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Stmicroelectronics N.V. (STM)
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STMicroelectronics (STM) AI Stock Analysis

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STM

STMicroelectronics

(NYSE:STM)

Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
$28.00
▲(6.59% Upside)
STMicroelectronics' robust financial structure and strategic initiatives for growth are offset by current revenue declines and margin pressures. Technical indicators suggest weak momentum, and the valuation appears high. The mixed earnings call results add uncertainty but also highlight potential for future growth.
Positive Factors
Foundry Agreement
Management said it does not expect any material adverse impact on revenue from the company’s recent foundry agreement with TSMC, as it sounds as if they are providing ASIC service and some IP for the platform, a positive as investors had feared ST would lose business here.
Geographic Market Strength
China remains the strongest end market geography for STMicroelectronics.
Market Position
POP/POS data continue to trend positively for industrial and auto revenues are largely shipping to end demand.
Negative Factors
Automotive Revenue
Automotive revenue is impacted by weak EV demand and competition in China.
Gross Margin Concerns
Stagnant and FX-impacted GM% is likely a sticking point.
Tesla Impact
Recent cuts at Tesla are weighing on results and its second-half outlook.

STMicroelectronics (STM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

STMicroelectronics Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSTMicroelectronics N.V., together with its subsidiaries, designs, develops, manufactures, and sells semiconductor products in Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Americas, and the Asia Pacific. The company operates through Automotive and Discrete Group; Analog, MEMS and Sensors Group; and Microcontrollers and Digital ICs Group segments. The Automotive and Discrete Group segment offers automotive integrated circuits (ICs), and discrete and power transistor products. The Analog, MEMS and Sensors Group segment provides industrial application-specific integrated circuits (ASICs) and application-specific standard products (ASSPs); general purpose analog products; custom analog ICs; wireless charging solutions; galvanic isolated gate drivers; low and high voltage amplifiers, comparators, and current-sense amplifiers; MasterGaN, a solution that integrates a silicon driver and GaN power transistors in a single package; wireline and wireless connectivity ICs; touch screen controllers; micro-electro-mechanical systems (MEMS) products, including sensors or actuators; and optical sensing solutions. The Microcontrollers and Digital ICs Group segment offers general purpose and secure microcontrollers; and radio frequency (RF) products. It also offers application-specific standard products for analog, digital and mixed-signal applications. In addition, the company provides assembly and other services. It sells its products through distributors and retailers, as well as through sales representatives. The company serves automotive, industrial, personal electronics and communications equipment, and computers and peripherals markets. STMicroelectronics N.V. was incorporated in 1987 and is headquartered in Schiphol, the Netherlands.
How the Company Makes MoneySTMicroelectronics generates revenue primarily through the sale of semiconductor products across multiple sectors. Key revenue streams include sales of integrated circuits, microcontrollers, and sensors, which are utilized in consumer electronics, automotive applications, and industrial automation. STM benefits from strategic partnerships with major technology companies and OEMs, allowing it to integrate its products into a wide range of applications. Additionally, the company's investment in research and development enables it to innovate and capture emerging market opportunities, particularly in IoT and electric vehicle technologies. Fluctuations in demand for electronics and advancements in technology significantly influence STM's earnings.

STMicroelectronics Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Product
Revenue by Product
Examines revenue generated from individual products, shedding light on best-sellers, market trends, and product lifecycle stages.
Chart InsightsSTMicroelectronics is experiencing a notable decline in revenue from its Analog Power and Microcontrollers segments, reflecting broader challenges in the semiconductor market. Despite sequential growth in automotive and industrial sectors, the company faces significant year-over-year revenue declines across several segments, including a 22.2% drop in Power and Discrete. The earnings call highlights a strategic focus on reshaping manufacturing to achieve cost savings, which could mitigate future margin pressures. However, current gross margin challenges and an operating loss underscore the need for careful navigation in a competitive landscape.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

