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Check Point (CHKP)
NASDAQ:CHKP

Check Point (CHKP) AI Stock Analysis

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CHKP

Check Point

(NASDAQ:CHKP)

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Outperform 77 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
$205.00
▲(9.88% Upside)
The score is driven primarily by very strong financial performance (profitability, cash generation, and a debt-free balance sheet) and a generally positive earnings update with raised revenue guidance and strong billings. These strengths are tempered by weak technicals (broad downtrend and negative momentum) and only moderate valuation support at a ~19.8 P/E.
Positive Factors
Strong Financial Health
Check Point's robust financial health, characterized by strong profit margins and efficient cash flow, ensures long-term stability and resilience against market fluctuations.
AI-Powered Product Growth
The growth in AI-powered firewalls highlights Check Point's innovation and strengthens its competitive position in the cybersecurity market.
Strategic Market Recognition
Recognition in industry reports enhances Check Point's credibility and market positioning, potentially driving future customer acquisition and retention.
Negative Factors
Decline in Support Revenues
A decline in support revenues due to discounting could impact long-term revenue stability and suggests potential pricing pressure in the market.
Foreign Exchange Impacts
Foreign exchange impacts can affect profitability and operational costs, posing a risk to margin sustainability in the long term.
Deal Closure Timing Issues
Timing issues with deal closures can lead to revenue recognition delays, affecting short-term financial performance and forecasting accuracy.

Check Point (CHKP) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Check Point Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCheck Point Software Technologies Ltd. develops, markets, and supports a range of products and services for IT security worldwide. The company offers a portfolio of network security, endpoint security, data security, and management solutions. It provides Check Point Infinity Architecture, a cyber security architecture that protects against 5th and 6th generation cyber-attacks across various networks, endpoint, cloud, workloads, Internet of Things, and mobile. The company also offers security gateways and software platforms that support small and medium sized business (SMB) to large enterprise data center and telco-grade environments; and threat prevention technologies and zero-day protections. In addition, the company provides cloud network security, security and posture management, cloud workload protection, and cloud web application protection for web applications and APIs; and Check Point Harmony that delivers endpoint and secure connectivity for remote user access. Further, the company provides technical customer support programs and plans; professional services in implementing, upgrading, and optimizing Check Point products comprising design planning and security implementation; and certification and educational training services on Check Point products. It sells its products through multiple distribution channels, including distributors, resellers, system integrators, original equipment manufacturers, and managed security service providers. Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. was incorporated in 1993 and is headquartered in Tel Aviv, Israel.
How the Company Makes MoneyCheck Point makes money primarily through the sale of its cybersecurity products and services. The company's revenue model includes software and hardware sales, subscription-based services, and support and maintenance contracts. Key revenue streams include product licenses, which provide businesses with access to Check Point's security software, and security subscriptions that offer ongoing protection and updates. Additionally, the company generates income from professional services, such as consulting and training. Strategic partnerships with technology vendors and channel partners also play a significant role in expanding Check Point's market reach and enhancing its distribution capabilities, contributing to its earnings.

Check Point Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography
Breaks down revenue across different regions, revealing where the company is strongest and where it may face risk or growth potential due to local economic conditions or market share shifts.
Chart InsightsCheck Point's revenue growth in the Americas and EMEA regions is steady, with EMEA leading at 5% growth, while the Americas follow closely at 6%. The standout is the Asia-Pacific region, which achieved a 12% growth, driven by strong demand for Quantum Force appliances. Despite increased operating expenses and macroeconomic uncertainties, the company's strategic focus on product innovation and regional expansion is paying off, as reflected in the robust financial performance and positive revenue outlook for the next quarter.
Data provided by:The Fly

