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Ase Technology Holding (ASX)
NYSE:ASX

ASE Technology Holding Co (ASX) AI Stock Analysis

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ASX

ASE Technology Holding Co

(NYSE:ASX)

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Neutral 63 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
$25.00
▲(73.61% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/07/26
The score is primarily driven by improving fundamentals and a positive earnings narrative around ATM/LEAP growth, supported by strong technical uptrend signals. Offsetting this are weak cash conversion (negative 2025 free cash flow) and a relatively expensive valuation (high P/E with modest yield).
Positive Factors
Rapid LEAP (leading-edge) expansion
Management's clear target to double LEAP revenue within a year reflects a structural shift toward higher-value advanced packaging and testing. Scaling LEAP increases revenue mix toward premium services, deepens customer ties on complex nodes, and positions ASE to capture multi-year AI and advanced-node outsourcing demand, strengthening long-term competitive positioning if execution holds.
Strong ATM revenue and margin expansion
Sustained ATM top-line growth and materially higher ATM margins show structural improvement in the core packaging/testing franchise. Higher utilization and operating leverage in ATM drive durable profit contribution, supporting consolidated margins and cash generation potential over the medium term as demand for outsourced packaging/testing remains elevated.
Targeted, large-scale CapEx to build advanced capacity
Aggressive, technology-focused capital spending is a strategic investment to expand advanced packaging and testing capacity. This deepens manufacturing moat, accelerates capability parity vs competitors, and readies ASE to capture structural AI and logic outsourcing demand. Over 2–6 months these investments underpin sustainable revenue mix shifts toward higher-margin services.
Negative Factors
Negative free cash flow and cash conversion risk
A sharp swing to negative free cash flow reflects heavy capex and/or working-capital strain, reducing financial flexibility. Persistent negative FCF limits organic funding for growth, increases reliance on external financing, and raises execution risk for capacity builds; if sustained, it can constrain dividends, buybacks, or opportunistic investments.
Rising leverage and higher interest costs
Growing debt and rising interest expense reduce margin flexibility and increase financing risk during cyclical slowdowns. Higher leverage limits strategic optionality and makes funding large-capex plans more costly, raising the bar for execution; if demand softens, elevated debt service could pressure earnings and cash flow coverage over medium term.
Underperforming, low-margin EMS segment
The EMS business is structurally lower-margin and has shown revenue declines, which dilutes consolidated profitability. Persistent EMS softness requires either operational turnaround or capital reallocation; without improvement, EMS will constrain overall margin expansion and make ASE more dependent on ATM/LEAP execution to sustain long-term profit growth.

ASE Technology Holding Co (ASX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

ASE Technology Holding Co Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionASE Technology Holding Co., Ltd. provides a range of semiconductors packaging and testing, and electronic manufacturing services in the United States, Taiwan, rest of Asia, Europe, and internationally. It offers packaging services, including flip chip ball grid array (BGA) and chip scale package (CSP), advanced chip scale packages, quad flat packages, low profile and thin quad flat packages, bump chip carrier and quad flat no-lead (QFN) packages, advanced QFN packages, plastic BGAs, and 3D chip packages; stacked die solutions in various packages; and copper and silver wire bonding solutions. The company also provides advanced packages, such as flip chip BGA; heat-spreader FCBGA; flip-chip CSP; hybrid FCCSP; flip chip package in package and package on package (POP); advanced single sided substrate; high-bandwidth POP; fan-out wafer-level packaging; SESUB; and 2.5D silicon interposer. In addition, it offers IC wire bonding packages; system-in-package products (SiP) and modules; and interconnect materials, as well as assembles automotive electronic products. Further, the company provides a range of semiconductor testing services, including front-end engineering testing, wafer probing, logic/mixed-signal/RF module and SiP/MEMS/discrete final testing, and other test-related services, as well as drop shipment services. Additionally, it develops, constructs, sells, leases, and manages real estate properties; produces substrates; offers information software, equipment leasing, investment advisory, and warehousing management services; processes and sells computer and communication peripherals, electronic components, telecommunications equipment, and motherboards; and imports and exports goods and technology. The company was incorporated in 1984 and is headquartered in Kaohsiung, Taiwan.
How the Company Makes MoneyASE Technology Holding Co. generates revenue primarily through its semiconductor packaging and testing services. The company's core revenue streams include the assembly and testing of integrated circuits, advanced packaging solutions, and related services. Key factors contributing to its earnings include the high demand for semiconductor components in various industries, such as consumer electronics, automotive, and telecommunications. ASE has established significant partnerships with major semiconductor manufacturers, allowing it to secure long-term contracts and a stable customer base. Additionally, the company's focus on research and development enables it to offer cutting-edge technologies, further enhancing its market position and revenue potential.

