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CrowdStrike Holdings (CRWD)
NASDAQ:CRWD

CrowdStrike Holdings (CRWD) AI Stock Analysis

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CrowdStrike Holdings

(NASDAQ:CRWD)

Rating:79Outperform
Price Target:
$527.00
▲(9.65%Upside)
CrowdStrike's overall stock score is primarily driven by its strong financial performance and positive earnings call. The company's revenue growth, cash flow generation, and strategic partnerships highlight its potential for future success. However, valuation concerns and challenges with profitability slightly temper the outlook.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
Non-GAAP OPI & FCF were both better than expected & guidance raised with management confident in FCF visibility driven by large flex deals.
Platform Expansion
Falcon Flex momentum is building—helping land platform-wide expansions, with more than 70% of net new logos landing via Flex.
Product Growth
Products outside of core EDR continue to show solid growth, with Cloud Security growth accelerating and Falcon Flex adoption up +31% sequentially.
Negative Factors
Growth Deceleration
Growth has decelerated to below 20% in 1H26, and while acceleration to about 22% is expected in 2H, growth will decelerate in the next few years, hence the growing focus on valuation.
Revenue Challenges
F1Q subscription revenue of approximately $1.05B fell short of consensus expectations due to the CCP program.
Valuation Concerns
CrowdStrike is very expensive compared to the price target, which is a common issue across the cybersecurity sector.

CrowdStrike Holdings (CRWD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

CrowdStrike Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. provides cloud-delivered protection across endpoints and cloud workloads, identity, and data. It offers threat intelligence, managed security services, IT operations management, threat hunting, Zero Trust identity protection, and log management. The company primarily sells subscriptions to its Falcon platform and cloud modules through its direct sales team that leverages its network of channel partners. It serves customers worldwide. The company was incorporated in 2011 and is based in Austin, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyCrowdStrike makes money primarily through subscription-based services for its cybersecurity products. The company's key revenue stream is its Falcon platform, which operates under a Software-as-a-Service (SaaS) model. Customers pay recurring fees for access to CrowdStrike's suite of cybersecurity solutions, which include endpoint protection, threat intelligence, and proactive threat hunting services. Additionally, CrowdStrike offers professional services for incident response and security assessments, which contribute to its revenue. The company's growth is also supported by strategic partnerships and collaborations with other technology providers, expanding its market reach and enhancing its product offerings.

CrowdStrike Holdings Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Subscription Annual Recurring Revenue
Subscription Annual Recurring Revenue
Reflects the predictable revenue stream from subscriptions, highlighting customer retention and the company's ability to generate steady cash flow.
Chart InsightsCrowdStrike's Subscription ARR has shown consistent growth, reaching $4.44 billion by Q1 2025. This aligns with the company's strong performance in cloud security and identity protection, which saw nearly 50% ARR growth. Despite a slight decline in net new ARR, the company maintains high customer retention at 97%. The earnings call highlights robust free cash flow and significant marketplace achievements, though operating margin pressures persist due to strategic investments. Looking ahead, CrowdStrike anticipates continued revenue growth and improved cash flow margins, setting a solid foundation for FY 2026.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

