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Fortinet (FTNT)
NASDAQ:FTNT
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Fortinet (FTNT) AI Stock Analysis

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FTNT

Fortinet

(NASDAQ:FTNT)

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Outperform 78 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:78Outperform
Price Target:
$192.00
▲(26.01% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/05/26
FTNT scores well primarily on strong financial performance (very high margins and accelerating free cash flow) and a very positive earnings call with raised guidance and record profitability. These strengths are partly offset by a high valuation (P/E ~56.6) and limited technical-analysis evidence due to missing indicator data, plus a fundamental watch item around slower recent TTM revenue growth and services growth lagging product momentum.
Positive Factors
High Profitability Margins
Sustained very high gross and net margins reflect strong pricing power, differentiated product economics, and efficient cost structure. Durable margins support reinvestment in R&D, product development and sales motion while providing resilience to cyclical revenue swings over the next 2–6 months.
Negative Factors
Top-line Growth Deceleration
A marked slowdown in trailing revenue growth signals maturation of some demand drivers and heightens the need to reinvigorate recurring revenue expansion. Slower top-line growth can limit operating leverage and the pace at which scale-driven margins or investments can expand sustainably.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
High Profitability Margins
Sustained very high gross and net margins reflect strong pricing power, differentiated product economics, and efficient cost structure. Durable margins support reinvestment in R&D, product development and sales motion while providing resilience to cyclical revenue swings over the next 2–6 months.
Read all positive factors

Fortinet Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Gross Profit by Type
Gross Profit by Type
Shows profitability across different product lines or services, highlighting which areas are most lucrative and where Fortinet might focus for growth.
Chart InsightsFortinet's services gross profit continues its upward trajectory, driven by strong customer acquisition and innovation in secure operations. Despite a sequential decline in service revenue due to fewer days in the fiscal quarter, the company remains optimistic about maintaining growth. Product gross profit shows volatility, likely influenced by macroeconomic uncertainties and potential tariff impacts. However, the introduction of the FortiGate 700G series and leadership in key segments like SD-WAN and OT security could bolster future product performance. Fortinet's strategic investments and market leadership position it well for continued growth despite external challenges.
Data provided by:The Fly

Fortinet (FTNT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Fortinet Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Fortinet, Inc. specializes in delivering extensive, unified, and automated cybersecurity solutions to a global clientele, encompassing the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific regions. At its core, the company offers For...
How the Company Makes Money
Fortinet generates revenue primarily from (1) product sales and (2) security subscriptions and support/services attached to those products and its software offerings. Product revenue is largely driven by sales of FortiGate appliances and other har...

Fortinet Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 29, 2026
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed strong, broad-based operational and financial momentum: double-digit growth across top-line metrics, a 52% jump in product revenue, record non-GAAP operating margin (38%), and exceptional free cash flow that supported increased guidance and continued buybacks. Management highlighted durable secular drivers (AI, sovereign SASE, OT security) and product differentiation (FortiOS, FortiASIC). Principal caveats were a still-lagging services growth rate, some uncertainty around how sustained ultra-high product growth will be into 2027, and modeling complexity from mixed metric definitions and price/headwind adjustments. On balance the positives — outsized product growth, margin expansion, cash generation, large customer wins and upgraded guidance — significantly outweigh the lowlights.
Positive Updates
Billings and Revenue Acceleration
Total billings grew 33% year-over-year to $2.37 billion; total revenue increased 26% year-over-year to $2.05 billion, exceeding the high end of guidance for the quarter.
Negative Updates
Services Revenue Growth Lagging Product Strength
Service revenue grew 14% YoY to $1.27 billion, materially lagging product revenue growth (52%); management described services revenue as having troughed but service growth remains a relative weakness versus product.
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Negative
Billings and Revenue Acceleration
Total billings grew 33% year-over-year to $2.37 billion; total revenue increased 26% year-over-year to $2.05 billion, exceeding the high end of guidance for the quarter.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Fortinet raised its outlook, guiding Q3 billings of $2.25–$2.35 billion (midpoint +27% y/y) and revenue of $2.01–$2.10 billion (midpoint +19% y/y), with non‑GAAP gross margin of 79–81%, non‑GAAP operating margin of 35–37%, non‑GAAP EPS of $0.83–$0.87 (assumes 741–745M shares), infrastructure investments of $100–$150M, a non‑GAAP tax rate of 18% and cash taxes of $100–$130M; full‑year guidance was raised to billings $9.35–$9.55B (midpoint +25%), revenue $8.02–$8.18B (midpoint +19%), service revenue $5.18–$5.22B (midpoint +14%), full‑year non‑GAAP gross margin 79–81%, non‑GAAP operating margin 35–37%, non‑GAAP EPS $3.41–$3.47 (741–745M shares), infrastructure investments $350–$550M and cash taxes $400–$450M, with management noting service revenue growth should pick up in H2 and that they will manage the remainder of the year quarter‑by‑quarter.

