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WEX (WEX)
NYSE:WEX

WEX (WEX) AI Stock Analysis

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WEX

WEX

(NYSE:WEX)

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Neutral 66 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
$172.00
▲(9.30% Upside)
The score is driven primarily by solid profitability but tempered by leverage and cash-flow volatility, while the latest earnings call supports the outlook with positive EPS/FCF guidance and a deleveraging plan. Technicals are mildly constructive but not strongly bullish, and valuation appears reasonable based on the provided P/E.
Positive Factors
Strong margins and profitability
Sustained high gross and operating margins reflect a scalable payments and SaaS-heavy model that converts volume into durable profits. Elevated margins provide long-term capacity to fund product development, absorb cyclicality in segments like Mobility, and support shareholder returns without relying solely on growth.
Diversifying growth: Benefits & Corporate Payments
Above-market growth and margin improvement in Benefits and Corporate Payments build durable revenue diversification away from cyclical fleet volumes. SaaS account growth, rising custodial yields, and scaling embedded/AP products increase recurring, higher-margin streams and reduce single-segment exposure over the medium term.
Product & AI-driven innovation
Accelerated product velocity and AI-driven automation create stickier customer relationships and lower operating costs. New multi-currency virtual card and fleet offerings expand addressable markets and cross-sell opportunities, supporting sustainable differentiation versus legacy payments competitors over multiple years.
Negative Factors
Elevated leverage
High leverage constrains strategic flexibility: it limits M&A, buybacks, and reinvestment during downturns, and increases sensitivity to interest-rate shifts. Even with a plan to reduce below 3x, ongoing elevated debt raises refinancing and covenant risk and pressures credit fundamentals over the medium term.
Free cash flow volatility
Material FCF swings and a steep year-over-year decline signal working-capital sensitivity and lower cushion to service debt or invest. Volatile cash generation reduces optionality to accelerate deleveraging or fund growth initiatives, leaving the company more exposed if cyclical revenue weakens.
Mobility concentration and credit risk
A sizable Mobility franchise tied to over‑the‑road trucking exposes WEX to persistent cyclical demand and rising credit losses from receivables originated when fuel was higher. This structural exposure can depress segment revenue and increase loss provisioning, limiting margin stability over several quarters.

WEX (WEX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

WEX Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionWEX Inc. provides financial technology services in the United States and internationally. It operates through three segments: Fleet Solutions, Travel and Corporate Solutions, and Health and Employee Benefit Solutions. The Fleet Solutions segment offers fleet vehicle payment processing services. Its services include customer, account activation, and account retention services; authorization and billing inquiries, and account maintenance services; credit and collections services; merchant services; analytics solutions with access to web-based data analytics platform that offers insights to fleet managers; and ancillary services and tools to fleets to manage expenses and capital requirements. This segment markets its products directly and indirectly to commercial and government vehicle fleet customers with small, medium, and large fleets, as well as with over-the-road and long haul fleets; and indirectly through co-branded and private label relationships. The Travel and Corporate Solutions segment provides payment solutions, including embedded payments; and accounts payable automation and spend management solutions. Its products include virtual cards that are used for transactions where no card is presented. This segment markets its products directly and indirectly to commercial and government organizations. The Health and Employee Benefit Solutions segment offers healthcare payment products and software-as-a-service consumer directed platforms for healthcare market, as well as payroll related and employee benefit products in Brazil. This segment markets its products through health plans, third-party administrators, financial institutions, payroll companies benefits consultants, software providers, and individuals. The company was formerly known as Wright Express Corporation and changed its name to WEX Inc. in October 2012. WEX Inc. was founded in 1983 and is based in Portland, Maine.
How the Company Makes MoneyWEX generates revenue through several key streams. Primarily, the company earns income from transaction fees associated with its fleet card services, where it charges merchants a percentage of the transaction value every time a fleet card is used. Additionally, WEX offers subscription-based services for its virtual card and expense management solutions, providing businesses with ongoing revenue through annual or monthly fees. The company also benefits from partnerships with major financial institutions and payment networks, which enhance its service offerings and expand its customer base. Furthermore, WEX generates income from interest on outstanding balances and fees related to its healthcare payment solutions, contributing to a diverse and robust revenue model.

