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Oneok Inc (OKE)
NYSE:OKE

Oneok (OKE) AI Stock Analysis

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OKE

Oneok

(NYSE:OKE)

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Outperform 82 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:82Outperform
Price Target:
$87.00
â–²(23.02% Upside)
Oneok's strong financial performance and positive earnings call are the most significant factors driving the score. The company's effective cost management, revenue growth, and strategic integration of acquisitions position it well for future growth. Technical indicators show bullish momentum, although the stock faces resistance at the 200-day moving average. The valuation is attractive with a reasonable P/E ratio and high dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The robust revenue growth indicates strong demand in the oil & gas midstream sector, supporting long-term business expansion and market position.
Cash Flow Generation
Strong cash flow generation enhances financial flexibility, allowing for strategic investments and debt reduction, supporting sustainable growth.
Synergy Realization
Effective synergy realization from acquisitions boosts operational efficiency and profitability, strengthening competitive advantage and market position.
Negative Factors
Operational Efficiency Pressure
Decreasing margins suggest pressure on operational efficiency, which could impact profitability if not addressed, potentially affecting long-term competitiveness.
Debt Levels
While leverage has improved, significant debt levels remain a risk, potentially limiting financial flexibility and increasing vulnerability to market changes.
Operational Disruptions
Operational disruptions like the MB-4 incident can impact production and revenue, highlighting the need for robust risk management to ensure stability.

Oneok (OKE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Oneok Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionONEOK, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in gathering, processing, storage, and transportation of natural gas in the United States. It operates through Natural Gas Gathering and Processing, Natural Gas Liquids, and Natural Gas Pipelines segments. The company owns natural gas gathering pipelines and processing plants in the Mid-Continent and Rocky Mountain regions. It also gathers, treats, fractionates, and transports natural gas liquids (NGL), as well as stores, markets, and distributes NGL products. The company owns NGL gathering and distribution pipelines in Oklahoma, Kansas, Texas, New Mexico, Montana, North Dakota, Wyoming, and Colorado; terminal and storage facilities in Kansas, Missouri, Nebraska, Iowa, and Illinois; and NGL distribution and refined petroleum products pipelines in Kansas, Missouri, Nebraska, Iowa, Illinois, and Indiana, as well as owns and operates truck- and rail-loading, and -unloading facilities connected to NGL fractionation, storage, and pipeline assets. In addition, it operates regulated interstate and intrastate natural gas transmission pipelines and natural gas storage facilities. Further, the company owns and operates a parking garage in downtown Tulsa, Oklahoma; and leases excess office space. It operates 17,500 miles of natural gas gathering pipelines; 1,500 miles of FERC-regulated interstate natural gas pipelines; 5,100 miles of state-regulated intrastate transmission pipeline; six NGL storage facilities; and eight NGL product terminals. It serves integrated and independent exploration and production companies; NGL and natural gas gathering and processing companies; crude oil and natural gas production companies; propane distributors; municipalities; ethanol producers; and petrochemical, refining, and NGL marketing companies, as well as natural gas distribution and electric generation companies, producers, processors, and marketing companies. The company was founded in 1906 and is headquartered in Tulsa, Oklahoma.
How the Company Makes MoneyOneok generates revenue primarily through fee-based contracts and tariffs associated with its midstream services. The company earns money by transporting natural gas and NGLs through its extensive pipeline network and charging shippers based on the volume of gas transported or the capacity used. Key revenue streams include gathering and processing fees from producers, transportation fees for moving gas through pipelines, and fractionation fees for separating NGLs into their component products. Additionally, Oneok benefits from long-term contracts with customers, providing stable cash flow. Strategic partnerships with producers and utilities, along with investments in expanding its infrastructure, further enhance its revenue-generating capabilities.

Oneok Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 28, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 02, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong financial results and successful integration of acquired assets, with significant contributions from synergies and increased volumes across several segments. Despite some operational challenges like the MB-4 fractionator incident, the overall outlook remains positive, driven by strategic projects and financial flexibility.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Increased Third Quarter Results
ONEOK announced higher third quarter results and affirmed their 2025 net income and adjusted EBITDA guidance ranges. Adjusted EBITDA increased 7% compared to the second quarter and approximately 20% compared to the first quarter of 2025.
Strong Performance of Acquired Assets
The acquired EnLink and Medallion assets contributed nearly $470 million in adjusted EBITDA during the third quarter, continuing their meaningful contribution to year-over-year earnings growth.
Financial Flexibility and Debt Management
ONEOK repurchased more than 600,000 shares of common stock and retired over $500 million in senior notes. Year-to-date, over $1.3 billion in senior notes have been extinguished.
Successful Synergy Recognition
ONEOK remains on track to realize approximately $250 million of incremental synergies in 2025, having already realized nearly $500 million since the Magellan acquisition in September 2023.
Increased Volumes Across Segments
There was an increase in natural gas liquids and natural gas gathering and processing segment volumes. Rocky Mountain region volumes hit a record, and Gulf Coast/Permian NGL volumes increased by 8% compared to the second quarter.
Negative Updates
Refinery Maintenance Impact
Regional supply disruptions related to refinery maintenance primarily impacted short-haul lower tariff movements in the refined products segment.
MB-4 Fractionator Incident
Operations at the MB-4 fractionator were temporarily halted due to an incident in early October, although operations resumed within 10 days following repairs.
Company Guidance
During ONEOK's Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, management highlighted several key metrics and strategic updates. They affirmed their 2025 net income guidance range of $3.17 billion to $3.65 billion and an adjusted EBITDA guidance range of $8 billion to $8.45 billion. The company reported a third-quarter net income of $940 million, a 10% increase compared to the previous quarter, and adjusted EBITDA of $2.12 billion. They noted a 7% sequential increase in adjusted EBITDA, driven by volume growth and integration strategies. ONEOK also emphasized their significant operating leverage, with projects adding substantial capacity, and reaffirmed their expectation to achieve approximately $250 million in synergy-related adjusted EBITDA in 2025. Additionally, ONEOK repurchased over 600,000 shares and retired more than $500 million in senior notes during the quarter, reflecting their balanced capital allocation approach. They remain focused on achieving a long-term leverage target of 3.5x by the fourth quarter of 2026 and anticipate benefitting from a $1.5 billion reduction in cash taxes over the next five years, boosting their free cash flow.

