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Qualcomm Inc (QCOM)
NASDAQ:QCOM
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Qualcomm (QCOM) AI Stock Analysis

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QCOM

Qualcomm

(NASDAQ:QCOM)

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Outperform 79 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:79Outperform
Price Target:
$181.00
▲(6.65% Upside)
Qualcomm's overall stock score reflects strong financial performance and a positive outlook from recent earnings. The company's strategic focus on growth areas like automotive, IoT, and AI, along with solid technical indicators, supports a favorable investment case. Valuation metrics are reasonable, though challenges with Apple revenues and competitive pressures warrant attention.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth in Automotive and IoT
The significant growth in automotive and IoT segments indicates Qualcomm's successful diversification strategy, reducing reliance on traditional mobile markets and positioning the company for sustained revenue expansion in emerging tech sectors.
Strategic Expansion into AI and Data Centers
Expanding into AI and data centers diversifies Qualcomm's portfolio and enhances its competitive edge in high-growth tech areas, supporting long-term revenue and market position.
Strong Cash Flow Management
Efficient cash flow management ensures Qualcomm can fund operations, invest in growth opportunities, and return value to shareholders, underpinning financial stability and strategic flexibility.
Negative Factors
Challenges with Apple Revenues
Reduced revenues from Apple could impact Qualcomm's short-term financial performance, highlighting the risk of dependency on a major client and the need to diversify its customer base.
Mixed Handset Market Dynamics
Weaker handset market dynamics may affect Qualcomm's core business, emphasizing the importance of its strategic shift towards automotive, IoT, and AI to mitigate reliance on mobile handset sales.
Competition with Samsung
Increased competition from Samsung in the processor market could erode Qualcomm's market share, necessitating innovation and strategic partnerships to maintain its competitive position.

Qualcomm (QCOM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Qualcomm Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionQualcomm Incorporated is a global leader in semiconductor technology and telecommunications equipment, primarily known for its innovations in mobile communications. The company operates through segments including Qualcomm CDMA Technologies (QCT), which designs and supplies chipsets for mobile devices, and Qualcomm Technology Licensing (QTL), which offers licenses for its extensive patent portfolio. Qualcomm's core products include System-on-a-Chip (SoC) solutions, modems, and software for mobile devices, automotive, IoT, and other connected devices, positioning it at the forefront of the 5G technology revolution.
How the Company Makes MoneyQualcomm generates revenue through two main segments: Qualcomm CDMA Technologies (QCT) and Qualcomm Technology Licensing (QTL). QCT is responsible for the design and sale of chipsets used in smartphones, tablets, automotive applications, and IoT devices, contributing a significant portion of the company's revenue. QTL, on the other hand, earns income through licensing fees from manufacturers for the use of Qualcomm's patented technologies, particularly in mobile communications. This dual revenue model allows Qualcomm to capitalize on both hardware sales and intellectual property. Additionally, partnerships with major smartphone manufacturers, automotive companies, and technology firms enhance its market reach and create recurring revenue streams through royalties. The rapid adoption of 5G technology and expansion into new markets, such as automotive and IoT, are significant factors that contribute to Qualcomm's earnings.

Qualcomm Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Analyzes income from different business units, highlighting which segments drive growth and profitability, and indicating strategic focus areas.
Chart InsightsQualcomm's Equipment and Services revenue shows a strong recovery trajectory, nearing pre-2023 levels, while Licensing revenue remains stable with slight fluctuations. The earnings call highlights robust growth in automotive and IoT segments, offsetting challenges from reduced Apple revenues. Qualcomm's strategic focus on diversification and expansion into data centers and AI initiatives is expected to drive future growth, despite competitive pressures in the handset market. The company's commitment to shareholder returns and strategic partnerships, like the Xiaomi collaboration, further underscores its confidence in sustaining momentum.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Qualcomm Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 30, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong financial performance, growth in automotive and IoT segments, and strategic expansions into AI and data centers. However, challenges with Apple revenues, mixed handset market dynamics, and competition with Samsung present some concerns.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue and Earnings
Qualcomm reported revenues of $10.4 billion and non-GAAP earnings per share of $2.77, which was near the high end of their guidance range.
Growth in Automotive and IoT Segments
Automotive and IoT revenues increased 21% and 24% year-over-year, respectively. Qualcomm remains on track to meet its fiscal '29 target for combined automotive and IoT revenues of $22 billion.
Expansion into AI and Data Centers
Qualcomm is expanding into AI and data centers, with plans to acquire Alphawave IP Group plc. The acquisition is expected to close in the first calendar quarter of 2026. Qualcomm is also in advanced discussions with a leading hyperscaler for their data center solutions.
Strategic Collaborations and Agreements
Extended collaboration with Xiaomi and a multiyear agreement to power multiple generations of Xiaomi's flagship devices. Qualcomm also announced an MOU with HUMAIN to develop AI data centers in Saudi Arabia.
Positive Outlook for Snapdragon Platforms
Qualcomm's Snapdragon platforms continue to gain traction, with multiple new devices launched in collaboration with OEMs such as Acer, Dell, HP, Lenovo, Microsoft, and Samsung.
Negative Updates
Challenges with Apple Revenues
Qualcomm anticipates lower Apple revenues in the upcoming quarters, impacting their guidance for the fourth quarter.
Mixed Handset Market Dynamics
Slightly weaker mix than expected in the handset market during the third quarter. Concerns were raised about potential pull-ins related to China.
Competition with Samsung
Samsung launched some devices with its own processors, impacting Qualcomm's share in those models.
Company Guidance
During the Qualcomm Third Quarter Fiscal 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company reported revenues of $10.4 billion with a non-GAAP earnings per share of $2.77, aligning with the higher end of their guidance range. The chipset business generated $9 billion, driven by a 21% increase in automotive and 24% growth in IoT revenues, while the licensing segment contributed $1.3 billion. Qualcomm anticipates a greater than 15% year-over-year growth in QCT non-Apple revenues for fiscal 2025 and aims for $22 billion in combined automotive and IoT revenues by fiscal 2029. Future growth is supported by ongoing partnerships, including a multi-year agreement with Xiaomi, and advancements in AI, with Snapdragon-based PCs accounting for approximately 9% of Windows laptops sold above the $600 price tier in key markets. The guidance for the fourth quarter expects revenues between $10.3 billion and $11.1 billion, with QCT revenues forecasted at $9 billion to $9.6 billion, while operating expenses are projected to be around $2.35 billion.

