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Intel (INTC)
NASDAQ:INTC

Intel (INTC) AI Stock Analysis

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INTC

Intel

(NASDAQ:INTC)

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Neutral 58 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:
$39.00
▼(-8.52% Downside)
The score is driven primarily by mixed financial performance—strong revenue recovery and a solid balance sheet but weak profitability and negative free cash flow. A constructive earnings call and positive financing/board events help offset, while technicals are subdued and valuation is heavily penalized by the extremely high P/E.
Positive Factors
Strategic Partnerships
The $5 billion investment from NVIDIA strengthens Intel's capital base and strategic ties, enhancing collaboration opportunities in the semiconductor industry.
AI and Foundry Progress
Intel's advancements in AI and foundry operations position it well to capitalize on growing demand for AI solutions and custom chip manufacturing.
Leadership Appointments
New leadership in key areas can drive strategic initiatives, enhance policy engagement, and strengthen Intel's market positioning and technology strategy.
Negative Factors
Supply Constraints
Ongoing supply constraints could hinder Intel's ability to meet market demand, affecting revenue growth and competitive positioning.
Foundry Financial Loss
Continued financial losses in the foundry segment highlight operational inefficiencies and could strain Intel's profitability and cash flow.
Gross Margin Decline
Declining gross margins may impact Intel's profitability, reflecting challenges in cost management and pricing pressures in a competitive market.

Intel (INTC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Intel Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionIntel Corporation engages in the design, manufacture, and sale of computer products and technologies worldwide. The company operates through CCG, DCG, IOTG, Mobileye, NSG, PSG, and All Other segments. It offers platform products, such as central processing units and chipsets, and system-on-chip and multichip packages; and non-platform or adjacent products, including accelerators, boards and systems, connectivity products, graphics, and memory and storage products. The company also provides high-performance compute solutions for targeted verticals and embedded applications for retail, industrial, and healthcare markets; and solutions for assisted and autonomous driving comprising compute platforms, computer vision and machine learning-based sensing, mapping and localization, driving policy, and active sensors. In addition, it offers workload-optimized platforms and related products for cloud service providers, enterprise and government, and communications service providers. The company serves original equipment manufacturers, original design manufacturers, and cloud service providers. Intel Corporation has a strategic partnership with MILA to develop and apply advances in artificial intelligence methods for enhancing the search in the space of drugs. The company was incorporated in 1968 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyIntel generates revenue primarily through the sale of its semiconductor products, which include microprocessors, chipsets, and memory modules. The company operates through several key segments: Client Computing Group (CCG), which focuses on personal computers and laptops; Data Center Group (DCG), which supplies processors and solutions for data centers; and Internet of Things Group (IoTG), which provides products for connected devices. Significant revenue streams include direct sales to original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) and system builders, as well as retail sales. Intel also engages in strategic partnerships with other technology firms and cloud service providers, enhancing its market presence and expanding its customer base. Additional revenue comes from licensing its technology and patents to other companies, further diversifying its income sources.

Intel Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Operating Income by Segment
Operating Income by Segment
Chart Insights
Data provided by:The Fly

Intel Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 23, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 22, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong financial performance with revenue and EPS exceeding guidance, improved cash position, and significant progress in AI and foundry operations. However, supply constraints and financial losses in the foundry segment, along with declining gross margins, were notable challenges.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
Fourth consecutive quarter of revenue above guidance, with Q3 revenue reaching $13.7 billion, a 6% sequential increase. Earnings per share were $0.23, beating the guidance of breakeven EPS.
Improved Cash Position
Intel significantly improved its cash position, ending Q3 with $30.9 billion in cash and short-term investments. This includes $5.7 billion from the U.S. government, $2 billion from SoftBank Group, and $4.3 billion from the Altera closure.
AI and Foundry Progress
Strong momentum in AI with collaborations with NVIDIA and SoftBank. Intel 18A yields are progressing, and Fab 52 in Arizona is now fully operational.
PC and Server Growth
PC AI revenue was $4.1 billion, up 5% sequentially, driven by improved product mix and higher enterprise demand. Strong demand for Granite Rapids in servers.
Negative Updates
Supply Constraints
Capacity constraints, especially on Intel 10 and Intel 7, limited the ability to fully meet demand in Q3 for both data center and client products.
Foundry Financial Loss
Intel Foundry reported a Q3 operating loss of $2.3 billion, though this was better than the previous quarter.
Gross Margin Decline
Non-GAAP gross margin was 40%, 4 percentage points better than Q3 guidance, but expected to be 36.5% in Q4 due to product mix and early ramp of new products.
Company Guidance
In the third quarter of 2025, Intel Corporation delivered strong financial results, exceeding guidance with a revenue of $13.7 billion, a gross margin of 40%, and earnings per share of $0.23. The company also significantly improved its cash position and liquidity, executing strategic partnerships that secured approximately $20 billion in cash. This includes $5.7 billion from the U.S. government, $2 billion from SoftBank Group, and pending $5 billion from NVIDIA. For the fourth quarter, Intel provided guidance with revenue expected between $12.8 billion to $13.8 billion, a gross margin of approximately 36.5%, and EPS of $0.08. The company continues to navigate supply constraints, especially on Intel 10 and Intel 7, and is optimistic about the growth driven by AI demand in both the server and client markets. Intel is also focusing on enhancing its foundry business, with an emphasis on Intel 18A and 14A nodes, and plans disciplined investment in response to customer commitments.

