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Amazon (AMZN)
NASDAQ:AMZN

Amazon (AMZN) AI Stock Analysis

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AMZN

Amazon

(NASDAQ:AMZN)

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Neutral 69 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
$232.00
▲(11.79% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/17/26
The score is driven primarily by strong financial performance (profitability and balance-sheet improvement) and a generally positive earnings outlook tied to AWS/AI and ads momentum. These strengths are tempered by weak technical signals and a premium valuation, while elevated capex and softer free-cash-flow conversion remain key near-term risks.
Positive Factors
AWS scale & margins
AWS's sustained high margin (~35%) and accelerating 24% growth reflect durable enterprise demand for cloud and AI infrastructure. Large, profitable scale and in-house silicon (Trainium/Graviton) strengthen a competitive moat, supporting long-term cash generation and reinvestment capacity.
Negative Factors
CapEx intensity and free cash flow strain
Planned multi‑year CapEx (management cited ~ $200B) versus sharply lower free cash flow creates a durable near‑term funding drag. Persistent heavy reinvestment lengthens payback periods and reduces financial optionality for returns or opportunistic uses of cash.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
AWS scale & margins
AWS's sustained high margin (~35%) and accelerating 24% growth reflect durable enterprise demand for cloud and AI infrastructure. Large, profitable scale and in-house silicon (Trainium/Graviton) strengthen a competitive moat, supporting long-term cash generation and reinvestment capacity.
Read all positive factors

Amazon (AMZN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Amazon Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Amazon.com, Inc. engages in the retail sale of consumer products and subscriptions through online and physical stores in North America and internationally. The company operates through three segments: North America, International, and Amazon Web S...
How the Company Makes Money
Amazon makes money through multiple major revenue streams: (1) Online stores and physical stores: direct sales of products to consumers via Amazon’s websites and owned retail formats, earning revenue at the point of sale (with profitability influe...

Amazon Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography
Breaks down revenue across different regions, revealing where the company is strongest and where it may face risk or growth potential due to local economic conditions or market share shifts.
Chart InsightsNorth America remains the largest revenue engine, but both regions show clear acceleration since 2023 with pronounced Q4 seasonality; importantly, International is growing faster from its 2022 trough and is materially gaining share by late‑2025. That shift diversifies Amazon away from U.S. consumer cyclicality but could pressure near‑term margins as international monetization and logistics dynamics differ. Investors should focus on whether management can convert faster international top‑line into comparable margin and ARPU expansion, because sustained overseas momentum would change growth and valuation drivers.
Data provided by:The Fly

Amazon Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 05, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 23, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call emphasized accelerating growth in AWS (24% YoY) and strong momentum across AI infrastructure, chips, advertising, and retail innovations. Key topline and cash flow metrics improved (revenue +12% ex-FX; operating cash flow +20% YoY), and product traction (Bedrock, Trainium/Graviton, agents, Prime delivery improvements) points to durable long-term opportunities. Near-term headwinds include $2.4 billion of special charges (tax, severance, store impairments), heavy planned capital expenditures (~$200 billion) that may pressure free cash flow in the short term, and ongoing Amazon LEO and AI capacity build costs that are currently expensed. Overall, the positives around accelerated AWS/AI demand, strong ads and retail performance, and a large committed investment program outweigh the near-term charges and capital intensity, suggesting constructive long-term prospects despite near-term expense and capacity constraints.
Positive Updates
Revenue and Overall Profitability
Worldwide revenue of $213.4 billion, up 12% year-over-year (ex-FX). Reported operating income of $25.0 billion. Trailing twelve-month free cash flow was $11.2 billion. Full-year operating cash flow rose to $139.5 billion, up 20% year-over-year.
Negative Updates
Special Charges Reduced Operating Income
Q4 operating income included $2.4 billion of special charges: $1.1 billion for tax dispute resolution and lawsuit (primarily international/stores), $730 million estimated severance (across segments), and $610 million of asset impairments (primarily physical stores). These charges materially reduced reported operating income in the quarter.
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Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Revenue and Overall Profitability
Worldwide revenue of $213.4 billion, up 12% year-over-year (ex-FX). Reported operating income of $25.0 billion. Trailing twelve-month free cash flow was $11.2 billion. Full-year operating cash flow rose to $139.5 billion, up 20% year-over-year.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
The company guided Q1 net sales of $173.5–$178.5 billion (anticipating a roughly 180 basis‑point favorable FX impact) and provided a Q1 operating income range in the call transcript (the transcript’s figure appears garbled), reiterated a plan to invest about $200 billion of capital expenditures (predominantly in AWS), and flagged an approximately $1 billion year‑over‑year North America cost increase in Q1 related to Amazon LEO (with >20 LEO launches planned in 2026, >30 in 2027 and commercial service expected in 2026); the guidance reflects current order trends, assumes no additional acquisitions/restructurings/legal settlements, and is subject to risks from FX, energy, macro conditions and other factors.

