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Qualcomm Inc (QCOM)
NASDAQ:QCOM

Qualcomm (QCOM) AI Stock Analysis

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QCOM

Qualcomm

(NASDAQ:QCOM)

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Outperform 80 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:80Outperform
Price Target:
$199.00
▲(9.07% Upside)
Qualcomm's overall stock score reflects its strong financial performance and positive earnings call outcomes, which are the most significant factors. The technical analysis supports a positive trend, while the valuation indicates potential overvaluation. Despite some challenges, the company's strategic achievements and growth in key segments contribute to a favorable outlook.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth in Automotive and IoT
The significant growth in automotive and IoT segments indicates Qualcomm's successful diversification strategy, reducing reliance on traditional mobile markets and positioning the company for sustained revenue expansion in emerging tech sectors.
Strategic Expansion into AI and Data Centers
Expanding into AI and data centers diversifies Qualcomm's portfolio and enhances its competitive edge in high-growth tech areas, supporting long-term revenue and market position.
Strong Cash Flow Management
Efficient cash flow management ensures Qualcomm can fund operations, invest in growth opportunities, and return value to shareholders, underpinning financial stability and strategic flexibility.
Negative Factors
Challenges with Apple Revenues
Reduced revenues from Apple could impact Qualcomm's short-term financial performance, highlighting the risk of dependency on a major client and the need to diversify its customer base.
Mixed Handset Market Dynamics
Weaker handset market dynamics may affect Qualcomm's core business, emphasizing the importance of its strategic shift towards automotive, IoT, and AI to mitigate reliance on mobile handset sales.
Competition with Samsung
Increased competition from Samsung in the processor market could erode Qualcomm's market share, necessitating innovation and strategic partnerships to maintain its competitive position.

Qualcomm (QCOM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Qualcomm Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionQUALCOMM Incorporated engages in the development and commercialization of foundational technologies for the wireless industry worldwide. The company operates through three segments: Qualcomm CDMA Technologies (QCT); Qualcomm Technology Licensing (QTL); and Qualcomm Strategic Initiatives (QSI). The QCT segment develops and supplies integrated circuits and system software based on 3G/4G/5G and other technologies for use in wireless voice and data communications, networking, application processing, multimedia, and global positioning system products. The QTL segment grants licenses or provides rights to use portions of its intellectual property portfolio, which include various patent rights useful in the manufacture and sale of wireless products comprising products implementing CDMA2000, WCDMA,LTE and/or OFDMA-based 5G standards and their derivatives. The QSI segment invests in early-stage companies in various industries, including 5G, artificial intelligence, automotive, consumer, enterprise, cloud, and IoT, and investment for supporting the design and introduction of new products and services for voice and data communications, new industries, and applications. It also provides development, and other services and related products to the United States government agencies and their contractors. QUALCOMM Incorporated was incorpotared in 1985 and is headquartered in San Diego, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyQualcomm generates revenue through two primary segments: Qualcomm CDMA Technologies (QCT) and Qualcomm Technology Licensing (QTL). QCT is responsible for the sale of integrated circuits and system software for mobile devices, automotive, and IoT applications, contributing a significant portion of the company's revenue. QTL, on the other hand, earns revenue through licensing agreements that allow manufacturers to use Qualcomm's patented technologies in their products, particularly in mobile devices. This licensing model is crucial as it provides recurring revenue from royalties based on the number of devices sold that incorporate Qualcomm's technology. Additionally, Qualcomm has established strategic partnerships with major manufacturers and telecommunications companies, enhancing its market presence and driving sales. The company's investments in R&D also play a vital role in sustaining its competitive edge and expanding into new markets, further contributing to its revenue growth.

