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NXP Semiconductors (NXPI)
:NXPI

NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) AI Stock Analysis

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NXPI

NXP Semiconductors

(NASDAQ:NXPI)

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Neutral 70 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:70Neutral
Price Target:
$251.00
▲(12.44% Upside)
NXP Semiconductors' overall stock score reflects strong profitability and operational efficiency, supported by positive technical indicators. However, high leverage, premium valuation, and challenges in revenue growth and inventory management pose risks. The company's strategic focus on Industrial and IoT markets, along with recent acquisitions, provides a positive outlook for future growth.
Positive Factors
Strategic Acquisitions
The acquisitions of Kinara and Aviva Links are expected to significantly boost NXP's revenue by 2028, enhancing its position in intelligent edge systems.
Industrial and IoT Segment Growth
Strong growth in the Industrial and IoT segment indicates robust demand and positions NXP well in expanding markets, supporting long-term revenue growth.
Leadership Transition
The appointment of Rafael Sotomayor as CEO signals continuity in strategic direction and leadership, potentially fostering stability and sustained growth.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage could strain NXP's financial flexibility, posing risks to cash flow and limiting the ability to invest in growth opportunities.
Year-over-Year Revenue Decline
A decline in year-over-year revenue suggests challenges in market expansion or demand, potentially impacting long-term growth prospects.
Operating Margin Decrease
A decrease in operating margin indicates potential cost pressures or inefficiencies, which could affect profitability and operational efficiency over time.

NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

NXP Semiconductors Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNXP Semiconductors N.V. offers various semiconductor products. The company's product portfolio includes microcontrollers; application processors, including i.MX application processors, and i.MX 8 and 9 family of applications processors; communication processors; wireless connectivity solutions, such as near field communications, ultra-wideband, Bluetooth low-energy, Zigbee, and Wi-Fi and Wi-Fi/Bluetooth integrated SoCs; analog and interface devices; radio frequency power amplifiers; and security controllers, as well as semiconductor-based environmental and inertial sensors, including pressure, inertial, magnetic, and gyroscopic sensors. The company's product solutions are used in a range of applications, including automotive, industrial and Internet of Things, mobile, and communication infrastructure. The company markets its products to various original equipment manufacturers, contract manufacturers, and distributors. It operates in China, the Netherlands, the United States, Singapore, Germany, Japan, South Korea, Malaysia, and internationally. The company was formerly known as KASLION Acquisition B.V and changed its name to NXP Semiconductors N.V. in May 2010. NXP Semiconductors N.V. was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Eindhoven, the Netherlands.
How the Company Makes MoneyNXP Semiconductors generates revenue primarily through the sale of semiconductor products and solutions. The company has several key revenue streams, including automotive semiconductors, which cater to the growing demand for advanced driver-assistance systems (ADAS) and electric vehicle (EV) technologies; secure identification and payment solutions; and connectivity solutions for IoT devices. NXP also benefits from strategic partnerships with leading technology firms and automotive manufacturers, enhancing its market reach and product offerings. Additionally, the company invests in research and development to innovate and expand its product portfolio, which supports long-term revenue growth.

NXP Semiconductors Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography
Breaks down revenue across different regions, revealing where NXP Semiconductors is strongest and where it may face risk or growth potential due to local economic conditions or market share shifts.
Chart InsightsNXP Semiconductors is experiencing mixed geographical performance. While China's revenue shows resilience with a steady upward trend, the Americas and EMEA regions face declines, reflecting broader challenges. The earnings call highlights a cautiously optimistic outlook, with strategic acquisitions and cyclical improvements expected to drive future growth. Despite a year-on-year revenue decline, key segments like Automotive and Industrial & IoT show promise, suggesting potential recovery. Investors should monitor how these geographic and segment trends align with the company's strategic initiatives and market conditions.
Data provided by:The Fly

NXP Semiconductors Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 27, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 09, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed picture with positive sequential revenue growth and strong performance in the Industrial and IoT segment, as well as the closing of strategic acquisitions. However, there were challenges with year-over-year revenue decline, a decrease in operating margin, and certain segments underperforming. Inventory levels also remain below target, indicating cautiousness in the market.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Exceeds Guidance
NXP's revenue for the third quarter was $3.17 billion, which exceeded guidance by $23 million.
Sequential Revenue Growth
Revenue grew 8% sequentially, indicating broad-based improvements across all regions and end markets.
Fourth Quarter Revenue Outlook
Guidance for fourth quarter revenue is $3.3 billion, up 6% versus the fourth quarter of 2024 and up 4% sequentially.
Industrial and IoT Segment Growth
The Industrial and IoT segment is expected to be up in the mid-20% range year-on-year and up 10% versus Q3 2025.
Pending Acquisitions Closed
NXP has closed the acquisitions of Kinara and Aviva Links, expecting material revenue impact by 2028.
Negative Updates
Year-over-Year Revenue Decline
Third quarter revenue declined 2% year-on-year.
Operating Margin Decrease
Non-GAAP operating margin was 33.8%, down 170 basis points year-on-year.
Communication Infrastructure and Other Segment Decline
This segment is expected to be down in the 20% range versus Q4 2024 and flat versus Q3 2025.
Inventory Levels Below Target
Distribution inventory was flat at 9 weeks, below the long-term target of 11 weeks.
Company Guidance
During NXP's third-quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided guidance reflecting optimism in its business performance and future prospects. The revenue for the third quarter exceeded guidance by $23 million, totaling $3.17 billion, marking an 8% sequential increase, although down 2% year-on-year. The non-GAAP operating margin was approximately 34%, with earnings per share reaching $3.11, slightly above guidance. Inventory levels remained stable at 9 weeks, slightly below the 11-week target. Looking ahead to the fourth quarter, NXP projects revenue of $3.3 billion, a 6% year-on-year increase, with automotive and industrial markets showing signs of recovery. Automotive revenue is expected to grow in the mid-single digits compared to Q4 2024, while Industrial and IoT is anticipated to rise by about 20% year-on-year. The company has also recently concluded acquisitions of Kinara and Aviva Links, which are expected to contribute to significant revenue growth by 2028, supporting NXP's strategic focus on intelligent edge systems.