ASE Technology Holding Co Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 05, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 23, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call highlights strong momentum in ASE's ATM and LEAP businesses — record ATM revenue, rapid LEAP expansion (targeting USD 3.2B in 2026), improved margins, higher utilization and solid top-line and net income growth (+25% net income YoY). Management is investing aggressively (CapEx and R&D) to capture multiyear AI-driven demand and strengthen long-term competitive positioning. Offsetting risks include continued EMS softness, rising operating expenses, heavy near-term CapEx and higher debt/interest costs, FX headwinds, and a cautious Q1 2026 guide (revenue and margin decline). Overall, positive operational and structural progress outweigh near-term and financial execution risks, but execution on capacity build and EMS turnaround will be important to sustain the trajectory.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
LEAP (Leading-Edge Assembly & Testing) Rapid Expansion
LEAP revenue grew from USD 0.6B in 2024 to USD 1.6B in 2025 (up ~167% YoY as a base comparison). Management expects LEAP to at least double to ~USD 3.2B in 2026 (75% packaging / 25% testing). Full-process LEAP is expected to triple in 2026 to ~10% of LEAP revenue, with wafer-sort and final-test contributions ramping later in the year.
Record ATM (Assembly, Testing & More) Revenues and Strong Margin Expansion
ATM reported record Q4 revenue of NTD 109.7B, up 9% sequentially and 24% YoY. ATM full-year revenue increased ~19% in 2025; packaging +17% YoY and test +32% YoY. Q4 ATM gross margin was 26.3% (+3.7pp sequential, +3.0pp YoY) and ATM operating margin improved to 14.7% in Q4 (+3.9pp sequential, +4.0pp YoY). Full-year ATM gross margin was 23.5% (+1.0pp YoY) and operating margin 11.3% (+1.5pp YoY).
Consolidated Top-Line and Profitability Improvement
Consolidated 2025 net revenues improved ~8% YoY. Q4 consolidated revenues were NTD 177.9B, +6% QoQ and +10% YoY (USD: +2% QoQ, +14% YoY). Full-year gross profit increased 18% YoY to NTD 114.2B; consolidated gross margin improved to 17.7% (+1.4pp YoY). Net income for 2025 rose 25% YoY to NTD 40.7B. Q4 gross margin improved to 19.5% (+2.4pp QoQ, +3.1pp YoY).
Improved Factory Utilization and Operating Leverage
Overall ATM utilization was around 80%, with Taiwan ATM factories running at or near full capacity and LEAP & advanced packaging utilization outpacing wirebond. Higher loading in Q4 delivered notable operating leverage: Q4 operating profit rose to NTD 17.7B (+$4.5B QoQ; +$6.5B YoY) and operating margin improved to 9.9% (+2.1pp QoQ, +3.0pp YoY).
Aggressive and Targeted CapEx to Support Growth
2025 machinery & equipment CapEx totaled USD 3.4B (packaging USD 2.1B; testing USD 1.1B) and facilities investment was USD 2.1B. For 2026, management plans to add ~USD 1.5B more in machinery (on top of 2025), with ~2/3 allocated to leading-edge services, indicating continued capacity and technology investment to capture multi-year demand.
Solid Liquidity and Financing Capacity
At year-end the company had cash, cash equivalents and current financial assets of NTD 102B, total unused credit lines of NTD 400.6B, EBITDA for the quarter of NTD 38.3B and net debt to equity of 46%, providing liquidity to fund planned CapEx.
Negative Updates
EMS Business Softness and Underperformance
EMS revenues declined 5% for the full year 2025 and were down 8% YoY in Q4 (Q4 revenue flat sequentially at NTD 69B). EMS gross margins were low (~9.0% in Q4; full-year 9.1%) and operating margins were thin (Q4 operating margin 2.8%, full-year 2.9%). Q4 EMS operating profit declined to NTD 2.0B (down NTD 0.5B QoQ), highlighting ongoing weakness and slower recovery versus ATM.
Rising Operating Expenses and Higher Labor/R&D Costs
Operating expenses increased to NTD 63.4B for 2025 (up NTD 5.7B YoY). Q4 operating expenses rose by NTD 1.4B QoQ and NTD 1.6B YoY to NTD 17.0B, driven primarily by higher R&D and labor-related costs, pressuring absolute expense levels despite modest improvement in expense ratios over time.
Heavy CapEx Funding and Increasing Debt / Interest Costs
Aggressive CapEx has increased leverage: total interest-bearing debt rose by NTD 22.7B to NTD 272.9B and net interest expense increased (NTD 5.6B in 2025 vs NTD 4.9B in 2024). While liquidity remains ample, higher debt and interest costs increase financing risk if demand or margins falter.
Near-Term Guidance Shows Quarter-One Softness
Q1 2026 guidance expects consolidated revenue down 5%–7% QoQ (NTD); gross margin to decline 50–100 bps QoQ; operating margin to decline 100–150 bps QoQ. ATM Q1 revenue expected to fall low- to mid-single-digits QoQ with gross margin in the 24%–25% range, reflecting seasonality (Lunar New Year) and near-term headwinds.
Foreign Exchange and NT Dollar Impact
NT dollar appreciation negatively impacted annual margins (management estimated a negative ~0.9pp impact on consolidated margins for the year and negative ~1.4pp impact on some ATM metrics in commentary). FX remains a volatile factor affecting reported margins and profitability.
Company Guidance
Management guided Q1 2026 consolidated revenue to decline only 5–7% QoQ (NTD basis, FX assumption USD1 = NTD31.4 vs NTD30.9 last quarter), with consolidated gross margin down 50–100 bps QoQ and consolidated operating margin down 100–150 bps QoQ; ATM Q1 revenue is expected to fall low‑ to mid‑single‑digits QoQ with ATM gross margin guided to 24–25%, while EMS Q1 revenue and operating margin should be similar to Q1 2025. For full‑year 2026, management expects ATM leading‑edge (LEAP) revenue to at least double from USD1.6B to ~USD3.2B (roughly 75% packaging / 25% testing), full‑process LEAP to triple to ~10% of LEAP revenue, wafer‑sort/final test contributions to grow (final test ~10% of test), and overall ATM revenue to outgrow the logic market; they expect ATM gross margins to stay within the structural range and improve every quarter (H2 reaching the upper end), ATM operating‑expense ratio to decline ~100 bps and consolidated Opex% to fall ~80 bps. CapEx will be aggressive: add ~USD1.5B of machinery on top of 2025’s USD3.4B (totaling ~USD4.9B), with about two‑thirds for LEAP, and buildings/facilities investment at a level similar to 2025’s USD2.1B; management also expects an effective tax rate of about 18% for 2026.

