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Monolithic Power (MPWR)
NASDAQ:MPWR

Monolithic Power (MPWR) AI Stock Analysis

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MPWR

Monolithic Power

(NASDAQ:MPWR)

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Outperform 76 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
$1,109.00
▲(21.57% Upside)
Monolithic Power's strong financial performance and positive technical indicators are the primary drivers of its stock score. The company's strategic market diversification and robust revenue growth are significant strengths. However, concerns about AI market engagement and gross margin stability, along with moderate valuation metrics, slightly temper the overall score.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The significant year-over-year revenue increase highlights Monolithic Power's strong market position and effective growth strategy, particularly in expanding sectors like automotive and enterprise data.
Market Diversification
Monolithic Power's diversified market strategy, with expansion in automotive and robotics, reduces dependency on any single sector, enhancing long-term stability and growth potential.
Financial Health
The company's minimal leverage and high profitability indicate robust financial health, providing flexibility for future investments and resilience against economic fluctuations.
Negative Factors
AI Market Challenges
Challenges in engaging with the AI market could limit Monolithic Power's growth in this rapidly expanding sector, potentially affecting future revenue streams.
Gross Margin Stability
Stagnant gross margins may hinder profitability improvements, impacting the company's ability to invest in innovation and maintain competitive pricing.
Market Visibility
Uncertainty in market demand visibility could affect strategic planning and operational efficiency, posing risks to revenue and margin forecasts.

Monolithic Power (MPWR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Monolithic Power Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMonolithic Power Systems, Inc. engages in the design, development, marketing, and sale of semiconductor-based power electronics solutions for the computing and storage, automotive, industrial, communications, and consumer markets. The company provides direct current (DC) to DC integrated circuits (ICs) that are used to convert and control voltages of various electronic systems, such as portable electronic devices, wireless LAN access points, computers and notebooks, monitors, infotainment applications, and medical equipment. It also offers lighting control ICs for backlighting that are used in systems, which provide the light source for LCD panels in notebook computers, monitors, car navigation systems, and televisions, as well as for general illumination products. The company sells its products through third-party distributors and value-added resellers, as well as directly to original equipment manufacturers, original design manufacturers, electronic manufacturing service providers, and other end customers in China, Taiwan, Europe, South Korea, Southeast Asia, Japan, the United States, and internationally. Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. was incorporated in 1997 and is headquartered in Kirkland, Washington.
How the Company Makes MoneyMonolithic Power generates revenue primarily through the sale of its semiconductor products, which are used in various applications across multiple industries. The company operates on a direct sales model and also collaborates with distributors to reach a broader market. Key revenue streams include the sale of integrated circuits and power modules, with significant contributions from sectors like automotive and industrial automation. Additionally, MPWR benefits from partnerships with major electronics manufacturers, which helps increase its product adoption and market presence. The company's focus on innovation and development of advanced power solutions contributes to its competitive advantage and financial performance.

Monolithic Power Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography
Breaks down revenue across different regions, revealing where Monolithic Power is strongest and where it may face risk or growth potential due to local economic conditions or market share shifts.
Chart InsightsMonolithic Power's revenue from Taiwan and China is surging, driven by robust demand in storage, computing, and automotive sectors, aligning with their record quarterly revenue. However, the U.S. and Europe are experiencing a downturn, potentially due to geopolitical risks and macroeconomic pressures. The company's strategic diversification and innovation efforts are mitigating some risks, but challenges in the enterprise data segment and slight gross margin declines could impact future performance. Investors should watch for developments in these areas as MPS navigates a complex global landscape.
Data provided by:The Fly

Monolithic Power Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 30, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 11, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects strong revenue performance and successful market diversification, particularly in automotive and enterprise data. However, there are concerns about AI market engagement, gross margin stability, and limited visibility into future demand, which could impact growth projections.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Quarterly Revenue
MPS achieved record quarterly revenue of $737.2 million, which is 10.9% higher than the second quarter of 2025 and 18.9% higher than Q3 of 2024.
Diversified Market Strategy Success
Year-over-year revenue growth in all end markets due to a diversified market strategy, with notable expansion in the automotive customer base and a design win for a full BMS solution on a robotics platform.
Enterprise Data Growth Momentum
Improved performance in enterprise data and industrial markets, with additional customers layering in Q4, providing momentum into 2026.
Automotive Segment Expansion
Incremental design wins in ADAS, showcasing technology across EVs and combustion engine cars, anticipating significant growth in the next few years.
Negative Updates
Challenges in AI Market Engagement
Company expresses reservations and frustrations about the AI market, due to concentration and visibility issues, viewing it as a distraction despite potential opportunities.
Gross Margin Stability Concerns
Gross margins have been ticking down over the last year or two, with expectations to remain in the mid-55% range due to limited visibility into future demand.
Uncertainty in Market Visibility
Limited visibility into the first half of 2026, with no strong view on Q1 due to lack of backlog buildup, affecting the ability to manage business mix for margin expansion.
Company Guidance
During the Q3 2025 earnings call, MPS provided guidance indicating a slight upward adjustment of about 1% for the fourth quarter, driven by a robust performance in enterprise data and industrial markets. The company reported record quarterly revenue of $737.2 million, marking a 10.9% increase from the previous quarter and an 18.9% rise year-over-year. MPS highlighted ongoing growth across all end markets, notably in automotive, with a major Tier 1 supplier adopting its ADAS solution and the first design win for a full BMS solution on a robotics platform. Despite challenges in the AI market, MPS continues to focus on innovation and customer service, positioning itself as a leader in various segments. The company also aims to enhance its gross margins, currently in the mid-55% range, by advancing its transition from a chip-based supplier to a full-service solutions provider.

