tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited (TSM)
:TSM

TSMC (TSM) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
36,440 Followers

Top Page

TSM

TSMC

(NYSE:TSM)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Outperform 81 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:81Outperform
Price Target:
$341.00
▲(18.87% Upside)
TSMC's strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment are the primary drivers of its high score. While technical indicators show a positive trend, the high P/E ratio suggests potential overvaluation. The company's strategic focus on advanced technologies and AI positions it well for future growth, despite challenges from overseas expansions and foreign exchange impacts.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
TSMC's consistent revenue growth highlights its strong market demand and effective business model, ensuring long-term financial stability and expansion.
Advanced Technology Leadership
Leadership in advanced technology nodes like 3nm strengthens TSMC's competitive edge, attracting high-value clients and sustaining market dominance.
Strong Balance Sheet
A strong balance sheet with low leverage enhances TSMC's financial flexibility, enabling strategic investments and resilience against market fluctuations.
Negative Factors
Overseas Expansion Challenges
The margin impact from overseas expansions could strain profitability, posing a risk to TSMC's financial performance as it scales operations globally.
Foreign Exchange Rate Impact
Currency fluctuations can erode profitability, impacting TSMC's financial results and complicating financial planning and forecasting.
Cash Flow Decline
Declining cash flow growth could limit TSMC's ability to fund new projects and investments, potentially affecting future growth and innovation capacity.

TSMC (TSM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

TSMC Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTaiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC) is the world's largest dedicated independent semiconductor foundry, headquartered in Hsinchu, Taiwan. Established in 1987, TSMC specializes in manufacturing advanced integrated circuits and semiconductors for a diverse range of sectors including consumer electronics, automotive, telecommunications, and high-performance computing. The company is renowned for its cutting-edge technology and is a key supplier for major global technology firms, providing services from design support to wafer fabrication and testing.
How the Company Makes MoneyTSMC generates revenue primarily through its semiconductor manufacturing services. The company's business model is based on a foundry model, where it manufactures chips designed by other companies, charging them for fabrication services. Key revenue streams include the production of high-performance chips for applications such as mobile devices, computers, and automotive systems, which are increasingly reliant on sophisticated semiconductor technology. Additionally, TSMC earns revenue from research and development partnerships, as well as collaborations with leading tech companies like Apple, NVIDIA, and Qualcomm, who rely on TSMC's advanced manufacturing capabilities. The company benefits from economies of scale, operating multiple fabrication plants (fabs) to optimize production efficiency and meet the growing demand for semiconductors globally.

TSMC Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue By Technology
Revenue By Technology
Breaks down revenue by technology type, providing insight into which innovations are most profitable and where the company might invest in further development.
Chart InsightsTSMC's shift towards advanced technologies is evident, with 3nm and 5nm processes driving significant revenue growth, now comprising a substantial portion of total revenue. This aligns with the earnings call highlighting strong demand in HPC and smartphones, despite challenges like foreign exchange impacts. The company's strategic global expansion and investment in advanced fabs underscore its commitment to maintaining technological leadership. However, margin pressures from overseas operations and currency fluctuations pose ongoing risks, which TSMC aims to mitigate through scale and innovation.
Data provided by:The Fly

