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Energy Transfer LP (ET)
NYSE:ET
US Market
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Energy Transfer (ET) AI Stock Analysis

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ET

Energy Transfer

(NYSE:ET)

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Neutral 69 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
$18.50
▲(12.05% Upside)
Energy Transfer's overall stock score is primarily influenced by its strong valuation and operational efficiency. However, challenges in revenue growth and mixed earnings call sentiment weigh on the score. The high dividend yield and reasonable P/E ratio provide a cushion, making it a stable but cautious investment choice.
Positive Factors
Operational Efficiency
Strong operational efficiency, as indicated by healthy EBIT and EBITDA margins, suggests effective cost management and the ability to maintain profitability over time.
Growth Opportunities
Pipeline expansion projects indicate strategic growth initiatives that can enhance capacity and revenue potential, supporting long-term earnings growth.
Fee-Based Revenue Model
A fee-based revenue model with long-term contracts ensures predictable cash flows and reduces exposure to commodity price volatility, enhancing financial stability.
Negative Factors
Negative Revenue Growth
Negative revenue growth indicates challenges in maintaining sales momentum, which could impact future profitability and market competitiveness.
Decreased EBITDA
A decrease in EBITDA suggests reduced core earnings capability, potentially affecting cash flow and reinvestment capacity, impacting long-term growth.
Guidance Revision
Revised guidance below initial expectations indicates potential operational or market challenges, which could affect investor confidence and strategic planning.

Energy Transfer (ET) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Energy Transfer Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionEnergy Transfer LP (ET) is a publicly traded master limited partnership headquartered in Dallas, Texas. The company operates in the energy sector, primarily focusing on the transportation and storage of natural gas, crude oil, and natural gas liquids. Energy Transfer owns and operates an extensive network of pipelines, storage facilities, and processing plants, providing critical infrastructure and services to energy producers and consumers across the United States.
How the Company Makes MoneyEnergy Transfer generates revenue primarily through the transportation and storage of hydrocarbons. The company earns fees from transporting natural gas, crude oil, and NGLs through its pipeline systems, which are charged per unit of volume moved. Additionally, it derives income from its storage services, where customers pay for the capacity to store their products. Energy Transfer also engages in processing activities, which involve the separation of natural gas liquids from raw natural gas, earning further income through processing fees. The company benefits from long-term contracts with its customers, providing stable revenue streams. Moreover, strategic partnerships and joint ventures with other energy companies enhance its operational capabilities and market reach, contributing significantly to its earnings. Overall, a combination of fee-based revenue and diversified service offerings positions Energy Transfer as a key player in the energy infrastructure sector.

