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Applied Materials (AMAT)
NASDAQ:AMAT

Applied Materials (AMAT) AI Stock Analysis

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Applied Materials

(NASDAQ:AMAT)

Rating:81Outperform
Price Target:
$184.00
▲(5.69%Upside)
Applied Materials demonstrates solid financial health and promising growth prospects, particularly in AI-driven technologies. The company's strong earnings call performance and reasonable valuation are key drivers of the score, despite some technical analysis signals indicating caution. Challenges in the China market and trade restrictions are noted but mitigated by strategic initiatives and innovation focus.
Positive Factors
Customer Performance
Samsung revenue for AMAT increased by 65% year-over-year, indicating strong performance from this major customer.
Inventory Management
AMAT's inventory of finished goods increased compared to previous quarters, which may indicate preparation for future demand.
Revenue Growth
AMAT should see revenue growth from TSMC in the second half of FY25, which is expected to support the stock in the near term.
Negative Factors
Export Restrictions
If all semiconductor equipment shipments and services to China become restricted, there is a potential significant downside to revenue and EPS.
Growth Challenges
Without a growth driver into FY26, there is difficulty in finding material upside for AMAT's stock.
Revenue Decline
The view on DRAM revenue for Applied Materials is bearish, with expectations of a 12% decline year-over-year in FY26.

Applied Materials (AMAT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Applied Materials Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionApplied Materials, Inc. provides manufacturing equipment, services, and software to the semiconductor, display, and related industries. It operates through three segments: Semiconductor Systems, Applied Global Services, and Display and Adjacent Markets. The Semiconductor Systems segment develops, manufactures, and sells various manufacturing equipment that is used to fabricate semiconductor chips or integrated circuits. This segment also offers various technologies, including epitaxy, ion implantation, oxidation/nitridation, rapid thermal processing, physical vapor deposition, chemical vapor deposition, chemical mechanical planarization, electrochemical deposition, atomic layer deposition, etching, and selective deposition and removal, as well as metrology and inspection tools. The Applied Global Services segment provides integrated solutions to optimize equipment and fab performance and productivity comprising spares, upgrades, services, remanufactured earlier generation equipment, and factory automation software for semiconductor, display, and other products. The Display and Adjacent Markets segment offers products for manufacturing liquid crystal displays; organic light-emitting diodes; and other display technologies for TVs, monitors, laptops, personal computers, electronic tablets, smart phones, and other consumer-oriented devices. The company operates in the United States, China, Korea, Taiwan, Japan, Southeast Asia, and Europe. Applied Materials, Inc. was incorporated in 1967 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyApplied Materials generates revenue primarily through the sale of manufacturing equipment and related services in the semiconductor and display industries. The Semiconductor Systems segment is the largest contributor to revenue, driven by the sale of equipment used in the fabrication of semiconductor chips. The Applied Global Services segment provides value-added services, including maintenance, support, and optimization, for existing machines, ensuring ongoing customer engagement and recurring revenue. The Display and Adjacent Markets segment focuses on equipment for manufacturing advanced display technologies. Key revenue streams include equipment sales, service contracts, and software solutions, with significant earnings bolstered by partnerships with leading technology companies and continuous innovation in product offerings.

Applied Materials Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Semiconductor Systems Revenue Breakdown
Semiconductor Systems Revenue Breakdown
Analyzes revenue from semiconductor systems, providing insight into demand trends, market share, and the company's competitive position in this critical industry sector.
Chart InsightsApplied Materials' Semiconductor Systems segment shows a recovery in 'Foundry, Logic, and Other' revenue after a dip in 2023, while DRAM revenue has surged, driven by investments in advanced DRAM technologies like DDR-5. Despite challenges in China and trade restrictions, the company projects a 10% year-over-year increase in Semiconductor Systems revenue for the upcoming quarter, supported by AI-driven advancements and strategic co-innovation. Flash Memory revenue remains subdued, but overall, the segment is poised for growth, reflecting strong demand and strategic positioning in the semiconductor market.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Applied Materials Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 15, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -0.09%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 14, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a strong financial performance with record earnings per share and robust revenue growth across segments. However, challenges persist in the China market and trade restrictions are impacting service business growth. Despite these challenges, the company shows strong potential in advanced DRAM and service revenues.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Earnings Per Share
Applied Materials delivered record earnings per share in Q2 2025, with a 14% year-over-year increase to $2.39.
Revenue Growth
Total net revenue reached approximately $7.1 billion, up 7% year-over-year, with growth across all business segments.
Strong Gross Margin
Non-GAAP gross margin was 49.2%, up 170 basis points year-over-year, marking the highest quarterly gross margin since fiscal year 2000.
Advanced DRAM Customer Growth
Revenues from advanced DRAM customers are expected to grow more than 40% in 2025 due to investments in DDR-5 and high-bandwidth memory.
Service Revenue Growth
Core parts and services revenues grew in the low double-digit range last year, and a similar growth rate is expected in 2025.
Increased Shareholder Capital Distributions
Approximately $2 billion was distributed in dividends and share repurchases during Q2, with a 15% increase to the dividend per share.
Negative Updates
China Market Challenges
Lower spending in China is expected with investments in both DRAM and mature logic down for the year, affected by trade restrictions.
200-millimeter Equipment Sales Decline
Applied Global Services saw a decline in sales of 200-millimeter equipment, impacting overall AGS revenue growth.
Trade Restrictions Impact
Trade restrictions impacted service business growth, particularly in China, affecting the overall growth rate of Applied Global Services.
Company Guidance
During the Applied Materials Second Quarter Fiscal 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided robust guidance with an optimistic outlook on several metrics. They reported a record earnings per share and a 7% year-to-date revenue increase. For the third quarter, they anticipate total revenue of $7.2 billion, plus or minus $500 million, representing a 6% year-over-year increase. The company expects non-GAAP EPS to be $2.35, plus or minus $0.20, indicating an 11% increase year-over-year. In terms of segment performance, Semiconductor Systems revenue is projected to be approximately $5.4 billion, up 10% year-over-year, while Applied Global Services (AGS) revenue is forecasted at $1.55 billion, slightly down 2% year-over-year. Display revenue is expected to remain stable at around $250 million. Despite challenges in China and trade restrictions, the company maintains a positive growth trajectory, supported by advancements in AI-driven technologies and strategic co-innovation initiatives.

