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CrowdStrike Holdings (CRWD)
NASDAQ:CRWD

CrowdStrike Holdings (CRWD) AI Stock Analysis

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CRWD

CrowdStrike Holdings

(NASDAQ:CRWD)

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Neutral 69 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
$429.00
▲(11.18% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/04/26
The score is led by strong financial quality in cash generation and balance sheet strength, reinforced by upbeat guidance and ARR momentum from the latest earnings call. These positives are tempered by weak technical trend signals (below key moving averages with negative MACD) and an unfavorable valuation signal from a negative P/E and no dividend yield support.
Positive Factors
Strong recurring ARR scale
CrowdStrike's $5.25B ARR at ~24% growth reflects a large, subscription-based revenue base that provides durable revenue visibility and predictable renewal streams. Scale reduces per-customer sales/marketing intensity, enabling sustained investment in product and go-to-market for multi-year growth.
Negative Factors
Uneven GAAP profitability
Despite top-line scale and strong non-GAAP metrics, recurring GAAP losses and negative EBITDA in FY2026 show earnings volatility. Persistent GAAP losses can constrain returns on equity, complicate investor assessment, and make sustained margin improvement dependent on execution versus accounting adjustments.
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Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong recurring ARR scale
CrowdStrike's $5.25B ARR at ~24% growth reflects a large, subscription-based revenue base that provides durable revenue visibility and predictable renewal streams. Scale reduces per-customer sales/marketing intensity, enabling sustained investment in product and go-to-market for multi-year growth.
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CrowdStrike Holdings (CRWD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

CrowdStrike Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. provides cloud-delivered protection across endpoints and cloud workloads, identity, and data. It offers threat intelligence, managed security services, IT operations management, threat hunting, Zero Trust identity protec...
How the Company Makes Money
CrowdStrike generates revenue primarily through a subscription-based model, where customers pay for access to its Falcon platform and its suite of cybersecurity services. The company offers various subscription tiers based on the level of protecti...

CrowdStrike Holdings Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography
Breaks down revenue across different regions, revealing where the company is strongest and where it may face risk or growth potential due to local economic conditions or market share shifts.
Chart InsightsThe U.S. remains CrowdStrike’s revenue engine, but Asia‑Pacific and EMEA are the fastest-growing pockets, steadily taking a larger share of global revenue—a meaningful diversification that underpins the company’s ARR scale and validates marketplace and partner strategies (AWS, Microsoft) cited on the call. That international momentum amplifies long‑term ARR runway and product cross‑sell (cloud/identity/SIEM/Falcon Flex), yet investors should weigh near‑term seasonality, acquisition integration costs and AI/competitive risks that could temper operating leverage despite strong top‑line diversification.
Data provided by:The Fly

CrowdStrike Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Mar 03, 2026
(Q4-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jun 09, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presents strong, broad-based operational momentum: record quarterly and annual ARR growth, milestone scale (crossing $5.25B ARR), accelerating net new ARR (Q4 +47% YoY), improving margins and record free cash flow and operating income. Product and go-to-market successes — notably Falcon Flex adoption, Next-Gen SIEM/cloud/identity expansion, endpoint acceleration driven by AI, partner marketplace traction with AWS and Microsoft, and early traction for AIDR — underpin the growth thesis. Manageable near-term negatives include integration costs and limited immediate contribution from recent acquisitions, accounting changes that boost non-GAAP metrics, seasonal second-quarter weakness, and ongoing market/competitive risks from rapid AI/LLM evolution. Overall the positive operational and financial momentum significantly outweighs these manageable near-term headwinds.
Positive Updates
Record Net New ARR and FY Milestone
Q4 net new ARR of $330.7M (reported as $331M), up 47% year-over-year; FY '26 net new ARR of $1.01B, up 25% year-over-year — the first year delivering over $1B of net new ARR.
Negative Updates
Acquisition Integration Costs and Limited Near-Term Organic Contribution
Recent acquisitions (SGNL and Seraphic) are expected to contribute only $5M–$8M of acquired net new ARR in Q1 and minimal organic contribution for the remainder of FY '27 as CrowdStrike prioritizes native integration; integration-related operating expenses are expected to be $74M–$80M in FY '27.
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Q4-2026 Updates
Negative
Record Net New ARR and FY Milestone
Q4 net new ARR of $330.7M (reported as $331M), up 47% year-over-year; FY '26 net new ARR of $1.01B, up 25% year-over-year — the first year delivering over $1B of net new ARR.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
CrowdStrike guided Q1 FY27 ARR of $5.502–$5.504 billion (≈24% YoY), implying net new ARR of $249–$251 million (≈29–30% YoY), total revenue of $1.360–$1.364 billion (≈23–24% YoY), non‑GAAP operating income of $308–$310 million, non‑GAAP net income attributable of $275–$277 million and diluted non‑GAAP EPS of $1.06–$1.07 (using a 21.0% tax rate and ~259M diluted shares); for full FY27 they guided ARR of $6.466–$6.516 billion (23–24% YoY), net new ARR of $1.213–$1.264 billion (20–25% YoY), total revenue of $5.868–$5.928 billion (22–23% growth), non‑GAAP operating income of $1.422–$1.462 billion, non‑GAAP net income of $1.241–$1.271 billion and non‑GAAP EPS of $4.78–$4.90 (21.0% tax rate, ~260M shares); additional assumptions include Q1 free cash flow margin ~33% and ≥30% for the year, FCF seasonal mix 43% H1/57% H2 (Q2 seasonally lowest), capex 7–8% of revenue (front‑loaded), interest income $160–$170 million, partner rebates ≈0.8% of revenue, a change in sales commission amortization to 5 years boosting FY27 non‑GAAP operating income by $85–$95 million, incremental acquisition‑related operating expenses of $74–$80 million (SGNL, Seraphic, Onum, Pangea), SGNL+Seraphic estimated to add $5–$8 million of acquired ARR in Q1, and approximately $950 million remaining on the share repurchase authorization after ~144k shares bought.

