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Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR)
:PLTR

Palantir Technologies (PLTR) AI Stock Analysis

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Palantir Technologies

(NASDAQ:PLTR)

Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$146.00
▲(2.01%Upside)
Palantir Technologies scores well due to its strong financial performance and positive earnings call outlook, driven by significant U.S. market growth and strategic focus on AI. However, the high P/E ratio indicates potential overvaluation, and challenges in international markets pose risks.
Positive Factors
Government Contracts
Palantir was awarded a $219 million contract extension for its existing Kobayashi Maru contract for space command and control.
Market Expansion
The Middle East was identified as a large opportunity with strong pipelines building in Saudi Arabia, UAE, and Qatar on both Commercial and Government sides.
Product Adoption
Adoption by the U.S. Combatant Commands for the first year has been far greater than expectations.
Negative Factors
Competition
Today's contract announcement could signal increased competition from OpenAI going forward if OpenAI moves into Palantir's ontology territory.
European Market Challenges
European commercial trends are still challenging, with a lack of buyer urgency for AI, making it not a key investment area for Palantir.
Valuation Concerns
Concerns remain on how the stock can grow into its valuation, especially if the magnitude of positive revisions slows or large contracts don't materialize as expected.

Palantir Technologies (PLTR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Palantir Technologies Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPalantir Technologies Inc. builds and deploys software platforms for the intelligence community to assist in counterterrorism investigations and operations in the United States, the United Kingdom, and internationally. The company provides Palantir Gotham, a software platform which enables users to identify patterns hidden deep within datasets, ranging from signals intelligence sources to reports from confidential informants, as well as facilitates the handoff between analysts and operational users, helping operators plan and execute real-world responses to threats that have been identified within the platform. It also offers Palantir Foundry, a platform that transforms the ways organizations operate by creating a central operating system for their data; and allows individual users to integrate and analyze the data they need in one place. In addition, it provides Palantir Apollo, a software that delivers software and updates across the business, as well as enables customers to deploy their software virtually in any environment; and Palantir Artificial Intelligence Platform (AIP) that provides unified access to open-source, self-hosted, and commercial large language models (LLM) that can transform structured and unstructured data into LLM-understandable objects and can turn organizations' actions and processes into tools for humans and LLM-driven agents. The company was incorporated in 2003 and is headquartered in Denver, Colorado.
How the Company Makes MoneyPalantir Technologies makes money primarily through the sale of its software platforms and related services. The company's revenue model is based on long-term contracts with government agencies and commercial enterprises, who use Palantir's platforms for data integration and analytics solutions. Key revenue streams include software subscription fees, professional services, and ongoing support and maintenance. Palantir has significant partnerships with various government sectors, including defense and intelligence agencies, which contribute to a substantial portion of its earnings. The company also generates revenue from commercial clients across industries like healthcare, automotive, and energy, by helping them leverage data to optimize operations and drive business outcomes.

Palantir Technologies Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Total Customers
Total Customers
Shows the number of clients using the company’s services, reflecting market reach and potential for revenue growth.
Chart InsightsPalantir's customer base has been expanding rapidly, with a 39% year-over-year increase to 769 customers by Q1 2025. This growth aligns with the company's strategic focus on AI-driven solutions, particularly in the U.S. market, where revenue surged 55%. Despite challenges in international markets, especially in Europe, Palantir's strong performance in the U.S. commercial and government sectors underscores its robust growth trajectory and strategic positioning. The company's raised revenue guidance and impressive financial metrics further highlight its momentum and potential for sustained expansion.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Palantir Technologies Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 05, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 15.64%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 11, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong revenue growth across various segments, particularly in the US market, and a significant demand for AI products. However, there were challenges in the international commercial market, particularly in Europe. The company's financial and operational metrics are robust, and it has a positive outlook for the future.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
Revenue grew 39% year-over-year, exceeding guidance by nearly 350 basis points. US revenue grew 55% year-over-year and 13% sequentially.
US Commercial Business Milestone
Surpassed $1 billion annual run rate in US commercial business for the first time, with 71% year-over-year growth.
Significant Demand for AIP
US commercial TCV bookings were $810 million, representing 239% year-over-year growth. Closed twice as many $1 million+ deals compared to the previous year.
Impressive Government Segment Performance
US government revenue grew 45% year-over-year. International government revenue grew 45% year-over-year.
Robust Financial Metrics
Adjusted operating margin of 44%, representing an 800 basis point increase. Adjusted free cash flow of $370 million with a margin of 42%.
Positive Market Outlook
Raising full-year revenue guidance midpoint to $3.896 billion, representing a 36% year-over-year growth rate.
Negative Updates
Challenges in International Commercial Revenue
International commercial revenue declined 5% year-over-year and 11% sequentially, driven by continued headwinds in Europe.
Company Guidance
During Palantir's First Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, significant metrics showcased the company's robust growth and strategic positioning. The call highlighted a remarkable 39% year-over-year revenue growth, with U.S. revenue surging 55% and constituting 71% of the overall business. The U.S. commercial sector posted a 71% increase in revenue, surpassing a $1 billion annual run rate. The company also recorded a 45% growth in its U.S. government business. Palantir's rule of 40 score improved to 83% from the previous quarter's 81%, reflecting combined revenue growth and adjusted operating margin. Additionally, Palantir closed $810 million in U.S. commercial TCV, marking a 239% year-over-year growth, and the customer count increased by 39% year-over-year to 769. The company raised its full-year 2025 revenue guidance midpoint to $3.896 billion, projecting a 36% growth, and its adjusted free cash flow guidance to between $1.6 billion and $1.8 billion. These metrics emphasize Palantir's strong momentum and strategic focus on AI-driven solutions across both commercial and government sectors.

