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Broadcom (AVGO)
NASDAQ:AVGO

Broadcom (AVGO) AI Stock Analysis

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AVGO

Broadcom

(NASDAQ:AVGO)

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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$393.00
▲(18.83% Upside)
Score is driven primarily by strong financial performance (high margins and cash conversion) and upbeat earnings-call outlook led by accelerating AI growth and a large backlog. Offsetting the rating are a stretched valuation (high P/E with low yield) and a mixed/soft technical picture with negative MACD and the stock below its 50-day average.
Positive Factors
Large AI backlog and demand visibility
A $73B, ~18-month AI backlog provides durable multi-quarter revenue visibility, underpinning production planning, capacity allocation and long lead-time customer commitments. This backlog supports sustained cash flow and reduces near-term revenue volatility as AI deployments scale.
High margins and strong cash conversion
Very high gross and net margins combined with almost 1:1 free cash flow to net income indicate durable profitability and exceptional cash generation. This funds R&D, dividends and M&A, providing financial flexibility and resilience through technology cycles.
Scale and recurring infrastructure software revenue
Large, fast-growing infrastructure software revenues (licensing/subscriptions) deliver recurring, higher-margin cash flows that diversify cyclicality of chip sales. Scale in software enhances cross-sell, sticky customer relationships, and predictable long-term revenue streams.
Negative Factors
Non-AI semiconductor revenue stagnation
Flat non-AI semiconductor sales indicate concentration risk on AI demand. If AI growth decelerates, the lack of growth in legacy products could expose overall revenue to cyclicality, limiting diversification and increasing reliance on a single end-market for sustained growth.
Gross margin pressure from AI system and product mix
A structural shift toward lower-margin AI system sales versus standalone chips can compress company-wide gross margins even as revenue rises. Persistent mix-driven margin erosion would reduce free cash flow margins and constrain reinvestment or shareholder returns over time.
Elevated leverage and refinancing activity
A meaningful debt-to-equity ratio coupled with recent large note issuance/refinancing raises refinancing and interest-rate exposure. Elevated leverage limits strategic flexibility and increases risk if cash generation weakens or if credit conditions tighten over the medium term.

Broadcom (AVGO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Broadcom Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBroadcom, Inc. is a global technology company, which designs, develops and supplies semiconductor and infrastructure software solutions. The company is headquartered in San Jose, California and currently employs 19,000 full-time employees. The firm operates through four segments: Wired Infrastructure, Wireless Communications, Enterprise Storage, and Industrial & Other. The company offers a range of products that are used in end-products, such as enterprise and data center networking, home connectivity, set-top boxes, telecommunication equipment, smartphones, data center servers and storage systems, factory automation, power generation and alternative energy systems, and electronic displays. Its product portfolio ranges from discrete devices to complex sub-systems that include multiple device types, and also includes firmware for interfacing between analog and digital systems. Its products include mechanical hardware that interfaces with optoelectronic or capacitive sensors.
How the Company Makes MoneyBroadcom generates revenue primarily through the sale of semiconductor products, which account for the majority of its income. The company sells a wide array of chips used in various applications, including wireless communication, data center networking, and broadband access. Additionally, Broadcom's Infrastructure Software segment contributes significantly to its revenue through licensing and subscription fees for software solutions. The company also engages in strategic partnerships and acquisitions to enhance its product offerings and market reach, which further contributes to its earnings. Notably, Broadcom's relationships with major technology companies and manufacturers enable it to secure long-term contracts and maintain a steady revenue stream.

