NXP Semiconductors (NXPI)
NASDAQ:NXPI
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NXP Semiconductors
(NASDAQ:NXPI)
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Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
$213.00
▲(9.02% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/12/26
The score is led by solid underlying fundamentals—strong margins and robust free-cash-flow generation—tempered by leverage and muted recent growth. Technicals are the biggest near-term drag, with the stock below key moving averages and negative momentum. Valuation is fair-to-slightly-rich (P/E ~27) but supported by a ~2% dividend, while earnings-call guidance was constructive yet balanced by inventory, communications-infrastructure weakness, and near-term cash outlays.
Positive Factors
High margins
Sustained high gross and net margins reflect a differentiated product mix (automotive SoCs, security, analog/mixed-signal) and pricing power. Those margins support reinvestment in R&D, margin resiliency across cycles, and the capacity to fund dividends and buybacks over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Elevated leverage
Higher leverage increases sensitivity to cyclical semiconductor demand and constrains optionality for incremental M&A or buybacks if cash flows weaken. Although interest coverage is adequate today, elevated debt magnifies downside risk and lengthens recovery time after demand shocks.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
High margins
Sustained high gross and net margins reflect a differentiated product mix (automotive SoCs, security, analog/mixed-signal) and pricing power. Those margins support reinvestment in R&D, margin resiliency across cycles, and the capacity to fund dividends and buybacks over the medium term.
Read all positive factors
NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$49.93B
Dividend Yield1.79%
Average Volume (3M)2.55M
Price to Earnings (P/E)27.1
Beta (1Y)1.50
Revenue Growth-6.81%
EPS Growth-23.16%
CountryUS
Employees33,100
SectorTechnology
Sector Strength88
IndustrySemiconductors
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)3.35
Shares Outstanding252,692,840
10 Day Avg. Volume2,563,142
30 Day Avg. Volume2,548,861
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-1.45
Price to Book (P/B)5.45
Price to Sales (P/S)4.47
P/FCF Ratio22.64
Enterprise Value/Market Cap1.18
Enterprise Value/Revenue4.79
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit8.77
Enterprise Value/Ebitda14.97
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$251.94Price Target Upside28.95% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering18
EPS Forecast (FY)13.94
Revenue Forecast (FY)$13.54B
NXP Semiconductors Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
NXP Semiconductors N.V. offers various semiconductor products. The company's product portfolio includes microcontrollers; application processors, including i.MX application processors, and i.MX 8 and 9 family of applications processors; communicat...
How the Company Makes Money
NXP makes money by selling semiconductors and related software/firmware-enabled solutions to OEMs (original equipment manufacturers), tier-1 suppliers, and other device manufacturers, primarily through direct sales and distribution channels. Reven...
NXP Semiconductors Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)
Any
Revenue by Geography
Breaks down revenue across different regions, revealing where NXP Semiconductors is strongest and where it may face risk or growth potential due to local economic conditions or market share shifts.
Breaks down revenue across different regions, revealing where NXP Semiconductors is strongest and where it may face risk or growth potential due to local economic conditions or market share shifts.
Data provided by:
The Fly
The FlyNXP Semiconductors Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Feb 02, 2026
(Q4-2025)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 28, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presents a constructive outlook: solid Q4 results with revenue and EPS beats, strengthened sequential and year-over-year guidance for Q1 compared with 90 days prior, clear strategic focus on software-defined vehicles and physical AI, sustained cash generation and disciplined capital allocation. Headwinds include a sharp YoY decline in Communications Infrastructure, the divestiture of the MEMS business (reducing revenue baseline by roughly $300M annually), an exit from RF Power with a $90M restructuring charge, elevated inventory days and typical seasonal sequential declines in Q1. On balance, company-specific growth drivers and margin/cash dynamics are portrayed as outweighing the challenges.Positive Updates
Q4 Revenue Beat and Growth
Revenue of $3.34 billion in Q4, up 7% year-over-year and 5% sequentially, $35 million above the midpoint of guidance.
