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Akamai (AKAM)
NASDAQ:AKAM

Akamai (AKAM) AI Stock Analysis

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Akamai

(NASDAQ:AKAM)

Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
$85.00
▲(10.35%Upside)
Akamai's overall stock score is driven by solid financial performance and positive corporate events. However, neutral technical indicators and valuation metrics suggest moderate future performance, with potential challenges from declining delivery revenue and macroeconomic concerns.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
Akamai reported strong 1Q25 revenue growth of 2.9% vs Street’s 2.6%, with EPS of $1.70, above Street’s expectations of $1.57, partially driven by better-than-expected revenues and operating activities.
Market Trends
Improved traffic growth and stable trends are encouraging, driving upside to Q2 targets.
Product Development
Large opportunity with AI in security business to enable its products to make better security decisions, and the company recently announced its Firewall for AI solution that prevents prompt injections, data leakage, hallucinations, etc. for AI apps.
Negative Factors
Business Segment Performance
Security and Compute missed expectations by 240bps and 330bps, respectively.
Growth Deceleration
Security and Compute growth rates are decelerating and margins are facing a slower ramp as AKAM looks to build out its smaller Compute and Security products.
Market Conditions
2H growth is implicitly weaker, largely relying on the macroeconomic environment, volatility of USD, and the TikTok decision.

Akamai (AKAM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Akamai Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAkamai Technologies, Inc. provides cloud services for securing, delivering, and optimizing content and business applications over the internet in the United States and internationally. The company offers cloud solutions to keep infrastructure, websites, applications, application programming interfaces, and users safe from various cyberattacks and online threats while enhancing performance. It also provides web and mobile performance solutions to enable dynamic websites and applications; media delivery solutions, including video streaming and video player services, game and software delivery, broadcast operations, authoritative domain name system, resolution, and data and analytics; and edge compute solutions to enable developers to deploy and distribute code at the edge. In addition, the company offers carrier offerings, including cybersecurity protection, parental controls, DNS infrastructure and content delivery solutions; and an array of service and support to assist customers with integrating, configuring, optimizing, and managing its offerings. It sells its solutions through direct sales and service organizations, as well as through various channel partners. Akamai Technologies, Inc. was incorporated in 1998 and is headquartered in Cambridge, Massachusetts.
How the Company Makes MoneyAkamai generates revenue through several key streams, primarily focusing on its CDN services, cloud security solutions, and edge computing offerings. The company charges its clients based on data usage, subscription models, and service level agreements. Akamai's CDN services help clients deliver digital content quickly and efficiently, while its security solutions protect against cyber threats. Additionally, Akamai partners with major internet service providers and technology companies to enhance its service offerings, leveraging these partnerships to expand its market reach and customer base. These diverse revenue streams, combined with strategic partnerships, contribute significantly to Akamai's earnings.

