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Williams Co (WMB)
NYSE:WMB
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Williams Co (WMB) AI Stock Analysis

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WMB

Williams Co

(NYSE:WMB)

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Neutral 68 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
$64.00
▲(10.46% Upside)
Williams Co's overall stock score is driven by strong earnings call performance and strategic growth initiatives, despite high leverage and cash flow challenges. Technical indicators suggest weak market momentum, and the stock appears overvalued, but the dividend yield provides some investor appeal.
Positive Factors
Strategic Partnerships
The partnership with Woodside Energy for a major pipeline and LNG terminal enhances Williams Co's market position and growth potential, securing long-term revenue streams.
EBITDA Growth
The significant increase in adjusted EBITDA indicates strong operational performance and the ability to generate higher earnings, supporting long-term financial health.
Pipeline Capacity Expansion
Increasing pipeline capacity strengthens Williams Co's infrastructure, enhancing its ability to meet growing demand and secure stable cash flows.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
Significant leverage poses risks in volatile markets, potentially straining financial flexibility and impacting long-term stability.
Declining Free Cash Flow
The decline in free cash flow raises concerns about cash generation efficiency, which could affect the company's ability to fund growth initiatives.
Cost Inflation
Rising costs in Power Innovation projects could impact project economics and profitability, challenging Williams Co's margin sustainability.

Williams Co (WMB) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Williams Co Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionThe Williams Companies, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an energy infrastructure company primarily in the United States. It operates through Transmission & Gulf of Mexico, Northeast G&P, West, and Gas & NGL Marketing Services segments. The Transmission & Gulf of Mexico segment comprises Transco and Northwest natural gas pipelines; and natural gas gathering and processing, and crude oil production handling and transportation assets in the Gulf Coast region, as well as various petrochemical and feedstock pipelines. The Northeast G&P segment engages in the midstream gathering, processing, and fractionation activities in the Marcellus Shale region primarily in Pennsylvania and New York, and the Utica Shale region of eastern Ohio. The West segment comprises gas gathering, processing, and treating operations in the Rocky Mountain region of Colorado and Wyoming, the Barnett Shale region of north-central Texas, the Eagle Ford Shale region of South Texas, the Haynesville Shale region of northwest Louisiana, and the Mid-Continent region, which includes the Anadarko, Arkoma, and Permian basins; and operates natural gas liquid (NGL) fractionation and storage facilities in central Kansas near Conway. The Gas & NGL Marketing Services segment provides wholesale marketing, trading, storage, and transportation of natural gas for natural gas utilities, municipalities, power generators, and producers; risk and asset management; and NGL marketing services. The company owns and operates 30,000 miles of pipelines, 29 processing facilities, 7 fractionation facilities, and approximately 23 million barrels of NGL storage capacity. The Williams Companies, Inc. was founded in 1908 and is headquartered in Tulsa, Oklahoma.
How the Company Makes MoneyWilliams Co generates revenue primarily through the transportation and processing of natural gas and natural gas liquids. The company operates an extensive network of pipelines that facilitate the movement of these energy products from production sites to various markets. Key revenue streams include fees charged for the transportation of natural gas, which are typically based on the volume transported and the distance covered. Additionally, WMB earns revenue from processing natural gas to separate valuable byproducts, such as ethane and propane, which are sold to various industrial customers. Significant partnerships with major energy producers and utilities enhance the company's earnings potential, as they secure long-term contracts and commitments for pipeline capacity, providing a stable cash flow. Furthermore, the company's strategic investments in infrastructure projects and its ability to adapt to market dynamics contribute to its overall financial performance.

Williams Co Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Sep 30, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 23, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong and strategic quarter for Williams, marked by significant growth in adjusted EBITDA, strategic partnerships, and expansion in the Power Innovation sector. Despite some challenges in the Northeast and cost inflation in Power Innovation, the company's forward-looking financial guidance and strategic asset divestitures position it well for future growth.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-Breaking Adjusted EBITDA Performance
Adjusted EBITDA for Q3 2025 was $1.92 billion, marking a 13% increase compared to the previous year. The Transmission, Power & Gulf business segment alone set an all-time record with a 14% increase.
Strategic LNG Partnership and Asset Divestiture
Williams announced the sale of its interest in the Haynesville upstream asset to JERA for $398 million, alongside a strategic partnership with Woodside Energy to build and operate a 3.1 Bcf a day pipeline.
Power Innovation Business Expansion
Williams plans to invest approximately $3.1 billion in two additional projects, raising total Power Innovation committed capital to about $5.1 billion, backed by 10-year agreements.
Significant Increase in Gulf Gathering Volumes
Gulf gathering volumes were up over 36% compared to the previous year, with NGL production increasing by about 78%.
Continued Strong Financial Guidance
Williams is on track to meet or exceed its 2025 adjusted EBITDA guidance with a midpoint of $7.75 billion, reflecting 9% growth over 2024.
Negative Updates
Challenges in the Northeast
The Northeast segment faced pricing challenges during shoulder and summer months, leading to mixed growth across different gathering and processing facilities.
Step Down in Eagle Ford Volumes
The West segment was negatively impacted by a step down in minimum volume commitments at Eagle Ford.
Cost Inflation in Power Innovation Projects
Williams has experienced cost inflation in its supply chains for Power Innovation projects, impacting overall project economics.
Company Guidance
During The Williams Companies' Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, substantial guidance was provided on the company's future projects and financial outlook. Williams highlighted the completion of key transmission projects, such as the Northwest Pipeline's Stanfield South and Transco's Alabama, Georgia Connector, which increased pipeline capacity by nearly 200,000 dekatherms per day. The company also announced new projects, like the Wharton West expansion and a strategic LNG partnership with Woodside Energy, involving a $1.9 billion investment in a 3.1 Bcf a day pipeline and LNG terminal. Financially, Williams reported a 13% increase in adjusted EBITDA to $1.92 billion for Q3 2025, compared to the previous year, and maintained its 2025 adjusted EBITDA guidance at $7.75 billion, projecting a 9% growth over 2024. The company also plans to invest $3.95 billion to $4.25 billion in growth capital expenditures for 2025 and expects to maintain a leverage ratio of approximately 3.7x. Williams aims for a 5-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 9% for adjusted EBITDA and 14% for EPS, with significant capital investments anticipated through 2027.