WEX Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 04, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 23, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presents a broadly positive operational and financial picture: revenue and adjusted EPS accelerated in Q4, the company delivered record annual revenue, free cash flow improved, and Corporate Payments and Benefits showed strong growth and margin improvement. Management highlighted material product and AI-driven innovation gains and provided 2026 guidance that implies continued growth. Key lowlights are cyclical softness in Mobility (OTR trucking), short-term credit loss pressure in Q1, and macro headwinds from lower fuel prices, FX and interest rates that mute near-term margin expansion. Overall, the progress on execution, improved cash generation, and confident guidance outweigh the headwinds and cyclical pressures.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Q4 Revenue Growth
Total Q4 revenue of $672.9M, up 5.7% year-over-year (up 4.5% excluding fuel price and FX fluctuations); revenue beat prior-quarter guidance and came in at the high end of the guidance range when excluding fuel benefit.
Earnings Acceleration
Q4 adjusted net income per diluted share was $4.11, up 15.1% year-over-year (12.1% ex fuel and FX); Q4 adjusted EPS was $0.25 above prior guidance midpoint, with $0.18 attributable to higher fuel prices/FX and the remainder to execution.
Record Full-Year Revenue and EPS Growth
Fiscal 2025 record revenue of $2.66B, up 1.2% year-over-year (up 2.0% ex fuel and FX); full-year adjusted net income per share $16.10, up 5.4% (7.7% ex fuel and FX).
Strong Free Cash Flow and Improved Leverage
Adjusted free cash flow of $638M in 2025 vs. $562M prior year; leverage ratio improved to 3.1x at quarter end (down from 3.25x in Q3) with plan to reduce below 3x in Q2 or Q3 2026.
Benefits Segment Momentum
Benefits revenue $204.9M in Q4, up 9.6% year-over-year; SaaS account growth 6% in the quarter, now over 9.4M HSA accounts; custodial investment revenue rose 14.2% to $61M and earned interest yield increased 11 bps to 5%.
Corporate Payments Outperformance
Corporate Payments revenue $122.9M, up 17.8% year-over-year; purchase volume increased 16.9% with travel-related revenue up >30% in the quarter; adjusted operating margin for the segment improved by ~450 basis points; direct accounts payable volume grew >15% and now represents ~20% of segment revenue.
Product & Tech Momentum (AI and Innovation)
Product innovation velocity increased by more than 50% year-over-year; AI-driven claims automation reduced benefits claim processing from days to minutes with ~98% accuracy; launched offerings such as Fleet Plus and a global funding engine for multi-currency virtual cards.
2026 Guidance Showing Continued Growth
Q1 2026 revenue guidance $650M–$670M (midpoint growth ~4%); Q1 adjusted EPS $3.80–$4.00 (midpoint ~11% growth); full-year 2026 revenue guidance $2.70B–$2.76B and adjusted EPS $17.25–$17.85, which at midpoint implies ~5% revenue growth and ~13% EPS growth excluding fuel/FX/interest impacts.
Strategic Commercial Progress
Targeted marketing drove a 13% year-over-year increase in new small-business customers in Mobility; successful new client onboarding in Asia for Corporate Payments; direct AP and embedded payments sales pipelines growing.
Negative Updates
Mobility Volume Softness and Flat Revenue
Mobility revenue was flat year-over-year at $345.1M in Q4; transaction volumes declined modestly amid a cyclical down cycle in the over-the-road trucking market and muted freight demand.
Macro Headwinds: Fuel, FX and Interest Rates
Company noted fuel price, foreign exchange and lower interest rates as headwinds: Q1 guidance includes ~2% net drag from fuel/FX/interest; lower fuel prices negatively impact adjusted operating margins by ~75 basis points in 2026 guidance; sensitivities disclosed (each $0.10/gal ≈ $20M revenue and $0.35 EPS).
Credit Losses Elevated in Q1
Guidance expects credit losses in Mobility of 12–17 basis points for full year and 17–22 basis points in Q1 due to timing effects from receivables originated when fuel prices were higher and effects of recently tested offers (now pulled).
Benefits Interest-Rate Headwind
Benefits full-year revenue growth forecasted at 5–7% includes an approximate 2 percentage-point headwind from lower interest rates on the floating portion of nonbank custodial assets (over 75% of the portfolio is fixed rate).
Concentration on Travel in Corporate Payments
Corporate Payments growth benefited heavily from travel (travel-related revenue >30% growth in Q4); non-travel revenue grew only mid-single digits, and embedded/AP products remain a minority of segment revenue today.
Margin Expansion Delayed to Medium Term
While management expects operating leverage over time, 2026 adjusted operating income margin is expected to be flat year-over-year at the midpoint due to macro effects and reinvestments; cost savings of $50M embedded in guidance with only a portion dropping to margin.
Company Guidance
WEX guided Q1 2026 revenue of $650–670M (about 4% growth at the midpoint, including a ~2% net drag from fuel, FX and interest) and adjusted EPS of $3.80–4.00 (≈11% growth at the midpoint); full‑year 2026 guidance is revenue $2.70–2.76B and adjusted EPS $17.25–17.85 (midpoint ex fuel/FX/interest: ~5% revenue growth and ~13% EPS growth). The guide assumes average fuel of $3.10/gal and two interest‑rate cuts, embeds $50M of cost‑savings actions (partly reinvested), and expects adjusted operating margin to be flat with 2025 (lower fuel prices are a ~75 bps headwind). Segment assumptions include Mobility ex fuel/FX growth of 1–3% with credit losses of 12–17 bps for the year (17–22 bps in Q1), Benefits revenue +5–7% (≈2‑point headwind from lower floating rates), and Corporate Payments +5–7% with continued margin improvement; direct AP and embedded payments are expected to keep scaling. Sensitivities: each $0.10/gal ≈ +$20M revenue and +$0.35 EPS; ±100 bps in rates ≈ ±$30M revenue and ~‑$0.35 / +$0.45 EPS. Guidance assumes no future M&A or buybacks, levered at 3.1x now with a plan to get below 3x in Q2/Q3, and expects adjusted free cash flow north of $600M in 2026.

