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Advanced Micro Devices (AMD)
NASDAQ:AMD

Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) AI Stock Analysis

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AM

Advanced Micro Devices

(NASDAQ:AMD)

Rating:81Outperform
Price Target:
$133.00
▲( 20.13% Upside)
AMD's overall score reflects its strong financial performance and promising growth potential, particularly in the AI and data center sectors. Despite high valuation risks, strategic initiatives and positive earnings results support a favorable outlook.
Positive Factors
Financial Strategy
AMD's $6 billion addition to its buyback program signals strong confidence in the company's future performance and shareholder value.
Market Position
AMD is on track to establish itself as a leading alternative to NVIDIA in the CPU market while continuing to gain market share.
Product Launch
The MI355 launch and AMD's confidence in expanding its deployment, including the potential acquisition of a net new hyperscale customer, are viewed positively.
Negative Factors
Competitive Pressure
AMD faces competitive pressures from larger AI competitors and potential recovery by Intel under new management.
Investor Interest
A significant decrease in AMD's ownership among large-cap US active fund managers indicates reduced investor interest.
Product Performance
Investor focus on DC-GPUs is affected by underwhelming performance and recent write-downs.

Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Advanced Micro Devices Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAdvanced Micro Devices, Inc. (AMD) is a multinational semiconductor company that specializes in developing high-performance computing and graphics solutions. Headquartered in Santa Clara, California, AMD designs and produces a wide range of products, including microprocessors, motherboard chipsets, embedded processors, and graphics processors for various applications such as personal computers, gaming consoles, and data centers. The company's innovative technologies power a broad array of devices and experiences, making it a key player in the technology and electronics sectors.
How the Company Makes MoneyAMD generates revenue primarily through the sale of its semiconductor products, which are categorized into several key segments. The Computing and Graphics segment is a major revenue driver, accounting for the sale of desktop and notebook microprocessors, accelerated processing units (APUs), discrete graphics processing units (GPUs), and professional graphics products. Additionally, the Enterprise, Embedded, and Semi-Custom segment includes sales from server and embedded processors, as well as semi-custom System-on-Chip (SoC) products, which are used in gaming consoles. AMD's revenue is also bolstered by strategic partnerships and collaborations with major technology companies, original equipment manufacturers (OEMs), and original design manufacturers (ODMs). These partnerships help AMD expand its market reach and enhance its competitive position in the rapidly evolving semiconductor industry.

Advanced Micro Devices Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Shows revenue from different business segments, highlighting AMD's strengths in areas like CPUs, GPUs, and data center products, and indicating potential growth drivers or areas needing strategic focus.
Chart InsightsAMD's data center segment is experiencing robust growth, significantly contributing to overall revenue, driven by demand for EPYC processors and Instinct AI Accelerators. Despite a decline in gaming revenue due to lower semi-custom sales, the client segment shows resilience with strong Ryzen processor demand. The earnings call highlights challenges from China export controls impacting AI shipments, yet AMD remains optimistic about achieving strong double-digit revenue growth in 2025, supported by strategic initiatives in AI and GPU markets. Embedded segment recovery is anticipated in the latter half of 2025.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Advanced Micro Devices Financial Statement Overview

Summary
AMD exhibits strong financial health, characterized by robust revenue growth, efficient cost management, and a stable balance sheet. The company is well-positioned in the semiconductor industry with solid cash flow generation. Potential areas for improvement include enhancing net profitability and optimizing cash conversion.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
AMD has demonstrated strong revenue growth over the years, with a notable increase from 2023 to TTM. The gross profit margin has also improved, showcasing effective cost management. However, while the net profit margin has increased, it remains modest, indicating room for enhanced profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are stable, reflecting healthy operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The balance sheet is robust, marked by a low debt-to-equity ratio, indicating conservative leverage. Return on equity is positive, but there's potential for higher returns. The high equity ratio suggests a strong financial structure, providing stability and resilience against market fluctuations.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Cash flow generation is solid, with operating cash flow and free cash flow showing an upward trend. Free cash flow growth is notable, indicating efficient capital expenditure management. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio suggests potential for improved cash conversion efficiency.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
25.79B22.68B23.60B16.43B9.76B
Gross Profit
12.72B10.46B12.05B7.93B4.35B
EBIT
1.90B401.00M1.26B3.65B1.37B
EBITDA
1.90B4.15B5.53B4.17B1.68B
Net Income Common Stockholders
1.64B854.00M1.32B3.16B2.49B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
5.13B5.77B5.86B3.61B2.29B
Total Assets
69.23B67.89B67.58B12.42B8.96B
Total Debt
2.21B3.00B3.17B661.00M531.00M
Net Debt
-1.57B-930.00M-1.66B-1.87B-1.06B
Total Liabilities
11.66B11.99B12.83B4.92B3.13B
Stockholders Equity
57.57B55.89B54.75B7.50B5.84B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
2.40B1.12B3.12B3.22B777.00M
Operating Cash Flow
3.04B1.67B3.56B3.52B1.07B
Investing Cash Flow
-1.10B-1.42B2.00B-686.00M-952.00M
Financing Cash Flow
-2.06B-1.15B-3.26B-1.90B6.00M

