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Nvidia (NVDA)
NASDAQ:NVDA
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Nvidia (NVDA) AI Stock Analysis

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NVDA

Nvidia

(NASDAQ:NVDA)

Rating:84Outperform
Price Target:
$213.00
▲(17.29% Upside)
Nvidia's strong financial performance and positive earnings call are the most significant factors driving the high overall score. The technical analysis supports a bullish outlook, though the high valuation presents some risk if growth expectations are not met. Geopolitical challenges and high operating expenses are concerns, but the company's strategic focus on AI infrastructure and global expansion mitigate these risks.
Positive Factors
AI market positioning
Nvidia's leadership positioning in AI infrastructure remains unchallenged, with GB300 specifications expected to remain best-in-class.
Cloud partnerships
Nvidia Cloud Partners initiative is rapidly expanding, targeting enterprise private clouds for GPU as a service and AI as a service.
Revenue growth potential
Management expects production shipments of GB300 this quarter and a more meaningful ramp in subsequent quarters, supporting double-digit revenue growth.
Negative Factors
China market uncertainties
NVDA's guidance is expected to exclude direct revenue from China due to pending license approvals and uncertainty on timing.
Hyperscaler demand concerns
There are concerns regarding hyperscaler demand and sustainability of infrastructure investment due to an 'AI bubble' and underwhelming GPT-5 launch reports.
Potential margin pressure
Potential margin pressure on early GB300 ramps is a concern for investors.

Nvidia (NVDA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Nvidia Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNvidia Corporation is a global technology company primarily known for its graphics processing units (GPUs) that power a range of applications from gaming to artificial intelligence (AI) and data centers. Founded in 1993 and headquartered in Santa Clara, California, Nvidia operates in several key sectors, including gaming, professional visualization, data center, and automotive. The company is renowned for its GeForce product line for gaming, Quadro for professional visualization, and the Tesla and A100 series for data centers and AI computing. Nvidia also offers software platforms and services that complement its hardware, such as the CUDA programming model and the NVIDIA Omniverse for collaborative 3D design.
How the Company Makes MoneyNvidia generates revenue primarily through the sale of its GPUs and related hardware across various sectors. The gaming segment is a significant revenue driver, with high demand for GeForce GPUs among gamers and PC builders. The data center segment has seen substantial growth, fueled by the increasing need for AI processing power and cloud computing services, where Nvidia's GPUs are used for machine learning tasks. Additionally, Nvidia earns revenue from its professional visualization products, which cater to industries such as architecture and design. The company also engages in strategic partnerships, such as collaborations with cloud service providers and OEMs, which enhance its market penetration and expand its customer base. Furthermore, Nvidia has been investing in software solutions and AI-driven services, creating new revenue streams that complement its hardware offerings, thereby contributing to its overall earnings.

Nvidia Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Analyzes revenue from various business segments, indicating which areas are contributing most to Nvidia’s top line and where strategic focus might be needed.
Chart InsightsNVIDIA's data center segment is experiencing explosive growth, with revenue surging due to strong demand for AI infrastructure, particularly from its Blackwell architecture. Despite challenges from export controls affecting the China market, the company is positioned well with a strategic focus on AI solutions. Gaming revenue also shows robust growth, setting a new record. However, the automotive segment faces headwinds, with a slight sequential decline. NVIDIA's strategic initiatives and capital returns underscore its confidence in navigating market challenges and capitalizing on AI-driven opportunities.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Nvidia Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 27, 2025
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 12, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong quarter marked by record revenue and significant growth in data center, networking, and gaming sectors. However, geopolitical challenges in China and increased operating expenses present some concerns. Overall, the positive aspects significantly outweigh the negative ones.
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Revenue Achievement
Total revenue reached $46.7 billion, exceeding outlook with a sequential growth across all market platforms.
Data Center Revenue Growth
Data Center revenue increased by 56% year over year, despite a $4 billion decline in H20 revenue.
Blackwell Platform Success
Blackwell platform achieved record levels, with a sequential growth of 17%.
AI Infrastructure Opportunities
Projected $3 to $4 trillion in AI infrastructure spend by the end of the decade, signaling significant long-term growth opportunities.
Networking Revenue Surge
Networking delivered a record revenue of $7.3 billion, a 46% sequential and 98% year-on-year increase.
Gaming Revenue Growth
Gaming revenue was a record $4.3 billion, a 14% sequential increase and a 49% jump year on year.
Sovereign AI Expansion
Over $20 billion in Sovereign AI revenue anticipated this year, more than double that of last year.
AI Platform Leadership
NVIDIA's AI platforms, including Blackwell and Rubin, are scaling into the global AI factory build-out through the end of the decade.
Negative Updates
Geopolitical Challenges in China
Issues with licensing and geopolitical uncertainties impacting the ability to ship H20, potentially affecting $2 to $5 billion in Q3 revenue.
Increase in Operating Expenses
GAAP operating expenses rose 86% on a non-GAAP basis sequentially, driven by higher compute and infrastructure costs.
Company Guidance
During NVIDIA Corporation's Second Quarter Fiscal 2026 Financial Results Conference Call, Colette Kress, the executive vice president and CFO, reported a record quarter with total revenue hitting $46.7 billion, surpassing outlook expectations. The data center segment saw a 56% year-over-year growth, despite a $4 billion decline in H20 revenue. The Blackwell platform achieved record levels with a 17% sequential growth, and production shipments of GB300 commenced in Q2. NVIDIA anticipates $3 to $4 trillion in AI infrastructure spending by the decade's end, presenting significant long-term growth opportunities. The company has achieved a 10x improvement in energy efficiency per token with the GV300 NDL72 AI factories compared to the Hopper generation. The Rubin platform is on schedule for volume production next year, with multiple components, including the Vera CPU and Rubin GPU, in fabrication. For Q3, NVIDIA projects a total revenue of $54 billion, with a plus or minus 2% variance, and expects non-GAAP gross margins to be around 73.5%. The company's focus is on addressing geopolitical issues, particularly regarding H20 sales to China, and it continues to advocate for US government approval to sell the Blackwell platform in China.

