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CrowdStrike Holdings (CRWD)
NASDAQ:CRWD
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CrowdStrike Holdings (CRWD) AI Stock Analysis

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CRWD

CrowdStrike Holdings

(NASDAQ:CRWD)

Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
$467.00
▲(9.54% Upside)
CrowdStrike's strong financial performance and positive earnings call are key strengths, indicating robust growth potential and strategic confidence. However, technical analysis and valuation concerns, including negative P/E and bearish momentum, weigh on the overall score.
Positive Factors
Innovation and Strategy
CRWD's innovation-focused product strategy can continue to drive top-line momentum and competitive differentiation.
Market Leadership
CrowdStrike remains a long-term market leader in cybersecurity, well positioned for the increasing platform consolidation expected in the industry, with direct exposure to AI tailwinds.
Negative Factors
Growth Expectations
With the stock up ~50% from April lows and the multiple now reflecting a significant rebound in growth, the near-term opportunity appears fully priced in the shares.
Valuation Concerns
Market valuation looks rich on a variety of metrics, including a 58% premium to the estimated 'Rule of X' EV/NTM revenue multiple.
Visibility and Uncertainty
There is a lack of near-term catalysts, with limited visibility into Customer Commitment Package renewals and Falcon Flex contract impacts on revenue recognition and margins.

CrowdStrike Holdings (CRWD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

CrowdStrike Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. provides cloud-delivered protection across endpoints and cloud workloads, identity, and data. It offers threat intelligence, managed security services, IT operations management, threat hunting, Zero Trust identity protection, and log management. The company primarily sells subscriptions to its Falcon platform and cloud modules through its direct sales team that leverages its network of channel partners. It serves customers worldwide. The company was incorporated in 2011 and is based in Austin, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyCrowdStrike generates revenue primarily through a subscription-based model, offering its Falcon platform as a cloud-based service. Customers pay for annual subscriptions that vary based on the number of endpoints protected and the specific features selected, creating a recurring revenue stream. Key revenue streams include subscription fees for endpoint protection services, add-on services like threat intelligence and IT hygiene, and professional services for incident response. The company has also established significant partnerships with major technology providers and system integrators, which enhance its market reach and drive additional revenue growth through collaborative solutions.

CrowdStrike Holdings Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Subscription Annual Recurring Revenue
Subscription Annual Recurring Revenue
Reflects the predictable revenue stream from subscriptions, highlighting customer retention and the company's ability to generate steady cash flow.
Chart InsightsCrowdStrike's Subscription ARR has shown consistent growth, reaching $4.44 billion by Q1 2025. This aligns with the company's strong performance in cloud security and identity protection, which saw nearly 50% ARR growth. Despite a slight decline in net new ARR, the company maintains high customer retention at 97%. The earnings call highlights robust free cash flow and significant marketplace achievements, though operating margin pressures persist due to strategic investments. Looking ahead, CrowdStrike anticipates continued revenue growth and improved cash flow margins, setting a solid foundation for FY 2026.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

CrowdStrike Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jun 04, 2025
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: -7.43%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 27, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlights a strong start to the fiscal year with significant ARR growth, high cash flow, and global expansion. However, these positives are tempered by ongoing GAAP net losses, revenue recognition investigations, and a temporary divergence in ARR and revenue. Despite these challenges, the company shows strong momentum and confidence in its FalconFlex product and future growth.
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Start to Fiscal Year 2026
CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. reported a strong first quarter with net new ARR of $194 million, surpassing expectations and achieving a total ending ARR of $4.44 billion, up 22% year-over-year.
FalconFlex Momentum
FalconFlex saw significant growth with $774 million in total account value added, growing 31% sequentially and more than six times year-over-year, highlighting accelerated customer adoption and demand.
High Subscription Gross Margin
Subscription gross margin remained high at 80%, demonstrating the efficiency of CrowdStrike's AI platform.
Strong Cash Flow
Free cash flow was $279 million, representing 25% of revenue, indicating strong cash generation capabilities.
Global Expansion
Significant deal activity across multiple geographies including the U.S., Europe, Canada, Japan, and Latin America, supported by strong partner networks.
Negative Updates
GAAP Net Loss
CrowdStrike reported a GAAP net loss of $110.2 million, which included $39.7 million of expenses related to outages and other matters.
Revenue Recognition Investigation
CrowdStrike received requests for information from the DOJ and SEC regarding revenue recognition and reporting of ARR for certain transactions, and outage-related matters.
Temporary Divergence in ARR and Revenue
A temporary divergence between ARR and subscription revenue recognition due to CCP-related programs, impacting revenue guidance by approximately $10 to $15 million per quarter.
Company Guidance
During CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc.'s fiscal first quarter 2026 earnings call, the company reported several key metrics demonstrating strong performance and growth. The company's net new Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) was $194 million, surpassing expectations, and ending ARR exceeded $4.4 billion. The subscription gross margin stood at an impressive 80%, and gross retention remained high at 97%. Additionally, CrowdStrike reported a free cash flow of $279 million, which represents 25% of revenue, showing significant quarter-on-quarter growth. The company also highlighted the success of its FalconFlex model, adding $774 million of total FalconFlex account value, bringing the total deal value to $3.2 billion, a 31% sequential growth and over six times year-over-year. Looking forward, the company expects improved sequential net new ARR growth in the next quarter and accelerated ARR growth in the second half of fiscal 2026. Furthermore, CrowdStrike announced a share repurchase authorization of up to $1 billion, reflecting confidence in its long-term strategy and robust cash flow generation capabilities.

