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Varonis Systems (VRNS)
NASDAQ:VRNS
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Varonis Systems (VRNS) AI Stock Analysis

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VRNS

Varonis Systems

(NASDAQ:VRNS)

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Neutral 44 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:44Neutral
Price Target:
$34.00
▼(-0.32% Downside)
Varonis Systems' overall stock score is primarily impacted by its mixed financial performance and bearish technical indicators. While the company shows strong revenue growth and cash flow generation, profitability issues and a negative P/E ratio weigh heavily on its valuation. Technical analysis indicates bearish momentum, with the stock trading below key moving averages and oversold conditions. These factors contribute to a lower overall stock score.
Positive Factors
SaaS Transition
The successful transition to a SaaS model enhances recurring revenue streams and aligns with industry trends, supporting long-term growth.
Strategic Partnerships
Partnerships with major tech firms like Microsoft expand Varonis' market reach and integrate advanced technologies, strengthening competitive positioning.
Cash Flow Improvement
Improving cash flow indicates effective cash management, providing financial flexibility for strategic investments and operational stability.
Negative Factors
On-Premises Challenges
Challenges in the on-premises business segment could hinder overall revenue growth and necessitate strategic shifts or restructuring.
Net Losses
Ongoing net losses highlight profitability challenges, potentially limiting reinvestment capabilities and affecting long-term financial health.
Equity Decline
Declining equity levels may impact financial stability and investor confidence, necessitating careful capital management to sustain growth.

Varonis Systems (VRNS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Varonis Systems Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionVaronis Systems, Inc. (VRNS) is a publicly traded cybersecurity and data management company headquartered in New York, specializing in protecting data and managing permissions across various platforms. Varonis provides solutions that help organizations secure their sensitive data, detect insider threats, and comply with data privacy regulations. The company's core products include data security and analytics platforms that monitor and analyze data activity, user behavior, and access controls.
How the Company Makes MoneyVaronis generates revenue primarily through the sale of its software solutions and subscription services. The company's revenue model is largely based on a combination of software licenses, annual maintenance and support services, and subscription fees for its cloud-based offerings. Key revenue streams include the sale of perpetual licenses and subscription-based licenses for their data security products. Additionally, Varonis benefits from its partnerships with various technology firms and resellers, which help expand its market reach and enhance its offerings. The company also invests in ongoing customer support and education services, ensuring customer retention and recurring revenue.

Varonis Systems Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography
Breaks down revenue across different regions, revealing where the company is strongest and where it may face risk or growth potential due to local economic conditions or market share shifts.
Chart InsightsVaronis Systems is experiencing robust growth in North America, with recent quarters showing significant revenue increases. The Rest of World segment, while smaller, has seen a dramatic spike, particularly in late 2024, likely driven by strategic expansions and new customer acquisitions. The latest earnings call highlights strong ARR growth and a successful SaaS transition, which may be fueling this geographic expansion. However, challenges such as declining gross margins and operating losses could impact future profitability, necessitating careful management of the SaaS transition and cost structures.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Varonis Systems Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 28, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 09, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call revealed a strong performance and growth in the SaaS segment, underpinned by strategic partnerships and product expansions. However, this was offset by significant challenges in the on-premises business, leading to financial guidance adjustments and operational restructuring. The dual nature of the business, with a thriving SaaS segment and struggling on-prem component, was a central theme.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
SaaS Transition Completion
Varonis completed its transition to a SaaS model ahead of schedule, with 76% of total company ARR now coming from SaaS.
ARR Growth
ARR increased 18% year-over-year to $718.6 million.
Strong SaaS Demand
Despite challenges, strong demand for the SaaS platform continues, driven by automated outcomes and cloud security needs.
Strategic Acquisitions and Product Updates
Introduction of Varonis Interceptor and Next-Gen Database Activity Monitoring, expanding total addressable market and enhancing product offerings.
Microsoft Partnership
Enhanced strategic partnership with Microsoft to support secure adoption of AI tools like Copilot.
Negative Updates
On-Premises Subscription Challenges
Weaker-than-expected renewals in federal and non-federal on-prem subscription business led to a disappointing Q3 performance.
Federal Business Underperformance
Significant underperformance in the federal vertical, leading to a reduction in the team size.
End of Life for Self-Hosted Solution
Announcement of the end of life for self-hosted solutions by December 2026, causing potential uncertainty in the on-prem business.
Headcount Reduction
5% reduction in headcount as part of expense management efforts.
Financial Guidance Adjustment
Conservative adjustments made to financial guidance due to recent performance issues in the on-prem business.
Company Guidance
During the third quarter of 2025, Varonis Systems experienced an 18% year-over-year increase in ARR, reaching $718.6 million, with 76% of this derived from its SaaS business. Despite this growth, the company faced weaker-than-expected renewals in its federal and non-federal on-premise subscription business, leading to results that fell short of expectations. To address this, Varonis plans a 5% reduction in headcount and announced the end of life for its self-hosted solution by December 2026. For the fourth quarter, the company expects revenues between $165 million and $171 million, with a conservative outlook due to these renewal challenges. The SaaS business, however, remains robust and is seen as the key growth driver, aided by strategic investments and partnerships, including a significant push in AI and cloud security through recent acquisitions.

