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Qualcomm Inc (QCOM)
NASDAQ:QCOM
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Qualcomm (QCOM) AI Stock Analysis

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QCOM

Qualcomm

(NASDAQ:QCOM)

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Outperform 80 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:80Outperform
Price Target:
$199.00
▲(21.86% Upside)
Qualcomm's overall stock score reflects its strong financial performance and positive earnings call outcomes, which are the most significant factors. The technical analysis supports a positive trend, while the valuation indicates potential overvaluation. Despite some challenges, the company's strategic achievements and growth in key segments contribute to a favorable outlook.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth in Automotive and IoT
The significant growth in automotive and IoT segments indicates Qualcomm's successful diversification strategy, reducing reliance on traditional mobile markets and positioning the company for sustained revenue expansion in emerging tech sectors.
Strategic Expansion into AI and Data Centers
Expanding into AI and data centers diversifies Qualcomm's portfolio and enhances its competitive edge in high-growth tech areas, supporting long-term revenue and market position.
Strong Cash Flow Management
Efficient cash flow management ensures Qualcomm can fund operations, invest in growth opportunities, and return value to shareholders, underpinning financial stability and strategic flexibility.
Negative Factors
Challenges with Apple Revenues
Reduced revenues from Apple could impact Qualcomm's short-term financial performance, highlighting the risk of dependency on a major client and the need to diversify its customer base.
Mixed Handset Market Dynamics
Weaker handset market dynamics may affect Qualcomm's core business, emphasizing the importance of its strategic shift towards automotive, IoT, and AI to mitigate reliance on mobile handset sales.
Competition with Samsung
Increased competition from Samsung in the processor market could erode Qualcomm's market share, necessitating innovation and strategic partnerships to maintain its competitive position.

Qualcomm (QCOM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Qualcomm Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionQualcomm Incorporated is a global leader in semiconductor technology and telecommunications equipment, primarily known for its innovations in mobile communications. The company operates through segments including Qualcomm CDMA Technologies (QCT), which designs and supplies chipsets for mobile devices, and Qualcomm Technology Licensing (QTL), which offers licenses for its extensive patent portfolio. Qualcomm's core products include System-on-a-Chip (SoC) solutions, modems, and software for mobile devices, automotive, IoT, and other connected devices, positioning it at the forefront of the 5G technology revolution.
How the Company Makes MoneyQualcomm generates revenue through two main segments: Qualcomm CDMA Technologies (QCT) and Qualcomm Technology Licensing (QTL). QCT is responsible for the design and sale of chipsets used in smartphones, tablets, automotive applications, and IoT devices, contributing a significant portion of the company's revenue. QTL, on the other hand, earns income through licensing fees from manufacturers for the use of Qualcomm's patented technologies, particularly in mobile communications. This dual revenue model allows Qualcomm to capitalize on both hardware sales and intellectual property. Additionally, partnerships with major smartphone manufacturers, automotive companies, and technology firms enhance its market reach and create recurring revenue streams through royalties. The rapid adoption of 5G technology and expansion into new markets, such as automotive and IoT, are significant factors that contribute to Qualcomm's earnings.

