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Advanced Micro Devices (AMD)
NASDAQ:AMD

Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) AI Stock Analysis

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Advanced Micro Devices

(NASDAQ:AMD)

Rating:80Outperform
Price Target:
$165.00
▲(19.12%Upside)
AMD's overall stock score of 80.3 reflects its strong financial performance and positive earnings outlook, driven by growth in key segments like data centers and AI. While technical indicators show bullish momentum, the high P/E ratio suggests potential overvaluation. Recent corporate actions further bolster its strategic positioning.
Positive Factors
Energy Efficiency
AMD exceeded its five-year goal to improve energy efficiency in AI training and high-performance computing nodes by 38x, surpassing the original target of 30x by 2025.
Product Launch
AMD officially launched its much-anticipated Instinct MI350 Series, which is in production and shipping to lead partners, with expected volume revenue ramp in the third quarter.
Software Capabilities
AMD's recent software acquisitions and newly launched ROCm 7 have narrowed the gap with NVIDIA's CUDA platform, enabling greater customer flexibility in architecture choices.
Negative Factors
Customer Growth
AMD may not grow as much as expected across their largest customers for the Mi350 series.
Product Uncertainty
MI400 is still something of a show-me story, indicating uncertainty about its impact.
Revenue Trends
The revenue trends at AMD would suggest those customers have stepped away rather than leaned into using AMD.

Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Advanced Micro Devices Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAdvanced Micro Devices, Inc. operates as a semiconductor company worldwide. The company operates in two segments, Computing and Graphics; and Enterprise, Embedded and Semi-Custom. Its products include x86 microprocessors as an accelerated processing unit, chipsets, discrete and integrated graphics processing units (GPUs), data center and professional GPUs, and development services; and server and embedded processors, and semi-custom System-on-Chip (SoC) products, development services, and technology for game consoles. The company provides processors for desktop and notebook personal computers under the AMD Ryzen, AMD Ryzen PRO, Ryzen Threadripper, Ryzen Threadripper PRO, AMD Athlon, AMD Athlon PRO, AMD FX, AMD A-Series, and AMD PRO A-Series processors brands; discrete GPUs for desktop and notebook PCs under the AMD Radeon graphics, AMD Embedded Radeon graphics brands; and professional graphics products under the AMD Radeon Pro and AMD FirePro graphics brands. It also offers Radeon Instinct, Radeon PRO V-series, and AMD Instinct accelerators for servers; chipsets under the AMD trademark; microprocessors for servers under the AMD EPYC; embedded processor solutions under the AMD Athlon, AMD Geode, AMD Ryzen, AMD EPYC, AMD R-Series, and G-Series processors brands; and customer-specific solutions based on AMD CPU, GPU, and multi-media technologies, as well as semi-custom SoC products. It serves original equipment manufacturers, public cloud service providers, original design manufacturers, system integrators, independent distributors, online retailers, and add-in-board manufacturers through its direct sales force, independent distributors, and sales representatives. The company was incorporated in 1969 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyAMD generates revenue primarily through the sale of its semiconductor products, which are categorized into several key segments. The Computing and Graphics segment is a major revenue driver, accounting for the sale of desktop and notebook microprocessors, accelerated processing units (APUs), discrete graphics processing units (GPUs), and professional graphics products. Additionally, the Enterprise, Embedded, and Semi-Custom segment includes sales from server and embedded processors, as well as semi-custom System-on-Chip (SoC) products, which are used in gaming consoles. AMD's revenue is also bolstered by strategic partnerships and collaborations with major technology companies, original equipment manufacturers (OEMs), and original design manufacturers (ODMs). These partnerships help AMD expand its market reach and enhance its competitive position in the rapidly evolving semiconductor industry.

