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GlobalFoundries Inc (GFS)
NASDAQ:GFS
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GlobalFoundries Inc (GFS) AI Stock Analysis

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GFS

GlobalFoundries Inc

(NASDAQ:GFS)

Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:
$34.00
▲(1.83% Upside)
GlobalFoundries Inc's overall stock score is driven by mixed financial performance, with strong revenue growth but profitability challenges. The earnings call provided a positive outlook with exceeded expectations and strategic growth initiatives. However, technical indicators and valuation metrics reflect bearish sentiment and ongoing profitability issues, which weigh down the overall score.
Positive Factors
Design Wins
GFS has secured over 200 design wins across all end markets, especially in automotive, data center, and IoT.
Government Support
Investments under the CHIPS Act in the U.S. are driving expansions at GFS’s New York facility, supported by approximately USD1.5 billion in federal funding.
Sector Growth
Autos are expected to grow double digits, with CID growth in the high teens, above the forecast.
Negative Factors
Average Selling Prices
The average selling price of wafers is declining, indicating increased competitive pressures.
Macroeconomic Challenges
Macroeconomic headwinds are expected to affect consumer-related mobile and IoT segments.
Pricing Power
GFS has low pricing power due to a high smartphone mix, affecting its ability to raise prices.

GlobalFoundries Inc (GFS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

GlobalFoundries Inc Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGLOBALFOUNDRIES Inc. operates as a semiconductor foundry worldwide. It manufactures integrated circuits, which enable various electronic devices that are pervasive. The company manufactures a range of semiconductor devices, including microprocessors, mobile application processors, baseband processors, network processors, radio frequency modems, microcontrollers, power management units, and microelectromechanical systems, as well as offers mainstream wafer fabrication services and technologies. The company was founded in 2009 and is based in Malta, New York.
How the Company Makes MoneyGlobalFoundries Inc primarily makes money by manufacturing semiconductors for a diverse client base. The company operates on a 'fabless' model, where it does not produce its own branded semiconductor products but instead manufactures chips for other companies. Revenue is generated through multi-year contracts with these clients, who rely on GlobalFoundries' expertise in producing high-quality, customized semiconductor solutions. The company benefits from strategic partnerships with major technology firms, which provide a steady stream of orders and revenue. Additionally, GlobalFoundries invests in research and development to maintain its competitive edge and expand its portfolio of technology offerings, further contributing to its earnings.

GlobalFoundries Inc Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 05, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 11, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
GlobalFoundries reported a strong quarter with financial performance exceeding expectations, marked by significant growth in automotive and data center markets, and continued design win momentum. Despite a decline in smart mobile devices revenue and pricing challenges, the company's strategic initiatives and acquisitions position it well for future growth.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Exceeded Guidance for Key Financial Metrics
GlobalFoundries delivered strong financial results in Q2 2025, exceeding the guidance midpoints for revenue, gross margin, and operating margin. Earnings per share exceeded the high end of the guidance range.
Record Automotive Revenue Growth
Automotive end market grew over 36% year-over-year and comprised nearly 1/4 of total wafer revenue. The company secured design wins across various automotive applications.
Strong Design Win Momentum
Secured nearly 200 design wins across end markets in Q2, a new quarterly record and almost double the number from a year ago.
High Growth in Communications Infrastructure and Data Center
This segment grew double-digit percentage year-over-year in Q2, with high-teens percentage revenue growth expected in 2025.
Successful Strategic Initiatives
Announced a definitive agreement to acquire MIPS, a leading supplier of AI and processor IP, expected to close later this year.
Negative Updates
Smart Mobile Devices Revenue Decline
Revenue in the smart mobile devices end market declined year-over-year due to a reduction in customer underutilization payments and ASP adjustments.
Slower Recovery in IoT Markets
The smart mobile devices and home and industrial IoT end markets experienced slower recovery due to geopolitical uncertainties and global trade tensions.
Challenges in ASP and Pricing
Expected year-over-year ASP declines in the second half of the year for smart mobile devices and to a lesser degree, for GF overall, due to strategic pricing adjustments.
Potential Impact of Tariffs
Potential supply chain cost impacts associated with tariff uncertainties are expected, though limited to roughly $20 million in the second half of 2025.
Company Guidance
During the GlobalFoundries Q2 2025 earnings call, the company reported financial results that exceeded the guidance midpoints for revenue, gross margin, and operating margin. Revenue reached $1.688 billion, representing a 6% increase sequentially and a 3% rise year-over-year, with 581,000 300-millimeter equivalent wafers shipped, marking a 7% sequential and a 12% year-over-year increase. Earnings per share surpassed the high end of their guidance range, reflecting strong profitability focus. Automotive and communications infrastructure and data center end markets showed double-digit year-over-year revenue growth, with automotive up 36% and communications infrastructure and data center up 11%. The company generated $277 million in adjusted free cash flow and remains on track to achieve over $1 billion in adjusted free cash flow for the year. Looking forward, GlobalFoundries expects third-quarter revenue of $1.675 billion with a gross margin of approximately 25.5%, and they anticipate continued growth in high-margin end markets and stabilization of consumer-centric goods demand.

