Intel (INTC) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $175.58B
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 93.28M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 3472.6
• Beta (1Y): 1.70
• Revenue Growth: -1.49%
• EPS Growth: N/A
• Country: US
• Employees: 108,900
• Sector: Technology
• Sector Strength: 88
• Industry: Semiconductors
• EPS (TTM): 0.23
• Shares Outstanding: 4,770,000,000
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 79,111,146
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 93,284,698
• PEG Ratio: <0.01
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.88
• Price to Sales (P/S): 1.64
• P/FCF Ratio: -5.55
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 1.06
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 3.50
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 9.77
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 13.44
• 1Y Price Target: $36.07
• Price Target Upside: -11.07% Downside
• Rating Consensus: Hold
• Number of Analyst Covering: 34
• EPS Forecast (FY): 0.33
• Revenue Forecast (FY): $52.53B

• Rating: 64 Neutral
• Price Target: $43.00 ▲(6.02% Upside)

Intel's overall stock score reflects strong technical momentum and positive earnings call highlights, offset by significant valuation concerns and mixed financial performance. The company's robust revenue growth and strategic partnerships are promising, but profitability and cash flow challenges, along with a high P/E ratio, weigh heavily on the score.

Positive Factors

Strategic Partnerships

Strategic partnerships with entities like the U.S. government and SoftBank enhance Intel's liquidity and financial stability, supporting long-term growth initiatives.

AI and Foundry Progress

Intel's advancements in AI and foundry operations, including collaborations with major tech firms, position it well for future growth in high-demand sectors.

Advanced-Node Supplier to Apple

Intel's potential role as an advanced-node supplier to Apple signifies a strategic win, enhancing its competitive position in the semiconductor industry.

Negative Factors

Supply Constraints

Ongoing supply constraints could hinder Intel's ability to capitalize on market demand, impacting revenue growth and customer satisfaction.

Foundry Financial Loss

Continued financial losses in the foundry segment highlight operational challenges, potentially affecting Intel's profitability and investment capabilities.

Gross Margin Decline

Declining gross margins indicate cost pressures and could limit Intel's ability to invest in growth and innovation, affecting long-term competitiveness.

Intel Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Intel Corporation engages in the design, manufacture, and sale of computer products and technologies worldwide. The company operates through CCG, DCG, IOTG, Mobileye, NSG, PSG, and All Other segments. It offers platform products, such as central processing units and chipsets, and system-on-chip and multichip packages; and non-platform or adjacent products, including accelerators, boards and systems, connectivity products, graphics, and memory and storage products. The company also provides high-performance compute solutions for targeted verticals and embedded applications for retail, industrial, and healthcare markets; and solutions for assisted and autonomous driving comprising compute platforms, computer vision and machine learning-based sensing, mapping and localization, driving policy, and active sensors. In addition, it offers workload-optimized platforms and related products for cloud service providers, enterprise and government, and communications service providers. The company serves original equipment manufacturers, original design manufacturers, and cloud service providers. Intel Corporation has a strategic partnership with MILA to develop and apply advances in artificial intelligence methods for enhancing the search in the space of drugs. The company was incorporated in 1968 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, California.

How the Company Makes Money

Intel generates revenue primarily through the sale of its semiconductor products, which include microprocessors, chipsets, and memory modules. The company operates through several key segments: Client Computing Group (CCG), which focuses on personal computers and laptops; Data Center Group (DCG), which supplies processors and solutions for data centers; and Internet of Things Group (IoTG), which provides products for connected devices. Significant revenue streams include direct sales to original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) and system builders, as well as retail sales. Intel also engages in strategic partnerships with other technology firms and cloud service providers, enhancing its market presence and expanding its customer base. Additional revenue comes from licensing its technology and patents to other companies, further diversifying its income sources.

Intel Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Intel faces significant profitability challenges with negative net income and declining revenue. The balance sheet remains relatively strong with reasonable leverage and a solid equity ratio, but cash flow issues persist with negative free cash flow, raising concerns over liquidity and operational cash generation.

Income Statement

Intel's TTM revenue has slightly decreased from the previous year, indicating a revenue contraction trend. The gross profit margin for TTM stands at 29.76%, showing a substantial decline from historical levels, reflecting deteriorating cost management or pricing pressures. The net profit margin is deeply negative at -38.65%, highlighting significant profitability challenges, further accentuated by a negative EBIT margin of -19.28%. Despite a positive EBITDA margin of 2.10%, overall income statement performance is weak, with substantial negative net income impacting overall profitability.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet shows a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.52, indicating moderate leverage. The equity ratio is strong at 50.84%, reflecting a solid capital structure. Return on equity is severely negative at -20.95%, pointing to challenges in generating returns for shareholders in the current period. Overall, the balance sheet displays a stable capital base with manageable leverage, but profitability issues are a concern.

