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Adobe (ADBE)
NASDAQ:ADBE

Adobe (ADBE) AI Stock Analysis

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ADBE

Adobe

(NASDAQ:ADBE)

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Outperform 80 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:80Outperform
Price Target:
$395.00
▲(12.08% Upside)
Adobe's strong financial performance and positive earnings call are the primary drivers of its high score. The company's robust profitability, efficient cash management, and strategic focus on AI innovations position it well for future growth. Technical analysis and valuation provide a balanced view, with some caution due to mixed technical signals and fair valuation.
Positive Factors
AI Innovation
Adobe's focus on AI innovation enhances its competitive edge, integrating AI into products like Firefly and Acrobat, driving user engagement and expanding market reach.
Strong Financial Performance
Record revenue growth underscores Adobe's robust market position and effective business strategy, supporting long-term financial stability and investment in innovation.
Strategic Partnerships
Strategic partnerships with tech giants enhance Adobe's technological capabilities and market penetration, fostering innovation and expanding its customer base.
Negative Factors
Decelerating Revenue Growth
Slowing revenue growth may indicate market saturation or increased competition, potentially impacting Adobe's ability to maintain its growth trajectory.
Acquisition Challenges
Pending regulatory approval and integration challenges for SEMRush could delay strategic benefits and create operational uncertainties for Adobe.
Slight Decrease in ARR Growth Target
A lower ARR growth target suggests potential challenges in sustaining subscription growth, which could impact long-term revenue and profitability.

Adobe (ADBE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Adobe Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAdobe Inc. operates as a diversified software company worldwide. It operates through three segments: Digital Media, Digital Experience, and Publishing and Advertising. The Digital Media segment offers products, services, and solutions that enable individuals, teams, and enterprises to create, publish, and promote content; and Document Cloud, a unified cloud-based document services platform. Its flagship product is Creative Cloud, a subscription service that allows members to access its creative products. This segment serves content creators, workers, marketers, educators, enthusiasts, communicators, and consumers. The Digital Experience segment provides an integrated platform and set of applications and services that enable brands and businesses to create, manage, execute, measure, monetize, and optimize customer experiences from analytics to commerce. This segment serves marketers, advertisers, agencies, publishers, merchandisers, merchants, web analysts, data scientists, developers, and executives across the C-suite. The Publishing and Advertising segment offers products and services, such as e-learning solutions, technical document publishing, web conferencing, document and forms platform, web application development, and high-end printing, as well as Advertising Cloud offerings. The company offers its products and services directly to enterprise customers through its sales force and local field offices, as well as to end users through app stores and through its website at adobe.com. It also distributes products and services through a network of distributors, value-added resellers, systems integrators, software vendors and developers, retailers, and original equipment manufacturers. The company was formerly known as Adobe Systems Incorporated and changed its name to Adobe Inc. in October 2018. Adobe Inc. was founded in 1982 and is headquartered in San Jose, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyAdobe generates revenue primarily through subscription-based services. The majority of its income comes from the Digital Media segment, specifically from Creative Cloud subscriptions, which offer users access to a wide range of creative software and services. Additionally, the Digital Experience segment contributes significantly to revenue through enterprise solutions that help businesses manage and analyze customer experiences. Adobe also earns revenue from its Document Cloud services. Key partnerships with various organizations, including educational institutions and enterprises, enhance its market reach and contribute to its earnings. The transition to a subscription model has led to a steady increase in recurring revenue, which is a core aspect of Adobe's financial strategy.

Adobe Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography
Breaks down revenue across different regions, revealing where Adobe is strongest and where it may face risk or growth potential due to local economic conditions or market share shifts.
Chart InsightsAdobe's revenue growth across all regions is robust, with the Americas leading the charge. The latest earnings call highlights a record revenue and strong performance in the Digital Media and Experience segments, driven by AI innovations and strategic partnerships. Despite challenges in AI monetization and competitive pressures, Adobe's focus on AI-driven initiatives and expanding its user base through offerings like Firefly positions the company for sustained growth. The raised revenue targets reflect confidence in capturing further market share and leveraging AI advancements.
Data provided by:The Fly

