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Intel (INTC)
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Intel (INTC) AI Stock Analysis

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INTC

Intel

(NASDAQ:INTC)

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Neutral 61 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
$40.00
▲(4.90% Upside)
Intel's overall stock score is driven by strong technical momentum and positive earnings call highlights, including exceeding revenue and EPS guidance and improved cash position. However, significant profitability challenges, high P/E ratio, and cash flow issues weigh down the score. The stock's valuation appears stretched, and supply constraints pose ongoing risks.
Positive Factors
AI and Foundry Progress
Intel's advancements in AI and foundry operations, including collaborations with major tech firms, enhance its competitive edge and market position, driving long-term growth opportunities.
Improved Cash Position
A stronger cash position provides Intel with greater financial flexibility to invest in strategic initiatives, manage debt, and weather economic uncertainties, supporting sustainable growth.
PC and Server Growth
Growth in PC and server markets, driven by AI demand, indicates robust product adoption and strengthens Intel's core business, contributing to long-term revenue stability.
Negative Factors
Supply Constraints
Ongoing supply constraints can hinder Intel's ability to capitalize on market demand, potentially impacting revenue growth and customer satisfaction over the medium term.
Foundry Financial Loss
Continued financial losses in the foundry segment highlight operational challenges and may strain resources, affecting Intel's profitability and strategic investments in the long run.
Gross Margin Decline
Declining gross margins suggest cost pressures and pricing challenges, which could erode profitability and limit Intel's ability to invest in growth and innovation over time.

Intel (INTC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Intel Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionIntel Corporation (INTC) is a global leader in computing innovation, primarily known for its semiconductor products and microprocessors that power a wide range of computing devices. Founded in 1968, the company operates in various sectors, including data center solutions, Internet of Things (IoT), artificial intelligence (AI), and consumer electronics. Intel's core products include microprocessors for personal computers and servers, chipsets, integrated graphics, and memory solutions, which serve both consumer and enterprise markets.
How the Company Makes MoneyIntel generates revenue primarily through the sale of its semiconductor products, including microprocessors and chipsets. The company's key revenue streams include the Client Computing Group, which focuses on PC processors, and the Data Center Group, which provides solutions for data center operations and cloud services. Additionally, Intel earns revenue from its Internet of Things Group and Non-Volatile Memory Solutions Group. Strategic partnerships with major technology firms, such as collaborations with cloud service providers and OEMs (original equipment manufacturers), enhance its market reach and contribute significantly to its earnings. Intel also invests in R&D to innovate and maintain its competitive edge in the rapidly evolving tech landscape.

Intel Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Operating Income by Segment
Operating Income by Segment
Chart Insights
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Intel Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 23, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 22, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong financial performance with revenue and EPS exceeding guidance, improved cash position, and significant progress in AI and foundry operations. However, supply constraints and financial losses in the foundry segment, along with declining gross margins, were notable challenges.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
Fourth consecutive quarter of revenue above guidance, with Q3 revenue reaching $13.7 billion, a 6% sequential increase. Earnings per share were $0.23, beating the guidance of breakeven EPS.
Improved Cash Position
Intel significantly improved its cash position, ending Q3 with $30.9 billion in cash and short-term investments. This includes $5.7 billion from the U.S. government, $2 billion from SoftBank Group, and $4.3 billion from the Altera closure.
AI and Foundry Progress
Strong momentum in AI with collaborations with NVIDIA and SoftBank. Intel 18A yields are progressing, and Fab 52 in Arizona is now fully operational.
PC and Server Growth
PC AI revenue was $4.1 billion, up 5% sequentially, driven by improved product mix and higher enterprise demand. Strong demand for Granite Rapids in servers.
Negative Updates
Supply Constraints
Capacity constraints, especially on Intel 10 and Intel 7, limited the ability to fully meet demand in Q3 for both data center and client products.
Foundry Financial Loss
Intel Foundry reported a Q3 operating loss of $2.3 billion, though this was better than the previous quarter.
Gross Margin Decline
Non-GAAP gross margin was 40%, 4 percentage points better than Q3 guidance, but expected to be 36.5% in Q4 due to product mix and early ramp of new products.
Company Guidance
In the third quarter of 2025, Intel Corporation delivered strong financial results, exceeding guidance with a revenue of $13.7 billion, a gross margin of 40%, and earnings per share of $0.23. The company also significantly improved its cash position and liquidity, executing strategic partnerships that secured approximately $20 billion in cash. This includes $5.7 billion from the U.S. government, $2 billion from SoftBank Group, and pending $5 billion from NVIDIA. For the fourth quarter, Intel provided guidance with revenue expected between $12.8 billion to $13.8 billion, a gross margin of approximately 36.5%, and EPS of $0.08. The company continues to navigate supply constraints, especially on Intel 10 and Intel 7, and is optimistic about the growth driven by AI demand in both the server and client markets. Intel is also focusing on enhancing its foundry business, with an emphasis on Intel 18A and 14A nodes, and plans disciplined investment in response to customer commitments.