Qualcomm Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Analyzes income from different business units, highlighting which segments drive growth and profitability, and indicating strategic focus areas.
Chart InsightsQualcomm's Equipment and Services revenue shows a strong recovery trajectory, nearing pre-2023 levels, while Licensing revenue remains stable with slight fluctuations. The earnings call highlights robust growth in automotive and IoT segments, offsetting challenges from reduced Apple revenues. Qualcomm's strategic focus on diversification and expansion into data centers and AI initiatives is expected to drive future growth, despite competitive pressures in the handset market. The company's commitment to shareholder returns and strategic partnerships, like the Xiaomi collaboration, further underscores its confidence in sustaining momentum.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Qualcomm Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted Qualcomm's strong performance in fiscal Q4, with record revenues in automotive and growth in IoT. The company exceeded its revenue and EPS guidance, and announced significant achievements in AI and data centers. However, the call also noted ongoing challenges, such as a substantial non-cash charge due to tax legislation, and uncertain future prospects with a major Android customer. Despite these challenges, the strong revenue and strategic achievements suggest an overall positive outlook.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Exceeding Revenue and EPS Guidance
In fiscal Q4, Qualcomm delivered revenues of $11.3 billion and non-GAAP earnings per share of $3, both exceeding the high end of their guidance range.
Record Automotive Revenues
Qualcomm's QCT segment achieved record automotive quarterly revenues exceeding $1 billion, marking a 17% year-over-year growth.
Strong Growth in IoT and Automotive
IoT revenue grew 7% year-over-year, while automotive revenue saw a 36% increase.
Significant Achievements in AI and Data Center
Qualcomm announced its entry into AI data centers with AI inference optimized AI200 and AI250 SoCs and secured its first customer, HUMAIN.
New Product Launches and Partnerships
Introduced Snapdragon 8 Elite Gen 5 mobile platform and formed a partnership with BMW for Snapdragon Ride Pilot in automotive.
Strong Performance in Non-Apple QCT Revenues
Non-Apple QCT revenues saw 18% year-over-year growth.
Negative Updates
Non-Cash Charge Impacting GAAP Results
Qualcomm incurred a non-cash charge of $5.7 billion in the fourth fiscal quarter due to a new tax legislation, impacting GAAP results.
Ongoing Licensing Negotiations with Huawei
Discussions with Huawei regarding licensing are still underway with no substantial update.
Potential Risks with Major Android Customer
Concerns over a major Android customer potentially using an internal modem, impacting Qualcomm's future share.
Company Guidance
During the Qualcomm Fourth Quarter and Fiscal 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company reported robust financial performance, exceeding guidance with revenues of $11.3 billion and non-GAAP earnings per share of $3. The QCT segment generated $9.8 billion, up 9% sequentially, driven by strong demand for Snapdragon-powered Android handsets, automotive digital chassis, and IoT products. Notably, automotive revenues surpassed $1 billion, contributing to a record fiscal year with non-GAAP revenues reaching $44 billion, a 13% year-over-year increase. This was bolstered by 16% growth in QCT revenues and significant gains in automotive and IoT sectors, which grew by 36% and 22% year-over-year, respectively. The company also achieved 18% year-over-year growth in non-Apple QCT revenues. Looking ahead, Qualcomm anticipates first fiscal quarter revenues between $11.8 billion and $12.6 billion, with QCT expected to deliver record revenues between $10.3 billion and $10.9 billion.

Qualcomm Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Qualcomm demonstrates strong financial performance with impressive revenue growth and efficient cash flow management. While profitability margins have faced some pressure, the company maintains a stable balance sheet with moderate leverage. Continued focus on cost management and strategic investments could further enhance financial health.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Qualcomm's income statement shows strong revenue growth of 34.14% in the most recent year, indicating robust demand and market position. The gross profit margin of 55.43% and EBIT margin of 30.09% reflect efficient cost management and operational efficiency. However, the net profit margin decreased to 12.51% from 26.03% the previous year, suggesting increased expenses or other financial pressures.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet reveals a solid equity base with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.70, indicating moderate leverage and financial stability. Return on equity stands at 26.13%, showcasing effective use of equity to generate profits. However, the equity ratio of 42.29% suggests room for improvement in asset financing through equity.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Cash flow analysis highlights a significant free cash flow growth of 38.88%, reflecting strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.53 indicates healthy cash flow relative to earnings. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.91 suggests efficient conversion of earnings into cash.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue44.28B44.28B38.96B35.82B44.20B33.57B
Gross Profit24.55B24.55B21.90B19.95B25.57B19.30B
EBITDA14.60B14.93B12.74B9.95B17.25B11.37B
Net Income5.54B5.54B10.14B7.23B12.94B9.04B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets50.14B50.14B55.15B51.04B49.01B41.24B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments10.15B10.15B13.30B11.32B6.38B12.41B
Total Debt14.81B14.81B15.44B16.07B16.16B16.30B
Total Liabilities28.94B28.94B28.88B29.46B31.00B31.29B
Stockholders Equity21.21B21.21B26.27B21.58B18.01B9.95B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow12.82B12.82B11.16B9.85B6.83B8.65B
Operating Cash Flow14.01B14.01B12.20B11.30B9.10B10.54B
Investing Cash Flow-800.00M-800.00M-3.62B762.00M-5.80B-3.36B
Financing Cash Flow-13.20B-13.20B-9.27B-6.66B-7.20B-6.80B

