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Nvidia (NVDA)
NASDAQ:NVDA
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Nvidia (NVDA) AI Stock Analysis

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NVDA

Nvidia

(NASDAQ:NVDA)

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Outperform 85 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:85Outperform
Price Target:
$236.00
▲(13.99% Upside)
Nvidia's strong financial performance and positive earnings call are the most significant factors driving the high stock score. The company's robust growth in AI and data center segments, despite geopolitical challenges, positions it well for future expansion. Technical indicators show bullish momentum, although high valuation metrics suggest caution.
Positive Factors
AI Infrastructure Opportunities
Nvidia's strategic positioning in AI infrastructure presents significant long-term growth opportunities, as the company is poised to benefit from the massive projected spending in AI infrastructure by the decade's end.
Strong Revenue Growth
Nvidia's record revenue achievement indicates robust demand across its market platforms, reflecting the company's strong market position and the effectiveness of its growth strategies.
Investment in AI Ecosystem
This investment will foster economic growth and innovation in AI, enhancing Nvidia's influence and market presence in the AI sector, which is crucial for long-term competitiveness.
Negative Factors
Geopolitical Challenges
Geopolitical challenges, particularly in China, pose risks to Nvidia's revenue, as they may affect the company's ability to conduct business and expand in key markets.
Increase in Operating Expenses
Rising operating expenses could pressure margins and profitability, potentially impacting Nvidia's financial flexibility and ability to invest in growth initiatives.
Regulatory Focus in China
Increased regulatory scrutiny in China could limit Nvidia's market access and growth potential in a crucial region, affecting long-term strategic plans.

Nvidia (NVDA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Nvidia Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNvidia Corporation is a global technology company primarily known for its graphics processing units (GPUs) that power a range of applications from gaming to artificial intelligence (AI) and data centers. Founded in 1993 and headquartered in Santa Clara, California, Nvidia operates in several key sectors, including gaming, professional visualization, data center, and automotive. The company is renowned for its GeForce product line for gaming, Quadro for professional visualization, and the Tesla and A100 series for data centers and AI computing. Nvidia also offers software platforms and services that complement its hardware, such as the CUDA programming model and the NVIDIA Omniverse for collaborative 3D design.
How the Company Makes MoneyNvidia generates revenue primarily through the sale of its GPUs and related hardware across various sectors. The gaming segment is a significant revenue driver, with high demand for GeForce GPUs among gamers and PC builders. The data center segment has seen substantial growth, fueled by the increasing need for AI processing power and cloud computing services, where Nvidia's GPUs are used for machine learning tasks. Additionally, Nvidia earns revenue from its professional visualization products, which cater to industries such as architecture and design. The company also engages in strategic partnerships, such as collaborations with cloud service providers and OEMs, which enhance its market penetration and expand its customer base. Furthermore, Nvidia has been investing in software solutions and AI-driven services, creating new revenue streams that complement its hardware offerings, thereby contributing to its overall earnings.

Nvidia Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Analyzes revenue from various business segments, indicating which areas are contributing most to Nvidia’s top line and where strategic focus might be needed.
Chart InsightsNVIDIA's data center segment is experiencing explosive growth, with revenue surging due to strong demand for AI infrastructure, particularly from its Blackwell architecture. Despite challenges from export controls affecting the China market, the company is positioned well with a strategic focus on AI solutions. Gaming revenue also shows robust growth, setting a new record. However, the automotive segment faces headwinds, with a slight sequential decline. NVIDIA's strategic initiatives and capital returns underscore its confidence in navigating market challenges and capitalizing on AI-driven opportunities.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Nvidia Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 27, 2025
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 19, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong quarter marked by record revenue and significant growth in data center, networking, and gaming sectors. However, geopolitical challenges in China and increased operating expenses present some concerns. Overall, the positive aspects significantly outweigh the negative ones.
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Revenue Achievement
Total revenue reached $46.7 billion, exceeding outlook with a sequential growth across all market platforms.
Data Center Revenue Growth
Data Center revenue increased by 56% year over year, despite a $4 billion decline in H20 revenue.
Blackwell Platform Success
Blackwell platform achieved record levels, with a sequential growth of 17%.
AI Infrastructure Opportunities
Projected $3 to $4 trillion in AI infrastructure spend by the end of the decade, signaling significant long-term growth opportunities.
Networking Revenue Surge
Networking delivered a record revenue of $7.3 billion, a 46% sequential and 98% year-on-year increase.
Gaming Revenue Growth
Gaming revenue was a record $4.3 billion, a 14% sequential increase and a 49% jump year on year.
Sovereign AI Expansion
Over $20 billion in Sovereign AI revenue anticipated this year, more than double that of last year.
AI Platform Leadership
NVIDIA's AI platforms, including Blackwell and Rubin, are scaling into the global AI factory build-out through the end of the decade.
Negative Updates
Geopolitical Challenges in China
Issues with licensing and geopolitical uncertainties impacting the ability to ship H20, potentially affecting $2 to $5 billion in Q3 revenue.
Increase in Operating Expenses
GAAP operating expenses rose 86% on a non-GAAP basis sequentially, driven by higher compute and infrastructure costs.
Company Guidance
During NVIDIA Corporation's Second Quarter Fiscal 2026 Financial Results Conference Call, Colette Kress, the executive vice president and CFO, reported a record quarter with total revenue hitting $46.7 billion, surpassing outlook expectations. The data center segment saw a 56% year-over-year growth, despite a $4 billion decline in H20 revenue. The Blackwell platform achieved record levels with a 17% sequential growth, and production shipments of GB300 commenced in Q2. NVIDIA anticipates $3 to $4 trillion in AI infrastructure spending by the decade's end, presenting significant long-term growth opportunities. The company has achieved a 10x improvement in energy efficiency per token with the GV300 NDL72 AI factories compared to the Hopper generation. The Rubin platform is on schedule for volume production next year, with multiple components, including the Vera CPU and Rubin GPU, in fabrication. For Q3, NVIDIA projects a total revenue of $54 billion, with a plus or minus 2% variance, and expects non-GAAP gross margins to be around 73.5%. The company's focus is on addressing geopolitical issues, particularly regarding H20 sales to China, and it continues to advocate for US government approval to sell the Blackwell platform in China.

