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Nvidia Corporation (NVDA)
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Nvidia (NVDA) AI Stock Analysis

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NVDA

Nvidia

(NASDAQ:NVDA)

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Outperform 76 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
$205.00
▲(9.91% Upside)
Nvidia's strong financial performance and strategic growth in AI and data centers are major strengths, contributing to a high overall score. However, high valuation and technical indicators showing mixed signals temper the outlook. Challenges in China and inventory management present risks, but the company's strategic focus on AI positions it well for long-term growth.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Nvidia's impressive revenue growth indicates strong market demand and effective business strategies, particularly in AI and data centers.
Strategic Partnerships
Strategic partnerships enhance Nvidia's market reach and innovation capacity, supporting long-term growth in AI and computing sectors.
Cash Generation
Strong cash generation supports Nvidia's liquidity and investment capabilities, ensuring financial stability and growth potential.
Negative Factors
Geopolitical Challenges
Geopolitical challenges in China may impact Nvidia's ability to capitalize on market opportunities, affecting future revenue streams.
Inventory Management
Rising inventory levels suggest potential supply chain inefficiencies, which could lead to increased costs and reduced profitability.
Free Cash Flow Decline
A decline in free cash flow growth may limit Nvidia's ability to invest in new opportunities, impacting long-term growth prospects.

Nvidia (NVDA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Nvidia Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNVIDIA Corporation provides graphics, and compute and networking solutions in the United States, Taiwan, China, and internationally. The company's Graphics segment offers GeForce GPUs for gaming and PCs, the GeForce NOW game streaming service and related infrastructure, and solutions for gaming platforms; Quadro/NVIDIA RTX GPUs for enterprise workstation graphics; vGPU software for cloud-based visual and virtual computing; automotive platforms for infotainment systems; and Omniverse software for building 3D designs and virtual worlds. Its Compute & Networking segment provides Data Center platforms and systems for AI, HPC, and accelerated computing; Mellanox networking and interconnect solutions; automotive AI Cockpit, autonomous driving development agreements, and autonomous vehicle solutions; cryptocurrency mining processors; Jetson for robotics and other embedded platforms; and NVIDIA AI Enterprise and other software. The company's products are used in gaming, professional visualization, datacenter, and automotive markets. NVIDIA Corporation sells its products to original equipment manufacturers, original device manufacturers, system builders, add-in board manufacturers, retailers/distributors, independent software vendors, Internet and cloud service providers, automotive manufacturers and tier-1 automotive suppliers, mapping companies, start-ups, and other ecosystem participants. It has a strategic collaboration with Kroger Co. NVIDIA Corporation was incorporated in 1993 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyNvidia generates revenue primarily through the sale of its GPUs and related hardware across various sectors. The gaming segment is a significant revenue driver, with high demand for GeForce GPUs among gamers and PC builders. The data center segment has seen substantial growth, fueled by the increasing need for AI processing power and cloud computing services, where Nvidia's GPUs are used for machine learning tasks. Additionally, Nvidia earns revenue from its professional visualization products, which cater to industries such as architecture and design. The company also engages in strategic partnerships, such as collaborations with cloud service providers and OEMs, which enhance its market penetration and expand its customer base. Furthermore, Nvidia has been investing in software solutions and AI-driven services, creating new revenue streams that complement its hardware offerings, thereby contributing to its overall earnings.

Nvidia Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography
Breaks down revenue across different regions, revealing where Nvidia is strongest and where it may face risk or growth potential due to local economic conditions or market share shifts.
Chart InsightsNVIDIA's revenue growth is primarily driven by the U.S., with significant contributions from the data center segment. Despite strong global demand for AI infrastructure, challenges in China due to export controls have impacted revenue, leading to a decline in this region. The company is focusing on expanding its product offerings and partnerships in other regions like Saudi Arabia and Europe to mitigate these risks. The strategic ramp-up of the Blackwell product line has been pivotal, contributing substantially to the data center revenue surge.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Nvidia Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 19, 2025
(Q3-2026)
|
Next Earnings Date:Feb 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted NVIDIA's significant revenue growth and strategic advancements in AI and data centers. However, challenges in China and inventory management were noted.
Q3-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-Breaking Revenue
NVIDIA reported a revenue of $57 billion for the quarter, up 62% year-over-year, with a record sequential revenue growth of $10 billion or 22%.
Data Center Revenue Surge
Record Q3 data center revenue reached $51 billion, a 66% increase year-over-year, driven by the GB 300 ramp and networking advancements.
Strategic Partnerships and Growth
NVIDIA announced AI factory and infrastructure projects totaling 5 million GPUs, partnerships with companies like Palantir, and strategic collaborations with Suzuki and Intel.
Networking Business Growth
Networking revenue grew to $8.2 billion, up 162% year-over-year, with contributions from NVLink, InfiniBand, and Spectrum X Ethernet.
Gaming Revenue Increase
Gaming revenue rose to $4.3 billion, up 30% year-over-year, driven by strong demand and a successful GeForce Gamer Festival in South Korea.
Negative Updates
Geopolitical Challenges in China
Sizable purchase orders did not materialize due to geopolitical issues and competitive market conditions in China, affecting NVIDIA's ability to ship data center products.
Inventory and Supply Chain Concerns
Inventory increased 32% quarter-over-quarter, and supply commitments grew 63%, indicating potential challenges in managing supply chain and inventory levels.
Company Guidance
In the recent NVIDIA Corporation's third-quarter earnings call for fiscal year 2026, the company reported a record quarterly revenue of $57 billion, marking a 62% year-over-year increase and a 22% sequential growth. The data center segment contributed $51 billion, a 66% increase from the previous year. NVIDIA highlighted its strategic focus on AI infrastructure, with expectations of $500 billion in Blackwell and Rubin revenue through the end of 2026, and projected that the AI infrastructure market could reach $3 to $4 trillion annually by decade's end. The company's networking revenue also saw significant growth, reaching $8.2 billion, up 162% year-over-year. Looking ahead, NVIDIA forecasts fourth-quarter revenue at $65 billion, plus or minus 2%, and plans to maintain gross margins in the mid-70s. The company remains optimistic about sustaining growth through continued innovation and strategic partnerships, notably in AI and accelerated computing sectors.