Qualcomm Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price163.30
Price Trends
50DMA
169.42
Negative
100DMA
162.54
Positive
200DMA
156.59
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.63
Positive
RSI
44.78
Neutral
STOCH
19.02
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For QCOM, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 163.3 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 172.59, below the 50-day MA of 169.42, and above the 200-day MA of 156.59, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -1.63 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 44.78 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 19.02 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for QCOM.

Qualcomm Risk Analysis

Qualcomm disclosed 24 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Qualcomm reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Qualcomm Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$174.89B32.5723.34%2.13%13.66%-45.40%
75
Outperform
$114.29B59.105.65%1.67%7.08%18.39%
74
Outperform
$331.76B100.715.32%31.83%80.45%
68
Neutral
$144.83B29.0829.60%3.45%9.90%1.65%
63
Neutral
$48.16B23.5021.19%2.20%-6.81%-23.16%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
56
Neutral
$164.56B3,254.720.19%-1.49%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
QCOM
Qualcomm
165.06
9.74
6.27%
AMD
Advanced Micro Devices
215.05
73.92
52.38%
ADI
Analog Devices
239.40
19.60
8.92%
INTC
Intel
35.79
10.92
43.91%
NXPI
NXP Semiconductors
191.56
-37.96
-16.54%
TXN
Texas Instruments
161.26
-35.29
-17.95%

Qualcomm Corporate Events

Qualcomm’s Earnings Call Highlights Robust Q4 Performance
Nov 7, 2025

Qualcomm’s recent earnings call presented a generally positive sentiment, highlighting the company’s robust performance in fiscal Q4. The call underscored record revenues in the automotive sector and growth in IoT, with Qualcomm surpassing its revenue and EPS guidance. Notable achievements in AI and data centers were also discussed, although challenges such as a significant non-cash charge due to tax legislation and uncertain future prospects with a major Android customer were acknowledged. Overall, the sentiment suggests a positive outlook despite these hurdles.

Qualcomm Reports Strong Fiscal 2025 Performance
Nov 6, 2025

Qualcomm Incorporated is a leading technology company specializing in semiconductor and telecommunications equipment, known for its Snapdragon platforms and Qualcomm Dragonwing products that drive innovation in AI, computing, and connectivity across various industries.

Executive/Board Changes
Qualcomm Appoints Dr. Jeremy Kolter to Board
Neutral
Sep 2, 2025

On September 2, 2025, Qualcomm‘s Board of Directors elected Dr. Jeremy Kolter, a professor and department head at Carnegie Mellon University, to join the Board. Dr. Kolter will serve until the next annual stockholders’ meeting and has been appointed to the Governance Committee. He will receive compensation under the company’s 2025 Director Compensation Plan, including 1,049 deferred stock units as part of his service.

The most recent analyst rating on (QCOM) stock is a Buy with a $200.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Qualcomm stock, see the QCOM Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesM&A Transactions
Qualcomm Announces Leadership Transition with New CAO
Neutral
Aug 25, 2025

On August 25, 2025, Qualcomm announced a leadership transition with Neil Martin stepping down as Chief Accounting Officer to lead the company’s Mergers & Acquisitions efforts. Patricia Grech was appointed as the new Chief Accounting Officer, bringing extensive experience within the company since 2006. Her promotion includes a salary adjustment and additional benefits, reflecting Qualcomm’s commitment to leveraging internal talent for strategic roles.

The most recent analyst rating on (QCOM) stock is a Buy with a $181.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Qualcomm stock, see the QCOM Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 07, 2025