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STMicroelectronics (STM)
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STMicroelectronics (STM) AI Stock Analysis

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STM

STMicroelectronics

(NYSE:STM)

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Neutral 59 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:59Neutral
Price Target:
$26.00
▲(8.33% Upside)
STMicroelectronics' overall stock score reflects a stable but cautious outlook. Financial performance is mixed, with strong balance sheet metrics but challenges in profitability and cash conversion. Technical analysis indicates bearish momentum, and valuation metrics suggest potential overvaluation. The earnings call highlights strategic growth in key segments but also notes ongoing challenges, particularly in the Power & Discrete segment.
Positive Factors
Automotive Revenue Growth
The sequential growth in automotive revenues indicates strong demand and market position, especially with a book-to-bill ratio above 1, suggesting future growth potential in this key segment.
Industrial Revenue Growth
The return to year-over-year growth in industrial revenues highlights STM's strong market position and capability to capture opportunities in industrial applications, supporting long-term revenue stability.
Strong Balance Sheet
A strong balance sheet with low leverage enhances financial stability and provides flexibility for strategic investments and weathering economic fluctuations.
Negative Factors
Gross Margin Decline
The decline in gross margin reflects challenges in maintaining profitability, potentially impacting long-term earnings if not addressed through operational efficiencies or pricing strategies.
Revenue Growth Challenges
The negative revenue growth trend suggests market challenges and potential difficulties in sustaining sales momentum, which could affect long-term financial performance.
Power & Discrete Segment Decline
Significant decline in this segment indicates competitive or market pressures, potentially affecting overall profitability and requiring strategic adjustments to regain growth.

STMicroelectronics (STM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

STMicroelectronics Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSTMicroelectronics (STM) is a global semiconductor leader serving various sectors, including automotive, industrial, personal electronics, communications equipment, and computer peripherals. The company designs, develops, manufactures, and markets a wide range of semiconductor products, including microcontrollers, sensors, power management devices, and integrated circuits. STM is also a key player in the Internet of Things (IoT) and automotive markets, providing innovative solutions that enhance performance and energy efficiency.
How the Company Makes MoneySTMicroelectronics generates revenue primarily through the sale of semiconductor products across multiple sectors. Key revenue streams include sales of integrated circuits, microcontrollers, and sensors, which are utilized in consumer electronics, automotive applications, and industrial automation. STM benefits from strategic partnerships with major technology companies and OEMs, allowing it to integrate its products into a wide range of applications. Additionally, the company's investment in research and development enables it to innovate and capture emerging market opportunities, particularly in IoT and electric vehicle technologies. Fluctuations in demand for electronics and advancements in technology significantly influence STM's earnings.

STMicroelectronics Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Product
Revenue by Product
Examines revenue generated from individual products, shedding light on best-sellers, market trends, and product lifecycle stages.
Chart InsightsSTMicroelectronics is experiencing a notable decline in revenue from its Analog Power and Microcontrollers segments, reflecting broader challenges in the semiconductor market. Despite sequential growth in automotive and industrial sectors, the company faces significant year-over-year revenue declines across several segments, including a 22.2% drop in Power and Discrete. The earnings call highlights a strategic focus on reshaping manufacturing to achieve cost savings, which could mitigate future margin pressures. However, current gross margin challenges and an operating loss underscore the need for careful navigation in a competitive landscape.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

