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Oracle (ORCL)
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Oracle (ORCL) AI Stock Analysis

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ORCL

Oracle

(NYSE:ORCL)

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Neutral 66 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
$297.00
▲(6.04% Upside)
Oracle's strong earnings call, highlighting growth in cloud services and strategic AI positioning, is a major positive factor. However, high debt levels, negative free cash flow, and a high P/E ratio present significant risks. Technical indicators suggest mixed short-term momentum.
Positive Factors
Cloud Revenue Growth
Oracle's significant growth in cloud revenue underscores its strong market position and ability to capitalize on the increasing demand for cloud services, which is a key driver for long-term growth.
AI Strategic Positioning
Oracle's strategic partnerships in AI workloads position it as a leader in this rapidly growing sector, enhancing its competitive advantage and future revenue potential.
Multi-Cloud Database Growth
The exponential growth in multi-cloud database revenue highlights Oracle's successful integration with major cloud platforms, expanding its market reach and customer base.
Negative Factors
High Debt Levels
Oracle's high leverage could pose financial risks, limiting its ability to invest in growth opportunities and making it vulnerable to interest rate fluctuations.
Negative Free Cash Flow
Negative free cash flow indicates potential liquidity issues, which could constrain Oracle's capacity to fund operations and strategic initiatives without additional financing.
Slight Decline in Software Revenue
The decline in software revenue suggests challenges in Oracle's traditional business segments, which may impact overall growth if not addressed.

Oracle (ORCL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Oracle Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionOracle Corporation (ORCL) is a multinational computer technology corporation that specializes in developing and marketing database software and technology, cloud-engineered systems, and enterprise software products. The company operates in multiple sectors, including cloud applications, cloud infrastructure, and hardware systems. Oracle’s core products include its flagship Oracle Database, Oracle Cloud Infrastructure, and a suite of cloud applications for enterprise resource planning (ERP), customer relationship management (CRM), and human capital management (HCM).
How the Company Makes MoneyOracle generates revenue primarily through a combination of software licensing, cloud services, and hardware systems. Its key revenue streams include subscription-based cloud services, which have seen significant growth as businesses migrate to cloud solutions, and software licensing fees for its on-premises database and applications. Additionally, Oracle earns revenue from services such as consulting, support, and training associated with its products. The company has formed strategic partnerships with other technology firms, enhancing its cloud offerings and expanding its market reach, which also contributes to its earnings. Oracle's focus on innovation and investment in research and development further drives its competitive advantage in the technology sector.