Akamai Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Analyzes revenue from different business units or product lines, highlighting which areas are driving growth and where the company might need to adjust its strategy.
Chart InsightsAkamai's Security and Compute segments are driving growth, with Security showing a robust 10% year-over-year increase, bolstered by strong demand for solutions like Guardicore and API security. Compute revenue is also on the rise, projected to grow 15% in 2025. However, Delivery revenue continues to decline, down 9% year-over-year, reflecting ongoing challenges. Despite macroeconomic and geopolitical concerns, Akamai's strategic focus on high-demand security and cloud solutions positions it well for future growth, although caution remains around the Delivery segment's performance.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Akamai Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 08, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -9.84%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 12, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Akamai showed strong growth in its security and compute segments, with notable customer acquisitions and industry recognition. However, delivery revenue declined, and there are concerns about macroeconomic and geopolitical impacts, as well as declining interest income. Overall, the company's performance was solid, but challenges remain.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Start to Fiscal Year 2025
Akamai reported first-quarter revenue of $1.015 billion, up 3% year-over-year as reported and 4% in constant currency. Non-GAAP EPS was $1.07, up 4% year-over-year and 6% in constant currency, exceeding the high end of guidance.
Security and Compute Growth
Combined revenue from security and compute accounted for 69% of total revenue in Q1, growing 10% year-over-year as reported and 11% in constant currency. Security solutions, including Guardicore and API security, showed strong demand and growth.
Successful Customer Acquisitions and Partnerships
Akamai secured several large contracts and competitive takeaways for its Guardicore solution, including major financial institutions and government agencies. The company also signed contracts for API security with notable firms across various sectors.
Recognition and Awards
Akamai was named a leader in the Forrester Wave Web Application Firewall report and won a global Infosec Award for its API security solution at the RSA Security Conference.
Cloud Computing Momentum
Cloud computing revenue grew by 14% year-over-year, with significant deals signed, including a global live streaming service and a major cybersecurity provider. Akamai was named an emerging leader for GenAI specialized infrastructure by Gartner.
Negative Updates
Delivery Revenue Decline
Delivery revenue was $319 million, down 9% year-over-year as reported. Although better than expected, the company remains cautious about calling a bottom in delivery performance.
Macroeconomic and Geopolitical Concerns
Concerns among some customers about potential recession impacts and reliance on American companies for critical infrastructure were noted, though these have not yet impacted business.
US Public Sector Revenue Concerns
Less than 5% of revenue is derived from the US public sector, and there is potential for a few million dollars of revenue loss in the second half of 2025 due to federal budget cutbacks.
Interest Income Decline Expected
Interest income is expected to decline due to lower cash balances and anticipated lower investment yields as interest rates are projected to decrease.
Company Guidance
During Akamai Technologies' First Quarter 2025 earnings call, CEO Tom Leighton and CFO Ed McGowan provided guidance for the upcoming periods. The company reported a solid start to the year with first-quarter revenue reaching $1.015 billion, marking a 3% increase year-over-year and 4% in constant currency. Non-GAAP operating margin exceeded guidance at 30%, and non-GAAP earnings per share surpassed the high-end of the guidance range at $1.07, reflecting a 4% increase year-over-year and 6% in constant currency. Security and compute segments accounted for 69% of total revenue, with security revenue growing 10% year-over-year as reported. The company anticipates Q2 revenue between $1.012 billion and $1.032 billion and maintains a full-year 2025 revenue guidance between $4.050 billion and $4.2 billion. Akamai expects security revenue to grow about 10% in constant currency for 2025 and projects compute revenue growth of approximately 15%. They also highlighted the potential impact of global economic and political challenges, as well as steps taken to mitigate risks from tariffs.

Akamai Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Akamai demonstrates strong financial performance with consistent revenue growth and robust profitability margins. The balance sheet is stable, with prudent leverage management and solid equity support. Cash flow statements indicate effective cash generation, though there are minor challenges in free cash flow growth.
Income Statement
80
Positive
Akamai shows strong revenue growth, with a steady increase in total revenue over the years, reaching $4.02 billion in TTM. Gross profit margin remains robust at approximately 59.1% in TTM, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin has slightly decreased to 11.3% in TTM, suggesting increased expenses or other financial obligations affecting net income. The company's EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy, reflecting operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 1.01 in TTM, indicating a balanced leverage position. Return on equity (ROE) stands at 9.9% in TTM, which is healthy but shows a slight decline. The equity ratio is strong at 45.9% in TTM, highlighting a stable financial structure with substantial equity backing assets.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Akamai demonstrates solid cash flow management with an operating cash flow to net income ratio of 3.13 in TTM, indicating strong cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 1.74, showing effective cash utilization. However, the free cash flow growth rate is slightly negative at -5.36%, suggesting minor challenges in cash flow expansion.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
4.02B3.99B3.81B3.62B3.46B3.20B
Gross Profit
2.37B2.37B2.30B2.23B2.19B2.07B
EBIT
521.27M533.41M637.34M676.27M783.15M658.53M
EBITDA
1.27B1.26B1.24B1.26B1.35B1.16B
Net Income Common Stockholders
452.67M504.92M547.63M523.67M651.64M557.05M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
1.32B1.60B864.44M1.11B1.08B1.10B
Total Assets
9.98B10.37B9.90B8.30B8.14B7.76B
Total Debt
4.62B4.63B4.54B3.17B2.86B2.78B
Net Debt
3.52B4.12B4.05B2.63B2.32B2.42B
Total Liabilities
5.40B5.49B5.30B3.94B3.61B3.51B
Stockholders Equity
4.58B4.88B4.60B4.36B4.53B4.25B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
789.20M833.90M618.40M816.37M859.33M483.13M
Operating Cash Flow
1.42B1.52B1.35B1.27B1.40B1.22B
Investing Cash Flow
229.75M-798.68M-1.85B-622.31M-646.90M-1.04B
Financing Cash Flow
-1.02B-679.63M443.38M-634.18M-562.00M-223.64M

