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Varonis Systems (VRNS)
NASDAQ:VRNS

Varonis Systems (VRNS) AI Stock Analysis

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Varonis Systems

(NASDAQ:VRNS)

Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
$54.00
▲(9.53%Upside)
Varonis Systems' strong ARR growth and SaaS transition are key strengths, supported by robust cash flow management. However, profitability and valuation concerns, combined with overbought technical indicators, present risks. Positive corporate events contribute to a moderately favorable outlook.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
Varonis delivered a clean Q1 beat across ARR, revenue, and FCF, driving the stock higher.
Product Demand
Strong demand for Varonis’s data security solution is driven by rising cyber threats and increased data sprawl across cloud and on-prem environments.
SaaS Transition
Varonis's ongoing SaaS transition is ahead of schedule, driving accelerated growth and improved profitability.
Negative Factors
Acquisition Impact
The Cyral acquisition is not expected to have any impact on ARR/revenue in FY25 and is expected to add $4 million to operational expenses.
Stock Performance
VRNS is down approximately 16.1% over the last six months, underperforming IGV by nearly 24 points.

Varonis Systems (VRNS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Varonis Systems Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionVaronis Systems, Inc. is a data security and analytics company specializing in protecting enterprise data from cyber threats and insider threats. Operating primarily in the cybersecurity sector, Varonis offers a suite of software solutions designed to secure sensitive data, detect and respond to data breaches, and ensure compliance with data protection regulations. Its core products include solutions for data governance, data protection, threat detection, and compliance management, which cater to a wide range of industries including finance, healthcare, and education.
How the Company Makes MoneyVaronis Systems makes money primarily through the sale of its software solutions and related services. The company's revenue model is based on a subscription-based licensing model, where customers pay recurring fees for access to Varonis's software products and support services. Key revenue streams include software licenses, maintenance and support services, and professional services such as consulting and training. Varonis also leverages partnerships with value-added resellers, system integrators, and technology partners to expand its market reach and enhance its product offerings. These partnerships play a significant role in the company's ability to attract new customers and drive sales growth.

Varonis Systems Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Annual Recurring Revenue
Annual Recurring Revenue
Highlights the steady income from subscription-based services, indicating the company's ability to retain customers and generate predictable cash flow.
Chart InsightsVaronis Systems has demonstrated consistent growth in Annual Recurring Revenue, with a notable acceleration in recent quarters. This upward trajectory suggests strong customer retention and successful expansion strategies. The absence of earnings call commentary implies no immediate concerns or strategic shifts, reinforcing confidence in their current business model and market demand. Investors should watch for continued momentum as the company capitalizes on cybersecurity trends.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Varonis Systems Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 06, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 11.36%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 04, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong quarter for Varonis with significant ARR growth and progress in their SaaS transition, alongside increased free cash flow and new customer acquisitions. However, challenges remain with a decline in gross margin and an operating loss, partly due to changes in revenue recognition from the SaaS transition.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
ARR Growth
Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) grew 19% to $664.3 million in Q1, with SaaS ARR representing approximately 61% of total ARR, amounting to $403.9 million.
Free Cash Flow Increase
Generated $65.3 million of free cash flow in Q1, up from $56.4 million in the same period last year.
SaaS Transition Progress
SaaS transition is on track to complete by the end of the year, with SaaS ARR now representing 61% of total ARR, up 8 points from 53% in Q4.
New Customer Momentum
Strong contributions from new customers, including large healthcare systems and multinational consumer products companies, indicating healthy demand.
Innovation and Acquisitions
Launched Varonis for Agentforce and acquired Cyral to expand data security platform capabilities, enhancing the ability to monitor database activity.
Raised Full-Year Guidance
Full-year ARR guidance increased to $742 million to $750 million, and SaaS mix guidance raised to 80% by year-end.
Negative Updates
Gross Margin Decline
Gross margin decreased to 80.2% from 83.3% in the same period last year, due to increased SaaS sales in the booking mix.
Operating Loss
First quarter operating loss was $6.5 million, with an operating margin of negative 4.7%.
Revenue Recognition Impact
1% headwind to year-over-year revenue growth rate due to increased SaaS sales recognized ratably versus upfront recognition of on-prem subscription products.
Company Guidance
In the Varonis Systems, Inc. Q1 2025 earnings call, the company reported a 19% year-over-year growth in Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) to $664.3 million, with SaaS ARR making up 61% of total ARR. The company also generated $65.3 million in free cash flow, an increase from $56.4 million in the previous year. For the full year, Varonis raised its ARR guidance to $742-$750 million, representing 16%-17% growth, and expects SaaS to constitute 80% of ARR by year-end. The company highlighted strong new customer momentum and successful existing customer conversions to SaaS, driven by demand for its SaaS platform and MDDR offering. Additionally, Varonis emphasized the strategic acquisition of Cyral to expand its data security platform and its plans to capitalize on growing customer interest in securing generative AI applications.

