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Oneok Inc (OKE)
NYSE:OKE
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Oneok (OKE) AI Stock Analysis

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OKE

Oneok

(NYSE:OKE)

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Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$75.00
â–²(10.10% Upside)
Oneok's overall stock score reflects strong financial performance and positive earnings call outcomes, which are slightly offset by bearish technical indicators. The company's attractive valuation and robust dividend yield further support the score, though vigilance is needed regarding debt levels and operational efficiency.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Robust revenue growth indicates strong demand in the midstream sector, supporting long-term business expansion and market presence.
Cash Flow Generation
Improved cash generation enhances financial flexibility, enabling strategic investments and debt reduction, supporting sustainable growth.
Synergy Realization
Effective synergy realization from acquisitions boosts profitability and operational efficiency, strengthening competitive advantage.
Negative Factors
Debt Levels
High debt levels may limit financial flexibility and increase vulnerability to market fluctuations, impacting long-term stability.
Operational Efficiency
Decreasing margins suggest pressure on operational efficiency, which could affect profitability if not addressed.
Operational Challenges
Operational disruptions can impact service reliability and financial performance, highlighting the need for risk management.

Oneok (OKE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Oneok Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionOneok, Inc. (NYSE: OKE) is a leading midstream service provider in the United States, focusing on the transportation, storage, and distribution of natural gas, natural gas liquids (NGLs), and crude oil. Operating primarily in the central and western regions of the U.S., Oneok's core services include gathering and processing natural gas, transporting NGLs through extensive pipelines, and providing storage solutions. The company plays a vital role in the energy supply chain, ensuring the efficient movement of hydrocarbons from production sites to end-users.
How the Company Makes MoneyOneok generates revenue primarily through fee-based contracts for its midstream services, including gathering, processing, and transportation of natural gas and NGLs. The company operates a network of pipelines and processing facilities that allow it to collect fees for transporting and storing hydrocarbons. Key revenue streams include gathering and processing fees from producers, transportation fees from shippers, and NGL sales. Additionally, Oneok benefits from long-term contracts with producers, which provide stable cash flows. Significant partnerships with exploration and production companies further enhance its revenue potential by ensuring consistent demand for its services.

Oneok Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 28, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 02, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong financial results and successful integration of acquired assets, with significant contributions from synergies and increased volumes across several segments. Despite some operational challenges like the MB-4 fractionator incident, the overall outlook remains positive, driven by strategic projects and financial flexibility.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Increased Third Quarter Results
ONEOK announced higher third quarter results and affirmed their 2025 net income and adjusted EBITDA guidance ranges. Adjusted EBITDA increased 7% compared to the second quarter and approximately 20% compared to the first quarter of 2025.
Strong Performance of Acquired Assets
The acquired EnLink and Medallion assets contributed nearly $470 million in adjusted EBITDA during the third quarter, continuing their meaningful contribution to year-over-year earnings growth.
Financial Flexibility and Debt Management
ONEOK repurchased more than 600,000 shares of common stock and retired over $500 million in senior notes. Year-to-date, over $1.3 billion in senior notes have been extinguished.
Successful Synergy Recognition
ONEOK remains on track to realize approximately $250 million of incremental synergies in 2025, having already realized nearly $500 million since the Magellan acquisition in September 2023.
Increased Volumes Across Segments
There was an increase in natural gas liquids and natural gas gathering and processing segment volumes. Rocky Mountain region volumes hit a record, and Gulf Coast/Permian NGL volumes increased by 8% compared to the second quarter.
Negative Updates
Refinery Maintenance Impact
Regional supply disruptions related to refinery maintenance primarily impacted short-haul lower tariff movements in the refined products segment.
MB-4 Fractionator Incident
Operations at the MB-4 fractionator were temporarily halted due to an incident in early October, although operations resumed within 10 days following repairs.
Company Guidance
During ONEOK's Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, management highlighted several key metrics and strategic updates. They affirmed their 2025 net income guidance range of $3.17 billion to $3.65 billion and an adjusted EBITDA guidance range of $8 billion to $8.45 billion. The company reported a third-quarter net income of $940 million, a 10% increase compared to the previous quarter, and adjusted EBITDA of $2.12 billion. They noted a 7% sequential increase in adjusted EBITDA, driven by volume growth and integration strategies. ONEOK also emphasized their significant operating leverage, with projects adding substantial capacity, and reaffirmed their expectation to achieve approximately $250 million in synergy-related adjusted EBITDA in 2025. Additionally, ONEOK repurchased over 600,000 shares and retired more than $500 million in senior notes during the quarter, reflecting their balanced capital allocation approach. They remain focused on achieving a long-term leverage target of 3.5x by the fourth quarter of 2026 and anticipate benefitting from a $1.5 billion reduction in cash taxes over the next five years, boosting their free cash flow.