Palantir Technologies Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Palantir Technologies demonstrates strong financial health with impressive revenue growth of 41.6%, excellent gross profit margins at 80.0%, and improved net profit margins. The balance sheet is stable with a low debt-to-equity ratio, though attention to liabilities is advised. Cash flow metrics are robust, supporting continued growth.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Palantir Technologies has demonstrated strong revenue growth with a 41.6% increase from 2023 to TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). The gross profit margin is impressive at 80.0% for TTM, indicating efficient cost management. Net profit margin improved significantly to 18.3% in TTM, a positive shift from previous losses. EBIT and EBITDA margins have also strengthened, reflecting enhanced operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet shows strong equity with an equity ratio of 80.5% in TTM, signifying financial stability. The debt-to-equity ratio remains low at 0.05, reducing financial risk. Return on equity has improved to 10.5% in TTM, showcasing better return on shareholder investment. However, the high total liabilities compared to assets could pose a potential risk.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
The cash flow statement reveals robust free cash flow growth of 15.5% from 2023 to 2024, supporting continued investment and operations. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 2.34 in TTM, indicating strong cash generation relative to profits. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 2.31 suggests healthy cash flow relative to earnings.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.12B2.87B2.23B1.91B1.54B1.09B
Gross Profit2.49B2.30B1.79B1.50B1.20B740.13M
EBITDA428.72M341.99M153.32M-334.45M-469.96M-1.15B
Net Income570.69M462.19M209.82M-373.70M-520.38M-1.17B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.74B6.34B4.52B3.46B3.25B2.69B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments5.43B5.23B3.67B2.63B2.52B2.01B
Total Debt244.60M239.22M229.39M249.40M260.07M456.86M
Total Liabilities1.22B1.25B961.46M818.80M956.42M1.17B
Stockholders Equity5.42B5.00B3.48B2.57B2.29B1.52B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.32B1.14B697.07M183.71M321.22M-308.84M
Operating Cash Flow1.33B1.15B712.18M223.74M333.85M-296.61M
Investing Cash Flow-1.22B-340.65M-2.71B-45.43M-397.91M-14.92M
Financing Cash Flow359.22M463.36M218.84M86.00M306.75M1.04B

Palantir Technologies Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price143.13
Price Trends
50DMA
129.06
Positive
100DMA
110.18
Positive
200DMA
86.92
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
3.09
Positive
RSI
59.78
Neutral
STOCH
61.63
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PLTR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 143.13 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 137.76, above the 50-day MA of 129.06, and above the 200-day MA of 86.92, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 3.09 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 59.78 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 61.63 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for PLTR.

Palantir Technologies Risk Analysis

Palantir Technologies disclosed 84 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Palantir Technologies reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Palantir Technologies Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (69)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$82.31B44.31205.91%13.83%58.13%
78
Outperform
$136.02B117.9221.16%13.91%-50.96%
MDMDB
78
Outperform
$17.07B-4.00%19.24%59.66%
76
Outperform
$652.38B53.5085.36%0.85%8.38%16.96%
74
Outperform
$125.98B721.64-5.76%25.94%-226.80%
73
Outperform
$329.70B625.0212.41%33.45%82.50%
69
Neutral
¥230.46B14.127.50%2.71%9.13%8.48%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PLTR
Palantir Technologies
143.13
115.49
417.84%
FTNT
Fortinet
107.65
48.86
83.11%
ORCL
Oracle
235.81
94.23
66.56%
PANW
Palo Alto Networks
206.06
40.54
24.49%
MDB
MongoDB
217.12
-31.66
-12.73%
CRWD
CrowdStrike Holdings
513.51
143.08
38.63%

Palantir Technologies Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Palantir Technologies Confirms Directors and Accounting Firm
Neutral
Jun 9, 2025

On June 5, 2025, Palantir Technologies held its annual meeting of stockholders, where key decisions were made regarding the election of directors and the ratification of its accounting firm. All nominated directors were elected, and Ernst & Young’s appointment as the independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025, was ratified, indicating continued stability and governance in the company’s operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (PLTR) stock is a Buy with a $29.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Palantir Technologies stock, see the PLTR Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Palantir Technologies Reports Strong Q1 2025 Revenue Growth
Positive
May 5, 2025

On May 5, 2025, Palantir Technologies reported a significant revenue growth of 39% year-over-year for Q1 2025, with U.S. revenue increasing by 55%. The company raised its full-year revenue guidance to a 36% growth, with U.S. commercial revenue expected to grow by 68%, surpassing consensus expectations. This growth is attributed to a shift in software adoption, particularly in the U.S., and highlights Palantir’s strong market positioning and operational success, as evidenced by its Rule of 40 score of 83% and a substantial increase in total contract value.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 28, 2025