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Williams Companies (WMB)
NYSE:WMB
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Williams Co (WMB) AI Stock Analysis

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WMB

Williams Co

(NYSE:WMB)

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Outperform 70 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
$87.00
â–²(22.28% Upside)
Action:Upgraded
Date:05/21/26
The score is driven primarily by strong technical momentum and solid underlying profitability/returns, supported by a constructive earnings outlook. It is tempered by weaker free-cash-flow conversion, elevated leverage (and expected leverage pressure tied to higher growth CapEx), and a valuation that is not particularly cheap for the dividend yield.
Positive Factors
High profitability and margins
Sustained high margins and ROE reflect durable fee-based earnings from pipeline, storage and processing assets. Strong operating profitability supports internal funding for maintenance, dividends and growth projects and provides a buffer through industry cycles over the next several years.
Negative Factors
Elevated leverage trajectory
Rising leverage to ~4.1x (near-term) and historically elevated debt versus equity constrains financial flexibility, increases interest and refinancing exposure, and may require asset sales or partner financing, making growth funding more execution-dependent over the medium term.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
High profitability and margins
Sustained high margins and ROE reflect durable fee-based earnings from pipeline, storage and processing assets. Strong operating profitability supports internal funding for maintenance, dividends and growth projects and provides a buffer through industry cycles over the next several years.
Read all positive factors

Williams Co Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Type
Revenue by Type
Chart Insights
Data provided by:The Fly

Williams Co (WMB) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Williams Co Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
The Williams Companies, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an energy infrastructure company primarily in the United States. It operates through Transmission & Gulf of Mexico, Northeast G&P, West, and Gas & NGL Marketing Services seg...
How the Company Makes Money
WMB primarily makes money by charging fees for midstream natural gas services under contracts with producers, utilities, power generators, LNG exporters, marketers, and other shippers. Its key revenue streams typically include: (1) Transmission & ...

Williams Co Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 04, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 10, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed strong operational and commercial momentum—record Q1 adjusted EBITDA ($2.25B, +13%) and EPS (+22%), multiple large project wins (Neo, Atlas, Silver Spur), robust backlog and clear execution milestones—supporting the company’s long-term growth targets. Near-term risks include raised growth CapEx ($7.3B midpoint) that pushed leverage to ~4.1x, a seasonal Q2 EBITDA dip, permitting and litigation risks on certain projects, and the need to finalize financing partners or other capital solutions. Overall, the positives (record results, project commercialization, expanding backlog and confirmed long-term growth trajectory) materially outweigh the near-term financing and execution risks.
Positive Updates
Record Q1 Adjusted EBITDA and EPS Growth
Reported record adjusted EBITDA of $2.25 billion in Q1 2026, up 13% year-over-year (from $1.99 billion in Q1 2025). Adjusted earnings per share increased 22% year-over-year.
Negative Updates
Near-Term Leverage Pressure
Growth CapEx midpoint for 2026 increased to $7.3 billion, pushing leverage modestly above the company's target range to ~4.1x (target range 3.5x–4.0x). Management characterized this as a timing issue primarily for 2026–2027 before expected earnings growth in 2028+.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Record Q1 Adjusted EBITDA and EPS Growth
Reported record adjusted EBITDA of $2.25 billion in Q1 2026, up 13% year-over-year (from $1.99 billion in Q1 2025). Adjusted earnings per share increased 22% year-over-year.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
On the call, management said the company is now guiding to the upper half of its original 2026 adjusted EBITDA range after a record Q1 (adjusted EBITDA $2.25 billion, +13% YoY from $1.99 billion; adjusted EPS +22%), but expects seasonally lower EBITDA in 2Q before sequential growth in H2 including partial Socrates startup beginning in 3Q; they raised 2026 growth CapEx midpoint to $7.3 billion (driven in part by Neo), noted leverage will move modestly above the 3.5–4.0x target to about 4.1x in 2026–27 (with historic earnings growth expected to delever in 2028+), and said financing plans (including partner equity, asset sales or other options) will be firmed up over the next couple months; other published metrics cited on the call included Transmission & Gulf contributing roughly +$150 million (~17%), Transco +10%, Deepwater Gulf >60%, storage +35%, Northeast G&P +$10 million (2%), West +$56 million (~16%), Sequent adjusted EBITDA $227 million (with a $72 million increase including ~$15 million from Cogentrix), exclusion of a ~$180 million book gain on the Haynesville divestiture, ~700 MMcf/d of G&P expansions sanctioned in Q1, and new/project-specific metrics — Neo: 682 MW, 12.5-year contract, ~5x build multiple, ~ $2.3 billion investment, in‑service H2 2028; Atlas: up to 164 MMcf/d, 13‑year term, in‑service by YE26, ~<$50M CapEx; Silver Spur: 275 MMcf/d, 90‑mile pipeline, targeted early 2030 in‑service; and Transco Power Express upsized to 750 MMcf/d (online 2030) — all of which management says support their 2025–30 target of 10%+ EBITDA/EPS CAGR (the current contracted book now supporting roughly 9%).