STMicroelectronics Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 23, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 22, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed picture with strong revenue performance in Q3 and notable achievements in Automotive and Industrial segments. However, significant challenges remain in the Power & Discrete segment and overall gross margin, with a cautious revenue outlook for Q4.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Performance
Q3 revenues at $3.19 billion, $17 million above the midpoint of business outlook, with Personal Electronics performing better than expected.
Automotive Growth
Automotive revenues grew about 10% sequentially, with a book-to-bill ratio above 1. Expected mid-single digit growth in Q4.
Industrial Revenue Growth
Industrial revenues increased 8% sequentially and 13% year-over-year, marking a return to year-on-year growth for the first time since Q3 2023.
Free Cash Flow
Generated a positive $130 million free cash flow in Q3.
NXP MEMS Acquisition
Entered into a definitive agreement to acquire NXP's MEMS sensor business for up to $950 million in cash.
Negative Updates
Gross Margin Decline
Gross margin was 33.2%, decreasing 460 basis points year-over-year due to lower manufacturing efficiencies and negative currency effects.
Power & Discrete Segment Performance
Power & Discrete products revenue decreased 34.3% year-over-year, affecting overall segment profitability.
Automotive Market Challenges
Despite sequential growth, Automotive was still down by about 70% year-over-year, attributed to decreased capacity reservation fees and lower volumes from key customers.
Q4 Revenue Outlook Below Seasonality
Guidance for Q4 indicates below seasonal revenue growth of 2.9% due to automotive sector issues and inventory adjustments in Industrial.
Company Guidance
During the third quarter 2025 earnings call, STMicroelectronics provided guidance for Q4 2025, projecting revenues at $3.28 billion, a sequential increase of 2.9%, with a gross margin expected to be around 35%. The company noted a 10% sequential growth in automotive revenues, despite challenges in the Americas, and highlighted strong design activity in industrial applications, contributing to an 8% sequential revenue increase in that segment. The company also managed to reduce inventories, generating $130 million in positive free cash flow. For the full year 2025, STMicroelectronics anticipates revenues of approximately $11.75 billion, translating to a 22.4% growth in the second half compared to the first half, with a gross margin expected to be about 33.8%. The guidance reflects a strategic focus on innovation, reshaping manufacturing capabilities, and optimizing investments.

STMicroelectronics Financial Statement Overview

Summary
STMicroelectronics demonstrates solid profitability with a gross profit margin of 35.8% and a net profit margin of 5.5%. However, a decline in revenue and moderate profitability ratios indicate challenges in revenue growth and the need for strategic initiatives to improve returns on equity.
Income Statement
65
Positive
STMicroelectronics shows solid profitability with a TTM gross profit margin of 35.8% and net profit margin of 5.5%. However, there is a noticeable decline in revenue compared to the previous year, signaling potential challenges in revenue growth. The EBIT and EBITDA margins, at 6.3% and 20.0% respectively, highlight operational efficiency but also suggest room for improvement in cost management.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The company maintains a healthy balance sheet with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.17, indicating conservative leverage. The equity ratio of 69.7% reflects strong asset backing. ROE stands at 3.7%, which is lower than industry expectations, suggesting that profitability from equity could be enhanced.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
STMicroelectronics' cash flow position is stable, with positive operating cash flow to net income ratio of 3.6, demonstrating efficient cash generation from operations. The free cash flow growth is positive, although relatively small, indicating careful capital expenditure management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue11.81B13.27B17.29B16.13B12.76B10.22B
Gross Profit4.09B5.22B8.29B7.63B5.33B3.40B
EBITDA2.41B3.72B6.38B6.40B3.61B2.11B
Net Income534.71M1.56B4.21B3.96B2.00B1.11B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets24.81B24.74B24.45B19.98B15.54B14.45B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments4.80B6.18B6.08B4.52B3.52B3.72B
Total Debt2.18B3.17B3.17B2.91B2.74B2.82B
Total Liabilities6.62B7.06B7.60B7.22B6.27B5.95B
Stockholders Equity17.95B17.45B16.73B12.69B9.21B8.45B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow106.19M-216.00M1.46B2.05B1.19B804.00M
Operating Cash Flow2.16B2.96B5.99B5.58B3.46B2.46B
Investing Cash Flow-1.57B-3.74B-5.77B-4.98B-1.86B-2.34B
Financing Cash Flow-1.67B-155.00M-267.00M-556.00M-1.37B348.00M

STMicroelectronics Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price24.00
Price Trends
50DMA
27.23
Negative
100DMA
27.88
Negative
200DMA
25.94
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.12
Positive
RSI
35.21
Neutral
STOCH
10.32
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For STM, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 24 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 26.83, below the 50-day MA of 27.23, and below the 200-day MA of 25.94, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.12 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 35.21 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 10.32 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for STM.