CrowdStrike Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jun 04, 2025
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: 4.36%|
Next Earnings Date:Sep 02, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call for CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. highlighted strong growth in their FalconFlex model, robust free cash flow, and strategic partnerships with NVIDIA and Microsoft. However, challenges related to the CCP program, regulatory scrutiny, and expenses for outages were noted. The company maintains a strong position in the cybersecurity market, with continuous innovation and high customer retention.
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Start to FY2026
CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. started FY2026 from a position of strength, capitalizing on accelerated demand through continuous innovation, increasing win rates, and platform consolidation at scale.
Growth in FalconFlex
FalconFlex added $774 million of total account value, growing 31% sequentially and more than six times year-over-year, with over 820 accounts adopting this model.
Record Subscription Gross Margin
Achieved a subscription gross margin of 80%, demonstrating the efficiency of their AI platform.
High Gross Retention Rate
Sustained 97% gross retention rate as customers remain committed to the Falcon platform.
Significant Free Cash Flow
Generated free cash flow of $279 million, or 25% of revenue, with continued quarter-on-quarter growth.
Innovations in AI and Security
Announced general availability of AI model scanning and AI security dashboard technologies, enhancing security for AI agents.
Partnership Expansion
NVIDIA and Microsoft partnerships highlight strategic collaborations, ensuring cybersecurity standards for AI and joint threat actor mapping.
Negative Updates
Challenges with CCP Program
The CCP program concluded in Q4 of FY2025 impacted revenue recognition, causing a temporary separation between ARR and subscription revenue.
Outage and Related Expenses
Q1 results were impacted by expenses for outage and related matters, totaling approximately $61 million.
Regulatory Scrutiny
CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. received requests for information from the DOJ and SEC relating to revenue recognition and reporting of ARR for certain transactions.
Company Guidance
During CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc.'s fiscal first-quarter 2026 conference call, the company provided optimistic guidance based on several key metrics. The company reported a Q1 net new Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) of $194 million, surpassing expectations, with an ending ARR of over $4.4 billion. The subscription gross margin stood at 80%, while the gross retention rate was sustained at 97%, indicating strong customer commitment to their Falcon platform. Additionally, CrowdStrike highlighted significant growth in their FalconFlex accounts, adding $774 million to reach a total account value of $3.2 billion, marking a 31% sequential increase and more than six times year-over-year growth. The company also emphasized the success of its next-gen SIEM, cloud, and identity products, as well as the momentum from their FalconFlex model which is accelerating platform adoption and driving increased customer engagement. Looking forward, CrowdStrike expects improved sequential net new ARR growth in Q2 and further acceleration in the second half of the fiscal year, projecting total revenue for fiscal 2026 to be between $4.74 and $4.81 billion, reflecting a growth rate of 20% to 22% over the prior fiscal year.

CrowdStrike Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
CrowdStrike Holdings exhibits strong revenue growth and cash flow generation capabilities, which are critical for a high-growth software company. The balance sheet is healthy with manageable leverage and strong equity. While profitability metrics are currently negative, the company is on a trajectory towards profitability with effective cost management and liquidity.
Income Statement
82
Very Positive
CrowdStrike Holdings shows a strong revenue growth trend with a TTM revenue of $3.95 billion, up significantly from $3.06 billion last year. The gross profit margin remains robust at 74.9%, indicating effective cost management despite a negative net profit margin of -0.5%. The company is close to breakeven, showcasing potential for future profitability. However, EBIT and EBITDA margins are low due to negative EBIT, which suggests ongoing operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet reflects strong liquidity, with cash and short-term investments exceeding total debt, leading to a negative net debt position. The equity ratio stands at 37.7%, indicating a solid equity foundation. However, the debt-to-equity ratio is 24.1%, suggesting moderate leverage. The return on equity is negative due to a net loss, highlighting the need for improved profitability to enhance shareholder value.
Cash Flow
88
Very Positive
Cash flow performance is robust, with a strong operating cash flow of $1.38 billion in TTM. Free cash flow has grown significantly from the previous year, indicating effective cash management. The operating cash flow to net income ratio shows efficient conversion of earnings into cash. The company maintains a healthy free cash flow to net income ratio, underscoring its ability to generate cash despite net losses.
Breakdown
TTMMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income StatementTotal Revenue
4.14B3.95B3.06B2.24B1.45B874.44M
Gross Profit
3.37B2.96B2.30B1.64B1.07B644.89M
EBIT
-252.02M-120.43M-2.00M-190.11M-142.55M-92.53M
EBITDA
185.68M294.80M293.83M-40.75M-65.98M-46.17M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-62.09M-19.27M89.33M-182.28M-232.38M-92.63M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
4.61B4.32B3.47B2.71B2.00B1.92B
Total Assets
8.72B8.70B6.65B5.03B3.62B2.73B
Total Debt
785.40M788.90M792.87M783.62M774.72M778.99M
Net Debt
-3.83B-3.53B-2.58B-1.67B-1.22B-1.14B
Total Liabilities
5.23B5.38B4.31B3.54B2.58B1.86B
Stockholders Equity
3.45B3.28B2.30B1.46B1.03B870.57M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
1.08B1.13B929.10M674.57M441.10M292.72M
Operating Cash Flow
1.38B1.38B1.17B941.01M574.78M356.57M
Investing Cash Flow
-587.32M-536.59M-340.65M-556.66M-564.52M495.43M
Financing Cash Flow
111.86M107.21M93.16M66.48M72.53M800.13M