Intel Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Intel shows strong revenue growth but struggles with profitability and cash flow. The balance sheet is robust with a solid equity base and manageable debt levels. Operational efficiency and cash flow management need improvement.
Income Statement
Intel's revenue has shown a positive growth rate of 69.5% in the TTM period, indicating a strong recovery from previous declines. However, the net profit margin remains low at 0.37%, reflecting challenges in converting revenue into profit. The gross profit margin has improved to 35.77%, but it is still below historical levels. The EBIT margin is negative, highlighting operational inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
Intel maintains a healthy debt-to-equity ratio of 0.44, suggesting a balanced approach to leveraging. The return on equity is low at 0.20%, indicating limited profitability from shareholders' investments. The equity ratio stands at 52.03%, showing a strong equity base relative to total assets.
Cash Flow
The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 4.33, indicating strong cash generation relative to net income. However, the free cash flow is negative, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is -0.98, highlighting cash flow challenges. The free cash flow growth rate is negative, reflecting ongoing cash flow constraints.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue53.44B53.10B54.23B63.05B79.02B77.87B
Gross Profit19.02B17.34B21.71B26.87B43.81B43.61B
EBITDA14.19B1.20B11.24B21.30B33.87B36.12B
Net Income198.00M-18.76B1.69B8.01B19.87B20.90B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets204.51B196.49B191.57B182.10B168.41B153.09B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments30.93B22.06B25.03B28.34B28.41B23.89B
Total Debt46.55B50.01B49.28B42.05B38.10B36.40B
Total Liabilities87.78B91.45B81.61B78.82B73.02B72.05B
Stockholders Equity106.38B99.27B105.59B101.42B95.39B81.04B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-8.42B-15.66B-14.28B-9.62B9.13B20.93B
Operating Cash Flow8.57B8.29B11.47B15.43B29.46B35.38B
Investing Cash Flow-12.02B-18.26B-24.04B-10.23B-24.28B-20.80B
Financing Cash Flow5.80B11.14B8.51B1.11B-6.21B-12.92B

Intel Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price42.63
Price Trends
50DMA
38.18
Positive
100DMA
34.28
Positive
200DMA
27.77
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.52
Negative
RSI
68.82
Neutral
STOCH
70.95
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For INTC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 42.63 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 38.00, above the 50-day MA of 38.18, and above the 200-day MA of 27.77, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.52 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 68.82 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 70.95 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for INTC.

Intel Risk Analysis

Intel disclosed 34 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Intel reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Intel Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$473.17B46.4851.72%0.63%24.91%39.95%
81
Outperform
$1.40T33.5634.89%0.82%39.73%56.22%
76
Outperform
$1.63T72.1431.05%0.69%23.87%285.84%
76
Outperform
$4.55T46.38107.36%0.02%65.22%58.53%
73
Outperform
$348.97B103.805.32%31.83%80.45%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
58
Neutral
$190.99B4,021.700.19%-1.49%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
INTC
Intel
42.63
23.48
122.61%
AMD
Advanced Micro Devices
210.02
93.98
80.99%
ASML
ASML Holding
1,228.47
495.41
67.58%
AVGO
Broadcom
343.50
121.20
54.52%
NVDA
Nvidia
189.11
53.24
39.18%
TSM
TSMC
318.68
112.48
54.55%

Intel Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Intel Raises $5 Billion via Private Share Sale
Positive
Dec 29, 2025

On December 26, 2025, Intel completed a private placement of 214,776,632 new common shares to NVIDIA for $5.0 billion in cash at $23.28 per share, under a previously agreed September 15, 2025 securities purchase agreement that relied on an exemption from public offering requirements. The transaction provides Intel with substantial new capital while expanding NVIDIA’s equity stake, underscoring deepening financial ties between two major chipmakers and potentially influencing competitive dynamics and strategic collaboration in the semiconductor industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (INTC) stock is a Hold with a $39.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Intel stock, see the INTC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Intel Appoints Dr. Craig Barratt to Board
Positive
Nov 12, 2025

On November 10, 2025, Intel Corporation announced the appointment of Dr. Craig H. Barratt to its board of directors as an independent director. Dr. Barratt, with over three decades of experience in the semiconductor and technology industries, is expected to bring valuable insights to Intel’s strategic growth. His previous roles include CEO of Atheros Communications and senior vice president at Intel, overseeing ethernet, photonics, and networking businesses. His appointment is seen as a strategic move to strengthen Intel’s engineering excellence and drive technological advancements.

The most recent analyst rating on (INTC) stock is a Sell with a $29.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Intel stock, see the INTC Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 31, 2025