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Broadcom (AVGO)
NASDAQ:AVGO

Broadcom (AVGO) AI Stock Analysis

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Broadcom

(NASDAQ:AVGO)

Rating:80Outperform
Price Target:
$284.00
▲(14.19%Upside)
Broadcom scores highly due to its strong financial performance, driven by robust growth in AI segments and solid profitability. The earnings call provided positive guidance, reinforcing confidence in future growth. However, high valuation metrics and debt levels warrant caution despite the company's optimistic outlook.
Positive Factors
Earnings
Forecasting AI revenue to grow to $5.1B, better than prior estimates, indicating strong future growth potential.
Financial Performance
Improving financials underscore the right strategic direction, with a shift towards software improving margins and consistent free cash flows.
Product Innovation
Next-gen Tomahawk 6 switch is seeing tremendous demand, indicating strong product innovation and market interest.
Negative Factors
Customer Concentration
Custom chip programs by nature tend to be lumpy with high customer concentration risks, as seen with AVGO & Google.
Market Risks
Key risks include the risk of non-accretive acquisitions, relatively high leverage, and a potential slowdown in AI growth momentum.
Product Mix
GMs were quite strong in the quarter at 79.4% but guided 130 bps lower as mix to AI and further into ASICs hurts mix, which should be a LT headwind.

Broadcom (AVGO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Broadcom Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBroadcom Inc. designs, develops, and supplies various semiconductor devices with a focus on complex digital and mixed signal complementary metal oxide semiconductor based devices and analog III-V based products worldwide. The company operates in two segments, Semiconductor Solutions and Infrastructure Software. It provides set-top box system-on-chips (SoCs); cable, digital subscriber line, and passive optical networking central office/consumer premise equipment SoCs; wireless local area network access point SoCs; Ethernet switching and routing merchant silicon products; embedded processors and controllers; serializer/deserializer application specific integrated circuits; optical and copper, and physical layers; and fiber optic transmitter and receiver components. The company also offers RF front end modules, filters, and power amplifiers; Wi-Fi, Bluetooth, and global positioning system/global navigation satellite system SoCs; custom touch controllers; serial attached small computer system interface, and redundant array of independent disks controllers and adapters; peripheral component interconnect express switches; fiber channel host bus adapters; read channel based SoCs; custom flash controllers; preamplifiers; and optocouplers, industrial fiber optics, and motion control encoders and subsystems. Its products are used in various applications, including enterprise and data center networking, home connectivity, set-top boxes, broadband access, telecommunication equipment, smartphones and base stations, data center servers and storage systems, factory automation, power generation and alternative energy systems, and electronic displays. Broadcom Inc. was incorporated in 2018 and is headquartered in San Jose, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyBroadcom Inc. makes money primarily through the sale of its semiconductor products and infrastructure software solutions. The company generates revenue through two main segments: Semiconductor Solutions and Infrastructure Software. The Semiconductor Solutions segment involves the design and sale of semiconductor devices, which are used in applications like data center networking, broadband access, and wireless communications. The Infrastructure Software segment includes revenue from the licensing and support of software for mainframe, cybersecurity, and enterprise automation. Broadcom's earnings are bolstered by its strategic partnerships with leading technology companies and its continuous investment in research and development to innovate and expand its product offerings.

Broadcom Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Analyzes revenue from different business units, highlighting which segments drive growth and profitability, and indicating areas of strategic focus or risk.
Chart InsightsBroadcom's Semiconductor Solutions segment shows a strong recovery, with a notable surge in Q3 2024, aligning with the earnings call's highlight of significant AI-driven growth. The Infrastructure Software segment has experienced remarkable growth, particularly in Q1 2025, due to strategic shifts to full subscriptions and increased VMware revenue. Despite challenges in non-AI semiconductor areas, the company's focus on AI and software is driving substantial revenue gains, with AI revenue expected to continue its robust trajectory, underscoring Broadcom's strategic pivot towards high-growth sectors.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Broadcom Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jun 06, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 0.72%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 28, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlights Broadcom's strong performance in AI semiconductors and infrastructure software, supported by record revenue and improved margins. However, challenges persist in non-AI semiconductor segments with declining revenues and high debt levels. The company remains optimistic about future growth in AI sectors.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-Breaking Quarterly Revenue
Total revenue for fiscal Q2 2025 was a record $15 billion, reflecting a 20% year-on-year increase, driven primarily by AI semiconductors and VMware momentum.
Strong AI Semiconductor Growth
AI semiconductor revenue reached $4.4 billion, marking a 46% increase year-on-year, with AI networking growing over 170% year-on-year.
Infrastructure Software Revenue Increase
Q2 infrastructure software revenue was $6.6 billion, up 25% year-on-year, with strong VCF sales contributing to double-digit ARR growth.
Improved Gross and Operating Margins
Gross margin was 79.4%, and operating margin was 65%, both showing improvements due to product mix and disciplined integration of VMware.
AI Revenue Outlook
AI semiconductor revenue forecasted to be $5.1 billion in Q3, marking a 60% year-on-year growth, continuing a trajectory of 10 consecutive quarters of growth.
Negative Updates
Decline in Non-AI Semiconductor Revenue
Non-AI semiconductor revenue was $4 billion, down 5% year-on-year, with industrial and wireless segments experiencing declines.
High Debt Levels
The company ended the quarter with $69.4 billion in gross principal debt, impacting free cash flow due to increased interest expenses.
Flat Revenue Expectation for Non-AI Segments
Non-AI segments such as server storage, wireless, and industrial are expected to remain largely flat, indicating slow recovery.
Company Guidance
During Broadcom's Q2 FY 2025 earnings call, the company provided guidance for Q3 FY 2025, projecting consolidated revenue of approximately $15.8 billion, representing a 21% year-on-year increase. The guidance highlighted significant growth in AI semiconductor revenue, expected to reach $5.1 billion, up 60% year-on-year, marking the 10th consecutive quarter of growth. Non-AI semiconductor revenue was forecasted to remain around $4 billion, with sectors like enterprise networking and broadband expected to grow sequentially, while others like server storage and industrial remain flat. The infrastructure software segment is anticipated to generate $6.7 billion, up 16% year-on-year, driven by the transition of enterprise customers to the VCF software stack. Adjusted EBITDA for Q3 is expected to be at least 66%, with a non-GAAP tax rate forecasted at 14%.

