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Amazon (AMZN)
NASDAQ:AMZN

Amazon (AMZN) AI Stock Analysis

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AMZN

Amazon

(NASDAQ:AMZN)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$240.00
▲(5.56% Upside)
Amazon's overall stock score is driven by strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment, particularly in AWS and advertising growth. However, technical analysis indicates short-term weakness, and the high P/E ratio suggests a premium valuation. Cash flow management remains an area for improvement.
Positive Factors
AWS Growth
AWS's robust growth underscores its critical role in Amazon's profitability, providing a durable competitive advantage in the cloud computing market.
Innovation in Grocery Delivery
Expansion in grocery delivery enhances Amazon's market position, leveraging logistics capabilities to capture more of the consumer grocery market.
Advertising Revenue Growth
Strong growth in advertising revenue highlights Amazon's ability to monetize its platform, providing a high-margin revenue stream that supports overall profitability.
Negative Factors
Special Charges Impacting Operating Income
Significant special charges can strain financial performance, impacting cash flow and potentially limiting investment in growth initiatives.
Decline in Free Cash Flow
A decline in free cash flow can hinder Amazon's ability to fund strategic initiatives and respond to competitive pressures, affecting long-term growth.
Headcount Adjustments
Headcount reductions may disrupt operations and morale, potentially impacting productivity and innovation in the short to medium term.

Amazon (AMZN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Amazon Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAmazon.com, Inc. is a multinational technology company based in Seattle, Washington, primarily known for its e-commerce platform. Founded by Jeff Bezos in 1994, Amazon has expanded its business into various sectors including cloud computing (Amazon Web Services), digital streaming (Amazon Prime Video), artificial intelligence, and consumer electronics (such as Kindle and Echo devices). The company operates a vast online marketplace, offering a wide range of products and services to consumers, businesses, and third-party sellers globally.
How the Company Makes MoneyAmazon generates revenue through a diversified business model, with key revenue streams including e-commerce sales, subscription services, and cloud computing. The e-commerce segment earns money from retail sales of products and services sold directly by Amazon, as well as commissions from third-party sellers who list their products on Amazon's marketplace. Subscription services, notably Amazon Prime, provide a steady income through membership fees, offering benefits like free shipping and access to streaming content. Additionally, Amazon Web Services (AWS) is a significant revenue driver, providing cloud computing services and solutions to businesses and government agencies. The company also earns from advertising services, allowing brands to promote their products on Amazon's platform. Strategic partnerships and collaborations, such as those with payment processors and content creators, further enhance its earnings potential.

Amazon Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography
Breaks down revenue across different regions, revealing where the company is strongest and where it may face risk or growth potential due to local economic conditions or market share shifts.
Chart InsightsAmazon's North American revenue continues to show robust growth, reflecting the company's strategic investments in AI and cloud services, as highlighted in the earnings call. The international segment, while growing, lags behind, possibly due to economic pressures and currency fluctuations. The earnings call emphasized strong performance in AWS and advertising, with significant innovations in grocery delivery and fulfillment infrastructure. Despite some operational setbacks, such as special charges and headcount adjustments, Amazon's commitment to expanding its service offerings and enhancing delivery speeds positions it well for future growth.
Data provided by:The Fly

Amazon Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 30, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong revenue growth, particularly in AWS and advertising, alongside significant innovations in various sectors like grocery delivery and AI. However, special charges and recent headcount adjustments presented challenges. The overall sentiment reflects a positive trajectory despite some operational setbacks.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth
Amazon reported $180.2 billion in revenue for Q3 2025, up 12% year-over-year, excluding the impact of foreign exchange rates.
AWS Growth
AWS revenue grew by 20.2% year-over-year, the largest growth rate in 11 quarters, with a backlog growing to $200 billion by quarter-end.
Amazon Ads Revenue
Amazon's advertising revenue grew 22% year-over-year, totaling $17.6 billion in the quarter.
Innovation in Grocery Delivery
Amazon expanded its fresh grocery delivery to over 1,000 cities, with plans to reach 2,300 by year-end, enhancing customer experience with same-day delivery.
Increased Prime Delivery Speeds
Amazon is on track to deliver at its fastest speeds ever for Prime members globally, with 3-hour delivery rolling out in select U.S. cities.
Negative Updates
Special Charges Impacting Operating Income
Operating income was reduced by $4.3 billion due to a $2.5 billion FTC settlement and $1.8 billion in severance costs.
Headcount Adjustments
Recent announcements regarding headcount reductions were driven by cultural and structural adjustments rather than financial or AI-driven reasons.
Company Guidance
During Amazon's Q3 2025 financial results call, the company provided detailed guidance reflecting their performance and future outlook. Revenue for the quarter reached $180.2 billion, marking a 12% year-over-year increase, while operating income stood at $17.4 billion despite special expenses. AWS demonstrated significant growth, with a 20.2% year-over-year increase, reaching a $132 billion annualized run rate. Notably, AWS's backlog grew to $200 billion. The call highlighted the substantial investment in AI and cloud services, including the launch of Project Rainier, which features nearly 500,000 Trainium2 chips. Amazon's advertising revenue also grew by 22%, reaching $17.6 billion, with strong performance across their full-funnel advertising offerings. The call underscored Amazon's commitment to expanding their grocery delivery network, enhancing robotics and automation, and exploring opportunities in agentic commerce. Looking ahead, Amazon plans to invest significantly in fulfillment and transportation, with expected cash CapEx of approximately $125 billion for 2025, and an increase projected for 2026.