Fortinet Financial Statement Overview

Summary
High-quality profitability and cash generation. Income statement strength is driven by very high margins (TTM gross margin ~80.7%, net margin ~27.5%) and strong scale, while cash flow is a standout (TTM FCF ~$3.12B with ~28% growth and solid earnings quality). Balance sheet is improved with equity now positive (~$1.55B) and moderate debt (~$0.50B), but the equity base is still less “fortress-like,” and recent TTM revenue growth has slowed (~5.9%).
Income Statement
90
Very Positive
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
Cash Flow
92
Very Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue7.53B6.80B5.96B5.30B4.42B3.34B
Gross Profit6.05B5.50B4.80B4.07B3.33B2.56B
EBITDA2.89B2.46B2.20B1.47B1.08B727.70M
Net Income2.12B1.85B1.75B1.15B857.30M606.80M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets10.86B10.39B9.76B7.26B6.23B5.92B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments4.07B3.58B4.07B2.44B2.21B2.55B
Total Debt496.90M996.30M994.30M992.30M990.40M988.40M
Total Liabilities9.31B9.15B8.27B7.72B6.51B5.12B
Stockholders Equity1.55B1.24B1.49B-463.40M-281.60M781.70M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow3.12B2.23B1.88B1.73B1.45B1.20B
Operating Cash Flow3.40B2.59B2.26B1.94B1.73B1.50B
Investing Cash Flow-412.40M-599.10M-727.40M-649.30M763.90M-1.33B
Financing Cash Flow-3.42B-2.37B-50.10M-1.57B-2.13B82.80M

Fortinet Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price152.37
Price Trends
50DMA
152.87
Positive
100DMA
123.50
Positive
200DMA
102.53
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.77
Positive
RSI
53.80
Neutral
STOCH
61.88
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FTNT, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 152.37 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 158.95, below the 50-day MA of 152.87, and above the 200-day MA of 102.53, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.77 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 53.80 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 61.88 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for FTNT.

Fortinet Risk Analysis

Fortinet disclosed 62 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Fortinet reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Fortinet Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$117.13B57.42187.95%18.77%12.93%
78
Outperform
$296.55B323.566.30%19.51%-33.05%
75
Outperform
$218.34B-4,740.21-0.58%23.17%73.57%
72
Outperform
$13.05B13.2536.43%4.64%25.51%
72
Outperform
$478.61B40.5925.14%1.45%9.21%25.97%
68
Neutral
$27.28B-368.08-3.71%24.61%-91.58%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FTNT
Fortinet
164.21
89.64
120.21%
CHKP
Check Point
131.14
-49.59
-27.44%
CSCO
Cisco Systems
122.57
53.33
77.03%
PANW
Palo Alto Networks
385.04
216.87
128.96%
ZS
Zscaler
176.68
-94.50
-34.85%
CRWD
CrowdStrike Holdings
225.16
118.55
111.21%

Fortinet Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Fortinet Shareholders Back Board, Auditor and Executive Pay
Positive
Jun 16, 2026
At its Annual Meeting of Stockholders held on June 12, 2026, Fortinet, Inc. reported that holders of approximately 88.15% of its outstanding common stock were present in person or by proxy. Stockholders approved the election of nine directors, inc...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 05, 2026