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Palo Alto Networks (PANW)
NASDAQ:PANW
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Palo Alto Networks (PANW) AI Stock Analysis

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PANW

Palo Alto Networks

(NASDAQ:PANW)

Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
$197.00
▲(8.50% Upside)
Palo Alto Networks' overall stock score reflects strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment, which are the most significant factors. However, the high P/E ratio and bearish technical indicators weigh down the score. The company's strategic initiatives, including the CyberArk merger, are expected to drive future growth, but current valuation concerns and technical weakness present risks.
Positive Factors
Earnings
Palo Alto Networks exhibited broad-based momentum in 4Q, with an impressive 120% NRR for platform deals, and Cortex and Prisma Cloud ARR up 25% YoY through new modules like exposure management, application security and extended Data Lake.
Guidance
Guidance for FY26 was solidly above consensus across all metrics, indicating strong future performance expectations.
Product Growth
XSIAM growth was also impressive, with management stating that XSIAM is PANW’s fastest growing product ever, now used by 400 customers, up from 270 customers last quarter and double from the year-ago period.
Negative Factors
Growth Momentum
The organic upside in FQ4’25 was likely lower than recent quarters, indicating less growth momentum.
Margins
The risks to our rating are mainly around concerns regarding peaking margins and valuation limitation.

Palo Alto Networks (PANW) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Palo Alto Networks Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPalo Alto Networks, Inc. (PANW) is a global cybersecurity leader specializing in providing advanced security solutions for enterprises, service providers, and government entities. The company operates primarily in the cybersecurity sector, delivering a comprehensive suite of products and services that include next-generation firewalls, cloud-based security, endpoint protection, and threat intelligence. With a focus on innovation, Palo Alto Networks aims to protect organizations from cyber threats through its integrated platform that spans across various environments, including on-premises, cloud, and hybrid infrastructures.
How the Company Makes MoneyPalo Alto Networks generates revenue primarily through the sale of its cybersecurity products and associated subscription services. The company operates on a recurring revenue model, which includes subscription offerings for its software and services, as well as hardware sales of its next-generation firewalls. Key revenue streams include subscriptions for its cloud security, endpoint protection, and threat intelligence services. Additionally, Palo Alto Networks benefits from professional services, such as consulting and training, which further enhance its revenue. The company has established significant partnerships with technology providers and system integrators that bolster its market presence and expand its reach, thus contributing to its earnings.

Palo Alto Networks Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Billings
Billings
Reflects the total value of invoices sent to customers, indicating sales momentum and future revenue potential as these billings convert to recognized revenue.
Chart InsightsPalo Alto Networks' billings have shown strong growth, particularly in the latest quarter, reflecting strategic advancements and robust demand for their Next-Generation Security offerings. The earnings call highlighted a 37% increase in NGS ARR, supporting this momentum. However, concerns about gross margin pressures and deferred payments affecting cash flow visibility could pose risks. The company's focus on platformization and AI-driven initiatives is expected to sustain growth, but investors should watch for how these factors impact long-term profitability and cash flow management.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Palo Alto Networks Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 18, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: 3.06%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 13, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong financial performance with significant growth in revenue, ARR, and large deals. The company emphasized its strategic focus on next-generation security and platformization, alongside successful execution in software firewalls and SASE. However, challenges were noted in inventory management and the competitive identity market. Overall, the highlights outweighed the lowlights, indicating a positive sentiment.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-Breaking Revenue and Growth
Palo Alto Networks surpassed a $10 billion revenue run rate. Total revenue for Q4 '25 was $2.54 billion, growing 16% year-over-year. Product revenue increased by 19%, driven by growth in software form factors.
Next-Generation Security ARR Growth
Next-Generation Security ARR grew 32% year-over-year to $5.58 billion. Key contributors were software firewalls, SASE, and XSIAM. AI ARR grew over 2.5 times year-over-year to approximately $545 million.
Strong Large Deal Performance
Palo Alto Networks reported significant large deal activity with $5 million and $10 million ARR customers up approximately 50% year-over-year, and $20 million plus ARR customers up nearly 80%.
SASE and Software Firewall Success
SASE ARR grew 35% year-over-year, more than twice the market rate, with over 6,300 SASE customers. Software firewalls also saw double the total contract value, and a $60 million deal was signed with a major U.S.-based cloud provider.
Operating Margin and Free Cash Flow
Operating margins expanded by 340 basis points to over 30% for the first time. Free cash flow margins remained above 38% for the third consecutive year.
Negative Updates
Inventory and Manufacturing Challenges
Palo Alto Networks took a reserve for excess and obsolete inventory and spares, impacting product gross margins. The transition to a new manufacturing facility in Texas is ongoing.
Identity Market Challenges
The company acknowledges the complexity and fragmentation of the identity market with over 100 vendors competing, indicating potential challenges in gaining significant market share quickly.
Company Guidance
In the recent earnings call, Palo Alto Networks reported robust financial performance and strategic advancements. The company achieved a significant milestone by surpassing a $10 billion revenue run rate, driven by substantial growth across its platforms, particularly in next-generation security Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR), which grew 32%. The fourth quarter saw the highest bookings growth in 2.5 years, with a 24% year-over-year increase in Remaining Performance Obligation (RPO). Next-generation security ARR growth was notably strong, reaching $5.58 billion. The fiscal year 2026 guidance projects an NGS ARR of $7.0 to $7.10 billion, a 14% revenue increase, and an operating margin expansion to 29.2%-29.7%. Palo Alto Networks also announced a strategic acquisition of CyberArk, aiming to expand its identity security capabilities. The company's continued focus on platformization and AI-led innovation is expected to drive sustainable growth, with a target of achieving $15 billion in next-generation security ARR by FY '30 and exceeding 40% free cash flow margins by fiscal '28.

