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Monolithic Power (MPWR)
NASDAQ:MPWR
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Monolithic Power (MPWR) AI Stock Analysis

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Monolithic Power

(NASDAQ:MPWR)

Rating:78Outperform
Price Target:
$772.00
▲(6.45%Upside)
Monolithic Power's strong financial performance and positive earnings call are the most significant factors driving the score. Technical indicators suggest positive momentum, though caution is advised due to potential overbought conditions. The company's valuation is reasonable, supporting a favorable long-term outlook.
Positive Factors
Enterprise Data Growth
Management expressed improved confidence in Enterprise Data growth supported by increased visibility, design wins, and customer qualifications.
Financial Performance
MPWR reported strong 1Q results, consistent with its positive pre and guided 2Q higher.
Product Innovation
The company is returning to its roots as a diversified analog supplier, driven by new products and further SAM expansion.
Negative Factors
Enterprise Data Skepticism
MPS's increased confidence in its expected sharp 2H ramp in the much-scrutinized Enterprise Data segment is likely met with skepticism given the still-fresh scars many investors carry from the recent inventory correction in that market.
Stock Volatility
Despite consistent top-line execution, stock volatility is expected to persist until sales from the Enterprise Data end market begin to ramp.
Valuation Pressure
The lack of growth in the Enterprise Data business will pressure its valuation in the near-term.

Monolithic Power (MPWR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Monolithic Power Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMonolithic Power Systems, Inc. (MPWR) is a leading semiconductor company that specializes in the design, development, and marketing of high-performance analog and mixed-signal integrated circuits. The company's products are used in a wide range of sectors, including automotive, industrial, cloud computing, telecommunications, and consumer electronics. MPWR is renowned for its cutting-edge power solutions that improve energy efficiency and performance in electronic systems.
How the Company Makes MoneyMonolithic Power Systems generates revenue primarily through the sale of its analog and mixed-signal semiconductor products. These products are sold directly to original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) and through a network of distributors worldwide. The company focuses on delivering high-performance power solutions that enable efficient energy usage in various electronic applications, which drives demand across its key markets. Additionally, MPWR invests in research and development to innovate and expand its product offerings, ensuring a competitive edge in the semiconductor industry. Partnerships with leading technology companies and continuous expansion into new market segments also contribute to its revenue growth.

Monolithic Power Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Product
Revenue by Product
Analyzes revenue generated from different products, highlighting which offerings drive sales and indicating areas of innovation or potential market leadership.
Chart InsightsMonolithic Power's DC to DC segment shows a robust recovery, with a significant uptick in 2024, aligning with the company's record revenue growth and strategic focus on innovation. Despite a decline in Lighting Control revenues, the overall outlook remains positive, driven by new product launches in clean energy and automotive sectors. The earnings call underscores a strong diversification strategy, aiming to mitigate risks in volatile segments like enterprise data, ensuring sustained growth momentum into 2025 and beyond.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Monolithic Power Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 01, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 20.80%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 31, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a strong overall performance with record revenue and robust growth in key segments like storage, computing, and automotive. However, there are some uncertainties in the enterprise data segment and minor concerns about gross margin and inventory levels.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Quarterly Revenue
MPS achieved record quarterly revenue of $637.6 million, which is 39.2% higher than Q1 2024.
Storage and Computing Segment Growth
The storage and computing segment revenue increased 38% quarter-over-quarter due to strong demand for memory and notebook solutions.
Automotive Revenue Growth
Automotive revenue increased by 13% from Q4 2024, marking the third consecutive quarter of sequential double-digit growth.
Global Diversification Strategy
MPS has successfully diversified its global manufacturing and R&D efforts, positioning itself well against tariffs and geopolitical risks.
Innovation and Product Development
MPS continues to focus on innovation, showcasing new opportunities in robotics, automotive, data center, building automation, medical, and audio.
Negative Updates
Enterprise Data Segment Concerns
The enterprise data segment, although expected to improve in the second half, currently lacks detailed visibility, and some platform changes could impact MPS's share.
Slight Gross Margin Decline
Gross margin is projected to decline by about 20 basis points in the second quarter, attributed to mix shifts and conservatism rather than specific events.
Inventory Levels and Lead Time Concerns
Inventory levels are currently below the target model, and while lead times are stable, there is a focus on managing them due to demand for short lead times in certain markets.
Company Guidance
During the first quarter of fiscal year 2025, Monolithic Power Systems (MPS) reported a record quarterly revenue of $637.6 million, representing a 39.2% increase compared to the same period in 2024. The company's storage and computing segment saw a significant 38% quarter-over-quarter increase, driven by strong demand for memory and notebook solutions. Additionally, the automotive segment experienced a 13% growth from the previous quarter, marking the third consecutive quarter of double-digit sequential growth. Despite a slight anticipated dip in gross margins by 20 basis points for the second quarter, MPS remains confident in its diversified market strategy and continues to focus on innovation and customer-centric solutions. The company is also optimistic about revenue ramps in the enterprise data segment in the second half of the year, supported by numerous design wins and product qualifications.

