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SailPoint, Inc. (SAIL)
NASDAQ:SAIL
US Market

SailPoint, Inc. (SAIL) AI Stock Analysis

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SAIL

SailPoint, Inc.

(NASDAQ:SAIL)

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Neutral 48 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:48Neutral
Price Target:
$11.00
▲(4.86% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:04/10/26
The score is held back primarily by persistent operating/net losses and a bearish technical setup (price below key moving averages with negative MACD). Partially offsetting this are improving fundamentals—re-accelerating revenue growth, strong gross margins, and a meaningful swing to positive operating and free cash flow in 2026—though durability remains to be proven.
Positive Factors
Improving cash generation
SailPoint delivered positive operating cash flow and free cash flow in 2026 after prior negative years. Durable FCF supports reinvestment in product, reduces reliance on external financing, and provides runway for strategic initiatives or M&A if management sustains this cash conversion.
Negative Factors
Persistent net losses
Despite revenue growth and healthy gross margins, SailPoint remains meaningfully unprofitable at the operating and net level. Persistent negative margins constrain free cash generation durability, limit reinvestment funded from operations, and require sustained improvement in operating leverage to reach long-term profitability.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Improving cash generation
SailPoint delivered positive operating cash flow and free cash flow in 2026 after prior negative years. Durable FCF supports reinvestment in product, reduces reliance on external financing, and provides runway for strategic initiatives or M&A if management sustains this cash conversion.
Read all positive factors

SailPoint, Inc. (SAIL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

SailPoint, Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
SailPoint, Inc. provides solutions to enable various identity security for the enterprise in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia-Pacific. Its solutions address various types of systems and identities, including data and app...
How the Company Makes Money
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SailPoint, Inc. Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Dec 11, 2025
(Q3-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jun 17, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call was predominantly positive, with significant achievements such as surpassing $1 billion in ARR, strong SaaS growth, and high net revenue retention. The introduction of new products and a flex licensing model has been well-received by customers, contributing to increased fiscal year guidance. The only slight downside was the modest beat on ARR, which was smaller than in previous quarters.
Positive Updates
Surpassing $1 Billion in ARR
SailPoint surpassed $1 billion in annual recurring revenue (ARR) for the first time, reaching $1.04 billion, a 28% year-over-year increase.
Negative Updates
Modest Beat on ARR
Despite strong overall performance, the quarter saw a modest 1% beat on ARR, which was smaller than previous quarters' beats.
Read all updates
Q3-2026 Updates
Negative
Surpassing $1 Billion in ARR
SailPoint surpassed $1 billion in annual recurring revenue (ARR) for the first time, reaching $1.04 billion, a 28% year-over-year increase.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
During SailPoint's fiscal Q3 2026 earnings call, the company provided robust guidance, reflecting strong performance and strategic positioning in the identity security market. They surpassed $1 billion in annual recurring revenue (ARR), achieving $1.04 billion, a 28% year-over-year increase. SaaS ARR grew by 38% to $669 million, making up 64% of total ARR. The company projected fiscal Q4 2026 ARR to increase by $12 million to $1.122 billion, with a 28% year-over-year growth, and revenue of $292 million, a 22% increase. For the full fiscal year 2026, they forecasted revenue of $1.069 billion, a 24% year-over-year increase, with an adjusted operating margin of 18% and an adjusted EPS of $0.23. They also highlighted the success of their new flex licensing model and the strong adoption of new product offerings, contributing to a net revenue retention rate of 114% and driving continued growth in their pipeline.

SailPoint, Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials are improving but still weak overall: revenue growth re-accelerated and gross margin stayed strong (~64.5%), while 2026 cash flow turned positive (operating cash flow and free cash flow). Offsetting this, the company remains deeply unprofitable (net margin -25.2%, EBIT margin -28.1%), and prior-year balance sheet volatility (negative equity in 2024–2025) raises consistency risk despite a much stronger 2026 snapshot.
Income Statement
38
Negative
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
Cash Flow
61
Positive
BreakdownJan 2026Jan 2025Jan 2024Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.07B861.61M699.57M450.04M365.25M
Gross Profit690.79M555.88M422.94M334.59M279.51M
EBITDA-90.59M47.27M-61.65M-37.59M21.22M
Net Income-270.05M-315.83M-395.37M-61.63M-10.76M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets7.60B7.41B7.59B1.16B1.08B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments358.14M121.29M211.65M435.44M510.29M
Total Debt18.08M1.05B1.59B413.99M359.75M
Total Liabilities751.33M13.00B8.13B755.60M610.99M
Stockholders Equity6.85B-5.59B-541.20M404.24M464.61M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow51.75M-119.97M-254.83M-12.88M53.95M
Operating Cash Flow70.58M-106.39M-250.35M-8.85M57.95M
Investing Cash Flow-35.56M-28.94M-12.66M-74.95M-3.97M
Financing Cash Flow201.97M41.26M50.43M1.47M12.55M

SailPoint, Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price10.49
Price Trends
50DMA
21.22
Negative
100DMA
20.91
Negative
200DMA
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.85
Positive
RSI
38.83
Neutral
STOCH
45.84
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SAIL, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 10.49 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 19.42, below the 50-day MA of 21.22, and equal to the 200-day MA of ―, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.85 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 38.83 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 45.84 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SAIL.

SailPoint, Inc. Risk Analysis

SailPoint, Inc. disclosed 36 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. SailPoint, Inc. reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

SailPoint, Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
$18.16B-424.02-2.41%20.93%68.47%
64
Neutral
$11.13B63.233.45%12.12%
62
Neutral
$13.24B28.079.64%4.21%-0.63%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
54
Neutral
$2.37B-38.13-27.04%11.37%-34.44%
48
Neutral
$5.91B-60.86-3.96%23.38%-30.16%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SAIL
SailPoint, Inc.
10.49
-7.07
-40.26%
AKAM
Akamai
91.35
17.30
23.36%
VRNS
Varonis Systems
20.19
-21.11
-51.11%
OKTA
Okta
62.93
-38.89
-38.19%
MDB
MongoDB
225.95
63.71
39.27%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 10, 2026