Williams Co Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Williams Co shows strong profitability and efficient equity utilization, but faces challenges with high leverage and declining free cash flow. The company remains stable with consistent revenue growth, yet needs to address cost pressures and improve cash flow conversion to sustain long-term financial health.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Williams Co demonstrates strong profitability with a consistent EBIT margin of over 40% and a net profit margin exceeding 21% in the TTM period. Revenue growth is modest at 2.41% TTM, indicating stable operations. However, the slight decline in gross profit margin from previous years suggests some pressure on cost management.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company maintains a high debt-to-equity ratio of 2.30, indicating significant leverage, which could pose risks in volatile market conditions. However, a return on equity of 19.51% TTM reflects efficient use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio remains stable, suggesting a balanced asset structure.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Operating cash flow remains robust, but free cash flow has decreased by 4.05% TTM, raising concerns about cash generation efficiency. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy at 0.89, but the free cash flow to net income ratio has declined, indicating potential challenges in converting earnings to cash.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue11.48B10.50B10.91B10.96B10.63B7.72B
Gross Profit6.88B6.17B6.80B5.50B4.75B4.38B
EBITDA6.97B6.57B7.71B5.70B5.09B3.17B
Net Income2.37B2.23B3.18B2.05B1.52B211.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets55.74B54.53B52.63B48.43B47.61B44.16B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments70.00M60.00M2.15B152.00M1.68B142.00M
Total Debt27.99B27.08B26.46B22.90B23.68B22.34B
Total Liabilities40.88B39.69B37.74B34.39B33.51B29.58B
Stockholders Equity12.52B12.44B12.40B11.48B11.42B11.77B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.80B2.40B3.37B2.61B2.70B2.22B
Operating Cash Flow5.54B4.97B5.94B4.89B3.94B3.50B
Investing Cash Flow-4.27B-4.86B-3.89B-3.38B-1.47B-1.56B
Financing Cash Flow-1.96B-2.20B-49.00M-3.04B-942.00M-2.08B

Williams Co Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price57.94
Price Trends
50DMA
60.25
Negative
100DMA
59.20
Negative
200DMA
58.04
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.11
Positive
RSI
41.92
Neutral
STOCH
35.05
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For WMB, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 57.94 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 59.96, below the 50-day MA of 60.25, and below the 200-day MA of 58.04, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.11 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 41.92 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 35.05 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for WMB.

Williams Co Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$52.07B10.8534.35%7.66%5.19%11.09%
75
Outperform
$65.43B11.446.97%-6.41%
69
Neutral
$56.81B12.7712.91%7.79%-4.67%-8.06%
68
Neutral
$69.01B29.2419.00%3.43%11.48%-17.82%
68
Neutral
$57.49B21.188.87%4.46%8.54%7.22%
67
Neutral
$44.50B11.5067.52%0.99%17.12%14.58%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
WMB
Williams Co
57.94
4.38
8.18%
LNG
Cheniere Energy
208.03
7.85
3.92%
ET
Energy Transfer
16.87
0.68
4.20%
EPD
Enterprise Products Partners
30.97
2.72
9.63%
KMI
Kinder Morgan
26.12
0.82
3.24%
MPLX
MPLX
51.53
7.98
18.32%

Williams Co Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Williams Co Announces $3.1 Billion Power Investment
Positive
Oct 1, 2025

On September 30, 2025, Williams Co announced a $3.1 billion investment in two new power innovation projects, with completion expected by the first half of 2027. These projects, supported by 10-year fixed-price agreements, increase the company’s total committed capital for power innovation to $5 billion and raise its 2025 growth capex by $875 million, impacting its leverage ratio midpoint to 3.7x.

The most recent analyst rating on (WMB) stock is a Buy with a $70.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Williams Co stock, see the WMB Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 05, 2025