Cash Flow

Intel's free cash flow remains negative at -$10.94 billion, though it has shown some improvement from the previous year's -$15.66 billion. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is -0.49, highlighting cash flow generation challenges relative to net income losses. The free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, further reflecting cash outflows. Cash flow performance indicates significant room for improvement, especially in light of negative free cash flow and operating cash flow issues.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	53.44B	53.10B	54.23B	63.05B	79.02B	77.87B
Gross Profit	19.12B	17.34B	21.71B	26.87B	43.81B	43.61B
EBITDA	13.90B	1.20B	11.24B	21.30B	33.87B	36.12B
Net Income	198.00M	-18.76B	1.69B	8.01B	19.87B	20.90B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	204.51B	196.49B	191.57B	182.10B	168.41B	153.09B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	30.93B	22.06B	25.03B	28.34B	28.41B	23.89B
Total Debt	46.55B	50.01B	49.28B	42.05B	38.10B	36.40B
Total Liabilities	87.78B	91.45B	81.61B	78.82B	73.02B	72.05B
Stockholders Equity	106.38B	99.27B	105.59B	101.42B	95.39B	81.04B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	-8.42B	-15.66B	-14.28B	-9.62B	9.13B	20.93B
Operating Cash Flow	8.57B	8.29B	11.47B	15.43B	29.46B	35.38B
Investing Cash Flow	-12.02B	-18.26B	-24.04B	-10.23B	-24.28B	-20.80B
Financing Cash Flow	5.80B	11.14B	8.51B	1.11B	-6.21B	-12.92B

Intel Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 40.56
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For INTC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 40.56 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 36.86, above the 50-day MA of 36.50, and above the 200-day MA of 25.76, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.09 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 64.45 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 85.41 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for INTC.

Intel Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
ASML	81 Outperform	$397.40B	38.95	51.72%	0.63%	24.91%	39.95%
TSM	81 Outperform	$1.19T	29.72	34.89%	1.00%	39.73%	56.22%
AVGO	76 Outperform	$1.88T	101.57	27.08%	0.59%	28.01%	235.66%
NVDA	76 Outperform	$4.38T	44.65	107.36%	0.02%	65.22%	58.53%
AMD	74 Outperform	$348.79B	105.88	5.32%	―	31.83%	80.45%
INTC	64 Neutral	$175.58B	3,472.64	0.19%	―	-1.49%	―
Sector *	61 Neutral	$37.18B	12.37	-10.20%	1.83%	8.50%	-7.62%

Intel Corporate Events

Intel’s Earnings Call: Strong Results Amid Challenges

Intel’s recent earnings call painted a picture of robust financial health, with notable achievements in revenue and earnings per share (EPS) surpassing expectations. The company showcased a strengthened cash position and significant advancements in artificial intelligence (AI) and foundry operations. However, challenges such as supply constraints and financial losses in the foundry segment, alongside declining gross margins, were also highlighted.

Intel’s Q3 2025: Revenue Growth and Strategic Moves

Intel Corporation, a leading semiconductor company, is renowned for designing and manufacturing advanced chips that power a wide array of computing devices. The company is a key player in the technology sector, known for its cutting-edge innovations and U.S.-based manufacturing capabilities.

Intel Sells Shares to SoftBank for $2 Billion

On September 26, 2025, Intel Corporation completed a significant financial transaction by issuing and selling 86,956,522 shares of its common stock to SoftBank Group Corp. for $2.0 billion. This private placement, executed under a Securities Purchase Agreement, highlights Intel’s strategic financial maneuvers to bolster its capital, potentially impacting its market positioning and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (INTC) stock is a Hold with a $30.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Intel stock, see the INTC Stock Forecast page.

Intel Partners with NVIDIA in $5 Billion Stock Deal

On September 15, 2025, Intel Corporation entered into a Securities Purchase Agreement with NVIDIA Corporation, where NVIDIA agreed to purchase 214,776,632 shares of Intel’s common stock for $5 billion. This transaction, subject to customary closing conditions, marks a significant collaboration between the two companies to develop AI infrastructure and personal computing products. The partnership aims to integrate NVIDIA’s AI and accelerated computing with Intel’s CPU technologies to deliver advanced solutions across hyperscale, enterprise, and consumer markets. This collaboration is expected to enhance Intel’s industry positioning and expand both companies’ ecosystems, laying the foundation for future computing advancements.

