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Cloudflare (NET)
NYSE:NET

Cloudflare (NET) AI Stock Analysis

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NE

Cloudflare

(NYSE:NET)

Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
$212.00
▲(14.20%Upside)
Cloudflare's strong revenue growth and financial performance, coupled with positive earnings call highlights, contribute to a solid stock score. While technical indicators show bullish momentum, high valuation multiples and profitability challenges present risks. The company's ongoing growth efforts, particularly in the enterprise sector, provide a positive outlook despite these challenges.
Positive Factors
Business Expansion
Cloudflare lands a massive $130M contract in Q1, the largest in its history.
Financial Performance
Cloudflare reported a strong 1Q with revenues of $479mn, a $10mn beat to the guide, outperforming Street expectations by 300bps.
Market Positioning
Cloudflare's growth is reaccelerating due to increasing platform adoption and strong positioning in attractive markets.
Negative Factors
Market Uncertainty
Cloudflare describes a 'highly volatile external business and geopolitical backdrop' as a source of uncertainty.
Operational Challenges
The second-quarter free cash flow estimate was lowered significantly, indicating potential challenges in that quarter.
Revenue Outlook
Cloudflare’s lack of upward revision to its FY25 revenue outlook despite Q1 revenue upside doesn’t speak as loudly.

Cloudflare (NET) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Cloudflare Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCloudflare, Inc. is a leading provider of web infrastructure and website security solutions, primarily focusing on network services, security, and performance optimization. The company operates in the sectors of cybersecurity and cloud services, offering a wide range of products such as content delivery network (CDN), Internet security, DDoS protection, and domain name server (DNS) services. Cloudflare's solutions are designed to enhance the performance and security of websites and applications, serving businesses across various industries worldwide.
How the Company Makes MoneyCloudflare makes money through a subscription-based revenue model, offering tiered service packages that cater to different business needs, from small enterprises to large corporations. Key revenue streams include its core products, such as CDN, DDoS protection, and DNS services, which are offered on a subscription basis. The company also generates income from its web application firewall (WAF), bot management, zero-trust security, and serverless computing offerings. Additionally, Cloudflare partners with major technology companies and internet service providers to expand its product reach and enhance its service capabilities, contributing to its revenue growth.

Cloudflare Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Customers
Customers
Shows the total number of clients using Cloudflare's services, indicating market reach and adoption of its solutions.
Chart InsightsCloudflare's customer base has been expanding steadily, with a notable acceleration in growth over recent quarters. The latest earnings call highlights a significant increase in large customers, with those paying over $100,000 annually growing by 23%. This shift towards larger contracts, including their largest ever deal, underscores Cloudflare's strategic focus on the enterprise sector. Despite flat net retention and a slight dip in gross margins, the company's robust revenue growth and high sales productivity signal a strong market position and positive outlook.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Cloudflare Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 08, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 49.34%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 31, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Cloudflare reported strong financial performance with significant revenue growth and large deal wins, particularly in the enterprise sector. However, some challenges were noted, such as flat net retention and a decrease in gross margin. Overall, the highlights significantly outweigh the lowlights, indicating a positive outlook.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
Cloudflare achieved revenue of $479.1 million, up 27% year-over-year.
Increase in Large Customers
The company closed the quarter with 3,527 customers paying more than $100,000, a 23% increase year-over-year.
Record Deal Size
Cloudflare landed the largest contract in its history, a deal of more than $100 million driven by the Workers developer platform.
High Sales Productivity
Another double-digit year-over-year improvement in sales productivity was achieved.
Robust Free Cash Flow
The company generated strong free cash flow of $52.9 million during the quarter.
Negative Updates
Flat Dollar-based Net Retention
The dollar-based net retention was 111%, flat quarter-to-quarter.
Decrease in Gross Margin
Gross margin was 77.1%, a decrease of 240 basis points year-over-year.
Company Guidance
During Cloudflare's Q1 2025 earnings call, the company reported a strong start to the fiscal year with a revenue of $479.1 million, representing a 27% increase year-over-year. They ended the quarter with 3,527 customers paying over $100,000 annually, marking a 23% growth from the previous year. Large customers contributed 69% to the revenue, up from 67% in the same period last year. The company achieved an operating profit of $56 million, with an operating margin of 11.7%, and generated a free cash flow of $52.9 million. Cloudflare's dollar-based net retention was 111%, and their gross margin stood at 77.1%, surpassing their long-term target. Additionally, Cloudflare closed its largest contract in history, exceeding $100 million, driven by its workers developer platform. The company anticipates Q2 2025 revenue between $500 million and $501 million and full-year 2025 revenue between $2,090 million and $2,094 million, projecting a 25% growth year-over-year.

