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NXP Semiconductors (NXPI)
NASDAQ:NXPI
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NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) AI Stock Analysis

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NXPI

NXP Semiconductors

(NASDAQ:NXPI)

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Outperform 77 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
$328.00
▲(51.83% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:04/30/26
NXPI scores well primarily on strong profitability and free-cash-flow generation, supported by a low P/E valuation and a positive guidance-driven earnings call with improving margins and broad-based growth outlook. The score is held back by leverage for a cyclical semiconductor business and technically stretched conditions (RSI/Stoch in overbought territory) that raise near-term pullback risk.
Positive Factors
Strong free cash flow conversion
Very high FCF conversion (FCF ≈94% of net income, TTM ~$3.0B) indicates durable earnings quality and internally generated funding. This supports repeatable dividends, buybacks, debt paydowns and strategic investments without relying heavily on external financing over the next several years.
Negative Factors
Elevated leverage for a cyclical business
Material net debt (total debt $11.7B, net debt ~$8.0B) and debt-to-equity around 1.2x reduce financial flexibility in downturns. For a cyclical semiconductor firm, heavier leverage increases vulnerability to demand shocks and constrains capital allocation if cash generation softens.
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Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong free cash flow conversion
Very high FCF conversion (FCF ≈94% of net income, TTM ~$3.0B) indicates durable earnings quality and internally generated funding. This supports repeatable dividends, buybacks, debt paydowns and strategic investments without relying heavily on external financing over the next several years.
Read all positive factors

NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

NXP Semiconductors Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
NXP Semiconductors N.V. offers various semiconductor products. The company's product portfolio includes microcontrollers; application processors, including i.MX application processors, and i.MX 8 and 9 family of applications processors; communicat...
How the Company Makes Money
NXP makes money by selling semiconductors and related software/firmware-enabled solutions to OEMs (original equipment manufacturers), tier-1 suppliers, and other device manufacturers, primarily through direct sales and distribution channels. Reven...

NXP Semiconductors Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography
Breaks down revenue across different regions, revealing where NXP Semiconductors is strongest and where it may face risk or growth potential due to local economic conditions or market share shifts.
Chart InsightsNXP Semiconductors' revenue trends reveal a mixed geographical performance. While China and EMEA show resilience with stable growth, the Americas and APAC excluding China face headwinds. The recent earnings call highlights optimism with sequential revenue growth and strategic acquisitions, yet challenges persist with year-over-year declines and inventory issues. The company's focus on automotive and industrial markets, alongside acquisitions, suggests a strategic pivot towards intelligent edge systems, which could drive future growth, especially in the Industrial and IoT segments.
Data provided by:The Fly

NXP Semiconductors Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 28, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jul 27, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed notably positive operational and financial momentum: revenue and EPS beat, broad-based year-over-year growth across end markets (notably automotive and industrial & IoT), clear data-center ramping, margin expansion, strong free cash flow and continued strategic investments (VSMC, M&A integrations). Challenges discussed were manageable and largely tactical — supply-chain pressures and input-cost inflation, elevated inventory levels, mobile sequential softness, and the timing lag before manufacturing investments fully expand margins. On balance the company presented a confident outlook with upgraded Q2 guidance and reaffirmed 2027 targets.
Positive Updates
Revenue Beat and Growth
Q1 revenue of $3.18 billion, up 12% year-over-year and only down 5% sequentially; company outperformed guidance by $31 million above the midpoint.
Negative Updates
Quarterly Sequential Decline
Q1 revenue was seasonally down 5% sequentially; mobile is expected to be down low double-digits sequentially in Q2, indicating near-term cyclical weakness in that segment.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Revenue Beat and Growth
Q1 revenue of $3.18 billion, up 12% year-over-year and only down 5% sequentially; company outperformed guidance by $31 million above the midpoint.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
NXP guided Q2 revenue of $3.45 billion ± $100 million (up 18% year‑over‑year, up 8% sequentially) with all regions and end markets up; segment guidance at the midpoint: Automotive up low‑double‑digits YoY / high‑single‑digit sequential (adjusted for MEMS implies high‑teens YoY / +10% seq.), Industrial & IoT up high‑30s YoY / high‑teens seq., Mobile up low‑single‑digits YoY / down low‑double‑digits seq., and Communications Infrastructure up mid‑30s YoY / mid‑teens vs Q1. Financial guidance includes non‑GAAP gross margin 58% ±50 bps (up 150 bps YoY, +90 bps seq.), operating expense ~$800 million ±$10 million (implying ~34.7% non‑GAAP operating margin at the midpoint), non‑GAAP financial expense ≈ $92 million, non‑GAAP tax rate ~18%, noncontrolling interest ~$14 million, stock‑based comp ≈ $107 million (excluded), and implied Q2 non‑GAAP EPS of $3.50 at the midpoint. Cash/CAPEX guidance: CapEx ≈ 3% of revenue with a VSMC capacity access fee of $55 million and equity investment of $125 million (ESMC $10 million); they also disclosed data‑center revenue ramping from ~$200 million in 2025 to north of $500 million in 2026 and reaffirmed Analyst Day targets (double‑digit revenue growth in both 2026 and 2027 and gross margin expanding toward 60%+).

