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TSMC (TSM)
NYSE:TSM

TSMC (TSM) AI Stock Analysis

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TSM

TSMC

(NYSE:TSM)

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Outperform 82 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:82Outperform
Price Target:
$450.00
▲(20.13% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:01/17/26
The score is driven primarily by excellent financial performance (elite margins, improving growth momentum, strong balance sheet) and a constructive earnings outlook with strong AI-led guidance. These positives are moderated by an extended technical setup (overbought signals) and a relatively rich valuation (P/E ~32 with low dividend yield), plus execution and margin-dilution risks tied to elevated CapEx and global/advanced-node ramp-ups.
Positive Factors
Advanced-node technology leadership
A 77% mix in ≤7nm processes reflects structural competitive advantage: customers rely on TSMC for leading-edge nodes across HPC and smartphones. High advanced-node share supports pricing power, long-term customer stickiness, and positions TSMC to capture persistent AI/HPC demand over multiple years.
Exceptional and expanding profitability
Sustained high gross and operating margins indicate durable structural profitability driven by technology mix and scale. Elevated margins underpin strong ROE and provide persistent cash generation capacity to fund R&D, dividends, and strategic fabs even through cyclical semiconductor demand swings.
Robust balance sheet and cash generation
Large liquidity reserves and operating cash that consistently exceeds net income create durable financial flexibility. That allows TSMC to self-fund heavy CapEx, support dividends/bonuses, shore up subsidiaries and issue bonds selectively, reducing financing risk during multi-year capacity builds.
Negative Factors
Very high capital expenditure intensity
Sustained multiyear CapEx at USD 50bn+ materially reduces free cash flow conversion and makes cash generation volatile. The scale of reinvestment raises execution risk, ties up capital in long-lived assets, and increases sensitivity to demand cycles until new capacity achieves high utilization.
Near-term gross-margin dilution from ramp plans
Expanding manufacturing footprint and leading-node N2 ramp will depress margins while utilization, yields and cost curves normalize. This structural ramp-related dilution can persist across multi-year buildouts, lowering near-to-medium-term margin sustainability despite long-term targets.
Execution, capacity and talent constraints
Persistent supply tightness plus permitting, power planning and engineering hiring constraints create ongoing execution risk. Multi-year timelines to build HVM capacity mean inability to scale quickly could leave demand unmet, extending volatility in revenue growth and stressing customer relationships.

TSMC (TSM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

TSMC Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTaiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures, packages, tests, and sells integrated circuits and other semiconductor devices in Taiwan, China, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Japan, the United States, and internationally. It provides a range of wafer fabrication processes, including processes to manufacture complementary metal- oxide-semiconductor (CMOS) logic, mixed-signal, radio frequency, embedded memory, bipolar CMOS mixed-signal, and others. The company also offers customer and engineering support services; manufactures masks; and invests in technology start-up companies; researches, designs, develops, manufactures, packages, tests, and sells color filters; and provides investment services. Its products are used in high performance computing, smartphones, Internet of things, automotive, and digital consumer electronics. The company was incorporated in 1987 and is headquartered in Hsinchu City, Taiwan.
How the Company Makes MoneyTSMC generates revenue primarily through its semiconductor manufacturing services. The company's business model is based on a foundry model, where it manufactures chips designed by other companies, charging them for fabrication services. Key revenue streams include the production of high-performance chips for applications such as mobile devices, computers, and automotive systems, which are increasingly reliant on sophisticated semiconductor technology. Additionally, TSMC earns revenue from research and development partnerships, as well as collaborations with leading tech companies like Apple, NVIDIA, and Qualcomm, who rely on TSMC's advanced manufacturing capabilities. The company benefits from economies of scale, operating multiple fabrication plants (fabs) to optimize production efficiency and meet the growing demand for semiconductors globally.

TSMC Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue By Technology
Revenue By Technology
Breaks down revenue by technology type, providing insight into which innovations are most profitable and where the company might invest in further development.
Chart InsightsTSMC's revenue is shifting towards advanced technologies, with 3nm and 5nm nodes showing strong growth, reflecting increased demand for cutting-edge semiconductor solutions. Meanwhile, older technologies like 7nm and 16nm are declining, indicating a strategic pivot to more advanced manufacturing processes. This transition is crucial for maintaining competitive advantage in the semiconductor industry, as clients increasingly seek high-performance and energy-efficient chips. The decline in older nodes suggests TSMC is phasing out less profitable segments to focus on innovation and future growth.
Data provided by:The Fly

