Intel (INTC)
NASDAQ:INTC
Top Page
Intel
(NASDAQ:INTC)
Select Model
Select Model
Rating:48Neutral
Price Target:
$50.00
▼(-5.50% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/04/26
The score is held down primarily by weak financial performance—especially compressed profitability and persistently negative free cash flow—despite a workable balance sheet. Technicals are neutral and do not provide a strong trend signal. Valuation support is limited due to a negative P/E and missing dividend yield. The earnings call adds modest support from operational progress and improving quarterly cash generation, but near-term guidance weakness, supply constraints, and ongoing foundry losses temper the outlook.
Positive Factors
Foundry & Advanced Process Progress
Shipping products on Intel 18A and a rising EUV wafer mix signal tangible process-node progress and capacity maturation. That durable technical momentum supports long-term foundry competitiveness, helps win advanced customers, and underpins scalable revenue from manufacturing and advanced packaging over multiple years.
Negative Factors
Margin Compression
A sustained drop in gross margin versus prior peaks indicates structural profitability erosion from mix shifts, outsourcing and cost inefficiencies. Lower gross margins constrain operating leverage and the firm's ability to convert revenue into operating earnings, slowing self‑funding and return restoration over the medium term.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Foundry & Advanced Process Progress
Shipping products on Intel 18A and a rising EUV wafer mix signal tangible process-node progress and capacity maturation. That durable technical momentum supports long-term foundry competitiveness, helps win advanced customers, and underpins scalable revenue from manufacturing and advanced packaging over multiple years.
Read all positive factors
Intel (INTC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$264.29B
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)86.56M
Price to Earnings (P/E)―
Beta (1Y)1.77
Revenue Growth-0.47%
EPS Growth98.20%
CountryUS
Employees85,100
SectorTechnology
Sector Strength88
IndustrySemiconductors
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.15
Shares Outstanding4,995,000,000
10 Day Avg. Volume98,271,841
30 Day Avg. Volume86,559,280
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio6.67
Price to Book (P/B)1.54
Price to Sales (P/S)3.33
P/FCF Ratio-35.52
Enterprise Value/Market Cap1.12
Enterprise Value/Revenue5.61
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit16.14
Enterprise Value/Ebitda20.66
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$48.43Price Target Upside-8.47% Downside
Rating ConsensusHold
Number of Analyst Covering33
EPS Forecast (FY)0.51
Revenue Forecast (FY)$53.99B
Intel Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Intel Corporation engages in the design, manufacture, and sale of computer products and technologies worldwide. The company operates through CCG, DCG, IOTG, Mobileye, NSG, PSG, and All Other segments. It offers platform products, such as central p...
How the Company Makes Money
Intel primarily makes money by selling semiconductor products and related platform solutions, plus a smaller but growing contribution from manufacturing services. Key revenue streams include: (1) Client Computing: sales of PC-focused processors an...
Intel Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)
Any
Operating Income by Segment
Reveals profitability across different business units, indicating which segments are most lucrative and where the company might focus future efforts.
Reveals profitability across different business units, indicating which segments are most lucrative and where the company might focus future efforts.
Data provided by:
The Fly
The FlyIntel Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Jan 22, 2026
(Q4-2025)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 23, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call presented a balanced picture: tangible operational and product milestones (Series 3 launch, Intel 18A shipping, ASIC growth, consecutive quarterly beats, improved cash and partner investments) demonstrate meaningful progress and positioning for AI-driven demand. However, material near-term challenges persist — most notably acute supply constraints (inventory misalignment, yield and throughput shortfalls), Q1 revenue and margin guidance weakness, negative full-year adjusted free cash flow for 2025, and significant foundry losses from early node ramps. Management conveyed confidence in a multi-year recovery path but flagged execution and supply risks that will determine near-term performance.Positive Updates
Q4 Revenue Beat and Quarterly Performance
Fourth quarter revenue of $13.7B came in at the high end of guidance; Q4 marked the fifth consecutive quarter of revenue above guidance.
