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Amazon (AMZN)
NASDAQ:AMZN

Amazon (AMZN) AI Stock Analysis

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AM

Amazon

(NASDAQ:AMZN)

72Outperform
Amazon's strong financial performance and positive earnings call results are significant strengths, underscoring its growth in key areas like AWS and advertising. However, technical analysis indicates bearish trends, and a high P/E ratio raises valuation concerns. Despite these challenges, Amazon’s strategic initiatives and robust financials provide confidence in its long-term potential.
Positive Factors
AI Integration
AMZN remains well-positioned to weather any economic and consumer spending environment driven by its robust e-commerce and fulfillment capabilities and as it continues to lean into AI integration and innovation to drive revenue, cash flow growth and increasing shareholder value.
Operating Profit
Amazon's total operating profit exceeded estimates, mainly driven by an operating margin beat in the AWS segment, thanks to ongoing operating efficiency improvement.
Negative Factors
Project Kuiper Expenses
There is a reduction in revenue and operating profit forecasts for 2025 to 2027 due to additional expenses related to Project Kuiper.
Tariff-related Costs
Management has recorded one-time charges related to unresolved historical customer returns and costs associated with inventory pulled forward ahead of anticipated tariffs.

Amazon (AMZN) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Amazon Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAmazon (AMZN) is a multinational technology company primarily operating in the e-commerce, cloud computing, digital streaming, and artificial intelligence sectors. Founded in 1994 by Jeff Bezos, Amazon has become one of the world's largest online retailers, offering a vast selection of goods and services ranging from electronics and apparel to groceries and digital content. The company also provides cloud computing services through Amazon Web Services (AWS), a leading platform that powers businesses and government agencies globally.
How the Company Makes MoneyAmazon generates revenue through multiple key streams. Its e-commerce platform is a primary source, earning money from both direct sales of products and fees from third-party sellers using its marketplace. Amazon Prime, a subscription service, offers members benefits like free shipping and access to streaming content, contributing significantly to recurring revenue. AWS is another substantial revenue driver, providing cloud computing and storage solutions to companies worldwide, with a high-margin business model. Additionally, Amazon earns from its advertising services, which allow brands to promote their products on Amazon's websites and apps. Other revenue streams include Amazon's physical stores, such as Whole Foods Market, and various digital services, including Kindle and Audible. Strategic partnerships and acquisitions further bolster its financial performance, enhancing its technology and expanding its market reach.

Amazon Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
AWS Performance Obligations
AWS Performance Obligations
Tracks future revenue commitments for AWS services, shedding light on the growth trajectory and demand for Amazon's cloud computing business.
Chart InsightsAWS performance obligations have shown consistent growth, reaching $177 billion by the end of 2024, reflecting strong demand for AWS services. The earnings call highlighted a 19% year-over-year growth in AWS revenue, driven by advancements in AI offerings. However, capacity constraints due to chip shortages and power limitations have tempered growth, though these are expected to ease by late 2025. This suggests that while AWS continues to be a robust growth driver for Amazon, operational challenges need addressing to fully capitalize on market opportunities.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Amazon Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Amazon demonstrates solid financial performance with strong profitability, efficient operations, and a stable balance sheet. Revenue growth and profitability metrics are robust, supporting an optimistic outlook. The balance sheet is well-managed, though reducing debt could enhance financial flexibility. Cash flow remains strong, though the decline in free cash flow should be monitored. Overall, Amazon's financial health is commendable, reflecting its position as a leading player in the specialty retail sector.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Amazon's income statement reveals strong profitability and growth. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) gross profit margin stands at 45.37%, indicating solid cost management. The net profit margin is a robust 10.14%, showcasing effective conversion of revenues into profit. Revenue growth is consistent, with a 2% increase from the previous year, reflecting steady expansion. EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy at 11.02% and 17.98% respectively, underscoring operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
Amazon's balance sheet is strong, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.44, indicating prudent leverage. The return on equity (ROE) is a solid 21.56%, highlighting effective use of shareholder funds. The equity ratio is 47.54%, reflecting a stable capital structure with significant equity financing. Overall, the company maintains a healthy balance between debt and equity, although there is room for improvement in reducing total debt.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
The cash flow statement shows robust operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.73, indicating strong cash generation capabilities. However, the free cash flow has decreased by 36.67% compared to the previous year, which could be a concern. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.32, suggesting moderate cash conversion efficiency. Overall, while operating cash flow remains strong, the decline in free cash flow warrants attention.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
637.96B574.78B513.98B469.82B386.06B
Gross Profit
311.67B270.05B225.15B197.48B152.76B
EBIT
68.59B36.85B12.25B24.88B22.90B
EBITDA
123.81B89.40B38.35B74.39B51.01B
Net Income Common Stockholders
59.25B30.43B-2.72B33.36B21.33B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
101.20B86.78B70.03B96.05B84.40B
Total Assets
624.89B527.85B462.68B420.55B321.19B
Total Debt
130.90B135.61B140.12B116.39B84.39B
Net Debt
52.12B62.22B86.23B80.17B42.27B
Total Liabilities
338.92B325.98B316.63B282.30B227.79B
Stockholders Equity
285.97B201.88B146.04B138.25B93.40B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
32.88B32.22B-16.89B-14.73B25.92B
Operating Cash Flow
115.88B84.95B46.75B46.33B66.06B
Investing Cash Flow
-94.34B-49.83B-37.60B-58.15B-59.61B
Financing Cash Flow
-11.81B-15.88B9.72B6.29B-1.10B

