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Micron (MU)
NASDAQ:MU

Micron (MU) AI Stock Analysis

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MU

Micron

(NASDAQ:MU)

Rating:79Outperform
Price Target:
$106.00
▼(-12.99%Downside)
Micron's strong financial performance and positive earnings call guidance are key drivers of its high stock score. Technical analysis indicates a positive trend, although the potential overbought condition warrants caution. Valuation metrics suggest high growth expectations, but the modest dividend yield reflects reinvestment priorities.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
If suppliers reach their pricing goals within DRAM and NAND, MU's earnings power could increase significantly.
Market Share
Micron Technology is gaining market share in the HBM sector, with its revenue projected to grow significantly, enhancing its overall financial performance.
Technology Advancements
Micron's advanced memory technology positions it as an industry leader, crucially addressing rising AI infrastructure demands.
Negative Factors
Demand Outlook
The end-demand outlook remains weak particularly in Mobile/PC, making it difficult to pass through higher prices.
Market Competition
Samsung targets mass production of HBM4 and revenue contributions, highlighting competitive pressure in the market.
Pricing Sustainability
Investors may start to question the sustainability of the trend of higher DRAM/NAND pricing amid end-demand weakness.

Micron (MU) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Micron Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMicron Technology, Inc. designs, manufactures, and sells memory and storage products worldwide. The company operates through four segments: Compute and Networking Business Unit, Mobile Business Unit, Storage Business Unit, and Embedded Business Unit. It provides memory and storage technologies comprises DRAM products, which are dynamic random access memory semiconductor devices with low latency that provide high-speed data retrieval; NAND products that are non-volatile and re-writeable semiconductor storage devices; and NOR memory products, which are non-volatile re-writable semiconductor memory devices that provide fast read speeds under the Micron and Crucial brands, as well as through private labels. The company offers memory products for the cloud server, enterprise, client, graphics, and networking markets, as well as for smartphone and other mobile-device markets; SSDs and component-level solutions for the enterprise and cloud, client, and consumer storage markets; other discrete storage products in component and wafers; and memory and storage products for the automotive, industrial, and consumer markets. It markets its products through its direct sales force, independent sales representatives, distributors, and retailers; and web-based customer direct sales channel, as well as through channel and distribution partners. Micron Technology, Inc. was founded in 1978 and is headquartered in Boise, Idaho.
How the Company Makes MoneyMicron Technology generates revenue primarily through the sale of its semiconductor memory and storage products. The company's key revenue streams include the sale of DRAM and NAND flash memory products to original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) and other customers across various industries like technology, automotive, and telecommunications. DRAM products are used extensively in computing devices and servers, while NAND products are critical for storage solutions in mobile devices and data centers. In addition to direct sales, Micron also engages in partnerships and collaborations with other tech companies to enhance its product offerings and reach. Market demand for memory and storage, technological advancements, and the company's ability to scale production efficiently are significant factors contributing to its earnings.

Micron Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Analyzes revenue across different business segments, highlighting which areas drive growth and profitability, and where Micron might face challenges or opportunities.
Chart InsightsMicron's Compute and Networking segment is experiencing robust growth, driven by record data center DRAM revenues and a significant increase in HBM sales. This aligns with the company's strategic advancements in DRAM technology, including the launch of the 1-gamma node. However, the Mobile segment shows volatility, and the Storage segment's recent surge may be temporary. Despite challenges in the NAND market, Micron's positive outlook for fiscal Q3, with expected record revenues and shipment growth, underscores its resilience and strategic focus on high-value products.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Micron Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Mar 20, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 18.42%|
Next Earnings Date:Jun 25, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong performance in DRAM, particularly in the data center segment, with record revenues and advancements in technology. However, challenges in the NAND market and pressure on gross margins indicate some areas of concern. Despite these challenges, the company's outlook remains positive with expected record revenues in the coming quarter.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Data Center DRAM Revenue
Data center DRAM revenue reached a new record in fiscal Q2, supported by strong demand for high-capacity DRAM modules and LPDRAM.
HBM Revenue Growth
HBM revenue grew more than 50% sequentially, reaching over $1 billion in quarterly revenue, with shipments ahead of plans.
Advancements in DRAM Technology
Launched 1-gamma node with significant improvements: 20% lower power, 15% better performance, and over 30% improvement in bit density compared to 1-beta DRAM.
Capital Investments and Facility Expansion
Broke ground on an HBM advanced packaging facility in Singapore and completed a construction milestone for a new DRAM fab in Idaho.
Strong Financial Performance
Fiscal Q2 revenue was $8.1 billion, up 38% year-over-year. DRAM revenue increased by 47% year-over-year.
Positive Outlook for Fiscal Q3
Expected record revenue in fiscal Q3 driven by shipment growth in both DRAM and NAND, with projected revenue of $8.8 billion.
Negative Updates
NAND Revenue Decline
NAND revenue decreased by 17% sequentially, with prices declining in the high-teens percentage range.
Gross Margin Pressure
Consolidated gross margin for fiscal Q2 was 37.9%, down 160 basis points sequentially, primarily due to lower NAND pricing and mix shift to consumer-oriented products.
NAND Underutilization and Challenges
NAND industry faced underutilization and structural capacity reductions, impacting the company's gross margins negatively.
Increased Operating Expenses
Projected fiscal 2025 operating expenses to increase by over 10%, reflecting planned increases to support high-value products, including HBM.
Company Guidance
During Micron's Second Quarter 2025 Financial Call, the company provided positive financial guidance and key performance metrics. Micron achieved record revenues in data center DRAM, with HBM revenue growing over 50% sequentially, surpassing $1 billion for the quarter. The company continues to hold its leading position in DRAM technology with the launch of its 1-gamma node, achieving a 20% power reduction, 15% better performance, and over 30% improvement in bit density compared to its 1-beta DRAM. The outlook for fiscal Q3 is promising, with expected revenue of $8.8 billion and EPS of $1.57, driven by shipment growth in both DRAM and NAND. Micron anticipates maintaining its DRAM and NAND market share in calendar 2025, with DRAM bit demand growth projected in the mid- to high teens percentage range. Additionally, the company is on track to increase its HBM market share to align with its overall DRAM supply share by calendar Q4 2025, with strong demand expected to continue into 2026.

