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Cloudflare (NET)
NYSE:NET

Cloudflare (NET) AI Stock Analysis

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NE

Cloudflare

(NYSE:NET)

72Outperform
Cloudflare's strong revenue growth and improved cash flow metrics are key strengths, supported by positive earnings call outcomes and strategic developments. Despite bullish technical indicators, the high valuation and persistent profitability challenges present risks. Strategic focus on leveraging growth while managing profitability and debt will be crucial for sustaining shareholder value.
Positive Factors
Customer Growth
Cloudflare added over 13,000 net new customers, driving total revenue growth of 27% year-over-year.
Financial Performance
Cloudflare reported a strong Q1 with revenues of $479 million, a $10 million beat to the guide, outperforming Street expectations by 300bps.
Strategic Deals
Cloudflare lands a massive $130 million contract in Q1, the largest in its history.
Negative Factors
Geopolitical Uncertainty
Cloudflare describes a 'highly volatile external business and geopolitical backdrop' as a source of uncertainty.
Margin Pressure
Pool of Fund deals, which are large spend commitments with longer durations, present a short-term headwind to margins, and accounted for approximately 15% of Q1 ACV.
Revenue Outlook
Cloudflare's lack of upward revision to its FY25 revenue outlook despite Q1 revenue upside doesn't speak as loudly.

Cloudflare (NET) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Cloudflare Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCloudFlare, Inc. operates as a cloud services provider that delivers a range of services to businesses worldwide. The company offers an integrated cloud-based security solution to secure a range of combination of platforms, including public cloud, private cloud, on-premise, software-as-a-service applications, and IoT devices. Its security products comprise cloud firewall, bot management, distributed denial of service, IoT, SSL/TLS, secure origin connection, and rate limiting products. The company also offers performance solutions, which include content delivery and intelligent routing, as well as content, mobile, and image optimization solutions. In addition, it provides reliability solutions comprising load balancing, anycast network, virtual backbone, DNS, DNS resolver, online, and virtual waiting room solutions. Further, the company offers Cloudflare internal infrastructure solutions, including on-ramps, which connect users, devices, or locations to its network; and filters, which are the products that protect, inspect, and privilege data. Additionally, it provides developer-based solutions, such as serverless computing/programmable network, website development, domain registration, Cloudflare apps, analytics, and data localization management; Consumer DNS Resolver, a consumer app to browse the Internet; and Consumer VPN for consumers to secure and accelerate traffic on mobile devices. The company serves customers in the technology, healthcare, financial services, consumer and retail, and non-profit industries, as well as government. CloudFlare, Inc. was incorporated in 2009 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyCloudflare makes money primarily through a subscription-based revenue model, offering a variety of tiered service plans. These plans range from free basic services to premium packages for enterprise clients, which include advanced security features, enhanced performance optimizations, and dedicated support. Revenue is generated through recurring fees charged for these service subscriptions. Additionally, Cloudflare monetizes by providing pay-as-you-go services for specific features and usage-based billing for certain products, such as its serverless computing platform, Workers. Partnerships with major technology companies and integrations with platforms like Amazon Web Services, Microsoft Azure, and Google Cloud also help Cloudflare expand its reach and customer base, contributing to its overall earnings.

Cloudflare Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Customers
Customers
Shows the total number of clients using Cloudflare's services, indicating market reach and adoption of its solutions.
Chart InsightsCloudflare's customer base has been expanding steadily, with a notable acceleration in growth over recent quarters. The latest earnings call highlights a significant increase in large customers, with those paying over $100,000 annually growing by 23%. This shift towards larger contracts, including their largest ever deal, underscores Cloudflare's strategic focus on the enterprise sector. Despite flat net retention and a slight dip in gross margins, the company's robust revenue growth and high sales productivity signal a strong market position and positive outlook.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Cloudflare Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Cloudflare exhibits strong revenue and cash flow growth, highlighting its robust market position in the software industry. However, persistent net losses and balance sheet concerns, including negative total assets, pose risks. Continued focus on improving profitability and financial stability is crucial for long-term success.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Cloudflare has demonstrated solid revenue growth with a revenue increase from $1.30 billion in 2023 to $1.67 billion in 2024, representing a 28.8% growth rate. The gross profit margin remains strong at 77.3% in 2024. However, the company continues to report net losses, with a net profit margin of -4.7% in 2024, indicating ongoing profitability challenges.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The company's balance sheet reveals a negative equity, with total assets at -$256.2 million and stockholders' equity at $19.8 million in 2024, indicating a potentially concerning financial position. The debt-to-equity ratio is unfavorable due to the negative equity, suggesting high leverage. Despite a significant cash position, the negative total assets require attention.
Cash Flow
72
Positive
Operating cash flow improved significantly to $380.4 million in 2024, and free cash flow also increased to $195.4 million, reflecting robust cash-generating capabilities. The free cash flow growth rate is substantial at 63.5% year-over-year, indicating strong cash flow management despite net losses.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
1.67B1.30B975.24M656.43M431.06M
Gross Profit
1.29B989.74M742.63M509.29M330.00M
EBIT
-154.76M-185.49M-201.20M-127.68M-106.77M
EBITDA
65.87M-36.17M-92.13M-127.68M-50.62M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-78.80M-183.95M-193.38M-260.31M-119.37M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
1.86B1.67B1.65B1.82B1.03B
Total Assets
3.30B2.76B2.59B2.37B1.38B
Total Debt
1.46B1.44B1.58B1.29B428.30M
Net Debt
1.32B1.35B1.37B979.43M319.41M
Total Liabilities
2.25B2.00B1.96B1.56B563.71M
Stockholders Equity
1.05B763.05M623.96M815.80M816.94M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
195.39M119.46M-39.77M-43.09M-92.09M
Operating Cash Flow
380.43M254.41M123.59M64.65M-17.13M
Investing Cash Flow
-330.22M-186.20M-235.70M-709.32M-515.27M
Financing Cash Flow
12.79M-192.19M6.35M847.49M504.91M