Negative Updates
Communications Infrastructure Decline
Communications Infrastructure revenue declined to $1.3 billion, down 24% year-over-year, driven by deceleration in digital networking and RF Power; long-term growth expected to be flat as RF Power and digital networking weaken.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive
Negative
Q4 Revenue Beat and Growth
Revenue of $3.34 billion in Q4, up 7% year-over-year and 5% sequentially, $35 million above the midpoint of guidance.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
NXP guided Q1 revenue of $3.15 billion ± $100 million (+11% YoY, -6% seq) and said it expects to operate within its long‑term financial model for full‑year 2026; at the midpoint it expects automotive to be up mid‑single‑digits YoY and down mid‑single‑digits vs Q4 (Q1 includes only ≈$25M/one month of MEMS revenue), Industrial & IoT up low‑20% YoY and down mid‑single‑digits seq, Mobile up mid‑teens YoY and down ≈20% seq, and Communications Infrastructure & Other up mid‑teens YoY and up 10% vs Q4. Financial guidance: non‑GAAP gross margin ~57% ±50 bps, operating expenses $765M ± $10M (long‑term target ~23% of revenue) implying non‑GAAP operating margin ~32.7% at the midpoint, non‑GAAP financial expense ≈$92M, non‑GAAP tax rate ~18%, noncontrolling interest ≈$11M, JV start‑up losses ≈$3M, stock‑based comp ≈$108M (excluded from non‑GAAP), and implied Q1 non‑GAAP EPS of $2.97 at the midpoint. Cash and investment items called out for Q1: CapEx ≈3% of revenue, a capacity access fee of $190M and a VSMC equity investment of $210M; separately, the completed MEMS sale will deliver $900M (+$50M contingent) in gross proceeds and a ~ $630M one‑time GAAP gain reflected in Q1 GAAP results.NXP Semiconductors Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
62
Positive
Cash Flow
74
Positive
| Breakdown | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | |||||
| Total Revenue | 12.27B | 12.61B | 13.28B | 13.21B | 11.06B |
| Gross Profit | 6.68B | 7.12B | 7.55B | 7.52B | 6.07B |
| EBITDA | 3.81B | 4.42B | 4.90B | 5.04B | 3.81B |
| Net Income | 2.02B | 2.51B | 2.80B | 2.79B | 1.87B |
Balance Sheet | |||||
| Total Assets | 26.56B | 24.39B | 24.35B | 23.24B | 20.86B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 3.27B | 3.03B | 4.06B | 3.62B | 2.83B |
| Total Debt | 12.22B | 10.85B | 11.18B | 11.16B | 10.57B |
| Total Liabilities | 16.11B | 14.85B | 15.39B | 15.50B | 14.09B |
| Stockholders Equity | 10.06B | 9.18B | 8.64B | 7.45B | 6.53B |
Cash Flow | |||||
| Free Cash Flow | 2.42B | 2.06B | 2.51B | 2.67B | 2.15B |
| Operating Cash Flow | 2.82B | 2.78B | 3.51B | 3.90B | 3.08B |
| Investing Cash Flow | -2.36B | -686.00M | -1.51B | -1.25B | -934.00M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -494.00M | -2.66B | -1.99B | -1.62B | -1.58B |
NXP Semiconductors Technical Analysis
Negative
195.38
Price Trends
221.50
Negative
217.24
Negative
218.28
Negative
Market Momentum
-9.50
Positive
36.34
Neutral
31.46
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NXPI, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 195.38 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 204.21, below the 50-day MA of 221.50, and below the 200-day MA of 218.28, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -9.50 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 36.34 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 31.46 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for NXPI.
NXP Semiconductors Risk Analysis
NXP Semiconductors disclosed 42 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. NXP Semiconductors reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
NXP Semiconductors Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
74 Outperform | $86.07B | 25.45 | 19.38% | 0.28% | 44.95% | ― | |
70 Outperform | $179.15B | 31.53 | 30.44% | 3.11% | 9.90% | 1.65% | |
64 Neutral | $24.86B | 183.93 | 1.53% | ― | -16.13% | -81.06% | |
63 Neutral | $49.93B | 27.14 | 20.73% | 1.79% | -6.81% | -23.16% | |
61 Neutral | $37.18B | 12.37 | -10.20% | 1.83% | 8.50% | -7.62% | |
58 Neutral | $35.26B | 246.12 | -1.42% | 2.79% | -23.36% | -131.15% | |
56 Neutral | $29.68B | 136.11 | 0.97% | 1.28% | -17.33% | -76.71% |
* Technology Sector Average
NXPI
NXP Semiconductors
196.40
-0.94
-0.47%
MRVL
Marvell
98.45
33.81
52.30%
MCHP
Microchip
65.16
15.84
32.13%
ON
ON Semiconductor
63.10
19.34
44.20%
STM
STMicroelectronics
33.42
10.78
47.63%
TXN
Texas Instruments
196.77
21.54
12.29%
NXP Semiconductors Corporate Events
Dividends
NXP Semiconductors Announces Interim First-Quarter 2026 Dividend
Positive
Mar 12, 2026
On March 12, 2026, NXP Semiconductors’ board approved an interim cash dividend of $1.014 per ordinary share for the first quarter of 2026, to be paid on April 9, 2026 to shareholders of record as of March 25, 2026. The board said the move re...
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
NXP Semiconductors Secures $3 Billion Revolving Credit Facility
Positive
Feb 6, 2026
On February 6, 2026, NXP B.V. and NXP Funding LLC, both subsidiaries of NXP Semiconductors N.V., amended and restated their revolving credit agreement, securing US$3 billion in senior unsecured revolving credit commitments, including a US$200 mill...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.