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Micron (MU)
NASDAQ:MU

Micron (MU) AI Stock Analysis

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MU

Micron

(NASDAQ:MU)

Rating:78Outperform
Price Target:
$142.00
▲(15.21%Upside)
Micron's strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment are the primary drivers of its high stock score. Technical indicators are supportive but suggest caution due to potential overbought conditions. Valuation remains attractive, providing a balanced investment outlook.
Positive Factors
AI Demand
AI demand remains incredibly robust, supporting volumes, mix, and ultimately gross margins.
Financial Performance
Micron reported stronger-than-expected revenue and EPS, benefiting from a rebound in DRAM consumer demand while DRAM DC demand remained strong.
Market Outlook
Micron's guidance for the upcoming quarter came in ahead of expectations on both the top and bottom line.
Negative Factors
Consumer Mix
A higher mix of consumer products led to a low single-digit sequential decline in DRAM average selling prices.
Selling Prices
Blended DRAM and NAND average selling prices experienced a decline during the period.

Micron (MU) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Micron Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMicron Technology, Inc. is a leading global provider of innovative memory and storage solutions. The company operates primarily in the semiconductor sector, focusing on the design, development, and manufacturing of dynamic random-access memory (DRAM), NAND flash memory, and NOR flash memory. Micron's products are used in a wide range of applications, including personal computing, data centers, mobile devices, automotive, industrial, and networking markets.
How the Company Makes MoneyMicron Technology generates revenue primarily through the sale of its semiconductor memory and storage products. The company's key revenue streams include the sale of DRAM and NAND flash memory products to original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) and other customers across various industries like technology, automotive, and telecommunications. DRAM products are used extensively in computing devices and servers, while NAND products are critical for storage solutions in mobile devices and data centers. In addition to direct sales, Micron also engages in partnerships and collaborations with other tech companies to enhance its product offerings and reach. Market demand for memory and storage, technological advancements, and the company's ability to scale production efficiently are significant factors contributing to its earnings.

Micron Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Analyzes revenue across different business segments, highlighting which areas drive growth and profitability, and where Micron might face challenges or opportunities.
Chart InsightsMicron's Compute and Networking segment is experiencing a robust recovery, with significant revenue growth since early 2024, likely driven by increased demand for AI and data center applications. Meanwhile, the Embedded and Mobile segments show moderate recovery, reflecting stabilization in consumer electronics demand. The Storage segment, after a sharp spike in late 2024, is stabilizing, possibly due to inventory adjustments. Investors should watch for sustained demand in Compute and Networking, as it could drive future growth amid evolving tech trends.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Micron Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jun 25, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: -3.14%|
Next Earnings Date:Sep 25, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call was overwhelmingly positive with record-breaking revenues, significant growth in the data center segment, and strategic investments positioning Micron well for future growth. Despite some challenges in NAND pricing and tariff-related concerns, the achievements and financial performance overshadowed these issues.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-Breaking Revenue and Growth
Micron delivered record revenue in fiscal Q3 2025, with revenue reaching $9.3 billion, up 15% sequentially and 37% year-over-year.
Data Center Segment Surge
Data center revenue more than doubled year-over-year and reached a record level, driven by strong growth and share gains in HBM and robust performance by high-capacity DIMMs and low-power server DRAM products.
Strong Financial Performance
Gross margin reached 39%, up 110 basis points sequentially, and non-GAAP EPS was $1.91, a 22% sequential growth and over 200% increase year-over-year.
Strategic Investment Plans
Micron announced plans to invest approximately $200 billion in the U.S., including $150 billion in manufacturing and $50 billion in R&D over the next 20-plus years.
HBM and DRAM Technology Advancements
Micron made excellent progress on the 1-gamma DRAM technology node, achieving a 30% improvement in bit density, more than 20% lower power consumption, and up to 15% higher performance compared to 1-beta DRAM.
Record DRAM Revenue
DRAM revenue reached $7.1 billion, up 51% year-over-year, driven by a nearly 50% sequential increase in HBM revenue.
Negative Updates
NAND Revenue Challenges
NAND revenue was $2.2 billion, with prices decreasing in the high single-digit percentage range, although bit shipments increased in the mid-20s percentage range.
Customer Inventory and Tariff Concerns
There were some tariff-related pull-ins by certain customers, indicating potential challenges in managing demand and inventory levels.
Company Guidance
During Micron's Fiscal Third Quarter 2025 financial call, the company reported record revenue of $9.3 billion, marking a 15% sequential increase and a 37% year-over-year growth. Key metrics exceeded the high end of guidance ranges, with gross margin at 39% and EPS at $1.91. DRAM revenue reached $7.1 billion, up 51% year-over-year, driven by a nearly 50% sequential growth in HBM revenue. NAND revenue was $2.2 billion, with significant growth in data center SSDs. Looking ahead, Micron anticipates a robust demand environment, projecting a 15% sequential revenue increase to a record $10.7 billion at guidance midpoint for fiscal Q4. The company is investing approximately $200 billion in U.S. manufacturing and R&D over the next 20 years to support AI-driven innovation, with plans to build a second memory fab in Idaho and expand its Manassas, Virginia, facility.