Nvidia Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Nvidia demonstrates outstanding financial health with strong revenue growth, high profitability, and a robust balance sheet. Despite a minor dip in free cash flow growth, the company's financial position remains strong, positioning it well for future growth and stability in the competitive semiconductor industry.
Income Statement
95
Very Positive
Nvidia's income statement shows strong financial performance with a significant revenue growth rate of 11.25% TTM, indicating robust demand and market expansion. The company maintains high profitability with a gross profit margin of 69.85% and a net profit margin of 52.41% TTM, showcasing efficient cost management and strong pricing power. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also impressive at 42.14% and 60.34% TTM, respectively, reflecting operational efficiency and effective cost control.
Balance Sheet
90
Very Positive
Nvidia's balance sheet is solid with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.10 TTM, indicating prudent financial leverage and a strong equity base. The return on equity is exceptionally high at 105.22% TTM, demonstrating effective use of shareholders' funds to generate profits. The equity ratio stands at 71.14% TTM, highlighting a strong capital structure with significant equity financing.
Cash Flow
85
Very Positive
Nvidia's cash flow statement reveals a slight decline in free cash flow growth at -5.70% TTM, which could be a point of concern. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio of 3.18 TTM indicates strong cash generation relative to earnings. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 93.49% TTM suggests that the company effectively converts its earnings into cash, supporting its liquidity and investment capabilities.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue125.89B130.50B60.92B26.97B26.91B16.68B
Gross Profit86.68B97.86B44.30B15.36B17.48B10.40B
EBITDA73.88B86.14B35.58B5.99B11.35B5.69B
Net Income64.51B72.88B29.76B4.37B9.75B4.33B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets140.74B111.60B65.73B41.18B44.19B28.79B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments56.79B43.21B25.98B13.30B21.21B11.56B
Total Debt10.60B10.27B11.06B12.03B11.83B7.72B
Total Liabilities40.61B32.27B22.75B19.08B17.57B11.90B
Stockholders Equity100.13B79.33B42.98B22.10B26.61B16.89B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow56.47B60.85B27.02B3.81B8.13B4.69B
Operating Cash Flow60.41B64.09B28.09B5.64B9.11B5.82B
Investing Cash Flow-16.69B-20.42B-10.57B7.38B-9.83B-19.68B
Financing Cash Flow-40.13B-42.36B-13.63B-11.62B1.86B3.80B

Nvidia Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price207.04
Price Trends
50DMA
180.82
Positive
100DMA
172.91
Positive
200DMA
147.51
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
4.09
Negative
RSI
73.13
Negative
STOCH
91.36
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NVDA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 207.04 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 186.86, above the 50-day MA of 180.82, and above the 200-day MA of 147.51, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 4.09 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 73.13 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 91.36 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for NVDA.

Nvidia Risk Analysis

Nvidia disclosed 23 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Nvidia reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Nvidia Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
$4.89T57.22109.42%0.02%71.55%64.54%
$407.86B39.3851.72%0.63%24.91%39.95%
$1.27T30.9034.89%0.95%39.73%
$428.97B152.154.70%27.17%108.67%
$1.82T95.2927.08%0.61%28.01%235.66%
$145.62B30.4529.60%3.39%9.90%1.65%
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NVDA
Nvidia
207.04
74.32
56.00%
AMD
Advanced Micro Devices
264.33
120.26
83.47%
ASML
ASML Holding
1,050.90
383.76
57.52%
AVGO
Broadcom
385.98
217.86
129.59%
TSM
TSMC
305.09
116.61
61.87%
TXN
Texas Instruments
160.26
-38.27
-19.28%