Nvidia Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Nvidia demonstrates outstanding financial health with strong revenue growth, high profitability, and a robust balance sheet. Despite a minor dip in free cash flow growth, the company effectively manages its leverage and equity, while maintaining solid cash flow generation.
Income Statement
95
Very Positive
Nvidia's income statement shows strong financial performance with a significant revenue growth rate of 11.25% TTM, indicating robust demand and market expansion. The company maintains high profitability with a gross profit margin of 69.85% and a net profit margin of 52.41% TTM, showcasing efficient cost management and strong pricing power. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also impressive at 42.14% and 60.34% TTM, respectively, reflecting operational efficiency and effective cost control.
Balance Sheet
90
Very Positive
Nvidia's balance sheet is solid with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.10 TTM, indicating prudent financial leverage and a strong equity base. The return on equity is exceptionally high at 105.22% TTM, demonstrating effective use of shareholders' funds to generate profits. The equity ratio stands at 71.14% TTM, highlighting a strong capital structure with significant equity financing.
Cash Flow
85
Very Positive
Nvidia's cash flow statement reveals a slight decline in free cash flow growth at -5.70% TTM, which could be a point of concern. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio of 3.18 TTM indicates strong cash generation relative to earnings. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 93.49% TTM suggests that the company effectively converts its earnings into cash, supporting its liquidity and investment capabilities.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue165.22B130.50B60.92B26.97B26.91B16.68B
Gross Profit115.40B97.86B44.30B15.36B17.48B10.40B
EBITDA99.70B86.14B35.58B5.99B11.35B5.69B
Net Income86.60B72.88B29.76B4.37B9.75B4.33B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets140.74B111.60B65.73B41.18B44.19B28.79B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments56.79B43.21B25.98B13.30B21.21B11.56B
Total Debt10.60B10.27B11.06B12.03B11.83B7.72B
Total Liabilities40.61B32.27B22.75B19.08B17.57B11.90B
Stockholders Equity100.13B79.33B42.98B22.10B26.61B16.89B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow72.02B60.85B27.02B3.81B8.13B4.69B
Operating Cash Flow77.03B64.09B28.09B5.64B9.11B5.82B
Investing Cash Flow-23.89B-20.42B-10.57B7.38B-9.83B-19.68B
Financing Cash Flow-50.08B-42.36B-13.63B-11.62B1.86B3.80B

Nvidia Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price186.52
Price Trends
50DMA
186.44
Negative
100DMA
180.07
Positive
200DMA
152.45
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.83
Positive
RSI
42.75
Neutral
STOCH
17.57
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NVDA, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 186.52 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 193.32, above the 50-day MA of 186.44, and above the 200-day MA of 152.45, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.83 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 42.75 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 17.57 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for NVDA.

Nvidia Risk Analysis

Nvidia disclosed 23 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Nvidia reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Nvidia Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$390.21B37.5751.72%0.67%24.91%39.95%
81
Outperform
$1.16T28.4834.89%1.03%39.73%56.22%
80
Outperform
$363.95B110.485.32%31.83%80.45%
76
Outperform
$4.53T51.62107.36%0.02%71.55%64.54%
76
Outperform
$1.67T86.9927.08%0.67%28.01%235.66%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
56
Neutral
$167.47B3,312.260.19%-1.49%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NVDA
Nvidia
180.64
34.01
23.19%
AMD
Advanced Micro Devices
206.02
68.53
49.84%
ASML
ASML Holding
981.04
314.29
47.14%
AVGO
Broadcom
346.82
184.47
113.62%
INTC
Intel
33.62
9.18
37.56%
TSM
TSMC
277.50
88.33
46.69%

Nvidia Corporate Events

NVIDIA Reports Record Revenue and Strong Growth
Nov 20, 2025

NVIDIA Corporation is a leading player in the AI and accelerated computing industry, known for its advanced graphics processing units (GPUs) and cutting-edge AI technologies. The company has a strong presence in data centers, gaming, professional visualization, automotive, and robotics sectors.