Advanced Micro Devices Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Breaks down sales across AMD’s various product lines, revealing which segments are contributing most to growth and where market demand is strongest.
Chart InsightsAMD's data center segment is experiencing robust growth, driven by demand for EPYC processors and Instinct AI Accelerators, contributing significantly to overall revenue. In contrast, the gaming segment is facing a steep decline due to lower semi-custom sales, despite higher Radeon graphics sales. The client segment shows resilience with strong Ryzen processor demand. Embedded segment weakness persists, but a recovery is anticipated in late 2025. New export controls to China present a revenue challenge, but AMD's strategic focus on AI and GPUs suggests a positive long-term outlook.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Advanced Micro Devices Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 06, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 40.46%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong revenue growth and product demand, particularly in the data center and client segments. However, challenges such as declining gaming revenue, embedded segment weakness, and significant impact from China export controls on AI shipments were noted. Despite these setbacks, the company's strong performance across other areas and strategic initiatives in AI and GPUs suggest a positive outlook.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-Breaking Revenue Growth
First quarter revenue increased 36% year-over-year to $7.4 billion, with data center and client segments both growing by large double-digit percentages.
Data Center Segment Surge
Data center segment revenue increased 57% year-over-year to $3.7 billion, driven by strong demand for EPYC processors and Instinct AI Accelerators.
Client Revenue Growth
Client revenue grew 68% year-over-year, marking the fifth consecutive quarter of revenue share gains, driven by strong demand for Ryzen processors.
Strong Margin Expansion
Gross margin was 54%, up 140 basis points from a year ago, driven by a richer product mix and strong sales performance.
Significant AI and GPU Momentum
Data center AI business revenue increased by a significant double-digit percentage year-over-year, with strong demand for Instinct GPUs and partnerships with major cloud providers.
Negative Updates
Gaming Revenue Decline
Gaming revenue decreased 30% year-over-year due to lower semi-custom sales, despite higher Radeon graphics sales.
Embedded Segment Weakness
Embedded segment revenue decreased 3% year-over-year to $823 million, with a gradual recovery expected only in the second half of 2025.
China Export Control Impact
New export license requirement for MI308 shipments to China is expected to reduce revenue by $700 million in Q2 and $1.5 billion for the full year 2025.
Inventory Challenges
Inventory increased significantly to support strong client and server ramps, with challenges in managing long lead times.
Company Guidance
During AMD's first quarter 2025 conference call, the company provided robust guidance, emphasizing strong growth across its business segments despite macroeconomic challenges. The first quarter saw a 36% year-over-year revenue increase to $7.4 billion, driven by a 57% rise in data center segment revenue to $3.7 billion, and a 28% increase in the client and gaming segment revenue to $2.9 billion. Gross margin expanded for the fifth consecutive quarter to 54%, and net income rose by 55%. AMD attributed this performance to significant sales growth in its Instinct AI Accelerators, EPYC, and Ryzen CPUs, with data center product sales contributing a higher overall percentage. Despite new export license requirements impacting $700 million in revenue, AMD expects to achieve strong double-digit percentage revenue growth in 2025, supported by ongoing client and gaming segment strength and ramping production of its Instinct MI350 series accelerators.

Advanced Micro Devices Financial Statement Overview

Summary
AMD exhibits strong financial health across all key areas. The income statement shows impressive revenue and profit growth, supported by efficient cost management. The balance sheet reflects a stable and low-leverage structure, while the cash flow statement highlights robust cash generation capabilities.
Income Statement
92
Very Positive
AMD has demonstrated robust revenue growth with a TTM increase from $25.79 billion to $27.75 billion, indicating a growth rate of approximately 7.63%. The gross profit margin is healthy at 50.91%, supported by a net profit margin of 8.02% for the TTM. The EBIT margin stands at 9.62%, and the EBITDA margin is 21.43%, reflecting strong operational efficiency. These metrics highlight AMD's effective cost management and profitability in the competitive semiconductor industry.
Balance Sheet
88
Very Positive
AMD maintains a strong financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.08, indicating low leverage. The return on equity is 3.85% for the TTM, showing effective utilization of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio is 80.91%, suggesting a solid capital structure with a significant portion of assets financed by equity. This stability positions AMD well for future growth opportunities.
Cash Flow
85
Very Positive
AMD's cash flow performance is commendable, with a free cash flow growth rate of 14.46% from the previous year. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 1.55, indicating strong cash generation relative to net income. Additionally, the free cash flow to net income ratio is 1.24, reflecting efficient cash management and the capability to reinvest in growth initiatives or return value to shareholders.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue27.75B25.79B22.68B23.60B16.43B9.76B
Gross Profit13.90B12.72B10.46B12.05B7.93B4.35B
EBITDA5.97B5.26B4.15B5.53B4.17B1.68B
Net Income2.23B1.64B854.00M1.32B3.16B2.49B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets71.55B69.23B67.89B67.58B12.42B8.96B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments7.31B5.13B5.77B5.86B3.61B2.29B
Total Debt4.73B2.21B3.00B3.17B661.00M531.00M
Total Liabilities13.67B11.66B11.99B12.83B4.92B3.13B
Stockholders Equity57.88B57.57B55.89B54.75B7.50B5.84B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.75B2.40B1.12B3.12B3.22B777.00M
Operating Cash Flow3.46B3.04B1.67B3.56B3.52B1.07B
Investing Cash Flow-1.32B-1.10B-1.42B2.00B-686.00M-952.00M
Financing Cash Flow-267.00M-2.06B-1.15B-3.26B-1.90B6.00M

