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Analog Devices (ADI)
NASDAQ:ADI

Analog Devices (ADI) AI Stock Analysis

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ADI

Analog Devices

(NASDAQ:ADI)

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Outperform 76 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
$381.00
▲(5.60% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/18/26
ADI scores well primarily on strong financial quality (robust free cash flow and conservative leverage) and a constructive earnings outlook with improving margins and broad-based demand. The main offsets are a stretched valuation (high P/E) and technical conditions that look overextended, increasing near-term volatility risk.
Positive Factors
Cash generation & capital returns
Sustained, large FCF provides durable financial flexibility: funds R&D, targeted M&A, and shareholder returns. Management’s 100% FCF return target and recent dividend raise signal capital-allocation discipline that supports investor return and buffers the company through semiconductor cycles.
Secular end-market exposure
Growing exposure to ATE and data-center segments diversifies revenue into secularly expanding markets. These higher-growth, specialized applications leverage ADI’s precision analog capabilities, creating multi-year demand drivers that reduce sensitivity to consumer or cyclical end-market declines.
High margins and operating leverage
Elevated gross and operating margins reflect a high-value analog product mix, pricing power, and utilization leverage. Sustained margin expansion boosts cash flow conversion and reinvestment capacity, supporting durable profitability even if revenue growth moderates across the cycle.
Negative Factors
Cyclicality and multi-year volatility
The semiconductor and industrial cycles produce pronounced swings in revenue and margins, complicating forecasting and capital allocation. Periodic downturns can depress returns on capital, force inventory adjustments, and make sustaining investment and payout policies harder during troughs.
Automotive exposure and regional risk
Heavy automotive exposure concentrates downside: tariff-driven order pull-ins, China exposure and book-to-bill under 1 weaken near-term demand. Prolonged softness in vehicle production or China-specific disruptions could materially pressure a quarter-to-quarter revenue and margin profile.
Inventory & one-time pricing effects
Portions of recent revenue and margin gains stem from channel repricing and discrete items, which are not recurring. Coupled with higher days of inventory, this raises risk that margins and revenue growth may weaken if pricing tailwinds fade or channel inventories reverse, pressuring future cash flow.

Analog Devices (ADI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Analog Devices Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAnalog Devices, Inc. designs, manufactures, tests, and markets integrated circuits (ICs), software, and subsystems that leverage analog, mixed-signal, and digital signal processing technologies. The company provides data converter products, which translate real-world analog signals into digital data, as well as translates digital data into analog signals; power management and reference products for power conversion, driver monitoring, sequencing, and energy management applications in the automotive, communications, industrial, and high-end consumer markets; and power ICs include performance, integration, and software design simulation tools for accurate power supply designs. It also offers high-performance amplifiers to condition analog signals; and radio frequency and microwave ICs to support cellular infrastructure; and microelectromechanical systems technology solutions, including accelerometers used to sense acceleration, gyroscopes for sense rotation, inertial measurement units to sense multiple degrees of freedom, and broadband switches for radio and instrument systems, as well as isolators. In addition, the company offers digital signal processing and system products for high-speed numeric calculations. It serves clients in the industrial, automotive, consumer, instrumentation, aerospace, and communications markets through a direct sales force, third-party distributors, and independent sales representatives in the United States, the rest of North and South America, Europe, Japan, China, and rest of Asia, as well as through its Website. Analog Devices, Inc. was incorporated in 1965 and is headquartered in Wilmington, Massachusetts.
How the Company Makes MoneyAnalog Devices generates revenue primarily through the sale of its semiconductor products, which are critical components in electronic devices. The company's revenue model is based on the production and sale of high-performance analog, mixed-signal, and digital signal processing integrated circuits. Key revenue streams include sales to industries such as automotive, where ADI provides solutions for advanced driver-assistance systems (ADAS), and industrial markets, where its products are used in automation and control systems. Additionally, ADI benefits from partnerships with major technology companies and OEMs (original equipment manufacturers) that integrate its components into their products, further expanding its market reach. The company also invests in research and development to innovate new products, which helps maintain its competitive edge and drive future revenue growth.