Micron Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Micron demonstrates strong financial performance with impressive revenue and profit growth, a stable balance sheet, and robust cash flow generation. Despite an increase in debt levels, they remain manageable, supporting growth initiatives.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Micron's income statement shows a strong recovery with a significant increase in total revenue from $25.11 billion to $33.81 billion TTM, resulting in a robust revenue growth rate of 34.7%. Gross profit margin improved to 37.1% TTM, indicating better cost management. The net profit margin of 18.4% TTM reflects substantial profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins of 22.6% and 35.1% TTM respectively, demonstrate solid operational efficiency. These factors contribute to a strong income statement performance.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
Micron's balance sheet is stable with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.31 TTM, indicating controlled leverage. The return on equity of 12.3% TTM shows effective use of shareholder funds, though there is room for improvement. The equity ratio of 64.7% TTM underscores a strong capital structure. While the financial health is sound, the company should continue to monitor its debt levels as total debt has increased.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
The cash flow statement highlights a healthy free cash flow growth rate from $0.121 billion to $12.08 billion TTM, showing significant cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 2.44 TTM indicates strong cash conversion. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 1.94 TTM suggests efficient capital expenditure management. Overall, Micron's cash flow performance is robust, supporting its operational and financial strategies.
BreakdownTTMSep 2024Sep 2023Sep 2022Sep 2021Sep 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue33.81B25.11B15.54B30.76B27.70B21.43B
Gross Profit12.56B5.61B-1.42B13.90B10.42B6.55B
EBITDA11.87B9.58B2.49B16.88B12.62B8.83B
Net Income6.22B778.00M-5.83B8.69B5.86B2.69B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets78.40B69.42B64.25B66.28B58.85B53.68B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments10.81B8.11B9.59B9.33B8.63B8.14B
Total Debt15.60B14.01B13.93B7.52B7.28B7.18B
Total Liabilities27.65B24.29B20.13B16.38B14.92B14.68B
Stockholders Equity50.75B45.13B44.12B49.91B43.93B39.00B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow12.08B121.00M-6.12B3.11B2.44B83.00M
Operating Cash Flow15.20B8.51B1.56B15.18B12.47B8.31B
Investing Cash Flow-12.49B-8.31B-6.19B-11.59B-10.59B-7.59B
Financing Cash Flow-260.00M-1.84B4.98B-2.98B-1.78B-317.00M

Micron Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price123.25
Price Trends
50DMA
98.24
Positive
100DMA
94.09
Positive
200DMA
96.76
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
7.92
Positive
RSI
70.27
Negative
STOCH
57.58
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MU, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 123.25 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 116.41, above the 50-day MA of 98.24, and above the 200-day MA of 96.76, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 7.92 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 70.27 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 57.58 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MU.

Micron Risk Analysis

Micron disclosed 33 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Micron reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Micron Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$147.03B22.3036.37%1.00%6.12%-5.66%
AMAMD
80
Outperform
$233.17B104.023.90%21.71%99.00%
80
Outperform
$117.68B32.34104.10%0.85%20.44%44.14%
80
Outperform
$124.33B27.0853.14%0.95%20.33%31.89%
MUMU
78
Outperform
$139.62B22.5213.11%0.37%58.22%
63
Neutral
$33.26B5.86-11.55%1.91%5.52%-20.13%
47
Neutral
$98.97B-18.66%2.20%-3.97%-562.40%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MU
Micron
123.25
-8.73
-6.61%
AMD
Advanced Micro Devices
141.90
-22.41
-13.64%
AMAT
Applied Materials
183.07
-55.53
-23.27%
INTC
Intel
22.40
-8.47
-27.44%
KLAC
KLA
895.74
64.36
7.74%
LRCX
Lam Research
97.34
-8.70
-8.20%

Micron Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Micron Expands Credit Facility with HSBC Bank
Positive
Mar 12, 2025

On March 12, 2025, Micron Technology, Inc. entered into a new revolving credit agreement with HSBC Bank USA, replacing its existing $2.5 billion facility with a $3.5 billion revolving credit facility. This strategic financial move, which includes provisions for potential expansion and improved terms, is aimed at supporting the company’s general corporate purposes and enhancing its financial flexibility. The agreement underscores Micron’s commitment to maintaining a robust financial structure, with no outstanding borrowings reported under the new facility as of the filing date.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 28, 2025