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Globalfoundries Inc. (GFS)
NASDAQ:GFS

GlobalFoundries Inc (GFS) AI Stock Analysis

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GFS

GlobalFoundries Inc

(NASDAQ:GFS)

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Neutral 69 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
$48.00
▲(2.30% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/12/26
The score is driven primarily by solid financial footing (low leverage and strong cash generation) and a constructive technical trend. Earnings-call signals are supportive (margin expansion, design wins, acquisitions and buyback) but tempered by near-term revenue softness and investment-driven free-cash-flow pressure. Valuation is a clear drag due to the provided negative P/E and lack of a dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Conservative balance sheet
Very low leverage and a strong capital base materially reduce refinancing and solvency risk for a capital-intensive foundry. This financial flexibility supports sustained investments, capacity expansions and opportunistic buybacks while buffering cyclical downturns over the next 2–6 months.
Strong cash generation
Consistent positive operating and free cash flow provides durable internal funding for R&D, fabs and strategic M&A without overreliance on external financing. Record FCF and healthy operating cash cushions investment cycles and supports capital returns while enabling planned capex increases.
Expanding TAM & design-win momentum
Rapid design-win accumulation and accelerating silicon photonics growth broaden addressable markets (AI/data center, comms, automotive). High sole-source rate implies sticky relationships and future volume visibility, strengthening long-term revenue streams and competitive positioning.
Negative Factors
Higher capex burden
A planned material step-up in capex will compress free cash flow margins and increase near-term cash absorption. Execution and timing of large investments (fabs, photonics, packaging) are critical; delays or cost overruns could materially reduce cash available for other priorities over the next 2–6 months.
Flat revenue & near-term visibility
Minimal full-year growth and an indicated Q1 sequential decline highlight limited top-line momentum and demand visibility. For a capacity-driven foundry, flat revenue pressures utilization and could delay return-on-investment for new capacity, constraining sustainable earnings growth.
Concentration & mix risk from mobile
High exposure to smart mobile, which is experiencing notable declines, creates revenue and ASP sensitivity. Pricing adjustments and dual-sourcing dynamics can depress margins and complicate mix improvements, leaving earnings and utilization exposed if mobile weakness persists.

GlobalFoundries Inc (GFS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

GlobalFoundries Inc Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGLOBALFOUNDRIES Inc. operates as a semiconductor foundry worldwide. It manufactures integrated circuits, which enable various electronic devices that are pervasive. The company manufactures a range of semiconductor devices, including microprocessors, mobile application processors, baseband processors, network processors, radio frequency modems, microcontrollers, power management units, and microelectromechanical systems, as well as offers mainstream wafer fabrication services and technologies. The company was founded in 2009 and is based in Malta, New York.
How the Company Makes MoneyGlobalFoundries generates revenue primarily through its semiconductor manufacturing services, charging clients for the production of silicon wafers based on customer specifications and technology nodes. The company's revenue model is built on contract manufacturing agreements, where clients pay for the fabrication of their designs, often with varying pricing structures depending on the complexity and volume of production. Key revenue streams include sales of semiconductor chips for different applications, including consumer electronics and industrial uses. Additionally, GlobalFoundries benefits from long-term partnerships with major tech firms, which provide stable demand for its services. The company also invests in research and development to create proprietary technologies, which can lead to higher margins and attract new clients seeking advanced manufacturing capabilities.

GlobalFoundries Inc Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by End Market
Revenue by End Market
Analyzes revenue generated from different sectors, highlighting which markets are driving growth and where the company might face challenges or opportunities.
Chart InsightsGlobalFoundries Inc. is experiencing robust growth in the automotive sector, now a significant revenue driver, despite a recent sequential decline due to shipment timings. The company is investing heavily in US manufacturing, which could bolster future growth. However, smart mobile devices and IoT segments are facing challenges, with notable revenue declines due to pricing adjustments and reduced wafer revenue. The strategic focus on silicon photonics and automotive, coupled with record design wins, suggests a shift towards more resilient and high-growth areas, potentially offsetting weaknesses in other segments.
Data provided by:The Fly

