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Cloudflare (NET)
NYSE:NET

Cloudflare (NET) AI Stock Analysis

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NET

Cloudflare

(NYSE:NET)

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Neutral 61 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
$217.00
▲(10.32% Upside)
Cloudflare's strong revenue growth and strategic partnerships are significant strengths, driving a positive outlook. However, profitability challenges and high leverage pose risks. The technical indicators suggest a lack of strong momentum, and the valuation reflects ongoing losses. Despite these challenges, the company's strategic investments and improving cash flows support a cautiously optimistic view.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Strong revenue growth indicates expanding market reach and product adoption, supporting long-term business sustainability and competitive positioning.
Strategic Partnerships
Strategic partnerships enhance Cloudflare's service adoption, driving revenue growth and strengthening its competitive edge in the industry.
AI Integration
Integration of AI capabilities positions Cloudflare for future growth, enabling it to offer advanced solutions and maintain technological leadership.
Negative Factors
Profitability Challenges
Ongoing profitability issues may hinder long-term financial stability, requiring strategic focus on cost management and revenue optimization.
High Leverage
High leverage can strain financial flexibility and increase risk, necessitating careful debt management to ensure long-term viability.
Executive Departure
Departure of a key executive could disrupt strategic initiatives and impact leadership continuity, potentially affecting long-term growth plans.

Cloudflare (NET) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Cloudflare Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCloudFlare, Inc. operates as a cloud services provider that delivers a range of services to businesses worldwide. The company offers an integrated cloud-based security solution to secure a range of combination of platforms, including public cloud, private cloud, on-premise, software-as-a-service applications, and IoT devices. Its security products comprise cloud firewall, bot management, distributed denial of service, IoT, SSL/TLS, secure origin connection, and rate limiting products. The company also offers performance solutions, which include content delivery and intelligent routing, as well as content, mobile, and image optimization solutions. In addition, it provides reliability solutions comprising load balancing, anycast network, virtual backbone, DNS, DNS resolver, online, and virtual waiting room solutions. Further, the company offers Cloudflare internal infrastructure solutions, including on-ramps, which connect users, devices, or locations to its network; and filters, which are the products that protect, inspect, and privilege data. Additionally, it provides developer-based solutions, such as serverless computing/programmable network, website development, domain registration, Cloudflare apps, analytics, and data localization management; Consumer DNS Resolver, a consumer app to browse the Internet; and Consumer VPN for consumers to secure and accelerate traffic on mobile devices. The company serves customers in the technology, healthcare, financial services, consumer and retail, and non-profit industries, as well as government. CloudFlare, Inc. was incorporated in 2009 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyCloudflare generates revenue primarily through a subscription-based model, offering tiered pricing plans for its various services, which include enterprise solutions and add-ons. The company has several key revenue streams, including monthly or annual subscriptions for its CDN services, security features, and performance optimization tools. Additionally, Cloudflare offers a free tier to attract new customers, with the hope that they will eventually upgrade to paid plans. Significant partnerships with cloud service providers, technology platforms, and enterprise clients also contribute to its earnings, as these collaborations often lead to increased service adoption and higher revenue from advanced features and services.

Cloudflare Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography
Breaks down revenue across different regions, revealing where Cloudflare is strongest and where it may face risk or growth potential due to local economic conditions or market share shifts.
Chart InsightsCloudflare's revenue growth across all regions is robust, with the United States leading, reflecting strategic wins in AI and financial services. The Asia Pacific region shows notable acceleration, potentially driven by increased adoption of Cloudflare's innovative products. Despite a slight decrease in gross margin, the company's focus on large customer growth and operational improvements is paying off, as evidenced by a 28% year-over-year revenue increase. This momentum, alongside strategic expansions, suggests sustained growth potential, although financial pressures like reduced free cash flow warrant attention.
Data provided by:The Fly

Cloudflare Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 30, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Cloudflare reported strong financial and operational results with robust revenue growth and strategic partnerships driving its success. Despite the departure of a key executive, the company's future outlook remains positive, supported by increased sales productivity and strategic investments in AI and partnerships.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth and Large Customer Expansion
Cloudflare achieved revenue of $562 million, up 30.7% year-over-year. Large customers, those paying over $100,000 per year, increased by 23% year-over-year, contributing 73% of the total revenue.
Strong Operating and Financial Performance
Operating profit was $85.9 million with a 15.3% operating margin. Free cash flow was $75 million, exceeding expectations.
Partnerships and Strategic Wins
Cloudflare expanded its relationships with several high-profile companies, including a Global 2000 digital media platform and a leading European technology company, with significant multi-year contracts.
Innovation and AI Integration
Cloudflare's Workers developer platform saw significant adoption for running AI inference tasks, contributing to the company's growth.
Sales and Market Strategy Success
Sales productivity increased for the seventh consecutive quarter, with close rates and bookings from partner-initiated opportunities doubling year-over-year.
Negative Updates
Departure of Key Executive
CJ Desai, a key product and engineering leader, is leaving Cloudflare for a CEO position at another public technology company.
Gross Margin Decline
Gross margin decreased to 75.3% from 76.3% sequentially and 78.8% year-over-year due to increased paid vs. free customer traffic.
Company Guidance
During Cloudflare's Q3 2025 earnings call, several key metrics were highlighted, showcasing the company's robust performance. Revenue reached $562 million, marking a 30.7% increase year-over-year, with large customers contributing to 73% of this total, up from 67% the previous year. The company reported a dollar-based net retention rate of 119%, up 5 percentage points quarter-over-quarter, and a gross margin of 75.3%, within their long-term target range. Operating profit was $85.9 million, reflecting an operating margin of 15.3%, while free cash flow was a strong $75 million. Cloudflare's sales force capacity grew at its fastest pace in over two years, with sales productivity improving for the seventh consecutive quarter. Additionally, bookings from partner-initiated opportunities doubled year-over-year, and the company observed significant growth in its customer base, with a total of 4,009 large customers, a 23% increase year-over-year. Looking ahead, Cloudflare provided guidance for Q4 2025, expecting revenue between $588.5 million and $589.5 million, with an operating income range of $83 million to $84 million. For the full year 2025, they anticipate revenue of $2.142 billion to $2.143 billion and operating income between $297 million and $298 million.