Advanced Micro Devices Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price138.52
Price Trends
50DMA
114.94
Positive
100DMA
108.33
Positive
200DMA
123.97
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
7.62
Negative
RSI
65.79
Neutral
STOCH
58.78
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AMD, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 138.52 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 128.76, above the 50-day MA of 114.94, and above the 200-day MA of 123.97, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 7.62 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 65.79 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 58.78 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AMD.

Advanced Micro Devices Risk Analysis

Advanced Micro Devices disclosed 45 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Advanced Micro Devices reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Advanced Micro Devices Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (56)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
84
Outperform
$3.85T50.81115.46%0.03%86.17%81.36%
81
Outperform
$175.02B16.2342.21%2.23%16.15%32.28%
AMAMD
80
Outperform
$220.69B99.773.90%21.71%99.00%
TSTSM
77
Outperform
$962.93B28.9132.11%1.22%35.45%47.97%
TXTXN
77
Outperform
$188.13B39.2429.04%2.58%-4.48%-17.82%
56
Neutral
$3.18B5.11-5.68%5.67%8.05%-41.83%
47
Neutral
$99.67B-18.66%2.19%-3.97%-562.40%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AMD
Advanced Micro Devices
138.52
-25.38
-15.49%
INTC
Intel
21.88
-9.15
-29.49%
NVDA
Nvidia
157.25
29.01
22.62%
QCOM
Qualcomm
162.32
-37.11
-18.61%
TSM
TSMC
233.60
53.14
29.45%
TXN
Texas Instruments
215.59
22.32
11.55%

Advanced Micro Devices Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
AMD Sells ZT Systems Business to Sanmina
Positive
May 19, 2025

On May 19, 2025, AMD announced a definitive agreement to sell its ZT Systems data center infrastructure manufacturing business to Sanmina for $3 billion in cash and stock, with a contingent payment of up to $450 million. The transaction, expected to close by the end of 2025, aligns with AMD’s strategic plan announced in August 2024 and will make Sanmina a preferred manufacturing partner for AMD’s cloud rack and AI solutions. This move is anticipated to enhance AMD’s U.S.-based manufacturing capabilities and accelerate the deployment of AI systems for cloud customers, strengthening its position in the AI and data center markets.

The most recent analyst rating on (AMD) stock is a Hold with a $150.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Advanced Micro Devices stock, see the AMD Stock Forecast page.

Shareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
AMD Stockholders Approve Key Proposals at Annual Meeting
Neutral
May 16, 2025

On May 14, 2025, Advanced Micro Devices held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders where several key proposals were voted on. All director nominees were elected, and significant approvals included the ratification of Ernst & Young LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm, the approval of executive compensation, and amendments to increase authorized shares and limit officer liability. However, a proposal to remove the holding requirement for calling a special meeting was not approved. These decisions reflect the company’s strategic directions and governance priorities.

The most recent analyst rating on (AMD) stock is a Hold with a $150.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Advanced Micro Devices stock, see the AMD Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
AMD Reports Strong Q1 2025 Financial Results
Positive
May 6, 2025

On May 6, 2025, AMD announced its financial results for the first quarter of 2025, reporting a revenue of $7.4 billion, a 36% increase year-over-year, with significant growth in its data center and AI segments. The company highlighted its strong product portfolio and consistent execution as key drivers for its performance, despite challenges in the macro and regulatory environment. AMD also emphasized its strategic acquisitions and partnerships aimed at enhancing its AI capabilities and expanding its market reach, positioning the company for continued growth and value creation for shareholders.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 26, 2025