Intel Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Intel faces significant profitability challenges with negative net income and declining revenue. The balance sheet remains relatively strong with reasonable leverage and a solid equity ratio, but cash flow issues persist with negative free cash flow, raising concerns over liquidity and operational cash generation.
Income Statement
55
Neutral
Intel's TTM revenue has slightly decreased from the previous year, indicating a revenue contraction trend. The gross profit margin for TTM stands at 29.76%, showing a substantial decline from historical levels, reflecting deteriorating cost management or pricing pressures. The net profit margin is deeply negative at -38.65%, highlighting significant profitability challenges, further accentuated by a negative EBIT margin of -19.28%. Despite a positive EBITDA margin of 2.10%, overall income statement performance is weak, with substantial negative net income impacting overall profitability.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.52, indicating moderate leverage. The equity ratio is strong at 50.84%, reflecting a solid capital structure. Return on equity is severely negative at -20.95%, pointing to challenges in generating returns for shareholders in the current period. Overall, the balance sheet displays a stable capital base with manageable leverage, but profitability issues are a concern.
Cash Flow
48
Neutral
Intel's free cash flow remains negative at -$10.94 billion, though it has shown some improvement from the previous year's -$15.66 billion. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is -0.49, highlighting cash flow generation challenges relative to net income losses. The free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, further reflecting cash outflows. Cash flow performance indicates significant room for improvement, especially in light of negative free cash flow and operating cash flow issues.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2019Dec 2018
Income Statement
Total Revenue39.18B53.10B54.23B63.05B71.97B70.85B
Gross Profit13.53B17.34B21.71B26.87B42.14B43.74B
EBITDA10.42B1.20B11.24B21.30B33.25B32.33B
Net Income324.00M-18.76B1.69B8.01B21.05B21.05B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets204.51B196.49B191.57B182.10B136.52B127.96B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments30.93B22.06B25.03B28.34B13.12B11.65B
Total Debt46.55B50.01B49.28B42.05B29.00B26.36B
Total Liabilities87.78B91.45B81.61B78.82B59.02B53.40B
Stockholders Equity106.38B99.27B105.59B101.42B77.50B74.56B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-5.75B-15.66B-14.28B-9.62B16.93B14.25B
Operating Cash Flow5.41B8.29B11.47B15.43B33.15B29.43B
Investing Cash Flow-8.26B-18.26B-24.04B-10.23B-14.40B-11.24B
Financing Cash Flow5.74B11.14B8.51B1.11B-17.57B-18.61B

Intel Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price38.13
Price Trends
50DMA
33.35
Positive
100DMA
27.88
Positive
200DMA
24.63
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.27
Positive
RSI
54.19
Neutral
STOCH
21.99
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For INTC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 38.13 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 38.31, above the 50-day MA of 33.35, and above the 200-day MA of 24.63, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 1.27 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 54.19 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 21.99 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for INTC.

Intel Risk Analysis

Intel disclosed 34 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Intel reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Intel Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
85
Outperform
$4.57T53.53109.42%0.02%71.55%64.54%
81
Outperform
$395.66B38.5151.72%0.69%24.91%39.95%
81
Outperform
$1.23T29.6434.89%1.01%39.73%
80
Outperform
$386.99B115.425.32%31.83%80.45%
76
Outperform
$1.68T90.8527.08%0.68%28.01%235.66%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
61
Neutral
$173.92B3,597.170.19%-1.49%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
INTC
Intel
38.13
13.08
52.22%
AMD
Advanced Micro Devices
233.54
86.19
58.49%
ASML
ASML Holding
1,016.96
351.05
52.72%
AVGO
Broadcom
349.43
172.26
97.23%
NVDA
Nvidia
188.15
42.93
29.56%
TSM
TSMC
286.50
94.55
49.26%

Intel Corporate Events

Intel’s Earnings Call: Strong Results Amid Challenges
Oct 25, 2025

Intel’s recent earnings call painted a picture of robust financial health, with notable achievements in revenue and earnings per share (EPS) surpassing expectations. The company showcased a strengthened cash position and significant advancements in artificial intelligence (AI) and foundry operations. However, challenges such as supply constraints and financial losses in the foundry segment, alongside declining gross margins, were also highlighted.

Intel’s Q3 2025: Revenue Growth and Strategic Moves
Oct 24, 2025

Intel Corporation, a leading semiconductor company, is renowned for designing and manufacturing advanced chips that power a wide array of computing devices. The company is a key player in the technology sector, known for its cutting-edge innovations and U.S.-based manufacturing capabilities.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Intel Sells Shares to SoftBank for $2 Billion
Neutral
Sep 29, 2025

On September 26, 2025, Intel Corporation completed a significant financial transaction by issuing and selling 86,956,522 shares of its common stock to SoftBank Group Corp. for $2.0 billion. This private placement, executed under a Securities Purchase Agreement, highlights Intel’s strategic financial maneuvers to bolster its capital, potentially impacting its market positioning and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (INTC) stock is a Hold with a $30.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Intel stock, see the INTC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Intel Partners with NVIDIA in $5 Billion Stock Deal
Positive
Sep 18, 2025

On September 15, 2025, Intel Corporation entered into a Securities Purchase Agreement with NVIDIA Corporation, where NVIDIA agreed to purchase 214,776,632 shares of Intel’s common stock for $5 billion. This transaction, subject to customary closing conditions, marks a significant collaboration between the two companies to develop AI infrastructure and personal computing products. The partnership aims to integrate NVIDIA’s AI and accelerated computing with Intel’s CPU technologies to deliver advanced solutions across hyperscale, enterprise, and consumer markets. This collaboration is expected to enhance Intel’s industry positioning and expand both companies’ ecosystems, laying the foundation for future computing advancements.

