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Applied Materials (AMAT)
NASDAQ:AMAT

Applied Materials (AMAT) AI Stock Analysis

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AMAT

Applied Materials

(NASDAQ:AMAT)

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Outperform 77 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
$304.00
â–²(16.07% Upside)
Applied Materials' strong financial performance and positive earnings outlook are significant strengths. However, technical indicators suggest potential overvaluation, and corporate events pose risks, particularly regarding trade restrictions and workforce adjustments.
Positive Factors
Strong Financial Health
The company's strong financial health ensures it can withstand economic fluctuations and invest in growth opportunities, supporting long-term stability.
Leadership in AI-Driven Segments
Leadership in AI-driven segments positions the company to capitalize on growing demand, driving future revenue and market share expansion.
Advanced Packaging Business Growth
Growth in advanced packaging enhances product offerings and market competitiveness, contributing to sustained revenue growth.
Negative Factors
Impact of Trade Restrictions
Trade restrictions limit market access, reducing revenue potential and impacting long-term growth in a key market.
Workforce Reduction Plan
Workforce reductions may impact morale and productivity, potentially hindering innovation and operational efficiency in the long term.
China Revenue Decline
Declining revenue from China indicates challenges in a major market, affecting overall revenue growth and market positioning.

Applied Materials (AMAT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Applied Materials Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionApplied Materials, Inc. provides manufacturing equipment, services, and software to the semiconductor, display, and related industries. It operates through three segments: Semiconductor Systems, Applied Global Services, and Display and Adjacent Markets. The Semiconductor Systems segment develops, manufactures, and sells various manufacturing equipment that is used to fabricate semiconductor chips or integrated circuits. This segment also offers various technologies, including epitaxy, ion implantation, oxidation/nitridation, rapid thermal processing, physical vapor deposition, chemical vapor deposition, chemical mechanical planarization, electrochemical deposition, atomic layer deposition, etching, and selective deposition and removal, as well as metrology and inspection tools. The Applied Global Services segment provides integrated solutions to optimize equipment and fab performance and productivity comprising spares, upgrades, services, remanufactured earlier generation equipment, and factory automation software for semiconductor, display, and other products. The Display and Adjacent Markets segment offers products for manufacturing liquid crystal displays; organic light-emitting diodes; and other display technologies for TVs, monitors, laptops, personal computers, electronic tablets, smart phones, and other consumer-oriented devices. The company operates in the United States, China, Korea, Taiwan, Japan, Southeast Asia, and Europe. Applied Materials, Inc. was incorporated in 1967 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyApplied Materials generates revenue primarily through the sale of semiconductor manufacturing equipment, which includes systems for wafer fabrication, etching, and deposition. Revenue is also derived from Applied Global Services, which offers maintenance, spare parts, and upgrades for existing equipment, providing a steady stream of income. Additionally, the company earns from display technologies and solar equipment, although these represent a smaller portion of its overall revenue. Key partnerships with major semiconductor manufacturers and technology firms contribute to its earnings, as does the increasing demand for advanced technologies in areas such as artificial intelligence, 5G, and IoT, which drive investment in semiconductor production. Furthermore, Applied Materials benefits from a recurring revenue model through its services segment, enhancing its financial stability.

Applied Materials Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography
Breaks down revenue across different regions, revealing where the company is strongest and where it may face risk or growth potential due to local economic conditions or market share shifts.
Chart InsightsApplied Materials' revenue from China remains a significant contributor, but uncertainties and capacity digestion are impacting short-term visibility. Despite record Q3 performance, revenue is expected to decline in Q4 due to these challenges. The U.S. and Taiwan show resilience, while Europe and Southeast Asia face declines. Long-term growth is supported by investments in AI and advanced packaging, with China expected to stabilize at 29% of revenue. The company's strategic focus on DRAM and U.S. manufacturing investments positions it well for future growth despite current headwinds.
Data provided by:The Fly

Applied Materials Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 13, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Applied Materials reported a record year with strong growth in revenue and technology leadership, particularly in AI-driven segments. However, the company faced significant challenges due to trade restrictions impacting its market share and revenue in China. The outlook for 2026 is positive, with anticipated growth in leading-edge and DRAM segments, though the ICAPS market presents potential headwinds.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Annual Financial Performance
Applied Materials delivered record annual revenue of $28.4 billion, a 4% increase, with growth across all segments. Non-GAAP gross margin reached 48.8%, the highest level in 25 years.
Strong Position in AI-Driven Segments
Applied Materials holds the #1 position in leading-edge foundry/logic and DRAM, which are expected to be the fastest-growing segments due to AI demand.
Advanced Packaging Business Growth
The company is on track to double its advanced packaging business to $3 billion over the next few years, with strong leadership in high-bandwidth memory.
Significant New Product Launches
Applied Materials launched three new products: Xtera epitaxy system, Kinex die-to-wafer bonder, and PROVision 10 eBeam metrology, all of which enhance capabilities in leading-edge technologies.
Negative Updates
Impact of Trade Restrictions
Trade restrictions significantly reduced Applied Materials' market access in China, affecting more than 20% of the China WFE market.
China Revenue Decline
China revenue declined to 29% of total company revenue, down from a peak of 45% in the first quarter of fiscal 2024.
Challenges in ICAPS Market
The company expects some digestion in the ICAPS market, which could impact growth despite strengths in leading-edge and DRAM segments.
Company Guidance
During the Applied Materials Fourth Quarter Fiscal 2025 earnings call, the company provided guidance indicating optimism for the upcoming fiscal year. Applied expects strong growth in 2026, driven by leading-edge foundry/logic, DRAM, and high-bandwidth memory segments, which are anticipated to be the fastest-growing areas due to increased AI data center investments. The company reported fiscal 2025 revenue of $28.4 billion, a 4% increase from the previous year, with gross margin improvement to 48.8%. For the first quarter of fiscal 2026, they project revenue of $6.85 billion, plus or minus $500 million, and non-GAAP EPS of $2.18, plus or minus $0.20. Despite trade restrictions impacting the accessible market in China, Applied sees significant opportunities as AI computing continues to reshape the semiconductor roadmap. The firm remains focused on its inflection-focused innovation strategy, with product launches like Xtera epitaxy system, Kinex bonder, and PROVision 10 demonstrating its leadership in critical technology areas.