Varonis Systems Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Varonis Systems shows steady revenue growth and a strong cash position, despite profitability challenges with a negative net profit margin and high leverage. The ability to generate free cash flow is a notable strength.
Income Statement
70
Positive
Varonis Systems shows steady revenue growth with a 4.06% increase from the previous year and a robust gross profit margin of 82.28% for TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). However, the company continues to face profitability challenges, as indicated by a negative net profit margin of -15.88% and negative EBIT and EBITDA margins, primarily driven by substantial operating expenses.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The balance sheet reflects moderate financial health with a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.02, illustrating significant leverage. The equity ratio stands at 23.32%, indicating a moderate proportion of financing from equity. Despite these challenges, the company maintains a strong cash position, which is crucial for its ongoing operations.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Varonis Systems demonstrates strong cash flow management, with positive operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.39 and a free cash flow to net income ratio of 1.29. Free cash flow has grown significantly by 8.20% over the year, showcasing the company's ability to generate cash despite profitability issues.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
573.35M550.95M499.16M473.63M390.13M292.69M
Gross Profit
471.83M457.10M427.41M403.80M330.74M248.43M
EBIT
-116.93M-117.65M-117.22M-121.23M-98.69M-78.42M
EBITDA
-95.54M-63.58M-70.55M-82.04M-98.69M-68.51M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-91.06M-95.77M-100.92M-124.52M-116.86M-94.01M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
609.22M568.42M533.72M732.49M807.61M298.26M
Total Assets
1.58B1.66B1.10B1.04B1.11B555.48M
Total Debt
742.22M754.41M311.84M316.46M294.02M273.00M
Net Debt
589.11M568.82M81.10M-51.34M-511.74M38.91M
Total Liabilities
1.21B1.21B614.26M541.61M511.94M461.41M
Stockholders Equity
367.74M455.66M489.65M502.13M596.59M94.07M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
117.42M108.51M54.32M475.00K-3.31M-15.96M
Operating Cash Flow
126.48M115.20M59.42M11.87M7.18M-5.84M
Investing Cash Flow
-445.31M-532.25M-143.08M-374.25M54.38M-54.75M
Financing Cash Flow
324.88M371.90M-53.40M-75.58M510.11M225.75M

Varonis Systems Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price49.30
Price Trends
50DMA
44.60
Positive
100DMA
43.59
Positive
200DMA
47.75
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.60
Positive
RSI
65.74
Neutral
STOCH
68.05
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VRNS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 49.3 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 48.24, above the 50-day MA of 44.60, and above the 200-day MA of 47.75, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.60 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 65.74 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 68.05 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for VRNS.

Varonis Systems Risk Analysis

Varonis Systems disclosed 56 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Varonis Systems reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Varonis Systems Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$5.09B28.7540.23%9.58%12.41%
BOBOX
76
Outperform
$5.28B27.86152.34%4.88%80.94%
64
Neutral
$5.65B-22.21%13.34%13.71%
SS
64
Neutral
$6.04B-26.98%32.25%20.56%
63
Neutral
$3.96B-12.09%11.79%35.35%
62
Neutral
$11.92B10.48-7.50%2.95%7.40%-8.18%
RPRPD
59
Neutral
$1.54B59.44164.75%6.19%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
VRNS
Varonis Systems
49.30
7.46
17.83%
QLYS
Qualys
140.68
2.49
1.80%
BOX
Box
35.84
9.96
38.49%
RPD
Rapid7
23.73
-13.99
-37.09%
TENB
Tenable Holdings
31.82
-8.98
-22.01%
S
SentinelOne
17.88
-0.53
-2.88%

Varonis Systems Corporate Events

Shareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Varonis Systems Approves Key Proposals at Annual Meeting
Positive
Jun 6, 2025

On June 5, 2025, Varonis Systems, Inc. held its 2025 Annual Meeting of Stockholders, where several key proposals were approved. The stockholders approved the 2025 Employee Stock Purchase Plan and an increase in the number of shares available under the 2023 Omnibus Equity Incentive Plan, reflecting strategic moves to enhance employee engagement and shareholder value. Additionally, the election of directors, executive compensation, and the appointment of an independent accounting firm were ratified, indicating strong shareholder support for the company’s governance and financial oversight.

The most recent analyst rating on (VRNS) stock is a Buy with a $65.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Varonis Systems stock, see the VRNS Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.