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Marvell (MRVL)
NASDAQ:MRVL

Marvell (MRVL) AI Stock Analysis

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MRVL

Marvell

(NASDAQ:MRVL)

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Outperform 76 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
$85.00
▲(15.29% Upside)
Marvell's overall stock score is driven by strong earnings call results and technical analysis, indicating robust growth and market momentum. Financial performance shows solid revenue growth but highlights areas for improvement in profitability and cash flow conversion. The high P/E ratio suggests potential overvaluation, but the strategic focus on AI and data center growth supports a positive outlook.
Positive Factors
Record Revenue Growth
Sustained high revenue growth and a record quarter indicate durable demand and scalable product adoption across end markets. A 37% YoY jump reflects structural market share gains and stronger OEM/customer traction, supporting multi-quarter top-line expansion and reinvestment capacity.
Data Center / AI Tailwind
Rapid data center growth driven by AI is a structural demand driver for Marvell's networking and accelerated infrastructure chips. Continued AI-driven capex and the Celestial AI acquisition strengthen product roadmap and position Marvell to capture sustained higher-value content per system.
High Margins & Improving Cash Flow
High gross and net margins indicate durable product-level economics and pricing power versus peers. Positive free cash flow growth and healthy operating cash conversion provide financial flexibility to fund R&D, M&A, and strategic investments without relying heavily on external financing.
Negative Factors
Negative Return on Equity
A negative ROE signals the company struggles to convert equity into shareholder returns despite revenue growth. Persistently negative ROE can undermine investor confidence and suggests capital allocation or profitability dynamics that may reduce long-term shareholder value if unaddressed.
Low EBIT Margin
A modest EBIT margin versus high gross and net margins suggests limited operating leverage or elevated operating costs. Low operating profitability can constrain the firm's ability to sustainably fund growth, dampen resilience in downturns, and reduce incremental earnings from sales growth.
Revenue Volatility / Seasonality
Sequential weakness in custom revenue and sharp consumer seasonality create earnings volatility and planning uncertainty. Dependence on cyclical end markets can amplify swings in revenue and margin, complicating capacity planning and smoothing of cash flows across fiscal periods.

Marvell (MRVL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Marvell Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMarvell Technology, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, develops, and sells analog, mixed-signal, digital signal processing, and embedded and standalone integrated circuits. It offers a portfolio of Ethernet solutions, including controllers, network adapters, physical transceivers, and switches; single or multiple core processors; ASIC; and printer System-on-a-Chip products and application processors. The company also provides a range of storage products comprising storage controllers for hard disk drives (HDD) and solid-state drives that support various host system interfaces consisting of serial attached SCSI (SAS), serial advanced technology attachment (SATA), peripheral component interconnect express, non-volatile memory express (NVMe), and NVMe over fabrics; and fiber channel products, including host bus adapters, and controllers for server and storage system connectivity. It has operations in the United States, China, Malaysia, the Philippines, Thailand, Singapore, India, Israel, Japan, South Korea, Taiwan, and Vietnam. Marvell Technology, Inc. was incorporated in 1995 and is headquartered in Wilmington, Delaware.
How the Company Makes MoneyMarvell generates revenue primarily through the sale of semiconductor products across its various business segments, including data center, networking, and storage solutions. The company earns money from the sale of its integrated circuits and chipsets, which are used in data centers, enterprise networks, and consumer electronics. Key revenue streams include licensing agreements, where Marvell licenses its technology to other companies for use in their products, and direct sales to original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) and other customers. Additionally, Marvell benefits from long-term partnerships and collaborations with major technology companies, which help to secure steady demand for its products. The growing demand for cloud computing, 5G technology, and advanced automotive applications also contributes significantly to Marvell's earnings, positioning the company to capitalize on the increasing need for high-performance semiconductor solutions.

Marvell Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Breaks down revenue by different business units or product lines, highlighting which areas are driving growth and which may need strategic adjustments. This insight helps assess diversification and dependency on specific segments.
Chart InsightsMarvell's data center segment is experiencing explosive growth, largely driven by AI demand, with a 69% year-over-year increase, now comprising 74% of total revenue. Meanwhile, enterprise networking and carrier infrastructure are recovering, with a 43% year-over-year growth. However, the consumer and automotive sectors face challenges, with the latter impacted by the automotive Ethernet divestiture. Despite some revenue fluctuations, Marvell's strategic focus on AI and custom silicon design positions it well for sustained growth, with expectations of continued momentum in the data center and networking markets.
Data provided by:The Fly