The most recent analyst rating on (INTC) stock is a Hold with a $20.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Intel stock, see the INTC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
Intel Sells Majority Stake in Altera to Silver Lake
Positive
Sep 15, 2025

On September 12, 2025, Intel Corporation completed a transaction to sell a 51% stake in its Altera business to an affiliate of Silver Lake for approximately $3.3 billion, forming a new partnership while retaining a 49% interest. This strategic move allows Intel to revise its financial targets, reflecting the deconsolidation of Altera, and positions the company to better focus on its core operations and financial performance, as indicated by its updated non-GAAP operating expense targets.

The most recent analyst rating on (INTC) stock is a Hold with a $24.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Intel stock, see the INTC Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Intel CEO Michelle Johnston Holthaus Resigns
Neutral
Sep 8, 2025

On September 7, 2025, Michelle Johnston Holthaus, CEO of Intel Products, announced her resignation from Intel Corporation for Good Reason, as defined in her offer letter. She will remain in a non-executive role until March 1, 2026, to facilitate a smooth transition, after which she will receive severance benefits in accordance with the company’s executive severance plan.

The most recent analyst rating on (INTC) stock is a Hold with a $24.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Intel stock, see the INTC Stock Forecast page.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Intel Registers Stock Resale with SEC
Neutral
Sep 5, 2025

On September 5, 2025, Intel Corporation filed a prospectus supplement with the SEC to register the potential resale of a warrant and shares of common stock by the U.S. Department of Commerce. This filing, required by a prior agreement, does not involve a sale by Intel, and the company will not receive proceeds from any resale by the Department of Commerce.

The most recent analyst rating on (INTC) stock is a Hold with a $24.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Intel stock, see the INTC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Intel Amends Funding Agreement with U.S. Commerce
Neutral
Aug 29, 2025

On August 27, 2025, Intel Corporation and the U.S. Department of Commerce amended their Direct Funding Agreement, removing several obligations for Intel, including project milestone requirements and workforce policy mandates, while maintaining certain restrictions under the CHIPS Act. This amendment facilitated the closing of the Purchase Agreement, resulting in Intel receiving $5.695 billion in accelerated disbursements and issuing shares and warrants to the DOC, impacting Intel’s financial operations and strategic positioning in the semiconductor industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (INTC) stock is a Hold with a $23.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Intel stock, see the INTC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Intel Secures $8.9 Billion Investment from U.S. Government
Neutral
Aug 25, 2025

On August 22, 2025, Intel Corporation entered into a significant agreement with the United States Department of Commerce, involving an $8.9 billion investment by the U.S. government in Intel’s common stock. This transaction, part of the CHIPS Act and Secure Enclave program, aims to bolster Intel’s role in expanding the domestic semiconductor industry. The agreement includes the issuance of shares and warrants to the U.S. government, with the government holding a 9.9% stake in Intel. This investment reflects confidence in Intel’s ability to advance national priorities and strengthen the U.S. semiconductor supply chain. However, the transaction also presents risks, such as potential dilution of existing shareholders and uncertainties regarding funding and regulatory changes. The U.S. government’s involvement may impact Intel’s operations and strategic decisions, particularly in international markets.

The most recent analyst rating on (INTC) stock is a Hold with a $26.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Intel stock, see the INTC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Intel Announces $2 Billion Investment from SoftBank
Positive
Aug 21, 2025

On August 18, 2025, Intel Corporation announced a $2 billion investment agreement with SoftBank Group Corp., under which SoftBank will purchase 86,956,522 shares of Intel’s common stock at $23 per share. This strategic investment aims to bolster semiconductor innovation in the U.S. and supports SoftBank’s vision of accelerating the AI revolution by enhancing access to advanced technologies. The transaction is subject to customary closing conditions, including regulatory approvals.

The most recent analyst rating on (INTC) stock is a Hold with a $23.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Intel stock, see the INTC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Intel Amends Altera Sale Agreement with SLP VII
Neutral
Aug 14, 2025

On April 14, 2025, Intel Corporation entered into a transaction agreement to sell a majority interest in its Altera business to SLP VII Gryphon Aggregator, L.P. An amendment to this agreement was made on August 11, 2025, adjusting the purchase price calculations and extending the closing date to September 13, 2025. The transaction is expected to impact Intel’s operations, with potential risks including regulatory approval delays, changes in business relationships, and competition in the semiconductor industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (INTC) stock is a Hold with a $23.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Intel stock, see the INTC Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 24, 2025