WEX Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Profitability is solid with improved operating performance (gross margin ~55%, operating margin ~25%), but the financial profile is constrained by meaningful leverage and a sharp 2025 free-cash-flow decline (down ~51% year-over-year) with modest operating cash flow coverage versus debt.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Profitability has strengthened materially versus 2020–2021, with 2025 showing solid operating performance (gross margin ~55%, operating margin ~25%, net margin ~11%). Revenue has grown over the period (2021–2025), but the 2025 revenue growth rate appears unusually high versus the prior year’s low growth, suggesting a less consistent top-line trajectory. Net income is solid in 2023–2025, though margins are below the 2022–2024 gross margin level and not clearly expanding year-over-year.
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
The balance sheet is leveraged, with total debt high relative to equity and debt-to-equity elevated across most years (notably very high in 2023–2024). While 2025 shows improved returns to shareholders (return on equity ~25%) and a lower reported debt-to-equity than 2024, overall leverage remains a key risk and reduces financial flexibility versus less levered peers.
Cash Flow
46
Neutral
Cash generation is positive, and free cash flow has generally tracked net income reasonably well (free cash flow around ~69% of net income in 2024–2025). However, free cash flow deteriorated sharply in 2025 (down ~51% year-over-year) and operating cash flow remains relatively modest versus the company’s debt load (low operating cash flow coverage). This mix points to higher sensitivity to working-capital swings and less cushion for deleveraging or buybacks in weaker periods.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.66B2.63B2.55B2.35B1.85B
Gross Profit1.46B1.59B1.57B1.42B1.15B
EBITDA994.90M975.00M849.60M571.90M565.70M
Net Income304.10M309.60M266.60M201.40M100.00K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets14.40B13.32B13.88B11.53B10.31B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments5.24B4.36B4.00B3.26B2.21B
Total Debt4.86B4.45B3.87B2.81B2.95B
Total Liabilities13.16B11.83B12.06B9.88B8.21B
Stockholders Equity1.23B1.49B1.82B1.65B1.84B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow313.70M334.10M763.90M563.20M64.36M
Operating Cash Flow454.30M481.40M907.90M679.40M150.40M
Investing Cash Flow-696.90M-960.60M-2.14B-716.70M-1.60B
Financing Cash Flow418.90M-260.30M1.57B681.30M1.40B

WEX Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price157.37
Price Trends
50DMA
155.00
Negative
100DMA
152.88
Positive
200DMA
153.72
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.57
Positive
RSI
48.63
Neutral
STOCH
49.04
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For WEX, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 157.37 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 156.48, above the 50-day MA of 155.00, and above the 200-day MA of 153.72, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.57 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 48.63 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 49.04 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for WEX.

WEX Risk Analysis

WEX disclosed 57 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. WEX reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

WEX Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
$4.18B16.4818.58%7.01%17.48%
67
Neutral
$1.97B28.579.79%10.58%-45.52%
66
Neutral
$5.46B18.1922.33%-1.15%-2.52%
66
Neutral
$2.99B10.2224.39%7.25%-1.12%
66
Neutral
$1.80B-51.81-4.10%20.11%-391.61%
65
Neutral
$2.29B-1,168.130.58%24.71%99.52%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
WEX
WEX
157.37
9.08
6.12%
ACIW
ACI Worldwide
40.88
-9.50
-18.86%
EEFT
Euronet Worldwide
72.50
-29.31
-28.79%
AVPT
AvePoint
10.50
-6.55
-38.42%
PAYO
Payoneer
5.41
-4.47
-45.24%
MQ
Marqeta
4.24
0.53
14.29%

WEX Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesFinancial Disclosures
WEX announces board changes and leadership transition update
Positive
Jan 12, 2026

On January 10, 2026, WEX Inc. announced that long-serving directors Shikhar Ghosh and Jack VanWoerkom had informed the board they would retire at the 2026 Annual Meeting of Stockholders, and would not stand for re-election, a move the company said was unrelated to any disagreements over operations, policies or practices. As part of a multi‑year board refresh and leadership transition strategy informed by shareholder feedback, the board decided to reduce its size from 12 to 10 members at that meeting and appointed David Foss, former president and CEO of Jack Henry & Associates who joined WEX’s board in November 2025, to become vice chair and lead independent director following VanWoerkom’s retirement, with additional compensation aligned to the firm’s non‑employee director pay program; executives highlighted the contribution of the retiring directors to WEX’s evolution into a global payments and technology company and signaled that the company ended the year with a strong fourth quarter, reinforcing its positioning for continued long‑term value creation and governance stability for investors and other stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (WEX) stock is a Buy with a $167.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on WEX stock, see the WEX Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 07, 2026