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Applied Materials (AMAT)
NASDAQ:AMAT
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Applied Materials (AMAT) AI Stock Analysis

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AMAT

Applied Materials

(NASDAQ:AMAT)

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Outperform 77 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
$257.00
▲(11.10% Upside)
Applied Materials' strong financial performance and positive technical indicators are key strengths, supported by robust earnings despite short-term challenges in China. The high P/E ratio suggests a premium valuation, which may limit upside potential. The company's strategic focus on AI and advanced packaging positions it well for long-term growth.
Positive Factors
Advanced Packaging Growth
Applied Materials' focus on advanced packaging positions it for significant growth, leveraging demand for integrated systems that enhance chip performance.
Investment in U.S. Manufacturing
Continued investment in U.S. manufacturing strengthens Applied Materials' domestic production capabilities, aligning with geopolitical trends favoring local supply chains.
New Semiconductor Systems
The introduction of new semiconductor systems enhances Applied Materials' competitive edge in AI chip manufacturing, supporting long-term growth in a key technology sector.
Negative Factors
Export Restrictions Impact
New U.S. export restrictions limit Applied Materials' ability to sell to certain Chinese customers, impacting revenue and highlighting geopolitical risks.
Uncertainties in China Business
Challenges in the China market, including capacity digestion and export license delays, create revenue uncertainty, affecting short-term financial performance.
Nonlinear Demand from Leading-Edge Customers
Reduced demand from leading-edge customers due to market dynamics affects Applied Materials' order visibility, potentially impacting future revenue streams.

Applied Materials (AMAT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Applied Materials Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionApplied Materials, Inc. is a leading provider of equipment, services, and software for the semiconductor, flat panel display, and solar industries. The company operates primarily in the semiconductor fabrication sector, offering innovative solutions that enable the manufacturing of advanced microchips used in various electronic devices. Their core products include semiconductor manufacturing equipment, materials, and technology services that enhance production efficiency and yield in chip fabrication processes.
How the Company Makes MoneyApplied Materials generates revenue primarily through the sale of semiconductor manufacturing equipment, which constitutes a significant portion of its income. The company also earns money from services and support agreements, offering maintenance, upgrades, and consulting to customers in the semiconductor and display industries. Key revenue streams include systems sales, which involve selling equipment, and services revenue from ongoing support and upgrades. Additionally, Applied Materials benefits from strategic partnerships with leading technology firms, collaborations in research and development, and an increasing demand for advanced manufacturing capabilities in the semiconductor industry, particularly as the global demand for electronic devices continues to grow.

