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Lam Research (LRCX)
NASDAQ:LRCX
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Lam Research (LRCX) AI Stock Analysis

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LRCX

Lam Research

(NASDAQ:LRCX)

Rating:82Outperform
Price Target:
$110.00
▲(7.84% Upside)
Lam Research's overall stock score is driven by its strong financial performance, highlighted by robust revenue and profit growth, effective cost management, and a healthy balance sheet. The earnings call reinforces this with positive guidance and strategic advancements. However, the mixed technical indicators and fair valuation slightly temper the score. Despite some challenges, the company's solid market position and growth prospects underpin a strong investment case.
Positive Factors
Gross Margins
Gross margins at 50.3% reached record levels on favorable mix.
Market Growth
Lam Research's system sales are expected to grow 30% year-over-year, mainly due to technology upgrades and increasing market share in specific segments.
Negative Factors
China Revenue Concentration
China revenue concentration grew to 35% from approximately 31% the prior two quarters, which could represent a headwind to margins.
Stock Valuation
The current stock valuation is higher than the historical median, suggesting a premium valuation that may pose risks if growth expectations are not met.

Lam Research (LRCX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Lam Research Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLam Research Corporation designs, manufactures, markets, refurbishes, and services semiconductor processing equipment used in the fabrication of integrated circuits. The company offers ALTUS systems to deposit conformal films for tungsten metallization applications; SABRE electrochemical deposition products for copper interconnect transition that offers copper damascene manufacturing; SOLA ultraviolet thermal processing products for film treatments; and VECTOR plasma-enhanced CVD ALD products. It also provides SPEED gapfill high-density plasma chemical vapor deposition products; and Striker single-wafer atomic layer deposition products for dielectric film solutions. In addition, the company offers Flex for dielectric etch applications; Kiyo for conductor etch applications; Syndion for through-silicon via etch applications; and Versys metal products for metal etch processes. Further, it provides Coronus bevel clean products to enhance die yield; Da Vinci, DV-Prime, EOS, and SP series products to address various wafer cleaning applications; and Metryx mass metrology systems for high precision in-line mass measurement in semiconductor wafer manufacturing. The company sells its products and services to semiconductors industry in the United States, China, Europe, Japan, Korea, Southeast Asia, Taiwan, and internationally. Lam Research Corporation was incorporated in 1980 and is headquartered in Fremont, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyLam Research generates revenue primarily through the sale of its semiconductor manufacturing equipment, which includes systems for etching, deposition, and cleaning wafers, as well as related services and parts. The company earns significant income from both new equipment sales and the ongoing service and support of its installed systems, which are essential for maintaining the performance and efficiency of semiconductor production lines. Key revenue streams include system sales, service revenue from maintenance contracts, and aftermarket sales of consumables and spare parts. Strategic partnerships with major semiconductor manufacturers further enhance its market presence and contribute to its earnings, as these collaborations enable Lam Research to tailor its solutions to meet the evolving needs of its customers in a competitive landscape.

Lam Research Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Analyzes revenue from different business segments, highlighting which areas drive growth and profitability, and indicating where the company might focus future investments or face challenges.
Chart InsightsLam Research's Systems segment is rebounding strongly after a dip in 2023, with recent quarters showing a significant upward trend. This aligns with the company’s earnings call, highlighting record foundry revenues and strategic wins in advanced technology areas. However, the Customer Support segment faces challenges, with a mixed outlook due to declining Reliant Systems revenue. Despite potential tariff headwinds and DRAM revenue declines, Lam's strategic focus on advanced packaging and high-bandwidth memory positions it well for future growth, particularly in China, which now accounts for 35% of total revenue.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Lam Research Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 30, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: 2.94%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 15, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Lam Research reported strong financial performance and technological advancements, with significant growth in the China market and positive trends in advanced packaging and HBM. However, there are challenges related to DRAM revenue decline, potential tariff headwinds, and uncertainty in long-term WFE spending.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Financial Performance
Lam Research reported record revenues of $18.4 billion for fiscal year 2025, with a gross margin of 48.8% and free cash flow generation of approximately $5.4 billion.
Strong Growth in China Market
China revenue increased to 35% of total revenue, driven by increased investment from global multinational customers in the region.
Technological Advancements and Product Wins
Lam's Halo ALD Moly tool is ramping at multiple NAND customers, and the company secured new application wins with its Akara etch tool in the DRAM market.
Advanced Packaging and HBM Growth
Advanced packaging is expected to grow significantly, with SABRE 3D market share anticipated to increase nearly 5 points year-on-year in calendar 2025.
Positive Outlook for WFE Spending
Lam expects wafer fabrication equipment (WFE) spending to be in the $105 billion range for 2025, up from a prior view of $100 billion.
Negative Updates
Decline in DRAM Revenue
DRAM revenue declined to 14% of systems revenue, down from 23% in the March quarter, due to the timing of certain customer projects.
Potential Tariff Headwinds
Tariffs are expected to increase in the December quarter, posing a potential headwind for gross margins.
Uncertain Long-Term WFE Spending
The overall level of WFE spending for 2026 is still uncertain, and the company is cautious about providing a forecast.
Reliant Systems Decline
Reliant Systems revenue declined, contributing to a mixed outlook for the Customer Support Business Group.
Company Guidance
In the June 2025 earnings call, Lam Research reported strong financial performance, with revenues and profitability at the upper end of their guided ranges. The company achieved a record gross margin of 50.3% and an all-time high EPS. Notably, foundry revenues reached record levels, with significant growth in the upgrades business, up by mid-teens percent over the previous quarter, driven by NAND customers' migration to higher performance devices. For the September quarter, Lam expects revenues of $5.2 billion, gross margins around 50%, and EPS of $1.20. The company highlighted its strategic positioning in key technology areas such as gate-all-around, advanced packaging, and high-bandwidth memory, forecasting wafer fabrication equipment (WFE) spending to reach $105 billion for 2025, with a potential for continued growth in 2026. Lam aims to expand its served available market (SAM) to the mid-30s percent of WFE, with plans to grow it further to the high 30% range by delivering critical solutions for atomic-level device scaling and advanced packaging integration.