GlobalFoundries Inc Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 11, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call emphasized strong margin expansion, record free cash flow, accelerating design-win momentum, strategic acquisitions (silicon photonics and processor IP) and a solid balance sheet enabling a $500M repurchase. Growth pockets were substantial — communications infrastructure & data center (+29% YoY), automotive (+17% YoY) and a doubled silicon photonics base — supporting a positive multi-year thesis. Near-term weaknesses include smart mobile and some IoT declines, a flat full-year revenue profile, an expected sequential Q1 decline, and an intentional increase in 2026 CapEx that will reduce free cash flow margin. On balance, the positive operational and financial momentum, coupled with strategic acquisitions and record cash generation, outweigh the short-term headwinds and investment-driven pressures.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Q4 Revenue and Shipments
Q4 revenue of $1.83B, up 8% sequentially and flat year-over-year; shipped ~619,300 300mm-equivalent wafers in the quarter (+3% sequential, +4% YoY).
Full-Year Revenue, Shipments and Utilization
Full year revenue of ~$6.791B (+1% YoY); shipped ~2.3M 300mm-equivalent wafers in 2025 (+10% YoY) with utilization ~85% for the year.
Gross Margin and Profitability Expansion
Q4 gross margin ~29% (gross profit $530M), up ~300 bps sequentially and ~360 bps YoY; full-year gross margin 26.1% (+80 bps YoY). Q4 operating margin 18.3% (operating profit $335M), up 270 bps YoY; full-year operating margin 15.7% (+210 bps YoY).
Earnings and Cash Flow Strength
Q4 net income ~$310M (diluted EPS $0.55); full-year net income ~$965M (diluted EPS $1.72, +10% YoY). Adjusted free cash flow Q4 $264M (14% margin); full year adjusted free cash flow $1.2B (17% margin), a company record.
Balance Sheet & Capital Return
Cash, cash equivalents and marketable securities of ~ $4.0B; total debt $1.2B and $1.0B undrawn revolver. Board authorized up to $500M share repurchase program.
Silicon Photonics & Communications Infrastructure Momentum
Silicon photonics revenue roughly doubled in 2025 to >$200M and Q4 communications infrastructure & data center revenue grew ~32% YoY (29% for full year). Company expects to nearly double silicon photonics again in 2026 and targets a $1B run-rate by end of 2028.
Design Win and Customer Momentum
Recorded >500 design wins in 2025 (company record) with >95% sole-source design wins; new customer engagements across hyperscalers, automotive OEMs, mobile OEMs/fabless, and industrial IDMs indicating broadening TAM and future production opportunities.
Strategic Acquisitions to Accelerate Roadmaps
Acquisitions of AMF and InfiniLink (silicon photonics), MIPS and announced Synopsys ARC IP (processor IP) to accelerate silicon photonics and physical AI offerings. Management expects MIPS to contribute $60–$100M in 2026 and AMF roughly $75M; these are described as margin-accretive (~+1 point incremental margin in 2026 aggregate).
Negative Updates
Smart Mobile Revenue Pressure
Smart mobile devices represented ~36% of Q4 revenue but declined ~13% sequentially and ~11% YoY in Q4; full-year smart mobile revenue down ~12% YoY, driven in part by GF-initiated one-time pricing adjustments with dual-sourced mobile customers.
Home & Industrial IoT Softness
Home & Industrial IoT Q4 revenue rose ~17% sequentially but fell ~15% YoY; full-year IoT revenue declined ~6% YoY, with recovery expected to be skewed to the second half of 2026.
Flat Annual Revenue and Q1 Sequential Downshift
Q4 revenue was flat YoY and full-year revenue grew only ~1% YoY. Guidance for Q1 2026 of $1.625B implies a sequential decline of ~11.2% vs Q4, signaling near-term seasonal/visibility headwinds.
Higher CapEx Plan and Lower FCF Margin Guidance for 2026
2025 net CapEx ~$574M (8% of revenue). Company guides 2026 net CapEx of 15–20% of revenue to support capacity build (silicon photonics, FDX, SiGe, advanced packaging), and expects full-year free cash flow margin to decline to ~10% (vs 17% in 2025), reflecting heavier investment.
Mixed Short-Term Revenue Mix & Pricing Risks
Enterprise mix shift is improving margins, but ASP/wafer mix risk remains: smart mobile weakness and the need to integrate new non-wafer/IP revenues create execution and timing risks; management noted tool-sale and grant timing effects that may increase near-term OpEx.
Management Transition Risk
President & COO Niels Anderskouv announced departure (this was his last earnings call), introducing a leadership transition that may present short-term execution or continuity risk.
Company Guidance
GlobalFoundries guided Q1 2026 revenue of $1.625 billion, plus or minus $25 million, with non‑wafer revenue expected to be 10–12% of total (up from an 8–12% range in prior years); gross margin of ~27% ±100 bps; total operating expenses excluding share‑based compensation of $225 million ± $10 million (with a similar quarterly run rate expected in H1); and operating margin of 13.2% ±180 bps. At the midpoint, share‑based compensation is expected to be about $63 million (roughly $16 million in COGS), net interest and other income $2–10 million, income tax expense $17–35 million (full‑year effective tax rate expected in the high‑teens), and diluted EPS of $0.35 ± $0.05 based on ~560 million fully diluted shares. For full‑year 2026 GF expects non‑IFRS net CapEx of 15–20% of revenue, an adjusted free cash flow margin of approximately 10% of revenue, and noted that net CapEx may vary quarter‑to‑quarter depending on timing of spend and government grants.