Nvidia Corporate Events

Manning & Napier Advisors LLC Boosts Nvidia Stake
Oct 29, 2025

Robert Bender&Associates Reduces Stake in Nvidia
Oct 24, 2025

Suncoast Equity Management Reduces Stake in Nvidia
Oct 23, 2025

Penn Davis Mcfarland Inc Reduces Nvidia Holdings Significantly
Oct 23, 2025

Mirova US LLC Reduces Stake in Nvidia Corporation
Oct 22, 2025

Nvidia’s Earnings Call: Record Revenue and Growth
Sep 1, 2025

Nvidia’s Latest Earnings Call: A Strong Quarter with Record Revenue and Growth

NVIDIA Reports Strong Q2 Growth in AI and Data Centers
Aug 28, 2025

NVIDIA Corporation, a leader in accelerated computing and AI technology, has reported its financial results for the second quarter of fiscal 2026, showcasing significant growth across its various sectors. The company is renowned for its innovative products and solutions in data centers, gaming, professional visualization, and automotive industries.

H&H International Boosts Nvidia Holdings by 319,700 Shares
Aug 16, 2025

Viking Global Investors LP Reduces Nvidia Holdings
Aug 16, 2025

Maverick Capital Ltd Boosts Stake in Nvidia Corporation
Aug 16, 2025

Soros Fund Management Boosts Nvidia Stake with 482,539 Shares
Aug 16, 2025

Appaloosa Management LP Boosts Stake in Nvidia
Aug 16, 2025

Clough Capital Partners Boosts Stake in Nvidia
Aug 16, 2025

Coatue Management Boosts Nvidia Holdings with 2.9M Shares
Aug 16, 2025

Chilton Investment Co LLC Reduces Stake in Nvidia
Aug 16, 2025

Ardsley Advisory Partners Increases Stake in Nvidia
Aug 16, 2025

Altimeter Capital Boosts Nvidia Stake by 1.1 Million Shares
Aug 16, 2025

Driehaus Capital Management Boosts Stake in Nvidia
Aug 16, 2025

Graham Capital Management Reduces Stake in Nvidia
Aug 16, 2025

Blue Grotto Capital Boosts Stake in Nvidia Corporation
Aug 16, 2025

Atreides Management, LP Reduces Stake in Nvidia
Aug 16, 2025

Woodline Partners LP Boosts Stake in Nvidia
Aug 16, 2025

Blackstone Inc. Boosts Stake in Nvidia Corporation
Aug 16, 2025

XN LP Reduces Stake in Nvidia Corporation
Aug 16, 2025

Gilder Gagnon Howe Reduces Stake in Nvidia Corporation
Aug 16, 2025

Moore Capital Management LP Boosts Stake in Nvidia
Aug 16, 2025

Mairs & Power Inc Boosts Stake in Nvidia
Aug 16, 2025

Tiger Global Boosts Nvidia Stake with 742,202 Shares
Aug 16, 2025

Manning & Napier Advisors LLC Boosts Nvidia Holdings
Aug 15, 2025

Gamco Investors Boosts Nvidia Holdings with 15,894 Shares
Aug 15, 2025

Columbus Hill Capital Reduces Stake in Nvidia
Aug 15, 2025

Fisher Asset Management Reduces Stake in Nvidia
Aug 15, 2025

MIG Capital, Llc Boosts Stake in Nvidia Corporation
Aug 15, 2025

SCS Capital Management LLC Boosts Stake in Nvidia
Aug 15, 2025

Crake Asset Management LLP Boosts Stake in Nvidia
Aug 15, 2025

Sands Capital Boosts Nvidia Stake by 1.63 Million Shares
Aug 15, 2025

Bridgewater Associates Boosts Stake in Nvidia Corporation
Aug 15, 2025

Bowie Capital Management Boosts Nvidia Holdings by 75,483 Shares
Aug 14, 2025

PRIMECAP Management Co Reduces Stake in Nvidia
Aug 13, 2025

Davis Selected Advisers Increases Stake in Nvidia Corporation
Aug 10, 2025

Suncoast Equity Management Reduces Stake in Nvidia
Aug 8, 2025

Executive/Board Changes
Ellen Ochoa Resigns from Nvidia Board of Directors
Neutral
Aug 5, 2025

On July 31, 2025, Ellen Ochoa resigned from Nvidia Corporation’s Board of Directors, including her role in the Nominating and Corporate Governance Committee, due to personal reasons. Her departure is not related to any disagreements with the company’s operations, policies, or practices.

The most recent analyst rating on (NVDA) stock is a Hold with a $100.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nvidia stock, see the NVDA Stock Forecast page.

ARK Investment Management LLC Increases Stake in Nvidia
Aug 1, 2025

Progressive Investment Management Corp Reduces Nvidia Stake
Jul 31, 2025

Morningstar Investment Management LLC Boosts Nvidia Holdings
Jul 30, 2025

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 29, 2025