tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Oneok Inc (OKE)
NYSE:OKE
Advertisement

Oneok (OKE) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
3,524 Followers

Top Page

OKE

Oneok

(NYSE:OKE)

Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$83.00
â–²(12.09% Upside)
Oneok's overall score is driven by strong financial performance and strategic corporate events, which are offset by bearish technical indicators. The company's valuation is attractive, and the earnings call provided positive insights, though future projections face some challenges.
Positive Factors
Acquisitions and integration
Recent acquisitions have transformed OKE into a more integrated and diversified company better positioned to capture market share.
Expansion and growth
OKE is expanding its Del processing capacity from 0.3bcf/d a year ago to 1.1bcf/d by 2027.
Financial performance
OKE maintains its 2025 financial guidance including EBITDA of $8.0-8.45B.
Negative Factors
Guidance and expectations
OKE lowered 2026 guidance by $200mm, and it may decrease further if crude prices soften.
Infrastructure growth limitations
There is limited industry need for NGL infrastructure growth beyond what has been announced, limiting growth opportunities.
Market competition
Investors may wait to ascribe full credit given prevailing competition and the perception incumbents are willing to sacrifice margin for market share.

Oneok (OKE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Oneok Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionOneok, Inc. (NYSE: OKE) is a leading midstream service provider in the United States, focusing on the transportation, storage, and distribution of natural gas, natural gas liquids (NGLs), and crude oil. Operating primarily in the central and western regions of the U.S., Oneok's core services include gathering and processing natural gas, transporting NGLs through extensive pipelines, and providing storage solutions. The company plays a vital role in the energy supply chain, ensuring the efficient movement of hydrocarbons from production sites to end-users.
How the Company Makes MoneyOneok generates revenue primarily through fee-based contracts for its midstream services, including gathering, processing, and transportation of natural gas and NGLs. The company operates a network of pipelines and processing facilities that allow it to collect fees for transporting and storing hydrocarbons. Key revenue streams include gathering and processing fees from producers, transportation fees from shippers, and NGL sales. Additionally, Oneok benefits from long-term contracts with producers, which provide stable cash flows. Significant partnerships with exploration and production companies further enhance its revenue potential by ensuring consistent demand for its services.

Oneok Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 04, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -7.24%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 04, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong performance in the second quarter with significant net income growth, adjusted EBITDA boost, and strategic expansions in the Permian Basin. However, there are some challenges with future projections due to market volatility and adjustments to the 2026 outlook.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Net Income Growth
Second quarter 2025 net income attributable to ONEOK totaled $841 million, or $1.34 per share, more than a 30% increase compared with the first quarter.
Strong Adjusted EBITDA Performance
Second quarter adjusted EBITDA totaled $1.98 billion, highlighting a 12% increase compared with the first quarter.
Significant Debt Reduction
During the quarter, ONEOK reduced its senior notes by nearly $600 million, including more than $400 million of notes paid at maturity.
Permian Basin Expansion
Final investment decision on a new natural gas processing plant in the Permian's Delaware Basin, expected to cost approximately $365 million and be completed in mid-2027.
NGL Segment Growth
Total NGL raw feed throughput volumes increased 18% compared with the first quarter, with record volumes in the Rocky Mountain region.
No Meaningful Cash Taxes Until 2028
ONEOK expects a benefit of more than $1.3 billion in lower cash taxes over the next 5 years due to enhancements related to bonus depreciation and interest expense deductibility.
Negative Updates
Revised 2026 Outlook
Due to current market conditions, ONEOK adjusted the 2026 outlook for adjusted EBITDA downward by approximately 2% or $200 million.
Commodity Price Volatility
The market environment and commodity price outlook is different today than when financial guidance was originally announced in February, which affects future earnings projections.
Spread Compression Impact
The second quarter experienced lower fractionation utilization due to maintenance, resulting in a $13 million impact from unfractionated NGLs and inventory.
Company Guidance
During the ONEOK Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company reaffirmed its 2025 financial guidance ranges, with net income attributable to ONEOK projected between $3.1 billion and $3.6 billion, and adjusted EBITDA expected to be in the range of $8 billion to $8.45 billion. The second quarter adjusted EBITDA increased by 12% compared to the first quarter, demonstrating the company's successful synergy capture and growing supply and demand strength. ONEOK highlighted significant sequential growth in natural gas liquids (NGL) and natural gas processing volumes across all regions, driven by seasonal improvements and increasing refined products demand. Additionally, the company announced a final investment decision on a new natural gas processing plant in the Permian's Delaware Basin, enhancing its strategic presence in the area. The company also noted a 30% increase in net income compared to the first quarter, reaching $841 million or $1.34 per share. Looking ahead, ONEOK expects year-over-year mid- to upper single-digit EBITDA growth in 2026, despite adjusting the 2026 outlook downward by approximately 2% or $200 million due to current commodity prices and market conditions. The company is on track to realize approximately $250 million in synergies in 2025, with significant contributions anticipated in 2026.