Oneok Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Oneok demonstrates strong financial performance with significant revenue and cash flow growth, supported by effective cost management and improved leverage. However, the company must remain vigilant about its debt levels and operational efficiency to sustain its growth trajectory.
Income Statement
Oneok's income statement shows strong revenue growth with a 12.92% increase in TTM, indicating robust demand in the oil & gas midstream sector. The gross profit margin is healthy at 22.41%, and the net profit margin is solid at 11.07%, reflecting efficient cost management. However, the EBIT and EBITDA margins have slightly decreased compared to the previous year, suggesting some pressure on operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet reveals a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 1.49, which is an improvement from previous years, indicating better leverage management. The return on equity is strong at 16.04%, showcasing effective use of equity capital. The equity ratio is stable, reflecting a balanced asset structure. However, the company still carries significant debt, which could pose risks if market conditions change.
Cash Flow
Oneok's cash flow statement highlights a substantial free cash flow growth of 76.97% in TTM, indicating improved cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.80, suggesting that operating cash flows are well-aligned with reported earnings. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.54, demonstrating a solid conversion of earnings into cash. Despite these strengths, maintaining such growth rates could be challenging.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue31.56B21.64B17.68B22.87B17.27B8.46B
Gross Profit6.71B5.05B5.75B3.12B3.02B2.03B
EBITDA7.81B6.59B5.11B3.52B3.30B2.00B
Net Income3.34B3.04B2.66B1.72B1.50B612.81M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets66.62B64.07B44.27B24.38B23.62B23.08B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.20B733.00M338.00M220.00M146.39M524.50M
Total Debt33.73B32.29B21.76B13.70B13.73B14.34B
Total Liabilities44.46B41.94B27.78B17.89B17.61B17.04B
Stockholders Equity22.08B17.04B16.48B6.49B6.02B6.04B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.92B2.87B2.83B1.70B1.85B-296.31M
Operating Cash Flow5.66B4.89B4.42B2.91B2.55B1.90B
Investing Cash Flow-7.42B-6.61B-6.40B-1.14B-665.29M-2.27B
Financing Cash Flow-3.51B2.12B2.10B-1.69B-2.26B875.00M

Oneok Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price70.72
Price Trends
50DMA
71.07
Negative
100DMA
71.15
Negative
200DMA
75.92
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.12
Positive
RSI
41.42
Neutral
STOCH
21.28
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For OKE, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 70.72 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 72.96, below the 50-day MA of 71.07, and below the 200-day MA of 75.92, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of 0.12 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 41.42 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 21.28 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for OKE.

Oneok Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
82
Outperform
$44.59B13.0317.14%5.61%58.76%13.74%
81
Outperform
$53.11B11.0734.35%7.31%5.19%11.09%
76
Outperform
$72.66B30.7819.00%3.35%11.48%-17.82%
74
Outperform
$38.19B23.9261.18%2.03%7.79%33.93%
73
Outperform
$68.64B12.0119.98%6.72%-6.46%-0.87%
68
Neutral
$59.67B21.998.87%4.27%8.54%7.22%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
OKE
Oneok
70.72
-25.94
-26.84%
EPD
Enterprise Products Partners
31.70
1.65
5.49%
KMI
Kinder Morgan
27.00
0.03
0.11%
TRGP
Targa Resources
174.55
-14.56
-7.70%
WMB
Williams Co
60.39
6.73
12.54%
MPLX
MPLX
52.34
7.61
17.01%

Oneok Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
ONEOK Reports Strong Q3 2025 Earnings Growth
Positive
Oct 28, 2025

On October 28, 2025, ONEOK, Inc. reported higher earnings for the third quarter of 2025 compared to the same period in 2024, with net income reaching $940 million and adjusted EBITDA at $2.12 billion. The company highlighted a 17% increase in Rocky Mountain region NGL raw feed throughput volumes and a 6% rise in the Mid-Continent region. The results were driven by the successful integration of acquisitions and increased production across its operational basins, positioning ONEOK for long-term value creation for stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (OKE) stock is a Buy with a $82.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Oneok stock, see the OKE Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025