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Apple (AAPL)
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Apple (AAPL) AI Stock Analysis

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AAPL

Apple

(NASDAQ:AAPL)

Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
$240.00
â–²(9.08% Upside)
Apple's overall stock score reflects strong financial performance and stable technical indicators, offset by a high valuation. The company's robust profitability and cash flow support its strategic initiatives, while technical analysis suggests moderate momentum. However, the high P/E ratio indicates potential overvaluation, which could limit upside potential.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
Apple reported strong FQ3 results, with revenue growing an impressive 9.6% YOY, the highest in several years, driven by iPhone upside.
Product Demand
The company announced a record number of active devices, indicating strong consumer demand and product appeal.
Negative Factors
Regulatory and Economic Environment
Regulatory headwinds persist, long-term tariffs implications are unclear, and the macro environment is treacherous.
Tariff Impact
New tariffs are a significant risk and headwind, with Apple reporting US$800mn in tariff-related costs for 3Q25 and expecting an additional US$1.1bn in 4Q25e.

Apple (AAPL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Apple Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionApple Inc. (AAPL) is a leading global technology company that operates in the consumer electronics, computer software, and online services sectors. Founded in 1976 and headquartered in Cupertino, California, Apple is renowned for its innovative products including the iPhone, iPad, Mac computers, Apple Watch, and Apple TV. The company also offers a range of software and services, such as the iOS and macOS operating systems, the iCloud storage service, the Apple Music streaming service, and the App Store, which provides digital content and applications.
How the Company Makes MoneyApple makes money primarily through the sale of its consumer electronics products, with the iPhone being its most significant revenue generator. The company also earns significant revenue from its services segment, which includes digital content sales, subscriptions, and licensing. This segment encompasses the App Store, Apple Music, iCloud, Apple TV+, and other services that leverage Apple's ecosystem of devices. Additionally, Apple generates revenue from sales of Mac computers, iPads, and wearables like the Apple Watch and AirPods. The company's retail operations, both online and through physical Apple Stores, also contribute to its earnings. Furthermore, Apple has strategic partnerships with various companies to enhance its product offerings and expand its service reach, further bolstering its revenue streams.

Apple Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Global Active Devices
Global Active Devices
Tracks the number of devices actively in use worldwide, reflecting customer adoption, brand stickiness, and potential for recurring service revenue.
Chart InsightsApple's global active devices have grown steadily, reaching 2.35 billion, reflecting strong ecosystem engagement. The earnings call highlights record revenue and growth in services and emerging markets, underscoring Apple's strategic focus on expanding its installed base. Despite challenges in China and a decline in wearables revenue, the robust increase in active devices suggests sustained customer loyalty and potential for future revenue growth, particularly in services. The company's anticipation of continued growth in the March quarter, despite foreign exchange headwinds, indicates confidence in its diversified product and service offerings.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Apple Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 01, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: 3.28%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 23, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call was predominantly positive, with record-breaking revenue figures, significant growth in key sectors such as iPhone and Services, and a strong focus on AI and innovation. However, challenges such as tariff-related costs and declines in iPad and Wearables revenue were noted.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-Breaking Revenue and Growth
Apple reported a June quarter revenue record of $94 billion, up 10% from a year ago. EPS set a June quarter record of $1.57, up 12% year-over-year.
iPhone and Mac Performance
iPhone revenue was $44.6 billion, up 13% year-over-year, driven by the iPhone 16 family. Mac revenue was $8 billion, up 15% year-over-year, driven by continued strength across the portfolio.
Services Revenue Surge
Services revenue reached an all-time high of $27.4 billion, up 13% year-over-year. There was a sequential acceleration across the majority of the categories, including cloud services.
Strong Growth in Emerging Markets
Apple saw double-digit growth in emerging markets, including India, the Middle East, South Asia, and Brazil.
AI and Innovation Focus
Apple continues to invest significantly in AI and announced new features and capabilities, including live translation and Workout Buddy.
Negative Updates
Tariff-Related Costs
For the June quarter, Apple incurred approximately $800 million of tariff-related costs, with an estimated $1.1 billion expected for the September quarter.
iPad Revenue Decline
iPad revenue was $6.6 billion, down 8% year-over-year, due to a difficult compare against the previous year's product launches.
Wearables, Home, and Accessories Revenue Decline
Revenue for Wearables, Home, and Accessories was $7.4 billion, down 9% year-over-year, due to a difficult compare on accessories.
Company Guidance
During Apple's Q3 Fiscal Year 2025 earnings call, the company provided robust guidance, highlighting a June quarter revenue record of $94 billion, up 10% year-over-year. Earnings per share (EPS) also set a record at $1.57, marking a 12% increase. The company achieved double-digit growth in iPhone, Mac, and Services, with iPhone revenue reaching $44.6 billion, up 13% year-over-year. Mac revenue increased by 15% to $8 billion, while Services revenue hit an all-time high of $27.4 billion, also up 13%. The call emphasized growth across all geographic segments and the strong performance of Apple's installed base, which reached all-time highs. Despite tariff-related costs of approximately $800 million in the quarter, the gross margin was reported at 46.5%. Looking ahead, Apple expects September quarter revenue to grow mid-to-high single digits year-over-year, with Services revenue growth parallel to Q3's 13%. The company projects gross margins between 46% and 47%, factoring in estimated tariff costs of $1.1 billion.