Broadcom Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Analyzes revenue across different business units, highlighting which segments drive growth and profitability, and indicating strategic focus areas.
Chart InsightsBroadcom's Semiconductor Solutions segment is experiencing significant growth, driven by a surge in AI semiconductor demand, which contributed to a 26% revenue increase. The Infrastructure Software segment also shows robust growth, with a 17% year-over-year increase, supported by strong VMware performance. Despite challenges in the non-AI semiconductor market, the company's record backlog and strategic focus on AI position it for continued expansion. The upcoming quarter is expected to see further revenue growth, with AI semiconductors playing a pivotal role in Broadcom's strategy.
Data provided by:The Fly

Broadcom Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Dec 11, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Broadcom's earnings call highlighted strong revenue and growth in both AI semiconductors and infrastructure software, driven by strategic orders and customer acquisitions. However, challenges remain with non-AI semiconductor revenue stagnation and increased operating expenses. Gross margins face pressure from an evolving product mix towards lower-margin AI system sales. Despite these challenges, the company's positive growth trajectory and strategic investments contribute to an overall positive sentiment.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-Breaking Revenue and Growth
Fiscal year 2025 consolidated revenue grew 24% year over year to a record $64 billion, with AI semiconductors and VMware as key drivers. AI revenue grew 65% year over year to $20 billion, while infrastructure software revenue grew 26% to $27 billion.
AI Semiconductor Surge
AI semiconductor revenue reached $6.5 billion in Q4, up 74% year on year. The company secured a $11 billion order from Anthropic and acquired a fifth XPU customer with a $1 billion order.
Infrastructure Software Growth
Q4 infrastructure software revenue was $6.9 billion, up 19% year on year, with strong bookings exceeding $10.4 billion in total contract value.
Strong Cash Flow and Dividend Increase
Free cash flow grew 39% year on year to $26.9 billion in fiscal 2025. Broadcom announced a 10% increase in the quarterly common stock cash dividend to $0.65 per share for fiscal 2026.
Negative Updates
Non-AI Semiconductor Revenue Stagnation
Q4 non-AI semiconductor revenue was $4.6 billion, only up 2% year on year and expected to be approximately $4.1 billion in Q1 2026, flat from a year ago.
Operating Expense Increase
Operating expenses increased 16% year on year to $1.1 billion on increased investment in R&D for leading-edge AI semiconductors.
Gross Margin Pressure
Gross margin was slightly down due to AI product mix, with expectations for further pressure from system sales and AI revenue mix going forward.
Company Guidance
During the conference call, Broadcom provided detailed guidance for fiscal 2026, building on a strong fiscal 2025 where consolidated revenue grew 24% year over year to $64 billion. AI semiconductors were a significant driver, with AI revenue increasing 65% to $20 billion. For Q1 fiscal 2026, Broadcom expects consolidated revenue of approximately $19.1 billion, a 28% increase year over year, with AI semiconductor revenue projected to double to $8.2 billion. The company has a substantial AI backlog of $73 billion to be delivered over the next eighteen months, contributing to an anticipated continued acceleration in AI growth. Non-AI semiconductor revenue is forecasted to be approximately $4.1 billion, flat year over year, while infrastructure software revenue is expected to grow at low double-digit percentages, driven by VMware. Broadcom also announced an increase in its quarterly common stock cash dividend to $0.65 per share, reflecting its robust financial position.

