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Box (BOX) AI Stock Analysis

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BOX

Box

(NYSE:BOX)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$36.00
▲(10.13% Upside)
Box's overall stock score reflects its strong financial performance and positive earnings call, which highlight robust revenue growth and strategic focus on AI. However, high leverage and mixed technical indicators temper the outlook.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth indicates strong market demand and effective sales strategies, supporting long-term business expansion.
AI Integration
AI integration enhances product offerings, driving competitive advantage and customer retention through advanced capabilities.
Operating Margins
Improved operating margins reflect efficient cost management and profitability, ensuring financial stability and growth potential.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage can increase financial risk and limit strategic flexibility, potentially impacting long-term financial health.
Macroeconomic Challenges
Macroeconomic challenges can affect demand and revenue growth, posing risks to future financial performance and strategic plans.
Foreign Exchange Headwinds
Foreign exchange fluctuations can impact revenue visibility and profitability, complicating financial planning and forecasting.

Box (BOX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Box Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBox, Inc. (BOX) is a cloud content management and file sharing service for businesses. Founded in 2005, the company provides a platform that allows organizations to store, manage, and collaborate on files securely in the cloud. Box serves a wide range of sectors, including healthcare, financial services, and education, offering solutions designed to enhance productivity and streamline workflows. Its core products include Box Platform, Box Governance, and Box Shield, which are aimed at improving collaboration and security for enterprise customers.
How the Company Makes MoneyBox generates revenue primarily through a subscription-based model, offering various pricing tiers that cater to businesses of different sizes and needs. Key revenue streams include monthly and annual subscription fees for its cloud content management services, which vary based on the level of features and storage capacity. The company also offers add-on services such as Box Governance and Box Shield for enhanced compliance and security, providing additional revenue opportunities. Significant partnerships with technology companies, including integrations with Microsoft, Google, and Salesforce, further contribute to Box's earnings by expanding its market reach and enhancing the value of its offerings.

Box Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Total Remaining Performance Obligations
Total Remaining Performance Obligations
Represents future revenue from contracts yet to be fulfilled, providing insight into revenue visibility and the strength of customer commitments.
Chart InsightsBox's Remaining Performance Obligations (RPO) have shown a strong upward trend, with a notable 21% year-over-year increase, reflecting robust demand and early renewals. The earnings call highlights this growth, driven by customer adoption of Box AI and Enterprise Advanced. However, early renewals have shifted revenue expectations, potentially impacting future quarters. Despite macroeconomic uncertainties, Box's strategic focus on AI integration and partnerships with tech giants positions it well for sustained growth, as evidenced by raised revenue guidance and strong billings momentum.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Box Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 26, 2025
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 26, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call was largely positive, with strong revenue growth, increased customer adoption of advanced AI offerings, and improvements in operating margins and net retention rates. However, caution was noted due to challenging macroeconomic conditions and FX headwinds.
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue and Growth Exceed Expectations
Q2 revenue of $294 million exceeded the high end of guidance, with a 9% year-over-year growth and 7% in constant currency. Nearly 2,000 customers now pay at least $100,000 annually, up 8% year-over-year.
Strong Customer Adoption of Enterprise Advanced
Enterprise Advanced saw significant customer adoption, with a near doubling of deal closures over the prior quarter. New capabilities like AI-powered metadata extraction and intelligent no-code apps drove enterprise-wide agreements.
Operating Margins and EPS Above Guidance
Operating margins were 29% with EPS of $0.33, $0.02 above the high end of the outlook.
Positive Net Retention Rate
Net retention rate improved to 103% from 102% in Q1, indicating increased seat growth and steady improvements in pricing.
Partnerships and AI Model Integration
Box integrated with multiple AI models, including OpenAI's GPT-5 and Anthropic's Claude 4.1, enhancing its AI capabilities and customer offerings.
Enhanced Product Roadmap
Announced updates to Box AI capabilities and plans for new workflow and no-code app capabilities to further automate critical workflows.
Negative Updates
Macro Environment Challenges
The company remains cautious due to a challenging macroeconomic environment, potentially impacting future billing and growth.
Deferred Tax Expense Impact
Noncash deferred tax expenses are expected to be a non-GAAP EPS headwind of $0.58 in FY 2026.
Foreign Exchange Headwinds
FX headwinds are affecting revenue and billing expectations, with adjustments made in the guidance.
Company Guidance
During Box, Inc.'s second quarter fiscal 2026 earnings call, the company provided robust financial guidance and insights into their strategic initiatives. Box reported a 9% year-over-year revenue growth, reaching $294 million, with a constant currency growth of 7%. Operating margins were at 29%, and earnings per share (EPS) were $0.33, surpassing the high end of their outlook by $0.02. The company saw a 16% growth in remaining performance obligations (RPO) and a 3% improvement in net retention rate, which rose to 103%. The momentum was largely driven by the adoption of Enterprise Advanced and Box AI, which contributed to an 8% year-over-year increase in customers paying at least $100,000 annually. Box anticipates a strong pipeline for the second half of the year, forecasting third-quarter revenues between $298 million and $299 million, with an anticipated full fiscal 2026 revenue of $1.17 to $1.175 billion, representing an 8% year-over-year growth. The company continues to focus on expanding its intelligent content management platform, leveraging AI to enhance workflow automation and metadata extraction capabilities, while also maintaining a disciplined capital allocation strategy, including buybacks.

