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Check Point Software (CHKP)
NASDAQ:CHKP
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Check Point (CHKP) AI Stock Analysis

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CHKP

Check Point

(NASDAQ:CHKP)

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Outperform 70 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
$126.00
▼(-7.64% Downside)
Action:UpgradedDate:05/02/26
CHKP scores well on financial quality, driven by strong margins and cash generation, and the earnings call reinforced solid execution despite a near-term product headwind and reduced revenue outlook. The main drag on the overall score is weak technicals, with the stock in a pronounced downtrend below major moving averages.
Positive Factors
Free Cash Flow & Cash Conversion
Check Point’s near‑par free cash flow conversion shows high earnings quality and predictable internal funding. Durable cash generation supports ongoing R&D, acquisitions, share repurchases and debt servicing, providing strategic flexibility through multi‑quarter cycles.
Negative Factors
Rising Leverage and Reduced Cushion
Debt increased materially from near zero, reducing balance‑sheet flexibility and equity cushion. With coverage metrics below 1, higher leverage makes the company more sensitive to cash‑flow shocks and constrains capital allocation choices if cash generation weakens.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Free Cash Flow & Cash Conversion
Check Point’s near‑par free cash flow conversion shows high earnings quality and predictable internal funding. Durable cash generation supports ongoing R&D, acquisitions, share repurchases and debt servicing, providing strategic flexibility through multi‑quarter cycles.
Read all positive factors

Check Point (CHKP) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Check Point Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. develops, markets, and supports a range of products and services for IT security worldwide. The company offers a portfolio of network security, endpoint security, data security, and management solutions. It p...
How the Company Makes Money
Check Point primarily makes money by selling cybersecurity products and services under a mix of recurring and non-recurring revenue streams. A major component is recurring revenue from software subscriptions, cloud-delivered security services, and...

Check Point Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography
Breaks down revenue across different regions, revealing where the company is strongest and where it may face risk or growth potential due to local economic conditions or market share shifts.
Chart InsightsCheck Point's revenue growth is robust across all regions, with notable double-digit increases in the Americas and APAC, driven by strategic investments in AI and cybersecurity. Despite a moderate rise in EMEA, the overall trajectory is positive, supported by strategic acquisitions like Veriti and Lakera. However, foreign exchange impacts and rising operational expenses pose challenges to profitability. The company's raised revenue guidance for 2025 reflects confidence in its growth strategy, particularly in AI security, positioning it well for future expansion despite potential margin pressures.
Data provided by:The Fly

Check Point Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 30, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jul 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented a mix of solid financial execution—strong profitability, free cash flow, subscription growth and emerging-product momentum—counterbalanced by a near-term top-line headwind from go-to-market changes that disrupted appliance/firewall sales and prompted a modest downward revenue update. Management emphasized these headwinds are transitory, expect appliance recovery in H2, and highlighted strategic investments in AI security and leadership to drive longer-term growth.
Positive Updates
Strong profitability and margins
Non-GAAP operating income of $265M representing a 40% operating margin; non-GAAP net income of $265M; GAAP net income $192M. Non-GAAP EPS grew 13% year-over-year to $2.50 and GAAP EPS rose ~5% to $1.81.
Negative Updates
Product (appliance/firewall) revenue weakness
Lower-than-expected product revenues—primarily firewall appliances—driven by short-term disruption from the go-to-market transition; total revenue was $2M below the midpoint of guidance.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Strong profitability and margins
Non-GAAP operating income of $265M representing a 40% operating margin; non-GAAP net income of $265M; GAAP net income $192M. Non-GAAP EPS grew 13% year-over-year to $2.50 and GAAP EPS rose ~5% to $1.81.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management guided Q2 revenue of $660–690 million, Q2 subscription revenue of $328–338 million, Q2 non‑GAAP EPS of $2.40–2.50 (with GAAP roughly $0.70 lower) and Q2 adjusted free cash flow of $145–175 million. For fiscal 2026 they narrowed total revenue to $2.770–2.850 billion (citing near‑term appliance/firewall headwinds) while keeping subscription guidance and full‑year non‑GAAP EPS unchanged at $10.05–10.85 and leaving adjusted free cash flow guidance intact. Management framed this guidance against Q1 results of $668M revenue (+5% YoY), $323M subscription revenue (+11% YoY), non‑GAAP EPS $2.50 (+13% YoY), adjusted FCF $457M (+11% and $70M above midpoint), deferred revenue of $2.06B (+8%), calculated billings of $548M (‑1% YoY; current calculated billings +2%) and remaining performance obligation of $2.592B (+7%). They attributed the revenue reset to short‑term disruption from go‑to‑market changes affecting appliance sales but pointed to strong momentum in emerging products (CTEM ARR growth ~96% YoY; emerging product calculated billings ~+45%) and said they expect improvement in the back half of the year.

