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Williams Co (WMB)
NYSE:WMB

Williams Co (WMB) AI Stock Analysis

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WMB

Williams Co

(NYSE:WMB)

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Neutral 67 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
$80.00
â–²(11.83% Upside)
Action:DowngradedDate:03/12/26
The score is driven by strong technical momentum and steady profitability, offset by elevated leverage and weaker 2025 free cash flow conversion. Valuation is on the expensive side for the current fundamentals, while the recent refinancing event modestly supports near-term balance-sheet flexibility.
Positive Factors
Fee-based, contract-backed revenues
Williams' core revenue streams are fee-based and supported by firm transportation and long-term contracts across pipelines, gathering, processing and storage. That contract structure provides durable, predictable cash flows and downside protection for 2–6 months and beyond versus commodity-only businesses.
Negative Factors
Elevated leverage
Net leverage at multi-year highs reduces financial flexibility and increases vulnerability to interest-rate moves or volume shocks. High debt burdens constrain capacity to absorb operational setbacks, limit strategic optionality, and heighten refinancing and covenant risk over the coming months.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Fee-based, contract-backed revenues
Williams' core revenue streams are fee-based and supported by firm transportation and long-term contracts across pipelines, gathering, processing and storage. That contract structure provides durable, predictable cash flows and downside protection for 2–6 months and beyond versus commodity-only businesses.
Read all positive factors

Williams Co (WMB) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Williams Co Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
The Williams Companies, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an energy infrastructure company primarily in the United States. It operates through Transmission & Gulf of Mexico, Northeast G&P, West, and Gas & NGL Marketing Services seg...
How the Company Makes Money
WMB primarily makes money by charging fees for midstream natural gas services under contracts with producers, utilities, power generators, LNG exporters, marketers, and other shippers. Its key revenue streams typically include: (1) Transmission & ...

Williams Co Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Sep 30, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong and strategic quarter for Williams, marked by significant growth in adjusted EBITDA, strategic partnerships, and expansion in the Power Innovation sector. Despite some challenges in the Northeast and cost inflation in Power Innovation, the company's forward-looking financial guidance and strategic asset divestitures position it well for future growth.
Positive Updates
Record-Breaking Adjusted EBITDA Performance
Adjusted EBITDA for Q3 2025 was $1.92 billion, marking a 13% increase compared to the previous year. The Transmission, Power & Gulf business segment alone set an all-time record with a 14% increase.
Negative Updates
Challenges in the Northeast
The Northeast segment faced pricing challenges during shoulder and summer months, leading to mixed growth across different gathering and processing facilities.
Read all updates
Q3-2025 Updates
Negative
Record-Breaking Adjusted EBITDA Performance
Adjusted EBITDA for Q3 2025 was $1.92 billion, marking a 13% increase compared to the previous year. The Transmission, Power & Gulf business segment alone set an all-time record with a 14% increase.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
During The Williams Companies' Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, substantial guidance was provided on the company's future projects and financial outlook. Williams highlighted the completion of key transmission projects, such as the Northwest Pipeline's Stanfield South and Transco's Alabama, Georgia Connector, which increased pipeline capacity by nearly 200,000 dekatherms per day. The company also announced new projects, like the Wharton West expansion and a strategic LNG partnership with Woodside Energy, involving a $1.9 billion investment in a 3.1 Bcf a day pipeline and LNG terminal. Financially, Williams reported a 13% increase in adjusted EBITDA to $1.92 billion for Q3 2025, compared to the previous year, and maintained its 2025 adjusted EBITDA guidance at $7.75 billion, projecting a 9% growth over 2024. The company also plans to invest $3.95 billion to $4.25 billion in growth capital expenditures for 2025 and expects to maintain a leverage ratio of approximately 3.7x. Williams aims for a 5-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 9% for adjusted EBITDA and 14% for EPS, with significant capital investments anticipated through 2027.

Williams Co Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Profitability and revenue are solid with a return to growth in 2025, but the overall quality is held back by elevated leverage and a sharp decline in free cash flow in 2025, which reduces financial flexibility and raises execution risk.
Income Statement
76
Positive
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue11.95B10.50B10.91B10.96B10.63B
Gross Profit5.12B6.17B6.80B5.50B4.75B
EBITDA7.41B6.57B7.71B5.70B5.09B
Net Income2.62B2.23B3.18B2.05B1.52B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets58.57B54.53B52.63B48.43B47.61B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments63.00M60.00M2.15B152.00M1.68B
Total Debt29.36B27.08B26.46B22.90B23.68B
Total Liabilities43.58B39.69B37.74B34.39B33.51B
Stockholders Equity12.81B12.44B12.40B11.48B11.42B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.00B2.40B3.37B2.61B2.70B
Operating Cash Flow5.90B4.97B5.94B4.89B3.94B
Investing Cash Flow-5.45B-4.86B-3.89B-3.38B-1.47B
Financing Cash Flow-442.00M-2.20B-49.00M-3.04B-942.00M

Williams Co Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price71.54
Price Trends
50DMA
72.12
Negative
100DMA
66.21
Positive
200DMA
62.27
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.09
Positive
RSI
44.15
Neutral
STOCH
33.37
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For WMB, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 71.54 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 73.11, below the 50-day MA of 72.12, and above the 200-day MA of 62.27, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.09 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 44.15 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 33.37 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for WMB.

Williams Co Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$55.82B8.0179.10%1.07%17.12%14.58%
77
Outperform
$57.00B11.0734.93%7.31%5.19%11.09%
73
Outperform
$80.74B12.0719.84%6.72%-6.46%-0.87%
70
Outperform
$72.71B20.019.92%4.27%8.54%7.22%
67
Neutral
$88.95B28.0320.84%3.35%11.48%-17.82%
67
Neutral
$66.02B12.2814.09%8.04%-4.67%-8.06%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
WMB
Williams Co
71.54
14.86
26.21%
LNG
Cheniere Energy
261.60
36.81
16.37%
ET
Energy Transfer
18.85
3.00
18.93%
EPD
Enterprise Products Partners
37.42
8.54
29.58%
KMI
Kinder Morgan
32.07
5.98
22.90%
MPLX
MPLX
56.07
9.73
21.00%

Williams Co Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Williams Co Prices $2.75 Billion Senior Notes Offering
Positive
Jan 8, 2026
On January 5, 2026, Williams priced a $2.75 billion public offering of senior notes, comprising $500 million of additional 5.650% notes due 2033, $1.25 billion of 5.150% notes due 2036 and $1 billion of 5.950% notes due 2056, with settlement expec...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 12, 2026