ASE Technology Holding Co Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Operating performance improved (modest revenue growth and better gross/net margins), and the balance sheet is serviceable with moderate leverage. However, cash generation is a key weakness: 2025 free cash flow turned sharply negative and did not cover net income, increasing near-term financial flexibility risk.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Revenue has grown modestly in the latest year (2025: +3.3%) after a decline in 2023, showing a return to expansion but not a strong acceleration. Profitability improved versus 2024, with gross margin rising (17.6% vs 15.4%) and net margin also higher (6.3% vs 5.5%), indicating better cost control and mix. However, profitability remains well below the 2021–2022 peak levels (net margin ~9–11%), highlighting a more normalized margin environment and some cyclicality risk.
Balance Sheet
66
Positive
Leverage is moderate: debt-to-equity increased to 0.76 in 2025 from 0.63 in 2024, signaling a higher reliance on debt financing. Equity has grown over time, providing a reasonable buffer, and return on equity improved to 11.7% in 2025 (from 10.4% in 2024), though still far below the elevated 2021–2022 returns. Overall balance sheet looks serviceable, but the trend toward higher leverage is a key watch item.
Cash Flow
42
Neutral
Cash generation is the weakest area. Operating cash flow improved in 2025, but free cash flow turned sharply negative (-20.0B) after being slightly positive in 2024, and free cash flow declined materially year over year. Free cash flow also did not cover net income in 2025 (negative relative to profits), suggesting heavier investment/capex or working-capital drag. While prior years show the business can generate strong free cash flow (notably 2023), the latest swing adds volatility and reduces financial flexibility near-term.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue648.92B607.72B574.18B679.14B564.46B
Gross Profit114.82B93.49B85.73B132.56B104.89B
EBITDA118.84B108.53B103.37B140.56B134.64B
Net Income40.88B33.15B31.30B62.86B63.29B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets889.33B741.06B667.39B707.59B673.27B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments101.70B85.87B71.97B65.60B79.15B
Total Debt264.10B201.41B179.22B190.07B215.68B
Total Liabilities515.97B398.79B352.64B394.31B405.09B
Stockholders Equity346.90B320.03B294.48B294.67B253.63B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-20.01B2.97B51.09B30.98B7.62B
Operating Cash Flow143.03B84.74B104.56B105.21B78.79B
Investing Cash Flow-166.55B-86.53B-54.87B-75.98B-54.95B
Financing Cash Flow45.52B-6.53B-47.97B-62.11B524.22M