Check Point Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 28, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected strong growth and strategic advancements, particularly in AI and cybersecurity, with significant revenue and billing increases. However, challenges such as foreign exchange impacts and rising operating expenses pose concerns for future profitability.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
Revenue grew by 7% to $678 million, exceeding the midpoint of projections by $6 million. Non-GAAP EPS reached $3.94 per diluted share, surpassing guidance.
Record Calculated Billings
Calculated billings totaled $672 million, reflecting a robust 20% year-over-year growth driven by strong demand across the portfolio.
Strategic Acquisitions
Acquisition of Veriti and Lakera to enhance AI and cybersecurity capabilities, with Lakera offering unique solutions for AI security.
Global Revenue Distribution
Double-digit growth in Americas (10%) and APAC (8%) regions, with EMEA growing by 3%.
Emerging Technology Success
ARR for Harmony SASE, Harmony e-mail, and collaboration solutions grew organically by over 40% year-over-year.
Negative Updates
Impact of Foreign Exchange Rates
Weakening of the US dollar against the Israeli shekel negatively impacted margins by approximately 1 point, equivalent to $0.06.
Operational Expense Increase
Operating expenses increased by 11% due to continued investment and acquisitions, affecting overall profitability.
Q4 Margin Headwinds
Expected margin headwinds in Q4 due to FX rates and recent acquisition of Lakera, potentially affecting profitability.
Company Guidance
During the call, Check Point's leadership highlighted several key metrics and strategic developments for the third quarter of fiscal year 2025. Revenue grew by 7% to $678 million, surpassing the midpoint of guidance by $6 million. Non-GAAP EPS was reported at $3.94 per diluted share, exceeding projections and including a onetime tax benefit of $1.47. Calculated billings saw a robust 20% year-over-year growth, amounting to $672 million. The company's deferred revenues increased by 8% to $1.887 billion, while current calculated billings rose by 14% to $642 million. Additionally, remaining performance obligations grew by 9% to $2.4 billion. In terms of geographic revenue distribution, America saw a 10% increase, EMEA grew by 3%, and APAC by 8%. Looking ahead, Check Point raised its midpoint for 2025 revenue guidance, indicating continued confidence in its trajectory. The company also highlighted its strategic focus on AI security, with recent acquisitions like Lakera and Veriti enhancing its capabilities in this domain. Check Point's operating cash flow was strong at $241 million, despite a $66 million onetime tax payment, and the company ended the quarter with $2.8 billion in total cash and marketable securities. Guidance for Q4 anticipates revenue between $724 million and $764 million, with non-GAAP EPS projected between $2.70 and $2.80. The call emphasized strategic hires in the go-to-market organization and continued investments in AI and cybersecurity innovation.

Check Point Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Check Point demonstrates strong financial health with robust profit margins, efficient cash flow management, and a solid balance sheet. The company exhibits stable growth and profitability, with low financial risk due to minimal leverage.
Income Statement
90
Very Positive
Check Point has shown consistent revenue growth, with a revenue growth rate of 6.23% in 2024 compared to 2023. The gross profit margin remains strong at approximately 88.51%, indicating efficient cost management. However, the slight decline in EBIT and EBITDA compared to 2023 suggests a need for monitoring operational efficiencies.
Balance Sheet
95
Very Positive
The company maintains a strong balance sheet with a very low debt-to-equity ratio, reflecting minimal leverage risk. The equity ratio stands at 48.55%, indicating a solid equity position. Return on Equity remains robust at around 30.31%, showcasing effective use of shareholder funds.
Cash Flow
88
Very Positive
Operating cash flow is robust, reflecting strong cash generation capabilities. The free cash flow to net income ratio is impressive, indicating efficient capital allocation. Although free cash flow growth has slowed compared to prior years, the overall cash position remains strong.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.68B2.56B2.41B2.33B2.17B2.06B
Gross Profit2.31B2.25B2.13B2.03B1.91B1.84B
EBITDA1.00B1.06B1.02B920.50M938.20M931.30M
Net Income1.01B845.70M840.30M796.90M815.60M846.60M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.70B5.75B5.70B5.72B5.90B5.84B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.47B1.37B1.53B1.64B1.69B1.69B
Total Debt0.0029.80M0.000.000.000.00
Total Liabilities2.62B2.97B2.87B2.80B2.64B2.37B
Stockholders Equity3.08B2.79B2.82B2.93B3.26B3.47B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.18B1.03B1.02B1.08B1.19B1.14B
Operating Cash Flow1.21B1.05B1.04B1.10B1.20B1.16B
Investing Cash Flow-95.04M-24.00M468.70M-6.40M-75.30M-98.20M
Financing Cash Flow-1.00B-1.06B-1.16B-1.17B-1.11B-1.09B

