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Apple Inc (AAPL)
NASDAQ:AAPL
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Apple (AAPL) AI Stock Analysis

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AAPL

Apple

(NASDAQ:AAPL)

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Outperform 75 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
$348.00
â–²(4.50% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/01/26
The score is driven primarily by Apple’s exceptional profitability and cash-flow strength. The latest earnings call supports solid demand and growth but tempers upside with near-term supply, cost, and FX headwinds plus higher opex. Offsetting these positives, technicals show near-term weakness versus the 20DMA, and valuation is relatively expensive with a low dividend yield.
Positive Factors
High Margins
Sustained gross and net margins near 48% and 27% demonstrate durable pricing power across devices and services. These margins reflect operating scale, software mix and cost discipline that preserve profitability through product cycles and fund long-term R&D and ecosystem investments.
Negative Factors
Supply Constraints
Constraints tied to limited availability of advanced process nodes for SoCs are structural in nature and expected to intensify. Prolonged foundry shortages can restrict product shipments, slow revenue growth and delay new product rollouts for several quarters, reducing upside.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
High Margins
Sustained gross and net margins near 48% and 27% demonstrate durable pricing power across devices and services. These margins reflect operating scale, software mix and cost discipline that preserve profitability through product cycles and fund long-term R&D and ecosystem investments.
Read all positive factors

Apple Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography
Breaks down revenue across different regions, revealing where the company is strongest and where it may face risk or growth potential due to local economic conditions or market share shifts.
Chart InsightsApple’s geographic recovery is broad-based—Dec 2025 marks a clear inflection as Greater China and Europe rebound hardest, turning earlier softness into meaningful revenue upside alongside the Americas and Asia Pacific, fueled by iPhone 17 demand and record Services in March. Management confirmed March records across every region, but cautioned that SoC-driven supply limits (notably Macs) and rising memory costs could constrain near-term product upside and compress margins even as top-line momentum continues.
Data provided by:The Fly

Apple (AAPL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Apple Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Apple Inc. is a global technology corporation that specializes in the conceptualization, production, and sale of a diverse suite of electronic devices. Its comprehensive hardware lineup features the well-known iPhone smartphones, Mac personal comp...
How the Company Makes Money
Apple makes money primarily by selling hardware devices and by monetizing services that run on or complement its installed base of devices. (1) Product revenue: The largest portion of Apple’s revenue historically comes from selling iPhone, with ad...

Apple Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 30, 2026
(Q3-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call highlighted strong demand and multiple record results — total company revenue (+16%), iPhone (+22%), Mac (+29%), and services (+12%) — along with robust profitability, cash generation, strategic U.S. investments and major AI product momentum (Siri AI). Key challenges include intensifying supply constraints tied to advanced SoC nodes, pronounced memory price inflation that pressures gross margins, FX headwinds, and some services/App Store softness (mobile gaming and regulatory impacts). Management provided conservative near-term guidance (September growth 9%-11%) reflecting these headwinds but emphasized continuing strong underlying demand and long-term AI and ecosystem opportunities.
Positive Updates
Record Quarterly Revenue
Total revenue of $109.4 billion, up 16% year-over-year, a June-quarter record despite supply constraints and FX headwinds.
Negative Updates
Supply Constraints Intensifying
Management expects supply constraints to increase significantly in the September quarter, affecting iPhone, Mac, and iPad; constraints primarily tied to limited availability of advanced process nodes for SoCs and reduced supply-chain flexibility.
Read all updates
Q3-2026 Updates
Negative
Record Quarterly Revenue
Total revenue of $109.4 billion, up 16% year-over-year, a June-quarter record despite supply constraints and FX headwinds.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
For the September quarter Apple guided total company revenue growth of 9%–11% year‑over‑year, noting a ~2.5 percentage‑point sequential foreign‑exchange headwind from the June quarter and that supply constraints (impacting iPhone, Mac, and iPad) are expected to increase significantly; iPhone revenue was forecast to grow in the mid‑teens Y/Y (despite FX and supply headwinds) while services growth was expected to be largely similar to the June quarter after removing the ~2.5 percentage‑point FX drag. They forecast company gross margin of 47%–48% (including an expected ~1 percentage‑point benefit from tariff refunds), operating expenses of $19.1B–$19.4B, other income/expense around $350M (excluding mark‑to‑market on minority investments), and a tax rate near 16.5%, and reiterated that guidance assumes current tariff policies and no worsening of the global macro outlook.

Apple Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Fundamentals are strong overall: elite profitability and margins (TTM gross margin ~47.9%, net margin ~27.2%) and very strong cash generation (TTM FCF ~$143.5B, ~11% FCF growth, high earnings-to-cash conversion). Balance sheet is improved but not conservative, with leverage still meaningful despite better debt-to-equity (~0.80) and higher equity.
Income Statement
92
Very Positive
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
Cash Flow
88
Very Positive
BreakdownTTMSep 2025Sep 2024Sep 2023Sep 2022Sep 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue466.82B416.16B391.04B383.29B394.33B365.82B
Gross Profit227.12B195.20B180.68B169.15B170.78B152.84B
EBITDA168.49B144.43B134.93B129.19B133.14B123.14B
Net Income128.93B112.01B93.74B97.00B99.80B94.68B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets383.27B359.24B364.98B352.58B352.75B351.00B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments62.40B54.70B65.17B61.55B48.30B62.64B
Total Debt84.31B112.38B119.06B123.93B132.48B136.52B
Total Liabilities275.75B285.51B308.03B290.44B302.08B287.91B
Stockholders Equity107.52B73.73B56.95B62.15B50.67B63.09B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow136.68B98.77B108.81B99.58B111.44B92.95B
Operating Cash Flow146.72B111.48B118.25B110.54B122.15B104.04B
Investing Cash Flow-21.40B15.20B2.94B3.71B-22.35B-14.54B
Financing Cash Flow-122.05B-120.69B-121.98B-108.49B-110.75B-93.35B

Apple Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price333.02
Price Trends
50DMA
309.44
Negative
100DMA
291.53
Positive
200DMA
279.12
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.09
Positive
RSI
44.27
Neutral
STOCH
25.02
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AAPL, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 333.02 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 322.71, above the 50-day MA of 309.44, and above the 200-day MA of 279.12, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.09 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 44.27 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 25.02 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AAPL.

Apple Risk Analysis

Apple disclosed 28 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Apple reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Apple Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
83
Outperform
$3.76T27.9933.22%0.77%17.79%31.42%
79
Outperform
$4.36T17.0750.84%0.26%20.23%112.71%
75
Outperform
$4.50T35.19137.18%0.32%14.24%32.57%
73
Outperform
$1.52T22.2629.73%0.35%27.65%-5.02%
71
Outperform
$296.83B34.42-363.24%0.53%38.87%99.71%
63
Neutral
$139.96B-102.42-2.74%0.76%-1.74%-118.42%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AAPL
Apple
304.91
76.11
33.26%
META
Meta Platforms
599.12
-188.30
-23.91%
GOOGL
Alphabet Class A
343.80
141.04
69.56%
MSFT
Microsoft
503.81
-21.24
-4.04%
SONY
Sony Group
23.61
-2.90
-10.95%
DELL
Dell Technologies
440.97
301.11
215.30%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 01, 2026