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Zscaler (ZS)
NASDAQ:ZS

Zscaler (ZS) AI Stock Analysis

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ZS

Zscaler

(NASDAQ:ZS)

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Neutral 66 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
$159.00
▲(8.17% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/28/26
The score is driven primarily by strong underlying business economics and cash flow (high margins and expanding free cash flow) plus a constructive earnings update with raised guidance. These strengths are offset by very weak price/technical momentum (trading far below key moving averages) and valuation constraints tied to ongoing GAAP losses (negative P/E).
Positive Factors
Cash generation
Robust, repeatable cash generation (TTM OCF ~$1.11B; FCF ~$0.94B) indicates the subscription model converts revenue to cash reliably. This funds R&D, go‑to‑market expansion and integration costs, reducing reliance on external financing and supporting durable reinvestment and margin improvement.
High gross margins and operating leverage
Sustained cloud security gross margins (~76–80%) provide structural operating leverage as revenue scales. High margins allow incremental revenue to flow to operating profit, enabling profitability expansion over time and resilience to moderate cost volatility in infrastructure or components.
Recurring ARR scale and large‑deal traction
Large and growing ARR base (3.4B, +25% YoY) with expanding big‑deal counts signals durable, high‑quality recurring revenue. Enterprise concentration of large customers and improved pipeline conversion support predictable renewals, upsell opportunities and long‑term revenue visibility.
Negative Factors
Balance sheet leverage
Material debt (~$1.86B) leaves leverage that can constrain capital allocation and raise interest exposure if rates rise. While improved from prior years, continued debt servicing and potential acquisition financing reduce optionality for strategic investments or cushioning during demand shocks.
Post‑acquisition churn & integration risk
Elevated churn at the acquired MDR business threatens ARR quality and could require extra retention spending. Integration execution risk can distract sales/product teams, slow cross‑sell benefits and temporarily depress net new ARR, weakening durable revenue growth metrics.
GAAP profitability and margin pressure
Despite improving non‑GAAP metrics, GAAP net losses persist and FCF margin showed quarter‑level decline. This indicates earnings still need to absorb cost inflation and integration effects; persistent GAAP losses could delay full profit conversion and constrain long‑term return metrics.

Zscaler (ZS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Zscaler Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionZscaler, Inc. operates as a cloud security company worldwide. The company provides Zscaler Internet Access solution that provides users, servers, operational technology, Internet of Things device secure access to externally managed applications, including software-as-a-service (SaaS) applications and Internet destinations; and Zscaler Private Access solution, which is designed to provide access to managed applications hosted internally in data centers, and private or public clouds. It also offers Zscaler Digital Experience that measures end-to-end user experience across business applications, as well as provides an easy to understand digital experience score for each user, application, and location within an enterprise. In addition, the company provides workload segmentation solutions comprising Zscaler Cloud Security Posture Management that identifies and remediates application misconfigurations in SaaS, infrastructure as a service, and platform as a service to reduce risk and ensure compliance with industry and organizational benchmarks; and Zscaler Cloud Workload Segmentation, which is designed to secure application-to-application communications inside public clouds and data centers to stop lateral threat movement, as well as prevents application compromise and reduces the risk of data breaches. Its platform modules include Zscaler Central Authority, Zscaler Enforcement Node, and Zscaler Log Servers. It serves customers in airlines and transportation, conglomerates, consumer goods and retail, financial services, healthcare, manufacturing, media and communications, public sector and education, technology, and telecommunications services industries. The company was formerly known as SafeChannel, Inc., and changed its name to Zscaler, Inc. in August 2008. Zscaler, Inc. was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in San Jose, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyZscaler generates revenue primarily through a subscription-based model, offering its cloud security services on a recurring basis to businesses of all sizes. Key revenue streams include subscriptions for ZIA and ZPA, which are sold based on the number of users or the amount of data processed. Zscaler also benefits from upselling and cross-selling additional features and services to existing customers. Significant partnerships with major technology providers and integrators enhance its market reach and contribute to customer acquisition, while its focus on a zero trust security framework aligns with increasing demand for advanced cybersecurity solutions in a rapidly digitizing world.

Zscaler Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography
Breaks down revenue across different regions, revealing where Zscaler is strongest and where it may face risk or growth potential due to local economic conditions or market share shifts.
Chart InsightsZscaler's revenue growth is robust across all regions, with the United States leading the charge, reflecting strong demand for cybersecurity solutions. The latest earnings call highlights an impressive 26% annual recurring revenue growth, driven by strategic initiatives in AI security and Zero Trust. Despite competitive pressures and slight gross margin declines, Zscaler's innovative offerings and expansion strategies position it well for continued success. The company's focus on platform expansion and innovation is expected to capitalize on the increasing demand for comprehensive cybersecurity solutions globally.
Data provided by:The Fly