NXP Semiconductors Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong profitability and cash generation (TTM gross margin ~55%, EBIT margin ~25%, free cash flow ~94% of net income with ~11.8% FCF growth) support a solid score. This is tempered by slower top-line momentum (TTM revenue up ~2.8% after prior declines) and meaningful leverage for a cyclical industry (debt-to-equity ~1.2x).
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
64
Positive
Cash Flow
72
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue12.61B12.27B12.61B13.28B13.21B11.06B
Gross Profit6.92B6.68B7.12B7.55B7.52B6.07B
EBITDA4.51B3.81B4.42B4.90B5.04B3.81B
Net Income2.65B2.02B2.51B2.80B2.79B1.87B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets27.11B26.56B24.39B24.35B23.24B20.86B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.71B3.27B3.03B4.06B3.62B2.83B
Total Debt11.72B12.22B10.85B11.18B11.16B10.57B
Total Liabilities15.84B16.11B14.85B15.39B15.50B14.09B
Stockholders Equity10.93B10.06B9.18B8.64B7.45B6.53B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.96B2.42B2.06B2.51B2.67B2.15B
Operating Cash Flow3.05B2.82B2.78B3.51B3.90B3.08B
Investing Cash Flow-1.63B-2.36B-686.00M-1.51B-1.25B-934.00M
Financing Cash Flow-1.70B-494.00M-2.66B-1.99B-1.62B-1.58B

NXP Semiconductors Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price216.03
Price Trends
50DMA
211.07
Positive
100DMA
217.60
Negative
200DMA
217.44
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
1.73
Negative
RSI
64.16
Neutral
STOCH
91.72
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NXPI, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 216.03 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 200.11, above the 50-day MA of 211.07, and below the 200-day MA of 217.44, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 1.73 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 64.16 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 91.72 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for NXPI.

NXP Semiconductors Risk Analysis

NXP Semiconductors disclosed 42 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. NXP Semiconductors reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

NXP Semiconductors Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$76.64B10.5526.14%1.79%2.37%13.28%
75
Outperform
$150.54B42.2419.38%0.28%42.09%
74
Outperform
$263.42B28.5632.49%3.11%14.89%10.49%
68
Neutral
$41.45B-183.457.45%-9.04%-4.21%
65
Neutral
$50.91B215.940.97%1.28%0.79%-86.68%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
58
Neutral
$55.69B246.12-1.42%2.79%-8.08%-149.99%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NXPI
NXP Semiconductors
303.55
118.51
64.04%
MRVL
Marvell
172.15
114.68
199.53%
MCHP
Microchip
102.92
55.21
115.71%
ON
ON Semiconductor
105.77
66.00
165.95%
STM
STMicroelectronics
57.95
35.04
152.89%
TXN
Texas Instruments
289.44
128.32
79.64%

NXP Semiconductors Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
NXP Semiconductors Redeems $750 Million Senior Notes Early
Positive
Apr 20, 2026
On April 20, 2026, NXP Semiconductors announced that subsidiaries NXP B.V., NXP USA Inc. and NXP Funding LLC fully redeemed US$750 million of 3.875% senior notes originally due in June 2026, retiring the debt in line with the terms of the indentur...
Dividends
NXP Semiconductors Announces Interim First-Quarter 2026 Dividend
Positive
Mar 12, 2026
On March 12, 2026, NXP Semiconductors’ board approved an interim cash dividend of $1.014 per ordinary share for the first quarter of 2026, to be paid on April 9, 2026 to shareholders of record as of March 25, 2026. The board said the move re...
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
NXP Semiconductors Secures $3 Billion Revolving Credit Facility
Positive
Feb 6, 2026
On February 6, 2026, NXP B.V. and NXP Funding LLC, both subsidiaries of NXP Semiconductors N.V., amended and restated their revolving credit agreement, securing US$3 billion in senior unsecured revolving credit commitments, including a US$200 mill...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 30, 2026