TSMC Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 16, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 15, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a strong performance in the third quarter with notable revenue and margin improvements. TSMC is optimistic about future growth driven by AI demand and advanced technology contributions, although it faces challenges from overseas fab dilutions and foreign exchange impacts.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
Third quarter revenue increased 10.1% sequentially in U.S. dollar terms to $33.1 billion, slightly ahead of guidance.
Improved Profit Margins
Gross margin increased 0.9 percentage points sequentially to 59.5%, and operating margin rose 1.0 percentage points to 50.6%.
Advanced Technology Revenue Contribution
3-nanometer process technology contributed 23% of wafer revenue, with advanced technologies accounting for 74% of wafer revenue.
Positive AI Demand Outlook
TSMC sees robust AI-related demand, expecting full-year 2025 revenue to increase by close to mid-30s percent year-over-year in U.S. dollar terms.
Global Manufacturing Expansion
Progress in overseas fabs in Arizona, Japan, and Germany, with plans to expand advanced packaging facilities.
Negative Updates
Challenges from Overseas Fabs
Gross margin dilution from the ramp-up of overseas fabs is expected to be 2% to 3% in the early stages and widen to 3% to 4% later.
Decreased Revenue in DCE Platform
DCE revenue decreased 20% to account for 1% of total revenue.
Foreign Exchange Rate Impact
Unfavorable foreign exchange rate partially offset the benefits of cost improvements and higher capacity utilization.
Company Guidance
During TSMC's Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided guidance for the fourth quarter of 2025. TSMC expects revenue to range between USD 32.2 billion and USD 33.4 billion, which would represent a 1% sequential decrease but a 22% year-over-year increase at the midpoint. Gross margin is projected to be between 59% and 61%, while operating margin is anticipated to be between 49% and 51%. The guidance assumes an exchange rate of USD 1 to TWD 30.6. This outlook reflects TSMC's confidence in continued strong demand for its leading-edge process technologies, particularly in the AI sector, despite external uncertainties such as tariff policies.

TSMC Financial Statement Overview

Summary
TSMC exhibits strong financial health with robust profitability, efficient operations, and a solid balance sheet. Despite a slight decline in cash flow growth, the company's ability to generate cash remains strong, reflecting a well-managed company with a positive growth trajectory.
Income Statement
92
Very Positive
TSMC demonstrates strong financial performance with impressive gross and net profit margins at 58.58% and 42.92% respectively for TTM. The company shows consistent revenue growth, with a 6.77% increase in the latest TTM period. EBIT and EBITDA margins are robust at 51.06% and 71.02%, indicating efficient operations and strong profitability.
Balance Sheet
88
Very Positive
The balance sheet is solid with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.22, indicating prudent financial leverage. Return on equity is high at 33.60%, reflecting effective use of shareholder funds. The equity ratio stands at 67.96%, showcasing a strong equity base relative to total assets, which enhances financial stability.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a slight decline in free cash flow growth at -4.78% for TTM, but the operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy at 1.57, indicating strong cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 42.57%, suggesting good cash conversion efficiency despite the recent decline.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.63T2.89T2.16T2.26T1.59T1.34T
Gross Profit2.14T1.62T1.18T1.35T819.54B711.13B
EBITDA2.73T1.98T1.52T1.59T1.09T918.55B
Net Income1.57T1.16T851.74B992.92B592.36B510.74B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets7.35T6.69T5.53T4.96T3.73T2.76T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.81T2.49T1.71T1.59T1.20T799.89B
Total Debt949.21B1.05T956.26B888.17B753.63B367.79B
Total Liabilities2.32T2.41T2.08T2.05T1.57T924.84B
Stockholders Equity5.00T4.24T3.43T2.90T2.15T1.83T
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow889.87B870.17B286.57B520.97B262.72B301.19B
Operating Cash Flow2.17T1.83T1.24T1.61T1.11T822.67B
Investing Cash Flow-1.09T-864.84B-906.12B-1.19T-836.37B-505.78B
Financing Cash Flow-433.39B-346.30B-204.89B-200.24B136.61B-88.62B

TSMC Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price286.87
Price Trends
50DMA
291.95
Negative
100DMA
272.56
Positive
200DMA
232.31
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.24
Positive
RSI
45.76
Neutral
STOCH
13.70
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSM, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 286.87 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 290.32, below the 50-day MA of 291.95, and above the 200-day MA of 232.31, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.24 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 45.76 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 13.70 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for TSM.

