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Box Inc. (BOX)
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Box (BOX) AI Stock Analysis

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BOX

Box

(NYSE:BOX)

Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
$37.00
▲(17.13% Upside)
Box demonstrates solid financial performance and strategic growth initiatives, particularly in AI and enterprise solutions. However, high leverage and macroeconomic uncertainties pose risks. The technical outlook is mixed, with the stock trading below its 50-day moving average, suggesting cautious optimism.
Positive Factors
AI Innovations
Box is expected to introduce a multitude of new AI innovations and announce AI-related collaborations at BoxWorks, heralded as featuring the biggest and most exciting announcements ever on this platform.
Financial Performance
Box reported strong 1Q26 results and raised the FY26 revenue and billings outlook.
Revenue Growth
Billings growth of 27% beat expectations and was helped by early renewals.
Negative Factors
Competitive Environment
A discount to the low-growth software group is warranted given BOX's intensifying competitive environment.
Market Challenges
Competition is fierce, software in transition, and the macro environment treacherous.

Box (BOX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Box Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBox, Inc. (BOX) is a cloud content management and file sharing service for businesses. Founded in 2005, the company provides a platform that allows organizations to store, manage, and collaborate on files securely in the cloud. Box serves a wide range of sectors, including healthcare, financial services, and education, offering solutions designed to enhance productivity and streamline workflows. Its core products include Box Platform, Box Governance, and Box Shield, which are aimed at improving collaboration and security for enterprise customers.
How the Company Makes MoneyBox generates revenue primarily through a subscription-based model, offering various pricing tiers that cater to businesses of different sizes and needs. Key revenue streams include monthly and annual subscription fees for its cloud content management services, which vary based on the level of features and storage capacity. The company also offers add-on services such as Box Governance and Box Shield for enhanced compliance and security, providing additional revenue opportunities. Significant partnerships with technology companies, including integrations with Microsoft, Google, and Salesforce, further contribute to Box's earnings by expanding its market reach and enhancing the value of its offerings.

Box Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Total Remaining Performance Obligations
Total Remaining Performance Obligations
Represents future revenue from contracts yet to be fulfilled, providing insight into revenue visibility and the strength of customer commitments.
Chart InsightsBox's Remaining Performance Obligations (RPO) have shown a strong upward trend, with a notable 21% year-over-year increase, reflecting robust demand and early renewals. The earnings call highlights this growth, driven by customer adoption of Box AI and Enterprise Advanced. However, early renewals have shifted revenue expectations, potentially impacting future quarters. Despite macroeconomic uncertainties, Box's strategic focus on AI integration and partnerships with tech giants positions it well for sustained growth, as evidenced by raised revenue guidance and strong billings momentum.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Box Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 27, 2025
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: 0.45%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 26, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a strong start to the fiscal year with robust revenue, RPO, and billings growth, driven by the adoption of Box AI and Enterprise Advanced. The company demonstrated strong financial performance, with EPS exceeding guidance. However, the macroeconomic uncertainty and the impact of early renewals suggest a cautious outlook for future quarters.
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue and Billings Growth
Q1 revenue grew 4% year-over-year, or 5% in constant currency, with billings up 27% year-over-year. Strong outperformance on billings with a tailwind from early renewals.
Strong RPO and Customer Base Expansion
Remaining performance obligations (RPO) grew 21% year-over-year, and the company now has approximately 1,940 total customers paying at least $100,000 annually, up 8% year-over-year.
Enterprise Advanced Adoption and AI Integration
Strong momentum in customer adoption of Enterprise Advanced, with customers leveraging Box AI for metadata extraction and streamlining operations. Announcements of AI Agent updates and partnerships with major technology providers like Microsoft, Google, and IBM.
Operating Margin and EPS Performance
Q1 operating margins of 25.3% and EPS of $0.30, $0.04 above guidance. Gross margin was 80.5%, up 30 basis points year-over-year.
FedRAMP High Authorization
Received FedRAMP High Authorization, allowing U.S. government agencies to leverage Box's platform for handling highly sensitive data.
Negative Updates
Macro Environment and IT Spending Concerns
Prudent outlook for fiscal 2026 due to macroeconomic uncertainty and potential impact on IT spending, despite current positive trends.
Early Renewals Impact on Future Quarters
Early renewals in Q1 provided a 400 basis point benefit, but resulted in a shift of expected revenue from Q2, impacting future quarter comparisons.
Company Guidance
During the Box, Inc. First Quarter Fiscal 2026 Earnings Conference Call, several key metrics and guidance highlights were provided. Box reported a 4% year-over-year increase in revenue, reaching $276 million, with a 5% growth in constant currency. The company achieved a gross margin of 80.5% and an operating margin of 25.3%. Box also highlighted a 21% year-over-year growth in remaining performance obligations (RPO) and a 27% increase in billings, driven by strong bookings and early renewals. The net retention rate improved to 102%, with a full churn rate of 3%. For the second quarter, Box expects revenue between $290 million and $291 million, representing approximately 8% year-over-year growth at the high end. For the full fiscal year, Box raised its revenue guidance to between $1.165 billion and $1.17 billion, reflecting a $10 million increase from previous guidance and incorporating a 120 basis point foreign exchange tailwind. The company aims for a full-year billings growth of about 9%. Additionally, Box anticipates maintaining a gross margin of approximately 81% and expects a non-GAAP operating margin of about 28% for the fiscal year.