Monolithic Power Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Monolithic Power exhibits strong financial performance with robust revenue growth and profitability. The company has a solid balance sheet with minimal debt and a high ROE. However, the exceptionally high net profit margin and moderate cash conversion ratios suggest areas for further analysis.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Monolithic Power demonstrates strong revenue growth with a TTM revenue of $2.39 billion, reflecting a solid growth trajectory from $2.21 billion in 2024 and $1.82 billion in 2023. The Gross Profit Margin stands at 55.39%, and the Net Profit Margin is an impressive 76.55%, driven by robust net income figures. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also healthy, indicating efficient cost management. However, the exceptionally high net profit margin is unusual and warrants further investigation into one-time gains or accounting changes.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
Monolithic Power's balance sheet is solid with a Debt-to-Equity ratio of 0.004, indicating minimal financial leverage. The Return on Equity (ROE) is notably high at 55.96%, suggesting effective use of equity capital. The Equity Ratio of 85.85% reinforces the company's strong equity base. The company maintains a healthy cash position, but the exceptionally low debt levels may indicate underutilization of potential growth leverage.
Cash Flow
79
Positive
The company showcases a stable cash flow with a Free Cash Flow of $626 million, demonstrating a consistent ability to generate cash. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income ratio is 0.44, and the Free Cash Flow to Net Income ratio is 0.34, which are somewhat low, indicating that while net income is high, cash conversion is moderate. Positive Free Cash Flow growth and sound capital management are evident, but efficiency in translating income to cash can improve.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.21B1.82B1.79B1.21B844.45M
Gross Profit1.22B1.02B1.05B685.46M465.95M
EBITDA575.79M521.90M563.90M291.12M185.87M
Net Income1.79B427.37M437.67M242.02M164.38M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.62B2.43B2.06B1.59B1.21B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments862.95M1.11B737.87M725.08M595.11M
Total Debt12.97M5.57M3.80M5.81M3.10M
Total Liabilities471.33M384.41M390.28M341.84M241.90M
Stockholders Equity3.15B2.05B1.67B1.24B966.59M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow642.29M580.63M187.83M224.77M212.16M
Operating Cash Flow788.41M638.21M246.67M320.01M267.80M
Investing Cash Flow223.05M-178.73M-12.51M-378.89M-39.18M
Financing Cash Flow-872.23M-183.72M-128.78M-90.21M-71.56M

Monolithic Power Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price725.24
Price Trends
50DMA
705.21
Positive
100DMA
640.51
Positive
200DMA
667.93
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
7.33
Positive
RSI
52.21
Neutral
STOCH
33.42
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MPWR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 725.24 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 730.16, above the 50-day MA of 705.21, and above the 200-day MA of 667.93, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 7.33 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 52.21 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 33.42 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MPWR.

Monolithic Power Risk Analysis

Monolithic Power disclosed 36 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Monolithic Power reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Monolithic Power Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$34.72B19.2567.95%0.86%30.57%342.02%
STSTM
76
Outperform
$29.16B27.806.32%0.94%-25.47%-70.07%
ASASX
74
Outperform
$22.76B21.4811.47%2.51%1.32%4.86%
ONON
72
Outperform
$25.37B42.127.85%-18.28%-70.98%
70
Outperform
$10.92B28.426.70%3.85%-12.90%-51.90%
64
Neutral
$40.36B84.25>-0.01%2.43%-42.35%-100.12%
63
Neutral
$34.60B5.43-11.64%1.84%5.30%-18.55%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MPWR
Monolithic Power
725.24
-125.12
-14.71%
ASX
ASE Technology Holding Co
10.52
-0.29
-2.68%
MCHP
Microchip
74.78
-15.81
-17.45%
ON
ON Semiconductor
60.72
-16.61
-21.48%
SWKS
Skyworks Solutions
72.76
-41.57
-36.36%
STM
STMicroelectronics
32.55
-8.98
-21.62%

Monolithic Power Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder MeetingsDividends
Monolithic Power Announces Second Quarter Dividend
Neutral
Jun 16, 2025

On June 12, 2025, Monolithic Power Systems held its annual stockholders meeting where several key decisions were made, including the election of three directors, the ratification of Ernst & Young LLP as the independent auditor, and the approval of executive compensation. Additionally, stockholders approved a proposal to amend the company’s Certificate of Incorporation to declassify the Board and granted shareholders the ability to call special meetings. On June 13, 2025, MPS announced a second quarter dividend of $1.56 per share, payable on July 15, 2025, to stockholders of record as of June 30, 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (MPWR) stock is a Buy with a $900.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Monolithic Power stock, see the MPWR Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 03, 2025