Analog Devices Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Shows how revenue is distributed across different business units, highlighting which segments drive growth and profitability, and indicating strategic focus areas.
Chart InsightsAnalog Devices' revenue by segment reveals a robust recovery trajectory, particularly in the industrial and automotive sectors, which have shown consistent growth driven by AI, automation, and autonomous driving advancements. Despite previous declines, the communications segment is rebounding, aligning with the company's overall 17% revenue growth in fiscal 2025. However, macroeconomic and geopolitical challenges pose risks, especially for the automotive sector, which faces a cautious outlook for early 2026. The company's strategic focus on R&D and increased shareholder returns underscores its commitment to long-term growth despite these challenges.
Data provided by:The Fly

Analog Devices Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 18, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 27, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call communicated strong, broad-based revenue growth, accelerating ATE and data center demand, robust margins, and exceptional cash generation and shareholder returns. Management provided an upbeat Q2 guide with meaningful margin improvement and reiterated long-term investment and capital return priorities. Near-term risks include automotive softness, an inventory build, and one-time pricing/channel effects that buoyed Q1/Q2 results. On balance the positive operational momentum, margin expansion and cash flow generation materially outweigh the noted headwinds.
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue outperformance
Q1 revenue of $3.16 billion, up 3% sequentially and 30% year-over-year, coming in above the midpoint of guidance.
Broad-based end-market strength
Industrial represented 47% of revenue and grew 5% sequentially and 38% year-over-year; Communications (15% of revenue) grew 20% sequentially and 63% year-over-year; Consumer (13% of revenue) grew 2% sequentially and 27% year-over-year — growth was broad-based across regions and applications.
ATE and Data Center acceleration
Automated Test Equipment (ATE) grew ~40% in fiscal 2025 and accelerated in Q1 with a record quarter; data center-related revenue grew ~50% in fiscal 2025 and accelerated in Q1. Management noted ATE + data center together are a material and fast-growing part of the business (management referenced the combined opportunity at ~20% of revenue), with data center now called out as a >$2B run-rate business and an important driver going forward.
Strong margins and operating leverage
Q1 gross margin was 71.2%, up 140 basis points sequentially and 240 basis points year-over-year. Operating margin was 45.5%, up 200 basis points sequentially and 500 basis points year-over-year, driven by higher utilization, favorable mix and operating leverage.
Earnings and cash generation
Adjusted EPS of $2.46, up 9% sequentially and 51% year-over-year. Trailing 12-month operating cash flow was $5.1 billion; CapEx TTM $0.5 billion; free cash flow TTM $4.6 billion (39% of revenue). Cash and short-term investments totaled $4.0 billion and net leverage decreased to 0.8.
Capital returns and dividend increase
Announced an 11% increase to the annual dividend (quarterly dividend raised to $1.10), marking the 22nd consecutive annual dividend increase. Management reiterated a long-term target to return 100% of free cash flow to shareholders and highlighted >$32 billion returned since 2004 and >100% of FCF returned since the 2021 acquisition.
Strong Q2 outlook
Q2 guidance: revenue $3.5 billion ± $100 million (midpoint implies ~11% sequential growth), operating margin midpoint 47.5% (±100 bps), tax rate 11%–13%, adjusted EPS $2.88 ± $0.15. Management expects industrial to be up ~20% sequentially in Q2 and communications to remain strong.
Price realization and margin tailwinds (partially captured in guide)
Management indicated recent pricing actions are contributing to the Q2 outlook; price-related uplift was quantified as ~1/3 of the quarter-over-quarter revenue increase at the midpoint and management expects additional modest price-related tailwinds (~50 bps) in each of Q3 and Q4.
Negative Updates
Automotive softness and near-term headwinds
Automotive represented 25% of revenue but was down 8% sequentially in Q1 despite +8% year-over-year. Management expects auto to be flat to down sequentially in Q2 (below typical seasonality) driven by tariff-related order pull-in/unwind and higher exposure to China; Q1 auto book-to-bill finished under 1.
Inventory build and channel dynamics
Inventory increased $111 million sequentially with days of inventory at 171; channel inventory ended within the company's 6–7 week range. Management is building die bank and finished goods buffers to support demand, creating a modest inventory increase risk if demand shifts.
One-time/ discrete benefits to margins and revenue growth
Q1 gross margin benefited from roughly 50 basis points of discrete items that were not in the original forecast. About half of the pricing uplift in Q2 relates to repricing of channel inventory (a one-time effect) and will not repeat in Q3; excluding price, sequential growth outlook falls from ~11% to ~7% at the Q2 midpoint.
Inflation-driven pricing and visibility risks
Management implemented pricing actions in response to persistent inflation; while this supports near-term revenue and margin, it highlights cost pressures and creates some uncertainty about the sustainability and recurrence of revenue/margin benefits in later quarters.
OpEx headwinds from investments
Operating expenses were $812 million in Q1 and management expects OpEx to grow mid-single digits (due to hiring, higher bonuses and events) even as OpEx as a percent of revenue is expected to decline — this requires continued top-line strength to sustain margin expansion.
Macro and geopolitical caution
Management repeatedly cautioned that the forward outlook assumes no unforeseen material changes in macroeconomic or geopolitical conditions, indicating sensitivity to external risks (tariffs, China exposure, broader macro volatility).
Company Guidance
For Q2 ADI guided revenue of $3.5 billion ± $100 million (about an 11% sequential increase from Q1’s $3.16B), adjusted EPS of $2.88 ± $0.15, and an operating margin at the midpoint of 47.5% ± 100 bps (Q1 was 45.5%), with a tax rate forecast of 11–13%; gross margin is expected to expand roughly 100 bps q/q (≈150 bps on a normalized basis excluding a one‑time ~50 bps channel repricing). Management said OpEx should rise mid‑single digits in Q2 (Q1 OpEx was $812M) but fall as a percent of revenue, producing ~200 bps of sequential operating‑margin improvement; pricing actions account for ~1/3 of the Q2 sequential revenue increase (about half of that is nonrecurring channel repricing), so ex‑price sequential growth is ~7% versus the 11% headline. By end market, Q2 assumptions include industrial up ~20% sequential (~50% YoY), communications up high‑single digits (~60% YoY), automotive flat to down sequential, and consumer down mid‑single digits. Corporate balance‑sheet and cash‑flow anchors cited: cash & short‑term investments $4.0B, net leverage 0.8, inventory days 171, TTM operating cash flow $5.1B, TTM CapEx $0.5B (fiscal ’26 CapEx expected to be 4–6% of revenue), TTM free cash flow $4.6B (39% of revenue); the company reiterated a long‑term target to return 100% of FCF and raised the quarterly dividend 11% to $1.10.