Cloudflare Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Cloudflare shows strong revenue growth and efficient cost management, but faces profitability challenges with negative net profit margins. The balance sheet indicates high leverage, posing potential risks, although improving cash flows suggest a positive trajectory towards financial stability.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Cloudflare's revenue growth has been strong, with a notable increase in recent years, although it has plateaued in the latest TTM period. The company maintains a healthy gross profit margin, indicating efficient cost management. However, persistent negative net profit margins and EBIT margins reflect ongoing profitability challenges, which are common in high-growth tech companies investing heavily in expansion.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a high debt-to-equity ratio, indicating significant leverage, which could pose risks if not managed carefully. The return on equity remains negative, reflecting ongoing losses. However, the equity ratio is reasonable, suggesting a balanced asset structure.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Cloudflare's cash flow position is improving, with positive free cash flow growth and a solid operating cash flow to net income ratio. This indicates effective cash management and a potential path to profitability. The free cash flow to net income ratio is positive, suggesting that the company is generating cash despite net losses.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.01B1.67B1.30B975.24M656.43M431.06M
Gross Profit1.51B1.29B989.74M742.63M509.29M330.00M
EBITDA138.79M62.05M-42.62M-92.13M-125.17M-43.69M
Net Income-103.04M-78.80M-183.95M-193.38M-260.31M-119.37M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.79B3.30B2.76B2.59B2.37B1.38B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments4.04B1.86B1.67B1.65B1.82B1.03B
Total Debt3.50B1.46B1.44B1.58B1.29B428.30M
Total Liabilities4.44B2.25B2.00B1.96B1.56B563.71M
Stockholders Equity1.35B1.05B763.05M623.96M815.80M816.94M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow216.38M195.39M119.46M-39.77M-43.09M-92.09M
Operating Cash Flow540.01M380.43M254.41M123.59M64.65M-17.13M
Investing Cash Flow-1.68B-330.22M-186.20M-235.70M-709.32M-515.27M
Financing Cash Flow2.02B12.79M-192.19M6.35M847.49M504.91M

Cloudflare Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price196.70
Price Trends
50DMA
213.89
Negative
100DMA
211.97
Negative
200DMA
179.98
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-2.86
Negative
RSI
41.59
Neutral
STOCH
30.11
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NET, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 196.7 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 200.23, below the 50-day MA of 213.89, and above the 200-day MA of 179.98, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -2.86 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 41.59 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 30.11 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for NET.

Cloudflare Risk Analysis

Cloudflare disclosed 79 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Cloudflare reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Cloudflare Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$133.61B117.9015.33%15.30%-60.71%
71
Outperform
$61.14B33.56228.04%14.78%22.52%
67
Neutral
$127.25B-385.84-8.88%22.05%-341.24%
62
Neutral
$22.43B28.190.96%5.47%-0.03%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
61
Neutral
$70.91B-661.40-8.88%28.06%-7.44%
60
Neutral
$37.68B-877.71-2.41%23.24%-8.83%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NET
Cloudflare
196.70
79.14
67.32%
FTNT
Fortinet
81.52
-16.10
-16.49%
PANW
Palo Alto Networks
185.88
-15.36
-7.63%
VRSN
Verisign
241.88
48.36
24.99%
ZS
Zscaler
230.31
29.86
14.90%
CRWD
CrowdStrike Holdings
487.47
111.05
29.50%

Cloudflare Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Cloudflare Reports Strong Q3 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Oct 30, 2025

On October 30, 2025, Cloudflare announced its financial results for the third quarter of 2025, reporting a revenue of $562.0 million, marking a 31% increase year-over-year. Despite a GAAP loss from operations of $37.5 million, the company achieved a non-GAAP income from operations of $85.9 million. The results highlight Cloudflare’s accelerating momentum and its strategic focus on innovation and execution, which are expected to expand its influence in the internet industry. Additionally, CJ Desai will step down as President of Product & Engineering on November 7, 2025.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025