Zscaler Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 26, 2026
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 28, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call featured strong top-line and ARR growth, robust large-deal momentum, improved sales productivity, record pipeline conversion and raised guidance — all signaling durable demand, especially around AI Security, Zero Trust Everywhere and Data Security. Key positives include strong revenue/ARR beats, healthy cash balance and improved operating leverage. Near-term risks center on integration and elevated churn from the Red Canary acquisition, a modest QoQ decline in FCF margin, slight gross margin compression, and potential supply-cost pressures. Overall the quantitative and qualitative positives substantially outweigh the highlighted, manageable challenges.
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong ARR and Net New ARR Growth
Total ARR reached $3.4B, up 25% year-over-year. Q2 net new ARR was $156M (up 19% YoY); excluding Red Canary net new ARR was $139M (up 7% YoY). Full-year ARR guidance raised to $3.730B–$3.745B (~24% YoY).
Revenue Outperformance
Q2 revenue was $816M, up 26% year-over-year and +4% sequentially, exceeding the high end of guidance. FY revenue guidance raised to $3.309B–$3.322B (approx. 23.8%–24.3% YoY).
Cash Generation and Balance Sheet Strength
Ended quarter with $3.5B in cash, cash equivalents and short-term investments and $1.7B of debt. Q2 operating cash flow was $204M (up 14% YoY). Company reported Rule of 62 performance in H1 (26% revenue growth + 36% free cash flow margin for the first half).
Profitability and Margin Leverage
Non-GAAP operating income grew to $181M (up $41M or 29% YoY) and non-GAAP operating margin improved to 22.2% (up 50 basis points YoY). Non-GAAP gross margin remained ~80.2%.
Sales Productivity, Large Deals and Customer Traction
Recorded a Q2 record number of $1M+ ARR new ACV deals; 728 customers >$1M ARR (up 18% YoY) and 3,886 customers >$100k ARR (up 18% YoY). Americas revenue grew ~31% YoY; EMEA ~18%; APJ ~23%.
Z-Flex Momentum
Z-Flex generated >$290M in TCV in Q2 (up >65% QoQ); cumulative Z-Flex TCV since launch ~ $650M at an average 4-year term. Z-Flex is driving upsell, shorter cycles and greater visibility.
AI and Agentic Security Traction
Positioned as a security platform for the AI era: processed nearly 1 trillion AI transactions in calendar 2025 and >500B transactions daily across the Exchange. Notable AI Security wins include an 8-figure Fortune 500 semiconductor new logo and multiple large upsells; ZDX Advanced Plus bookings crossed $100M over the last 12 months (growing >80% YoY).
Zero Trust Everywhere and Data Security Momentum
Zero Trust Everywhere customers grew from ~130 a year ago to >550 now. Example wins: a Global 2000 financial services Zero Trust Cloud deal increased ARR to >$5M (up >40%); a Global 2000 financial services data-security upsell increased that customer's ARR nearly 5x.
Improved RPO and Pipeline Conversion
Remaining performance obligation (RPO) grew to $6.1B (~31% YoY) with ~47% current RPO. Management reported record pipeline conversion for Q2 and double-digit sales productivity growth.
Negative Updates
Red Canary Post-Acquisition Churn and Integration Risk
Red Canary (acquired) exited Q2 with $114M ARR but management noted elevated churn post-acquisition (typical for MDR businesses). Red Canary ARR expectation for fiscal '26 was raised to ~$130M (from prior $95M), but elevated churn and integration work create near-term retention uncertainty.
Quarterly Free Cash Flow Margin Decline
Q2 free cash flow margin was 20.7%, down from 22.1% a year ago, driven by timing of cash collections, indicating some quarter-to-quarter cash conversion pressure despite strong H1 performance.
Slight Gross Margin Compression and Operational Costs
Non-GAAP gross margin was 80.2% in Q2 versus 80.4% a year ago (small contraction). Management flagged potential future pressure from increases in memory, storage and processor prices and availability for data center and appliance purchases.
Organic Net New ARR Growth Moderation (Excluding Acquisition)
While net new ARR accelerated vs. last year, excluding Red Canary net new ARR growth was more modest (7% YoY in Q2 and ~10% for the first half), versus exceptionally strong prior-year comparisons; some portion of the guidance raise mechanically includes the acquired ARR.
Red Canary Guidance vs. Churn Dichotomy
Management raised Red Canary ARR expectations materially, yet simultaneously highlighted elevated churn and noted they will provide more detail in Q3/Q4 — creating a mixed signal about near-term contribution quality.
Company Guidance
Zscaler raised guidance across the board: for Q3 FY26 it expects revenue of $834–836M (~23% YoY), non‑GAAP gross margin of ~80%, operating profit $187–189M (operating margin 22.4–22.6%), net other income of ~$25M and EPS of $1.00–1.01 (assumes 21% tax rate and 167M diluted shares). For full‑year FY26 it now guides ARR of $3.730–3.745B (~24% YoY, implying net new ARR growth ex‑Red Canary of ~9.5%), revenue of $3.309–3.322B (23.8–24.3% YoY), operating profit $742–748M (up ~28–29% YoY; prior guide $732–740M), EPS $3.99–4.02 (assumes 21% tax and ~169M diluted shares), and free cash flow margin of ~26.5–27% with CapEx in the mid‑single digits as a percent of revenue; management also expects Red Canary ARR of ~ $130M for FY26 (up from prior $95M), Red Canary revenue of ~ $125M, with ~ $6M net new ARR in Q3 and ~$10M in Q4, and roughly 40% of H2 net new ARR to be recognized in Q3.