TSMC Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jan 15, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 16, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented a strong financial and operational performance with substantial revenue, margin and earnings growth for 2025, robust AI-driven demand and clear multi-year growth targets. Management provided upbeat guidance for 2026 (midpoint Q1 gross margin ~64%, revenue growth) and reiterated technology leadership (N2 HVM, N2P, A16) and ambitious long-term growth/CAGR targets. However, the company also flagged meaningful near- and medium-term challenges: significantly higher CapEx, margin dilution from overseas fab ramps and N2, supply tightness that will persist until new capacity comes online, rising depreciation and cost pressures, and execution/talent and permitting risks tied to global expansion. On balance, positives (strong growth, margins, cash generation, AI momentum and technology leadership) outweigh the risks, but the path forward requires executing large investments and managing margin dilution and capacity constraints.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Quarterly and Full-Year Revenue Growth
Q4 2025 revenue rose 5.7% sequentially (NT) and 1.9% sequentially in U.S. dollar terms, with full-year 2025 revenue up 35.9% in U.S. dollar terms (31.6% in NT) vs. 2024.
Material Margin and Profitability Improvement
Q4 gross margin improved 2.8 percentage points sequentially to 62.3%; operating margin rose 3.4 ppts to 54%. Full-year gross margin increased 3.8 ppts to 59.9% and operating margin increased 5.1 ppts to 50.8%.
Strong Earnings, ROE and Cash Generation
Q4 EPS was TWD 19.5; Q4 ROE 38.8%. Full-year EPS rose 46.4% to TWD 66.25 and ROE increased to 35.4%. 2025 operating cash flow was TWD 2.3 trillion, free cash flow TWD 1 trillion (up 15.2% vs. 2024).
Advanced-node Mix and Technology Leadership
Advanced technologies (≤7nm) comprised 77% of Q4 wafer revenue (N3: 28%, N5: 35%, N7: 14%). 3-nanometer represented 24% of 2025 wafer revenue. N2 entered high-volume manufacturing in Q4 2025 at Taiwan sites with good yield; N2P and A16 scheduled for volume in H2 2026.
AI and Long-Term Growth Outlook
AI accelerator revenue accounted for high-teens percent of total revenue in 2025. Management now forecasts AI accelerator revenue approaching a mid- to high-50s % CAGR (2024–2029) and expects overall long-term revenue growth to approach ~25% CAGR (2024–2029).
Platform Performance — HPC and Smartphone Strength
Q4 HPC contributed 55% of revenue (qoq +4%) and full-year HPC grew 48% y/y, accounting for 58% of 2025 revenue. Smartphone revenue rose 11% qoq in Q4 and increased 11% y/y for 2025.
Shareholder Returns and Dividend Increases
2025 cash dividends totaled TWD 18 per share (up from TWD 14 in 2024). Paid TWD 467 billion in cash dividends (up 28.6% y/y). Company committed to at least TWD 23 per share in 2026 and stated intent for steadily increasing dividends.
Balance Sheet and Liquidity
Company reported cash and marketable securities of TWD 3.1 trillion (~USD 98 billion) and strong cash generation in the quarter (generated about TWD 726 billion cash from operations in Q4).
Negative Updates
Significant and Rising CapEx Load
2025 CapEx was USD 40.9 billion (up from USD 29.8 billion in 2024). 2026 capital budget guidance is USD 52–56 billion, with 70–80% directed to advanced process technologies, implying materially higher capital intensity going forward.
Gross Margin Dilution Risks from Overseas Ramps and N2
Management forecasts gross-margin dilution from ramp-up of overseas fabs of ~2–3% in early stages (widening to 3–4% later) and expects initial N2 ramp to dilute 2026 gross margin by ~2–3% for the full year.
Supply Tightness and Capacity Constraints
Management acknowledged wafer supply as the current bottleneck given strong AI demand; capacity expansion timelines (new fabs) mean meaningful new supply contribution will lag (2–3 years to build HVM), so tightness may persist into 2026–2027.
Rising Operating Costs and Depreciation
Management warned of rising manufacturing costs (more expensive tools, process complexity, global footprint expansion and inflation). Depreciation is expected to increase by high-teens percent y/y in 2026 as N2 ramps.
End-market and Macro Uncertainties
Cited risks include potential tariff policies, rising component prices (e.g., memory inflation), and consumer/price-sensitive market softness that could affect some segments; memory price increases may limit unit growth in PCs and smartphones.
Weakness in Display and Consumer Electronics (DCE)
DCE revenue fell 22% qoq in Q4 and contributed only ~1% of Q4 revenue; full-year DCE remained flat in 2025, indicating ongoing softness in that segment.
Operational and Talent Challenges
Management noted challenges scaling global operations (permits, power planning) and commented on difficulty recruiting sufficient engineering talent quickly enough in both Taiwan and the U.S., which could constrain expansion execution.
Company Guidance
TSMC guided Q1 2026 revenue of USD 34.6–35.8 billion (midpoint ≈ +4% sequential, ≈ +38% YoY) on an exchange rate assumption of USD1 = TWD31.6, with gross margin 63–65% (64% midpoint, ≈ +170 bps) and operating margin 54–56%; it expects an effective tax rate of 17–18% in 2026 (vs 16% in 2025). For full-year 2026 management forecasts revenue growth close to 30% in USD, plans CapEx of USD 52–56 billion (≈70–80% to advanced process technologies, ~10% to specialty, ~10–20% to advanced packaging/testing/mask-making/others), and expects depreciation to increase by high‑teens % YoY. They flagged gross‑margin dilution from overseas fab ramps of ~2–3% in early stages (widening to 3–4% later) and an initial N2 ramp dilution of ~2–3% for 2026, while still targeting long‑term gross margin ≥56% and an ROE in the high‑20s through the cycle; AI accelerator revenue was high‑teens % of 2025 sales and is forecast to grow at a mid‑ to high‑50s % CAGR (2024–2029) with overall long‑term revenue approaching ~25% CAGR (2024–2029), and shareholders are to receive at least TWD 23 per share in 2026.

