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Williams Co (WMB)
NYSE:WMB
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Williams Co (WMB) AI Stock Analysis

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WMB

Williams Co

(NYSE:WMB)

Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
$64.00
â–²(11.61% Upside)
Williams Co's overall stock score is driven by strong earnings call performance and solid financial metrics, despite high leverage and declining free cash flow. The lack of technical analysis data and a high P/E ratio slightly dampen the score. The company's strategic project completions and increased guidance provide a positive outlook.
Positive Factors
Growth Prospects
WMB is projected to grow its EBITDA at an 11% compound annual growth rate over the next three years, significantly outperforming industry guidance and consensus.
Project Developments
The Northeast Supply Enhancement project is expected to be completed earlier than anticipated, with potential cost savings of $150 million improving its economics.
Tax Benefits
The restoration of 100% bonus depreciation significantly reduces WMB's cash tax burden, with cash taxes expected to remain below $200 million through 2030.
Negative Factors
Market Reaction
The stock lagged peers following its print despite a solid earnings result, potentially due to lack of incremental pre-FID projects beyond what was expected.
Project Backlog
Currently only has enough in backlog to hit 5.5% EBITDA growth, and thus needs to add ~$3B of capex into the backlog relatively soon.

Williams Co (WMB) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Williams Co Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionWilliams Co (WMB) is a leading energy infrastructure company primarily engaged in the transportation and processing of natural gas, natural gas liquids, and other energy-related products. Operating mainly in the United States, WMB specializes in the development and management of pipeline systems and related facilities, serving a diverse range of customers across the energy sector. The company's core services include gathering, processing, and transporting natural gas, with a strong focus on sustainability and efficiency in its operations.
How the Company Makes MoneyWilliams Co generates revenue primarily through the transportation and processing of natural gas and natural gas liquids. The company operates an extensive network of pipelines that facilitate the movement of these energy products from production sites to various markets. Key revenue streams include fees charged for the transportation of natural gas, which are typically based on the volume transported and the distance covered. Additionally, WMB earns revenue from processing natural gas to separate valuable byproducts, such as ethane and propane, which are sold to various industrial customers. Significant partnerships with major energy producers and utilities enhance the company's earnings potential, as they secure long-term contracts and commitments for pipeline capacity, providing a stable cash flow. Furthermore, the company's strategic investments in infrastructure projects and its ability to adapt to market dynamics contribute to its overall financial performance.

Williams Co Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jun 30, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -8.71%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 03, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong performance across key projects and financial metrics, including record natural gas demand and increased guidance for 2025. While there are challenges such as steel tariffs and rate case negotiations, the positive developments and strategic focus support a strong growth outlook.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-Breaking Natural Gas Demand
Williams set an all-time record for summer natural gas demand on Transco, delivering 16.1 Bcf on July 29, 2025. Notably, 9 of the 10 highest peak summer days occurred this summer, despite it being 4.2% cooler than last year.
Major Project Milestones Achieved
Six major projects were placed into service, including the Transco Southeast Energy Connector in Alabama and the Texas to Louisiana Energy Pathway project, enhancing the company's infrastructure and capacity.
Adjusted EBITDA Guidance Increase
Williams increased its 2025 adjusted EBITDA guidance midpoint by $50 million to $7.75 billion, representing a 9% annual growth rate from 2020 to 2025.
Successful Leadership Transition
Rob Wingo was successfully integrated into the leadership team, maintaining a smooth transition and continued strategic focus.
Strong Financial Performance
Adjusted EBITDA for Q2 2025 was up 8% over Q2 2024, with significant contributions from the transmission and Gulf business, Northeast G&P, and the West.
Negative Updates
Impact of Steel Tariffs
Steel tariffs could impact project costs by 1% to 3%, though Williams is managing this within contingencies.
Challenges with Transco Rate Case
The Transco rate case settlement negotiations are ongoing, and a modernization tracker is unlikely to be included.
Company Guidance
During The Williams Companies' second quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided updated guidance, raising its 2025 adjusted EBITDA guidance midpoint by $50 million to $7.75 billion, reflecting a cumulative $350 million increase since the original guidance was set in 2024. This adjustment underscores a projected 9% annual growth rate in EBITDA from 2020 through 2025. The company highlighted several projects contributing to this growth, including the completion of six major projects such as Transco's Southeast Energy Connector and the Texas to Louisiana Energy Pathway. The Louisiana Energy Gateway and Haynesville West projects also came online, enhancing reliability and delivery capacity. Additionally, the company is advancing the Transco Southeast Supply Enhancement (SSE) project, which is expected to be the largest earnings contributor in the company's history. Williams is also working on the Socrate's power innovation project, with expectations to bring it into service by 2026. Furthermore, the company finalized commercial agreements for Transco's Northeast Supply Enhancement project, marking a significant step toward increasing energy reliability and affordability in New York City.