Oneok Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Oneok demonstrates strong financial performance with significant revenue and cash flow growth, supported by effective cost management and improved leverage. However, the company must remain vigilant about its debt levels and operational efficiency to sustain its growth trajectory.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Oneok's income statement shows strong revenue growth with a 12.92% increase in TTM, indicating robust demand in the oil & gas midstream sector. The gross profit margin is healthy at 22.41%, and the net profit margin is solid at 11.07%, reflecting efficient cost management. However, the EBIT and EBITDA margins have slightly decreased compared to the previous year, suggesting some pressure on operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet reveals a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 1.49, which is an improvement from previous years, indicating better leverage management. The return on equity is strong at 16.04%, showcasing effective use of equity capital. The equity ratio is stable, reflecting a balanced asset structure. However, the company still carries significant debt, which could pose risks if market conditions change.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Oneok's cash flow statement highlights a substantial free cash flow growth of 76.97% in TTM, indicating improved cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.80, suggesting that operating cash flows are well-aligned with reported earnings. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.54, demonstrating a solid conversion of earnings into cash. Despite these strengths, maintaining such growth rates could be challenging.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue31.56B21.64B17.68B22.87B17.27B8.46B
Gross Profit6.71B5.05B5.75B3.12B3.02B2.03B
EBITDA7.81B6.59B5.11B3.52B3.30B2.00B
Net Income3.34B3.04B2.66B1.72B1.50B612.81M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets66.62B64.07B44.27B24.38B23.62B23.08B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.20B733.00M338.00M220.00M146.39M524.50M
Total Debt33.73B32.29B21.76B13.70B13.73B14.34B
Total Liabilities44.46B41.94B27.78B17.89B17.61B17.04B
Stockholders Equity22.08B17.04B16.48B6.49B6.02B6.04B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow5.10B2.87B2.83B1.70B1.85B-296.31M
Operating Cash Flow5.66B4.89B4.42B2.91B2.55B1.90B
Investing Cash Flow-7.42B-6.61B-6.40B-1.14B-665.29M-2.27B
Financing Cash Flow-3.51B2.12B2.10B-1.69B-2.26B875.00M

Oneok Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price68.12
Price Trends
50DMA
69.92
Negative
100DMA
73.46
Negative
200DMA
80.10
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.00
Negative
RSI
50.24
Neutral
STOCH
52.90
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For OKE, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 68.12 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 67.21, below the 50-day MA of 69.92, and below the 200-day MA of 80.10, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -1.00 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 50.24 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 52.90 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for OKE.

Oneok Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$52.46B10.9334.35%7.70%5.19%11.09%
74
Outperform
$41.70B12.1917.14%6.05%58.76%13.74%
74
Outperform
$66.41B11.6119.98%6.91%-6.46%-0.87%
68
Neutral
$57.67B21.258.87%4.39%8.54%7.22%
68
Neutral
$70.27B29.7719.00%3.43%11.48%-17.82%
66
Neutral
$35.01B21.8161.18%2.21%7.79%33.93%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
OKE
Oneok
68.12
-33.68
-33.08%
EPD
Enterprise Products Partners
31.26
2.85
10.03%
KMI
Kinder Morgan
26.55
0.80
3.11%
TRGP
Targa Resources
172.06
-16.05
-8.53%
WMB
Williams Co
59.58
5.18
9.52%
MPLX
MPLX
51.27
8.73
20.52%

Oneok Corporate Events

ONEOK Inc. Reports Strong Q3 Earnings and Positive Outlook
Oct 31, 2025

ONEOK Inc. recently held its earnings call, showcasing a robust financial performance and a successful integration of newly acquired assets. The sentiment during the call was overwhelmingly positive, with the company highlighting significant contributions from synergies and increased volumes across various segments. Despite facing operational challenges such as the MB-4 fractionator incident, the overall outlook remains optimistic, driven by strategic projects and enhanced financial flexibility.