TSMC Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials are high quality: exceptional and expanding profitability (gross margin rising to ~60% and net margin to ~45% by 2025), a conservatively financed balance sheet with improving leverage (debt-to-equity down to ~0.18 by 2025), and solid operating cash flow that consistently exceeds net income. The key constraint is structurally lower and more volatile free cash flow due to heavy reinvestment needs.
Income Statement
92
Very Positive
TSMC shows top-tier profitability and improving momentum. Annual revenue growth accelerated from essentially flat in 2024 (~0.3%) to strong growth in 2025 (~6.0%) after a modest decline in 2023, indicating a rebound. Profitability is exceptional and expanding, with gross margin rising (2023 ~54% to 2025 ~60%) and net margin increasing (2023 ~39% to 2025 ~45%), supporting strong earnings power. The main weakness is cyclicality evidenced by the 2023 pullback, but the latest year reflects a clear recovery with very high margins sustained.
Balance Sheet
88
Very Positive
The balance sheet looks strong and conservatively financed for the industry. Leverage is modest and trending better, with debt-to-equity improving from ~0.35 (2021) to ~0.18 (2025), while equity and total assets have grown steadily over the period. Profitability on shareholder capital is robust (return on equity ~32% in 2025), though it has fluctuated (higher in 2022, lower in 2023) reflecting industry cycles. Overall, the company has substantial balance-sheet capacity, with the key watch item being the capital intensity of the business (which can pressure cash generation in weaker demand periods).
Cash Flow
84
Very Positive
Cash generation is solid and improving, with operating cash flow rising materially by 2025 and free cash flow up sharply in 2025 (free cash flow growth ~23%) after a weak 2023 (free cash flow down ~45%). Operating cash flow consistently exceeds net income (coverage ~1.36–1.71 across years; ~1.64 in 2025), indicating good earnings quality. The main drawback is that free cash flow remains well below net income (about ~46% in 2025, and much lower in 2023), consistent with heavy ongoing investment needs, which can make free cash flow more volatile through cycles.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.85T2.89T2.16T2.26T1.59T
Gross Profit2.30T1.62T1.18T1.35T819.54B
EBITDA2.75T1.98T1.52T1.59T1.09T
Net Income1.74T1.16T851.74B992.92B592.36B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets7.91T6.69T5.53T4.96T3.73T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.06T2.49T1.71T1.59T1.20T
Total Debt990.36B1.05T956.26B888.17B753.63B
Total Liabilities2.47T2.41T2.08T2.05T1.57T
Stockholders Equity5.40T4.24T3.43T2.90T2.15T
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.10T870.17B286.57B520.97B262.72B
Operating Cash Flow2.38T1.83T1.24T1.61T1.11T
Investing Cash Flow-1.26T-864.84B-906.12B-1.19T-836.37B
Financing Cash Flow-425.58B-346.30B-204.89B-200.24B136.61B

TSMC Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price374.58
Price Trends
50DMA
333.94
Positive
100DMA
313.45
Positive
200DMA
272.67
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
13.13
Negative
RSI
61.69
Neutral
STOCH
70.31
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSM, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 374.58 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 359.56, above the 50-day MA of 333.94, and above the 200-day MA of 272.67, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 13.13 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 61.69 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 70.31 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSM.

