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Texas Instruments (TXN)
NASDAQ:TXN
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Texas Instruments (TXN) AI Stock Analysis

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TXN

Texas Instruments

(NASDAQ:TXN)

Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
$214.00
▲(10.71% Upside)
Texas Instruments' overall stock score reflects solid financial performance and strong revenue growth, particularly in communications and enterprise systems. However, the high valuation and challenges in the automotive market, along with geopolitical uncertainties, pose risks. The technical indicators suggest a neutral trend, and the earnings call presents a mixed outlook with flat gross margins and increased operating expenses.
Positive Factors
Free Cash Flow Growth
TXN's free cash flow generation is anticipated to climb significantly, offering a more attractive valuation on a cash flow basis.
Geographic Manufacturing Flexibility
Geographic manufacturing flexibility offers resilience against US-China trade concerns, positioning Texas Instruments as a strong player in the market.
Investment Tax Credit
Management believes the increase in Investment Tax Credit will significantly reduce its cash tax rate, positively impacting cash flow.
Negative Factors
Demand Visibility
Short lead times provide limited visibility into future demand, and inconclusive comments on the automotive segment, especially in China, raise uncertainties.
Macro Uncertainty
Macro uncertainty discussed by management still lingers, which has previously sent the stock lower.
Tariff Concerns
Concerns about tariff pull-in demand potentially impacting results, coupled with stable but not improving demand, pose challenges for Texas Instruments.

Texas Instruments (TXN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Texas Instruments Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTexas Instruments (TXN) is a global semiconductor company headquartered in Dallas, Texas, specializing in the design and manufacturing of a wide range of analog and embedded processing chips. The company operates primarily in two segments: Analog and Embedded Processing. Texas Instruments' core products include operational amplifiers, data converters, microcontrollers, and digital signal processors, which are utilized across various industries such as automotive, industrial, communications, and consumer electronics.
How the Company Makes MoneyTexas Instruments generates revenue primarily through the sale of its semiconductor products, with a significant focus on analog and embedded processing solutions. The company's revenue model is based on selling these components to original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) and other customers in diverse markets. Key revenue streams include sales of analog semiconductors, which are essential for power management and signal processing, and embedded processors used in a variety of applications. Texas Instruments also benefits from long-term relationships and partnerships with major technology companies, which provide a stable customer base. Additionally, the company invests in research and development to innovate and expand its product offerings, further enhancing its market position and revenue potential.

Texas Instruments Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Breaks down revenue by business unit, revealing which segments are contributing most to sales and where there might be potential for expansion or risk.
Chart InsightsTexas Instruments' Analog segment shows robust recovery, with a notable 18% year-over-year growth, reflecting strong demand in communications and enterprise systems. Embedded Processing and Other segments also exhibit positive trends but face challenges, particularly in the automotive market. Despite revenue growth, flat gross margins and increased operating expenses highlight potential profitability pressures. The company remains cautious about geopolitical uncertainties and tariffs, yet its strong cash flow and strategic focus on manufacturing and technology investments suggest resilience and long-term growth potential.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Texas Instruments Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 29, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 1.73%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 28, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presents a mixed picture. While there is strong revenue growth and recovery in several markets, challenges remain in the automotive market and due to geopolitical uncertainties. Operating expenses have increased, and gross margins are expected to remain flat despite revenue growth.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
Revenue for the second quarter was $4.4 billion, an increase of 9% sequentially and 16% year-over-year. Analog revenue grew 18% year-over-year, Embedded Processing grew 10%, and the other segment grew 14% from the year-ago quarter.
Industrial Market Recovery
The industrial market increased upper teens year-over-year and mid-teens sequentially, indicating a broad recovery across all sectors.
Enterprise Systems and Communications Equipment Growth
Enterprise systems grew about 40% year-over-year and 10% sequentially. Communications equipment grew more than 50% year-over-year and was up about 10% sequentially.
Strong Cash Flow and Shareholder Returns
Cash flow from operations was $1.9 billion in the quarter, and $6.4 billion on a trailing 12-month basis. The company returned $6.7 billion to owners in the past 12 months.
Negative Updates
Automotive Market Challenges
The automotive market increased mid-single digits year-over-year but decreased low single digits sequentially. Recovery in this market has been shallow, with the market still not showing strong signs of recovery.
Geopolitical and Tariff Uncertainties
Tariffs and geopolitical issues are disrupting and reshaping global supply chains, creating uncertainty in market conditions.
Increased Operating Expenses
Operating expenses in the quarter were $1 billion, up 5% from a year ago.
Flat Gross Margin Despite Revenue Growth
Despite higher revenue, gross margin is expected to be about flat in the third quarter due to higher depreciation and unfavorable net of other income and expense and interest expense.
Company Guidance
During the Texas Instruments Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided guidance for the third quarter of 2025, projecting revenue in the range of $4.45 billion to $4.80 billion and earnings per share between $1.36 and $1.60. The guidance reflects ongoing cyclical recovery across various sectors, although the company remains cautious due to potential impacts from tariffs and geopolitical uncertainties. In the second quarter, Texas Instruments reported a revenue of $4.4 billion, which marked a 9% sequential increase and a 16% year-over-year growth, with particular strength in communications equipment (up over 50% year-over-year) and enterprise systems (up about 40% year-over-year). The company highlighted its strong cash flow position, with cash flow from operations at $1.9 billion for the quarter and $6.4 billion on a trailing 12-month basis, while also emphasizing its robust balance sheet with $5.4 billion in cash and short-term investments. Looking forward, Texas Instruments intends to maintain flexibility to navigate potential changes in the economic and geopolitical landscape, while continuing its focus on areas that will drive long-term value, such as manufacturing and technology investments.

