysis indicates a decline in free cash flow growth by 5.88% in the TTM, which could impact future investments. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 0.94, suggesting good cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.51, indicating that a significant portion of net income is converted into free cash flow, though this has decreased from previous periods.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue80.58B82.67B78.59B89.88B67.42B38.95B
Gross Profit14.74B15.69B13.80B13.31B13.45B10.25B
EBITDA15.16B15.40B12.56B12.29B12.63B9.54B
Net Income4.68B4.81B3.94B4.76B5.47B-648.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets125.02B125.38B113.70B105.64B105.96B95.14B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments242.00M312.00M161.00M257.00M336.00M367.00M
Total Debt61.50B60.56B53.22B49.11B50.57B52.33B
Total Liabilities79.17B78.95B68.98B64.49B65.83B62.99B
Stockholders Equity45.53B35.12B36.68B33.03B31.30B18.54B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow5.70B7.34B6.42B5.67B8.34B2.23B
Operating Cash Flow11.14B11.51B9.55B9.05B11.16B7.36B
Investing Cash Flow-7.65B-5.90B-4.33B-4.02B-2.77B-4.90B
Financing Cash Flow-3.90B-5.45B-5.33B-5.11B-8.42B-2.39B

Energy Transfer Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price17.30
Price Trends
50DMA
17.40
Negative
100DMA
17.34
Negative
200DMA
17.71
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Positive
RSI
44.13
Neutral
STOCH
51.34
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ET, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 17.3 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 17.50, below the 50-day MA of 17.40, and below the 200-day MA of 17.71, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 44.13 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 51.34 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ET.

Energy Transfer Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
51.29B11.9431.19%7.60%4.67%2.07%
74
Outperform
68.62B11.8420.20%6.75%-0.55%2.14%
73
Outperform
45.06B13.9514.17%5.70%47.00%11.86%
71
Outperform
$59.39B13.4613.73%7.54%-3.65%9.69%
70
Outperform
60.93B22.508.85%4.23%3.95%11.32%
68
Neutral
73.40B30.3319.53%3.29%10.57%-14.22%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ET
Energy Transfer
17.30
2.16
14.27%
EPD
Enterprise Products Partners
31.69
4.20
15.28%
KMI
Kinder Morgan
27.42
6.18
29.10%
OKE
Oneok
71.55
-19.43
-21.36%
WMB
Williams Co
60.11
15.45
34.59%
MPLX
MPLX
50.33
8.97
21.69%

Energy Transfer Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Energy Transfer Executes Supplemental Indentures with Trustee
Neutral
Aug 25, 2025

Energy Transfer LP, a prominent player in the energy sector, has announced the execution of two supplemental indentures dated August 25, 2025, with U.S. Bank Trust Company, National Association, as trustee. These agreements are part of the company’s strategic financial management, potentially impacting its financial structuring and stakeholder relations.

The most recent analyst rating on (ET) stock is a Buy with a $19.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Energy Transfer stock, see the ET Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 20, 2025