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Fortinet (FTNT)
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Fortinet (FTNT) AI Stock Analysis

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FTNT

Fortinet

(NASDAQ:FTNT)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$89.00
▲(10.05% Upside)
Fortinet's overall stock score reflects strong financial performance and growth prospects, supported by robust profitability and efficient operations. Technical analysis indicates a bearish trend, but the stock may be approaching oversold levels. Valuation suggests a premium price, justified by growth expectations. The absence of corporate events and the exclusion of earnings call impact the overall score.
Positive Factors
Strong Cash Generation
Fortinet's ability to generate strong cash flow supports its operational and investment activities, ensuring financial stability and growth potential.
Robust Profitability
High profitability margins indicate efficient operations and a strong competitive position, supporting long-term financial health and market leadership.
Expansion in Large Enterprise Deals
Growth in large enterprise deals enhances revenue stability and market presence, positioning Fortinet as a preferred partner for major organizations.
Negative Factors
Deceleration in Service Revenue Growth
Slowing service revenue growth may impact recurring revenue streams, challenging Fortinet's ability to sustain long-term growth momentum.
Challenges in North America
Regional growth disparities, especially in North America, could limit Fortinet's market expansion and affect overall revenue growth.
Low Equity Base
A low equity base can pose financial risks, limiting Fortinet's ability to leverage equity for growth and potentially increasing financial vulnerability.

Fortinet (FTNT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Fortinet Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFortinet, Inc. provides broad, integrated, and automated cybersecurity solutions in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. It offers FortiGate hardware and software licenses that provide various security and networking functions, including firewall, intrusion prevention, anti-malware, virtual private network, application control, web filtering, anti-spam, and wide area network acceleration. The company also provides FortiSwitch product family that offers secure switching solutions for connecting customers their end devices; FortiAP product family, which provides secure wireless networking solutions; FortiExtender, a hardware appliance; FortiAnalyzer product family, which offers centralized network logging, analyzing, and reporting solutions; and FortiManager product family that provides central and scalable management solution for its FortiGate products. It offers FortiWeb product family provides web application firewall solutions; FortiMail product family that secure email gateway solutions; FortiSandbox technology that delivers proactive detection and mitigation services; FortiClient that provides endpoint protection with pattern-based anti-malware, behavior-based exploit protection, web-filtering, and an application firewall; FortiToken and FortiAuthenticator product families for multi-factor authentication to safeguard systems, assets, and data; and FortiEDR/XDR, an endpoint protection solution that provides both comprehensive machine-learning anti-malware execution and real-time post-infection protection. It provides security subscription, technical support, professional, and training services. It sells its security solutions to channel partners and directly to various customers in telecommunications, technology, government, financial services, education, retail, manufacturing, and healthcare industries. It has strategic alliance with Linksys. Fortinet, Inc. was incorporated in 2000 and is headquartered in Sunnyvale, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyFortinet generates revenue primarily through the sale of its cybersecurity products and subscription services. Its revenue model includes a mix of software, hardware, and services, with significant earnings coming from subscriptions and support services that provide ongoing security updates and technical assistance. Key revenue streams include the sale of FortiGate firewalls, which are central to its portfolio, along with cloud security solutions and endpoint protection. Additionally, Fortinet has established strategic partnerships with major technology providers and distributors, enhancing its market reach and driving further sales. The company's focus on offering integrated security solutions across various environments, including on-premises and cloud, contributes significantly to its recurring revenue and overall financial performance.