Box Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Box demonstrates solid financial performance with consistent revenue growth and strong gross profit margins. However, high leverage and a low EBIT margin indicate potential financial risks. Robust cash flow generation provides a cushion against these risks.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Box has demonstrated consistent revenue growth, with a TTM growth rate of 2.18% and a strong gross profit margin of 79.08%. The net profit margin has improved significantly to 21.38%, indicating enhanced profitability. However, the EBIT margin remains relatively low at 7.05%, suggesting room for operational efficiency improvements.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The company has a high debt-to-equity ratio of 3.38, indicating significant leverage, which could pose financial risks. However, the return on equity has improved to 1.97%, reflecting better utilization of equity. The equity ratio remains low, suggesting a reliance on debt financing.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Box's cash flow position is strong, with a free cash flow growth rate of 4.65% and a high free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.92. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.37, indicating efficient cash generation relative to net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.13B1.09B1.04B990.87M874.33M770.77M
Gross Profit889.17M862.02M777.13M738.32M624.85M546.03M
EBITDA108.38M113.34M101.99M102.83M50.61M37.84M
Net Income223.19M244.62M129.03M26.78M-41.46M-43.43M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.62B1.67B1.24B1.21B1.39B1.35B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments757.86M722.82M480.69M461.25M586.27M595.08M
Total Debt204.48M721.32M491.80M535.10M621.50M648.15M
Total Liabilities1.40B1.47B1.18B1.24B1.79B1.20B
Stockholders Equity225.92M197.28M61.03M-33.86M-395.09M151.06M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow317.45M329.68M300.32M281.49M224.33M180.34M
Operating Cash Flow337.78M332.26M318.73M297.98M234.82M196.83M
Investing Cash Flow-57.76M-23.21M-82.79M120.60M-239.37M-16.38M
Financing Cash Flow-32.31M-62.36M-272.90M-396.50M-172.86M218.68M

Box Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price32.69
Price Trends
50DMA
32.51
Positive
100DMA
32.99
Negative
200DMA
32.58
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.17
Negative
RSI
48.38
Neutral
STOCH
46.84
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BOX, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 32.69 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 32.82, above the 50-day MA of 32.51, and above the 200-day MA of 32.58, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.17 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 48.38 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 46.84 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for BOX.

Box Risk Analysis

Box disclosed 56 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Box reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Box Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
$8.75B487.111.15%8.25%
$5.44B20.0722.19%-1.62%36.57%
$4.73B26.21163.44%6.29%62.03%
$7.06B-68.76-25.73%14.29%-14.42%
$5.89B-27.34%25.39%-42.90%
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
$7.66B17.92-0.04%-5.07%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BOX
Box
32.64
0.57
1.78%
WEX
WEX
158.82
-14.34
-8.28%
VRNS
Varonis Systems
63.00
4.22
7.18%
DBX
Dropbox
29.29
3.47
13.44%
PATH
UiPath
16.16
3.46
27.24%
S
SentinelOne
17.65
-8.89
-33.50%

Box Corporate Events

Box Inc. Reports Strong Q2 Earnings Amid Challenges
Sep 1, 2025

Box Inc. recently held its earnings call, which conveyed a largely positive sentiment. The company showcased strong revenue growth and increased customer adoption of its advanced AI offerings. Improvements in operating margins and net retention rates were also highlighted. However, the call did not shy away from acknowledging the challenges posed by macroeconomic conditions and foreign exchange headwinds.

Box Inc. Reports Strong Q2 2026 Financial Performance
Aug 27, 2025

Box Inc., a leader in Intelligent Content Management, provides a platform that enhances collaboration and workflow automation through AI-driven solutions, serving various industries globally. In its latest earnings report for the second quarter of fiscal 2026, Box Inc. announced a revenue of $294 million, marking a 9% increase year-over-year. The company also reported a GAAP operating margin of 7.0% and a non-GAAP operating margin of 28.6%, with a GAAP net income per share of $0.05 and a non-GAAP net income per share of $0.33.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 28, 2025