TSMC Risk Analysis

TSMC disclosed 26 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. TSMC reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

TSMC Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$1.18T29.4034.89%0.88%39.73%56.22%
81
Outperform
$407.49B40.2651.72%0.66%24.91%39.95%
77
Outperform
$205.25B29.8935.51%0.69%4.47%0.48%
74
Outperform
$340.54B97.915.32%31.83%80.45%
64
Neutral
$177.97B3,400.940.19%-1.49%
63
Neutral
$20.60B-434.65-0.38%0.25%-106.22%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSM
TSMC
276.96
81.80
41.91%
AMD
Advanced Micro Devices
201.06
81.85
68.66%
AMAT
Applied Materials
248.27
86.30
53.28%
ASML
ASML Holding
1,036.31
336.31
48.04%
INTC
Intel
36.05
16.53
84.68%
GFS
GlobalFoundries Inc
36.25
-5.47
-13.11%

TSMC Corporate Events

TSMC Reports Strong Yearly Revenue Growth Despite Monthly Decline
Dec 10, 2025

TSMC reported its net revenue for November 2025, which was approximately NT$343.61 billion, marking a 6.5% decrease from October 2025 but a 24.5% increase from November 2024. The cumulative revenue from January to November 2025 reached NT$3,474.05 billion, reflecting a 32.8% increase compared to the same period in 2024. This revenue growth highlights TSMC’s strong market performance and its pivotal role in the semiconductor industry, despite the monthly decline.

TSMC Adjusts Q2 2025 Cash Dividend Per Share
Nov 26, 2025

On August 12, 2025, TSMC’s Board of Directors approved a cash dividend distribution of NT$129,662,912,605, equating to NT$5.0 per common share for the second quarter of 2025. However, due to changes in the number of common shares outstanding from the reclamation of shares, the dividend per share has been slightly adjusted to NT$5.00001118. This adjustment reflects TSMC’s commitment to precise financial management and shareholder value, with the dividend set to be paid on January 8, 2026.

TSMC Files Lawsuit Against Former Executive Over Non-compete Breach
Nov 25, 2025

On November 25th, 2025, TSMC filed a lawsuit against its former Senior Vice President, Wei-Jen Lo, in the Intellectual Property and Commercial Court. The lawsuit alleges that Lo violated his Non-compete and Non-disclosure Agreements by joining Intel as Executive Vice President shortly after retiring from TSMC, potentially risking the exposure of TSMC’s trade secrets. This legal action underscores TSMC’s commitment to protecting its intellectual property and maintaining its competitive edge in the semiconductor industry.

TSMC Reports Shareholding Changes and Investment Activities in November 2025
Nov 25, 2025

In November 2025, TSMC reported several changes affecting its operations and stakeholders. Notably, there were changes in the shareholdings of its board members and executive officers, with a decrease in shares held by Senior Vice President Lora Ho and a slight increase for Vice President Geoffrey Yeap. Additionally, TSMC and its subsidiaries engaged in significant fixed-income investments, acquiring NT$31.3 billion and disposing of NT$0.3 billion. These developments reflect TSMC’s ongoing strategic adjustments and financial maneuvers within the semiconductor sector.

TSMC Releases Nine-Month Financial Statements for 2025
Nov 14, 2025

On November 14, 2025, TSMC released its consolidated financial statements for the nine months ending September 30, 2025, and 2024, accompanied by an independent auditors’ review report. The report, conducted by Deloitte & Touche, concluded that the financial statements fairly present the company’s financial position and performance in accordance with Taiwan’s financial reporting standards. This announcement reinforces TSMC’s transparency and compliance with financial regulations, potentially strengthening stakeholder confidence.

TSMC Announces Q3 Financial Results and Strategic Investments
Nov 12, 2025

On November 11, 2025, TSMC’s Board of Directors approved the company’s third-quarter financial results, reporting consolidated revenue of NT$989.92 billion and a net income of NT$452.30 billion. The Board also declared a cash dividend of NT$6.0 per share for the third quarter, with distribution scheduled for April 9, 2026. Additionally, TSMC announced capital appropriations of approximately US$14,981.60 million to support its long-term capacity plans, including fab construction and advanced technology installations. The company also approved the sale of equipment valued between US$20 million and US$23 million to its affiliate, Vanguard International Semiconductor Corporation. These decisions reflect TSMC’s strategic focus on expanding its technological capabilities and maintaining its leadership in the semiconductor industry.