CrowdStrike Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
CrowdStrike shows a strong financial performance with impressive revenue growth from $874M in 2021 to $4.1B in TTM 2025 and robust gross profit margins consistently above 70%. The company is improving its net profit margin with positive EBITDA margins. Balance sheet strength is evidenced by a solid equity base and manageable debt levels. Cash flow is a highlight with strong free cash flow exceeding $1B, indicating efficient cash generation and management.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
CrowdStrike has demonstrated strong revenue growth with a consistent upward trajectory, from $874M in 2021 to $4.1B in TTM 2025. Gross profit margins are robust, consistently above 70%. However, the company is still facing net losses, although the net profit margin has been improving as losses narrow. EBITDA margins turned positive in the TTM 2025, indicating better operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet shows a strong equity base with equity rising from $870M in 2021 to $3.45B in TTM 2025, driven by high revenue growth. The debt-to-equity ratio remains manageable. Despite negative net income in recent years, the return on equity is improving. An equity ratio of approximately 39.6% indicates a healthy financial structure.
Cash Flow
90
Very Positive
CrowdStrike's cash flow performance is impressive with strong growth in free cash flow, reaching over $1B in TTM 2025. Operating cash flow exceeds net income, showcasing solid cash generation capabilities. The free cash flow to net income ratio is particularly strong, reflecting efficient capital expenditure management and operational cash generation.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.14B3.95B3.06B2.24B1.45B874.44M
Gross Profit3.08B2.96B2.30B1.64B1.07B644.89M
EBITDA166.56M294.80M293.83M-40.75M-65.98M-46.17M
Net Income-172.30M-19.27M89.33M-183.25M-234.80M-92.63M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets8.72B8.70B6.65B5.03B3.62B2.73B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments4.61B4.32B3.47B2.71B2.00B1.92B
Total Debt785.40M788.90M792.87M783.62M774.72M778.99M
Total Liabilities5.23B5.38B4.31B3.54B2.58B1.86B
Stockholders Equity3.45B3.28B2.30B1.46B1.03B870.57M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.03B1.07B929.10M674.57M441.10M292.72M
Operating Cash Flow1.38B1.38B1.17B941.01M574.78M356.57M
Investing Cash Flow-587.32M-536.59M-340.65M-556.66M-564.52M495.43M
Financing Cash Flow111.86M107.21M93.16M77.44M72.53M800.13M

CrowdStrike Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price426.34
Price Trends
50DMA
470.71
Negative
100DMA
441.07
Negative
200DMA
403.98
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-13.10
Positive
RSI
36.99
Neutral
STOCH
18.45
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CRWD, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 426.34 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 446.80, below the 50-day MA of 470.71, and above the 200-day MA of 403.98, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -13.10 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 36.99 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 18.45 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for CRWD.

CrowdStrike Holdings Risk Analysis

CrowdStrike Holdings disclosed 60 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. CrowdStrike Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

CrowdStrike Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$60.62B32.23165.17%14.46%48.06%
75
Outperform
$42.81B-2.68%25.46%49.20%
72
Outperform
$118.20B109.9617.45%14.87%-57.43%
70
Neutral
$21.37B1,777.39-10.35%39.45%-982.51%
70
Neutral
$70.01B-11.04%27.32%-11.94%
69
Neutral
$106.65B721.64-5.76%25.94%-226.80%
68
Neutral
¥242.89B15.236.64%2.42%9.16%-0.19%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CRWD
CrowdStrike Holdings
426.34
159.81
59.96%
FTNT
Fortinet
80.76
5.19
6.87%
PANW
Palo Alto Networks
176.17
-7.83
-4.26%
CYBR
CyberArk Software
421.10
140.52
50.08%
ZS
Zscaler
277.03
79.88
40.52%
NET
Cloudflare
202.37
120.04
145.80%

CrowdStrike Holdings Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
CrowdStrike Holds Annual Meeting, Elects New Directors
Positive
Jun 20, 2025

On June 18, 2025, CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders where two key proposals were voted on. The election of Class III Directors saw the appointment of Cary J. Davis, George Kurtz, and Laura J. Schumacher to serve until 2028. Additionally, the selection of PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending January 31, 2026, was ratified. These decisions are expected to impact the company’s governance and financial oversight positively.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 19, 2025