Morningstar Investment Boosts Stake in Nvidia Corporation
Nov 19, 2025

H&H International Investment Reduces Stake in Nvidia
Nov 16, 2025

Viking Global Investors LP Reduces Stake in Nvidia
Nov 16, 2025

Maverick Capital Ltd Reduces Stake in Nvidia
Nov 16, 2025

Soros Fund Management LLC Increases Stake in Nvidia
Nov 16, 2025

Chilton Investment Co LLC Boosts Nvidia Holdings
Nov 16, 2025

Altimeter Capital Reduces Stake in Nvidia Corporation
Nov 16, 2025

Driehaus Capital Management Reduces Stake in Nvidia
Nov 16, 2025

Coatue Management Reduces Nvidia Holdings by 1.6 Million Shares
Nov 16, 2025

Clough Capital Partners Boosts Stake in Nvidia Corporation
Nov 16, 2025

Graham Capital Management Reduces Stake in Nvidia
Nov 16, 2025

Blackstone Inc. Increases Stake in Nvidia Corporation
Nov 16, 2025

Gilder Gagnon Howe Reduces Nvidia Holdings by 60,570 Shares
Nov 16, 2025

D1 Capital Partners LP Boosts Stake in Nvidia
Nov 16, 2025

Woodline Partners LP Boosts Stake in Nvidia
Nov 16, 2025

Atreides Management, LP Reduces Nvidia Holdings by 115,090 Shares
Nov 16, 2025

Moore Capital Management LP Reduces Stake in Nvidia
Nov 16, 2025

Mairs & Power Inc Reduces Stake in Nvidia Corporation
Nov 16, 2025

Appaloosa Management LP Boosts Stake in Nvidia
Nov 15, 2025

Platinum Investment Management Reduces Nvidia Holdings by 1,208 Shares
Nov 15, 2025

Columbus Hill Capital Boosts Nvidia Stake with 57,800 Shares
Nov 15, 2025

Blue Grotto Capital Reduces Stake in Nvidia Corporation
Nov 15, 2025

Bowie Capital Management Reduces Stake in Nvidia
Nov 15, 2025

MIG Capital, Llc Increases Stake in Nvidia Corporation
Nov 15, 2025

SCS Capital Management LLC Reduces Stake in Nvidia
Nov 15, 2025

Crake Asset Management LLP Boosts Stake in Nvidia
Nov 15, 2025

Bridgewater Associates Reduces Stake in Nvidia Corporation
Nov 15, 2025

Sands Capital Management LLC Reduces Nvidia Holdings
Nov 15, 2025

Dodge & Cox Increases Stake in Nvidia Corporation
Nov 15, 2025

ARK Investment’s Cathie Wood Increases Stake in Nvidia
Nov 14, 2025

XN LP Boosts Stake in Nvidia with 79,987 Shares
Nov 14, 2025

Fisher Asset Management Boosts Nvidia Stake by 2 Million Shares
Nov 14, 2025

PRIMECAP Management Co Reduces Stake in Nvidia
Nov 14, 2025

Gamco Investors Reduces Stake in Nvidia Corporation
Nov 14, 2025

Cypress Funds Llc Reduces Stake in Nvidia Corporation
Nov 9, 2025

Progressive Investment Management Corp Reduces Nvidia Stake
Nov 7, 2025

Manning & Napier Advisors LLC Boosts Nvidia Stake
Oct 29, 2025

Robert Bender&Associates Reduces Stake in Nvidia
Oct 24, 2025

Suncoast Equity Management Reduces Stake in Nvidia
Oct 23, 2025

Penn Davis Mcfarland Inc Reduces Nvidia Holdings Significantly
Oct 23, 2025

Mirova US LLC Reduces Stake in Nvidia Corporation
Oct 22, 2025

Nvidia’s Earnings Call: Record Revenue and Growth
Sep 1, 2025

Nvidia’s Latest Earnings Call: A Strong Quarter with Record Revenue and Growth

NVIDIA Reports Strong Q2 Growth in AI and Data Centers
Aug 28, 2025

NVIDIA Corporation, a leader in accelerated computing and AI technology, has reported its financial results for the second quarter of fiscal 2026, showcasing significant growth across its various sectors. The company is renowned for its innovative products and solutions in data centers, gaming, professional visualization, and automotive industries.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 20, 2025