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ON Semiconductor (ON)
NASDAQ:ON

ON Semiconductor (ON) AI Stock Analysis

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ON

ON Semiconductor

(NASDAQ:ON)

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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$61.00
▲(10.99% Upside)
ON Semiconductor's overall score is driven by strong technical indicators and robust cash flow management, despite challenges in revenue growth and profitability. The high P/E ratio suggests overvaluation, while strategic acquisitions and technological advancements provide long-term growth potential. Regional revenue declines and asset impairments are notable risks.
Positive Factors
Strategic Acquisitions
Strategic acquisitions enhance ON Semiconductor's power management portfolio, supporting growth in AI and data center markets.
Cash Flow Management
Effective cash management and robust cash generation support future investments and debt servicing, strengthening financial stability.
Technological Innovations
Innovations in power solutions demonstrate ON Semiconductor's leadership in R&D, enhancing competitive advantage and market position.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline
Declining revenue and profitability indicate challenges in market demand and competitive pressures, impacting long-term growth potential.
Asset Impairments
Significant asset impairments suggest operational inefficiencies and potential future cost burdens, affecting financial performance.
Geopolitical and Macroeconomic Uncertainties
Uncertainties in global markets can disrupt supply chains and demand, posing risks to revenue stability and strategic planning.

ON Semiconductor (ON) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

ON Semiconductor Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionON Semiconductor Corporation provides intelligent sensing and power solutions worldwide. Its intelligent power technologies enable the electrification of the automotive industry that allows for lighter and longer-range electric vehicles, empowers fast-charging systems, and propels sustainable energy for the solar strings, industrial power, and storage systems. The company operates through three segments the Power Solutions Group, the Advanced Solutions Group, and the Intelligent Sensing Group segments. It offers analog, discrete, module, and integrated semiconductor products that perform multiple application functions, including power switching and conversion, signal conditioning, circuit protection, signal amplification, and voltage regulation functions. The company also designs and develops analog, mixed-signal, advanced logic, application specific standard product and ASICs, radio frequency, and integrated power solutions for end-users in end-markets, as well as provides foundry and design services for government customers. In addition, it develops complementary metal oxide semiconductor image sensors, image signal processors, and single photon detectors, including silicon photomultipliers and single photon avalanche diode arrays, as well as actuator drivers for autofocus and image stabilization for a broad base of end-users in various end-markets. ON Semiconductor Corporation was incorporated in 1992 and is headquartered in Phoenix, Arizona.
How the Company Makes MoneyON Semiconductor generates revenue primarily through the sale of its semiconductor products. The company's revenue model is based on the production and distribution of a diverse portfolio of semiconductor solutions, which includes power management ICs, sensors, and custom chips for specific applications. Key revenue streams include sales to automotive customers, which are increasingly adopting advanced semiconductor technologies for electric and autonomous vehicles, as well as industrial and consumer electronics sectors. Significant partnerships with major manufacturers and technology firms enhance ON's market presence and facilitate growth. Additionally, the company benefits from economies of scale and a strong focus on R&D, allowing it to maintain competitive pricing and innovate new products that meet market demands.

ON Semiconductor Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by End Market
Revenue by End Market
Shows revenue distribution across various end markets, offering a view of the company's exposure to different industries and potential shifts in demand.
Chart InsightsON Semiconductor's automotive revenue, after peaking in 2023, has faced a decline in 2024 and 2025, reflecting challenges in America and Europe. However, the earnings call suggests optimism for a rebound due to EV ramp-ups. The industrial segment shows a consistent downtrend, exacerbated by weakness in traditional industrial areas. Meanwhile, the 'Other' category, including AI data centers, is stabilizing after a drop, with potential growth driven by strategic partnerships. Despite mixed results, the company is focusing on structural efficiencies and strategic investments to drive long-term growth.
Data provided by:The Fly

