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Micron (MU)
NASDAQ:MU

Micron (MU) AI Stock Analysis

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MU

Micron

(NASDAQ:MU)

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Outperform 79 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:79Outperform
Price Target:
$285.00
▲(3.04% Upside)
Micron's strong financial performance and positive earnings call are the most significant factors driving the stock score. The company's robust revenue growth, profitability, and strategic positioning in AI and HBM markets are key strengths. Technical indicators support a positive outlook, although valuation metrics suggest moderate expectations. Supply constraints and increased CapEx are risks to monitor.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Micron's projected revenue growth underscores its strong market position and demand for its products, particularly in AI and HBM markets, indicating sustained business expansion.
Technological Advancements
Advancements in DRAM and NAND technologies enhance Micron's competitive edge, ensuring it remains at the forefront of semiconductor innovation and meets future demand.
Cash Generation
Strong cash generation capacity supports Micron's ability to invest in growth opportunities and manage financial obligations, contributing to long-term stability.
Negative Factors
Supply Constraints
Persistent supply constraints could limit Micron's ability to fully capitalize on demand, potentially impacting revenue and market share growth.
Increased CapEx
Higher capital expenditures may strain financial resources and affect profitability if not matched by proportional revenue growth.
Board Member Retirements
The retirement of key board members could lead to strategic shifts and potential disruptions in governance, impacting long-term strategic direction.

Micron (MU) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Micron Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMicron Technology, Inc. (MU) is a leading global provider of advanced semiconductor solutions, primarily focusing on memory and storage technologies. The company operates in the semiconductor sector and specializes in designing and manufacturing DRAM (Dynamic Random-Access Memory), NAND flash memory, and storage solutions. Micron's products are utilized in a wide range of applications, including personal computers, servers, mobile devices, automotive systems, and industrial equipment, enabling enhanced performance and efficiency across various technologies.
How the Company Makes MoneyMicron generates revenue primarily through the sale of its memory and storage products, with DRAM and NAND flash memory being the key contributors. The company operates on a volume-based revenue model, where it earns money by selling its products to original equipment manufacturers (OEMs), data centers, and consumer electronics companies. Significant partnerships with major tech companies and OEMs help bolster its market presence and ensure steady demand for its products. Additionally, Micron benefits from strategic collaborations and long-term supply agreements that provide stability to its revenue streams. The company's revenue is also influenced by market dynamics, such as global demand for memory solutions, pricing trends, and technological advancements in the semiconductor industry.

Micron Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Business Type
Revenue by Business Type
Chart Insights
Data provided by:The Fly

Micron Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Dec 17, 2025
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 01, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Micron Technology, Inc.'s earnings call highlighted significant revenue growth and technological advancements, particularly in the AI and HBM markets. However, the company faces considerable supply constraints, unable to meet full customer demand and necessitating increased CapEx. Despite these challenges, the overall business performance remains strong, with expectations for continued growth.
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-Breaking Revenue and Growth
Micron Technology, Inc. delivered fiscal Q1 revenue of $13.6 billion, up 21% sequentially and 57% year over year, setting a quarterly record for the third consecutive quarter.
Strong Performance Across Business Units
All business units reported record revenues, with Cloud Memory Business Unit at $5.3 billion, Core Data Center Business Unit at $2.4 billion, Mobile and Client Business Unit at $4.3 billion, and Automotive and Embedded Business Unit at $1.7 billion.
Improved Gross Margins
The consolidated gross margin for fiscal Q1 was 56.8%, up 11 percentage points sequentially, driven by higher pricing, strong cost execution, and favorable mix.
HBM Market Leadership
Micron forecasts an HBM TAM CAGR of approximately 40% through 2028, with the market size projected to reach $100 billion by 2028, two years earlier than previously expected.
Technological Advancements
Micron is ramping its 1-gamma DRAM node and G9 NAND node, which will drive supply growth in 2026. The company is also leading in AI-driven demand with its HBM4 product offering industry-leading performance.
Negative Updates
Supply Constraints
Micron expects industry supply to remain substantially short of demand for both DRAM and NAND, with supply constraints persisting through and beyond 2026.
Inability to Meet Customer Demand
Despite efforts, Micron is unable to meet demand from several customers, only able to fulfill about 50% to two-thirds of demand from key customers.
CapEx Increase Amid Supply Challenges
Micron plans to increase its fiscal 2026 CapEx to approximately $20 billion to support supply capability, indicating challenges in meeting rising demand due to supply constraints.
Company Guidance
In Micron Technology, Inc.'s fiscal first quarter 2026 financial call, the company highlighted several key metrics and achievements. Revenue for the quarter reached a record $13.6 billion, with DRAM and NAND revenue contributing significantly. The company achieved a gross margin of 56.8%, marking an improvement of 11 percentage points sequentially, and generated a record free cash flow of $3.9 billion. The company anticipates substantial growth in HBM TAM, expecting it to reach $100 billion by 2028, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 40% from 2025. Micron also plans to increase its fiscal 2026 capital expenditures to roughly $20 billion to support HBM and DRAM supply capabilities. Looking ahead, Micron forecasts record revenue of $18.7 billion for fiscal Q2 2026, with a gross margin of 68% and EPS of $8.42, as it continues to capitalize on strong demand across its product portfolio, particularly driven by AI advancements.