Applied Materials Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Semiconductor Systems Revenue Breakdown
Semiconductor Systems Revenue Breakdown
Analyzes revenue from semiconductor systems, providing insight into demand trends, market share, and the company's competitive position in this critical industry sector.
Chart InsightsApplied Materials' Semiconductor Systems segment shows a recovery in 'Foundry, Logic, and Other' revenue after a dip in 2023, while DRAM revenue has surged, driven by investments in advanced DRAM technologies like DDR-5. Despite challenges in China and trade restrictions, the company projects a 10% year-over-year increase in Semiconductor Systems revenue for the upcoming quarter, supported by AI-driven advancements and strategic co-innovation. Flash Memory revenue remains subdued, but overall, the segment is poised for growth, reflecting strong demand and strategic positioning in the semiconductor market.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Applied Materials Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 14, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 13, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call for Applied Materials highlighted record performance and growth in several key areas such as DRAM, advanced packaging, and U.S. manufacturing investments. However, challenges in China and nonlinear demand from leading-edge customers impact short-term visibility and guidance for Q4. Despite these challenges, the company remains confident in its long-term growth opportunities and market position.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Performance in Q3 2025
Applied Materials delivered record performance with strong demand across semiconductor systems and services. Total net revenue was approximately $7.3 billion, up 8% year-over-year.
Robust Gross Margin and Earnings
Non-GAAP gross margin was nearly 49%, with record non-GAAP earnings per share of $2.48, up 17% year-over-year.
Strong DRAM Market Share
Revenue from leading-edge DRAM customers is expected to be up around 50% in fiscal 2025, supported by record results for the etch business.
Advanced Packaging Growth
The packaging business is on track to more than double to greater than $3 billion over the next few years.
Investment in U.S. Manufacturing
Applied Materials plans to invest more than $200 million in Arizona, building on over $400 million invested in U.S. manufacturing infrastructure over the past 5 years.
24 Consecutive Quarters of Service Business Growth
The service business has grown for 24 consecutive quarters, with more than two-thirds of service revenue coming from subscriptions.
Negative Updates
Uncertainties in China Business
Sequentially lower revenue and earnings are expected due to uncertainties in the China market, including digestion of capacity and pending export license applications.
Nonlinear Demand from Leading-Edge Customers
Demand from leading-edge customers is down due to market concentration, fab timing, and customers taking longer to commit to orders, leading to a shorter visibility window.
Lower Visibility and Guidance for Q4 2025
For fiscal Q4, total revenue is expected to decrease by 4.9% year-over-year, with non-GAAP EPS decreasing by 9% year-over-year.
Potential Delays in Export Licenses
A backlog of pending export license applications is impacting business trajectory, with no immediate upside expected even if the situation changes.
Company Guidance
In the third fiscal quarter of 2025, Applied Materials reported record performance driven by high demand for semiconductor systems and services, achieving a gross margin of nearly 49% and record non-GAAP EPS of $2.48. However, the company forecasted a sequential decline in revenue and earnings for the fourth quarter, primarily due to uncertainties in its China business and nonlinear demand from leading-edge customers. Despite this, Applied Materials remains on track for mid-single-digit growth in fiscal 2025, marking its sixth consecutive year of revenue growth. The company anticipates a stable revenue contribution from China at around 29% in Q4 and expects overall revenue of $6.7 billion, down 4.9% year-over-year. Challenges include digestion of capacity in China and pending export licenses, with no expected approvals factored into the Q4 outlook. Applied Materials remains optimistic about long-term growth opportunities, emphasizing its leadership in AI-driven sectors and investment in advanced packaging, with a projected doubling of this business segment to over $3 billion in the coming years.

Applied Materials Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Applied Materials exhibits strong financial health with consistent profitability and efficient cash management. Despite a slowdown in revenue growth, the company maintains solid margins and a stable balance sheet. Moderate leverage and strong return on equity highlight effective financial management.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Applied Materials demonstrates strong profitability with a consistent gross profit margin around 48% and a net profit margin of approximately 24% in the TTM period. Revenue growth has slowed to 1.87% in the TTM, indicating a potential plateau after previous years of robust growth. The EBIT and EBITDA margins remain healthy, reflecting efficient operational management.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company maintains a stable financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.35, indicating moderate leverage. Return on equity is strong at 35.84%, showcasing effective use of shareholder funds. The equity ratio is solid, reflecting a well-capitalized balance sheet, though there is a slight increase in debt over the years.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Cash flow generation is robust, with an operating cash flow to net income ratio of 0.93 in the TTM, indicating strong cash conversion. Free cash flow growth is stagnant, but the free cash flow to net income ratio remains healthy at 0.79, suggesting efficient cash management despite recent growth challenges.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2019
Income Statement
Total Revenue28.61B27.18B26.52B25.79B23.06B14.61B
Gross Profit13.88B12.90B12.38B11.99B10.91B6.39B
EBITDA9.27B8.79B8.46B8.26B7.39B3.87B
Net Income6.83B7.18B6.86B6.53B5.89B2.71B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets34.21B34.41B30.73B26.73B25.82B19.04B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments7.01B9.47B6.87B2.58B5.46B3.62B
Total Debt6.76B6.61B6.00B5.83B5.75B5.31B
Total Liabilities14.71B15.41B14.38B14.53B13.58B10.81B
Stockholders Equity19.50B19.00B16.35B12.19B12.25B8.21B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow5.86B7.49B7.59B4.61B4.77B2.81B
Operating Cash Flow7.46B8.68B8.70B5.40B5.44B3.25B
Investing Cash Flow-2.41B-2.33B-1.53B-1.36B-1.22B-443.00M
Financing Cash Flow-5.98B-4.47B-3.03B-7.04B-4.59B-3.12B

Applied Materials Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price231.33
Price Trends
50DMA
193.85
Positive
100DMA
188.42
Positive
200DMA
174.07
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
9.03
Positive
RSI
61.06
Neutral
STOCH
72.66
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AMAT, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 231.33 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 222.55, above the 50-day MA of 193.85, and above the 200-day MA of 174.07, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 9.03 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 61.06 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 72.66 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AMAT.