Broadcom Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Broadcom demonstrates strong financial performance with robust revenue growth, excellent profitability, and efficient cash flow generation. The company's financial position is solid, with high return on equity and strong cash metrics. However, relatively high debt levels present potential risks.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Broadcom has shown robust growth in revenue and profitability. The gross profit margin stands at 66.1% and net profit margin at 22.6% for TTM, reflecting solid profitability. Revenue growth rate is a healthy 10.6%, and both EBIT and EBITDA margins are strong at 35.9% and 45.1% respectively, indicating effective cost management and operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet is strong with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.97, suggesting a balanced capital structure. The return on equity (ROE) is impressive at 18.6%, reflecting efficient use of equity capital. The equity ratio is 42.3%, showing a solid equity base relative to total assets. However, the total debt remains relatively high.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Cash flow generation is robust, with a free cash flow growth rate of 16.9% indicating strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 1.8, which is healthy, reflecting strong cash conversion from earnings. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 1.76, showing efficient cash utilization.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
57.05B51.57B35.82B33.20B27.45B23.89B
Gross Profit
37.70B32.51B24.69B22.09B16.84B13.52B
EBIT
20.50B13.46B16.21B14.22B8.52B4.01B
EBITDA
25.72B23.88B20.55B19.16B14.69B11.13B
Net Income Common Stockholders
12.92B5.89B14.08B11.49B6.74B2.96B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
9.47B9.35B14.19B12.42B12.16B7.62B
Total Assets
164.63B165.65B72.86B73.25B75.57B75.93B
Total Debt
67.28B67.57B39.23B39.52B39.73B41.06B
Net Debt
57.81B58.22B25.04B27.10B27.57B33.44B
Total Liabilities
95.04B97.97B48.87B50.54B50.58B52.03B
Stockholders Equity
69.59B67.68B23.99B22.71B24.99B23.90B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
22.70B19.41B17.63B16.31B13.32B11.60B
Operating Cash Flow
23.23B19.96B18.09B16.74B13.76B12.06B
Investing Cash Flow
2.81B-23.07B-689.00M-667.00M-245.00M-11.11B
Financing Cash Flow
-26.38B-1.73B-15.62B-15.82B-8.97B1.61B

Broadcom Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price248.70
Price Trends
50DMA
210.45
Positive
100DMA
207.68
Positive
200DMA
195.80
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
11.02
Positive
RSI
60.82
Neutral
STOCH
50.57
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AVGO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 248.7 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 242.96, above the 50-day MA of 210.45, and above the 200-day MA of 195.80, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 11.02 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 60.82 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 50.57 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AVGO.

Broadcom Risk Analysis

Broadcom disclosed 41 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Broadcom reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Broadcom Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$303.09B32.0555.21%1.10%16.46%21.29%
AMAMD
81
Outperform
$192.14B85.153.90%21.71%99.00%
80
Outperform
$1.20T93.4918.98%0.95%33.85%14.43%
80
Outperform
$174.25B15.7642.21%2.24%16.15%32.28%
TXTXN
74
Outperform
$181.39B36.9529.04%2.72%-4.48%-17.82%
62
Neutral
$11.97B10.08-7.46%2.96%7.37%-8.22%
49
Neutral
$90.21B-18.66%2.41%-3.97%-562.40%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AVGO
Broadcom
248.70
68.02
37.65%
AMD
Advanced Micro Devices
116.16
-42.24
-26.67%
ASML
ASML Holding
761.00
-283.34
-27.13%
INTC
Intel
20.14
-10.64
-34.57%
QCOM
Qualcomm
154.72
-62.72
-28.84%
TXN
Texas Instruments
195.00
5.66
2.99%

Broadcom Corporate Events

DividendsFinancial Disclosures
Broadcom Reports Strong Q2 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Jun 5, 2025

On June 5, 2025, Broadcom Inc. announced its financial results for the second quarter of fiscal year 2025, reporting a 20% year-over-year increase in revenue to $15 billion. The company also declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.59 per share, payable on June 30, 2025. Broadcom’s AI semiconductor solutions showed significant growth, contributing to the record revenue, and the company provided optimistic guidance for the third quarter, expecting further growth in AI semiconductor revenue.

The most recent analyst rating on (AVGO) stock is a Buy with a $190.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Broadcom stock, see the AVGO Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.