GlobalFoundries Inc Financial Statement Overview

Summary
GlobalFoundries Inc. shows a mixed financial health profile. The balance sheet is robust with low leverage, but the income statement reveals operational inefficiencies and profitability challenges. Cash flows are strong but declining, indicating potential liquidity concerns if not addressed.
Income Statement
55
Neutral
The income statement shows a volatile trend with revenue declining from $8.1B in 2022 to $6.786B TTM but with slight growth compared to the previous year. Gross profit margin TTM is approximately 23.76%, down from 28.28% in 2022, indicating reduced efficiency. The net profit margin is negative due to losses, impacting the overall profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have also deteriorated, reflecting operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a solid equity base with a debt-to-equity ratio of approximately 0.15 TTM, indicating low leverage. The equity ratio is strong at about 67.09%, offering financial stability. However, the declining equity from 2022 to TTM suggests potential risks if trends continue.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a strong operating cash flow to net income ratio, indicating solid cash generation relative to reported losses. The free cash flow remains positive, though it has declined from the previous year, reflecting less cash available after capital expenditures. The free cash flow growth rate has been negative, highlighting a potential concern.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue6.84B6.75B7.39B8.11B6.58B4.85B
Gross Profit1.63B1.65B2.10B2.24B1.01B-712.72M
EBITDA1.46B1.50B2.64B3.27B1.56B1.31B
Net Income-115.00M-265.00M1.02B1.45B-254.00M-1.35B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets16.80B16.80B18.04B17.84B15.03B12.32B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.10B3.39B3.47B2.97B2.94B908.08M
Total Debt1.68B2.32B2.75B2.51B2.01B2.80B
Total Liabilities5.12B5.97B6.89B7.88B7.00B5.08B
Stockholders Equity11.41B10.78B11.10B9.91B8.03B7.18B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.02B1.10B321.00M-435.00M1.07B413.41M
Operating Cash Flow1.59B1.72B2.13B2.62B2.84B1.01B
Investing Cash Flow-773.00M-1.13B-1.88B-4.06B-1.45B-366.17M
Financing Cash Flow-1.22B-785.00M-212.00M842.00M650.00M-732.74M

GlobalFoundries Inc Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price33.39
Price Trends
50DMA
37.10
Negative
100DMA
36.63
Negative
200DMA
38.89
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.95
Negative
RSI
41.00
Neutral
STOCH
51.02
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GFS, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 33.39 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 33.36, below the 50-day MA of 37.10, and below the 200-day MA of 38.89, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.95 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 41.00 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 51.02 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GFS.

GlobalFoundries Inc Risk Analysis

GlobalFoundries Inc disclosed 66 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. GlobalFoundries Inc reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

GlobalFoundries Inc Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$5.98B19.747.37%3.03%-1.20%-19.46%
72
Outperform
$16.63B13.2810.98%7.34%5.46%-26.72%
69
Neutral
$20.28B46.275.72%-17.93%-75.83%
68
Neutral
$24.40B39.353.72%1.13%-22.97%-78.58%
67
Neutral
$21.42B20.2010.97%3.59%4.86%6.44%
61
Neutral
$35.45B7.89-10.11%1.88%8.47%-9.45%
54
Neutral
$18.46B28.15-1.01%-0.65%-114.26%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GFS
GlobalFoundries Inc
33.39
-9.29
-21.77%
ASX
ASE Technology Holding Co
9.91
1.03
11.60%
AMKR
Amkor
24.19
-4.63
-16.07%
ON
ON Semiconductor
49.59
-21.17
-29.92%
STM
STMicroelectronics
26.99
-2.26
-7.73%
UMC
United Micro
6.58
-1.29
-16.39%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 19, 2025