Fortinet Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Billings
Billings
Reflects the total value of invoices sent to customers, indicating sales momentum and future revenue potential for Fortinet.
Chart InsightsFortinet's billings have shown a steady upward trend, with notable growth in Q4 2024. Despite macroeconomic uncertainties and potential tariff impacts, the company remains resilient, driven by strong innovation and customer acquisition efforts. The latest earnings call highlights robust growth in Unified SASE and AI-driven secure operations, which are key contributors to billings. Fortinet's guidance for 2025 suggests continued momentum, with expected billings growth and strategic infrastructure investments, reinforcing its market leadership and commitment to achieving the rule of 45 for the sixth consecutive year.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Fortinet Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Fortinet demonstrated strong financial performance with significant growth in key areas such as Unified SASE, AI-driven SecOps, and large enterprise deals, leading to record operating margins. However, there is a noted deceleration in service revenue growth and regional performance disparities, specifically in North America.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Overall Growth
Total billings grew by 14% to $1.81 billion, with significant contributions from Unified SASE (19% growth) and AI-driven SecOps (33% growth).
Record Operating Margin
Achieved a record third-quarter operating margin of 37%, driven by strong execution and cost control.
Significant SASE Growth
Unified SASE billing grew 19%, with FortiSASE billing growth of over 100%, positioning Fortinet as a leading SASE provider.
Expansion in Large Enterprise Deals
The number of deals greater than $1 million increased by 26%, with total dollar value growing by over 30%.
Broad-Based Demand
Fortinet added approximately 6,600 new organizations, demonstrating a strong position across market segments.
Strong Product Revenue Growth
Product revenue increased by 18% to $559 million, driven by multiproduct deals and growth in operational technology security.
Negative Updates
Deceleration in Service Revenue Growth
Service revenue grew by 13%, marking the ninth consecutive quarter of deceleration. This is attributed to past negative product billings growth affecting the attach rate.
Challenges in North America
Growth in North America lagged compared to other regions, although it was stated that there were no share losses.
Company Guidance
During Fortinet's third quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided guidance for the fourth quarter, projecting billings in the range of $2.185 billion to $2.285 billion, which represents a 12% growth at the midpoint. Revenue is expected to range from $1.825 billion to $1.885 billion, also reflecting a 12% growth at the midpoint. They anticipate non-GAAP gross margins of 79% to 80% and non-GAAP operating margins of 34.5% to 35.5%. The company forecasts non-GAAP earnings per share between $0.73 and $0.75, assuming a share count of 751 million to 755 million. Infrastructure investments are projected between $60 million and $110 million, with a non-GAAP tax rate of 18% and cash taxes ranging from $66 million to $116 million. For the full year, Fortinet expects to achieve the Rule of 45, maintaining strong growth and market leadership across its three pillars, driven by factors such as increased cybersecurity spending, networking and security convergence, and vendor consolidation.

Fortinet Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Fortinet demonstrates strong financial performance with robust profitability and efficient operations. The income statement shows healthy margins and consistent revenue growth. The balance sheet indicates manageable leverage but highlights potential risks due to a low equity base. Cash flow generation remains strong, supporting financial stability and growth prospects.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Fortinet's income statement shows strong profitability with a TTM gross profit margin of 81.5% and a net profit margin of 30.6%. The company has demonstrated consistent revenue growth, albeit at a slower pace recently, with a TTM revenue growth rate of 3.4%. EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy, indicating efficient operations. Overall, Fortinet's income statement reflects robust profitability and stable growth.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reveals a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.48 in the TTM period, indicating manageable leverage. However, the company's equity ratio is low due to a relatively small stockholders' equity compared to total assets. Return on equity is exceptionally high at 120.7%, driven by strong net income, but this is partly due to the low equity base. The balance sheet shows financial stability but highlights potential risks related to equity levels.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Fortinet's cash flow statement indicates strong cash generation capabilities, with a TTM operating cash flow to net income ratio of 0.50 and a free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.85. Despite a recent decline in free cash flow growth, the company maintains a solid cash flow position, supporting its operational and investment activities. Overall, the cash flow statement reflects effective cash management and operational efficiency.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue6.55B5.96B5.30B4.42B3.34B2.59B
Gross Profit5.33B4.80B4.07B3.33B2.56B2.02B
EBITDA2.38B2.20B1.47B1.08B727.70M610.50M
Net Income1.87B1.75B1.15B857.30M606.80M488.50M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets9.36B9.76B7.26B6.23B5.92B4.04B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.12B4.07B2.44B2.21B2.55B1.84B
Total Debt995.90M994.30M992.30M990.40M988.40M0.00
Total Liabilities8.63B8.27B7.72B6.51B5.12B3.19B
Stockholders Equity735.10M1.49B-463.40M-281.60M781.70M856.00M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.03B1.88B1.73B1.45B1.20B957.80M
Operating Cash Flow2.45B2.26B1.94B1.73B1.50B1.08B
Investing Cash Flow-632.70M-727.40M-649.30M763.90M-1.33B-72.80M
Financing Cash Flow-2.31B-50.10M-1.57B-2.13B82.80M-1.17B

Fortinet Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price80.87
Price Trends
50DMA
83.60
Negative
100DMA
86.38
Negative
200DMA
94.16
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.24
Positive
RSI
45.81
Neutral
STOCH
40.85
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FTNT, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 80.87 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 82.33, below the 50-day MA of 83.60, and below the 200-day MA of 94.16, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.24 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 45.81 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 40.85 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for FTNT.