CrowdStrike Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price480.62
Price Trends
50DMA
424.59
Positive
100DMA
405.49
Positive
200DMA
362.90
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
14.14
Positive
RSI
62.14
Neutral
STOCH
75.13
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CRWD, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 480.62 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 463.13, above the 50-day MA of 424.59, and above the 200-day MA of 362.90, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 14.14 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 62.14 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 75.13 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CRWD.

CrowdStrike Holdings Risk Analysis

CrowdStrike Holdings disclosed 60 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. CrowdStrike Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

CrowdStrike Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$130.87B112.3121.16%13.91%-50.96%
80
Outperform
$77.18B41.50205.91%13.83%58.13%
79
Outperform
$119.79B721.64-5.76%25.94%-226.80%
NENET
74
Outperform
$59.61B-7.35%27.79%56.19%
73
Outperform
$19.45B1,777.39-5.36%35.12%-191.84%
ZSZS
72
Outperform
$47.01B-2.68%25.46%49.20%
62
Neutral
$11.80B10.10-7.47%2.99%7.37%-8.16%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CRWD
CrowdStrike Holdings
480.62
90.19
23.10%
FTNT
Fortinet
100.83
39.93
65.57%
PANW
Palo Alto Networks
196.27
36.47
22.82%
CYBR
CyberArk Software
386.69
133.04
52.45%
ZS
Zscaler
301.95
117.57
63.77%
NET
Cloudflare
171.97
94.29
121.38%

CrowdStrike Holdings Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
CrowdStrike Announces Strategic Workforce Restructuring Plan
Neutral
May 7, 2025

On May 6, 2025, CrowdStrike Holdings announced a strategic plan to enhance operational efficiency and scale its business towards a $10 billion ARR target. This plan involves reducing approximately 500 positions, or 5% of its global workforce, while continuing to hire in key strategic areas. The company anticipates incurring charges between $36 million and $53 million related to severance and stock-based compensation, with most actions expected to be completed by the end of the second quarter of fiscal 2026. This restructuring aims to streamline operations and capitalize on AI-driven efficiencies, positioning CrowdStrike as a leader in the evolving cybersecurity landscape.

Executive/Board Changes
CrowdStrike Approves CEO Compensation Package for FY 2026
Neutral
Apr 25, 2025

On April 23, 2025, CrowdStrike Holdings‘ Board of Directors approved the fiscal year 2026 compensation package for CEO George Kurtz, effective February 1, 2025. His annual base salary is set at $1,100,000 with a target incentive compensation award of 135%, aligning with the company’s Corporate Incentive Plan.

Executive/Board Changes
CrowdStrike Approves 2026 Compensation for President
Neutral
Apr 18, 2025

On April 9 and April 16, 2025, CrowdStrike Holdings‘ Board of Directors approved the compensation package for fiscal year 2026 for President Michael Sentonas. Effective February 1, 2025, his annual base salary is set at $875,000 with a target incentive compensation award of 100%, under the terms of the company’s Corporate Incentive Plan.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.