TSMC Reports Strong Revenue Growth in October 2025
Nov 10, 2025

TSMC reported a significant increase in its net revenue for October 2025, reaching approximately NT$367.47 billion, which marks an 11.0% rise from September 2025 and a 16.9% increase from October 2024. The company’s revenue from January to October 2025 totaled NT$3,130.44 billion, a substantial 33.8% growth compared to the same period in 2024. This growth highlights TSMC’s strong market position and operational efficiency, reflecting positively on its financial performance and potentially benefiting stakeholders.

TSMC North America Announces New CEO Appointment
Nov 5, 2025

On November 5, 2025, TSMC North America, a significant subsidiary of TSMC, announced a leadership change with the election of Sajiv Dalal as the new CEO, effective January 1, 2026. This strategic move is expected to strengthen TSMC’s operations in North America, potentially enhancing its market position and stakeholder relations in the region.

TSMC Announces Key Financial and Operational Updates for September 2025
Oct 23, 2025

On October 23, 2025, TSMC reported several significant changes and activities for September 2025, including alterations in the shareholdings of its board members and major shareholders, asset acquisitions and dispositions, capital appropriations, issuance of unsecured bonds, and the cancellation of common shares. These developments reflect TSMC’s ongoing strategic adjustments and financial maneuvers, which are likely to impact its operational efficiency and market positioning.

TSMC Reports Strong Q3 2025 Financial Results with Significant Growth
Oct 16, 2025

On October 16, 2025, TSMC reported its third-quarter financial results, showcasing a significant year-over-year growth with a 30.3% increase in revenue and a 39.1% rise in net income. The company achieved consolidated revenue of NT$989.92 billion and a net income of NT$452.30 billion, with a diluted earnings per share of NT$17.44. The results were driven by strong demand for TSMC’s advanced process technologies, particularly in the 3-nanometer and 5-nanometer segments, which accounted for a substantial portion of the wafer revenue. The company’s robust performance is expected to continue into the fourth quarter of 2025, with projected revenues between US$32.2 billion and US$33.4 billion.

TSMC Reports Strong Revenue Growth Despite Monthly Dip
Oct 9, 2025

On October 9, 2025, TSMC reported its net revenue for September 2025, revealing a slight decrease of 1.4% from August 2025, but a significant increase of 31.4% compared to September 2024. The cumulative revenue for the first nine months of 2025 showed a robust growth of 36.4% year-over-year, highlighting the company’s strong market performance and its strategic importance in the semiconductor industry.

TSMC Announces Strategic Investments and Shareholding Changes in August 2025
Sep 25, 2025

On September 25, 2025, TSMC reported several significant changes and approvals impacting its operations. In August 2025, there were changes in the shareholdings of TSMC’s board of directors and executive officers, with a slight increase in shares held by Vice President Jonathan Lee. TSMC also approved substantial capital appropriations for machinery equipment and real estate, totaling over US$20 billion, indicating a strategic investment in advanced technology and capacity expansion. Additionally, TSMC acquired NT$13.5 billion in fixed-income investments, reflecting its ongoing asset management strategy.

TSMC Arizona Announces Leadership Changes Effective October 2025
Sep 25, 2025

On September 25, 2025, TSMC Arizona Corporation, a key subsidiary of TSMC, announced significant leadership changes. Y.L. Wang will step down as Director, and Ray Chuang will assume the roles of both Director and CEO, effective October 1, 2025. These changes are part of a strategic realignment within the subsidiary, potentially impacting its operations and positioning within the industry.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 26, 2025