STMicroelectronics Risk Analysis

STMicroelectronics disclosed 33 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. STMicroelectronics reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 1 New Risks
1.
Individual customer use of certain products, which may differ from the anticipated uses of such products and result in differences in performance, including energy consumption, may lead to a failure to achieve our disclosed emission-reduction goals, adverse legal action or additional research costs. Q4, 2024

STMicroelectronics Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$19.23B14.7310.97%6.23%5.87%-20.93%
68
Neutral
$19.43B65.353.87%-16.13%-81.06%
67
Neutral
$33.69B14.618.40%2.25%104.60%123.50%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
60
Neutral
$10.73B-5.96%33.50%-197.38%
59
Neutral
$21.34B41.173.00%1.44%-17.33%-76.71%
58
Neutral
$19.03B-1.01%-0.65%-114.26%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
STM
STMicroelectronics
24.00
-2.82
-10.51%
ASX
ASE Technology Holding Co
15.83
5.94
60.06%
MTSI
MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings
149.68
10.54
7.58%
ON
ON Semiconductor
50.08
-21.97
-30.49%
UMC
United Micro
7.76
0.85
12.30%
GFS
GlobalFoundries Inc
35.63
-9.64
-21.29%

STMicroelectronics Corporate Events

STMicroelectronics Announces Q3 2025 Financial Results Amid Market Challenges
Oct 23, 2025

On October 23, 2025, STMicroelectronics announced its third-quarter financial results, reporting net revenues of $3.19 billion, a slight decrease of 2.0% year-over-year. Despite a challenging market environment, the company achieved a gross margin of 33.2% and net income of $237 million. The company anticipates a sequential revenue increase in the fourth quarter, with a forecasted gross margin improvement to 35.0%. STMicroelectronics is focusing on optimizing investments and reshaping its manufacturing footprint to enhance operational efficiency and strengthen cash flow generation.

STMicroelectronics Announces Key Board Appointments Ahead of December Meeting
Oct 23, 2025

On October 23, 2025, STMicroelectronics announced the resolutions to be proposed at its Extraordinary General Meeting of Shareholders, scheduled for December 18, 2025, in Amsterdam. The Supervisory Board has proposed the appointments of Armando Varricchio and Orio Bellezza to the Supervisory Board, replacing Maurizio Tamagnini and Paolo Visca, who resigned earlier in the year. This meeting and the proposed changes are significant for the company’s governance structure, potentially impacting its strategic direction and stakeholder relationships.

STMicroelectronics Completes Share Buyback Program in October 2025
Oct 20, 2025

On October 20, 2025, STMicroelectronics announced the completion of a share buyback program conducted between October 13 and October 17, 2025. During this period, the company repurchased 292,850 ordinary shares, representing 0.03% of its issued share capital, at a total cost of EUR 7,188,651.84. The buyback was part of a strategy to fulfill obligations related to share option programs and other allocations to employees and management. This move reflects the company’s ongoing efforts to manage its capital structure and provide value to its stakeholders.

STMicroelectronics Completes Share Buyback Program in October 2025
Oct 14, 2025

On October 13, 2025, STMicroelectronics announced the completion of a share repurchase program conducted from October 6 to October 10, 2025. During this period, the company bought back 399,335 ordinary shares, representing 0.04% of its issued share capital, at an average price of EUR 24.5965 per share, totaling EUR 9,822,245.18. This buyback is part of a strategy to fulfill obligations related to share option programs and other allocations to employees and management. The repurchase program reflects STMicroelectronics’ ongoing efforts to manage its capital structure effectively and meet regulatory requirements.

STMicroelectronics Completes Share Buyback Program in Early October 2025
Oct 6, 2025

On October 6, 2025, STMicroelectronics announced the completion of a share repurchase program, acquiring 300,000 ordinary shares between September 29 and October 3, 2025, at an average price of EUR 24.2820 per share, totaling EUR 7,284,600. This buyback, representing 0.03% of its issued share capital, is part of a strategy to fulfill obligations related to share option programs for employees and management. The repurchase enhances the company’s ability to manage its capital structure and potentially improve shareholder value.

STMicroelectronics Completes Share Buyback Program in August 2025
Oct 2, 2025

On August 11, 2025, STMicroelectronics announced the completion of a share repurchase program conducted from August 4 to August 8, 2025, where it bought back 290,000 shares, representing 0.03% of its issued share capital, for approximately EUR 6.26 million. This initiative, part of a previously announced buy-back program, aims to fulfill obligations related to employee share options and other allocations. The transactions reflect the company’s strategic financial management and its commitment to optimizing shareholder value.