The most recent analyst rating on (INTC) stock is a Hold with a $20.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Intel stock, see the INTC Stock Forecast page.

Intel Sells Majority Stake in Altera to Silver Lake

On September 12, 2025, Intel Corporation completed a transaction to sell a 51% stake in its Altera business to an affiliate of Silver Lake for approximately $3.3 billion, forming a new partnership while retaining a 49% interest. This strategic move allows Intel to revise its financial targets, reflecting the deconsolidation of Altera, and positions the company to better focus on its core operations and financial performance, as indicated by its updated non-GAAP operating expense targets.

The most recent analyst rating on (INTC) stock is a Hold with a $24.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Intel stock, see the INTC Stock Forecast page.

Intel CEO Michelle Johnston Holthaus Resigns

On September 7, 2025, Michelle Johnston Holthaus, CEO of Intel Products, announced her resignation from Intel Corporation for Good Reason, as defined in her offer letter. She will remain in a non-executive role until March 1, 2026, to facilitate a smooth transition, after which she will receive severance benefits in accordance with the company’s executive severance plan.

The most recent analyst rating on (INTC) stock is a Hold with a $24.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Intel stock, see the INTC Stock Forecast page.

Intel Registers Stock Resale with SEC

On September 5, 2025, Intel Corporation filed a prospectus supplement with the SEC to register the potential resale of a warrant and shares of common stock by the U.S. Department of Commerce. This filing, required by a prior agreement, does not involve a sale by Intel, and the company will not receive proceeds from any resale by the Department of Commerce.

The most recent analyst rating on (INTC) stock is a Hold with a $24.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Intel stock, see the INTC Stock Forecast page.

Intel Amends Funding Agreement with U.S. Commerce

On August 27, 2025, Intel Corporation and the U.S. Department of Commerce amended their Direct Funding Agreement, removing several obligations for Intel, including project milestone requirements and workforce policy mandates, while maintaining certain restrictions under the CHIPS Act. This amendment facilitated the closing of the Purchase Agreement, resulting in Intel receiving $5.695 billion in accelerated disbursements and issuing shares and warrants to the DOC, impacting Intel’s financial operations and strategic positioning in the semiconductor industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (INTC) stock is a Hold with a $23.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Intel stock, see the INTC Stock Forecast page.

Intel Secures $8.9 Billion Investment from U.S. Government

On August 22, 2025, Intel Corporation entered into a significant agreement with the United States Department of Commerce, involving an $8.9 billion investment by the U.S. government in Intel’s common stock. This transaction, part of the CHIPS Act and Secure Enclave program, aims to bolster Intel’s role in expanding the domestic semiconductor industry. The agreement includes the issuance of shares and warrants to the U.S. government, with the government holding a 9.9% stake in Intel. This investment reflects confidence in Intel’s ability to advance national priorities and strengthen the U.S. semiconductor supply chain. However, the transaction also presents risks, such as potential dilution of existing shareholders and uncertainties regarding funding and regulatory changes. The U.S. government’s involvement may impact Intel’s operations and strategic decisions, particularly in international markets.

The most recent analyst rating on (INTC) stock is a Hold with a $26.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Intel stock, see the INTC Stock Forecast page.

Intel Announces $2 Billion Investment from SoftBank

On August 18, 2025, Intel Corporation announced a $2 billion investment agreement with SoftBank Group Corp., under which SoftBank will purchase 86,956,522 shares of Intel’s common stock at $23 per share. This strategic investment aims to bolster semiconductor innovation in the U.S. and supports SoftBank’s vision of accelerating the AI revolution by enhancing access to advanced technologies. The transaction is subject to customary closing conditions, including regulatory approvals.

The most recent analyst rating on (INTC) stock is a Hold with a $23.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Intel stock, see the INTC Stock Forecast page.

Intel Amends Altera Sale Agreement with SLP VII

On April 14, 2025, Intel Corporation entered into a transaction agreement to sell a majority interest in its Altera business to SLP VII Gryphon Aggregator, L.P. An amendment to this agreement was made on August 11, 2025, adjusting the purchase price calculations and extending the closing date to September 13, 2025. The transaction is expected to impact Intel’s operations, with potential risks including regulatory approval delays, changes in business relationships, and competition in the semiconductor industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (INTC) stock is a Hold with a $23.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Intel stock, see the INTC Stock Forecast page.