TSMC Risk Analysis

TSMC disclosed 26 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. TSMC reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

TSMC Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
82
Outperform
$1.65T35.2436.46%0.82%39.73%56.22%
78
Outperform
$556.77B51.9651.52%0.63%24.91%39.95%
76
Outperform
$295.46B38.1338.86%0.69%4.47%0.48%
71
Outperform
$326.42B75.707.08%31.83%80.45%
69
Neutral
$26.42B29.827.80%0.25%-106.22%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
57
Neutral
$227.82B-556.90-0.25%-1.49%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSM
TSMC
374.58
203.41
118.83%
AMD
Advanced Micro Devices
200.21
101.98
103.82%
AMAT
Applied Materials
372.30
221.33
146.61%
ASML
ASML Holding
1,450.56
755.88
108.81%
INTC
Intel
45.61
22.87
100.57%
GFS
GlobalFoundries Inc
47.55
10.67
28.93%

TSMC Corporate Events

TSMC Files 2025 Audited Financials With SEC, Deloitte Issues Clean Opinion
Feb 26, 2026

On February 26, 2026, TSMC filed a Form 6‑K with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission for February 2026, providing investors with its consolidated and parent-only financial statements for the fiscal years ended December 31, 2025 and 2024. The filing, signed by Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer Wendell Huang, includes audited reports prepared under Taiwan-IFRS, giving U.S. investors an up-to-date and regulator-endorsed view of the chipmaker’s financial position.

The accompanying independent auditors’ report from Deloitte & Touche issued an unmodified opinion, stating that TSMC’s 2025 and 2024 consolidated financial statements fairly present its financial position and performance in all material respects. Deloitte identified the timing of depreciation for equipment under installation and construction in progress as a key audit matter, underscoring the importance of judgment around large capital investments in TSMC’s manufacturing capacity for stakeholders assessing its capital efficiency and future profitability.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSM) stock is a Buy with a $450.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on TSMC stock, see the TSM Stock Forecast page.

TSMC Details January 2026 Asset Moves, Keeps Capital Structure Steady
Feb 25, 2026

In a regulatory filing dated February 25, 2026, TSMC reported that there were no changes in January 2026 to the shareholdings or share pledges of its board members, executive officers, or shareholders owning more than 10% of its outstanding common stock. The company also indicated that no capital appropriations, unsecured bond issuances, or common share cancellations took place during the month.

Operationally, TSMC and its subsidiaries reported in January 2026 the acquisition of NT$30.2 billion in fixed-income investments and NT$6.2 billion in land, alongside the disposition of NT$0.3 billion in equity investments. These moves suggest continued balance sheet deployment into relatively low-risk securities and strategic land banking, while maintaining a stable capital structure without new debt or equity actions in the period.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSM) stock is a Buy with a $450.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on TSMC stock, see the TSM Stock Forecast page.

TSMC Subsidiary TSMC Global Clears Path for Capital Increase of Up to US$30 Billion
Feb 10, 2026

On February 10, 2026, TSMC reported that its wholly owned subsidiary TSMC Global Ltd. adopted a directors’ resolution by written consent to approve a major capital increase. The resolution authorizes TSMC Global to raise up to US$30 billion in additional capital from Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co., Ltd., contingent on approval by the relevant authorities, signaling a significant reinforcement of the group’s financial capacity for future investments and global expansion.

This move underlines TSMC’s continued commitment to funding large-scale semiconductor capacity and technology projects amid sustained demand for advanced chips worldwide. The sizeable infusion, if fully executed, would strengthen TSMC Global’s balance sheet, potentially enhancing the parent group’s flexibility to pursue strategic manufacturing, supply chain and infrastructure initiatives important to customers and other stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSM) stock is a Buy with a $397.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on TSMC stock, see the TSM Stock Forecast page.