Check Point Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price186.57
Price Trends
50DMA
190.97
Negative
100DMA
193.64
Negative
200DMA
204.35
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.63
Negative
RSI
45.64
Neutral
STOCH
67.79
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CHKP, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 186.57 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 188.08, below the 50-day MA of 190.97, and below the 200-day MA of 204.35, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.63 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 45.64 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 67.79 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for CHKP.

Check Point Risk Analysis

Check Point disclosed 36 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Check Point reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Check Point Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$20.40B20.4534.19%6.31%25.27%
73
Outperform
$131.65B121.0515.33%15.30%-60.71%
71
Outperform
$58.50B32.25228.04%14.78%22.52%
66
Neutral
$117.73B-370.44-8.88%22.05%-341.24%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
61
Neutral
$65.29B-634.53-8.88%28.06%-7.44%
60
Neutral
$34.55B-826.39-2.41%23.24%-8.83%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CHKP
Check Point
186.57
3.17
1.73%
FTNT
Fortinet
78.33
-14.73
-15.83%
PANW
Palo Alto Networks
190.85
16.66
9.56%
ZS
Zscaler
216.85
26.85
14.13%
CRWD
CrowdStrike Holdings
468.02
106.00
29.28%
NET
Cloudflare
188.71
74.23
64.84%

Check Point Corporate Events

Check Point Completes $2 Billion Convertible Notes Offering
Dec 8, 2025

On December 8, 2025, Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. completed a private offering of $2.0 billion in convertible senior notes due 2030, including an additional $250 million exercised by initial purchasers. The proceeds, approximately $1.97 billion after expenses, will support general corporate purposes such as share repurchases and potential mergers, enhancing Check Point’s financial flexibility and strategic positioning in the cybersecurity sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (CHKP) stock is a Hold with a $200.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Check Point stock, see the CHKP Stock Forecast page.

Check Point Software Prices $1.75 Billion Convertible Notes Offering
Dec 4, 2025

On December 3, 2025, Check Point Software Technologies announced the pricing of a $1.75 billion private offering of 0.00% convertible senior notes due 2030. The offering was increased from an initial $1.5 billion, with an option for initial purchasers to buy an additional $250 million. The proceeds will support capped call transactions, share repurchases, and general corporate purposes, potentially impacting Check Point’s market position and shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (CHKP) stock is a Hold with a $235.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Check Point stock, see the CHKP Stock Forecast page.

Check Point Software Proposes $1.5 Billion Convertible Notes Offering
Dec 2, 2025

On December 2, 2025, Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. announced a proposed private offering of $1.5 billion in 0.00% convertible senior notes due 2030. This move is aimed at raising capital for general corporate purposes, including share repurchases and potential mergers and acquisitions. The offering is expected to enhance Check Point’s financial flexibility and strengthen its market position by potentially reducing share dilution and offsetting cash payments through capped call transactions. The announcement reflects Check Point’s strategic efforts to leverage financial instruments to support its growth and operational objectives.

The most recent analyst rating on (CHKP) stock is a Hold with a $235.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Check Point stock, see the CHKP Stock Forecast page.

Check Point Software Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results and Strategic AI Acquisition
Oct 28, 2025

On October 28, 2025, Check Point Software Technologies announced its financial results for the third quarter of 2025, highlighting a strong demand that led to a 20% increase in calculated billings year over year. The company reported total revenues of $678 million, a 7% increase from the previous year, and significant growth in security subscriptions revenues. The acquisition of Lakera, an AI-native security platform, was completed on October 22, 2025, enhancing Check Point’s AI First strategy and positioning it as a leader in next-generation cyber defense. The company also executed a share repurchase program and made a significant investment in its new Tel Aviv campus, reflecting its commitment to growth and innovation.

The most recent analyst rating on (CHKP) stock is a Hold with a $200.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Check Point stock, see the CHKP Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 04, 2026