Energy Transfer Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
NGL Transportation Volumes
NGL Transportation Volumes
Measures the volume of natural gas liquids transported, indicating the company's operational scale and efficiency in moving energy products, which impacts revenue and market positioning.
Chart InsightsEnergy Transfer's NGL transportation volumes have shown a consistent upward trend, peaking in late 2024. The recent earnings call highlights the completion of the Flexport NGL export expansion, which is expected to further boost volumes as services commence. This aligns with the company's strategic focus on expanding its midstream segment, despite challenges in the crude oil sector. The anticipated ramp-up in earnings from ongoing projects like the Hugh Brinson pipeline suggests a positive outlook for sustained growth in NGL volumes.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Energy Transfer Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 18, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected a mixed sentiment. While there are several promising growth opportunities and volume records, challenges such as decreased EBITDA and revised guidance present concerns for the company’s near-term financial performance.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Volume Records
Energy Transfer saw several volume records during the quarter, including midstream gathering, NGL transportation, terminal volumes, and NGL export volumes, indicating robust operational performance.
NGL and Refined Products Growth
Adjusted EBITDA for the NGL and refined products segment was $1.1 billion, up from $1 billion in the third quarter of last year due to higher throughput across Gulf Coast and Mariner East pipeline operations.
Growing Demand for Natural Gas Services
Energy Transfer announced the Desert Southwest and Hugh Brinson Pipeline projects, with the former fully contracted for 1.5 Bcf/day and potential for increased capacity due to high demand.
Data Center Expansion
Multiple agreements were signed to supply natural gas to U.S. data centers, including Oracle, highlighting growth in data center energy demand.
Negative Updates
Decrease in Adjusted EBITDA
The company reported adjusted EBITDA of $3.84 billion, down from $3.96 billion in the same quarter last year, indicating a slight decline in core earnings.
Interstate and Intrastate Natural Gas Segment Decline
Adjusted EBITDA for the interstate natural gas segment decreased to $431 million from $460 million, and the intrastate segment fell to $230 million from $329 million compared to the third quarter of last year.
Guidance Revision
Energy Transfer expects to be slightly below the lower end of their guidance range of $16.1 billion to $16.5 billion for the year, indicating potential challenges in meeting initial financial expectations.
Company Guidance
During the Energy Transfer Q3 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided guidance indicating they expect to be slightly below the lower end of their adjusted EBITDA guidance range of $16.1 billion to $16.5 billion for 2025. They highlighted substantial growth opportunities, with significant projects such as the Hugh Brinson and Desert Southwest pipeline expansions, as well as the Flexport Permian processing and NGL transport projects, which are expected to drive earnings growth in 2026 and 2027. Energy Transfer reported a third-quarter 2025 adjusted EBITDA of $3.84 billion, compared to $3.96 billion in 2024, with year-to-date adjusted EBITDA reaching $11.8 billion. The company plans to spend approximately $4.6 billion on organic growth capital projects in 2025, down from the previous guidance of $5 billion, with expectations to invest about $5 billion in growth capital in 2026, mainly in the natural gas segments.

Energy Transfer Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Energy Transfer's financial statements show strong operational efficiency and profitability margins, but challenges in revenue growth and high leverage. The balance sheet indicates significant reliance on debt, which could pose risks if not managed carefully. Cash flow generation remains robust, although recent declines in free cash flow growth warrant attention.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Energy Transfer's income statement shows a mixed performance. The company has maintained a stable gross profit margin around 18% over the TTM, which is healthy for the industry. However, the net profit margin has slightly decreased to 5.81%, indicating some pressure on profitability. Revenue growth has been negative recently, with a decline of 1.81% in the TTM, which could be a concern if the trend continues. The EBIT and EBITDA margins remain strong, reflecting efficient operations.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio of 1.35, which is a reduction from previous years but still indicates significant leverage. Return on equity is solid at 12.38%, suggesting effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio stands at 36.42%, showing a reasonable level of equity financing relative to total assets. Overall, the balance sheet shows stability but with a notable reliance on debt.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Cash flow analysis indicates a decline in free cash flow growth by 5.88% in the TTM, which could impact future investments. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 0.94, suggesting good cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.51, indicating that a significant portion of net income is converted into free cash flow, though this has decreased from previous periods.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue79.76B82.67B78.59B89.88B67.42B38.95B
Gross Profit16.33B15.69B13.80B13.31B13.45B10.25B
EBITDA15.20B15.40B12.56B12.29B12.63B9.54B
Net Income4.52B4.81B3.94B4.76B5.47B-648.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets129.33B125.38B113.70B105.64B105.96B95.14B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.59B312.00M161.00M257.00M336.00M367.00M
Total Debt63.97B60.56B53.22B49.11B50.57B52.33B
Total Liabilities82.19B78.95B68.98B64.49B65.83B62.99B
Stockholders Equity34.68B35.12B36.68B33.03B31.30B18.54B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow5.26B7.34B6.42B5.67B8.34B2.23B
Operating Cash Flow10.84B11.51B9.55B9.05B11.16B7.36B
Investing Cash Flow-5.90B-5.90B-4.33B-4.02B-2.77B-4.90B
Financing Cash Flow-1.67B-5.45B-5.33B-5.11B-8.42B-2.39B

Energy Transfer Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price16.51
Price Trends
50DMA
16.63
Negative
100DMA
16.84
Negative
200DMA
16.97
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.05
Negative
RSI
46.12
Neutral
STOCH
49.40
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ET, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 16.51 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 16.63, below the 50-day MA of 16.63, and below the 200-day MA of 16.97, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of 0.05 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 46.12 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 49.40 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ET.