Applied Materials Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Applied Materials exhibits strong financial health with solid profitability, stable leverage, and robust cash flow generation. Challenges include a slight decline in revenue growth and stagnation in free cash flow expansion.
Income Statement
Applied Materials demonstrates strong profitability with a consistent gross profit margin around 47-48% and a solid net profit margin of approximately 25-26%. However, the recent TTM data shows a slight decline in revenue growth, indicating potential challenges in maintaining growth momentum.
Balance Sheet
The company's balance sheet is stable with a manageable debt-to-equity ratio around 0.32-0.45, indicating prudent leverage. Return on equity remains robust, although it has slightly decreased over the years, reflecting a strong ability to generate returns on shareholder investments.
Cash Flow
Applied Materials maintains healthy cash flow metrics with a strong operating cash flow to net income ratio close to 1, and a free cash flow to net income ratio around 0.78-0.87. However, recent stagnation in free cash flow growth suggests potential areas for improvement in cash generation.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue28.37B27.18B26.52B25.79B23.06B
Gross Profit13.81B12.90B12.38B11.99B10.91B
EBITDA9.65B8.79B8.46B8.26B7.39B
Net Income7.00B7.18B6.86B6.53B5.89B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets36.30B34.41B30.73B26.73B25.82B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments8.57B9.47B6.87B2.58B5.46B
Total Debt7.05B6.61B6.00B5.83B5.75B
Total Liabilities15.88B15.41B14.38B14.53B13.58B
Stockholders Equity20.41B19.00B16.35B12.19B12.25B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow5.70B7.49B7.59B4.61B4.77B
Operating Cash Flow7.96B8.68B8.70B5.40B5.44B
Investing Cash Flow-2.78B-2.33B-1.53B-1.36B-1.22B
Financing Cash Flow-5.98B-4.47B-3.03B-7.04B-4.59B

Applied Materials Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price261.90
Price Trends
50DMA
242.89
Positive
100DMA
213.94
Positive
200DMA
189.18
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
5.11
Positive
RSI
57.73
Neutral
STOCH
64.58
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AMAT, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 261.9 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 261.92, above the 50-day MA of 242.89, and above the 200-day MA of 189.18, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 5.11 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 57.73 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 64.58 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AMAT.

Applied Materials Risk Analysis

Applied Materials disclosed 24 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Applied Materials reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Applied Materials Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$404.71B40.1451.72%0.63%24.91%39.95%
77
Outperform
$207.67B30.2435.51%0.69%4.47%0.48%
77
Outperform
$168.13B40.1799.17%0.58%22.27%45.32%
77
Outperform
$223.66B39.2462.26%0.56%25.66%46.68%
71
Outperform
$31.15B72.3915.77%0.24%4.56%-15.44%
69
Neutral
$33.39B30.2511.17%2.29%8.01%10.41%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AMAT
Applied Materials
261.90
99.88
61.65%
ASX
ASE Technology Holding Co
15.72
5.83
58.95%
ASML
ASML Holding
1,072.75
382.20
55.35%
KLAC
KLA
1,279.60
650.28
103.33%
LRCX
Lam Research
178.07
106.57
149.05%
TER
Teradyne
198.90
72.75
57.67%

Applied Materials Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
Applied Materials Announces Workforce Reduction Plan
Negative
Oct 23, 2025

On October 23, 2025, Applied Materials announced a workforce reduction plan affecting approximately four percent of its global workforce to enhance competitiveness and productivity. The company anticipates incurring charges between $160 million to $180 million, primarily for severance and termination benefits, with most charges recognized in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2025. The plan aims to position Applied Materials for future growth by simplifying organizational structures and adopting new technologies.

The most recent analyst rating on (AMAT) stock is a Buy with a $257.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Applied Materials stock, see the AMAT Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Applied Materials Faces New Export Restrictions Impact
Negative
Oct 2, 2025

On September 29, 2025, the U.S. Department of Commerce’s Bureau of Industry and Security issued a new rule expanding export restrictions, impacting Applied Materials‘ ability to export certain products to China-based customers. This rule is expected to reduce Applied Materials’ net revenue by approximately $110 million in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2025 and by $600 million in fiscal 2026, highlighting significant financial implications for the company.

The most recent analyst rating on (AMAT) stock is a Buy with a $240.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Applied Materials stock, see the AMAT Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025