Cloudflare Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Cloudflare shows strong revenue growth and improving cash flow metrics, indicating positive momentum in its business operations. The balance sheet is solid with good liquidity, but leverage and profitability remain concerns.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Cloudflare has demonstrated strong revenue growth with a consistent upward trend over the years, notably with a revenue increase from $656 million in 2021 to $1.77 billion in TTM. The gross profit margin is robust, though the company is yet to achieve net profitability, as evidenced by negative net income and EBIT margins. The EBITDA margin has improved to positive territory, indicating progress towards operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
The balance sheet reveals a stable financial base with a healthy cash position exceeding total debt, providing liquidity strength. However, the debt-to-equity ratio remains relatively high, indicating leverage risks. An improvement in stockholders' equity is noted, though the return on equity is impacted by negative net income, highlighting challenges in generating returns for shareholders.
Cash Flow
72
Positive
Cloudflare has shown significant improvement in operating cash flow, achieving positive free cash flow in recent periods, a positive indicator of financial health. The operating cash flow to net income and free cash flow to net income ratios are positive, demonstrating effective cash generation relative to reported losses, though capital expenditures remain a key consideration.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.77B1.67B1.30B975.24M656.43M431.06M
Gross Profit1.36B1.29B989.74M742.63M509.29M330.00M
EBITDA88.53M65.87M-36.17M-92.13M-127.68M-50.62M
Net Income-81.71M-78.80M-183.95M-193.38M-260.31M-119.37M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets295.46M3.30B2.76B2.59B2.37B1.38B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments144.14M1.86B1.67B1.65B1.82B1.03B
Total Debt10.63M1.46B1.44B1.58B1.29B428.30M
Total Liabilities92.16M2.25B2.00B1.96B1.56B563.71M
Stockholders Equity203.30M1.05B763.05M623.96M815.80M816.94M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow184.18M195.39M119.46M-39.77M-43.09M-92.09M
Operating Cash Flow452.63M380.43M254.41M123.59M64.65M-17.13M
Investing Cash Flow-519.61M-330.22M-186.20M-235.70M-709.32M-515.27M
Financing Cash Flow16.29M12.79M-192.19M6.35M847.49M504.91M

Cloudflare Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price185.64
Price Trends
50DMA
157.52
Positive
100DMA
143.40
Positive
200DMA
122.79
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
8.80
Positive
RSI
61.61
Neutral
STOCH
62.17
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NET, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 185.64 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 181.98, above the 50-day MA of 157.52, and above the 200-day MA of 122.79, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 8.80 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 61.61 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 62.17 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for NET.

Cloudflare Risk Analysis

Cloudflare disclosed 79 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Cloudflare reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Cloudflare Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (50)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$131.75B112.7221.16%13.91%-50.96%
76
Outperform
$11.62B26.809.82%3.51%-27.28%
74
Outperform
$122.65B721.64-5.76%25.94%-226.80%
73
Outperform
$17.28B10.678.58%0.94%0.18%99.46%
ZSZS
72
Outperform
$47.85B-2.68%25.46%49.20%
NENET
69
Neutral
$64.34B-7.35%27.79%56.19%
50
Neutral
AU$1.48B1.28-28.24%3.26%16.24%-7.89%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NET
Cloudflare
185.64
98.68
113.48%
AKAM
Akamai
79.46
-11.01
-12.17%
EBR.B
Centrais Elc Braz Pfb B Elbras
8.32
1.04
14.29%
PANW
Palo Alto Networks
196.97
25.93
15.16%
ZS
Zscaler
309.33
107.68
53.40%
CRWD
CrowdStrike Holdings
496.10
106.42
27.31%

Cloudflare Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Cloudflare Issues $2 Billion Convertible Notes
Neutral
Jun 17, 2025

On June 17, 2025, Cloudflare, Inc. issued $2.0 billion in 0% Convertible Senior Notes due 2030, with a conversion rate initially set at 4.0376 shares of Class A common stock per $1,000 principal amount. The notes, which mature on June 15, 2030, are part of a strategic financial maneuver to bolster Cloudflare’s capital for general corporate purposes, including potential acquisitions. The company also entered into capped call transactions to mitigate potential stock dilution, showcasing a proactive approach to managing its financial obligations and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (NET) stock is a Buy with a $205.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cloudflare stock, see the NET Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder MeetingsFinancial Disclosures
Cloudflare Holds 2025 Annual Stockholders Meeting
Neutral
Jun 9, 2025

On June 5, 2025, Cloudflare, Inc. held its 2025 Annual Meeting of Stockholders, where significant decisions were made regarding the company’s governance and financial oversight. The election of Class III directors, the ratification of KPMG LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm, and the approval of executive compensation were key outcomes, reflecting shareholder support for the company’s strategic direction and management.

The most recent analyst rating on (NET) stock is a Buy with a $205.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cloudflare stock, see the NET Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
Cloudflare Reports Strong Q1 2025 Financial Results
Positive
May 8, 2025

On May 8, 2025, Cloudflare announced its first quarter financial results, reporting a 27% year-over-year increase in revenue to $479.1 million. The company achieved its highest growth in net new ACV in three years and secured its largest contract ever, a $100 million deal, showcasing its strong market position and potential for future growth.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 28, 2025