GlobalFoundries Inc Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Overall fundamentals are solid: low leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.14) and strong positive operating cash flow (~$1.7B) and free cash flow (~$1.0B) support resilience. Offsetting this, revenue growth is flat in the TTM period and profitability has been cyclical (loss in 2024), with only moderate gross margin (~24% TTM) and some cash conversion drag from ongoing capex needs.
Income Statement
61
Positive
Profitability has improved materially versus 2024, with TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) showing solid operating profitability (about 12% operating margin) and healthy EBITDA margin (~31%). However, revenue growth is flat in the TTM period and results have been volatile across the cycle (strong 2022–2023 profitability followed by a loss in 2024). Gross margin remains moderate (~24% TTM) and below the stronger 2022–2023 level, suggesting pricing/mix and/or cost pressure risk if demand softens.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet looks conservatively financed, with low leverage in TTM (debt-to-equity ~0.14) and a large equity base relative to total assets. Debt has trended down from prior years, improving resilience for a capital-intensive semiconductor manufacturer. The key weakness is returns: return on equity is slightly negative in TTM and was negative in 2024, indicating that despite strong capitalization, earnings power has not been consistently strong.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Cash generation is a clear strength: TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) operating cash flow (~$1.7B) and free cash flow (~$1.0B) are both solidly positive. That said, free cash flow is down versus the prior year period (negative growth rate in TTM), and cash conversion is not perfect—free cash flow is meaningfully below net income in TTM (roughly two-thirds), pointing to reinvestment/capex needs and potential variability in how much accounting profit turns into cash.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue6.79B6.75B7.39B8.11B6.58B
Gross Profit1.71B1.65B2.10B2.24B1.01B
EBITDA2.15B1.50B2.64B3.25B1.54B
Net Income885.00M-265.00M1.02B1.45B-250.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets17.14B16.80B18.04B17.84B15.03B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.05B3.39B3.47B3.05B2.96B
Total Debt1.64B2.32B2.75B2.86B2.44B
Total Liabilities5.16B5.97B6.89B7.88B7.00B
Stockholders Equity11.93B10.78B11.10B9.91B7.97B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.01B1.10B321.00M-435.00M1.07B
Operating Cash Flow1.73B1.72B2.13B2.62B2.84B
Investing Cash Flow-1.27B-1.13B-1.88B-4.06B-1.45B
Financing Cash Flow-845.00M-785.00M-212.00M842.00M650.00M

GlobalFoundries Inc Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price46.92
Price Trends
50DMA
41.77
Positive
100DMA
38.61
Positive
200DMA
37.53
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.60
Positive
RSI
56.27
Neutral
STOCH
52.01
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GFS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 46.92 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 45.12, above the 50-day MA of 41.77, and above the 200-day MA of 37.53, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.60 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 56.27 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 52.01 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GFS.