Applied Materials Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Applied Materials exhibits strong financial performance with robust revenue growth, high profitability margins, and effective cash flow management. The company's low leverage and high return on equity further underline its financial stability, though there is room for improvement with the equity ratio.
Income Statement
88
Very Positive
Applied Materials demonstrated strong profitability with a consistent increase in revenue over the years, reaching $28.09 billion in TTM. The gross profit margin is robust at 48.14%, and the net profit margin remains healthy at 24.05%. Revenue growth is steady, with a recent increase of 3.36% from the previous year. The EBIT margin of 29.66% and EBITDA margin of 31.20% reflect operational efficiency and strong earnings generation.
Balance Sheet
82
Very Positive
The company maintains a solid balance sheet with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.33, indicating low leverage. The return on equity is impressive at 35.63%, showcasing effective management of shareholders' equity. However, the equity ratio stands at 56.37%, indicating a balanced structure of liabilities and equity, but room for improvement in asset financing through equity.
Cash Flow
85
Very Positive
Applied Materials exhibits strong cash flow generation with a free cash flow of $5.94 billion in TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is a solid 1.08, indicating efficient conversion of earnings into cash. Free cash flow to net income ratio stands at 0.88, reflecting good cash flow health despite a slight decline in free cash flow compared to the previous year.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
28.09B27.18B26.52B25.79B23.06B17.20B
Gross Profit
13.52B12.90B12.38B11.99B10.91B7.69B
EBIT
8.33B7.87B7.65B7.79B6.89B4.37B
EBITDA
8.73B8.26B8.46B8.26B7.39B4.78B
Net Income Common Stockholders
6.76B7.18B6.86B6.53B5.89B3.62B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
6.75B9.47B6.87B2.58B5.46B5.74B
Total Assets
33.63B34.41B30.73B26.73B25.82B22.35B
Total Debt
6.26B6.26B6.00B5.83B5.75B5.71B
Net Debt
92.00M-1.76B-133.00M3.83B758.00M356.00M
Total Liabilities
14.67B15.41B14.38B14.53B13.58B11.78B
Stockholders Equity
18.96B19.00B16.35B12.19B12.25B10.58B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
5.93B7.49B7.59B4.61B4.77B3.38B
Operating Cash Flow
7.28B8.68B8.70B5.40B5.44B3.80B
Investing Cash Flow
-2.78B-2.33B-1.53B-1.36B-1.22B-130.00M
Financing Cash Flow
-5.98B-4.47B-3.03B-7.04B-4.59B-1.34B

Applied Materials Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price174.09
Price Trends
50DMA
156.55
Positive
100DMA
159.24
Positive
200DMA
170.51
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
4.56
Negative
RSI
61.72
Neutral
STOCH
82.24
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AMAT, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 174.09 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 165.46, above the 50-day MA of 156.55, and above the 200-day MA of 170.51, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 4.56 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 61.72 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 82.24 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AMAT.

Applied Materials Risk Analysis

Applied Materials disclosed 24 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Applied Materials reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Applied Materials Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$141.68B21.4936.37%1.04%6.12%-5.66%
80
Outperform
$118.01B32.43104.10%0.85%20.44%44.14%
80
Outperform
$119.48B26.0253.14%0.98%20.33%31.89%
MUMU
79
Outperform
$133.93B28.8010.10%0.38%71.05%
ADADI
77
Outperform
$115.03B63.105.21%1.71%-6.17%-14.16%
62
Neutral
$11.96B10.09-7.50%3.10%7.33%-8.11%
47
Neutral
$90.47B-18.66%2.41%-3.97%-562.40%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AMAT
Applied Materials
174.09
-71.42
-29.09%
ADI
Analog Devices
227.44
-3.96
-1.71%
INTC
Intel
20.80
-9.64
-31.67%
KLAC
KLA
893.00
37.65
4.40%
LRCX
Lam Research
92.66
-15.31
-14.18%
MU
Micron
120.34
-32.40
-21.21%

Applied Materials Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Applied Materials Secures New $2 Billion Credit Facility
Positive
Feb 27, 2025

On February 24, 2025, Applied Materials, Inc. entered into a new five-year $2.0 billion revolving credit facility with Bank of America, replacing a previous $1.5 billion agreement set to expire in 2026. This strategic financial move enhances Applied’s credit capacity, potentially strengthening its operational flexibility and market position.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.