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Cloudflare (NET)
NYSE:NET
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Cloudflare (NET) AI Stock Analysis

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NET

Cloudflare

(NYSE:NET)

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Neutral 56 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:56Neutral
Price Target:
$219.00
▲(8.96% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:04/14/26
NET’s score is driven primarily by improving fundamentals and cash flow strength alongside upbeat guidance for accelerating growth and higher profitability, but it is held back by increased leverage and still-weak TTM profitability. Technically, the stock is in a downtrend versus key moving averages, and valuation support is limited due to a negative P/E and no dividend yield provided.
Positive Factors
Cash Generation
Sustained and improving operating cash flow and materially positive free cash flow provide durable financial flexibility. This funds network CapEx, R&D and go-to-market expansion without immediate reliance on equity, supporting execution toward consistent profitability and strategic investments over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Rising Leverage
The sharp increase in debt and higher leverage raise financial risk and interest burden, reducing capital allocation flexibility. Until Cloudflare achieves consistent net profitability and cash flow coverage, elevated leverage heightens refinancing and macro-sensitivity risks and constrains strategic optionality.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Cash Generation
Sustained and improving operating cash flow and materially positive free cash flow provide durable financial flexibility. This funds network CapEx, R&D and go-to-market expansion without immediate reliance on equity, supporting execution toward consistent profitability and strategic investments over the next several quarters.
Read all positive factors

Cloudflare (NET) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Cloudflare Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
CloudFlare, Inc. operates as a cloud services provider that delivers a range of services to businesses worldwide. The company offers an integrated cloud-based security solution to secure a range of combination of platforms, including public cloud,...
How the Company Makes Money
Cloudflare primarily makes money by selling subscription-based cloud services to customers on contracted terms, typically priced by service tier, usage, and/or the scope of deployment (e.g., number of domains, applications, users, traffic, or secu...

Cloudflare Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography
Breaks down revenue across different regions, revealing where Cloudflare is strongest and where it may face risk or growth potential due to local economic conditions or market share shifts.
Chart InsightsCloudflare's revenue growth is robust across all regions, with the United States leading the charge, reflecting a strategic focus on large customers and partnerships. The Asia Pacific and EMEA regions also show strong momentum, supported by strategic wins and AI integration. Despite a slight decline in gross margin, the company's increased sales productivity and expanding customer base underscore its growth potential. The departure of a key executive poses a risk, but the positive outlook and strategic investments suggest continued revenue expansion, aligning with the company's guidance for sustained growth.
Data provided by:The Fly

Cloudflare Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 10, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 07, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented strong top-line acceleration, robust enterprise momentum, record new ACV, substantial customer additions, improving retention, and materially stronger free cash flow and profitability — all signaling successful execution of go-to-market and product strategies. Headwinds include a modest gross-margin decline (below target), higher network expense allocation and capital intensity, and increasing revenue variability from usage-based pool-of-funds deals. On balance, the positive operational and financial momentum, large-enterprise wins, AI-driven demand tailwind, and cash generation materially outweigh the margin and variability challenges.
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
Total revenue of $614.5M in Q4 FY2025, up 34% year-over-year, with FY2026 guidance of $2.785B–$2.795B (up 28%–29% YoY) and Q1 2026 revenue guide of $620M–$621M (up 29%–30% YoY).
Negative Updates
Gross Margin Pressure
Fourth-quarter gross margin was 74.9%, down 270 basis points YoY and 40 basis points sequentially, falling just below the stated long-term target range (75%–77%). Management attributed the decline to higher paid-traffic allocation to COGS and mix impacts from the developer platform.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Strong Revenue Growth
Total revenue of $614.5M in Q4 FY2025, up 34% year-over-year, with FY2026 guidance of $2.785B–$2.795B (up 28%–29% YoY) and Q1 2026 revenue guide of $620M–$621M (up 29%–30% YoY).
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Cloudflare guided Q1 2026 revenue of $620.0M–$621.0M (up ~29%–30% year‑over‑year), operating income of $70M–$71M, an effective tax rate of 20%, and diluted EPS of $0.23 assuming ~377M shares outstanding; for full‑year 2026 it expects revenue of $2.785B–$2.795B (up ~28%–29% year‑over‑year), operating income of $378M–$382M, an effective tax rate of 20%, diluted EPS of $1.11–$1.12 (≈377M shares assuming cash settlement of 2026 convertible notes), with revenue weighted ~46% in H1, expected network CapEx of ~12%–15% of revenue for the year, and management saying it is comfortable with consensus free cash flow estimates for 2026.