Akamai Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price77.03
Price Trends
50DMA
77.22
Negative
100DMA
83.02
Negative
200DMA
90.33
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.17
Negative
RSI
47.42
Neutral
STOCH
62.90
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AKAM, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 77.03 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 77.11, below the 50-day MA of 77.22, and below the 200-day MA of 90.33, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.17 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 47.42 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 62.90 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AKAM.

Akamai Risk Analysis

Akamai disclosed 32 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Akamai reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Akamai Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
83
Outperform
$16.46B27.2219.89%5.61%26.65%
80
Outperform
$77.18B41.50205.91%13.83%58.13%
NENET
74
Outperform
$59.61B-7.35%27.79%56.19%
ZSZS
72
Outperform
$47.01B-2.68%25.46%49.20%
70
Outperform
$11.26B25.989.82%3.51%-27.28%
69
Neutral
$25.04B33.74245.70%7.93%-56.44%
62
Neutral
$11.80B10.10-7.47%2.99%7.37%-8.16%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AKAM
Akamai
77.03
-12.08
-13.56%
FFIV
F5 Networks
286.61
118.92
70.92%
FTNT
Fortinet
100.83
39.93
65.57%
GDDY
GoDaddy
175.74
37.70
27.31%
ZS
Zscaler
301.95
117.57
63.77%
NET
Cloudflare
171.97
94.29
121.38%

Akamai Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingStock Buyback
Akamai Completes Convertible Notes Offering and Stock Buyback
Neutral
May 19, 2025

On May 19, 2025, Akamai Technologies completed its offering of 0.25% Convertible Senior Notes due in 2033, raising $1.725 billion. The proceeds were used for convertible note hedge transactions and repurchasing 3,870,468 shares of common stock, impacting the company’s financial strategy and market position.

The most recent analyst rating on (AKAM) stock is a Buy with a $115.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Akamai stock, see the AKAM Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Akamai Approves Key Amendments at Annual Meeting
Positive
May 16, 2025

On May 14, 2025, Akamai Technologies held its annual meeting where stockholders approved several significant amendments, including an increase of 8 million shares for the company’s Stock Incentive Plan and changes to its Certificate of Incorporation to eliminate supermajority voting requirements. Additionally, the meeting saw the election of board members and ratification of PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as the independent accounting firm, reflecting a strategic shift towards more shareholder-friendly governance practices.

The most recent analyst rating on (AKAM) stock is a Buy with a $115.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Akamai stock, see the AKAM Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingStock Buyback
Akamai Announces Upsized $1.5B Convertible Notes Offering
Neutral
May 15, 2025

On May 14, 2025, Akamai Technologies announced the pricing of its upsized private offering of $1.5 billion in convertible senior notes due 2033, aimed at qualified institutional buyers. The offering, increased from an initial $1.35 billion, is expected to close on May 19, 2025, and will help Akamai manage its debt and repurchase shares, potentially impacting its stock market dynamics.

The most recent analyst rating on (AKAM) stock is a Buy with a $115.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Akamai stock, see the AKAM Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingStock BuybackBusiness Operations and Strategy
Akamai Announces $1.35 Billion Convertible Notes Offering
Positive
May 13, 2025

On May 12, 2025, Akamai Technologies amended its Credit Agreement, increasing its revolving commitments to $1 billion and extending the maturity date to November 2028. This amendment reflects Akamai’s strategic financial management and positions it for future growth. On May 13, 2025, Akamai announced a proposed private offering of $1.35 billion in Convertible Senior Notes due 2033, aimed at refinancing existing debt and repurchasing shares. This move is expected to optimize Akamai’s capital structure and potentially impact its stock market performance.

The most recent analyst rating on (AKAM) stock is a Buy with a $115.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Akamai stock, see the AKAM Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.