ON Semiconductor Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 03, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 09, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a cautiously optimistic outlook with strong performance in key segments like automotive, industrial, and AI. Strategic acquisitions and technological advancements position the company well for future growth, despite regional revenue declines and macroeconomic challenges. The sentiment is slightly positive, with a focus on long-term growth potential.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Exceeded Revenue and Gross Margin Guidance
Third quarter revenue of $1.55 billion exceeded the midpoint of guidance, with non-GAAP gross margin at 38%, driven by disciplined execution and favorable mix.
Strong Automotive and Industrial Growth
Automotive revenue grew 7% sequentially, while Industrial grew 5%, reflecting stabilization and demand normalization in key markets.
Significant Progress in AI Segment
AI revenue approximately doubled year-over-year in Q3 and is expected to reach $250 million in 2025, indicating strong momentum and strategic wins in AI data centers.
Strategic Acquisitions Enhancing Portfolio
Acquisition of Vcore Power Technology and IP assets from Aura Semiconductor is expected to strengthen analog and mixed-signal offerings, aiding in AI and data center growth.
Geographical Revenue Growth
Revenue in the Americas grew 22% sequentially, and Japan was up 38% quarter-over-quarter, driven by automotive and aerospace markets.
Key Technological Innovations
Launch of vertical GaN (vGaN) platform and developments in silicon carbide (SiC) JFET and Treo platform indicate strong R&D progress and market leadership in power solutions.
Negative Updates
Revenue Decline in Europe and China
European revenue was down 4% due to macroeconomic softness, and China revenue decreased by 7% sequentially, highlighting regional challenges.
ISG Revenue Decline
Revenue for the Intelligent Sensing Group (ISG) was $230 million, a decline of 18% year-over-year due to strategic refocusing.
Impact of Noncore Business Exits
Exiting noncore businesses resulted in a $45 million revenue headwind in Q3, with an expected $300 million impact for 2026.
Macro and Geopolitical Uncertainties
Ongoing geopolitical and macroeconomic uncertainties affect visibility and restocking decisions by OEMs, impacting market dynamics.
Company Guidance
During the third quarter of 2025 earnings call, onsemi reported that their revenue reached $1.55 billion, surpassing the midpoint of their guidance. The company achieved a non-GAAP gross margin of 38% and earnings per share at the higher end of their range at $0.63. Automotive revenue grew by 7% and Industrial revenue by 5% sequentially. The Americas saw a significant 22% sequential revenue increase, while Japan's revenue rose 38% quarter-over-quarter. However, Europe and China experienced declines of 4% and 7%, respectively. For the fourth quarter, onsemi anticipates revenue between $1.48 billion and $1.58 billion, with a non-GAAP gross margin expected to range from 37% to 39%. The company continues to focus on expanding its Treo platform, which now has a design funnel exceeding $1 billion, and plans to double the number of products sampling this year.

ON Semiconductor Financial Statement Overview

Summary
ON Semiconductor shows mixed financial performance with declining revenue and profitability, as indicated by reduced margins and negative revenue growth. However, the company maintains a solid balance sheet with moderate leverage and strong cash flow generation, positioning it well for future growth opportunities.
Income Statement
65
Positive
ON Semiconductor's income statement shows a decline in revenue and profitability in the TTM period, with a negative revenue growth rate of -3.3%. Gross profit margin decreased to 37.2% from 44.8% in the previous year, and net profit margin fell to 7.3% from 22.2%. The EBIT and EBITDA margins also saw significant declines. Despite these challenges, the company maintains a positive net income, indicating resilience in a challenging market environment.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.42, indicating moderate leverage. The return on equity (ROE) decreased to 5.6% in the TTM period from 17.9% in the previous year, suggesting reduced profitability. However, the equity ratio remains healthy, showcasing a strong capital structure with stockholders' equity covering a significant portion of total assets.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals strong free cash flow growth of 27.4% in the TTM period, highlighting effective cash management. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 1.45, indicating robust cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.70 further underscores the company's ability to convert earnings into cash, supporting future investments and debt servicing.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue6.19B7.08B8.25B8.33B6.74B5.25B
Gross Profit2.21B3.22B3.88B4.08B2.71B1.72B
EBITDA1.06B2.54B3.22B3.01B1.88B970.10M
Net Income319.10M1.57B2.18B1.90B1.01B234.20M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets13.01B14.09B13.22B11.98B9.63B8.67B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.87B2.99B2.48B2.92B1.35B1.08B
Total Debt3.63B3.37B3.36B3.23B3.10B3.49B
Total Liabilities5.08B5.28B5.41B5.77B5.02B5.11B
Stockholders Equity7.91B8.80B7.78B6.19B4.59B3.54B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.64B1.21B438.40M1.60B1.29B400.70M
Operating Cash Flow1.78B1.91B1.98B2.63B1.78B884.30M
Investing Cash Flow-639.50M-1.01B-1.74B-705.40M-915.10M-453.60M
Financing Cash Flow-1.14B-683.80M-686.50M-370.00M-569.40M-244.00M