CrowdStrike Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong scaling profile driven by rapid revenue growth and durable gross margins, plus standout cash generation (FY2026 operating cash flow $1.6B and free cash flow $1.3B). The main offset is uneven profitability (losses in FY2025–FY2026 and negative EBITDA in FY2026), despite an improving and conservatively levered balance sheet.
Income Statement
63
Positive
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
Cash Flow
86
Very Positive
BreakdownJan 2026Jan 2025Jan 2024Jan 2023Jan 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.81B3.95B3.06B2.24B1.45B
Gross Profit3.59B2.96B2.30B1.64B1.07B
EBITDA119.92M294.80M293.83M-40.75M-65.98M
Net Income-162.50M-19.27M89.33M-183.25M-234.80M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets11.09B8.70B6.65B5.03B3.62B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments5.23B4.32B3.47B2.71B2.00B
Total Debt820.08M788.90M792.87M783.62M774.72M
Total Liabilities6.61B5.38B4.31B3.54B2.58B
Stockholders Equity4.43B3.28B2.30B1.46B1.03B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.31B1.07B929.10M674.57M441.10M
Operating Cash Flow1.61B1.38B1.17B941.01M574.78M
Investing Cash Flow-764.48M-536.59M-340.65M-556.66M-564.52M
Financing Cash Flow132.45M107.21M93.16M77.44M72.53M

CrowdStrike Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price385.86
Price Trends
50DMA
421.49
Negative
100DMA
463.01
Negative
200DMA
466.54
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-3.05
Positive
RSI
38.33
Neutral
STOCH
9.18
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CRWD, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 385.86 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 415.51, below the 50-day MA of 421.49, and below the 200-day MA of 466.54, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -3.05 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 38.33 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 9.18 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for CRWD.

CrowdStrike Holdings Risk Analysis

CrowdStrike Holdings disclosed 59 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. CrowdStrike Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

CrowdStrike Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$125.03B71.1815.49%15.30%-60.71%
72
Outperform
$58.37B31.84123.64%14.78%22.52%
69
Neutral
$97.86B-686.05-4.68%22.05%-341.24%
66
Neutral
$22.42B-232.70-3.48%23.24%-8.83%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
58
Neutral
$4.55B-10.24-29.84%24.09%-34.25%
57
Neutral
$76.73B-671.68-7.48%28.06%-7.44%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CRWD
CrowdStrike Holdings
385.86
19.30
5.27%
FTNT
Fortinet
78.89
-20.65
-20.75%
PANW
Palo Alto Networks
153.22
-21.22
-12.16%
ZS
Zscaler
139.44
-70.01
-33.43%
NET
Cloudflare
218.00
99.43
83.86%
S
SentinelOne
13.36
-5.99
-30.96%

CrowdStrike Holdings Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesFinancial Disclosures
CrowdStrike Grants CEO New Performance-Based Equity Award
Positive
Dec 29, 2025
On December 22, 2025, CrowdStrike’s independent directors approved a new performance-based equity award for President and CEO George Kurtz under the company’s 2019 Equity Incentive Plan, granting a target of 300,000 performance stock u...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 04, 2026