Applied Materials Risk Analysis

Applied Materials disclosed 24 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Applied Materials reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Applied Materials Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
$158.82B39.71100.78%0.59%24.04%49.69%
$181.35B27.1435.64%0.74%6.70%-5.95%
$195.46B34.2962.26%0.61%25.66%46.68%
$117.09B60.555.65%1.60%7.08%18.39%
$28.87B27.2310.97%2.69%4.86%6.44%
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
$193.96B2,987.770.19%-1.49%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AMAT
Applied Materials
227.64
39.48
20.98%
ASX
ASE Technology Holding Co
13.36
3.45
34.81%
ADI
Analog Devices
239.35
8.10
3.50%
INTC
Intel
41.53
18.63
81.35%
KLAC
KLA
1,206.04
516.47
74.90%
LRCX
Lam Research
155.62
78.13
100.83%

Applied Materials Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Applied Materials Faces New Export Restrictions Impact
Negative
Oct 2, 2025

On September 29, 2025, the U.S. Department of Commerce’s Bureau of Industry and Security issued a new rule expanding export restrictions, impacting Applied Materials‘ ability to export certain products to China-based customers. This rule is expected to reduce Applied Materials’ net revenue by approximately $110 million in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2025 and by $600 million in fiscal 2026, highlighting significant financial implications for the company.

The most recent analyst rating on (AMAT) stock is a Buy with a $240.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Applied Materials stock, see the AMAT Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Applied Materials Secures $2 Billion Credit Facility
Positive
Sep 26, 2025

On September 25, 2025, Applied Materials entered into a credit agreement for a $2.0 billion revolving credit facility with Bank of America, allowing for potential expansion up to $3.0 billion. This agreement, which includes various interest rate options and covenants, is intended for general corporate purposes and reflects Applied’s strategic financial planning to support its operations and growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (AMAT) stock is a Buy with a $220.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Applied Materials stock, see the AMAT Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
Applied Materials Completes $1 Billion Notes Offering
Neutral
Sep 19, 2025

On September 18, 2025, Applied Materials completed a public offering of $1 billion in senior unsecured notes, with $550 million due in 2031 and $450 million due in 2036. The proceeds will be used to repay existing debt and for general corporate purposes, enhancing the company’s financial flexibility. The issuance includes covenants that restrict certain financial activities, and the notes may be subject to repurchase or redemption under specific conditions.

The most recent analyst rating on (AMAT) stock is a Buy with a $196.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Applied Materials stock, see the AMAT Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Yvonne McGill Resigns from Applied Materials Board
Neutral
Sep 15, 2025

Yvonne McGill resigned from the Board of Directors of Applied Materials, Inc., effective September 12, 2025. Her resignation was not due to any disagreement with the company’s operations, policies, or practices.

The most recent analyst rating on (AMAT) stock is a Hold with a $175.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Applied Materials stock, see the AMAT Stock Forecast page.

Applied Materials Reports Record Q3 Amid China Challenges
Sep 1, 2025

In the latest earnings call, Applied Materials, Inc. expressed a positive sentiment overall, highlighting record performance and growth in several key areas such as DRAM, advanced packaging, and U.S. manufacturing investments. Despite facing challenges in China and nonlinear demand from leading-edge customers that impact short-term visibility and guidance for Q4, the company remains optimistic about its long-term growth opportunities and market position.

Applied Materials, Inc. Navigates Trade Policy Challenges Amid Rising Tariffs and Global Disputes
Aug 24, 2025

Applied Materials, Inc. faces significant risks due to recent changes in trade policies, including increased tariffs and ongoing trade disputes, particularly between the United States and other countries. These developments have introduced substantial uncertainty, leading to retaliatory tariffs that increase costs and complicate supply chains. The company’s reliance on international customers and suppliers exacerbates these challenges, potentially reducing product competitiveness and customer demand. Despite efforts to mitigate these impacts, the company may still experience adverse effects on its business operations and financial performance.

Applied Materials Reports Record Q3 2025 Earnings
Aug 15, 2025

Applied Materials, Inc. is a leading company in the materials engineering solutions sector, primarily serving the semiconductor and advanced display industries with innovative technology solutions.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 23, 2025