Monolithic Power Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Monolithic Power demonstrates strong financial health with robust revenue and profit growth, efficient operational management, and a solid capital structure with minimal leverage. The company shows impressive profitability metrics and efficient cash flow generation, supporting its growth trajectory.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Monolithic Power exhibits strong revenue growth with a 6.58% increase in TTM, supported by a solid gross profit margin of 55.31%. The net profit margin is exceptionally high at 73.17%, indicating strong profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also healthy at 26.47% and 27.69% respectively, showcasing efficient operational management.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The company maintains a very low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.0047, indicating minimal leverage and financial risk. Return on equity is impressive at 61.19%, reflecting strong profitability relative to shareholder equity. The equity ratio stands at 85.65%, highlighting a robust capital structure with significant equity financing.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 2.33, suggesting efficient cash generation from operations. Free cash flow growth is positive at 12.46%, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is healthy at 0.79, indicating good cash conversion efficiency.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.66B2.21B1.82B1.79B1.21B844.45M
Gross Profit1.47B1.22B1.02B1.05B685.46M465.95M
EBITDA750.71M575.79M521.90M563.90M291.12M185.87M
Net Income1.90B1.79B427.37M437.67M242.02M164.38M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.21B3.62B2.43B2.06B1.59B1.21B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.27B862.95M1.11B737.87M725.08M595.11M
Total Debt0.0015.79M5.57M1.66M0.003.10M
Total Liabilities638.45M471.33M384.41M390.28M341.84M241.90M
Stockholders Equity3.57B3.15B2.05B1.67B1.24B966.59M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow705.17M642.29M580.63M187.83M224.77M212.16M
Operating Cash Flow900.97M788.41M638.21M246.67M320.01M267.80M
Investing Cash Flow373.46M223.05M-178.73M-12.51M-378.89M-39.18M
Financing Cash Flow-893.94M-872.23M-183.72M-128.78M-90.21M-71.56M

Monolithic Power Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price912.25
Price Trends
50DMA
970.57
Negative
100DMA
909.05
Positive
200DMA
776.64
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
3.10
Negative
RSI
50.22
Neutral
STOCH
24.41
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MPWR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 912.25 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 931.74, below the 50-day MA of 970.57, and above the 200-day MA of 776.64, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 3.10 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 50.22 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 24.41 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MPWR.

Monolithic Power Risk Analysis

Monolithic Power disclosed 36 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Monolithic Power reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Monolithic Power Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$45.58B24.2964.03%0.62%30.48%339.29%
76
Outperform
$71.30B29.4418.04%0.28%44.95%
73
Outperform
$21.95B69.593.87%-16.13%-81.06%
70
Neutral
$57.82B28.2221.19%1.77%-6.81%-23.16%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
57
Neutral
$23.10B45.603.00%1.28%-17.33%-76.71%
54
Neutral
$35.62B-141.70-2.85%2.76%-23.36%-131.15%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MPWR
Monolithic Power
912.25
319.33
53.86%
MRVL
Marvell
84.07
-20.88
-19.90%
MCHP
Microchip
63.99
9.57
17.59%
NXPI
NXP Semiconductors
229.75
23.34
11.31%
ON
ON Semiconductor
54.56
-10.37
-15.97%
STM
STMicroelectronics
25.55
0.88
3.57%

Monolithic Power Corporate Events

Dividends
Monolithic Power Announces Q4 Dividend for Shareholders
Positive
Dec 12, 2025

On December 12, 2025, Monolithic Power Systems announced a fourth-quarter cash dividend of $1.56 per share, payable to stockholders of record as of December 31, 2025, with payment scheduled for January 15, 2026. This announcement reflects the company’s ongoing commitment to providing consistent returns to its shareholders, reinforcing its position in the semiconductor power electronics industry.

Shareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Monolithic Power Lowers Threshold for Special Meetings
Neutral
Nov 21, 2025

On November 19, 2025, Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. announced the adoption of its Amended and Restated Bylaws, which lower the ownership threshold for stockholders to call a special meeting from 30% to 25%. This decision follows the 2025 annual meeting where a non-binding proposal for a 10% threshold was approved, and feedback from major stockholders supported a higher threshold than 10%. The board’s decision reflects the company’s response to stockholder input and peer company practices.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 13, 2025