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Oneok Inc (OKE)
:OKE

Oneok (OKE) AI Stock Analysis

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OKE

Oneok

(NYSE:OKE)

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Outperform 82 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:82Outperform
Price Target:
$87.00
â–²(19.10% Upside)
Oneok's strong financial performance and positive earnings call are the most significant factors driving the score. The company's effective cost management, revenue growth, and strategic integration of acquisitions position it well for future growth. Technical indicators show bullish momentum, although the stock faces resistance at the 200-day moving average. The valuation is attractive with a reasonable P/E ratio and high dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The robust revenue growth indicates strong demand in the oil & gas midstream sector, supporting long-term business expansion and market position.
Cash Flow Generation
Strong cash flow generation enhances financial flexibility, allowing for strategic investments and debt reduction, supporting sustainable growth.
Synergy Realization
Effective synergy realization from acquisitions boosts operational efficiency and profitability, strengthening competitive advantage and market position.
Negative Factors
Operational Efficiency Pressure
Decreasing margins suggest pressure on operational efficiency, which could impact profitability if not addressed, potentially affecting long-term competitiveness.
Debt Levels
While leverage has improved, significant debt levels remain a risk, potentially limiting financial flexibility and increasing vulnerability to market changes.
Operational Disruptions
Operational disruptions like the MB-4 incident can impact production and revenue, highlighting the need for robust risk management to ensure stability.

Oneok (OKE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Oneok Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionOneok, Inc. (OKE) is a leading midstream service provider in the United States, primarily engaged in the transportation, storage, and processing of natural gas and natural gas liquids (NGLs). The company operates through two main segments: the Natural Gas segment, which focuses on gathering, processing, and transporting natural gas, and the NGL segment, which involves the fractionation and transportation of NGLs. Oneok plays a critical role in the energy supply chain, facilitating the movement of hydrocarbons from production areas to market destinations.
How the Company Makes MoneyOneok generates revenue primarily through fee-based contracts and tariffs associated with its midstream services. The company earns money by transporting natural gas and NGLs through its extensive pipeline network and charging shippers based on the volume of gas transported or the capacity used. Key revenue streams include gathering and processing fees from producers, transportation fees for moving gas through pipelines, and fractionation fees for separating NGLs into their component products. Additionally, Oneok benefits from long-term contracts with customers, providing stable cash flow. Strategic partnerships with producers and utilities, along with investments in expanding its infrastructure, further enhance its revenue-generating capabilities.

Oneok Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 28, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 02, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong financial results and successful integration of acquired assets, with significant contributions from synergies and increased volumes across several segments. Despite some operational challenges like the MB-4 fractionator incident, the overall outlook remains positive, driven by strategic projects and financial flexibility.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Increased Third Quarter Results
ONEOK announced higher third quarter results and affirmed their 2025 net income and adjusted EBITDA guidance ranges. Adjusted EBITDA increased 7% compared to the second quarter and approximately 20% compared to the first quarter of 2025.
Strong Performance of Acquired Assets
The acquired EnLink and Medallion assets contributed nearly $470 million in adjusted EBITDA during the third quarter, continuing their meaningful contribution to year-over-year earnings growth.
Financial Flexibility and Debt Management
ONEOK repurchased more than 600,000 shares of common stock and retired over $500 million in senior notes. Year-to-date, over $1.3 billion in senior notes have been extinguished.
Successful Synergy Recognition
ONEOK remains on track to realize approximately $250 million of incremental synergies in 2025, having already realized nearly $500 million since the Magellan acquisition in September 2023.
Increased Volumes Across Segments
There was an increase in natural gas liquids and natural gas gathering and processing segment volumes. Rocky Mountain region volumes hit a record, and Gulf Coast/Permian NGL volumes increased by 8% compared to the second quarter.
Negative Updates
Refinery Maintenance Impact
Regional supply disruptions related to refinery maintenance primarily impacted short-haul lower tariff movements in the refined products segment.
MB-4 Fractionator Incident
Operations at the MB-4 fractionator were temporarily halted due to an incident in early October, although operations resumed within 10 days following repairs.
Company Guidance
During ONEOK's Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, management highlighted several key metrics and strategic updates. They affirmed their 2025 net income guidance range of $3.17 billion to $3.65 billion and an adjusted EBITDA guidance range of $8 billion to $8.45 billion. The company reported a third-quarter net income of $940 million, a 10% increase compared to the previous quarter, and adjusted EBITDA of $2.12 billion. They noted a 7% sequential increase in adjusted EBITDA, driven by volume growth and integration strategies. ONEOK also emphasized their significant operating leverage, with projects adding substantial capacity, and reaffirmed their expectation to achieve approximately $250 million in synergy-related adjusted EBITDA in 2025. Additionally, ONEOK repurchased over 600,000 shares and retired more than $500 million in senior notes during the quarter, reflecting their balanced capital allocation approach. They remain focused on achieving a long-term leverage target of 3.5x by the fourth quarter of 2026 and anticipate benefitting from a $1.5 billion reduction in cash taxes over the next five years, boosting their free cash flow.