Zscaler Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong and scaling cash generation (TTM operating cash flow ~$1.11B; free cash flow ~$0.94B) and very strong gross margins (~76–78%) support operating leverage. Revenue scale is solid (~$3.0B TTM) with improving profitability (EBITDA now positive), but GAAP net margin remains slightly negative and leverage is still notable (debt ~$1.86B; debt-to-equity ~0.85).
Income Statement
62
Positive
Top-line momentum remains solid, with revenue up to $3.0B in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) and strong growth historically. Profitability has improved meaningfully versus prior years (losses have narrowed and EBITDA is now positive), and gross margin remains very strong (~76–78%), supporting long-term operating leverage. However, the company is still not consistently profitable at the bottom line (TTM net margin is slightly negative), which keeps the score from moving higher.
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
The balance sheet is improving but still carries notable leverage: total debt is ~$1.86B in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) against ~$2.20B of equity (debt-to-equity ~0.85), better than the >1.6 levels seen in earlier years. Equity has grown significantly over time, which helps flexibility. The key weakness is that returns remain negative (negative return on equity), reflecting that earnings have not yet turned sustainably positive.
Cash Flow
84
Very Positive
Cash generation is a clear strength. TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) operating cash flow is ~$1.11B and free cash flow is ~$0.94B, with free cash flow up strongly versus the prior annual period. Free cash flow remains positive and expanding even while net income is still slightly negative, indicating strong cash conversion and a business model that is funding itself well. The main watch-out is that the business is still in an accounting-loss position, so investors will want to see cash strength translate into durable earnings over time.
BreakdownTTMJul 2025Jul 2024Jul 2023Jul 2022Jul 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.00B2.67B2.17B1.62B1.09B673.10M
Gross Profit2.30B2.05B1.69B1.25B847.63M522.46M
EBITDA137.70M112.41M64.79M-76.72M-183.43M-105.80M
Net Income-67.63M-41.48M-57.71M-202.34M-390.28M-262.03M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.75B6.42B4.70B3.61B2.83B2.26B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.51B3.57B2.41B2.10B1.73B1.50B
Total Debt1.86B1.80B1.24B1.21B1.05B964.61M
Total Liabilities4.56B4.62B3.43B2.88B2.26B1.73B
Stockholders Equity2.20B1.80B1.27B725.11M573.30M528.89M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow943.74M726.69M584.95M333.62M231.33M143.74M
Operating Cash Flow1.11B972.45M779.85M462.34M321.91M202.04M
Investing Cash Flow-2.09B-427.02M-683.18M-259.34M374.06M-109.67M
Financing Cash Flow419.89M420.51M64.21M45.99M41.34M41.67M

Zscaler Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price146.99
Price Trends
50DMA
198.79
Negative
100DMA
244.89
Negative
200DMA
265.42
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-14.62
Positive
RSI
33.98
Neutral
STOCH
36.67
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ZS, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 146.99 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 168.00, below the 50-day MA of 198.79, and below the 200-day MA of 265.42, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -14.62 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 33.98 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 36.67 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ZS.

Zscaler Risk Analysis

Zscaler disclosed 59 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Zscaler reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Zscaler Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
$58.59B32.63135.72%14.78%22.52%
72
Outperform
$122.52B83.0816.26%15.30%-60.71%
66
Neutral
$23.89B-347.88-3.56%23.24%-8.83%
62
Neutral
$97.02B-304.62-8.88%22.05%-341.24%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
60
Neutral
$13.11B67.912.96%12.12%
57
Neutral
$63.75B-614.67-8.16%28.06%-7.44%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ZS
Zscaler
148.58
-45.24
-23.34%
FTNT
Fortinet
79.18
-27.30
-25.64%
PANW
Palo Alto Networks
150.15
-34.23
-18.56%
OKTA
Okta
73.97
-34.34
-31.71%
CRWD
CrowdStrike Holdings
384.86
-5.30
-1.36%
NET
Cloudflare
181.02
40.09
28.45%

Zscaler Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Zscaler Shareholders Back Governance Changes at Annual Meeting
Positive
Jan 15, 2026

At its annual meeting of stockholders held on January 12, 2026, Zscaler shareholders elected Andrew Brown, Scott Darling, and David Schneider as Class II directors to serve until the 2028 annual meeting, ratified the appointment of PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as the independent auditor for the fiscal year ending July 31, 2026, and approved on an advisory basis the compensation of the company’s named executive officers. Investors also voted to hold future advisory votes on executive pay annually and backed a non-binding stockholder proposal to declassify the board, signaling support for more frequent say-on-pay oversight and a potential shift toward a more annually elected, less staggered board structure that could increase board accountability and influence the company’s corporate governance framework over time.

The most recent analyst rating on (ZS) stock is a Buy with a $243.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Zscaler stock, see the ZS Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 28, 2026