Oneok Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Oneok demonstrates strong revenue growth and profitability, though there are pressures on margins. The balance sheet shows high leverage, which could pose risks if not managed carefully. Cash flow generation remains solid, supporting the company's financial stability.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Oneok's income statement shows strong revenue growth with a TTM increase of 11.99%. The company maintains solid profitability with a gross profit margin of 26.58% and a net profit margin of 11.07%. However, there is a slight decline in margins compared to the previous year, indicating some pressure on profitability.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a high debt-to-equity ratio of 1.49, indicating significant leverage. However, the company has improved its equity position, and the return on equity remains robust at 16.04%, showcasing effective use of equity to generate profits.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a decrease in free cash flow growth by 6.20% TTM, but the company maintains a healthy operating cash flow to net income ratio of 0.79. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.54 suggests adequate cash generation relative to net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue27.95B21.70B17.68B22.39B16.54B8.54B
Gross Profit7.43B7.25B4.98B3.85B3.66B2.85B
EBITDA7.26B6.59B5.11B3.52B3.30B2.55B
Net Income3.09B3.04B2.66B1.72B1.50B612.81M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets64.52B64.07B44.27B24.38B23.62B23.08B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments97.00M733.00M338.00M220.00M146.39M524.50M
Total Debt32.47B32.08B21.76B13.70B13.73B14.34B
Total Liabilities42.62B41.94B27.78B17.89B17.61B17.04B
Stockholders Equity21.83B17.04B16.48B6.49B6.02B6.04B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.87B2.87B2.83B1.70B1.85B-296.31M
Operating Cash Flow5.28B4.89B4.42B2.91B2.55B1.90B
Investing Cash Flow-6.79B-6.61B-6.40B-1.14B-665.29M-2.27B
Financing Cash Flow1.56B2.12B2.10B-1.69B-2.26B875.00M

Oneok Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price74.05
Price Trends
50DMA
79.78
Negative
100DMA
82.39
Negative
200DMA
90.40
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.61
Positive
RSI
33.82
Neutral
STOCH
4.72
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For OKE, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 74.05 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 78.74, below the 50-day MA of 79.78, and below the 200-day MA of 90.40, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.61 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 33.82 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 4.72 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for OKE.

Oneok Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$50.80B11.8331.38%7.68%4.67%2.07%
79
Outperform
$67.43B11.6320.43%6.83%-0.55%2.14%
75
Outperform
$59.69B13.4213.73%7.50%-3.65%9.69%
73
Outperform
$46.63B14.4416.05%5.51%47.00%11.86%
70
Outperform
$59.02B21.798.86%4.37%3.95%11.32%
68
Neutral
$70.90B29.2919.64%3.38%10.57%-14.22%
66
Neutral
$14.82B8.146.06%5.50%4.59%-64.35%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
OKE
Oneok
74.05
-8.40
-10.19%
ET
Energy Transfer
17.39
2.54
17.10%
EPD
Enterprise Products Partners
31.34
4.38
16.25%
KMI
Kinder Morgan
26.56
6.49
32.34%
WMB
Williams Co
57.76
15.93
38.08%
MPLX
MPLX
49.85
11.52
30.05%

Oneok Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
ONEOK Announces $3 Billion Senior Notes Offering
Positive
Aug 8, 2025

On August 6, 2025, ONEOK, Inc. announced the pricing of a $3.0 billion senior notes offering, which includes $750 million of 7-year notes, $1.0 billion of 10-year notes, and $1.25 billion of 30-year notes. The proceeds from this offering are intended to repay outstanding commercial paper and senior notes due September 15, 2025, with any remaining funds allocated for general corporate purposes. This strategic financial move is expected to strengthen ONEOK’s financial position by addressing its debt obligations and potentially enhancing its operational flexibility.

