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Box (BOX)
NYSE:BOX

Box (BOX) AI Stock Analysis

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BOX

Box

(NYSE:BOX)

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Neutral 65 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:
$27.00
▲(11.16% Upside)
Box's overall score is driven by strong earnings call performance and solid financials, offset by bearish technical indicators and moderate valuation. The company's strategic focus on AI and partnerships is promising, but operational efficiency and market momentum require improvement.
Positive Factors
Subscription model & strategic partnerships
A recurring subscription model provides predictable, high-visibility revenue and facilitates customer stickiness via multi-year contracts. Large tech partnerships enable deep integrations, increasing retention and cross-sell potential and supporting durable enterprise adoption and platform leverage.
Strong cash flow generation
Robust free cash flow and a near-1.0 free cash flow to net income ratio indicate the business converts earnings into cash efficiently. Reliable cash generation funds R&D, strategic AI investments, and debt reduction without depending entirely on external financing, supporting long-term flexibility.
High gross margins
Sustained high gross margins reflect scalable cloud economics and low incremental costs for additional users. This structural margin advantage supports reinvestment in product and go-to-market, enabling profitable growth as enterprise adoption and suite upsell continue over time.
Negative Factors
Elevated leverage reliance
Although leverage has improved, a still-elevated debt position and low equity ratio constrain strategic flexibility and increase interest and refinancing exposure. Persistent debt reliance can limit capital allocation choices and raise risks during macro shocks or rising rates.
Pressure on profitability margins
Declining net and operating margins signal weakening operational efficiency or rising operating costs. If persistent, margin erosion can reduce free cash flow growth and make it harder to fund AI initiatives and sales expansion without further cost control or higher pricing.
Revenue concentration in large customers
Heavy reliance on a concentrated base of large enterprise suites increases exposure to churn or big-account downsells. While profitable when retained, this concentration heightens single-account risk and makes growth more dependent on sustaining and expanding a smaller set of large customers.

Box (BOX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Box Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBox, Inc. provides a cloud content management platform that enables organizations of various sizes to manage and share their content from anywhere on any device. The company's Software-as-a-Service platform enables users to collaborate on content internally and with external parties, automate content-driven business processes, develop custom applications, and implement data protection, security, and compliance features to comply with legal and regulatory requirements, internal policies, and industry standards and regulations. It offers web, mobile, and desktop applications for cloud content management on a platform for developing custom applications, as well as industry-specific capabilities. As of January 31, 2022, the company had approximately 100,000 paying organizations, and its solution was offered in 25 languages. It serves financial services, health care, government, and legal services industries in the United States and internationally. The company was formerly known as Box.net, Inc. and changed its name to Box, Inc. in November 2011. Box, Inc. was incorporated in 2005 and is headquartered in San Francisco Bay Area, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyBox generates revenue primarily through a subscription-based model, offering tiered pricing plans that cater to businesses of different sizes and needs. The key revenue streams include monthly or annual subscriptions for its cloud storage and collaboration services, which are charged based on the number of users or volume of storage required. Additionally, Box earns revenue from premium features and services, such as enhanced security options and advanced administrative tools. Significant partnerships with other technology companies, such as Microsoft and Google, also contribute to its earnings by integrating Box's services with widely used applications, thereby increasing its user base and driving subscription growth.

Box Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Total Remaining Performance Obligations
Total Remaining Performance Obligations
Represents future revenue from contracts yet to be fulfilled, providing insight into revenue visibility and the strength of customer commitments.
Chart InsightsBox's Remaining Performance Obligations (RPO) have shown consistent growth, reflecting strong customer commitments and strategic focus on AI-powered solutions. The recent 16% RPO growth aligns with the earnings call, highlighting increased adoption of Enterprise Advanced and Box AI. Despite macroeconomic challenges and FX headwinds, Box's robust pipeline and strategic initiatives in AI and workflow automation suggest sustained momentum. The company's disciplined capital allocation and customer retention improvements further bolster its growth outlook, positioning it well for future expansion.
Data provided by:The Fly