Analog Devices Financial Statement Overview

Summary
High-quality financial profile supported by strong cash generation (TTM operating cash flow ~$5.1B; TTM free cash flow ~$4.6B, ~39% of revenue) and conservative leverage (TTM debt-to-equity ~0.26). Profitability is solid (TTM gross margin near 60%, net margin ~21%), but results remain cyclical with multi-year revenue/margin volatility and lower TTM ROE versus prior-cycle peaks.
Income Statement
78
Positive
ADI shows strong profitability, with TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) gross margin near 60% and net margin around 21%, supporting healthy earnings power. Revenue rebounded in TTM (+6.7%) after a sharp downturn in 2024 (-23%), but the multi-year pattern is volatile for a semiconductor cycle. Margins also remain below the 2023 peak (when profit margins were notably higher), indicating the business has not fully returned to prior high-water profitability.
Balance Sheet
82
Very Positive
Leverage looks conservative: TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) debt-to-equity is ~0.26, and equity is substantial relative to assets, suggesting good balance-sheet resilience. Debt levels have been relatively stable across periods, limiting refinancing risk. The main offset is middling recent returns on equity (mid-single digits in TTM), which are well below the stronger levels seen in 2022–2023, implying less efficient capital productivity in the latest period.
Cash Flow
86
Very Positive
Cash generation is a clear strength: TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) operating cash flow (~$5.1B) and free cash flow (~$4.6B) are robust, with free cash flow growth +6.6% in TTM. Cash conversion is solid, with free cash flow running close to net income (roughly 89% in TTM), supporting financial flexibility. The key weakness is that free cash flow growth has been inconsistent year-to-year (notably negative in 2023–2024), reflecting cyclical demand and investment timing.
BreakdownTTMOct 2025Oct 2024Oct 2023Oct 2022Oct 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue11.76B11.02B9.43B12.31B12.01B7.32B
Gross Profit7.39B6.77B5.38B7.88B7.80B4.86B
EBITDA5.52B5.03B4.20B6.17B5.60B2.59B
Net Income2.71B2.27B1.64B3.31B2.75B1.39B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets47.99B47.99B48.23B48.79B50.30B52.32B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments4.05B3.65B2.36B958.06M1.47B1.98B
Total Debt8.68B8.66B7.65B7.01B6.60B6.82B
Total Liabilities14.20B14.18B13.05B13.23B13.84B14.33B
Stockholders Equity33.79B33.82B35.18B35.57B36.47B37.99B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow4.56B4.28B3.12B3.56B3.78B2.39B
Operating Cash Flow5.05B4.81B3.85B4.82B4.48B2.74B
Investing Cash Flow-1.23B-1.32B-1.10B-1.27B-657.37M2.14B
Financing Cash Flow-3.26B-2.98B-1.71B-4.06B-4.29B-3.96B