Fortinet Risk Analysis

Fortinet disclosed 62 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Fortinet reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Fortinet Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$301.23B28.7523.01%2.11%8.91%14.53%
76
Outperform
$19.89B20.1234.19%6.31%25.27%
71
Outperform
$60.14B33.30228.04%14.78%22.52%
68
Neutral
$128.17B116.6415.33%15.30%-60.71%
68
Neutral
$44.38B-2.70%23.31%31.04%
65
Neutral
$127.19B-8.99%23.46%-270.07%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FTNT
Fortinet
80.87
-13.19
-14.02%
CHKP
Check Point
185.90
4.35
2.40%
CSCO
Cisco Systems
76.32
18.52
32.04%
PANW
Palo Alto Networks
186.27
-5.91
-3.08%
ZS
Zscaler
289.73
84.77
41.36%
CRWD
CrowdStrike Holdings
512.34
164.75
47.40%

Fortinet Corporate Events

Fortinet Reports Strong Growth Amid Regional Challenges
Nov 7, 2025

Fortinet’s recent earnings call showcased a robust financial performance, marked by impressive growth in key sectors such as Unified SASE, AI-driven SecOps, and large enterprise deals. The company achieved record operating margins, reflecting strong execution and cost control. However, there were concerns about a slowdown in service revenue growth and regional disparities, particularly in North America.

Fortinet’s Strong Q3 2025 Performance and Future Outlook
Nov 6, 2025

Fortinet, a prominent player in the cybersecurity industry, is renowned for its integrated solutions that merge networking and security to protect data and devices globally. In its latest financial report, Fortinet announced a 14% year-over-year revenue growth, reaching $1.72 billion in the third quarter of 2025, with product revenue climbing 18% to $559.3 million. The company also achieved a record GAAP operating margin of 32% and a non-GAAP operating margin of 37% for the quarter.

Stock Buyback
Fortinet Expands Share Buyback Program by $1 Billion
Positive
Aug 22, 2025

On August 21, 2025, Fortinet‘s Board of Directors authorized a $1 billion increase in its share repurchase program, bringing the total authorized amount to $9.25 billion, and extended the program to February 28, 2027. This move allows Fortinet flexibility in managing its capital structure and potentially enhances shareholder value, with repurchases dependent on market conditions and other factors.

The most recent analyst rating on (FTNT) stock is a Hold with a $85.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Fortinet stock, see the FTNT Stock Forecast page.

Fortinet’s Earnings Call Highlights Strong Growth and Optimism
Aug 8, 2025

Fortinet’s recent earnings call conveyed a positive sentiment, underscoring the company’s robust growth in revenue and billings, primarily driven by its Unified SASE and SecOps segments. Despite facing challenges such as service revenue growth deceleration and foreign exchange impacts, the overall outlook remains optimistic due to Fortinet’s strong performance and promising future growth potential.

Fortinet Reports Strong Q2 2025 Financial Results
Aug 7, 2025

Fortinet is a leading global cybersecurity company known for its innovative solutions in the convergence of networking and security, offering a comprehensive range of enterprise-grade products to secure data and devices worldwide. In its second quarter of 2025 financial results, Fortinet reported a 14% year-over-year increase in revenue, reaching $1.63 billion, and a 15% rise in billings to $1.78 billion, demonstrating strong business momentum and strategic growth. Key financial highlights include a GAAP operating margin of 28% and a non-GAAP operating margin of 33%, along with a significant increase in annual recurring revenue for its Unified SASE and Security Operations segments. The company also raised its full-year billings guidance by $100 million, reflecting confidence in its continued growth trajectory. Fortinet’s recognition as a leader in multiple Gartner Magic Quadrant reports underscores its strategic advantage and leadership in the cybersecurity industry. Looking ahead, Fortinet’s management remains optimistic about the company’s growth prospects, with expectations of continued revenue and billings growth in the third quarter and full year 2025.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 07, 2025