Varonis Systems Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Varonis Systems shows consistent revenue growth and strong cash flow generation, but struggles with profitability. The balance sheet indicates improved leverage but low returns on equity. Overall, financial performance is mixed with strengths in revenue and cash flow, but weaknesses in profitability.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Varonis Systems shows a consistent revenue growth trend, with a TTM revenue growth rate of 2.27%. However, profitability remains a challenge, as indicated by negative EBIT and EBITDA margins, and a low net profit margin of 1.93% in TTM. The gross profit margin is strong at 80.04%, suggesting efficient cost management. Overall, while revenue is growing, the company struggles with profitability.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The balance sheet indicates a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.85 in TTM, showing improved leverage compared to previous years. However, the return on equity is low at 2.65%, reflecting challenges in generating returns for shareholders. The equity ratio is not explicitly calculated, but the company appears to have a stable asset base. Overall, the balance sheet shows improved leverage but low returns.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Varonis Systems demonstrates a positive trend in cash flow, with a free cash flow growth rate of 7.35% in TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.28, indicating a reasonable conversion of income to cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio is high at 91.13%, suggesting effective cash management. Overall, the cash flow statement reflects strong cash generation capabilities.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue608.68M550.95M499.16M473.63M390.13M292.69M
Gross Profit487.21M457.10M427.41M403.80M330.74M248.43M
EBITDA-90.93M-63.58M-70.55M-82.04M-80.15M-61.71M
Net Income-114.54M-95.77M-100.92M-124.52M-116.86M-94.01M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.67B1.66B1.10B1.04B1.11B555.48M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments707.92M568.42M533.72M732.49M807.61M298.26M
Total Debt520.67M754.41M311.84M316.46M302.82M273.00M
Total Liabilities1.06B1.21B614.26M541.61M511.94M461.41M
Stockholders Equity604.84M455.66M489.65M502.13M596.59M94.07M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow133.98M108.51M54.32M475.00K-3.31M-15.96M
Operating Cash Flow147.02M115.20M59.42M11.87M7.18M-5.84M
Investing Cash Flow-156.17M-532.25M-143.08M-374.25M54.38M-54.75M
Financing Cash Flow-115.71M371.90M-53.40M-75.58M510.11M225.75M

Varonis Systems Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price34.11
Price Trends
50DMA
55.84
Negative
100DMA
54.69
Negative
200DMA
49.18
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-6.74
Positive
RSI
21.94
Positive
STOCH
8.81
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VRNS, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 34.11 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 52.21, below the 50-day MA of 55.84, and below the 200-day MA of 49.18, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -6.74 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 21.94 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 8.81 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for VRNS.

Varonis Systems Risk Analysis

Varonis Systems disclosed 55 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Varonis Systems reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Varonis Systems Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$5.24B28.4838.64%9.95%12.72%
77
Outperform
$1.30B26.5723.88%1.37%10.27%3.52%
72
Outperform
$10.46B25.889.21%3.98%-31.18%
62
Neutral
$5.63B-27.34%25.39%-42.90%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
61
Neutral
$3.30B-8.95%11.05%45.23%
44
Neutral
$4.17B-22.17%11.37%-34.44%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
VRNS
Varonis Systems
34.11
-18.27
-34.88%
AKAM
Akamai
73.00
-16.37
-18.32%
QLYS
Qualys
147.02
-6.97
-4.53%
ATEN
A10 Networks
17.79
1.81
11.33%
TENB
Tenable Holdings
27.38
-14.43
-34.51%
S
SentinelOne
16.36
-11.21
-40.66%

Varonis Systems Corporate Events

Varonis Systems’ Earnings Call: SaaS Shines Amid On-Prem Challenges
Oct 30, 2025

Varonis Systems’ recent earnings call painted a picture of dual realities within the company. The sentiment was largely positive regarding the SaaS segment, which showcased strong performance and growth, driven by strategic partnerships and product expansions. However, this optimism was tempered by challenges in the on-premises business, necessitating financial guidance adjustments and operational restructuring. The contrast between the thriving SaaS segment and the struggling on-prem component was a central theme throughout the call.

Varonis Systems Reports Strong SaaS Growth Amid Strategic Shifts
Oct 29, 2025

Varonis Systems, Inc. is a leading data security company specializing in protecting critical data across various environments with its cloud-native Data Security Platform. The company focuses on automating security outcomes and defending against advanced threats using AI-powered automation.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
Varonis Systems Acquires SlashNext to Boost Security
Positive
Sep 2, 2025

On September 2, 2025, Varonis Systems announced the acquisition of SlashNext, an AI-native email security provider, to enhance its data breach prevention capabilities. This acquisition is expected to expand Varonis’ total addressable market and improve its threat detection and response offerings, particularly in combating AI-driven phishing attacks. The financial outlook for Varonis includes updated guidance reflecting the acquisition’s expenses, with anticipated revenue growth and free cash flow for 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (VRNS) stock is a Buy with a $66.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Varonis Systems stock, see the VRNS Stock Forecast page.

Varonis Systems’ Earnings Call: Growth Amid Challenges
Jul 31, 2025

Varonis Systems’ recent earnings call painted a picture of robust growth tempered by some challenges. The company showcased impressive gains in Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) and cash flow, primarily fueled by a successful transition to a Software-as-a-Service (SaaS) model and strategic partnerships. However, these positives were counterbalanced by an operating loss and macroeconomic headwinds that continue to pose challenges.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 31, 2025