Williams Co Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Williams Co exhibits strong revenue growth and profitability, with efficient cost management reflected in high gross and EBIT margins. However, the high debt-to-equity ratio indicates significant leverage, which could pose financial risks. Cash flow metrics show a decline in free cash flow, highlighting the need for careful cash management. Overall, the company is performing well but should focus on reducing leverage and improving cash flow stability.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Williams Co has demonstrated consistent revenue growth, with a TTM revenue growth rate of 2.9%. The gross profit margin remains strong at 75.1%, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin has slightly decreased to 21.6% from the previous year. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are robust, reflecting strong operational performance, though there is a slight decline in margins compared to previous periods.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio is relatively high at 2.30, indicating significant leverage, which could pose risks if not managed properly. Return on equity is healthy at 19.5%, showing effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio stands at 22.1%, suggesting a balanced asset structure but with room for improvement in reducing leverage.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Operating cash flow remains strong, but the free cash flow has decreased by 10.6% in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.89, indicating good cash generation relative to net income. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio has declined to 0.35, suggesting potential challenges in maintaining free cash flow levels.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue11.21B10.50B10.91B10.96B10.63B7.72B
Gross Profit5.99B6.17B6.80B5.50B4.75B4.38B
EBITDA6.97B6.57B7.71B5.70B5.09B3.17B
Net Income2.43B2.23B3.18B2.05B1.52B211.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets56.14B54.53B52.63B48.43B47.61B44.16B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments903.00M60.00M2.15B152.00M1.68B142.00M
Total Debt28.57B26.94B26.46B22.90B23.68B22.34B
Total Liabilities41.34B39.69B37.74B34.39B33.51B29.58B
Stockholders Equity12.44B12.44B12.40B11.48B11.42B11.77B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.88B2.40B3.37B2.61B2.70B2.22B
Operating Cash Flow5.34B4.97B5.94B4.89B3.94B3.50B
Investing Cash Flow-4.02B-4.86B-3.89B-3.38B-1.47B-1.56B
Financing Cash Flow-473.00M-2.20B-49.00M-3.04B-942.00M-2.08B

Williams Co Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price57.34
Price Trends
50DMA
59.07
Negative
100DMA
58.63
Negative
200DMA
56.85
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.30
Positive
RSI
41.33
Neutral
STOCH
18.67
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For WMB, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 57.34 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 58.46, below the 50-day MA of 59.07, and above the 200-day MA of 56.85, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.30 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 41.33 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 18.67 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for WMB.

Williams Co Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$50.80B11.8331.38%7.63%4.67%2.07%
79
Outperform
$67.86B11.7120.43%6.70%-0.55%2.14%
75
Outperform
$59.69B13.4213.73%7.51%-3.65%9.69%
73
Outperform
$46.63B14.4416.05%5.45%47.00%11.86%
70
Outperform
$59.66B22.038.86%4.32%3.95%11.32%
68
Neutral
$70.54B29.1419.64%3.40%10.57%-14.22%
65
Neutral
$14.84B8.642.77%5.45%4.51%-62.52%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
WMB
Williams Co
57.34
14.79
34.76%
ET
Energy Transfer
17.38
2.22
14.64%
EPD
Enterprise Products Partners
31.92
4.69
17.22%
KMI
Kinder Morgan
26.85
6.67
33.05%
OKE
Oneok
74.80
-8.72
-10.44%
MPLX
MPLX
50.16
10.92
27.83%

Williams Co Corporate Events

Private Placements and Financing
Williams Co Announces $1.5 Billion Senior Notes Offering
Neutral
Jun 30, 2025

On June 26, 2025, Williams Co announced the pricing of a $1.5 billion public offering of senior notes, with $750 million due in 2030 and another $750 million due in 2035. The proceeds from this offering are intended to repay near-term debt maturities and support general corporate purposes, potentially impacting the company’s financial stability and market position.

The most recent analyst rating on (WMB) stock is a Buy with a $62.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Williams Co stock, see the WMB Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 07, 2025