Qualcomm Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Analyzes income from different business units, highlighting which segments drive growth and profitability, and indicating strategic focus areas.
Chart InsightsQualcomm's Equipment and Services revenue shows a strong recovery trajectory, nearing pre-2023 levels, while Licensing revenue remains stable with slight fluctuations. The earnings call highlights robust growth in automotive and IoT segments, offsetting challenges from reduced Apple revenues. Qualcomm's strategic focus on diversification and expansion into data centers and AI initiatives is expected to drive future growth, despite competitive pressures in the handset market. The company's commitment to shareholder returns and strategic partnerships, like the Xiaomi collaboration, further underscores its confidence in sustaining momentum.
Data provided by:The Fly

Qualcomm Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted Qualcomm's strong performance in fiscal Q4, with record revenues in automotive and growth in IoT. The company exceeded its revenue and EPS guidance, and announced significant achievements in AI and data centers. However, the call also noted ongoing challenges, such as a substantial non-cash charge due to tax legislation, and uncertain future prospects with a major Android customer. Despite these challenges, the strong revenue and strategic achievements suggest an overall positive outlook.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Exceeding Revenue and EPS Guidance
In fiscal Q4, Qualcomm delivered revenues of $11.3 billion and non-GAAP earnings per share of $3, both exceeding the high end of their guidance range.
Record Automotive Revenues
Qualcomm's QCT segment achieved record automotive quarterly revenues exceeding $1 billion, marking a 17% year-over-year growth.
Strong Growth in IoT and Automotive
IoT revenue grew 7% year-over-year, while automotive revenue saw a 36% increase.
Significant Achievements in AI and Data Center
Qualcomm announced its entry into AI data centers with AI inference optimized AI200 and AI250 SoCs and secured its first customer, HUMAIN.
New Product Launches and Partnerships
Introduced Snapdragon 8 Elite Gen 5 mobile platform and formed a partnership with BMW for Snapdragon Ride Pilot in automotive.
Strong Performance in Non-Apple QCT Revenues
Non-Apple QCT revenues saw 18% year-over-year growth.
Negative Updates
Non-Cash Charge Impacting GAAP Results
Qualcomm incurred a non-cash charge of $5.7 billion in the fourth fiscal quarter due to a new tax legislation, impacting GAAP results.
Ongoing Licensing Negotiations with Huawei
Discussions with Huawei regarding licensing are still underway with no substantial update.
Potential Risks with Major Android Customer
Concerns over a major Android customer potentially using an internal modem, impacting Qualcomm's future share.
Company Guidance
During the Qualcomm Fourth Quarter and Fiscal 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company reported robust financial performance, exceeding guidance with revenues of $11.3 billion and non-GAAP earnings per share of $3. The QCT segment generated $9.8 billion, up 9% sequentially, driven by strong demand for Snapdragon-powered Android handsets, automotive digital chassis, and IoT products. Notably, automotive revenues surpassed $1 billion, contributing to a record fiscal year with non-GAAP revenues reaching $44 billion, a 13% year-over-year increase. This was bolstered by 16% growth in QCT revenues and significant gains in automotive and IoT sectors, which grew by 36% and 22% year-over-year, respectively. The company also achieved 18% year-over-year growth in non-Apple QCT revenues. Looking ahead, Qualcomm anticipates first fiscal quarter revenues between $11.8 billion and $12.6 billion, with QCT expected to deliver record revenues between $10.3 billion and $10.9 billion.

