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Microchip (MCHP)
NASDAQ:MCHP
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Microchip (MCHP) AI Stock Analysis

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MCHP

Microchip

(NASDAQ:MCHP)

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Neutral 49 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:49Neutral
Price Target:
$59.00
▼(-0.59% Downside)
Microchip's overall stock score is primarily impacted by its weak financial performance and valuation concerns. Technical analysis indicates bearish momentum, while the earnings call provides some optimism with strategic growth initiatives. However, the negative P/E ratio and profitability issues weigh heavily on the score.
Positive Factors
Product Innovation
The launch of the Model Context Protocol Server enhances Microchip's AI capabilities, positioning it to leverage AI trends and improve product integration, supporting long-term growth.
Strategic Focus
Focusing on advanced nodes and high-performance products aligns Microchip with industry trends, potentially boosting its competitive edge and market share over time.
Revenue Growth
Sequential revenue growth indicates recovery momentum and operational improvements, suggesting resilience and potential for sustained financial performance.
Negative Factors
Declining Profitability
Negative net profit margins reflect operational inefficiencies, which may hinder long-term profitability and require strategic cost management improvements.
Inventory Challenges
Significant inventory write-offs and underutilization charges suggest inefficiencies in inventory management, potentially affecting future profitability and operational efficiency.
Revenue Decline
A negative revenue growth rate indicates challenges in maintaining sales momentum, which could impact long-term market position and financial health.

Microchip (MCHP) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Microchip Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMicrochip Technology Incorporated (MCHP) is a leading provider of smart, connected, and secure embedded control solutions. The company operates in various sectors including automotive, industrial, consumer electronics, and communications. Microchip designs and manufactures a broad range of microcontrollers, analog semiconductors, memory products, and development tools, catering to both high-volume and niche applications. With a focus on innovation and customer-centric solutions, Microchip supports a diverse array of industries by providing products that enable advanced functionalities and connectivity in electronic systems.
How the Company Makes MoneyMicrochip generates revenue primarily through the sale of its semiconductor products, including microcontrollers, analog devices, and memory chips. The company benefits from a diverse customer base across multiple industries, which helps stabilize its revenue streams. Key revenue sources include direct sales to original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) and distributors, as well as royalties from licensing agreements. Microchip also engages in partnerships with technology firms to develop integrated solutions, enhancing its product offerings and market reach. Additionally, the company invests in research and development to continuously innovate and improve its product portfolio, which contributes to long-term revenue growth.

Microchip Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Product Line
Revenue by Product Line
Breaks down sales across different product lines, identifying key revenue drivers and potential areas for growth or decline.
Chart InsightsMicrochip's revenue across product lines is experiencing significant challenges, with notable declines in Mixed Signal Microcontrollers and Analog segments. The earnings call highlights strategic efforts to address these issues, including closing a manufacturing facility and reducing inventory levels. Despite introducing new products like 64-bit RISC-V processors and expanding the Wi-Fi portfolio, the company faces a cautious outlook due to revenue declines and inventory management hurdles. Management is focused on recovery and operational efficiency improvements, aiming to stabilize financial performance in the coming quarters.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Microchip Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 06, 2025
(Q2-2026)
|
Next Earnings Date:Jan 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a mixed sentiment with strong growth in certain segments like data center and strategic advancements in high-performance products. However, there are ongoing challenges with inventory management, underutilization charges, and a seasonally weak December quarter. The company is focusing on operational discipline and strategic growth in advanced technologies.
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Sequential Sales Growth
6% sequential sales growth, with net sales up in Americas and Asia and flat in Europe. MCU business grew 9.7% sequentially, and the analog business increased 1.7% sequentially.
Data Center Segment Rebound
Strong sales growth in Gen 4 and Gen 5 data center products. Announcement of industry's first 3-nanometer-based PCIe Gen 6 switch for AI infrastructure.
Gross Margin Improvement
Non-GAAP gross margin up 236 basis points sequentially, with an incremental non-GAAP gross margin of 95% sequentially.
Inventory Reduction
Inventory reduced by $73.8 million sequentially, with a calendar year-to-date reduction of $261 million.
Operational Discipline
Non-GAAP operating profit projected to increase by over $13 million sequentially despite a challenging December quarter.
Long-term Strategic Focus
Strategic shift towards advanced nodes and high-performance products, including a new AI business unit and enhancements in FPGA products.
Negative Updates
Inventory Write-offs and Underutilization Charges
Added $71.8 million of new inventory write-off and $51 million of underutilization charge, impacting non-GAAP gross margin by 10.8 percentage points.
Seasonal Weakness in December Quarter
December quarter expected to be seasonally weak, with net sales guidance down 1% sequentially.
Facility Sale and Restructuring Challenges
Ongoing restructuring with the sale of Fab 2 and transition of technologies to other facilities, subject to closing conditions.
Challenges in Lead Times and Substrate Capacity
Experiencing lead time challenges and constraints on substrate capacity, affecting certain shipments.
Company Guidance
During the call, Microchip provided guidance for the third quarter of fiscal year 2026, indicating expected net sales of $1.129 billion, plus or minus $20 million, which is a 1% sequential decline. The company anticipates non-GAAP gross margins to be between 57.2% and 59.2%, with non-GAAP operating expenses projected to be between 32.3% and 32.7% of sales. Non-GAAP operating profit is expected to range from 24.5% to 26.9% of sales, and non-GAAP diluted earnings per share are forecasted to be between $0.34 and $0.40. Despite the seasonally challenging quarter, Microchip expects to see strong profit performance with an increase in non-GAAP operating profit by over $13 million sequentially at the midpoint of guidance. Looking ahead, the company anticipates strong quarters for March, June, and September 2026, driven by inventory corrections and favorable market conditions.