Advanced Micro Devices Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price110.71
Price Trends
50DMA
100.69
Positive
100DMA
106.96
Positive
200DMA
126.60
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
4.62
Negative
RSI
58.37
Neutral
STOCH
43.67
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AMD, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 110.71 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 105.37, above the 50-day MA of 100.69, and below the 200-day MA of 126.60, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 4.62 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 58.37 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 43.67 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for AMD.

Advanced Micro Devices Risk Analysis

Advanced Micro Devices disclosed 45 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Advanced Micro Devices reported the most risks in the “Tech & Innovation” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 3 New Risks
1.
Our ability to complete the acquisition of ZT Systems is subject to closing conditions, including the receipt of consents and approvals from government authorities, which may impose conditions that could adversely affect us or cause the acquisition to not be completed. Q4, 2024
2.
The risks and uncertainties described below are not the only ones we face. If any of the following risks actually occurs, our business, financial condition or results of operations could be materially adversely affected. In addition, you should consider the interrelationship and compounding effects of two or more risks occurring simultaneously. Q4, 2024
3.
Nvidia's dominance in the graphics processing unit market and its aggressive business practices may limit our ability to compete effectively on a level playing field. Q4, 2024

Advanced Micro Devices Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
AMAMD
81
Outperform
$184.05B82.143.90%21.71%99.00%
80
Outperform
$3.28T45.74119.18%0.03%114.20%146.26%
80
Outperform
$161.81B15.0142.21%2.25%16.15%32.28%
TSTSM
77
Outperform
$846.57B24.8932.11%1.01%35.45%47.97%
TXTXN
70
Outperform
$163.72B34.1429.04%2.90%-4.48%-17.82%
61
Neutral
$11.41B10.19-7.05%2.95%7.46%-10.52%
45
Neutral
$92.78B-18.66%2.42%-3.97%-562.40%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AMD
Advanced Micro Devices
110.71
-55.65
-33.45%
INTC
Intel
20.55
-9.98
-32.69%
NVDA
Nvidia
132.83
26.40
24.81%
QCOM
Qualcomm
147.37
-58.86
-28.54%
TSM
TSMC
196.19
37.93
23.97%
TXN
Texas Instruments
180.21
-13.29
-6.87%

Advanced Micro Devices Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 06, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 12.26%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong revenue growth and product demand, particularly in the data center and client segments. However, challenges such as declining gaming revenue, embedded segment weakness, and significant impact from China export controls on AI shipments were noted. Despite these setbacks, the company's strong performance across other areas and strategic initiatives in AI and GPUs suggest a positive outlook.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-Breaking Revenue Growth
First quarter revenue increased 36% year-over-year to $7.4 billion, with data center and client segments both growing by large double-digit percentages.
Data Center Segment Surge
Data center segment revenue increased 57% year-over-year to $3.7 billion, driven by strong demand for EPYC processors and Instinct AI Accelerators.
Client Revenue Growth
Client revenue grew 68% year-over-year, marking the fifth consecutive quarter of revenue share gains, driven by strong demand for Ryzen processors.
Strong Margin Expansion
Gross margin was 54%, up 140 basis points from a year ago, driven by a richer product mix and strong sales performance.
Significant AI and GPU Momentum
Data center AI business revenue increased by a significant double-digit percentage year-over-year, with strong demand for Instinct GPUs and partnerships with major cloud providers.
Negative Updates
Gaming Revenue Decline
Gaming revenue decreased 30% year-over-year due to lower semi-custom sales, despite higher Radeon graphics sales.
Embedded Segment Weakness
Embedded segment revenue decreased 3% year-over-year to $823 million, with a gradual recovery expected only in the second half of 2025.
China Export Control Impact
New export license requirement for MI308 shipments to China is expected to reduce revenue by $700 million in Q2 and $1.5 billion for the full year 2025.
Inventory Challenges
Inventory increased significantly to support strong client and server ramps, with challenges in managing long lead times.
Company Guidance
During AMD's first quarter 2025 conference call, the company provided robust guidance, emphasizing strong growth across its business segments despite macroeconomic challenges. The first quarter saw a 36% year-over-year revenue increase to $7.4 billion, driven by a 57% rise in data center segment revenue to $3.7 billion, and a 28% increase in the client and gaming segment revenue to $2.9 billion. Gross margin expanded for the fifth consecutive quarter to 54%, and net income rose by 55%. AMD attributed this performance to significant sales growth in its Instinct AI Accelerators, EPYC, and Ryzen CPUs, with data center product sales contributing a higher overall percentage. Despite new export license requirements impacting $700 million in revenue, AMD expects to achieve strong double-digit percentage revenue growth in 2025, supported by ongoing client and gaming segment strength and ramping production of its Instinct MI350 series accelerators.