Texas Instruments Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Texas Instruments demonstrates solid financial health with strong profitability, reflected in high gross and net profit margins. The balance sheet is robust, and cash flow generation is stable. However, growth has moderated, and the company should focus on enhancing cash flow efficiency.
Income Statement
84
Very Positive
Texas Instruments shows solid profitability with a TTM gross profit margin of 58.0% and a net profit margin of 30.4%. The revenue growth rate over the recent period is 2.6%, indicating modest growth. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are strong at 34.3% and 44.2%, respectively, showcasing operational efficiency. However, the decline from previous years suggests potential challenges in sustaining growth.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet is robust with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.78, indicating manageable leverage. The return on equity (ROE) stands at 29.7%, reflecting effective use of equity capital. The equity ratio is 48.6%, suggesting a healthy proportion of equity financing. However, the slight increase in total debt over time signals a need for cautious debt management.
Cash Flow
76
Positive
The company maintains a stable cash flow, with an operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.26, indicating strong cash generation relative to earnings. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.30, suggesting room for improvement in free cash flow generation. A slight decline in free cash flow growth rate highlights potential pressures on cash reserves.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue15.64B17.52B20.03B18.34B14.46B
Gross Profit9.09B11.02B13.77B12.38B9.27B
EBITDA7.54B9.01B11.22B10.06B7.20B
Net Income4.80B6.51B8.75B7.77B5.59B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets35.51B32.35B27.21B24.68B19.35B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments7.58B8.57B9.07B9.74B6.57B
Total Debt13.60B11.22B9.15B8.21B7.12B
Total Liabilities18.61B15.45B12.63B11.34B10.16B
Stockholders Equity16.90B16.90B14.58B13.33B9.19B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.50B1.35B5.92B6.29B5.49B
Operating Cash Flow6.32B6.42B8.72B8.76B6.14B
Investing Cash Flow-3.20B-4.36B-3.58B-4.09B-922.00M
Financing Cash Flow-2.88B-2.14B-6.72B-3.14B-4.55B

Texas Instruments Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price193.29
Price Trends
50DMA
199.19
Negative
100DMA
183.53
Positive
200DMA
186.42
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-3.72
Negative
RSI
50.08
Neutral
STOCH
76.31
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TXN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 193.29 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 191.73, below the 50-day MA of 199.19, and above the 200-day MA of 186.42, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -3.72 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 50.08 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 76.31 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TXN.

Texas Instruments Risk Analysis

Texas Instruments disclosed 18 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Texas Instruments reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Texas Instruments Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (50)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
82
Outperform
$151.23B22.9436.37%0.87%6.12%-5.66%
80
Outperform
$142.97B23.0613.11%0.37%58.22%
78
Outperform
$165.87B14.8344.62%2.20%15.82%34.20%
78
Outperform
$283.92B100.704.70%27.17%108.67%
75
Outperform
$115.15B63.175.21%1.61%-6.17%-14.16%
72
Outperform
$175.44B35.2829.84%2.81%3.62%-5.27%
50
Neutral
C$3.52B0.80-5.03%7.64%16.88%-2.22%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TXN
Texas Instruments
193.29
3.39
1.79%
AMD
Advanced Micro Devices
184.42
43.67
31.03%
ADI
Analog Devices
237.63
25.95
12.26%
AMAT
Applied Materials
190.03
-9.71
-4.86%
MU
Micron
124.27
24.33
24.34%
QCOM
Qualcomm
156.59
-6.97
-4.26%

Texas Instruments Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Texas Instruments Issues $1.2 Billion in Notes
Neutral
May 23, 2025

On May 23, 2025, Texas Instruments completed the issuance and sale of $1.2 billion in notes, consisting of $550 million in 4.500% Notes due 2030 and $650 million in 5.100% Notes due 2035. This financial move, facilitated by major underwriters, is part of Texas Instruments’ strategic financial management, potentially impacting its market positioning and offering stakeholders insights into its future financial strategies.

The most recent analyst rating on (TXN) stock is a Hold with a $160.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Texas Instruments stock, see the TXN Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 13, 2025