Microchip Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Microchip's financial performance is under pressure with declining revenue and profitability. The income statement shows negative growth and margins, while the balance sheet indicates improved leverage but negative ROE. Cash flow generation is challenged, though operational cash conversion remains efficient.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Microchip's income statement shows declining revenue with a negative growth rate of -3.77% in the TTM period, indicating challenges in maintaining sales momentum. The gross profit margin has decreased from previous years, and the net profit margin has turned negative, reflecting operational inefficiencies and potential cost management issues. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have also declined, suggesting reduced profitability.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet reveals a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.80 in the TTM period, which is an improvement from previous years, indicating better leverage management. However, the return on equity is negative, highlighting profitability challenges. The equity ratio remains stable, suggesting a balanced asset structure.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Cash flow analysis shows a decline in free cash flow growth by -6.02% in the TTM period, indicating potential cash generation issues. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong, suggesting efficient cash conversion from operations. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio indicates a reliance on cash reserves to cover negative net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.24B4.40B7.63B8.44B6.82B5.44B
Gross Profit2.31B2.47B5.00B5.70B4.45B3.38B
EBITDA841.40M1.04B3.44B4.10B2.87B1.83B
Net Income-148.40M-500.00K1.91B2.24B1.29B349.40M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets14.98B15.37B15.87B16.37B16.20B16.48B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments566.50M771.70M319.70M234.00M319.40M282.00M
Total Debt5.49B5.67B6.03B6.60B7.85B9.07B
Total Liabilities8.12B8.30B9.22B9.86B10.30B11.14B
Stockholders Equity6.86B7.08B6.66B6.51B5.89B5.34B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow725.60M772.10M2.61B3.13B2.47B1.82B
Operating Cash Flow796.60M898.10M2.89B3.62B2.84B1.92B
Investing Cash Flow-199.20M-287.80M-392.10M-599.50M-477.70M-173.30M
Financing Cash Flow-346.00M-158.30M-2.41B-3.10B-2.33B-1.86B

Microchip Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price59.35
Price Trends
50DMA
64.42
Negative
100DMA
66.73
Negative
200DMA
59.88
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.26
Positive
RSI
37.01
Neutral
STOCH
9.70
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MCHP, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 59.35 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 63.49, below the 50-day MA of 64.42, and below the 200-day MA of 59.88, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.26 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 37.01 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 9.70 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for MCHP.

Microchip Risk Analysis

Microchip disclosed 46 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Microchip reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Microchip Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$47.90B25.5464.03%0.62%30.48%339.29%
71
Outperform
$10.92B23.857.89%3.62%-2.18%-16.84%
68
Neutral
$20.15B63.683.87%-16.13%-81.06%
65
Neutral
$51.45B25.1021.19%1.96%-6.81%-23.16%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
59
Neutral
$21.34B41.173.00%1.47%-17.33%-76.71%
49
Neutral
$32.11B-2.24%3.07%-35.70%-113.08%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MCHP
Microchip
59.35
-11.44
-16.16%
MPWR
Monolithic Power
958.07
203.33
26.94%
NXPI
NXP Semiconductors
206.45
-23.11
-10.07%
ON
ON Semiconductor
48.80
-21.61
-30.69%
SWKS
Skyworks Solutions
70.64
-15.21
-17.72%
STM
STMicroelectronics
23.64
-2.57
-9.81%

Microchip Corporate Events

Microchip Technology Reports Q2 Fiscal 2026 Earnings
Nov 7, 2025

Microchip Technology Inc., headquartered in Chandler, Arizona, is a leading provider of smart, connected, and secure embedded control solutions, serving diverse markets such as industrial, automotive, consumer, aerospace and defense, communications, and computing.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Microchip Elects New Board Members at Annual Meeting
Neutral
Aug 20, 2025

At the annual meeting of stockholders held on August 19, 2025, Microchip‘s stockholders elected several individuals to the Board of Directors, including Ellen L. Barker, Rick Cassidy, Matthew W. Chapman, Victor Peng, Karen M. Rapp, and Steve Sanghi. Additionally, the appointment of Ernst & Young LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026, was ratified. However, the proposal to approve the compensation of named executives on an advisory basis was not approved.

The most recent analyst rating on (MCHP) stock is a Hold with a $65.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Microchip stock, see the MCHP Stock Forecast page.

Microchip Technology’s Strong Q1 FY2026 Earnings Call
Aug 12, 2025

Microchip Technology’s latest earnings call for Q1 FY2026 painted a picture of robust performance and optimism for the future. The company reported significant sales growth and margin improvements, alongside successful efforts in inventory reduction. Despite facing some challenges, such as employee compensation issues and specific market lags, the overall sentiment was positive, with strong bookings and encouraging future guidance.

Microchip Technology Reports Strong Start to Fiscal 2026
Aug 8, 2025

Microchip Technology Incorporated, headquartered in Chandler, Arizona, is a leading provider of smart, connected, and secure embedded control solutions, serving diverse markets such as industrial, automotive, consumer, aerospace and defense, communications, and computing.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 07, 2025