Amazon Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong profitability and scale with meaningful margin expansion and improving leverage support a high score, reinforced by solid returns on equity. The key drag is cash-flow quality: despite record operating cash flow, free cash flow fell sharply in 2025 and trailed earnings, signaling volatile cash conversion and heavy reinvestment needs.
Income Statement
86
Very Positive
Balance Sheet
82
Very Positive
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue716.92B637.96B574.78B513.98B469.82B
Gross Profit360.51B311.67B270.05B225.15B197.48B
EBITDA165.34B123.81B89.40B38.35B74.39B
Net Income77.67B59.25B30.43B-2.72B33.36B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets818.04B624.89B527.85B462.68B420.55B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments123.03B101.20B86.78B70.03B96.05B
Total Debt152.99B130.90B135.61B140.12B116.39B
Total Liabilities406.98B338.92B325.98B316.63B282.30B
Stockholders Equity411.06B285.97B201.88B146.04B138.25B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow7.70B32.88B32.22B-16.89B-14.73B
Operating Cash Flow139.51B115.88B84.95B46.75B46.33B
Investing Cash Flow-142.54B-94.34B-49.83B-37.60B-58.15B
Financing Cash Flow9.66B-11.81B-15.88B9.72B6.29B

Amazon Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price207.54
Price Trends
50DMA
217.95
Negative
100DMA
225.99
Negative
200DMA
224.77
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.98
Negative
RSI
44.95
Neutral
STOCH
39.65
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AMZN, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 207.54 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 211.07, below the 50-day MA of 217.95, and below the 200-day MA of 224.77, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.98 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 44.95 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 39.65 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AMZN.

Amazon Risk Analysis

Amazon disclosed 24 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Amazon reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Amazon Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$3.40T28.6935.00%0.26%13.55%34.26%
74
Outperform
$2.72T23.3633.61%0.71%16.67%28.60%
69
Neutral
$2.23T31.6721.87%11.48%50.70%
69
Neutral
C$208.59B166.8910.02%33.71%28.57%
68
Neutral
$264.23B36.818.82%1.31%5.14%50.76%
67
Neutral
$40.06B19.3442.68%1.38%4.89%17.30%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AMZN
Amazon
199.34
6.62
3.44%
EBAY
eBay
87.98
21.75
32.85%
MSFT
Microsoft
356.77
-20.01
-5.31%
BABA
Alibaba
122.69
-7.56
-5.80%
TSE:SHOP
Shopify
155.42
17.17
12.42%
GOOG
Alphabet Class C
273.76
118.24
76.03%

Amazon Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Amazon Completes Major Multi-Tranche Euro Bond Issuance
Positive
Mar 16, 2026
On March 16, 2026, Amazon.com, Inc. completed the sale of €14.473 billion of euro‑denominated notes across multiple maturities, including floating rate notes due 2028 and fixed‑rate tranches maturing between 2028 and 2064. After ...
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Amazon Completes Massive Multi-Tranche Corporate Debt Offering
Positive
Mar 13, 2026
On March 13, 2026, Amazon.com, Inc. closed a massive multi‑tranche debt offering, issuing a total of $36.898 billion in notes across floating‑rate and fixed‑rate maturities ranging from 2028 to 2076. The transaction, underwritten...
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Amazon Deepens OpenAI Partnership With Major AI Investment
Positive
Feb 27, 2026
On February 27, 2026, Amazon and OpenAI announced a multi-year strategic partnership under which Amazon will invest a total of $50 billion in OpenAI, including an immediate $15 billion Series C preferred investment and a separate, conditional $35 ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 17, 2026