ONEOK Inc. Reports Strong Q3 2025 Earnings Growth
Oct 30, 2025

ONEOK Inc. is a leading midstream energy company headquartered in Tulsa, Oklahoma, specializing in the gathering, processing, storage, and transportation of natural gas and natural gas liquids (NGLs) across North America. As one of the largest integrated energy infrastructure companies, ONEOK plays a crucial role in meeting domestic and international energy demands.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
ONEOK Reports Strong Q3 2025 Earnings Growth
Positive
Oct 28, 2025

On October 28, 2025, ONEOK, Inc. reported higher earnings for the third quarter of 2025 compared to the same period in 2024, with net income reaching $940 million and adjusted EBITDA at $2.12 billion. The company highlighted a 17% increase in Rocky Mountain region NGL raw feed throughput volumes and a 6% rise in the Mid-Continent region. The results were driven by the successful integration of acquisitions and increased production across its operational basins, positioning ONEOK for long-term value creation for stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (OKE) stock is a Buy with a $82.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Oneok stock, see the OKE Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
ONEOK Completes $3 Billion Public Offering
Positive
Aug 13, 2025

On August 12, 2025, ONEOK, Inc. completed a significant public offering of notes totaling $3 billion, with the proceeds intended to repay outstanding commercial paper and senior notes due in September 2025. This strategic financial move is expected to strengthen ONEOK’s financial position and provide flexibility for general corporate purposes, potentially impacting its operations and market positioning positively.

The most recent analyst rating on (OKE) stock is a Hold with a $97.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Oneok stock, see the OKE Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
ONEOK Announces $3 Billion Senior Notes Offering
Positive
Aug 8, 2025

On August 6, 2025, ONEOK, Inc. announced the pricing of a $3.0 billion senior notes offering, which includes $750 million of 7-year notes, $1.0 billion of 10-year notes, and $1.25 billion of 30-year notes. The proceeds from this offering are intended to repay outstanding commercial paper and senior notes due September 15, 2025, with any remaining funds allocated for general corporate purposes. This strategic financial move is expected to strengthen ONEOK’s financial position by addressing its debt obligations and potentially enhancing its operational flexibility.

The most recent analyst rating on (OKE) stock is a Hold with a $97.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Oneok stock, see the OKE Stock Forecast page.

ONEOK Inc. Reports Strong Q2 Earnings Growth
Aug 6, 2025

ONEOK Inc., a leading midstream service provider in North America, specializes in gathering, processing, fractionation, transportation, storage, and export services for natural gas, natural gas liquids (NGLs), refined products, and crude oil.

Oneok Inc. Reports Strong Q2 Earnings Amid Market Challenges
Aug 6, 2025

The recent earnings call for Oneok Inc. presented a generally positive sentiment, highlighting the company’s strong performance in the second quarter. The call emphasized significant net income growth, a boost in adjusted EBITDA, and strategic expansions in the Permian Basin. However, it also acknowledged challenges related to market volatility and adjustments to the 2026 outlook.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
ONEOK Reports Strong Q2 2025 Earnings Boost
Positive
Aug 4, 2025

On August 4, 2025, ONEOK, Inc. reported higher earnings for the second quarter of 2025, with a net income of $841 million and an adjusted EBITDA of $1.98 billion. The results were driven by strategic acquisitions, particularly EnLink and Medallion, which contributed significantly to the company’s performance. The company also repaid nearly $600 million in senior notes and affirmed its full-year 2025 financial guidance ranges. These developments underscore ONEOK’s strong market positioning and its ability to deliver long-term value to stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (OKE) stock is a Hold with a $97.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Oneok stock, see the OKE Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 31, 2025