Energy Transfer Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$54.98B11.4634.35%7.30%5.19%11.09%
74
Outperform
$70.18B12.2819.98%6.66%-6.46%-0.87%
74
Outperform
$44.38B12.9717.14%5.84%58.76%13.74%
69
Neutral
$56.69B13.2213.09%7.96%-4.67%-8.06%
68
Neutral
$60.02B22.128.87%4.32%8.54%7.22%
68
Neutral
$72.80B30.8419.00%3.43%11.48%-17.82%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ET
Energy Transfer
16.51
-1.11
-6.30%
EPD
Enterprise Products Partners
32.44
2.23
7.38%
KMI
Kinder Morgan
26.98
0.30
1.12%
OKE
Oneok
70.53
-35.41
-33.42%
WMB
Williams Co
59.61
3.39
6.03%
MPLX
MPLX
54.06
8.65
19.05%

Energy Transfer Corporate Events

Energy Transfer’s Mixed Q3: Growth Amid Challenges
Nov 7, 2025

Energy Transfer Equity’s recent earnings call presented a mixed sentiment, reflecting both optimism and caution. While the company celebrated several operational achievements, such as volume records and growth in specific segments, it also faced challenges with decreased EBITDA and revised financial guidance, indicating potential hurdles in the near-term financial landscape.

Energy Transfer LP Reports Q3 2025 Earnings
Nov 6, 2025

Energy Transfer LP, a leading energy infrastructure company, operates one of the largest and most diversified portfolios of energy assets in the United States, focusing on natural gas midstream, transportation, and storage, as well as crude oil and refined products.

Dividends
Energy Transfer Increases Quarterly Cash Distribution
Positive
Oct 28, 2025

On October 28, 2025, Energy Transfer LP announced an increase in its quarterly cash distribution to $0.3325 per common unit, marking a more than 3 percent rise compared to the third quarter of 2024. This distribution will be paid on November 19, 2025, to unitholders of record as of November 7, 2025. The announcement reflects positively on the company’s financial health and commitment to returning value to its stakeholders, potentially enhancing its market positioning and investor confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (ET) stock is a Hold with a $17.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Energy Transfer stock, see the ET Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Energy Transfer Executes Supplemental Indentures with Trustee
Neutral
Aug 25, 2025

Energy Transfer LP, a prominent player in the energy sector, has announced the execution of two supplemental indentures dated August 25, 2025, with U.S. Bank Trust Company, National Association, as trustee. These agreements are part of the company’s strategic financial management, potentially impacting its financial structuring and stakeholder relations.

The most recent analyst rating on (ET) stock is a Buy with a $19.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Energy Transfer stock, see the ET Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
Energy Transfer Announces $2 Billion Notes Offering
Neutral
Aug 12, 2025

On August 11, 2025, Energy Transfer LP announced the pricing of its public offering of $2 billion in junior subordinated notes, which includes $1.2 billion of Series 2025A notes and $800 million of Series 2025B notes, both due in 2056. The proceeds from this offering, expected to close on August 25, 2025, will be used to repay borrowings under the company’s revolving credit facility and for general partnership purposes, potentially impacting the company’s financial flexibility and debt management strategy.

The most recent analyst rating on (ET) stock is a Buy with a $23.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Energy Transfer stock, see the ET Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Energy Transfer to Present at Citi’s 2025 Conference
Neutral
Aug 11, 2025

Energy Transfer LP announced that its management will participate in informational sessions with investors and analysts at Citi’s 2025 Natural Resources Conference from August 12-14 in Las Vegas. During these sessions, the company plans to provide an overview of its business segments and updates on growth projects, which could impact its operational strategy and stakeholder engagement.

The most recent analyst rating on (ET) stock is a Buy with a $23.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Energy Transfer stock, see the ET Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 11, 2025