Oracle Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography
Breaks down revenue across different regions, revealing where Oracle is strongest and where it may face risk or growth potential due to local economic conditions or market share shifts.
Chart InsightsOracle's Americas region is driving growth, with a notable uptick in revenue, reflecting the company's strategic focus on cloud and AI. The latest earnings call highlights a 27% increase in cloud revenue, underscoring strong demand. EMEA and Asia Pacific also show steady gains, but at a slower pace. The substantial rise in remaining performance obligations suggests robust future revenue, though challenges like negative free cash flow and a slight dip in software revenue could impact short-term financial flexibility.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Oracle Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Sep 09, 2025
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Dec 15, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a highly positive outlook for Oracle, with significant growth in cloud services, particularly in AI workloads and multi-cloud databases. The substantial increase in RPO and ambitious future revenue projections highlight strong market positioning. However, challenges remain with negative free cash flow and a slight decline in software revenue.
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Cloud Revenue Growth
Total cloud revenue increased by 27% to $7.2 billion, with cloud infrastructure revenue up 54% to $3.3 billion and cloud database services up 32% with annualized revenues nearing $2.8 billion.
Significant Increase in Remaining Performance Obligations (RPO)
RPO reached $455 billion, marking a 359% increase from last year, and a $317 billion increase from Q4, driven by demand for Oracle Cloud infrastructure.
Strong AI Workload Adoption
Oracle has signed cloud contracts with major players like OpenAI, xAI, Meta, NVIDIA, and AMD, positioning itself as a leader in AI workloads.
Multi-Cloud Database Revenue Surge
Multi-cloud database revenue grew by 1529% in Q1, with Oracle regions being embedded in AWS, Azure, and GCP.
Ambitious Future Revenue Projections
Oracle expects Oracle Cloud Infrastructure to grow 77% to $18 billion in the current fiscal year, with projections reaching $144 billion over the next four years.
Adoption of AI in Internal Operations
Oracle is adopting AI internally to increase efficiency, with an expectation of mid-teens growth in operating income this year.
Negative Updates
Free Cash Flow Challenges
Free cash flow was negative at $362 million for Q1, with capital expenditures of $8.5 billion.
Slight Decline in Software Revenue
Total software revenue for the quarter was $5.7 billion, marking a 2% decrease.
Company Guidance
During Oracle Corporation's Q1 FY2026 earnings call, several key metrics were highlighted that underscore the company's robust growth and strategic positioning in the AI and cloud markets. Oracle reported a total cloud revenue increase of 27%, reaching $7.2 billion, with cloud infrastructure revenue growing by 54% to $3.3 billion. The company's remaining performance obligations (RPO) surged to $455 billion, up 359% from the previous year and $317 billion from Q4, indicating substantial future revenue potential. Additionally, Oracle's multi-cloud database revenue saw a remarkable growth of 1529% in Q1. The guidance for FY2026 anticipates a 16% total revenue growth in constant currency, with Oracle Cloud Infrastructure projected to grow 77% to $18 billion and further expand to $144 billion over the next four years. Oracle also reported a non-GAAP EPS of $1.47 and a GAAP EPS of $1.01 for the quarter, with a non-GAAP tax rate slightly higher than expected, impacting EPS by $0.03. The company outlined a CapEx plan of approximately $35 billion for FY2026 to support the anticipated growth.

Oracle Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Oracle demonstrates strong profitability with high margins and return on equity. However, high debt levels and negative free cash flow present potential risks, necessitating careful management of leverage and cash flow for sustained financial health.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Oracle's income statement shows strong profitability with a high gross profit margin of 77.23% and a solid net profit margin of 21.08% for TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). Revenue growth is moderate at 2.82% TTM, indicating steady expansion. EBIT and EBITDA margins are robust at 30.50% and 39.26% respectively, reflecting efficient operations. Overall, Oracle demonstrates strong profitability and stable growth, though revenue growth could be more aggressive.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio of 4.36 TTM, indicating significant leverage, which could pose a risk if not managed carefully. However, the return on equity is impressive at 66.28%, showcasing effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio is relatively low, suggesting a reliance on debt financing. While profitability is strong, the high leverage warrants caution.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Oracle's cash flow statement shows a concerning negative free cash flow of -$5.88 billion TTM, despite a significant growth rate of 1392.39%. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is moderate at 0.54, indicating decent cash generation relative to net income. However, the negative free cash flow to net income ratio of -0.27 highlights potential liquidity issues. While operating cash flow is strong, the negative free cash flow is a critical area to address.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue59.02B57.40B52.96B49.95B42.44B40.48B
Gross Profit41.11B40.47B37.82B36.39B33.56B32.62B
EBITDA23.17B23.91B21.39B18.74B13.53B18.41B
Net Income12.44B12.44B10.47B8.50B6.72B13.75B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets180.45B168.36B140.98B134.38B109.30B131.11B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments11.01B11.20B10.66B10.19B21.90B46.55B
Total Debt105.41B104.10B94.47B90.48B75.86B84.25B
Total Liabilities155.78B147.39B131.74B132.83B115.06B125.16B
Stockholders Equity24.15B20.45B8.70B1.07B-6.22B5.24B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-5.88B-394.00M11.81B8.47B5.03B13.75B
Operating Cash Flow21.53B20.82B18.67B17.16B9.54B15.89B
Investing Cash Flow-27.66B-21.71B-7.36B-36.48B11.22B-13.10B
Financing Cash Flow5.89B1.10B-10.55B7.91B-29.13B-10.38B

Oracle Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price280.07
Price Trends
50DMA
273.82
Positive
100DMA
249.26
Positive
200DMA
201.86
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.69
Positive
RSI
47.24
Neutral
STOCH
10.82
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ORCL, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 280.07 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 289.06, above the 50-day MA of 273.82, and above the 200-day MA of 201.86, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.69 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 47.24 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 10.82 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ORCL.