Williams Co Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong profitability and returns (TTM net margin ~24%, operating margin ~42%, ROE ~22%) support the score, but it is held back by elevated leverage (~2.3x debt-to-equity) and weaker cash conversion (TTM FCF ~$0.7B, ~12% of net income, down ~20%) alongside a recent revenue decline (~15% TTM).
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
62
Positive
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue11.92B11.95B10.50B10.91B10.96B10.63B
Gross Profit7.49B5.12B6.17B6.80B5.50B4.75B
EBITDA7.09B7.41B6.57B7.71B5.70B5.09B
Net Income2.84B2.62B2.23B3.18B2.05B1.52B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets59.57B58.57B54.53B52.63B48.43B47.61B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments950.00M63.00M60.00M2.15B152.00M1.68B
Total Debt30.30B29.36B27.08B26.46B22.90B23.68B
Total Liabilities44.41B43.58B39.69B37.74B34.39B33.51B
Stockholders Equity12.99B12.81B12.44B12.40B11.48B11.42B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow722.00M1.00B2.40B3.37B2.61B2.70B
Operating Cash Flow6.07B5.90B4.97B5.94B4.89B3.94B
Investing Cash Flow-5.19B-5.45B-4.86B-3.89B-3.38B-1.47B
Financing Cash Flow-29.00M-442.00M-2.20B-49.00M-3.04B-942.00M

Williams Co Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price71.15
Price Trends
50DMA
73.77
Negative
100DMA
71.06
Positive
200DMA
65.02
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.29
Positive
RSI
38.27
Neutral
STOCH
1.95
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For WMB, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 71.15 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 75.60, below the 50-day MA of 73.77, and above the 200-day MA of 65.02, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.29 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 38.27 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 1.95 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for WMB.

Williams Co Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$66.52B13.8313.97%8.04%12.46%-10.48%
73
Outperform
$81.13B13.6620.04%6.72%-9.49%1.01%
73
Outperform
$56.31B11.8333.27%7.31%3.18%6.43%
72
Outperform
$70.99B20.8610.69%4.27%12.38%28.17%
70
Outperform
$89.44B30.7522.37%3.35%9.99%22.02%
69
Neutral
$48.11B32.0923.48%1.07%24.15%-55.07%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
WMB
Williams Co
71.39
12.80
21.85%
LNG
Cheniere Energy
224.86
-9.83
-4.19%
ET
Energy Transfer
19.17
2.95
18.15%
EPD
Enterprise Products Partners
36.79
7.92
27.44%
KMI
Kinder Morgan
31.08
4.15
15.43%
MPLX
MPLX
54.65
7.50
15.92%

Williams Co Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Williams Co Expands Credit Facilities to Boost Liquidity
Positive
May 20, 2026
On May 19, 2026 The Williams Companies, Inc., together with subsidiaries Northwest Pipeline and Transcontinental Gas Pipe Line, entered into a Second Amended and Restated Credit Agreement providing a syndicated revolving facility of up to $3.75 bi...
Business Operations and StrategyShareholder Meetings
Williams Co shareholders approve expanded equity compensation plans
Positive
May 4, 2026
At its 2026 Annual Meeting of Stockholders held on April 28, 2026, The Williams Companies, Inc. secured shareholder approval for a wide-ranging overhaul of its 2007 Incentive Plan, expanding the pool of issuable shares from 50 million to 85 millio...
Executive/Board Changes
Williams Co Chairman Resigns for Senate; New Chair Appointed
Neutral
Mar 26, 2026
On March 23, 2026, longtime director and Executive Board Chair Alan S. Armstrong resigned from Williams&#8217; board to assume an appointment by Oklahoma Governor Kevin Stitt as a U.S. Senator, filling the seat previously held by Markwayne Mullin,...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 21, 2026