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GlobalFoundries Inc (GFS)
NASDAQ:GFS

GlobalFoundries Inc (GFS) AI Stock Analysis

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GFS

GlobalFoundries Inc

(NASDAQ:GFS)

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Neutral 63 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
$40.00
▲(11.76% Upside)
GlobalFoundries Inc's overall stock score is driven by strong technical momentum and positive earnings call highlights, particularly in high-growth areas like silicon photonics and automotive. However, financial performance concerns, especially in profitability and valuation challenges, weigh down the score.
Positive Factors
Strategic Partnerships
The partnership with Navitas Semiconductor to develop GaN technology strengthens GlobalFoundries' position in high-power markets, enhancing its competitive edge in AI datacenters and industrial electrification.
Silicon Photonics Expansion
The acquisition of Advanced Micro Foundry enhances GlobalFoundries' silicon photonics capabilities, crucial for AI infrastructure, and supports long-term growth in telecom and automotive sectors.
Automotive Market Growth
Strong growth in the automotive sector, which now represents a significant portion of revenue, indicates robust demand and positions GlobalFoundries well in a key growth market.
Negative Factors
Decline in Smart Mobile Device Revenue
The decline in smart mobile device revenue highlights challenges in this segment, potentially impacting overall revenue growth and market competitiveness in consumer electronics.
Profitability Challenges
Ongoing profitability challenges, as reflected in negative profit margins, could hinder GlobalFoundries' ability to reinvest in growth opportunities and maintain financial health.
Revenue Decline
Significant revenue decline indicates potential issues in demand or market share, posing risks to GlobalFoundries' long-term growth and financial stability.

GlobalFoundries Inc (GFS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

GlobalFoundries Inc Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGLOBALFOUNDRIES Inc. operates as a semiconductor foundry worldwide. It manufactures integrated circuits, which enable various electronic devices that are pervasive. The company manufactures a range of semiconductor devices, including microprocessors, mobile application processors, baseband processors, network processors, radio frequency modems, microcontrollers, power management units, and microelectromechanical systems, as well as offers mainstream wafer fabrication services and technologies. The company was founded in 2009 and is based in Malta, New York.
How the Company Makes MoneyGlobalFoundries generates revenue primarily through its semiconductor manufacturing services, charging clients for the production of silicon wafers based on customer specifications and technology nodes. The company's revenue model is built on contract manufacturing agreements, where clients pay for the fabrication of their designs, often with varying pricing structures depending on the complexity and volume of production. Key revenue streams include sales of semiconductor chips for different applications, including consumer electronics and industrial uses. Additionally, GlobalFoundries benefits from long-term partnerships with major tech firms, which provide stable demand for its services. The company also invests in research and development to create proprietary technologies, which can lead to higher margins and attract new clients seeking advanced manufacturing capabilities.

GlobalFoundries Inc Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by End Market
Revenue by End Market
Analyzes revenue generated from different sectors, highlighting which markets are driving growth and where the company might face challenges or opportunities.
Chart InsightsGlobalFoundries is experiencing robust growth in the automotive and communications infrastructure segments, with automotive revenue up 36% year-over-year, now comprising nearly a quarter of total wafer revenue. This aligns with the company's strategic focus and design win momentum. However, the smart mobile devices segment faces challenges with declining revenue due to pricing adjustments and customer payment reductions. Despite these hurdles, the company remains optimistic about future growth, driven by strategic acquisitions and a focus on high-margin markets, while managing potential tariff impacts and geopolitical uncertainties.
Data provided by:The Fly

GlobalFoundries Inc Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 12, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 17, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a strong performance in key growth areas, such as silicon photonics and automotive, with significant investment in US manufacturing. However, there were notable declines in smart mobile devices and IoT revenue, and a sequential decline in automotive revenue.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
GF delivered a strong third quarter with revenue, gross margin, operating margin, and earnings per share at the high end of guidance ranges. Gross margin expanded year-over-year by 130 basis points.
Silicon Photonics Growth
Silicon photonics is on track to reach over $200 million of revenue in 2025, nearly doubling year-over-year. The company won three optical networking designs worth over $150 million in projected lifetime revenue.
Automotive Market Expansion
Automotive revenue increased 20% year-over-year, and the sector now comprises around a quarter of GF's wafer revenue. Expected to approach $1.5 billion of annual revenue in 2025.
Record Design Wins
GF secured nearly 150 new design wins in Q3, more than 50% growth from the same quarter a year ago.
Onshoring Initiatives
GF announced a $16 billion investment to expand US manufacturing and advanced packaging capabilities, supported by major customers like Apple and AMD.
Negative Updates
Decline in Smart Mobile Device Revenue
Smart mobile devices revenue decreased approximately 13% year-over-year, driven by one-time pricing adjustments.
Home and Industrial IoT Revenue Decline
Revenue in the Home and Industrial IoT segment decreased approximately 16% year-over-year, primarily due to a reduction in wafer revenue associated with aerospace and defense applications.
Automotive Revenue Sequential Decline
Automotive revenue decreased approximately 17% sequentially due to customer shipment timings.
Company Guidance
During the GLOBALFOUNDRIES Inc. Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results Conference Call, the company provided guidance for the fourth quarter of fiscal 2025. They expect total revenue to be approximately $1.8 billion, with non-wafer revenue anticipated to be around 13% of total revenue. Gross margin is projected to be approximately 28.5%, plus or minus 100 basis points. Operating expenses, excluding share-based compensation, are expected to be $210 million, plus or minus $10 million. The operating margin is expected to be around 16.8%, plus or minus 170 basis points. Net interest and other income are projected between $4 million and $12 million, with income tax expense ranging from $40 million to $62 million. With a fully diluted share count of approximately 559 million shares, diluted earnings per share for the fourth quarter are expected to be $0.47, plus or minus $0.05. The company remains focused on capital allocation, reinvesting in the business, and planning a systematic approach to returning free cash flow to shareholders.