Oracle Risk Analysis

Oracle disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Oracle reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Oracle Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
83
Outperform
$3.85T37.9533.28%0.64%14.93%15.50%
79
Outperform
$148.22B22.0652.87%10.69%35.19%
78
Outperform
$145.12B132.7517.45%14.87%-57.43%
71
Outperform
$416.32B599.8015.30%38.79%78.37%
67
Neutral
$84.39B35.716.61%3.21%31.64%
66
Neutral
$777.30B64.8471.15%0.68%9.67%11.23%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ORCL
Oracle
280.07
108.26
63.01%
ADBE
Adobe
354.12
-129.60
-26.79%
MSFT
Microsoft
520.56
95.60
22.50%
PANW
Palo Alto Networks
215.02
31.80
17.36%
SNPS
Synopsys
456.09
-45.49
-9.07%
PLTR
Palantir Technologies
180.48
135.62
302.32%

Oracle Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Oracle Completes $18 Billion Notes Issuance
Neutral
Sep 26, 2025

On September 26, 2025, Oracle Corporation completed the issuance and sale of $18 billion in aggregate principal amount of notes with varying maturities and interest rates. The proceeds from this issuance are intended for general corporate purposes, including capital expenditures, debt repayment, and potential investments or acquisitions, which could impact Oracle’s financial strategy and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (ORCL) stock is a Buy with a $364.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Oracle stock, see the ORCL Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Oracle Announces New Co-CEOs to Drive AI Growth
Positive
Sep 22, 2025

On September 22, 2025, Oracle announced significant management changes with the promotion of Clay Magouyrk and Mike Sicilia to Chief Executive Officers, effective immediately. These changes reflect Oracle’s strategic focus on advancing its AI and cloud infrastructure capabilities. Magouyrk, with his experience in Oracle Cloud Infrastructure, and Sicilia, with his expertise in industry applications, are expected to drive Oracle’s growth in the AI era. Safra Catz transitions to Executive Vice Chair of the Board, while Doug Kehring becomes the Principal Financial Officer. These leadership changes aim to position Oracle for continued success in the rapidly evolving technology landscape.

The most recent analyst rating on (ORCL) stock is a Buy with a $360.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Oracle stock, see the ORCL Stock Forecast page.

Oracle’s Earnings Call Highlights Cloud Growth and AI Leadership
Sep 11, 2025

Oracle’s latest earnings call painted a highly positive picture, emphasizing substantial growth in its cloud services, particularly in AI workloads and multi-cloud databases. Despite facing challenges such as negative free cash flow and a slight decline in software revenue, the company showcased a strong market positioning with ambitious future revenue projections and a significant increase in remaining performance obligations (RPO).

Oracle Reports Strong Cloud Revenue Growth
Sep 10, 2025

Oracle Corporation, a leading provider of integrated cloud applications and platform services, has released its financial results for the first quarter of fiscal year 2026, showcasing significant growth in its cloud business. The company, known for its robust cloud infrastructure and software solutions, operates primarily in the technology sector with a strong emphasis on cloud computing and enterprise software.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Oracle Reports Strong Q1 2026 Cloud Revenue Growth
Positive
Sep 9, 2025

Oracle announced its fiscal 2026 first-quarter financial results, highlighting a significant increase in cloud revenue, which rose by 28% to $7.2 billion. The company also reported a remarkable 359% growth in remaining performance obligations to $455 billion, driven by multi-billion-dollar contracts with key customers, positioning Oracle for substantial future growth in cloud infrastructure and AI services.

The most recent analyst rating on (ORCL) stock is a Hold with a $240.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Oracle stock, see the ORCL Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 22, 2025