The most recent analyst rating on (OKE) stock is a Hold with a $97.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Oneok stock, see the OKE Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
ONEOK Reports Strong Q2 2025 Earnings Boost
Positive
Aug 4, 2025

On August 4, 2025, ONEOK, Inc. reported higher earnings for the second quarter of 2025, with a net income of $841 million and an adjusted EBITDA of $1.98 billion. The results were driven by strategic acquisitions, particularly EnLink and Medallion, which contributed significantly to the company’s performance. The company also repaid nearly $600 million in senior notes and affirmed its full-year 2025 financial guidance ranges. These developments underscore ONEOK’s strong market positioning and its ability to deliver long-term value to stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (OKE) stock is a Hold with a $97.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Oneok stock, see the OKE Stock Forecast page.

Dividends
Oneok Declares Quarterly Dividend of $1.03 Per Share
Positive
Jul 17, 2025

On July 16, 2025, ONEOK, Inc. announced that its board of directors declared a quarterly dividend of $1.03 per share of common stock, maintaining the previous quarter’s rate and resulting in an annualized dividend of $4.12 per share. The dividend is set to be paid on August 14, 2025, to shareholders recorded by the close of business on August 1, 2025, reflecting the company’s stable financial strategy and commitment to shareholder returns.

The most recent analyst rating on (OKE) stock is a Buy with a $90.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Oneok stock, see the OKE Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
ONEOK Announces Q2 2025 Earnings Release Date
Neutral
Jul 1, 2025

ONEOK, Inc. announced on June 30, 2025, that it will release its second quarter 2025 earnings after the market closes on August 4, 2025. A conference call and webcast with the management team will follow on August 5, 2025, at 11 a.m. Eastern Time. This announcement is part of ONEOK’s ongoing efforts to provide transparency and engage with stakeholders, reflecting its commitment to maintaining strong communication with investors and the market.

The most recent analyst rating on (OKE) stock is a Hold with a $97.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Oneok stock, see the OKE Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
ONEOK Completes Acquisition of Delaware G&P Stake
Positive
Jun 4, 2025

On June 3, 2025, ONEOK announced the acquisition of the remaining 49.9% interest in Delaware G&P LLC from NGP XI Midstream Holdings for $940 million, making ONEOK the sole owner of the Delaware Basin JV. This acquisition, completed on May 28, 2025, enhances ONEOK’s growth strategy in the Permian Basin, strengthening its position in the natural gas gathering and processing sector with facilities capable of processing over 700 million cubic feet per day.

The most recent analyst rating on (OKE) stock is a Buy with a $90.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Oneok stock, see the OKE Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
ONEOK Announces Participation in Investor Conference
Neutral
May 29, 2025

On May 27, 2025, ONEOK, Inc. announced its participation in an investor conference and a fireside chat session scheduled for May 28. The session will be webcast live on the company’s website, with a replay available, providing stakeholders with insights into ONEOK’s operations and strategic positioning in the energy market.

The most recent analyst rating on (OKE) stock is a Hold with a $97.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Oneok stock, see the OKE Stock Forecast page.

Shareholder Meetings
Oneok Approves 2025 Equity Incentive and Stock Award Plans
Neutral
May 22, 2025

On May 21, 2025, ONEOK, Inc. held its Annual Meeting of Shareholders where the 2025 Equity Incentive Plan (EIP) and the 2025 Employee Stock Award Program (ESAP) were approved. The 2025 EIP, replacing the 2018 EIP, allows for the issuance of up to 16,870,000 shares of common stock plus additional shares from the previous plan, and provides various awards to non-employee directors, officers, and employees. The 2025 ESAP, succeeding the previous stock award program, offers eligible employees one share of common stock for no monetary consideration when certain share price benchmarks are met. Both plans are set to terminate ten years from the effective date unless ended earlier. Additionally, the shareholders elected directors and ratified the selection of PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (OKE) stock is a Hold with a $97.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Oneok stock, see the OKE Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 08, 2025