GlobalFoundries Inc Risk Analysis

GlobalFoundries Inc disclosed 66 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. GlobalFoundries Inc reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

GlobalFoundries Inc Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$27.20B20.3711.43%6.06%5.87%-20.93%
69
Neutral
$26.46B30.647.80%0.25%-106.22%
68
Neutral
$12.00B32.258.67%0.81%0.13%-16.17%
64
Neutral
$27.59B208.751.47%-16.13%-81.06%
64
Neutral
$30.40B178.650.93%1.28%-17.33%-76.71%
63
Neutral
$53.41B41.2912.53%2.29%8.01%10.41%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GFS
GlobalFoundries Inc
46.92
8.15
21.02%
ASX
ASE Technology Holding Co
24.23
14.36
145.52%
AMKR
Amkor
48.52
27.72
133.24%
ON
ON Semiconductor
68.16
21.11
44.87%
STM
STMicroelectronics
34.38
9.97
40.84%
UMC
United Micro
10.30
4.14
67.23%

GlobalFoundries Inc Corporate Events

GlobalFoundries Adds Mubadala Legal Chief Samer Halawa to Board and Strategy Committee
Feb 4, 2026

On February 3, 2026, GlobalFoundries Inc.’s board of directors elected Samer Halawa, Chief Legal Officer of majority shareholder Mubadala Investment Company, as a new Class III director and member of the board’s Strategy & Investment Committee, with a term running until the 2027 annual general meeting. Halawa joins the board as a Mubadala nominee under an existing shareholder agreement, and will receive the same compensation as other non-employee directors, reinforcing Mubadala’s direct governance influence over the chipmaker’s strategic and investment decisions without altering the company’s established board remuneration structure.

The most recent analyst rating on (GFS) stock is a Buy with a $46.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on GlobalFoundries Inc stock, see the GFS Stock Forecast page.

GlobalFoundries Adds Former Microchip CEO Ganesh Moorthy to Board
Jan 15, 2026

On January 15, 2026, GlobalFoundries announced that seasoned semiconductor executive Ganesh Moorthy, the former president and CEO of Microchip Technology, has been appointed to its board of directors with immediate effect. Moorthy’s four decades of experience spanning leadership roles at Microchip and Intel, along with his current board positions at Ralliant, Celanese, SiTime and Ayar Labs, is expected to bolster GF’s strategic execution as it pursues long‑term growth in power‑efficient, differentiated semiconductors and reinforces its positioning as a key manufacturing partner for customers worldwide.

The most recent analyst rating on (GFS) stock is a Hold with a $42.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on GlobalFoundries Inc stock, see the GFS Stock Forecast page.

GlobalFoundries Appoints New CFO to Drive Growth
Dec 11, 2025

On December 10, 2025, GlobalFoundries announced the appointment of Sam Franklin as Chief Financial Officer. Franklin, who has been with GF since 2022, brings extensive financial leadership experience and has previously served as Senior Vice President of Business Finance & Operations and Interim CFO. His appointment is expected to support GF’s continued growth and profitability as the company focuses on delivering differentiated technologies and scaling AI solutions. This strategic leadership change aims to enhance GF’s operational excellence and long-term value creation for shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (GFS) stock is a Buy with a $45.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on GlobalFoundries Inc stock, see the GFS Stock Forecast page.

GlobalFoundries Releases Q3 2025 Financial Results
Nov 12, 2025

GlobalFoundries Inc. released its unaudited interim financial statements for the period ending September 30, 2025. The report highlights a decrease in cash and cash equivalents from $2,192 million at the end of 2024 to $2,016 million as of September 2025, indicating potential cash flow challenges. Additionally, the company experienced a reduction in property, plant, and equipment, which may impact its production capacity. These financial results could influence GlobalFoundries’ strategic decisions and stakeholder confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (GFS) stock is a Hold with a $38.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on GlobalFoundries Inc stock, see the GFS Stock Forecast page.

GlobalFoundries Announces Strong Q3 2025 Results and Strategic Expansions
Nov 12, 2025

GlobalFoundries reported strong financial results for the third quarter of 2025, with revenue reaching $1.688 billion and a net income of $249 million. The company saw significant growth in its automotive and communications infrastructure markets, alongside advancements in its silicon photonics and FDX platforms. Recent strategic moves include the release of the Complementary Bi-CMOS platform and an expanded partnership with Silicon Labs to enhance semiconductor supply in the U.S. Additionally, GlobalFoundries plans to increase production capacity in its Dresden facility, supported by incentives from the European Chips Act, to better serve key customers in Europe.

The most recent analyst rating on (GFS) stock is a Hold with a $38.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on GlobalFoundries Inc stock, see the GFS Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 12, 2026