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Intel (INTC)
NASDAQ:INTC
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Intel (INTC) AI Stock Analysis

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INTC

Intel

(NASDAQ:INTC)

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Neutral 57 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:57Neutral
Price Target:
$85.00
▲(24.09% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:04/25/26
The score is primarily held back by weak financial performance (negative net income and negative free cash flow despite revenue stabilization and moderate leverage). Technicals are supportive due to a strong uptrend, but overbought indicators raise near-term risk. The earnings call adds a positive tilt from operational beats and improving AI/data center momentum, partially offset by sizable foundry losses and continued cash-flow pressure, while valuation support is limited by losses (negative P/E) and no dividend data.
Positive Factors
AI / data-center revenue momentum
Sustained AI and data-center demand is a structural tailwind: AI-related businesses now comprise the majority of revenue and grew ~40% YoY, supporting durable platform-level revenue expansion. A large, growing AI mix strengthens pricing power and long-term server CPU adoption across cloud and enterprise customers.
Negative Factors
Negative adjusted free cash flow and buyout funding
Persistent negative adjusted free cash flow combined with a large, cash-and-debt funded acquisition reduces near-term financial flexibility. Heavy capital and buyout outlays mean the company must generate sustained operating cash improvement to avoid increased leverage and refinancing or constrained discretionary investment over the medium term.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
AI / data-center revenue momentum
Sustained AI and data-center demand is a structural tailwind: AI-related businesses now comprise the majority of revenue and grew ~40% YoY, supporting durable platform-level revenue expansion. A large, growing AI mix strengthens pricing power and long-term server CPU adoption across cloud and enterprise customers.
Read all positive factors

Intel (INTC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Intel Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Intel Corporation engages in the design, manufacture, and sale of computer products and technologies worldwide. The company operates through CCG, DCG, IOTG, Mobileye, NSG, PSG, and All Other segments. It offers platform products, such as central p...
How the Company Makes Money
Intel primarily makes money by selling semiconductor products and related platform solutions, plus a smaller but growing contribution from manufacturing services. Key revenue streams include: (1) Client Computing: sales of PC-focused processors an...

Intel Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Operating Income by Segment
Operating Income by Segment
Reveals profitability across different business units, indicating which segments are most lucrative and where the company might focus future efforts.
Chart InsightsIntel’s profit profile has shifted: Client Computing remains the steady cash engine while Data Center is staging a meaningful AI-driven recovery, improving segment profitability. Those gains are being offset by persistent, multi-quarter Foundry losses that remain the largest drag on consolidated operating income. Management’s ~ $20B in strategic funding and commitment to Intel 18A/14A matter, but foundry breakeven, node yields and supply constraints are the key risks to margin recovery; non-core contributions (Mobileye/Network/Accelerated) have largely disappeared, simplifying but not solving the shortfall.
Data provided by:The Fly

Intel Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 23, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jul 23, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented a mix of strong operational and commercial momentum—revenue and margin beats, rapid product ramps, robust AI-driven revenue growth (+40% YoY), and improving foundry output (+20% QoQ). At the same time, material near-term financial headwinds remain: negative adjusted free cash flow in the quarter, a substantial foundry operating loss, supply constraints limiting upside, rising input costs, and an elevated OpEx/CapEx profile following the Fab 34 buyout. Overall, the positives (demand strength, product ramps, technology progress, partnerships, and margin outperformance) appear to meaningfully outweigh the near-term lowlights tied to ramp costs and supply/cost pressures.
Positive Updates
Revenue Beat and Guidance Outperformance
Q1 revenue of $13.6 billion, $1.4 billion above the midpoint of guidance; sixth consecutive quarter exceeding financial expectations. Q2 revenue guidance $13.8–$14.8 billion (+2% to +9% sequentially) with a midpoint of $14.3 billion.
Negative Updates
Negative Adjusted Free Cash Flow and Elevated CapEx
Q1 adjusted free cash flow was negative ~$2.0 billion. Although excluding the Fab 34 buyout the company expects positive adjusted FCF for the year, the buyout was funded with ~$7.7 billion cash plus $6.5 billion debt, increasing near-term cash outflows and leverage.
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Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Revenue Beat and Guidance Outperformance
Q1 revenue of $13.6 billion, $1.4 billion above the midpoint of guidance; sixth consecutive quarter exceeding financial expectations. Q2 revenue guidance $13.8–$14.8 billion (+2% to +9% sequentially) with a midpoint of $14.3 billion.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Intel guided Q2 revenue of $13.8–$14.8B (up 2–9% sequentially; midpoint $14.3B) with a non‑GAAP gross margin at the midpoint of 39%, a non‑GAAP EPS of $0.20 and an 11% tax rate; management said both CCG and DCAI should see sequential revenue growth in Q2 (DCAI “up double‑digits”) and reiterated expectations for strong, double‑digit server CPU unit growth this year with momentum into 2027 while full‑year PC TAM is expected down low‑double‑digits. For context Q1 revenue was $13.6B (≈$1.4B above prior midpoint), Q1 non‑GAAP gross margin was 41% (~650 bps above guide), Q1 non‑GAAP EPS $0.29 (including ≈$0.06 one‑time), Q1 operating cash flow $1.1B, gross CapEx $5B and adjusted free cash flow −$2B; they now expect 2026 CapEx roughly flat year‑over‑year with tool spend up ~25% and OpEx likely above prior ~$16B target, foundry losses to improve as 18A ramps, NCI ~ $250M/Q in Q2–Q4 (≈$1.1B for 2027/28), Fab 34 buyout funded with ~$7.7B cash + $6.5B debt, and—excluding that buyout—positive adjusted FCF for the year.