Amazon Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price192.08
Price Trends
50DMA
190.55
Positive
100DMA
208.93
Negative
200DMA
199.11
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.17
Negative
RSI
54.87
Neutral
STOCH
66.55
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AMZN, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 192.08 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 183.16, above the 50-day MA of 190.55, and below the 200-day MA of 199.11, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.17 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 54.87 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 66.55 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for AMZN.

Amazon Risk Analysis

Amazon disclosed 24 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Amazon reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Amazon Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$304.76B17.8011.97%0.80%4.28%28.42%
PDPDD
78
Outperform
$154.97B10.5445.06%57.51%82.28%
77
Outperform
$113.00B59.1349.11%41.92%81.11%
SESE
76
Outperform
$83.52B190.975.93%28.46%185.04%
JDJD
72
Outperform
$48.64B9.1217.55%2.90%5.20%77.60%
72
Outperform
$1.96T30.1725.24%10.08%71.88%
61
Neutral
$6.59B11.773.06%3.98%2.56%-20.85%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AMZN
Amazon
192.08
2.58
1.36%
MELI
Mercadolibre
2,410.00
714.60
42.15%
JD
JD
34.12
1.75
5.41%
BABA
Alibaba
125.79
48.00
61.70%
SE
Sea
145.82
79.83
120.97%
PDD
PDD Holdings
109.90
-26.48
-19.42%

Amazon Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 01, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 0.99%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 31, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong revenue growth and operational performance, particularly in Amazon Ads and AWS. There were concerns about potential impacts from tariffs and some one-time charges affecting operating margins, but these did not overshadow the positive financial results and innovations in AI and delivery speed improvements.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth and Operating Income Increase
Amazon reported $165.7 billion in revenue for Q1 2025, up 10% year-over-year, excluding the impact from foreign exchange rates. Operating income increased by 20% year-over-year to $18.4 billion.
Amazon Ads Success
Amazon Ads generated $13.9 billion in revenue, growing 19% year-over-year, demonstrating strong growth across its advertising offerings.
AWS Performance and AI Expansion
AWS grew 17% year-over-year to a $117 billion annualized revenue run rate. The AI business showed a multi-billion dollar annual revenue run rate, growing in triple-digit percentages year-over-year.
Record Delivery Speeds
Amazon set new delivery speed records, delivering more items in the same day or next day in Q1 than any other quarter in its history.
Negative Updates
Impact of Tariffs and Inventory Challenges
Amazon faced potential challenges from heightened tariffs, leading to some forward buying and increased inventory costs.
One-Time Charges Affecting Operating Margins
One-time charges related to historical customer returns and costs to receive inventory impacted operating margins in North America and international segments.
Company Guidance
In the Amazon Q1 2025 financial results call, the company provided guidance incorporating several metrics. Amazon reported $165.7 billion in revenue, marking a 10% year-over-year increase, excluding foreign exchange impacts. Operating income reached $18.4 billion, up 20% from the previous year. The trailing 12-month free cash flow stood at $25.9 billion. The company highlighted its achievements in delivery speed, setting new records for same-day and next-day deliveries, and emphasized the efficiency of its regionalized fulfillment network. Amazon Ads generated $13.9 billion in revenue, growing 19% year-over-year. AWS, Amazon's cloud segment, achieved a 17% year-over-year growth, resulting in a $117 billion annualized revenue run rate. The call also addressed potential impacts from tariffs and outlined Amazon's strategic focus on maintaining low prices and broad selection amidst uncertain economic conditions.

Amazon Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Amazon’s Recent Regulation FD Disclosure Event
Positive
Apr 10, 2025

In 2024, Amazon experienced strong financial growth, with total revenue increasing by 11% year-over-year to $638 billion, and operating income improving by 86% to $68.6 billion. The company expanded its product offerings and services, including advancements in AI and infrastructure through AWS, and continued to enhance customer experiences across its platforms. Amazon’s commitment to innovation and customer satisfaction is reflected in its ‘Why Culture,’ which emphasizes curiosity and problem-solving to drive success.

Spark’s Take on AMZN Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, AMZN is a Outperform.

Amazon’s stock is bolstered by strong financial performance and positive earnings call outcomes, highlighting growth in key areas like AWS and advertising. However, technical analysis indicates bearish trends, and a high P/E ratio raises valuation concerns. The company’s strategic initiatives and robust financials provide confidence in long-term potential despite current market challenges.

To see Spark’s full report on AMZN stock, click here.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.