Broadcom Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong profitability (TTM gross margin 67.77%, net margin 36.20%) and solid cash generation (operating cash flow to net income 1.49; FCF to net income 97.74%). Balance sheet is healthy overall (ROE 27.01%, equity ratio 47.53%) but leverage remains a notable risk (debt-to-equity 0.80).
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Broadcom's income statement shows strong profitability with a TTM gross profit margin of 67.77% and a net profit margin of 36.20%. The company has demonstrated consistent revenue growth, with a notable 6.61% increase in the TTM period. EBIT and EBITDA margins are robust at 28.24% and 50.07%, respectively, indicating efficient operations. Overall, Broadcom's income statement reflects a healthy financial performance with strong growth and profitability metrics.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet reveals a solid equity position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.80 in the TTM period, showing improved leverage compared to previous years. Return on equity is impressive at 27.01%, indicating effective use of shareholder funds. The equity ratio stands at 47.53%, reflecting a balanced capital structure. While leverage has decreased, the company still maintains a significant level of debt, which could pose risks if not managed carefully.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Broadcom's cash flow statement highlights strong cash generation capabilities, with a TTM free cash flow growth rate of 7.96%. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 1.49, indicating efficient cash conversion. The free cash flow to net income ratio is high at 97.74%, demonstrating the company's ability to generate cash relative to its net income. Overall, the cash flow metrics suggest robust cash management and liquidity.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue63.89B51.57B35.82B33.20B27.45B
Gross Profit43.29B32.51B24.69B22.09B16.84B
EBITDA34.71B23.88B20.55B19.16B14.69B
Net Income23.13B5.89B14.08B11.49B6.74B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets171.09B165.65B72.86B73.25B75.57B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments16.18B9.35B14.19B12.42B12.16B
Total Debt65.14B67.57B39.65B39.98B40.27B
Total Liabilities89.80B97.97B48.87B50.54B50.58B
Stockholders Equity81.29B67.68B23.99B22.71B24.99B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow26.91B19.41B17.63B16.31B13.32B
Operating Cash Flow27.54B19.96B18.09B16.74B13.76B
Investing Cash Flow-580.00M-23.07B-689.00M-667.00M-245.00M
Financing Cash Flow-20.13B-1.73B-15.62B-15.82B-8.97B

Broadcom Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price330.73
Price Trends
50DMA
354.38
Negative
100DMA
351.34
Negative
200DMA
303.73
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-6.73
Positive
RSI
43.70
Neutral
STOCH
44.91
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AVGO, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 330.73 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 338.59, below the 50-day MA of 354.38, and above the 200-day MA of 303.73, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -6.73 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 43.70 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 44.91 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AVGO.

Broadcom Risk Analysis

Broadcom disclosed 42 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Broadcom reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Broadcom Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$163.54B30.4523.34%2.01%13.66%-45.40%
77
Outperform
$489.91B41.3822.55%0.20%45.43%203.31%
76
Outperform
$70.92B29.2818.04%0.28%44.95%
73
Outperform
$1.58T69.9331.05%0.69%23.87%285.84%
73
Outperform
$411.47B124.635.32%31.83%80.45%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
57
Neutral
$243.66B-594.14-0.25%-1.49%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AVGO
Broadcom
330.73
111.44
50.82%
AMD
Advanced Micro Devices
252.18
136.23
117.49%
INTC
Intel
48.66
29.23
150.44%
MRVL
Marvell
81.34
-31.14
-27.69%
MU
Micron
435.79
344.85
379.21%
QCOM
Qualcomm
152.22
-16.92
-10.00%

Broadcom Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Broadcom Announces $4.5 Billion Senior Notes Offering
Positive
Jan 13, 2026

On January 6, 2026, Broadcom Inc. entered into an underwriting agreement with a syndicate led by BofA Securities and J.P. Morgan to issue $4.5 billion of unsecured, unsubordinated senior notes, comprising tranches maturing in 2031, 2033, 2036 and 2056, which were subsequently registered and issued under an existing shelf registration and indenture structure. The company plans to use the proceeds for general corporate purposes and to repay existing debt, and in connection with this refinancing strategy, it and its VMware subsidiary notified holders in early January 2026 that they will redeem a total of roughly $4 billion of outstanding notes across four series between January 17 and February 6, 2026, fully retiring several nearer-term issues and potentially extending the group’s overall debt maturity profile on terms defined by make-whole style redemption provisions.

The most recent analyst rating on (AVGO) stock is a Buy with a $500.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Broadcom stock, see the AVGO Stock Forecast page.

DividendsFinancial Disclosures
Broadcom Reports Strong Q4 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Dec 11, 2025

On December 11, 2025, Broadcom Inc. announced its financial results for the fourth quarter and fiscal year 2025, reporting a 28% increase in revenue to $18.015 billion, driven by a significant rise in AI semiconductor revenue. The company also declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.65 per share, marking a 10% increase from the previous quarter, and provided a revenue guidance of $19.1 billion for the first quarter of fiscal year 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (AVGO) stock is a Buy with a $440.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Broadcom stock, see the AVGO Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 14, 2026