Cloudflare Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong and improving cash generation (TTM operating cash flow ~$667M; TTM free cash flow ~$332M, ~53% growth) supports flexibility, but profitability remains a gap (TTM net margin ~-4.7%). Balance-sheet risk increased with sharply higher debt (TTM ~$3.5B; debt-to-equity ~2.41) and negative ROE (~-7.5%).
Income Statement
56
Neutral
Balance Sheet
44
Neutral
Cash Flow
72
Positive
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.17B1.67B1.30B975.24M656.43M
Gross Profit1.61B1.29B989.74M742.63M509.29M
EBITDA207.43M62.05M-42.62M-92.13M-125.17M
Net Income-102.27M-78.80M-183.95M-193.38M-260.31M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.04B3.30B2.76B2.59B2.37B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments4.10B1.86B1.67B1.65B1.82B
Total Debt3.70B1.46B1.44B1.58B1.29B
Total Liabilities4.58B2.25B2.00B1.96B1.56B
Stockholders Equity1.46B1.05B763.05M623.96M815.80M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow324.32M195.39M119.46M-39.77M-43.09M
Operating Cash Flow666.87M380.43M254.41M123.59M64.65M
Investing Cash Flow-1.81B-330.22M-186.20M-235.70M-709.32M
Financing Cash Flow1.94B12.79M-192.19M6.35M847.49M

Cloudflare Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price200.99
Price Trends
50DMA
195.05
Positive
100DMA
194.04
Positive
200DMA
202.09
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-2.50
Positive
RSI
51.18
Neutral
STOCH
52.58
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NET, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 200.99 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 202.45, above the 50-day MA of 195.05, and below the 200-day MA of 202.09, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -2.50 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 51.18 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 52.58 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for NET.

Cloudflare Risk Analysis

Cloudflare disclosed 79 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Cloudflare reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Cloudflare Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$24.50B26.51-43.78%0.94%6.84%10.70%
74
Outperform
$145.69B71.1815.49%15.43%-2.40%
74
Outperform
$113.65B-686.05-4.68%21.71%-908.90%
72
Outperform
$62.41B31.84123.64%14.17%7.23%
67
Neutral
$21.79B-232.70-3.48%23.91%-326.25%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
56
Neutral
$72.88B-671.68-7.48%29.85%-27.27%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NET
Cloudflare
212.36
91.36
75.50%
FTNT
Fortinet
85.67
-16.97
-16.53%
PANW
Palo Alto Networks
182.90
1.36
0.75%
VRSN
Verisign
267.90
-5.90
-2.16%
ZS
Zscaler
134.11
-85.75
-39.00%
CRWD
CrowdStrike Holdings
454.61
31.53
7.45%

Cloudflare Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Cloudflare Highlights Strong Q4 Growth and Improving Profitability
Positive
Feb 10, 2026
On February 10, 2026, Cloudflare reported fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 results showing strong top-line growth and improving profitability metrics, underpinned by rising demand from AI- and agent-driven Internet workloads. Fourth-quarter reven...
Executive/Board Changes
Cloudflare Announces Planned Transition in Chief Legal Leadership
Neutral
Feb 10, 2026
On February 6, 2026, Cloudflare, Inc. announced that its Chief Legal Officer, Doug Kramer, has decided to resign from his role after nearly a decade with the company, with his resignation to take effect on March 31, 2026. Following his departure f...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 14, 2026