NXP Semiconductors (NXPI)
NASDAQ:NXPI
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NXP Semiconductors
(NASDAQ:NXPI)
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Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
$375.00
▲(73.59% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:04/30/26
NXPI scores well primarily on strong profitability and free-cash-flow generation, supported by a low P/E valuation and a positive guidance-driven earnings call with improving margins and broad-based growth outlook. The score is held back by leverage for a cyclical semiconductor business and technically stretched conditions (RSI/Stoch in overbought territory) that raise near-term pullback risk.
Positive Factors
Strong margins & cash generation
High gross and operating margins combined with free cash flow near 94% of net income indicate durable earnings quality and self-funding capacity. This supports sustained R&D, capacity investments, dividends and buybacks, and provides resilience across semiconductor cycles.
Negative Factors
Elevated leverage
Debt above equity and multi-billion-dollar net leverage reduce financial flexibility in a cyclical industry. Heavy indebtedness limits capacity for opportunistic M&A or aggressive capex if a downturn hits, and raises refinancing and interest-rate sensitivity risks.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong margins & cash generation
High gross and operating margins combined with free cash flow near 94% of net income indicate durable earnings quality and self-funding capacity. This supports sustained R&D, capacity investments, dividends and buybacks, and provides resilience across semiconductor cycles.
Read all positive factors
NXP Semiconductors Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)
Any
Revenue by Geography
Breaks down revenue across different regions, revealing where NXP Semiconductors is strongest and where it may face risk or growth potential due to local economic conditions or market share shifts.
Breaks down revenue across different regions, revealing where NXP Semiconductors is strongest and where it may face risk or growth potential due to local economic conditions or market share shifts.
Data provided by:
The Fly
The FlyNXP Semiconductors (NXPI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$83.39B
Dividend Yield1.79%
Average Volume (3M)3.96M
Price to Earnings (P/E)30.6
Beta (1Y)1.41
Revenue Growth2.37%
EPS Growth13.28%
CountryUS
Employees33,100
SectorTechnology
Sector Strength88
IndustrySemiconductors
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)10.50
Shares Outstanding252,471,080
10 Day Avg. Volume3,528,897
30 Day Avg. Volume3,957,611
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-1.45
Price to Book (P/B)5.45
Price to Sales (P/S)4.47
P/FCF Ratio22.64
Enterprise Value/Market Cap1.10
Enterprise Value/Revenue7.25
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit13.20
Enterprise Value/Ebitda20.25
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$297.35Price Target Upside37.64% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering23
EPS Forecast (FY)14.65
Revenue Forecast (FY)$14.03B
NXP Semiconductors Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
NXP Semiconductors N.V. offers various semiconductor products. The company's product portfolio includes microcontrollers; application processors, including i.MX application processors, and i.MX 8 and 9 family of applications processors; communicat...
How the Company Makes Money
NXP makes money by selling semiconductors and related software/firmware-enabled solutions to OEMs (original equipment manufacturers), tier-1 suppliers, and other device manufacturers, primarily through direct sales and distribution channels. Reven...
NXP Semiconductors Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Apr 28, 2026
(Q1-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jul 28, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed notably positive operational and financial momentum: revenue and EPS beat, broad-based year-over-year growth across end markets (notably automotive and industrial & IoT), clear data-center ramping, margin expansion, strong free cash flow and continued strategic investments (VSMC, M&A integrations). Challenges discussed were manageable and largely tactical — supply-chain pressures and input-cost inflation, elevated inventory levels, mobile sequential softness, and the timing lag before manufacturing investments fully expand margins. On balance the company presented a confident outlook with upgraded Q2 guidance and reaffirmed 2027 targets.Positive Updates
Revenue Beat and Growth
Q1 revenue of $3.18 billion, up 12% year-over-year and only down 5% sequentially; company outperformed guidance by $31 million above the midpoint.