Lam Research Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Lam Research exhibits excellent financial health and performance across all verticals. The company shows strong revenue and profit growth, effective cost management, and robust cash flow generation. The balance sheet is healthy with manageable debt levels and strong equity. These metrics highlight Lam Research's strong position in the semiconductor industry, with both operational efficiency and financial stability being key strengths.
Income Statement
88
Very Positive
Lam Research demonstrates strong revenue and profit growth, with Total Revenue increasing from $14.9B in 2024 to $18.4B in 2025, marking a 23.7% growth rate. Gross Profit Margin remains robust at approximately 48.7% for 2025. The Net Profit Margin improved to 29.1% in 2025 from 25.7% in 2024, indicating enhanced profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also high at 32% for 2025, reflecting efficient cost management and operational effectiveness.
Balance Sheet
85
Very Positive
The company maintains a healthy Debt-to-Equity ratio of 0.45 in 2025, showing prudent leverage management. Return on Equity (ROE) is impressive at 54.3%, indicating effective utilization of equity capital to generate profits. The Equity Ratio stands at 46.2%, suggesting a strong equity base supporting the company's asset structure.
Cash Flow
90
Very Positive
Lam Research's Cash Flow is robust, with Operating Cash Flow increasing significantly by 32.7% from 2024 to 2025. The Free Cash Flow also shows strong growth, improving by 45% in the same period. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is above 1, suggesting efficient conversion of earnings to cash. The Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is also favorable, indicating strong cash generation capabilities relative to net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue18.44B18.44B14.91B17.43B17.23B14.63B
Gross Profit8.98B8.98B7.05B7.78B7.87B6.81B
EBITDA6.48B6.34B4.91B5.64B5.71B4.89B
Net Income5.36B5.36B3.83B4.51B4.61B3.91B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets21.35B21.35B18.74B18.78B17.20B15.89B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments6.39B6.39B5.85B5.37B3.66B5.73B
Total Debt4.48B4.48B4.98B5.01B5.01B5.00B
Total Liabilities11.48B11.48B10.21B10.57B10.92B9.86B
Stockholders Equity9.86B9.86B8.54B8.21B6.28B6.03B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow5.71B5.41B4.26B4.68B2.55B3.24B
Operating Cash Flow6.17B6.17B4.65B5.18B3.10B3.59B
Investing Cash Flow-708.09M-708.09M-370.61M-534.56M612.27M73.27M
Financing Cash Flow-4.94B-4.94B-4.00B-2.83B-4.58B-4.17B

Lam Research Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price102.00
Price Trends
50DMA
95.31
Positive
100DMA
84.59
Positive
200DMA
80.59
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.07
Negative
RSI
61.29
Neutral
STOCH
88.03
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LRCX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 102 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 98.80, above the 50-day MA of 95.31, and above the 200-day MA of 80.59, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.07 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 61.29 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 88.03 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for LRCX.

Lam Research Risk Analysis

Lam Research disclosed 30 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Lam Research reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Lam Research Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
82
Outperform
$130.47B24.5858.24%0.90%23.68%43.16%
82
Outperform
$147.96B22.4436.37%0.90%6.12%-5.66%
82
Outperform
$120.11B29.97100.78%0.74%24.04%49.69%
79
Outperform
$278.94B27.6656.14%0.94%27.09%40.94%
78
Outperform
$279.58B99.174.70%27.17%108.67%
61
Neutral
$35.87B6.13-9.30%2.06%7.63%-6.38%
49
Neutral
$90.39B-19.24%2.42%-3.72%-2120.70%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
LRCX
Lam Research
102.00
18.89
22.73%
AMD
Advanced Micro Devices
172.28
31.15
22.07%
AMAT
Applied Materials
184.38
-14.54
-7.31%
ASML
ASML Holding
721.31
-140.77
-16.33%
INTC
Intel
20.65
0.18
0.88%
KLAC
KLA
910.18
123.67
15.72%

Lam Research Corporate Events

Shareholder Meetings
Lam Research Amends Bylaws for Shareholder Meetings
Neutral
May 21, 2025

On May 20, 2025, Lam Research Corporation’s Board of Directors amended the company’s bylaws to allow stockholders owning at least 20% of the company’s shares for over a year to call special meetings. This change aims to ensure stockholders receive timely and accurate information while preventing resource wastage from redundant meetings.

The most recent analyst rating on (LRCX) stock is a Buy with a $102.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Lam Research stock, see the LRCX Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 01, 2025