Intel Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Revenue has modestly rebounded (TTM +1.7%) and operating cash flow is positive (~$10B TTM), but profitability is still pressured with materially lower gross margin (~35% vs. 55% in 2021), net income remaining negative, and free cash flow negative (TTM about -$3.1B). Balance sheet leverage is moderate (debt-to-equity ~0.41) with a large equity base, but returns are negative, reflecting under-earning on invested capital.
Income Statement
43
Neutral
Balance Sheet
62
Positive
Cash Flow
48
Neutral
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue53.76B52.85B53.10B54.23B63.05B79.02B
Gross Profit19.05B18.38B17.34B21.71B26.87B43.81B
EBITDA11.40B14.35B1.20B11.24B21.30B33.87B
Net Income-3.17B-267.00M-18.76B1.69B8.01B19.87B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets205.33B211.43B196.49B191.57B182.10B168.41B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments32.79B37.42B22.06B25.03B28.34B29.25B
Total Debt45.03B46.59B50.01B49.28B42.05B38.10B
Total Liabilities80.34B85.07B91.45B81.61B78.82B73.02B
Stockholders Equity111.39B114.28B99.27B105.59B101.42B95.39B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-3.12B-4.95B-15.66B-14.28B-9.62B9.13B
Operating Cash Flow9.98B9.70B8.29B11.47B15.43B29.46B
Investing Cash Flow-11.81B-14.82B-18.26B-24.04B-10.23B-24.28B
Financing Cash Flow10.58B11.59B11.14B8.51B1.11B-6.21B

Intel Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price68.50
Price Trends
50DMA
48.99
Positive
100DMA
45.44
Positive
200DMA
37.28
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
5.80
Negative
RSI
78.20
Negative
STOCH
95.11
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For INTC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 68.5 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 53.39, above the 50-day MA of 48.99, and above the 200-day MA of 37.28, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 5.80 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 78.20 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 95.11 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for INTC.

Intel Risk Analysis

Intel disclosed 7 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Intel reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Intel Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
83
Outperform
$5.26T37.75104.37%0.02%65.47%66.12%
82
Outperform
$1.86T24.1936.93%0.82%37.40%
81
Outperform
$542.65B39.9451.97%0.63%18.56%26.42%
79
Outperform
$1.98T53.4032.85%0.69%25.22%145.70%
76
Outperform
$545.56B80.547.18%34.34%163.27%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
57
Neutral
$427.16B-14.70-2.95%1.36%86.07%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
INTC
Intel
84.52
64.18
315.54%
AMD
Advanced Micro Devices
323.21
227.15
236.47%
ASML
ASML Holding
1,384.56
722.86
109.24%
AVGO
Broadcom
399.83
210.20
110.84%
NVDA
Nvidia
213.17
104.18
95.58%
TSM
TSMC
392.34
229.43
140.84%

Intel Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Intel CFO Assumes Additional Role as Principal Accounting Officer
Neutral
Apr 24, 2026
On April 24, 2026, Intel announced that Corporate Vice President and Chief Accounting Officer Scott Gawel resigned as the company’s principal accounting officer, effective immediately, to pursue another career opportunity. At the same time, ...
Business Operations and StrategyM&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and Financing
Intel Reacquires Full Ownership of Ireland Fab 34 Facility
Positive
Apr 8, 2026
On April 8, 2026, Intel repurchased the 49% equity stake held by Apollo-managed funds in their joint venture for Ireland’s Fab 34, paying $14.2 billion financed with cash on hand and a $6.5 billion bridge loan, giving Intel full ownership of...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Intel Announces Planned Departure of Chief Legal Officer
Neutral
Apr 3, 2026
On March 30, 2026, Intel announced that Executive Vice President and Chief Legal Officer April Miller Boise will depart the company, with her separation effective June 1, 2026. Upon leaving, she will receive severance benefits under Intel’s ...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Intel Names Craig Barratt as New Independent Chair
Positive
Mar 3, 2026
On Feb. 27, 2026, Intel board chair Frank D. Yeary informed the company he would retire from the board following the May 13, 2026 Annual Stockholders’ Meeting and would not stand for reelection, prompting the board to reduce its size from tw...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 25, 2026