Negative Updates
Quarterly Sequential Decline
Q1 revenue was seasonally down 5% sequentially; mobile is expected to be down low double-digits sequentially in Q2, indicating near-term cyclical weakness in that segment.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Revenue Beat and Growth
Q1 revenue of $3.18 billion, up 12% year-over-year and only down 5% sequentially; company outperformed guidance by $31 million above the midpoint.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
NXP guided Q2 revenue of $3.45 billion ± $100 million (up 18% year‑over‑year, up 8% sequentially) with all regions and end markets up; segment guidance at the midpoint: Automotive up low‑double‑digits YoY / high‑single‑digit sequential (adjusted for MEMS implies high‑teens YoY / +10% seq.), Industrial & IoT up high‑30s YoY / high‑teens seq., Mobile up low‑single‑digits YoY / down low‑double‑digits seq., and Communications Infrastructure up mid‑30s YoY / mid‑teens vs Q1. Financial guidance includes non‑GAAP gross margin 58% ±50 bps (up 150 bps YoY, +90 bps seq.), operating expense ~$800 million ±$10 million (implying ~34.7% non‑GAAP operating margin at the midpoint), non‑GAAP financial expense ≈ $92 million, non‑GAAP tax rate ~18%, noncontrolling interest ~$14 million, stock‑based comp ≈ $107 million (excluded), and implied Q2 non‑GAAP EPS of $3.50 at the midpoint. Cash/CAPEX guidance: CapEx ≈ 3% of revenue with a VSMC capacity access fee of $55 million and equity investment of $125 million (ESMC $10 million); they also disclosed data‑center revenue ramping from ~$200 million in 2025 to north of $500 million in 2026 and reaffirmed Analyst Day targets (double‑digit revenue growth in both 2026 and 2027 and gross margin expanding toward 60%+).NXP Semiconductors Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
64
Positive
Cash Flow
72
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 12.61B | 12.27B | 12.61B | 13.28B | 13.21B | 11.06B |
| Gross Profit | 6.92B | 6.68B | 7.12B | 7.55B | 7.52B | 6.07B |
| EBITDA | 4.51B | 3.81B | 4.42B | 4.90B | 5.04B | 3.81B |
| Net Income | 2.65B | 2.02B | 2.51B | 2.80B | 2.79B | 1.87B |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 27.11B | 26.56B | 24.39B | 24.35B | 23.24B | 20.86B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 3.71B | 3.27B | 3.03B | 4.06B | 3.62B | 2.83B |
| Total Debt | 11.72B | 12.22B | 10.85B | 11.18B | 11.16B | 10.57B |
| Total Liabilities | 15.84B | 16.11B | 14.85B | 15.39B | 15.50B | 14.09B |
| Stockholders Equity | 10.93B | 10.06B | 9.18B | 8.64B | 7.45B | 6.53B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 2.96B | 2.42B | 2.06B | 2.51B | 2.67B | 2.15B |
| Operating Cash Flow | 3.05B | 2.82B | 2.78B | 3.51B | 3.90B | 3.08B |
| Investing Cash Flow | -1.63B | -2.36B | -686.00M | -1.51B | -1.25B | -934.00M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -1.70B | -494.00M | -2.66B | -1.99B | -1.62B | -1.58B |
NXP Semiconductors Technical Analysis
Positive
216.03
Price Trends
249.54
Positive
237.42
Positive
227.19
Positive
Market Momentum
20.59
Negative
65.54
Neutral
76.26
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NXPI, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 216.03 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 303.83, below the 50-day MA of 249.54, and below the 200-day MA of 227.19, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 20.59 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 65.54 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 76.26 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for NXPI.
NXP Semiconductors Risk Analysis
NXP Semiconductors disclosed 42 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. NXP Semiconductors reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
NXP Semiconductors Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
77 Outperform | $83.39B | 30.61 | 26.14% | 1.79% | 2.37% | 13.28% | |
77 Outperform | $179.34B | 71.56 | 16.84% | 0.28% | 34.07% | ― | |
74 Outperform | $287.54B | 51.77 | 32.49% | 3.11% | 14.89% | 10.49% | |
72 Outperform | $48.51B | 82.86 | 7.45% | ― | -9.04% | -4.21% | |
64 Neutral | $52.06B | 253.48 | 3.05% | 2.79% | 7.08% | ― | |
62 Neutral | $62.20B | 413.56 | 0.86% | 1.28% | 0.79% | -86.68% | |
61 Neutral | $37.18B | 12.37 | -10.20% | 1.83% | 8.50% | -7.62% |
* Technology Sector Average
NXPI
NXP Semiconductors
321.35
133.80
71.34%
MRVL
Marvell
205.00
144.97
241.51%
MCHP
Microchip
94.65
38.14
67.50%
ON
ON Semiconductor
120.62
78.60
187.05%
STM
STMicroelectronics
69.31
44.57
180.10%
TXN
Texas Instruments
305.68
127.82
71.86%
NXP Semiconductors Corporate Events
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
NXP Semiconductors Redeems $750 Million Senior Notes Early
Positive
Apr 20, 2026
On April 20, 2026, NXP Semiconductors announced that subsidiaries NXP B.V., NXP USA Inc. and NXP Funding LLC fully redeemed US$750 million of 3.875% senior notes originally due in June 2026, retiring the debt in line with the terms of the indentur...
Dividends
NXP Semiconductors Announces Interim First-Quarter 2026 Dividend
Positive
Mar 12, 2026
On March 12, 2026, NXP Semiconductors’ board approved an interim cash dividend of $1.014 per ordinary share for the first quarter of 2026, to be paid on April 9, 2026 to shareholders of record as of March 25, 2026. The board said the move re...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.