ASE Technology Holding Co Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price14.40
Price Trends
50DMA
18.80
Positive
100DMA
16.26
Positive
200DMA
13.22
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.47
Negative
RSI
71.10
Negative
STOCH
74.63
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ASX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 14.4 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 21.53, below the 50-day MA of 18.80, and above the 200-day MA of 13.22, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.47 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 71.10 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 74.63 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ASX.

ASE Technology Holding Co Risk Analysis

ASE Technology Holding Co disclosed 51 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. ASE Technology Holding Co reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

ASE Technology Holding Co Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$27.14B19.4411.43%6.06%5.87%-20.93%
69
Neutral
$26.46B29.867.80%0.25%-106.22%
68
Neutral
$12.00B31.288.67%0.81%0.13%-16.17%
64
Neutral
$27.59B209.801.47%-16.13%-81.06%
64
Neutral
$30.28B178.330.93%1.28%-17.33%-76.71%
63
Neutral
$53.29B39.0612.53%2.29%8.01%10.41%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ASX
ASE Technology Holding Co
24.82
14.46
139.67%
AMKR
Amkor
48.53
27.12
126.62%
ON
ON Semiconductor
70.03
18.81
36.72%
STM
STMicroelectronics
34.05
7.36
27.56%
UMC
United Micro
10.92
4.72
76.21%
GFS
GlobalFoundries Inc
47.62
6.98
17.18%

ASE Technology Holding Co Corporate Events

ASE Technology Holding Posts Strong January 2026 Revenue Growth
Feb 10, 2026

On February 10, 2026, ASE Technology Holding Co., Ltd. reported unaudited consolidated net revenues for January 2026, with group sales rising to NT$59.99 billion (US$1.91 billion), up 1.9% from December 2025 and 21.3% year on year. The ATM assembly, testing and materials segment generated NT$37.64 billion (US$1.20 billion) in January, essentially flat month on month but up sharply from a year earlier, underscoring strong recovery in demand for outsourced semiconductor services and reinforcing ASE’s position in the global chip packaging and testing supply chain.

The most recent analyst rating on (ASX) stock is a Buy with a $23.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ASE Technology Holding Co stock, see the ASX Stock Forecast page.

ASE Technology Holding Posts Strong 4Q25 and 2025 Results on Surging Semiconductor Packaging Margins
Feb 5, 2026

On February 5, 2026, ASE Technology Holding Co., Ltd. reported unaudited consolidated financial results for the fourth quarter and full year 2025, showing a solid rebound in profitability led by its core semiconductor packaging and testing business. Fourth-quarter 2025 net revenues rose 9.6% year-on-year and 5.5% sequentially to NT$177,915 million, with net income attributable to shareholders jumping to NT$14,713 million from NT$9,312 million a year earlier, as gross margin improved to 19.5% and operating margin to 9.9%. For full-year 2025, ASEH generated net revenues of NT$645,388 million, up 8.4% from 2024, and net income of NT$40,658 million, with gross and operating margins expanding to 17.7% and 7.9%, respectively. The ATM segment drove much of the improvement, with 4Q25 net revenues up 24.2% year-on-year and gross margin rising to 26.3%, while the EMS segment saw a 7.9% year-on-year decline in fourth-quarter revenues and slight margin compression. Overall, the results highlight ASEH’s strengthening earnings power in higher-margin semiconductor services even as its EMS operations face softer demand, an important signal for investors tracking the company’s mix shift and competitive positioning in the global semiconductor value chain.