Analog Devices Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price360.80
Price Trends
50DMA
305.71
Positive
100DMA
274.99
Positive
200DMA
254.11
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
15.21
Negative
RSI
79.27
Negative
STOCH
89.13
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ADI, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 360.8 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 332.41, above the 50-day MA of 305.71, and above the 200-day MA of 254.11, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 15.21 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 79.27 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 89.13 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ADI.

Analog Devices Risk Analysis

Analog Devices disclosed 30 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Analog Devices reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Analog Devices Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$173.84B65.057.86%1.43%16.89%39.29%
76
Outperform
$299.93B38.7138.86%0.69%4.47%0.48%
76
Outperform
$68.47B27.4518.04%0.28%44.95%
71
Outperform
$193.63B40.3629.98%3.11%9.90%1.65%
67
Neutral
$59.29B29.3421.01%1.79%-6.81%-23.16%
64
Neutral
$154.48B29.9121.48%2.01%13.66%-45.40%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ADI
Analog Devices
360.80
130.86
56.91%
AMAT
Applied Materials
394.95
227.73
136.18%
MRVL
Marvell
80.92
-13.66
-14.45%
NXPI
NXP Semiconductors
235.07
9.92
4.41%
QCOM
Qualcomm
145.82
-12.73
-8.03%
TXN
Texas Instruments
213.90
21.73
11.31%

Analog Devices Corporate Events

DividendsFinancial Disclosures
Analog Devices Posts Strong Q1 Results, Hikes Dividend
Positive
Feb 18, 2026

Analog Devices reported strong fiscal first-quarter 2026 results on February 18, 2026, with revenue rising 30% year-on-year to $3.16 billion, led by industrial and communications demand, and record orders in its data center segment. The company significantly improved profitability, lifting gross margin to 64.7%, more than doubling operating income, boosting adjusted EPS by 51%, generating robust free cash flow and returning $1.0 billion to shareholders.

On February 17, 2026, Analog Devices’ board raised the quarterly dividend by 11% to $1.10 per share, effective for shareholders of record on March 3 and payable March 17, marking the 22nd consecutive annual increase. The higher payout, alongside strong cash generation and a revenue outlook pointing to a new high watermark for the second quarter, underscores management’s confidence in ADI’s execution, balance-sheet strength and positioning across key secular growth markets.

The most recent analyst rating on (ADI) stock is a Buy with a $383.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Analog Devices stock, see the ADI Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Analog Devices Adds AI Veteran to Board of Directors
Positive
Jan 23, 2026

On January 20, 2026, Analog Devices director Susie Wee notified the board that she will retire and not stand for re-election at the company’s March 11, 2026 annual shareholders’ meeting, though she will continue to serve on the board and its Nominating and Corporate Governance Committee until that date, with the company emphasizing that her decision did not stem from any disagreement over operations, policies or practices. Effective the same day, the board expanded to 11 members and appointed Panasonic executive officer and veteran Silicon Valley technologist Yoky Matsuoka as an independent director and member of the Corporate Development Committee, with a standard mix of cash retainers and equity compensation; her extensive background in AI, robotics, healthcare technology and integrating hardware, software and AI is expected to strengthen Analog Devices’ strategic direction as it scales solutions across the physical and digital domains.

The most recent analyst rating on (ADI) stock is a Buy with a $360.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Analog Devices stock, see the ADI Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 18, 2026