Cloudflare Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price157.52
Price Trends
50DMA
120.75
Positive
100DMA
127.70
Positive
200DMA
108.79
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
10.85
Negative
RSI
77.68
Negative
STOCH
97.59
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NET, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 157.52 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 133.05, above the 50-day MA of 120.75, and above the 200-day MA of 108.79, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 10.85 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 77.68 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 97.59 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for NET.

Cloudflare Risk Analysis

Cloudflare disclosed 79 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Cloudflare reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Cloudflare Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$109.41B721.64-0.69%29.39%-119.62%
74
Outperform
$17.36B10.708.58%3.77%0.18%99.46%
74
Outperform
$128.65B109.7721.16%13.86%-46.44%
ZSZS
74
Outperform
$39.08B-1.21%27.77%89.39%
NENET
72
Outperform
$54.60B-7.35%27.79%56.19%
71
Outperform
$11.39B26.279.82%3.51%-27.28%
60
Neutral
$11.59B10.34-7.15%2.94%7.49%-10.88%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NET
Cloudflare
157.42
83.04
111.64%
AKAM
Akamai
77.49
-17.01
-18.00%
EBR.B
Centrais Elc Braz Pfb B Elbras
8.15
0.42
5.43%
PANW
Palo Alto Networks
194.48
38.65
24.80%
ZS
Zscaler
251.95
74.97
42.36%
CRWD
CrowdStrike Holdings
442.25
92.93
26.60%

Cloudflare Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 08, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 26.72%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 31, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Cloudflare reported strong financial performance with significant revenue growth and large deal wins, particularly in the enterprise sector. However, some challenges were noted, such as flat net retention and a decrease in gross margin. Overall, the highlights significantly outweigh the lowlights, indicating a positive outlook.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
Cloudflare achieved revenue of $479.1 million, up 27% year-over-year.
Increase in Large Customers
The company closed the quarter with 3,527 customers paying more than $100,000, a 23% increase year-over-year.
Record Deal Size
Cloudflare landed the largest contract in its history, a deal of more than $100 million driven by the Workers developer platform.
High Sales Productivity
Another double-digit year-over-year improvement in sales productivity was achieved.
Robust Free Cash Flow
The company generated strong free cash flow of $52.9 million during the quarter.
Negative Updates
Flat Dollar-based Net Retention
The dollar-based net retention was 111%, flat quarter-to-quarter.
Decrease in Gross Margin
Gross margin was 77.1%, a decrease of 240 basis points year-over-year.
Company Guidance
During Cloudflare's Q1 2025 earnings call, the company reported a strong start to the fiscal year with a revenue of $479.1 million, representing a 27% increase year-over-year. They ended the quarter with 3,527 customers paying over $100,000 annually, marking a 23% growth from the previous year. Large customers contributed 69% to the revenue, up from 67% in the same period last year. The company achieved an operating profit of $56 million, with an operating margin of 11.7%, and generated a free cash flow of $52.9 million. Cloudflare's dollar-based net retention was 111%, and their gross margin stood at 77.1%, surpassing their long-term target. Additionally, Cloudflare closed its largest contract in history, exceeding $100 million, driven by its workers developer platform. The company anticipates Q2 2025 revenue between $500 million and $501 million and full-year 2025 revenue between $2,090 million and $2,094 million, projecting a 25% growth year-over-year.

Cloudflare Corporate Events

Financial Disclosures
Cloudflare Reports Strong Q1 2025 Financial Results
Positive
May 8, 2025

On May 8, 2025, Cloudflare announced its first quarter financial results, reporting a 27% year-over-year increase in revenue to $479.1 million. The company achieved its highest growth in net new ACV in three years and secured its largest contract ever, a $100 million deal, showcasing its strong market position and potential for future growth.

Spark’s Take on NET Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, NET is a Neutral.

Cloudflare’s overall score reflects strong revenue and cash flow growth, supported by positive earnings call outcomes and strategic board changes. However, persistent net losses and a weak balance sheet pose significant risks. Despite some positive technical and corporate developments, valuation concerns and financial instability remain critical issues to address.

To see Spark’s full report on NET stock, click here.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Cloudflare Announces New Board Appointments for 2025
Positive
Mar 27, 2025

On March 27, 2025, Cloudflare announced the resignation of Maria Eitel from its Board of Directors, effective March 27, 2025, and the appointment of three new board members: Stacey Cunningham, Karim Lakhani, and John Graham-Cumming. These appointments are expected to enhance Cloudflare’s strategic direction, with Cunningham bringing financial expertise, Lakhani offering insights into AI-driven business transformation, and Graham-Cumming providing deep technical knowledge. This change reflects Cloudflare’s commitment to driving innovation and growth as it continues to shape the future of Internet security and performance.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.