Micron Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Micron's financial performance shows notable improvements across key metrics. The company has achieved impressive revenue growth and profitability recovery, supported by strong margins and cash flow generation. The balance sheet remains robust with conservative leverage and high equity levels, positioning the company well for future growth in the semiconductor industry.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Micron's TTM revenue grew by 24.72% compared to the previous year, indicating strong top-line growth. The gross profit margin improved significantly to 34.73% in TTM, from a negative margin in 2023, reflecting enhanced operational efficiency. Net profit margin increased to 14.92% in TTM, moving from a loss in prior years, highlighting a strong recovery in profitability. Both EBIT and EBITDA margins improved, suggesting better cost management and higher earnings quality.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
Micron maintains a solid balance sheet with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.30, indicating a conservative leverage position. The equity ratio stands at 66.57%, showcasing strong equity backing relative to total assets. Return on equity improved remarkably to 9.61% in TTM, up from negative returns, signaling improved profitability and effective use of equity capital.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Free cash flow grew significantly, with a positive shift in TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 2.80, demonstrating robust cash generation relative to earnings. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 1.68 further supports the company's strong cash flow performance, indicating efficient capital expenditure and healthy cash reserves.
Breakdown
TTMSep 2024Sep 2023Sep 2022Sep 2021Sep 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
31.32B25.11B15.54B30.76B27.70B21.43B
Gross Profit
10.88B5.61B-1.42B13.90B10.42B6.55B
EBIT
6.16B1.30B-5.75B9.70B6.28B3.00B
EBITDA
12.53B9.58B2.49B16.88B12.62B8.83B
Net Income Common Stockholders
4.67B778.00M-5.83B8.69B5.86B2.69B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
8.21B8.11B9.59B9.33B8.63B8.14B
Total Assets
73.05B69.42B64.25B66.28B58.85B53.68B
Total Debt
14.95B14.01B13.93B7.52B7.28B7.18B
Net Debt
7.40B6.97B5.36B-746.00M-483.00M-448.00M
Total Liabilities
24.42B24.29B20.13B16.38B14.92B14.68B
Stockholders Equity
48.63B45.13B44.12B49.91B43.93B39.00B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
7.87B121.00M-6.12B3.11B2.44B83.00M
Operating Cash Flow
13.07B8.51B1.56B15.18B12.47B8.31B
Investing Cash Flow
-11.90B-8.31B-6.19B-11.59B-10.59B-7.59B
Financing Cash Flow
-1.71B-1.84B4.98B-2.98B-1.78B-317.00M

Micron Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price121.82
Price Trends
50DMA
90.64
Positive
100DMA
91.66
Positive
200DMA
95.49
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
8.15
Negative
RSI
82.97
Negative
STOCH
88.54
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MU, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 121.82 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 106.06, above the 50-day MA of 90.64, and above the 200-day MA of 95.49, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 8.15 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 82.97 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 88.54 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MU.

Micron Risk Analysis

Micron disclosed 33 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Micron reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Micron Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$139.71B21.1936.37%1.06%6.12%-5.66%
AMAMD
81
Outperform
$204.93B93.173.90%21.71%99.00%
80
Outperform
$118.09B32.45104.10%0.87%20.44%44.14%
80
Outperform
$118.52B25.8153.14%1.00%20.33%31.89%
MUMU
79
Outperform
$133.93B28.8010.10%0.38%71.05%
62
Neutral
$11.95B9.93-7.21%4.85%7.32%-8.25%
47
Neutral
$90.47B-18.66%2.33%-3.97%-562.40%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MU
Micron
121.82
-21.71
-15.13%
AMD
Advanced Micro Devices
126.79
-34.99
-21.63%
AMAT
Applied Materials
172.84
-64.90
-27.30%
INTC
Intel
21.49
-8.94
-29.38%
KLAC
KLA
871.16
49.22
5.99%
LRCX
Lam Research
92.24
-12.67
-12.08%

Micron Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Micron Expands Credit Facility with HSBC Bank
Positive
Mar 12, 2025

On March 12, 2025, Micron Technology, Inc. entered into a new revolving credit agreement with HSBC Bank USA, replacing its existing $2.5 billion facility with a $3.5 billion revolving credit facility. This strategic financial move, which includes provisions for potential expansion and improved terms, is aimed at supporting the company’s general corporate purposes and enhancing its financial flexibility. The agreement underscores Micron’s commitment to maintaining a robust financial structure, with no outstanding borrowings reported under the new facility as of the filing date.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.