STMicroelectronics Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 24, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 23, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed picture with some strong revenue performances in certain segments and sustainability achievements, but also highlighted significant challenges in the automotive market and declining gross margins. The company's efforts to address these issues and expected sequential growth in Q3 provide some optimism.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue and Growth Exceed Expectations
Q2 2025 revenues were $2.77 billion, $56 million above the midpoint of the business outlook range, driven by higher-than-expected revenues in Personal Electronics and Industrial segments.
Positive Momentum in Automotive Sector
Automotive revenues grew about 14% sequentially, driven by Asia Pacific, excluding China, and the Americas. The company secured significant wins with silicon carbide and silicon devices for new DC-DC converters and onboard chargers.
Strong Performance in Personal Electronics and Industrial
Personal Electronics revenues were above expectations, and Industrial revenues showed strong sequential growth with continued year-over-year improvement.
Sustainability Achievements
STMicroelectronics was recognized in the Time World's Most Sustainable Companies List for the second consecutive year and received leadership recognition from CDP for climate and water security.
Expected Revenue Growth in Q3
The company expects Q3 2025 revenues to be $3.17 billion, representing a 14.6% sequential increase, with all end markets except Automotive back to year-on-year growth.
Negative Updates
Year-Over-Year Revenue Decline
Year-over-year, Q2 2025 revenues declined by 14%, with notable decreases in Analog products, MEMS and Sensors (down 15.2%), and Power and Discrete products (down 22.2%).
Challenges in Automotive Market
Automotive revenues declined by about 24% year-over-year, with specific customer dynamics affecting performance. The book-to-bill ratio fell below parity due to trade and tariff uncertainties.
Gross Margin Pressure
Q2 2025 gross margin was 33.5%, decreasing by 660 basis points year-over-year, impacted by unfavorable product mix, lower manufacturing efficiency, and higher unused capacity charges.
Inventory and Cash Flow Challenges
Inventory increased to $3.27 billion, with days sales of inventory slightly above expectations. Net cash from operating activities decreased by 49.6% year-over-year, and free cash flow was negative.
Ongoing Currency Impact
Gross margin for Q3 is expected to be impacted by negative currency effects and costs related to the manufacturing reshaping program.
Company Guidance
During the STMicroelectronics' second quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided several key financial metrics and forward-looking guidance. The revenue for Q2 2025 was reported at $2.77 billion, which exceeded the midpoint of their business outlook by $56 million, with specific strength in Personal Electronics and Industrial sectors. However, the Automotive segment underperformed due to customer-specific issues. The gross margin stood at 33.5%, aligning with the midpoint of expectations. Looking forward, STMicroelectronics projected Q3 2025 revenues at $3.17 billion, marking a sequential increase of 14.6% but a year-over-year decrease of 2.5%. The company also anticipated maintaining a gross margin of around 33.5% for the third quarter. For the full year, capital expenditures are expected to range between $2 billion and $2.3 billion as part of a strategy to reshape their manufacturing footprint. The company aims to achieve annual cost savings in the high triple million dollar range by exiting 2027.

STMicroelectronics Financial Statement Overview

Summary
STMicroelectronics presents a robust financial structure with effective leverage management and operational efficiency. However, the recent decline in revenue and moderate profitability ratios highlight the need for strategic initiatives to boost growth and improve returns on equity.
Income Statement
75
Positive
STMicroelectronics shows solid profitability with a TTM gross profit margin of 35.8% and net profit margin of 5.5%. However, there is a noticeable decline in revenue compared to the previous year, signaling potential challenges in revenue growth. The EBIT and EBITDA margins, at 6.3% and 20.0% respectively, highlight operational efficiency but also suggest room for improvement in cost management.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The company maintains a healthy balance sheet with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.17, indicating conservative leverage. The equity ratio of 69.7% reflects strong asset backing. ROE stands at 3.7%, which is lower than industry expectations, suggesting that profitability from equity could be enhanced.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
STMicroelectronics' cash flow position is stable, with positive operating cash flow to net income ratio of 3.6, demonstrating efficient cash generation from operations. The free cash flow growth is positive, although relatively small, indicating careful capital expenditure management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue11.89B13.27B17.29B16.13B12.76B10.22B
Gross Profit4.26B5.22B8.29B7.33B5.05B3.40B
EBITDA2.38B3.72B6.38B6.40B3.61B2.27B
Net Income649.73M1.56B4.21B3.96B2.00B694.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets25.46B24.74B24.45B19.98B15.54B14.45B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments5.63B6.18B6.08B4.52B3.52B3.72B
Total Debt2.96B3.17B3.17B2.91B2.74B2.82B
Total Liabilities7.48B7.06B7.60B7.22B6.27B5.95B
Stockholders Equity17.75B17.45B16.73B12.69B9.21B8.45B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow45.80M-216.00M1.46B2.05B1.19B804.00M
Operating Cash Flow2.34B2.96B5.99B5.58B3.46B2.46B
Investing Cash Flow-3.00B-3.74B-5.71B-4.98B-1.86B-2.34B
Financing Cash Flow-796.05M-155.00M-267.00M-556.00M-1.37B279.00M

STMicroelectronics Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price26.27
Price Trends
50DMA
28.46
Negative
100DMA
26.60
Negative
200DMA
25.53
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.20
Negative
RSI
44.68
Neutral
STOCH
59.22
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For STM, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 26.27 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 26.11, below the 50-day MA of 28.46, and above the 200-day MA of 25.53, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.20 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 44.68 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 59.22 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for STM.

STMicroelectronics Risk Analysis

STMicroelectronics disclosed 33 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. STMicroelectronics reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 1 New Risks
1.
Individual customer use of certain products, which may differ from the anticipated uses of such products and result in differences in performance, including energy consumption, may lead to a failure to achieve our disclosed emission-reduction goals, adverse legal action or additional research costs. Q4, 2024

STMicroelectronics Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
$16.59B13.2810.98%7.30%5.46%-26.72%
69
Neutral
$20.28B46.275.72%-17.93%-75.83%
67
Neutral
$21.42B20.2010.97%3.46%4.86%6.44%
66
Neutral
$24.06B38.303.72%1.16%-22.97%-78.58%
61
Neutral
$35.45B8.20-10.60%1.91%8.56%-9.51%
58
Neutral
$9.54B138.48-5.96%33.50%-197.38%
54
Neutral
$18.46B28.15-1.01%-0.65%-114.26%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
STM
STMicroelectronics
26.27
-3.17
-10.77%
ASX
ASE Technology Holding Co
10.28
1.30
14.48%
MTSI
MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings
131.05
30.99
30.97%
ON
ON Semiconductor
48.94
-21.59
-30.61%
UMC
United Micro
6.62
-1.33
-16.73%
GFS
GlobalFoundries Inc
33.16
-8.80
-20.97%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 03, 2025