TSMC Kicks Off 2026 With 36.8% Jump in January Revenue and Expands Support for Overseas Fabs
Feb 10, 2026

TSMC reported that consolidated net revenue for January 2026 reached NT$401.26 billion, rising 19.8 percent month-on-month from December 2025 and 36.8 percent year-on-year from January 2025, underscoring strong demand for its manufacturing capacity. The company also disclosed intra-group lending to its Nanjing and Washington subsidiaries, sizable guarantees for North America, Global, and Arizona units, and active use of financial instruments, highlighting ongoing capital support for its global expansion and operational scale.

For January 2026, TSMC’s net revenue in internal reporting terms was NT$401.26 billion, up from NT$293.29 billion a year earlier, reinforcing its revenue growth trajectory at the start of the year. The reported lending and guarantees to wholly owned subsidiaries suggest continued investment in overseas fabs and infrastructure, which may strengthen TSMC’s competitive position in key regions amid sustained semiconductor demand.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSM) stock is a Buy with a $397.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on TSMC stock, see the TSM Stock Forecast page.

TSMC Board Backs Massive 2026 Capex, Dividend and Bonus Payouts After Strong 2025 Results
Feb 10, 2026

On February 10, 2026, TSMC’s board approved the 2025 business report and financial statements, reporting consolidated revenue of NT$3.81 trillion, net income of NT$1.72 trillion, and diluted EPS of NT$66.25. The board also cleared a NT$6 per share cash dividend for the fourth quarter of 2025, with a record date of June 17, 2026 for common shareholders and payment scheduled for July 9, 2026.

The board authorized employee business performance and profit-sharing bonuses totaling about NT$206.15 billion for 2025, reflecting strong profitability and continued use of incentives to retain talent. Directors also approved approximately US$44.96 billion in capital appropriations for advanced and mature capacity, packaging, and new fab construction, along with up to US$30 billion in capital injection to subsidiary TSMC Global to reduce FX hedging costs and up to NT$60 billion in domestic unsecured bond issuance to fund capacity expansion and green projects.

TSMC’s board set June 4, 2026 for its annual general meeting in Hsinchu and endorsed several senior promotions across operations, R&D, materials management, fab operations, and business development. These decisions collectively signal an aggressive long-term investment plan, balance-sheet optimization, and ongoing leadership strengthening as TSMC consolidates its position at the center of global semiconductor manufacturing.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSM) stock is a Buy with a $397.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on TSMC stock, see the TSM Stock Forecast page.

TSMC North America Refreshes Board With New Director Appointments
Jan 23, 2026

On January 23, 2026, TSMC reported that its major subsidiary, TSMC North America, approved a shareholder resolution by written consent in lieu of an annual meeting to refresh its board. The resolution recorded the completion of David Keller’s tenure as a director and the election of Sylvia Fang and Sajiv Dalal as new directors of TSMC North America, effective the same day, signaling a governance update at a key regional arm of the chipmaker that may influence oversight and strategic execution in its largest overseas market.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSM) stock is a Buy with a $397.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on TSMC stock, see the TSM Stock Forecast page.

TSMC Reports December 2025 Executive Shareholding Change and Portfolio Adjustments
Jan 23, 2026

On January 23, 2026, TSMC filed a Form 6-K reporting routine corporate updates for December 2025, including a small increase in shareholdings by Vice President Jonathan Lee, whose stake rose by 265 shares between November 30 and December 31, 2025. The company also disclosed asset portfolio adjustments, acquiring NT$2.1 billion in fixed-income investments while disposing of NT$0.5 billion in equity investments, and noted that there were no new share pledges, no capital appropriations approved by the board, no unsecured bond issuances by TSMC or its subsidiaries, and no cancellations of common shares during the month, underscoring a relatively stable capital and financing position for the period.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSM) stock is a Buy with a $397.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on TSMC stock, see the TSM Stock Forecast page.

TSMC Posts Strong Q4 2025 Results and Ramps Up 2026 Capex to Sustain Chipmaking Lead
Jan 15, 2026

On January 15, 2026, TSMC reported strong financial results for the fourth quarter of 2025, with consolidated revenue rising 20.5% year-on-year to NT$1,046.09 billion and net income jumping 35% to NT$505.74 billion, equivalent to earnings per share of NT$19.50. Margins remained robust, with gross margin at 62.3% and net profit margin at 48.3%, supported by sustained demand for advanced nodes, as 7-nanometer and smaller technologies accounted for 77% of wafer revenue—driven particularly by 3nm and 5nm processes. In U.S. dollar terms, quarterly revenue reached $33.73 billion, up 25.5% from a year earlier, underscoring TSMC’s strengthening profitability and competitive position at the leading edge of semiconductor manufacturing. Looking ahead, management signaled continued confidence in demand for its leading-edge technologies by forecasting further revenue growth and higher margins in the first quarter of 2026, and outlining an aggressive 2026 capital budget of US$52–56 billion, a level of investment that highlights both the capital intensity of advanced chipmaking and TSMC’s intent to consolidate its technological and capacity leadership for customers and stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSM) stock is a Buy with a $410.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on TSMC stock, see the TSM Stock Forecast page.