Apple Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Apple's financials depict a strong company with high profitability, solid cash flow, and efficient capital management. Despite a high debt-to-equity ratio, the company's strong earnings power and exceptional ROE mitigate risks. Revenue growth is steady, supported by robust profitability margins.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Apple's income statement shows strong profitability with a TTM Gross Profit Margin of 46.68% and Net Profit Margin of 24.30%, indicating effective cost management and pricing strategy. The Revenue Growth Rate of 4.50% over the previous year is modest but consistent, reflecting steady demand for Apple products. The EBIT Margin of 31.87% and EBITDA Margin of 33.94% underscore robust operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
Apple maintains a solid balance sheet with a Debt-to-Equity Ratio of 1.55, which is relatively high but manageable given its strong earnings. The Return on Equity (ROE) stands at 150.87%, showcasing exceptional shareholder value creation. However, the Equity Ratio of 19.86% suggests a reliance on debt financing, which could pose risks in economic downturns.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Apple's cash flow is robust with a Free Cash Flow of $105.66 billion, reflecting a slight decline from the prior year but still very strong. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio of 1.09 indicates healthy cash generation relative to net earnings, while the Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio of 1.06 confirms efficient capital expenditure management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue408.63B391.04B383.29B394.33B365.82B274.51B
Gross Profit190.74B180.68B169.15B170.78B152.84B104.96B
EBITDA138.69B134.66B125.82B133.14B123.14B81.02B
Net Income99.28B93.74B97.00B99.80B94.68B57.41B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets331.50B364.98B352.58B352.75B351.00B323.89B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments55.37B65.17B61.55B48.30B62.64B90.94B
Total Debt101.70B119.06B123.93B132.48B136.52B122.28B
Total Liabilities265.67B308.03B290.44B302.08B287.91B258.55B
Stockholders Equity65.83B56.95B62.15B50.67B63.09B65.34B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow96.18B108.81B99.58B111.44B92.95B73.36B
Operating Cash Flow108.56B118.25B110.54B122.15B104.04B80.67B
Investing Cash Flow19.23B2.94B3.71B-22.35B-14.54B-4.29B
Financing Cash Flow-118.16B-121.98B-108.49B-110.75B-93.35B-86.82B

Apple Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price220.03
Price Trends
50DMA
206.09
Positive
100DMA
206.05
Positive
200DMA
220.81
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
1.00
Negative
RSI
66.23
Neutral
STOCH
63.47
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AAPL, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 220.03 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 210.64, above the 50-day MA of 206.09, and below the 200-day MA of 220.81, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 1.00 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 66.23 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 63.47 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AAPL.

Apple Risk Analysis

Apple disclosed 28 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Apple reported the most risks in the "Ability to Sell" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Apple Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
85
Outperform
$3.90T38.4833.28%0.62%14.93%15.50%
84
Outperform
$2.36T20.7334.83%0.41%13.19%34.51%
75
Outperform
$3.01T30.85149.81%0.46%5.97%0.15%
71
Outperform
$86.99B20.43-179.12%1.45%7.68%27.73%
70
Outperform
$150.29B19.8214.70%0.46%-5.46%14.01%
67
Neutral
$233.50B40.6622.73%2.68%2.69%-31.73%
65
Neutral
$23.49B9.6484.33%4.51%2.08%-12.41%
61
Neutral
$34.84B4.76-10.43%2.08%6.54%-10.13%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AAPL
Apple
220.03
4.80
2.23%
GOOGL
Alphabet Class A
196.52
33.64
20.65%
HPQ
HP
25.35
-6.93
-21.47%
IBM
International Business Machines
250.16
62.71
33.45%
MSFT
Microsoft
520.84
117.91
29.26%
SONY
Sony Group
26.03
9.21
54.76%
DELL
Dell Technologies
133.93
43.03
47.34%

Apple Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Apple Appoints Sabih Khan as New COO
Neutral
Jul 25, 2025

Apple Inc. announced that Sabih Khan has been appointed as the new Chief Operating Officer, effective July 25, 2025, succeeding Jeff Williams. Khan, who has been with Apple since 1995, previously held senior positions in operations and product operations, and his appointment is part of a planned transition by the company.

The most recent analyst rating on (AAPL) stock is a Hold with a $211.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Apple stock, see the AAPL Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Apple Announces Leadership Transition with New COO
Neutral
Jul 9, 2025

On July 8, 2025, Apple Inc. announced a leadership transition as Jeff Williams will step down as Chief Operating Officer later this month, with Sabih Khan, the Senior Vice President of Operations, taking over the role. This change is part of a long-planned succession, with Williams continuing to oversee Apple’s design team and health initiatives until his retirement later in the year, after which the design team will report directly to CEO Tim Cook.

The most recent analyst rating on (AAPL) stock is a Hold with a $211.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Apple stock, see the AAPL Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Apple Completes $4.5 Billion Notes Issuance
Neutral
May 12, 2025

On May 12, 2025, Apple Inc. completed the issuance and sale of $4.5 billion in aggregate principal amount of notes with varying maturity dates from 2028 to 2035. These notes, issued under an underwriting agreement with major financial institutions, represent senior unsecured obligations and are part of Apple’s strategy to manage its debt portfolio, potentially impacting its financial flexibility and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (AAPL) stock is a Hold with a $211.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Apple stock, see the AAPL Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 07, 2025