Box Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Box has shown strong financial health with consistent revenue and profit growth, supported by effective cash flow management. Despite high leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio of 3.38, the significant improvement in equity position and robust free cash flow generation indicate a positive trajectory.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Box has demonstrated a strong upward trend in its financial performance, with significant improvements in revenue and profitability metrics. The company achieved a TTM gross profit margin of 79% and a net profit margin of 21.4%, indicating efficient cost management and scalability. Revenue growth has been consistent, with a notable increase from $874 million in 2022 to $1,102 million TTM in 2025. EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy at 6.2% and 10.3% respectively, showing robust operational efficiency. However, the EBIT margin is slightly below industry leaders, suggesting potential for further improvement.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
Box's balance sheet reflects a mixed picture with strong equity growth but high leverage. The debt-to-equity ratio is elevated due to substantial debt levels, with a TTM value of 3.38, posing a potential risk in volatile markets. However, the company has improved its equity position significantly from -$395 million in 2022 to $215 million in 2025, enhancing financial stability. The equity ratio stands at 13.1%, which is below optimal levels, indicating a reliance on debt financing. Despite these challenges, the overall trend towards positive equity is encouraging.
Cash Flow
90
Very Positive
Box has shown impressive cash flow management, with strong free cash flow generation and growth. The TTM free cash flow stands at $303 million, reflecting a solid 37.3% year-over-year increase, driven by effective cost control and operational efficiency. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is robust at 1.39, indicating healthy cash conversion. Additionally, the free cash flow to net income ratio of 1.29 underscores the company's ability to generate cash profits, which supports future growth and debt servicing.
BreakdownMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.09B1.04B990.87M874.33M770.77M
Gross Profit862.02M777.13M738.32M624.85M546.03M
EBITDA113.34M101.99M102.83M50.61M37.84M
Net Income244.62M129.03M26.78M-41.46M-43.43M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.67B1.24B1.21B1.39B1.35B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments722.82M480.69M461.25M586.27M595.08M
Total Debt721.32M491.80M535.10M621.50M648.15M
Total Liabilities1.47B1.18B1.24B1.79B1.20B
Stockholders Equity197.28M61.03M-33.86M-395.09M151.06M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow329.68M300.32M281.49M224.33M180.34M
Operating Cash Flow332.26M318.73M297.98M234.82M196.83M
Investing Cash Flow-23.21M-82.79M120.60M-239.37M-16.38M
Financing Cash Flow-62.36M-272.90M-396.50M-172.86M218.68M

Box Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price31.59
Price Trends
50DMA
33.46
Negative
100DMA
32.58
Negative
200DMA
32.67
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.53
Positive
RSI
43.00
Neutral
STOCH
43.50
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BOX, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 31.59 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 32.12, below the 50-day MA of 33.46, and below the 200-day MA of 32.67, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.53 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 43.00 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 43.50 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for BOX.

Box Risk Analysis

Box disclosed 56 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Box reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Box Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$4.49B24.50152.34%4.88%80.94%
75
Outperform
$4.66B25.7339.53%9.69%9.50%
72
Outperform
$6.38B-25.73%14.29%-14.42%
64
Neutral
$5.51B-26.98%28.19%-31.34%
61
Neutral
$36.30B7.26-7.27%1.97%7.74%-7.92%
60
Neutral
$3.52B-12.60%11.41%33.76%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BOX
Box
31.59
3.24
11.43%
QLYS
Qualys
129.15
5.52
4.46%
VRNS
Varonis Systems
58.41
2.43
4.34%
TENB
Tenable Holdings
29.79
-12.91
-30.23%
S
SentinelOne
16.80
-6.95
-29.26%

Box Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Box Approves Key Proposals at Annual Meeting
Positive
Jul 3, 2025

On June 27, 2025, Box, Inc. held its annual meeting of stockholders, where several key proposals were approved. Notably, amendments to the 2015 Equity Incentive Plan and the Employee Stock Purchase Plan were approved, increasing the number of shares reserved for issuance by 5,000,000 and 6,000,000 shares, respectively. The meeting also saw the election of two Class II directors, approval of executive compensation, an amendment to the company’s certificate of incorporation, and the ratification of Ernst & Young LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending January 31, 2026. These approvals are expected to impact Box’s operational flexibility and governance structure positively.

The most recent analyst rating on (BOX) stock is a Hold with a $30.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Box stock, see the BOX Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 29, 2025