The most recent analyst rating on (ASX) stock is a Hold with a $20.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ASE Technology Holding Co stock, see the ASX Stock Forecast page.

ASE Technology Holding Posts Strong 2025 Growth and Projects Further AI-Driven Expansion in 2026
Feb 5, 2026

On February 5, 2026, ASE Technology Holding reported unaudited results for the fourth quarter and full year 2025, highlighting strong growth driven by advanced packaging and testing services. Consolidated 2025 revenue rose 8% year-on-year to NT$645.4 billion, with assembly, testing and material (ATM) revenues up 20%, gross profit up 18%, and net income attributable to shareholders up 25%, while Q4 2025 quarterly net revenues increased 10% year-on-year and net income jumped 58%. In U.S. dollar terms, 2025 consolidated revenue grew 12%, supported by a 23% rise in ATM revenue, a 36% expansion in the testing business, and LEAP services surging to US$1.6 billion, alongside aggressive capital expenditures of US$3.4 billion on machinery and US$2.1 billion on buildings, facilities and automation to expand leading-edge capabilities. Management signaled confidence that revenue momentum will continue into 2026 and beyond, projecting LEAP services within the ATM segment to double to US$3.2 billion and to outpace the broader logic semiconductor market, while increasing investment in R&D, human capital, advanced capacity, and smart factory infrastructure to capture AI-driven demand and reinforce the company’s competitive position within Taiwan’s semiconductor cluster.

The most recent analyst rating on (ASX) stock is a Hold with a $20.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ASE Technology Holding Co stock, see the ASX Stock Forecast page.

ASE Technology Holding Posts Strong 2025 Revenue Growth on Surging ATM Business
Jan 9, 2026

On January 9, 2026, ASE Technology Holding Co. reported unaudited consolidated net revenues for December, the fourth quarter and full year 2025, showing solid year-on-year growth across its operations. December 2025 net revenues rose 11.3% year-on-year in New Taiwan dollars to NT$58.9 billion, while fourth-quarter revenues increased 9.6% from a year earlier to NT$177.9 billion and 5.5% sequentially, underscoring robust demand into year-end. For full-year 2025, consolidated revenues climbed 8.4% in NT$ to NT$645.4 billion (US$20.8 billion), highlighting ASE’s strengthened position in the global semiconductor services market after a recovery over 2024. The company’s ATM assembly, testing and material segment outpaced the group overall, with December ATM revenues up 25.9% year-on-year and 4.2% month-on-month, and full-year ATM revenues jumping 19.4% in NT$ and 23.2% in US$, suggesting continued share gains and strong utilization in its core packaging and testing business, which is a key driver for margins and long-term competitiveness.

The most recent analyst rating on (ASX) stock is a Hold with a $54.85 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ASE Technology Holding Co stock, see the ASX Stock Forecast page.

ASE Technology Reports November 2025 Revenue Growth
Dec 9, 2025

On December 9, 2025, ASE Technology Holding Co., Ltd. announced its unaudited consolidated net revenues for November 2025, reporting NT$58,820 million (approximately US$1,903 million). This represents a sequential decrease of 2.3% in NT$ and 3.9% in US$, but a year-over-year increase of 11.1% in NT$ and 15.5% in US$. The ATM assembly, testing, and material business segment saw a slight sequential increase of 0.1% in NT$ but a 23.6% year-over-year rise. These figures highlight ASE’s robust growth compared to the previous year, despite a slight monthly decline, indicating a strong market position and resilience in the semiconductor industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (ASX) stock is a Hold with a $15.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ASE Technology Holding Co stock, see the ASX Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 07, 2026