Adobe Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Dec 10, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted Adobe's strong financial performance, record revenue, and significant advancements in AI integration across its product suite. While there is a slight decrease in the ARR growth target for the upcoming year, the overall sentiment remains positive due to strategic partnerships and continued innovation.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Revenue
Adobe achieved record revenue of $23.77 billion for fiscal year 2025, growing 11% year over year.
AI Innovation and Integration
Adobe continued to lead in AI innovation, introducing new AI-driven functionalities and integrations across its products, including Firefly and Acrobat AI Assistant.
Strong Digital Media Performance
Digital Media achieved revenue of $17.65 billion for the year, growing 11% year over year, with a record Q4 revenue of $4.62 billion.
Generative AI Success
Generative credit consumption increased three times quarter over quarter, highlighting strong adoption of Adobe's AI capabilities.
Growth in Monthly Active Users
Monthly active users for Acrobat and Express surpassed 750 million, growing 20% year over year.
Strong Customer and Partner Engagement
Adobe established partnerships with major companies like AWS, Azure, and OpenAI, and secured key enterprise wins including Coca-Cola, IKEA, and Sony.
Future Growth Targets
Adobe set a total ARR growth target of 10.2% for FY 2026, with plans to continue leveraging AI innovations.
Negative Updates
Slight Decrease in ARR Growth Target
Adobe's ARR growth target for FY 2026 is 10.2%, slightly lower than the 11.5% achieved in FY 2025.
Acquisition Challenges
The acquisition of SEMRush is pending regulatory approvals and is expected to close in 2026, which may present integration challenges.
Company Guidance
In the call, Adobe provided robust guidance for fiscal year 2026, building on its fiscal year 2025 achievements. The company recorded a record revenue of $23.77 billion in FY 2025, with a non-GAAP EPS of $20.94 and an operating cash flow exceeding $10 billion. Adobe's total ARR grew by 11.5% year over year, reaching $25.2 billion. The company highlighted a strong digital media revenue of $17.65 billion and digital experience revenue of $5.86 billion, both growing by 11% and 9% year over year, respectively. For FY 2026, Adobe targets total revenue between $25.9 and $26.1 billion, aiming for a 10.2% growth in total ARR. The fiscal year 2026 guidance reflects confidence in continued momentum across business professionals, creative, and marketing professionals, driven by AI-infused innovations and strategic acquisitions, including the pending acquisition of SEMRush. Adobe anticipates non-GAAP EPS between $23.3 and $23.50 with a focus on delivering industry-leading innovation and double-digit ARR growth.

Adobe Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Adobe exhibits strong financial health with excellent profitability, efficient cost management, and robust cash generation. The income statement shows impressive margins, and the balance sheet reflects prudent leverage. However, the slowing revenue growth and declining stockholders' equity are areas to monitor.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Adobe's income statement reflects strong profitability and consistent revenue growth. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) gross profit margin is impressive at 89.14%, indicating efficient cost management. The net profit margin has improved to 30.01%, showcasing enhanced profitability. Revenue growth is steady at 2.54% in the TTM, although it has slowed compared to previous years. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are robust at 37.57% and 41.24%, respectively, highlighting strong operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
Adobe maintains a solid balance sheet with a manageable debt-to-equity ratio of 0.56 in the TTM, reflecting prudent leverage. The return on equity is impressive at 55.19%, indicating effective use of shareholder funds. The equity ratio stands at 39.40%, suggesting a stable capital structure. However, the decrease in stockholders' equity over the years could be a point of concern.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Adobe's cash flow statement shows healthy cash generation, with a free cash flow growth rate of 2.64% in the TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 1.06, indicating efficient cash conversion. The free cash flow to net income ratio is high at 0.98, demonstrating effective cash management. Overall, Adobe's cash flow position is robust, supporting its operational and strategic initiatives.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue23.77B21.50B19.41B17.61B15.79B
Gross Profit21.06B19.15B17.05B15.44B13.92B
EBITDA9.75B7.96B7.78B7.05B6.67B
Net Income7.13B5.56B5.43B4.76B4.82B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets29.50B30.23B29.78B27.16B27.24B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments6.59B7.89B7.84B6.10B5.80B
Total Debt6.65B6.06B4.08B4.63B4.67B
Total Liabilities17.87B16.13B13.26B13.11B12.44B
Stockholders Equity11.62B14.11B16.52B14.05B14.80B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow9.85B7.82B6.94B7.40B6.89B
Operating Cash Flow10.03B8.06B7.30B7.84B7.22B
Investing Cash Flow-1.19B149.00M776.00M-570.00M-3.54B
Financing Cash Flow-11.06B-7.72B-5.18B-6.83B-4.30B

Adobe Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price352.42
Price Trends
50DMA
337.79
Positive
100DMA
344.56
Positive
200DMA
364.07
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
6.38
Negative
RSI
58.72
Neutral
STOCH
74.27
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ADBE, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 352.42 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 340.67, above the 50-day MA of 337.79, and below the 200-day MA of 364.07, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 6.38 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 58.72 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 74.27 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ADBE.

Adobe Risk Analysis

Adobe disclosed 23 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Adobe reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Adobe Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$147.52B21.1055.43%10.53%34.24%
79
Outperform
$3.62T34.6432.24%0.71%15.59%15.89%
74
Outperform
$63.09B57.7740.33%15.62%2.59%
73
Outperform
$90.97B59.267.16%12.62%-45.12%
65
Neutral
$19.34B-43.06-13.64%-8.23%48.57%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ADBE
Adobe
352.98
-93.50
-20.94%
ADSK
Autodesk
297.58
>-0.01
>-0.01%
MSFT
Microsoft
486.85
59.47
13.92%
SNPS
Synopsys
475.47
-15.44
-3.15%
U
Unity Software
45.44
22.60
98.95%
FIG
Figma, Inc. Class A
38.86
-83.14
-68.15%

Adobe Corporate Events

Adobe’s Earnings Call Highlights Record Growth and AI Advancements
Sep 13, 2025

Adobe Systems Incorporated’s recent earnings call painted a picture of robust growth and strategic advancements, underscored by record revenue figures and strong AI integration. The sentiment was largely positive, driven by high customer adoption and innovation, though tempered by challenges related to competitive pressures in the AI space and the need for ongoing customer education on new technologies.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 11, 2025