GlobalFoundries Inc Financial Statement Overview

Summary
GlobalFoundries Inc faces challenges in revenue growth and profitability, with a negative net profit margin and declining revenue. However, the balance sheet is stable with low leverage, and cash flow trends are positive, indicating efficient cash generation.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
GlobalFoundries Inc has experienced a decline in revenue growth, with a negative growth rate of -74.5% in the TTM period. The company is facing challenges in profitability, as indicated by a negative net profit margin of -1.68% and a negative EBIT margin. However, the gross profit margin remains positive at 23.76%, suggesting some operational efficiency. The EBITDA margin of 21.37% indicates that the company is still generating positive cash flow from operations.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The balance sheet of GlobalFoundries Inc shows a stable financial position with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.15, indicating conservative leverage. However, the return on equity is negative at -1.03%, reflecting challenges in generating returns for shareholders. The equity ratio stands at a healthy level, suggesting a strong capital structure.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
The cash flow statement reveals a positive trend in free cash flow growth, with a 13.66% increase in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.66, indicating efficient cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.64 suggests that the company is effectively converting its earnings into cash.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue6.79B6.75B7.39B8.11B6.58B4.85B
Gross Profit1.63B1.65B2.10B2.24B1.01B-712.00M
EBITDA2.13B1.50B2.64B3.25B1.54B1.29B
Net Income-44.00M-265.00M1.02B1.45B-250.00M-1.35B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets16.71B16.80B18.04B17.84B15.03B12.32B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.28B3.39B3.47B3.05B2.96B908.08M
Total Debt1.66B2.32B2.75B2.86B2.44B2.80B
Total Liabilities4.94B5.97B6.89B7.88B7.00B5.08B
Stockholders Equity11.71B10.78B11.10B9.91B7.97B7.18B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.17B1.10B321.00M-435.00M1.07B412.00M
Operating Cash Flow1.81B1.72B2.13B2.62B2.84B1.00B
Investing Cash Flow-839.00M-1.13B-1.88B-4.06B-1.45B-366.00M
Financing Cash Flow-1.24B-785.00M-212.00M842.00M650.00M-733.00M

GlobalFoundries Inc Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price35.79
Price Trends
50DMA
35.65
Positive
100DMA
34.63
Positive
200DMA
36.00
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.31
Positive
RSI
44.87
Neutral
STOCH
7.80
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GFS, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 35.79 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 37.40, above the 50-day MA of 35.65, and below the 200-day MA of 36.00, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.31 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 44.87 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 7.80 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GFS.

GlobalFoundries Inc Risk Analysis

GlobalFoundries Inc disclosed 66 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. GlobalFoundries Inc reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

GlobalFoundries Inc Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$22.41B72.673.87%-16.13%-81.06%
71
Outperform
$20.02B15.4510.97%6.06%5.87%-20.93%
69
Neutral
$32.54B29.8911.17%2.29%8.01%10.41%
69
Neutral
$10.10B32.937.27%0.81%0.13%-16.17%
63
Neutral
$19.89B-429.14-0.38%0.25%-106.22%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
57
Neutral
$23.21B45.823.00%1.28%-17.33%-76.71%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GFS
GlobalFoundries Inc
35.79
-8.75
-19.65%
ASX
ASE Technology Holding Co
15.53
5.42
53.61%
AMKR
Amkor
40.86
14.83
56.97%
ON
ON Semiconductor
55.69
-11.33
-16.91%
STM
STMicroelectronics
26.06
0.82
3.25%
UMC
United Micro
7.97
1.60
25.12%

GlobalFoundries Inc Corporate Events

GlobalFoundries Releases Q3 2025 Financial Results
Nov 12, 2025

GlobalFoundries Inc. released its unaudited interim financial statements for the period ending September 30, 2025. The report highlights a decrease in cash and cash equivalents from $2,192 million at the end of 2024 to $2,016 million as of September 2025, indicating potential cash flow challenges. Additionally, the company experienced a reduction in property, plant, and equipment, which may impact its production capacity. These financial results could influence GlobalFoundries’ strategic decisions and stakeholder confidence.

GlobalFoundries Announces Strong Q3 2025 Results and Strategic Expansions
Nov 12, 2025

GlobalFoundries reported strong financial results for the third quarter of 2025, with revenue reaching $1.688 billion and a net income of $249 million. The company saw significant growth in its automotive and communications infrastructure markets, alongside advancements in its silicon photonics and FDX platforms. Recent strategic moves include the release of the Complementary Bi-CMOS platform and an expanded partnership with Silicon Labs to enhance semiconductor supply in the U.S. Additionally, GlobalFoundries plans to increase production capacity in its Dresden facility, supported by incentives from the European Chips Act, to better serve key customers in Europe.

GlobalFoundries Announces CFO Transition Amid Strong Quarterly Outlook
Oct 27, 2025

On October 27, 2025, GlobalFoundries announced the departure of its Chief Financial Officer, John Hollister, for personal reasons. Sam Franklin, the Senior Vice President of Business Finance, Operations, and Investor Relations, will serve as Interim CFO while the company searches for a permanent replacement. The transition is expected to be smooth due to Franklin’s extensive experience and familiarity with the company’s operations. GlobalFoundries remains committed to its strategic priorities and anticipates its quarterly results to meet or exceed previous guidance.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 03, 2025