Marvell Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Dec 02, 2025
(Q3-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 26, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call was largely positive, highlighting record-breaking revenue and strong growth in key segments like data center and communications. The strategic acquisition of Celestial AI is expected to further bolster Marvell's position in the industry. While there were some challenges, such as a sequential decline in custom revenue and seasonal declines in consumer business, the company's strong financial performance and optimistic outlook for FY2027 overshadow these issues.
Q3-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-Breaking Revenue Growth
Marvell delivered record revenue of $2.075 billion in Q3 FY2026, reflecting a 3% sequential increase and strong 37% year-over-year growth.
Strategic Acquisition of Celestial AI
Marvell announced the acquisition of Celestial AI, expected to strengthen their data center portfolio and capitalize on opportunities in accelerated infrastructure.
Data Center Segment Surge
Data center revenue grew 38% year-over-year, driven by strong AI demand. The segment is expected to continue growing, with a forecasted 25% year-over-year growth in FY2027.
Strong Fiscal 2027 Outlook
Marvell expects data center revenue to grow by more than 25% in FY2027, with overall company revenue forecasted at $2.2 billion for Q4 FY2026.
Strong Financial Performance
Non-GAAP earnings per share of $0.76, reflecting a 77% year-over-year growth. Cash flow from operations was a record $582 million.
Negative Updates
Sequential Decline in Custom Revenue
The custom revenue segment experienced a sequential decline in demand, although growth is expected to rebound in the coming quarters.
Steep Seasonal Declines in Consumer Business
The consumer business is expected to face steep seasonal declines, impacting the overall performance of the communications end market.
Company Guidance
During the third quarter of fiscal 2026, Marvell Technology, Inc. reported record revenue of $2.075 billion, marking a 3% sequential increase and a substantial 37% year-over-year growth. The company's non-GAAP earnings per share reached $0.76, exceeding the midpoint of guidance by $0.02. Excluding revenue from the divested Automotive Ethernet business, Marvell's implied revenue growth was approximately 6% sequentially and 41% year-over-year. The data center business showed strong momentum, with revenue surging 38% year-over-year, driven by robust AI demand, while the communications and other end market grew 34% year-over-year, or nearly 50% excluding the Automotive Ethernet business. Marvell forecasts fourth-quarter total company revenue to hit $2.2 billion at the midpoint, with continued growth expected into fiscal 2027 and beyond.

Marvell Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Marvell demonstrates strong revenue growth and profitability improvements, with a gross profit margin over 50% and a net profit margin over 31%. However, the EBIT margin is relatively low at 10.3%, and the negative return on equity indicates profitability challenges. Cash flow generation is improving, but there is room for enhancing free cash flow conversion.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Marvell's income statement shows a strong gross profit margin of over 50% in the TTM, indicating efficient cost management. The net profit margin has improved significantly to over 31% in the TTM, reflecting enhanced profitability. Revenue growth is positive at 7.7% in the TTM, suggesting a healthy upward trajectory. However, EBIT margin remains relatively low at 10.3%, indicating room for operational efficiency improvements.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The balance sheet reveals a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.32, suggesting a balanced approach to leveraging. However, the return on equity is negative, indicating challenges in generating returns for shareholders. The equity ratio is stable, reflecting a solid capital structure, but the negative ROE highlights profitability issues that need addressing.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Marvell's cash flow statement shows a positive free cash flow growth rate of 3.1% in the TTM, indicating improved cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy, suggesting efficient cash conversion. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is slightly below optimal, indicating potential constraints in cash available for reinvestment or debt reduction.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue5.77B5.51B5.92B4.46B2.97B
Gross Profit2.38B2.29B2.99B2.06B1.49B
EBITDA651.60M850.70M1.65B901.10M388.60M
Net Income-885.00M-933.40M-163.50M-421.00M-277.30M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets20.20B21.23B22.52B22.11B10.76B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments948.30M950.80M911.00M613.50M748.47M
Total Debt4.34B4.40B4.74B4.73B1.33B
Total Liabilities6.78B6.40B6.88B6.41B2.33B
Stockholders Equity13.43B14.83B15.64B15.70B8.44B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.39B1.02B1.07B632.40M697.80M
Operating Cash Flow1.68B1.37B1.29B819.30M817.30M
Investing Cash Flow-300.70M-350.50M-328.40M-3.75B-119.60M
Financing Cash Flow-1.38B-980.20M-662.90M2.79B-596.80M

Marvell Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price73.73
Price Trends
50DMA
85.18
Negative
100DMA
84.72
Negative
200DMA
76.73
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-2.27
Positive
RSI
31.17
Neutral
STOCH
19.37
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MRVL, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 73.73 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 81.07, below the 50-day MA of 85.18, and below the 200-day MA of 76.73, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -2.27 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 31.17 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 19.37 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for MRVL.

Marvell Risk Analysis

Marvell disclosed 25 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Marvell reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Marvell Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$62.53B26.4518.04%0.28%44.95%
73
Outperform
$1.46T67.2231.05%0.69%23.87%285.84%
73
Outperform
$24.97B80.993.87%-16.13%-81.06%
69
Neutral
$57.09B27.5921.01%1.79%-6.81%-23.16%
64
Neutral
$25.62B146.170.93%1.28%-17.33%-76.71%
62
Neutral
$42.28B-173.23-2.85%2.79%-23.36%-131.15%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MRVL
Marvell
73.73
-45.11
-37.96%
AVGO
Broadcom
308.05
78.76
34.35%
MCHP
Microchip
78.23
26.75
51.95%
NXPI
NXP Semiconductors
226.86
14.04
6.60%
ON
ON Semiconductor
62.06
9.62
18.34%
STM
STMicroelectronics
29.33
6.83
30.36%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 04, 2025