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XLK - ETF AI Analysis

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XLK

Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLK)

Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
XLK, the Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund, earns a solid overall rating largely because its biggest holdings—Microsoft, Apple, and Nvidia—combine strong financial performance with powerful growth drivers in cloud, AI, and consumer technology. Additional contributors like Broadcom, Micron, Cisco, and Lam Research further support the fund through their roles in AI, semiconductors, and networking, though some names such as Oracle and Palantir face risks from high valuations, leverage, or bearish technical trends. The main risk for XLK is its heavy concentration in a single sector—technology—where many holdings trade at premium valuations, which can increase volatility if growth expectations falter.
Positive Factors
Large, Established Fund
The ETF manages a very large pool of assets, which can support liquidity and tighter trading spreads for investors.
Low Expense Ratio
The fund charges a relatively low fee, so less of your potential return is lost to ongoing costs.
Exposure to Leading Tech Names
The portfolio is built around major technology companies, including several with strong recent gains that can help support overall performance.
Negative Factors
Recent Weak Performance
The ETF has shown weak returns over the past month, three months, and year to date, which may concern investors looking for near-term momentum.
High Concentration in a Few Stocks
A small number of large holdings like Nvidia, Apple, and Microsoft make up a big share of the fund, increasing the impact if any of them struggle.
Narrow Sector and Geographic Focus
Almost all of the fund is invested in U.S. technology and related companies, which limits diversification across other sectors and regions.

XLK vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

XLK Summary

XLK is an ETF that follows the S&P Technology Select Sector Index, giving you a simple way to invest in major U.S. technology companies in one fund. It mainly holds big, well-known names like Apple, Microsoft, and Nvidia, along with other leading chip, software, and hardware firms. Someone might invest in XLK if they believe the tech sector will keep growing and want an easy, diversified way to benefit from that trend. A key risk is that it is heavily concentrated in technology stocks, so its price can swing a lot when the tech sector rises or falls.
How much will it cost me?The expense ratio for XLK is 0.08%, which means you’ll pay $0.80 per year for every $1,000 invested. This is lower than average because XLK is passively managed, tracking the performance of the Technology Select Sector Index rather than relying on active stock picking.
What would affect this ETF?The XLK ETF could benefit from continued innovation in the technology sector, including advancements in artificial intelligence, cloud computing, and digital communication, which are key areas for its top holdings like Nvidia, Microsoft, and Apple. However, rising interest rates or regulatory scrutiny on major tech companies could negatively impact growth and profitability, especially given its heavy U.S. exposure and reliance on a few dominant players. Economic conditions, such as a slowdown in consumer or business spending, may also affect demand for technology products and services.

XLK Top 10 Holdings

XLK is riding on the shoulders of a few U.S. tech giants, with Nvidia, Apple, and Microsoft setting the tone. Nvidia has been relatively steady, its AI story still a key engine, while Apple and Microsoft have been losing a bit of steam lately, acting as mild brakes on the fund. The real spark comes from chip names like Micron, AMD, and Lam Research, which have been rising and giving the ETF a clear semiconductor flavor. Overall, this is a concentrated bet on big U.S. tech and AI-heavy hardware, not a broad global mix.
Name
Company Name
Weight %
Market Value
Market Cap
Yearly Gain
Overall Rating
Nvidia14.91%$13.84B$4.53T57.46%
76
Outperform
Apple11.99%$11.13B$3.75T11.12%
79
Outperform
Microsoft11.33%$10.51B$3.50T8.22%
79
Outperform
Broadcom4.94%$4.59B$1.54T60.71%
76
Outperform
Micron3.83%$3.55B$437.92B327.06%
79
Outperform
Advanced Micro Devices3.61%$3.35B$409.14B118.51%
73
Outperform
Palantir Technologies3.31%$3.07B$399.15B121.99%
74
Outperform
Oracle2.54%$2.36B$524.17B15.26%
66
Neutral
Cisco Systems2.51%$2.33B$304.27B30.35%
77
Outperform
Lam Research2.34%$2.17B$279.93B194.68%
77
Outperform

XLK Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price
Price Trends
50DMA
144.04
Positive
100DMA
142.78
Positive
200DMA
131.40
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.12
Positive
RSI
53.76
Neutral
STOCH
62.75
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in ETF analysis to make informed investment decisions. For XLK, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of undefined is equal to the 20-day moving average (MA) of 145.25, equal to the 50-day MA of 144.04, and equal to the 200-day MA of 131.40, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.12 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 53.76 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 62.75 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for XLK.

XLK Peer Comparison

Comparison Results
Name
Price
Price Target
AUM
Expense Ratio
Overall Rating
$92.72B0.08%
$113.52B0.09%
$55.63B0.08%
$20.81B0.34%
$20.80B0.38%
$16.73B0.08%
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
XLK
Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund
146.08
29.98
25.82%
VGT
Vanguard Information Technology ETF
XLF
Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund
SOXX
iShares Semiconductor ETF
IYW
iShares U.S. Technology ETF
FTEC
Fidelity MSCI Information Technology Index ETF
Glossary
BuyAn ETF rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldAn ETF rated as a "Hold" s expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the ETF is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellAn ETF rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF may deliver lower returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst ETF Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in ETFs carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: ―
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