Palo Alto Networks Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Palo Alto Networks demonstrates strong financial health with significant improvements in profitability and cash flow generation. The company has successfully increased its revenue and profit margins, while maintaining a solid balance sheet with low leverage. While there are some areas for improvement, such as EBIT margin enhancement and managing high liabilities, the overall financial trajectory is positive, positioning the company well for future growth and stability.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Palo Alto Networks has shown a solid financial performance with a strong gross profit margin of 73.6% for TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) and a robust revenue growth rate of 10.6% compared to the previous year. The net profit margin improved significantly from a negative margin in earlier years to 13.9%, indicating enhanced profitability. EBITDA margin also stands strong at 18.7%. These metrics reflect the company's successful revenue growth and cost management strategies, although there is room for improving the EBIT margin which is currently at 11.1%.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company's balance sheet shows a healthy debt-to-equity ratio of 0.11, indicating low leverage and risk. The return on equity (ROE) has significantly improved to 17.1% for TTM, reflecting efficient use of equity capital. The equity ratio has also increased to 32.9%, suggesting a strengthening financial position. However, the overall liabilities remain high, indicating a need for continued focus on debt management.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Palo Alto Networks exhibits strong cash flow management with a free cash flow growth rate of -3.2%, indicating a slight decline from the previous period but still a robust free cash flow of $3 billion. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 2.59, demonstrating strong cash generation capability relative to net income. Free cash flow to net income ratio at 2.42 further highlights strong cash earnings, supporting operational and financial flexibility.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue8.87B8.03B6.89B5.50B4.26B3.41B
Gross Profit6.53B5.97B4.98B3.78B2.98B2.41B
EBITDA1.66B1.28B869.00M95.60M-46.60M59.50M
Net Income1.24B2.58B439.70M-267.00M-498.90M-267.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets22.00B19.99B14.50B12.25B10.24B9.07B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.30B2.58B2.39B3.63B2.90B3.75B
Total Debt806.00M1.34B2.27B3.95B3.54B3.42B
Total Liabilities14.77B14.82B12.75B12.04B9.48B7.96B
Stockholders Equity7.23B5.17B1.75B210.00M763.60M1.10B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow3.00B3.10B2.63B1.79B1.39B821.30M
Operating Cash Flow3.21B3.26B2.78B1.98B1.50B1.04B
Investing Cash Flow-1.61B-1.51B-2.03B-933.40M-1.48B288.00M
Financing Cash Flow-584.10M-1.34B-1.73B-806.60M-1.10B673.00M

Palo Alto Networks Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price181.56
Price Trends
50DMA
191.13
Negative
100DMA
185.91
Negative
200DMA
187.34
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-4.65
Negative
RSI
49.57
Neutral
STOCH
73.06
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PANW, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 181.56 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 180.42, below the 50-day MA of 191.13, and below the 200-day MA of 187.34, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -4.65 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 49.57 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 73.06 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for PANW.

Palo Alto Networks Risk Analysis

Palo Alto Networks disclosed 47 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Palo Alto Networks reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Palo Alto Networks Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$60.62B32.23165.17%14.46%48.06%
76
Outperform
$20.44B24.5030.30%6.27%7.14%
75
Outperform
$42.81B-2.68%25.46%49.20%
72
Outperform
$118.20B109.9617.45%14.87%-57.43%
70
Neutral
$70.01B-11.04%27.32%-11.94%
69
Neutral
$106.26B721.64-5.76%25.94%-226.80%
62
Neutral
CHF2.52B-22.841.43%2.26%-17.83%-0.68%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PANW
Palo Alto Networks
181.56
-2.44
-1.33%
CHKP
Check Point
188.00
-0.60
-0.32%
FTNT
Fortinet
78.09
2.52
3.33%
ZS
Zscaler
274.92
77.77
39.45%
CRWD
CrowdStrike Holdings
418.60
152.07
57.06%
NET
Cloudflare
196.51
114.18
138.69%

Palo Alto Networks Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Palo Alto Networks Announces Leadership Changes and Growth
Positive
Aug 18, 2025

On August 18, 2025, Palo Alto Networks announced significant changes in its leadership and governance structure. Nir Zuk resigned as Chief Technology Officer and director, while Lee Klarich was appointed to the board and as Chief Product and Technology Officer. The company also reported strong financial results for the fiscal year 2025, with a 16% increase in fourth-quarter revenue and a 15% rise in annual revenue, reaching $9.2 billion. The company continues to demonstrate robust growth and operational efficiency, positioning itself well for future expansion.

M&A Transactions
Palo Alto Networks Announces Merger with CyberArk
Positive
Jul 31, 2025

On July 30, 2025, Palo Alto Networks entered into a merger agreement with CyberArk Software, whereby CyberArk will become a wholly owned subsidiary of Palo Alto Networks. The merger, subject to customary closing conditions and regulatory approvals, involves CyberArk shareholders receiving shares of Palo Alto Networks and cash. The merger aims to strengthen Palo Alto Networks’ position in the cybersecurity sector, with both companies’ boards unanimously approving the agreement. Termination fees are outlined for specific circumstances, ensuring commitment to the merger process.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Palo Alto Networks Announces Merger with CyberArk
Positive
Jul 30, 2025

On July 30, 2025, Palo Alto Networks announced a merger agreement with CyberArk Software Ltd., aiming to enhance its platformization strategy by integrating identity security. The merger is expected to be accretive to revenue growth and gross margin immediately post-close, with significant synergy potential through cross-selling opportunities to Palo Alto’s extensive customer base.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 19, 2025