Nvidia Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Nvidia shows exceptional financial performance with high revenue and profit growth, an efficient capital structure, and robust cash generation. The income statement reflects strong demand and market expansion, while the balance sheet indicates financial stability with low leverage. Despite high profitability posing potential risks if growth slows, Nvidia's financial foundation supports future growth.
Income Statement
95
Very Positive
Nvidia demonstrates exceptional growth and profitability in its income statement. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) gross profit margin is approximately 70.13%, indicating strong cost management. The net profit margin stands at 51.68%, reflecting high profitability. Revenue growth is outstanding, with a 146.25% increase from the prior year, underscoring robust demand and market expansion. EBIT and EBITDA margins are impressive at 58.02% and 61.25%, respectively, showcasing operational efficiency. Overall, Nvidia's income statement is a testament to its leading position in the semiconductor industry.
Balance Sheet
90
Very Positive
Nvidia's balance sheet is solid, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.12, indicating low leverage and financial stability. The return on equity (ROE) is a remarkable 91.56%, reflecting efficient use of shareholder capital. The equity ratio stands at 66.94%, suggesting a strong equity position relative to total assets. Nvidia's balance sheet highlights a well-capitalized company with prudent financial management, though the high ROE may indicate potential risks if growth slows.
Cash Flow
92
Very Positive
Nvidia's cash flow analysis reveals strong operational cash generation with an operating cash flow to net income ratio of 0.99, indicating high conversion of income to cash. The free cash flow has grown significantly by 18.42% from the previous year, reflecting effective capital expenditure management. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.94, showing efficient cash utilization. Nvidia's cash flow statements underscore robust liquidity and financial flexibility, supporting continued growth and investment.
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue148.51B130.50B60.92B26.97B26.91B16.68B
Gross Profit104.12B97.86B44.30B15.36B17.48B10.40B
EBITDA90.97B86.14B35.58B5.99B11.35B5.69B
Net Income76.77B72.88B29.76B4.37B9.75B4.33B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets125.25B111.60B65.73B41.18B44.19B28.79B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments52.69B43.21B25.98B13.30B21.21B11.56B
Total Debt10.29B10.27B11.06B12.03B11.83B7.72B
Total Liabilities41.41B32.27B22.75B19.08B17.57B11.90B
Stockholders Equity83.84B79.33B42.98B22.10B26.61B16.89B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow72.06B60.85B27.02B3.81B8.13B4.69B
Operating Cash Flow76.16B64.09B28.09B5.64B9.11B5.82B
Investing Cash Flow-19.94B-20.42B-10.57B7.38B-9.83B-19.68B
Financing Cash Flow-48.57B-42.36B-13.63B-11.62B1.86B3.80B

Nvidia Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price181.60
Price Trends
50DMA
169.23
Positive
100DMA
145.90
Positive
200DMA
138.45
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.88
Positive
RSI
60.90
Neutral
STOCH
84.78
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NVDA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 181.6 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 179.56, above the 50-day MA of 169.23, and above the 200-day MA of 138.45, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.88 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 60.90 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 84.78 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for NVDA.

Nvidia Risk Analysis

Nvidia disclosed 23 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Nvidia reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Nvidia Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
84
Outperform
$4.44T57.92115.46%0.02%86.17%81.36%
81
Outperform
$293.43B28.8956.14%0.88%27.09%40.94%
79
Outperform
$1.40T110.6018.98%0.77%33.85%14.43%
77
Outperform
$270.40B95.914.70%27.17%108.67%
77
Outperform
$997.16B26.8233.29%1.13%38.65%57.18%
70
Outperform
$187.26B37.6529.84%2.65%3.62%-5.27%
61
Neutral
$35.62B7.50-10.94%1.87%8.86%-10.27%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NVDA
Nvidia
181.60
56.03
44.62%
AMD
Advanced Micro Devices
167.13
20.77
14.19%
ASML
ASML Holding
770.00
-110.56
-12.56%
AVGO
Broadcom
300.25
143.85
91.98%
TSM
TSMC
239.29
71.97
43.01%
TXN
Texas Instruments
205.47
3.79
1.88%

Nvidia Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Ellen Ochoa Resigns from Nvidia Board of Directors
Neutral
Aug 5, 2025

On July 31, 2025, Ellen Ochoa resigned from Nvidia Corporation’s Board of Directors, including her role in the Nominating and Corporate Governance Committee, due to personal reasons. Her departure is not related to any disagreements with the company’s operations, policies, or practices.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Nvidia Stockholders Approve Key Proposals at Annual Meeting
Neutral
Jul 1, 2025

On June 25, 2025, Nvidia held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders where several proposals were voted on. Stockholders approved the election of all thirteen director nominees and the compensation of named executive officers. Additionally, the ratification of PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as the independent registered accounting firm was approved. However, proposals to amend the Certificate of Incorporation to remove supermajority provisions, eliminate the holding period requirement for calling special meetings, adopt a new director election resignation policy, and modify workforce data reporting were not approved. These decisions reflect the company’s current governance and operational strategies, impacting its corporate structure and stakeholder engagement.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 28, 2025