Oneok Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Oneok demonstrates strong financial performance with significant revenue and cash flow growth, supported by effective cost management and improved leverage. However, the company must remain vigilant about its debt levels and operational efficiency to sustain its growth trajectory.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Oneok's income statement shows strong revenue growth with a 12.92% increase in TTM, indicating robust demand in the oil & gas midstream sector. The gross profit margin is healthy at 22.41%, and the net profit margin is solid at 11.07%, reflecting efficient cost management. However, the EBIT and EBITDA margins have slightly decreased compared to the previous year, suggesting some pressure on operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet reveals a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 1.49, which is an improvement from previous years, indicating better leverage management. The return on equity is strong at 16.04%, showcasing effective use of equity capital. The equity ratio is stable, reflecting a balanced asset structure. However, the company still carries significant debt, which could pose risks if market conditions change.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Oneok's cash flow statement highlights a substantial free cash flow growth of 76.97% in TTM, indicating improved cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.80, suggesting that operating cash flows are well-aligned with reported earnings. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.54, demonstrating a solid conversion of earnings into cash. Despite these strengths, maintaining such growth rates could be challenging.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue31.56B21.64B17.68B22.87B17.27B8.46B
Gross Profit6.71B5.05B5.75B3.12B3.02B2.03B
EBITDA7.81B6.59B5.11B3.52B3.30B2.00B
Net Income3.34B3.04B2.66B1.72B1.50B612.81M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets66.62B64.07B44.27B24.38B23.62B23.08B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.20B733.00M338.00M220.00M146.39M524.50M
Total Debt33.73B32.29B21.76B13.70B13.73B14.34B
Total Liabilities44.46B41.94B27.78B17.89B17.61B17.04B
Stockholders Equity22.08B17.04B16.48B6.49B6.02B6.04B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.92B2.87B2.83B1.70B1.85B-296.31M
Operating Cash Flow5.66B4.89B4.42B2.91B2.55B1.90B
Investing Cash Flow-7.42B-6.61B-6.40B-1.14B-665.29M-2.27B
Financing Cash Flow-3.51B2.12B2.10B-1.69B-2.26B875.00M

Oneok Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price73.05
Price Trends
50DMA
69.90
Positive
100DMA
71.56
Positive
200DMA
77.11
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.91
Positive
RSI
54.06
Neutral
STOCH
17.29
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For OKE, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 73.05 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 72.86, above the 50-day MA of 69.90, and below the 200-day MA of 77.11, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.91 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 54.06 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 17.29 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for OKE.

Oneok Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
82
Outperform
$44.76B13.0817.14%5.64%58.76%13.74%
81
Outperform
$54.91B11.4434.35%7.24%5.19%11.09%
76
Outperform
$68.75B12.0319.98%6.75%-6.46%-0.87%
76
Outperform
$71.33B30.2219.00%3.40%11.48%-17.82%
74
Outperform
$37.87B23.7261.18%2.06%7.79%33.93%
68
Neutral
$58.58B21.598.87%4.37%8.54%7.22%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
OKE
Oneok
73.05
-19.73
-21.27%
EPD
Enterprise Products Partners
32.02
3.50
12.27%
KMI
Kinder Morgan
26.65
1.52
6.05%
TRGP
Targa Resources
182.37
13.58
8.05%
WMB
Williams Co
58.84
8.03
15.80%
MPLX
MPLX
54.47
11.79
27.62%

Oneok Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
ONEOK Reports Strong Q3 2025 Earnings Growth
Positive
Oct 28, 2025

On October 28, 2025, ONEOK, Inc. reported higher earnings for the third quarter of 2025 compared to the same period in 2024, with net income reaching $940 million and adjusted EBITDA at $2.12 billion. The company highlighted a 17% increase in Rocky Mountain region NGL raw feed throughput volumes and a 6% rise in the Mid-Continent region. The results were driven by the successful integration of acquisitions and increased production across its operational basins, positioning ONEOK for long-term value creation for stakeholders.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025