Qualcomm Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Qualcomm demonstrates strong financial performance with impressive revenue growth and efficient cash flow management. While profitability margins have faced some pressure, the company maintains a stable balance sheet with moderate leverage. Continued focus on cost management and strategic investments could further enhance financial health.
Income Statement
Qualcomm's income statement shows strong revenue growth of 34.14% in the most recent year, indicating robust demand and market position. The gross profit margin of 55.43% and EBIT margin of 30.09% reflect efficient cost management and operational efficiency. However, the net profit margin decreased to 12.51% from 26.03% the previous year, suggesting increased expenses or other financial pressures.
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet reveals a solid equity base with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.70, indicating moderate leverage and financial stability. Return on equity stands at 26.13%, showcasing effective use of equity to generate profits. However, the equity ratio of 42.29% suggests room for improvement in asset financing through equity.
Cash Flow
Cash flow analysis highlights a significant free cash flow growth of 38.88%, reflecting strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.53 indicates healthy cash flow relative to earnings. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.91 suggests efficient conversion of earnings into cash.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue44.28B44.28B38.96B35.82B44.20B33.57B
Gross Profit24.55B24.55B21.90B19.95B25.57B19.30B
EBITDA14.60B14.93B12.74B9.95B17.25B11.37B
Net Income5.54B5.54B10.14B7.23B12.94B9.04B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets50.14B50.14B55.15B51.04B49.01B41.24B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments10.15B10.15B13.30B11.32B6.38B12.41B
Total Debt14.81B14.81B15.44B16.07B16.16B16.30B
Total Liabilities28.94B28.94B28.88B29.46B31.00B31.29B
Stockholders Equity21.21B21.21B26.27B21.58B18.01B9.95B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow12.82B12.82B11.16B9.85B6.83B8.65B
Operating Cash Flow14.01B14.01B12.20B11.30B9.10B10.54B
Investing Cash Flow-800.00M-800.00M-3.62B762.00M-5.80B-3.36B
Financing Cash Flow-13.20B-13.20B-9.27B-6.66B-7.20B-6.80B

Qualcomm Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price182.45
Price Trends
50DMA
173.24
Positive
100DMA
167.64
Positive
200DMA
157.98
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.20
Negative
RSI
64.40
Neutral
STOCH
59.89
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For QCOM, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 182.45 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 175.93, above the 50-day MA of 173.24, and above the 200-day MA of 157.98, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.20 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 64.40 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 59.89 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for QCOM.

Qualcomm Risk Analysis

Qualcomm disclosed 24 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Qualcomm reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Qualcomm Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$188.83B35.1623.34%2.01%13.66%-45.40%
78
Outperform
$160.98B32.3229.60%3.11%9.90%1.65%
78
Outperform
$135.78B60.756.57%1.43%16.89%39.29%
73
Outperform
$359.93B105.945.32%31.83%80.45%
70
Neutral
$56.34B27.4921.19%1.79%-6.81%-23.16%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
58
Neutral
$187.79B3,777.360.19%-1.49%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
QCOM
Qualcomm
182.45
26.85
17.26%
AMD
Advanced Micro Devices
214.35
92.51
75.93%
ADI
Analog Devices
292.94
76.08
35.08%
INTC
Intel
40.04
20.16
101.41%
NXPI
NXP Semiconductors
245.95
40.10
19.48%
TXN
Texas Instruments
192.10
6.47
3.49%

Qualcomm Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Qualcomm Announces Board Member Neil Smit’s Retirement
Neutral
Dec 16, 2025

On December 10, 2025, Qualcomm announced that Neil Smit, a member of its Board of Directors, will retire following the company’s 2026 Annual Meeting of Stockholders. Smit’s retirement marks the end of nearly eight years of service, during which he contributed significantly to the company’s governance and strategic direction.

The most recent analyst rating on (QCOM) stock is a Hold with a $185.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Qualcomm stock, see the QCOM Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyShareholder Meetings
Qualcomm Board Approves Bylaw Amendments for Stockholders
Neutral
Dec 10, 2025

On December 9, 2025, Qualcomm‘s Board of Directors approved amendments to the company’s bylaws, allowing stockholders with at least 25% net long ownership of the company’s common stock to call a special meeting, provided they have held the interest for at least one year. These changes aim to ensure stockholders receive adequate information and prevent resource wastage from frequent meetings, with additional amendments made for clarity and technical updates.

The most recent analyst rating on (QCOM) stock is a Buy with a $200.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Qualcomm stock, see the QCOM Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 07, 2025