Micron Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Micron demonstrates strong financial health with robust revenue growth, profitability, and cash generation. The company has effectively managed its leverage and equity, maintaining a solid balance sheet. While historical volatility in margins and cash flow presents potential risks, the current trajectory indicates a well-positioned company in the semiconductor industry.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Micron's income statement shows strong performance with a significant revenue growth rate of 13.2% in the TTM period, indicating robust demand and market position. The gross profit margin of 39.79% and net profit margin of 22.84% reflect efficient cost management and profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also healthy at 27.10% and 49.45% respectively, showcasing operational efficiency. However, the company experienced a challenging period in 2023 with negative margins, which could indicate potential volatility.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet is solid with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.28, indicating a conservative leverage position. The return on equity (ROE) is 17.05%, reflecting effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio stands at 68.42%, suggesting a strong equity base relative to assets. Despite these strengths, the company has seen fluctuations in equity and debt levels over recent years, which could pose risks if not managed carefully.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Micron's cash flow statement is impressive with a substantial free cash flow growth rate of 93.77% in the TTM period, highlighting strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.53 indicates efficient conversion of income to cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 50.95% further supports the company's ability to generate cash. However, historical fluctuations in free cash flow, particularly in 2023, suggest potential volatility in cash flow management.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue37.38B25.11B15.54B30.76B27.70B
Gross Profit14.87B5.61B-1.42B13.90B10.42B
EBITDA18.49B8.94B2.21B16.74B12.93B
Net Income8.54B778.00M-5.83B8.69B5.86B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets82.80B69.42B64.25B66.28B58.85B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments10.31B8.11B9.59B9.33B8.63B
Total Debt15.28B14.01B13.93B7.52B7.28B
Total Liabilities28.63B24.29B20.13B16.38B14.92B
Stockholders Equity54.16B45.13B44.12B49.91B43.93B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.67B121.00M-6.12B3.11B2.44B
Operating Cash Flow17.52B8.51B1.56B15.18B12.47B
Investing Cash Flow-14.09B-8.31B-6.19B-11.59B-10.59B
Financing Cash Flow-850.00M-1.84B4.98B-2.98B-1.78B

Micron Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price276.59
Price Trends
50DMA
229.27
Positive
100DMA
185.85
Positive
200DMA
142.24
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
8.65
Negative
RSI
65.04
Neutral
STOCH
83.76
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MU, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 276.59 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 242.12, above the 50-day MA of 229.27, and above the 200-day MA of 142.24, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 8.65 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 65.04 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 83.76 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MU.

Micron Risk Analysis

Micron disclosed 33 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Micron reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Micron Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$299.25B25.2822.55%0.20%45.43%203.31%
77
Outperform
$203.32B29.6135.51%0.69%4.47%0.48%
77
Outperform
$61.91B26.4031.48%0.18%-16.35%316.56%
76
Outperform
$4.40T44.83107.36%0.02%65.22%58.53%
73
Outperform
$347.47B106.235.32%31.83%80.45%
64
Neutral
$175.63B3,431.130.19%-1.49%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MU
Micron
276.59
187.68
211.09%
AMD
Advanced Micro Devices
214.95
88.66
70.20%
AMAT
Applied Materials
259.01
92.31
55.37%
INTC
Intel
36.37
15.97
78.28%
NVDA
Nvidia
183.69
43.51
31.04%
WDC
Western Digital
176.76
130.32
280.62%

Micron Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Micron Announces Board Member Retirements
Neutral
Oct 21, 2025

On October 21, 2025, Micron Technology announced that Richard M. Beyer and Mary Pat McCarthy will retire from the Board of Directors at the annual shareholders meeting on January 15, 2026. Beyer and McCarthy, who have served since 2013 and 2018 respectively, have played significant roles in guiding Micron through growth and transformation, with Beyer contributing strategic leadership and McCarthy offering expertise in financial oversight. Their departure will leave the board with eight directors, and the company has nominated the remaining directors for reelection.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 19, 2025