STMicroelectronics Completes Share Buyback Program in Early August 2025
Oct 2, 2025

On August 4, 2025, STMicroelectronics announced the completion of a share repurchase program conducted between July 28 and August 1, 2025, acquiring 733,818 ordinary shares at an average price of EUR 22.7310 per share, totaling EUR 16,680,419.09. This buyback, part of a program approved in 2024, aims to fulfill obligations related to share option programs and other allocations for employees and company officials. The repurchase reflects the company’s strategic financial management and its commitment to enhancing shareholder value.

STMicroelectronics Completes Share Buyback Program in August 2025
Sep 2, 2025

On September 1, 2025, STMicroelectronics announced the completion of a share buyback program, repurchasing 271,723 ordinary shares between August 25 and August 29, 2025, at an average price of EUR 23.4140 per share. This buyback, part of a program approved in 2024, is intended to fulfill obligations related to share option programs and other allocations. The transactions, conducted on Euronext Paris, amounted to a total of EUR 6,362,126.30, and the company now holds approximately 2.1% of its issued share capital in treasury shares. This strategic move is likely to impact the company’s financial management and shareholder value.

STMicroelectronics Completes Share Buyback Program in August 2025
Aug 25, 2025

On August 25, 2025, STMicroelectronics announced the completion of a share repurchase program conducted from August 18 to August 22, 2025. During this period, the company repurchased 347,979 ordinary shares at an average price of EUR 22.2975, totaling EUR 7,759,044.98. The repurchase is part of a program approved in 2024 to meet obligations from share option programs and other allocations. This move is expected to influence the company’s stock value and provide flexibility in managing its capital structure.

STMicroelectronics Releases 2025 Semi Annual Financial Reports
Aug 20, 2025

On August 20, 2025, STMicroelectronics announced the release of its IFRS 2025 Semi Annual Accounts and the Semi Annual IFRS Report 2025. This release provides stakeholders with detailed insights into the company’s financial performance for the first half of the year, potentially impacting investor confidence and market positioning. The publication of these financial statements is crucial for maintaining transparency and informing strategic decisions.

STMicroelectronics Releases IFRS 2025 Semi-Annual Accounts
Aug 20, 2025

On August 20, 2025, STMicroelectronics published its IFRS 2025 Semi-Annual Accounts for the period ending June 28, 2025. The accounts, prepared according to International Financial Reporting Standards, are available on the company’s and the Netherlands Authority for the Financial Markets’ websites. This publication reflects the company’s commitment to transparency and regulatory compliance, potentially impacting its market credibility and stakeholder confidence.

STMicroelectronics Reports Share Buyback Results for August 2025
Aug 18, 2025

STMicroelectronics announced the results of its share repurchase program for the period from August 11 to August 15, 2025, during which it repurchased 300,000 ordinary shares at an average price of EUR 22.0187, totaling EUR 6,605,604. This buyback, part of a program approved in 2024, aims to fulfill obligations related to share option programs and other allocations. The transactions reflect the company’s strategic financial management and may influence its market positioning by potentially increasing shareholder value.

STMicroelectronics Reports Q2 2025 Financial Results with Revenue Growth
Aug 4, 2025

STMicroelectronics released its financial results for the second quarter and the first half of 2025, showing a 9.9% sequential increase in net revenues to $2.766 billion but a 14.4% year-over-year decline. The gross margin slightly improved to 33.5% from the previous quarter. This financial performance highlights the company’s ongoing efforts to navigate market challenges and maintain its industry position while continuing its focus on sustainability goals.

STMicroelectronics Completes Share Buy-Back Program in July 2025
Jul 28, 2025

On July 28, 2025, STMicroelectronics announced the completion of a share buy-back program, repurchasing 474,844 ordinary shares between July 21 and July 25, 2025, at an average price of EUR 24.9079 per share, totaling EUR 11,827,369.61. This initiative, part of a previously announced program, aims to fulfill obligations related to share option programs and other allocations, while also potentially serving other lawful purposes. The buy-back reflects the company’s strategic financial management and commitment to enhancing shareholder value, with the repurchased shares representing approximately 0.05% of the company’s issued share capital.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 26, 2025