NXP Semiconductors Financial Statement Overview

Summary
NXP Semiconductors demonstrates strong profitability and operational efficiency, with robust margins and effective equity utilization. However, recent revenue decline and high leverage could pose risks. Cash flow management appears stable but shows signs of pressure, necessitating careful monitoring of cash generation and debt levels.
Income Statement
72
Positive
NXP Semiconductors has shown strong profitability with a consistent gross profit margin around 55-57% and a net profit margin improving to 17.7% in the TTM. However, revenue growth has been negative recently, indicating potential challenges in market expansion or demand. The EBIT and EBITDA margins remain robust, reflecting efficient operational management.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The company maintains a relatively high debt-to-equity ratio of 1.12 in the TTM, indicating significant leverage, which could pose risks if not managed carefully. Return on equity has decreased to 22.9% in the TTM, but remains strong, suggesting effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio is stable, indicating a balanced asset structure.
Cash Flow
68
Positive
Operating cash flow to net income ratio has decreased to 0.55 in the TTM, suggesting less cash generation from operations relative to net income. Free cash flow growth has been negative, reflecting potential cash management challenges. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio remains healthy at 0.87, indicating good cash conversion from profits.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue12.04B12.61B13.28B13.21B11.06B8.61B
Gross Profit6.59B7.12B7.55B7.52B6.07B4.24B
EBITDA3.64B4.42B4.90B5.04B3.81B2.35B
Net Income2.06B2.51B2.80B2.79B1.87B52.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets26.35B24.39B24.35B23.24B20.86B19.85B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.95B3.03B4.06B3.62B2.83B2.27B
Total Debt12.23B10.85B11.18B11.16B10.57B7.61B
Total Liabilities15.93B14.85B15.39B15.50B14.09B10.70B
Stockholders Equity10.04B9.18B8.64B7.45B6.53B8.94B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.07B2.06B2.51B2.67B2.15B1.96B
Operating Cash Flow2.26B2.78B3.51B3.90B3.08B2.48B
Investing Cash Flow-1.67B-686.00M-1.51B-1.25B-934.00M-418.00M
Financing Cash Flow140.98M-2.66B-1.99B-1.62B-1.58B-835.00M

NXP Semiconductors Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price223.23
Price Trends
50DMA
210.78
Positive
100DMA
216.69
Positive
200DMA
208.72
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
6.89
Negative
RSI
57.25
Neutral
STOCH
46.10
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NXPI, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 223.23 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 212.66, above the 50-day MA of 210.78, and above the 200-day MA of 208.72, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 6.89 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 57.25 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 46.10 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for NXPI.

NXP Semiconductors Risk Analysis

NXP Semiconductors disclosed 41 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. NXP Semiconductors reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

NXP Semiconductors Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$161.34B32.3929.60%3.10%9.90%1.65%
76
Outperform
$71.30B29.4418.04%0.28%44.95%
73
Outperform
$21.95B69.593.87%-16.13%-81.06%
70
Neutral
$57.82B28.2221.19%1.82%-6.81%-23.16%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
57
Neutral
$23.10B45.603.00%1.30%-17.33%-76.71%
54
Neutral
$35.62B-141.70-2.85%2.76%-23.36%-131.15%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NXPI
NXP Semiconductors
223.23
19.78
9.72%
MRVL
Marvell
81.70
-27.07
-24.89%
MCHP
Microchip
63.99
9.71
17.89%
ON
ON Semiconductor
53.33
-11.47
-17.70%
STM
STMicroelectronics
25.55
1.35
5.58%
TXN
Texas Instruments
174.49
-4.18
-2.34%

NXP Semiconductors Corporate Events

Dividends
NXP Semiconductors Declares Q4 2025 Interim Dividend
Positive
Nov 20, 2025

On November 19, 2025, NXP Semiconductors announced that its board of directors approved an interim dividend of $1.014 per ordinary share for the fourth quarter of 2025, to be paid on January 7, 2026. This decision reflects the board’s confidence in NXP’s strong capital structure and its ability to sustain long-term growth and robust cash flow, highlighting the company’s commitment to returning capital to shareholders.

Executive/Board ChangesM&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
NXP Semiconductors Announces CEO Retirement and Successor
Neutral
Oct 28, 2025

NXP Semiconductors announced the voluntary retirement of CEO Kurt Sievers on October 28, 2025, with Rafael Sotomayor appointed as his successor. The company reported third-quarter 2025 revenue of $3.17 billion, highlighting a sequential improvement across all regions and end markets, despite a 2% year-on-year decline. NXP also made strategic moves, including the sale of its MEMS sensors business and the acquisition of Aviva Links, to strengthen its position in the automotive and industrial markets.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025