Check Point Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong profitability and cash generation (very high gross margins, ~38% TTM net margin, and excellent free-cash-flow conversion) support a high score. It’s tempered by modest recent revenue growth and a notable increase in leverage versus prior years, which adds balance-sheet risk.
Income Statement
84
Very Positive
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
Cash Flow
86
Very Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.76B2.73B2.56B2.41B2.33B2.17B
Gross Profit2.34B2.33B2.25B2.13B2.03B1.91B
EBITDA965.90M924.00M1.06B1.02B920.50M938.20M
Net Income1.06B1.06B845.70M840.30M796.90M815.60M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets7.61B7.81B5.75B5.70B5.72B5.90B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.77B3.01B1.37B1.53B1.64B1.69B
Total Debt1.97B1.97B29.80M0.000.000.00
Total Liabilities4.80B4.92B2.97B2.87B2.80B2.64B
Stockholders Equity2.81B2.88B2.79B2.82B2.93B3.26B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.31B1.21B1.03B1.02B1.08B1.19B
Operating Cash Flow1.34B1.23B1.05B1.04B1.10B1.20B
Investing Cash Flow-704.46M-459.60M-24.00M468.70M-6.40M-75.30M
Financing Cash Flow788.88M752.00M-1.06B-1.16B-1.17B-1.11B

Check Point Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price136.43
Price Trends
50DMA
153.99
Negative
100DMA
170.27
Negative
200DMA
184.81
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-5.12
Positive
RSI
37.78
Neutral
STOCH
19.64
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CHKP, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 136.43 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 142.79, below the 50-day MA of 153.99, and below the 200-day MA of 184.81, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -5.12 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 37.78 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 19.64 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for CHKP.

Check Point Risk Analysis

Check Point disclosed 36 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Check Point reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Check Point Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$66.03B29.15123.64%14.17%7.23%
74
Outperform
$150.60B71.1815.49%15.43%-2.40%
74
Outperform
$119.01B720.36-4.68%21.71%-908.90%
70
Outperform
$12.19B19.5236.43%5.84%27.53%
67
Neutral
$22.86B-232.70-3.48%23.91%-326.25%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
56
Neutral
$78.90B-1,432.82-7.48%29.85%-27.27%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CHKP
Check Point
116.91
-103.96
-47.07%
FTNT
Fortinet
89.24
-17.48
-16.38%
PANW
Palo Alto Networks
184.56
-3.58
-1.90%
ZS
Zscaler
142.20
-91.34
-39.11%
CRWD
CrowdStrike Holdings
469.24
46.72
11.06%
NET
Cloudflare
224.17
102.46
84.18%

Check Point Corporate Events

Check Point Posts Solid Q1 2026 Growth and Names New Chief Revenue Officer
Apr 30, 2026
On April 30, 2026, Check Point reported first-quarter 2026 results showing total revenue of $668 million, up 5% year on year, with security subscription revenue rising 11% to $323 million. GAAP operating income reached $185 million and non-GAAP op...
Check Point Posts Strong 2025 Results and Accelerates AI Security Push With New Acquisitions
Feb 12, 2026
On February 12, 2026, Check Point Software Technologies reported solid fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 results, with Q4 revenue rising 6% year on year to $745 million and calculated billings up 8% to $1.04 billion. Security subscription revenue ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 02, 2026