ON Semiconductor Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price54.96
Price Trends
50DMA
50.58
Positive
100DMA
50.59
Positive
200DMA
48.28
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.79
Negative
RSI
59.97
Neutral
STOCH
74.06
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ON, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 54.96 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 50.90, above the 50-day MA of 50.58, and above the 200-day MA of 48.28, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.79 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.97 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 74.06 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ON.

ON Semiconductor Risk Analysis

ON Semiconductor disclosed 39 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. ON Semiconductor reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

ON Semiconductor Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$4.40T44.81107.36%0.02%65.22%58.53%
73
Outperform
$22.17B73.043.87%-16.13%-81.06%
71
Outperform
$19.49B15.3010.97%6.14%5.87%-20.93%
69
Neutral
$34.13B31.6211.17%2.26%8.01%10.41%
63
Neutral
$22.46B-0.38%0.25%-106.22%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
57
Neutral
$23.30B46.273.00%1.28%-17.33%-76.71%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ON
ON Semiconductor
54.96
-11.48
-17.28%
ASX
ASE Technology Holding Co
15.76
5.74
57.29%
NVDA
Nvidia
175.02
43.06
32.63%
STM
STMicroelectronics
26.00
0.54
2.12%
UMC
United Micro
7.87
1.82
30.08%
GFS
GlobalFoundries Inc
38.73
-5.20
-11.84%

ON Semiconductor Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
ON Semiconductor Announces Major Asset Impairments
Negative
Nov 17, 2025

In the first quarter of 2025, onsemi announced restructuring and cost reduction initiatives to realign its manufacturing capacity with anticipated long-term needs. On November 13, 2025, the company approved additional pre-tax non-cash impairment and accelerated depreciation charges of $200 million to $300 million for long-lived assets at certain manufacturing facilities, aiming to reduce recurring depreciation expenses by $10 million to $15 million in 2026.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
ON Semiconductor Chair Alan Campbell Announces Retirement
Neutral
Nov 5, 2025

On November 4, 2025, Alan Campbell, the current chair of the board of directors at ON Semiconductor Corporation, announced his retirement effective at the end of his term, just before the 2026 annual meeting of stockholders scheduled for May 14, 2026. To ensure continuity, Thomas L. Deitrich has been appointed to succeed him, pending his renomination and reelection, with the company expressing gratitude for Campbell’s service.

M&A Transactions
onsemi Acquires Aura Semiconductor’s Vcore Power Technologies
Positive
Sep 23, 2025

On September 23, 2025, onsemi announced a strategic acquisition agreement with Aura Semiconductor to acquire Vcore power technologies and associated intellectual property licenses. This acquisition aims to enhance onsemi’s power management portfolio, particularly in AI data center applications, by delivering solutions with superior power density and efficiency. The transaction, valued at up to $144 million, is expected to close in the fourth quarter of 2025 and is anticipated to have minimal impact on onsemi’s earnings in the first fiscal year following the close.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025