Box Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Dec 02, 2025
(Q3-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 03, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Box Inc. demonstrated strong revenue growth, exceeding guidance with impressive operating margins and expanding AI capabilities. Despite challenges such as foreign exchange headwinds and government sector delays, the company showed robust customer and partnership growth, indicating positive momentum.
Q3-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth and Exceeding Guidance
Revenue for Q3 2026 was $301 million, representing a 9% year-over-year growth and exceeding guidance. The company expects total revenue for FY 2026 to be approximately $1.175 billion.
Strong Operating Margin
Box achieved an operating margin of 28.6% in Q3, exceeding expectations, with a forecast of 30% for the upcoming quarter.
Advancements in AI Capabilities
Box announced new AI features like Box Extract and Box Automate designed to drive intelligent workflows. The company is integrating with leading AI models from OpenAI, Google, Anthropic, AWS, and others.
Increase in Large Customers and Suite Adoption
Over 2,000 customers now pay Box at least $100,000 annually, and suites customers account for 64% of revenue, up from 59% a year ago.
Partnerships and Strategic Collaborations
Box strengthened partnerships with AWS, Deloitte, TCS, and others to enhance AI capabilities and accelerate digital transformation.
Net Retention Rate Improvement
Net retention rate improved to 104%, driven by strong Box AI and Enterprise Advanced momentum.
Negative Updates
Impact of Foreign Exchange Rates
Foreign exchange rates presented a headwind, impacting earnings per share and billings.
Government Sector Delays
Deal timing was affected by a government shutdown, which caused incremental shifts in the federal vertical.
Company Guidance
During the Box, Inc. Third Quarter Fiscal 2026 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided robust financial guidance and updates on their strategic initiatives. Box reported a 9% year-over-year revenue growth, reaching $301 million, surpassing their own guidance, with operating margins at 28.6%. The company achieved a net retention rate of 104%, driven by price per seat increases and seat expansion, and ended the quarter with $1.5 billion in remaining performance obligations, indicating an 18% year-over-year growth. Box's strategic investments in AI capabilities and go-to-market initiatives are reflected in their 12% year-over-year billings growth. For Q4, Box forecasted revenue of approximately $304 million, a gross margin of 82%, and a non-GAAP operating margin of approximately 30%. Full-year expectations include a revenue of $1.175 billion and a non-GAAP operating margin of 28%. The company also discussed new AI-driven product offerings like Box Extract and Box Automate, aiming to enhance content management and workflow automation, further solidifying their market position.

Box Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Box shows solid revenue growth and strong cash flow generation. However, declining profitability margins and a high reliance on debt financing pose potential risks. The improved debt-to-equity ratio is a positive sign, but operational efficiency needs attention.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Box has demonstrated consistent revenue growth, with a TTM revenue growth rate of 2.24%. The gross profit margin remains strong at 78.92%, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin has decreased to 19.79% from 22.44% in the previous year, suggesting some pressure on profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins have also declined, indicating potential challenges in operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has improved significantly to 1.33 from 3.66, reflecting better leverage management. However, the return on equity is exceptionally high at 137.02%, which may indicate aggressive financial strategies. The equity ratio is relatively low, suggesting a higher reliance on debt financing, which could pose risks if not managed carefully.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Box has shown strong cash flow performance, with a free cash flow growth rate of 5.49% in the TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy at 0.41, indicating good cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is also robust at 0.96, highlighting efficient cash management.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.09B1.04B990.87M874.33M770.77M
Gross Profit862.02M777.13M738.32M624.85M546.03M
EBITDA113.34M101.99M102.83M53.62M37.84M
Net Income244.62M129.03M26.78M-41.46M-43.43M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.67B1.24B1.21B1.39B1.35B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments722.82M480.69M461.25M586.27M595.08M
Total Debt721.32M491.80M535.10M621.50M648.15M
Total Liabilities1.47B1.18B1.24B1.79B1.20B
Stockholders Equity197.28M61.03M-33.86M-395.09M151.06M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow329.68M316.88M293.55M230.12M187.78M
Operating Cash Flow332.26M318.73M297.98M234.82M196.83M
Investing Cash Flow-23.21M-82.79M120.60M-239.37M-16.38M
Financing Cash Flow-62.36M-272.90M-396.50M-172.86M218.68M

Box Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price24.29
Price Trends
50DMA
28.95
Negative
100DMA
30.61
Negative
200DMA
31.75
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.16
Positive
RSI
27.49
Positive
STOCH
21.11
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BOX, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 24.29 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 27.09, below the 50-day MA of 28.95, and below the 200-day MA of 31.75, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.16 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 27.49 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 21.11 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for BOX.

Box Risk Analysis

Box disclosed 56 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Box reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Box Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$5.25B18.7420.30%-1.15%-2.52%
69
Neutral
$6.71B28.6612.56%10.05%
65
Neutral
$3.71B19.59204.27%7.21%58.61%
62
Neutral
$6.43B14.23-0.44%2.47%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
57
Neutral
$4.89B-10.48-25.79%24.09%-34.25%
50
Neutral
$3.45B-26.18-22.17%11.37%-34.44%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BOX
Box
24.29
-9.46
-28.03%
WEX
WEX
144.28
-39.78
-21.61%
VRNS
Varonis Systems
26.53
-20.31
-43.36%
DBX
Dropbox
25.11
-7.27
-22.45%
PATH
UiPath
12.15
-2.28
-15.80%
S
SentinelOne
13.14
-10.56
-44.56%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 03, 2025