Qualcomm Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Qualcomm's financial performance is robust, with strong profitability and efficient cash flow management. The income statement shows healthy margins and revenue growth, while the balance sheet is stable with a reasonable debt-to-equity ratio. Cash flow management is effective, supporting its financial health.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Qualcomm's income statement demonstrates strong profitability with a healthy gross profit margin of 55.7% and a net profit margin of 26.8% for TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). The company has shown robust revenue growth of 11% from the previous period, indicating a positive trend. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also solid at 27.8% and 30.8% respectively, reflecting effective cost management and operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet of Qualcomm is stable with a reasonable debt-to-equity ratio of 0.54, indicating a balanced use of leverage. The equity ratio is 49.6%, which suggests a strong equity base supporting its assets. Return on Equity (ROE) is impressive at 42.5%, showcasing excellent shareholder returns. However, the company should monitor its liabilities to ensure continued financial health.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Qualcomm has demonstrated strong cash flow management with a free cash flow growth rate of 4.1% for the TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio stands at 1.09, indicating efficient cash generation from operations. The free cash flow to net income ratio is also healthy at 1.00, suggesting that the company can cover its net income with available free cash flow.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue43.26B38.96B35.82B44.20B33.57B23.53B
Gross Profit24.09B21.90B19.95B25.57B19.30B14.28B
EBITDA14.31B12.74B9.95B17.25B11.37B7.62B
Net Income11.58B10.14B7.23B12.94B9.04B5.20B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets54.86B55.15B51.04B49.01B41.24B35.59B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments10.01B13.30B11.32B6.38B12.41B11.21B
Total Debt14.79B15.44B16.07B16.16B16.30B15.73B
Total Liabilities27.65B28.88B29.46B31.00B31.29B29.52B
Stockholders Equity27.21B26.27B21.58B18.01B9.95B6.08B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow11.62B11.16B9.85B6.83B8.65B4.41B
Operating Cash Flow12.66B12.20B11.30B9.10B10.54B5.81B
Investing Cash Flow-714.00M-3.62B762.00M-5.80B-3.36B-5.26B
Financing Cash Flow-11.96B-9.27B-6.66B-7.20B-6.80B-5.71B

Qualcomm Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price169.72
Price Trends
50DMA
156.57
Positive
100DMA
153.67
Positive
200DMA
154.32
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
3.19
Negative
RSI
71.03
Negative
STOCH
89.77
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For QCOM, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 169.72 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 161.14, above the 50-day MA of 156.57, and above the 200-day MA of 154.32, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 3.19 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 71.03 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 89.77 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for QCOM.

Qualcomm Risk Analysis

Qualcomm disclosed 24 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Qualcomm reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Qualcomm Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$180.03B16.0944.62%2.05%15.82%34.20%
78
Outperform
121.68B62.415.74%1.57%7.08%18.39%
76
Outperform
56.91B26.4822.45%1.80%-7.53%-21.88%
75
Outperform
163.30B32.7928.39%3.03%3.62%-5.27%
73
Outperform
259.31B91.984.75%27.17%108.67%
60
Neutral
134.32B-6.04-20.95%0.42%-3.72%-2120.70%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
QCOM
Qualcomm
169.72
6.45
3.95%
AMD
Advanced Micro Devices
159.79
1.47
0.93%
ADI
Analog Devices
247.34
23.86
10.68%
INTC
Intel
28.76
5.95
26.09%
NXPI
NXP Semiconductors
225.73
-3.69
-1.61%
TXN
Texas Instruments
179.62
-19.34
-9.72%

Qualcomm Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Qualcomm Appoints Dr. Jeremy Kolter to Board
Neutral
Sep 2, 2025

On September 2, 2025, Qualcomm‘s Board of Directors elected Dr. Jeremy Kolter, a professor and department head at Carnegie Mellon University, to join the Board. Dr. Kolter will serve until the next annual stockholders’ meeting and has been appointed to the Governance Committee. He will receive compensation under the company’s 2025 Director Compensation Plan, including 1,049 deferred stock units as part of his service.

Executive/Board ChangesM&A Transactions
Qualcomm Announces Leadership Transition with New CAO
Neutral
Aug 25, 2025

On August 25, 2025, Qualcomm announced a leadership transition with Neil Martin stepping down as Chief Accounting Officer to lead the company’s Mergers & Acquisitions efforts. Patricia Grech was appointed as the new Chief Accounting Officer, bringing extensive experience within the company since 2006. Her promotion includes a salary adjustment and additional benefits, reflecting Qualcomm’s commitment to leveraging internal talent for strategic roles.

M&A Transactions
Qualcomm Announces Acquisition of Alphawave IP Group
Positive
Jun 9, 2025

On June 9, 2025, Qualcomm announced an agreement to acquire Alphawave IP Group plc through its subsidiary Aqua Acquisition Sub LLC. The acquisition offers Alphawave shareholders a choice between a cash offer or shares in Qualcomm, potentially impacting Qualcomm’s market position by expanding its technological capabilities and shareholder base.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 23, 2025