Advanced Micro Devices Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
AMD Sells ZT Systems Business to Sanmina
Positive
May 19, 2025

On May 19, 2025, AMD announced a definitive agreement to sell its ZT Systems data center infrastructure manufacturing business to Sanmina for $3 billion in cash and stock, with a contingent payment of up to $450 million. The transaction, expected to close by the end of 2025, aligns with AMD’s strategic plan announced in August 2024 and will make Sanmina a preferred manufacturing partner for AMD’s cloud rack and AI solutions. This move is anticipated to enhance AMD’s U.S.-based manufacturing capabilities and accelerate the deployment of AI systems for cloud customers, strengthening its position in the AI and data center markets.

The most recent analyst rating on (AMD) stock is a Hold with a $150.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Advanced Micro Devices stock, see the AMD Stock Forecast page.

Shareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
AMD Stockholders Approve Key Proposals at Annual Meeting
Neutral
May 16, 2025

On May 14, 2025, Advanced Micro Devices held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders where several key proposals were voted on. All director nominees were elected, and significant approvals included the ratification of Ernst & Young LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm, the approval of executive compensation, and amendments to increase authorized shares and limit officer liability. However, a proposal to remove the holding requirement for calling a special meeting was not approved. These decisions reflect the company’s strategic directions and governance priorities.

The most recent analyst rating on (AMD) stock is a Hold with a $150.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Advanced Micro Devices stock, see the AMD Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
AMD Reports Strong Q1 2025 Financial Results
Positive
May 6, 2025

On May 6, 2025, AMD announced its financial results for the first quarter of 2025, reporting a revenue of $7.4 billion, a 36% increase year-over-year, with significant growth in its data center and AI segments. The company highlighted its strong product portfolio and consistent execution as key drivers for its performance, despite challenges in the macro and regulatory environment. AMD also emphasized its strategic acquisitions and partnerships aimed at enhancing its AI capabilities and expanding its market reach, positioning the company for continued growth and value creation for shareholders.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
AMD Completes Acquisition of ZT Systems for AI Expansion
Positive
Mar 31, 2025

On March 31, 2025, AMD announced the completion of its acquisition of ZT Systems, a leading provider of AI and general-purpose compute infrastructure for hyperscale providers. This strategic move aims to enhance AMD’s capabilities in delivering end-to-end AI solutions by integrating ZT Systems’ expertise with AMD’s CPU, GPU, and networking technologies. The acquisition is expected to accelerate AMD’s AI infrastructure deployment and provide a competitive edge in the $500 billion data center AI accelerator market projected for 2028. The transaction is anticipated to be accretive on a non-GAAP basis by the end of 2025, and AMD is exploring strategic partnerships to divest ZT Systems’ manufacturing business.

Executive/Board Changes
AMD Approves Executive Bonuses for Fiscal Year 2024
Positive
Feb 24, 2025

On February 18 and 19, 2025, Advanced Micro Devices, Inc.’s Board of Directors approved annual cash performance bonuses for its executive officers under the Executive Incentive Plan for fiscal year 2024. The bonuses, which are expected to be paid in March 2025, include $670,106 for Jean Hu, $665,593 for Phil Guido, $658,825 for Forrest Norrod, and $1,776,120 for Lisa T. Su. These awards reflect the company’s commitment to recognizing and rewarding the contributions of its leadership team, potentially impacting the company’s operational focus and stakeholder confidence.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.