Negative Updates
Industry-Wide and Internal Supply Constraints
Company repeatedly cited supply constraints that greatly limited ability to capture demand; internal buffer inventory depleted and Q1 2026 supply constraints described as most acute, driving Q1 revenue guidance below seasonal norms.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive
Negative
Q4 Revenue Beat and Quarterly Performance
Fourth quarter revenue of $13.7B came in at the high end of guidance; Q4 marked the fifth consecutive quarter of revenue above guidance.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Intel's guidance for FY2026 calls for Q1 revenue of $11.7–$12.7 billion (midpoint $12.2B), non‑GAAP gross margin of ~34.5%, a non‑GAAP breakeven EPS and an ~11% tax rate, with a Q1 share count of ~5.1 billion and noncontrolling interest of about $325 million (expected to be ~$1.2 billion for the full year); for 2026 the company is targeting roughly $16 billion of OpEx, CapEx that is flat to slightly down (more weighted to H1), positive adjusted free cash flow for the year, retirement of $2.5 billion of maturities, and improving fab supply beginning in Q2 (Intel Foundry revenue up double‑digits sequentially in Q1), with NCI and share count expected to grow further into 2027.Intel Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
34
Negative
Balance Sheet
62
Positive
Cash Flow
29
Negative
| Breakdown | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | |||||
| Total Revenue | 52.85B | 53.10B | 54.23B | 63.05B | 79.02B |
| Gross Profit | 18.38B | 17.34B | 21.71B | 26.87B | 43.81B |
| EBITDA | 14.35B | 1.20B | 11.24B | 21.30B | 33.87B |
| Net Income | -267.00M | -18.76B | 1.69B | 8.01B | 19.87B |
Balance Sheet | |||||
| Total Assets | 211.43B | 196.49B | 191.57B | 182.10B | 168.41B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 37.42B | 22.06B | 25.03B | 28.34B | 29.25B |
| Total Debt | 46.59B | 50.01B | 49.28B | 42.05B | 38.10B |
| Total Liabilities | 85.07B | 91.45B | 81.61B | 78.82B | 73.02B |
| Stockholders Equity | 114.28B | 99.27B | 105.59B | 101.42B | 95.39B |
Cash Flow | |||||
| Free Cash Flow | -4.95B | -15.66B | -14.28B | -9.62B | 9.13B |
| Operating Cash Flow | 9.70B | 8.29B | 11.47B | 15.43B | 29.46B |
| Investing Cash Flow | -14.82B | -18.26B | -24.04B | -10.23B | -24.28B |
| Financing Cash Flow | 11.59B | 11.14B | 8.51B | 1.11B | -6.21B |
Intel Technical Analysis
Positive
52.91
Price Trends
46.09
Positive
43.00
Positive
35.44
Positive
Market Momentum
0.60
Negative
61.25
Neutral
92.05
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For INTC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 52.91 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 45.66, above the 50-day MA of 46.09, and above the 200-day MA of 35.44, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.60 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 61.25 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 92.05 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for INTC.
Intel Risk Analysis
Intel disclosed 7 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Intel reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Intel Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
83 Outperform | $4.33T | 37.75 | 104.37% | 0.02% | 65.47% | 66.12% | |
82 Outperform | $1.52T | 28.45 | 35.12% | 0.82% | 36.10% | 51.55% | |
78 Outperform | $497.09B | 36.81 | 52.14% | 0.63% | 24.91% | 39.95% | |
72 Outperform | $1.58T | 53.40 | 32.85% | 0.69% | 25.22% | 145.70% | |
71 Outperform | $361.18B | 80.54 | 7.18% | ― | 34.34% | 163.27% | |
61 Neutral | $37.18B | 12.37 | -10.20% | 1.83% | 8.50% | -7.62% | |
48 Neutral | $264.29B | -658.38 | -0.26% | ― | -0.47% | 98.20% |
* Technology Sector Average
INTC
Intel
52.91
34.78
191.84%
AMD
Advanced Micro Devices
221.53
143.32
183.25%
ASML
ASML Holding
1,306.45
715.48
121.07%
AVGO
Broadcom
333.97
179.20
115.78%
NVDA
Nvidia
178.10
81.82
84.99%
TSM
TSMC
345.32
205.30
146.63%
Intel Corporate Events
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Intel Announces Planned Departure of Chief Legal Officer
Neutral
Apr 3, 2026
On March 30, 2026, Intel announced that Executive Vice President and Chief Legal Officer April Miller Boise will depart the company, with her separation effective June 1, 2026. Upon leaving, she will receive severance benefits under Intel’s ...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Intel Names Craig Barratt as New Independent Chair
Positive
Mar 3, 2026
On Feb. 27, 2026, Intel board chair Frank D. Yeary informed the company he would retire from the board following the May 13, 2026 Annual Stockholders’ Meeting and would not stand for reelection, prompting the board to reduce its size from tw...
Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Intel Files Updated Resale Prospectus Supplement with SEC
Neutral
Jan 23, 2026
On January 23, 2026, Intel filed a new resale prospectus supplement with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission to supersede a prior prospectus supplement from September 5, 2025, in connection with a Warrant and Common Stock Agreement dated A...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.