Amazon Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Amazon's financial performance is strong, with robust revenue growth and profitability metrics. The income statement shows a significant revenue increase and healthy profit margins. The balance sheet reflects manageable leverage and efficient use of equity, while cash flow statements indicate strong operational cash generation despite high capital expenditures.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Amazon's income statement shows robust growth and profitability. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) period reflects a significant revenue increase with a Gross Profit Margin of approximately 45.7% and a Net Profit Margin of 10.5%, indicating strong operational efficiency. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also healthy at 11.4% and 19.2% respectively, highlighting substantial earnings before interest and taxes. Revenue growth from the previous year is impressive at 5%, demonstrating Amazon's ability to scale effectively.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet is strong with substantial equity represented by a Debt-to-Equity Ratio of 0.40, indicating manageable leverage levels. The Return on Equity (ROE) is an impressive 21.2%, reflecting efficient use of equity to generate profits. An Equity Ratio of 48.9% suggests a solid capital structure with a good balance between debt and equity financing, although there is room for improvement in asset management.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Amazon's cash flow statements show strong operational cash generation with a positive Free Cash Flow to Net Income ratio, demonstrating efficient cash management. The Free Cash Flow Growth Rate is negative, primarily due to high capital expenditures, but the company maintains a healthy Operating Cash Flow to Net Income ratio of 1.72, indicating strong cash flow relative to net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue691.33B637.96B574.78B513.98B469.82B386.06B
Gross Profit345.98B311.67B270.05B225.15B197.48B152.76B
EBITDA157.14B123.81B89.40B38.35B74.39B51.01B
Net Income76.48B59.25B30.43B-2.72B33.36B21.33B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets727.92B624.89B527.85B462.68B420.55B321.19B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments94.20B101.20B86.78B70.03B96.05B84.40B
Total Debt135.42B130.90B135.61B140.12B116.39B84.39B
Total Liabilities358.29B338.92B325.98B316.63B282.30B227.79B
Stockholders Equity369.63B285.97B201.88B146.04B138.25B93.40B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow10.56B32.88B32.22B-16.89B-14.73B25.92B
Operating Cash Flow130.69B115.88B84.95B46.75B46.33B66.06B
Investing Cash Flow-132.74B-94.34B-49.83B-37.60B-58.15B-59.61B
Financing Cash Flow-5.94B-11.81B-15.88B9.72B6.29B-1.10B

Amazon Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price227.35
Price Trends
50DMA
229.27
Negative
100DMA
227.64
Negative
200DMA
215.64
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.65
Positive
RSI
48.49
Neutral
STOCH
36.19
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AMZN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 227.35 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 228.09, below the 50-day MA of 229.27, and above the 200-day MA of 215.64, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -1.65 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 48.49 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 36.19 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AMZN.

Amazon Risk Analysis

Amazon disclosed 24 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Amazon reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Amazon Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
82
Outperform
$3.71T30.4435.45%0.27%13.55%34.26%
79
Outperform
$3.61T34.5732.24%0.71%15.59%15.89%
77
Outperform
C$304.37B124.6215.74%33.71%28.57%
71
Outperform
$2.43T32.1224.33%11.48%50.70%
70
Outperform
$38.27B18.4242.43%1.37%4.89%17.30%
68
Neutral
$356.46B19.9712.39%1.32%5.14%50.76%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AMZN
Amazon
227.35
2.29
1.02%
EBAY
eBay
84.66
21.99
35.09%
MSFT
Microsoft
485.92
53.86
12.47%
BABA
Alibaba
149.79
66.05
78.88%
TSE:SHOP
Shopify
233.80
76.75
48.87%
GOOG
Alphabet Class C
308.61
113.38
58.08%

Amazon Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Amazon Closes $14.961 Billion Notes Sale
Neutral
Nov 20, 2025

On November 20, 2025, Amazon.com, Inc. successfully closed the sale of $14.961 billion in aggregate principal amount of notes with varying maturity dates ranging from 2028 to 2065. This financial move, involving major underwriters such as Goldman Sachs, J.P. Morgan, and Morgan Stanley, is expected to generate approximately $14.926 billion in net proceeds, potentially impacting Amazon’s financial strategy and market positioning.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 21, 2025