TSMC Posts 31.6% Surge in 2025 Revenue Despite December Dip
Jan 9, 2026

On January 9, 2026, TSMC reported that its consolidated net revenue for December 2025 was NT$335.0 billion, down 2.5% from November 2025 but up 20.4% from December 2024, while full‑year 2025 revenue rose 31.6% year on year to NT$3,809.1 billion, underscoring strong growth momentum despite a minor month‑to‑month dip. The company also disclosed intra‑group financing and guarantees, including outstanding loans from TSMC China and TSMC Development to wholly owned subsidiaries in Nanjing and Washington, and guarantees extended to units such as TSMC North America and TSMC Global, highlighting continued capital support for its overseas operations and capacity expansion, which is significant for customers and investors tracking the foundry’s global build‑out and financial exposure to subsidiaries.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSM) stock is a Buy with a $380.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on TSMC stock, see the TSM Stock Forecast page.

TSMC Arizona Names New Treasurer as US Operations Expand
Jan 6, 2026

On January 6, 2026, TSMC announced a management change at its major U.S. subsidiary, TSMC Arizona Corporation, appointing Senior Director Gina Proctor as Treasurer effective the same day. The move highlights TSMC’s continued build-out and formalization of its financial leadership structure in Arizona, a key geography for its overseas capacity expansion and strategic positioning in the U.S. semiconductor supply chain.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSM) stock is a Buy with a $360.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on TSMC stock, see the TSM Stock Forecast page.

TSMC Details Major Capex Approvals and NT$23.5 Billion Bond Issuance for November 2025
Dec 23, 2025

In a report for November 2025, TSMC disclosed minor shareholding increases by two vice presidents, Geoffrey Yeap and Jonathan Lee, while confirming there were no new share pledges by directors, executives or major shareholders. The company reported fresh investments of NT$18.6 billion in fixed-income instruments and NT$0.6 billion in equity, and its board approved significant capital appropriations totaling US$15.1 billion for advanced technology production capacity, advanced packaging and mature/specialty capacity, R&D-related capital expenditure, and real estate and leased assets, underscoring continued large-scale expansion of manufacturing and research infrastructure. TSMC and its subsidiaries also issued three tranches of unsecured NT-dollar bonds in November 2025, raising a combined NT$23.5 billion at low coupon rates with bullet repayment structures, and the board approved the cancellation of 91,000 reclaimed employee restricted shares with a corresponding paid-in capital reduction effective as of the November 11, 2025 record date, signaling ongoing optimization of the company’s capital structure and funding mix.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSM) stock is a Buy with a $390.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on TSMC stock, see the TSM Stock Forecast page.

TSMC Arizona Reaffirms Unchanged Board in December 2025 Shareholder Action
Dec 19, 2025

On December 19, 2025, TSMC reported that its major U.S. subsidiary, TSMC Arizona Corporation, acted by written consent in lieu of an annual shareholder meeting to approve routine corporate governance matters. The Arizona unit’s shareholders confirmed the election of Ray Chuang, Rose Castanares, Shu-Hua (Sylvia) Fang and Jen-Chau (Wendell) Huang as directors, with the result that the board composition remains unchanged, signaling continuity in oversight and management as TSMC continues to build out its strategic manufacturing presence in the United States.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSM) stock is a Buy with a $390.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on TSMC stock, see the TSM Stock Forecast page.

TSMC Reports Strong Yearly Revenue Growth Despite Monthly Decline
Dec 10, 2025

TSMC reported its net revenue for November 2025, which was approximately NT$343.61 billion, marking a 6.5% decrease from October 2025 but a 24.5% increase from November 2024. The cumulative revenue from January to November 2025 reached NT$3,474.05 billion, reflecting a 32.8% increase compared to the same period in 2024. This revenue growth highlights TSMC’s strong market performance and its pivotal role in the semiconductor industry, despite the monthly decline.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSM) stock is a Buy with a $330.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on TSMC stock, see the TSM Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 17, 2026