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WEX (WEX)
NYSE:WEX

WEX (WEX) AI Stock Analysis

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WE

WEX

(NYSE:WEX)

Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
$146.00
▲(3.83%Upside)
WEX's score reflects solid financial performance and valuation, somewhat offset by high leverage and liquidity concerns. The technical analysis shows mixed signals, while the earnings call highlighted potential growth tempered by current challenges. The absence of corporate events simplifies the analysis.
Positive Factors
Business fundamentals
WEX struck a confident tone on underlying business fundamentals and despite noise from the Booking.com situation in the travel segment, the other two segments continue to perform well.
Financial performance
WEX delivered a sound 1Q print against lowered expectations with revenues and adjusted EPS beating forecasts.
Revenue and EPS growth
WEX expects to deliver 4% revenue growth and 11% EPS growth on an organic basis, showing confidence in Mobility, Benefits, and pricing changes.
Negative Factors
Business segments
Non-mobility businesses underwhelming, with benefits and corporate payments facing challenges.
Revenue challenges
First-quarter organic revenue contracted 0.8% year-over-year, decelerating by about 1 point from the fourth quarter.
Stock performance
Shares have underperformed year-to-date, down 25%, and WEX’s valuation is clearly undemanding.

WEX (WEX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

WEX Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionWEX Inc. provides financial technology services in the United States and internationally. It operates through three segments: Fleet Solutions, Travel and Corporate Solutions, and Health and Employee Benefit Solutions. The Fleet Solutions segment offers fleet vehicle payment processing services. Its services include customer, account activation, and account retention services; authorization and billing inquiries, and account maintenance services; credit and collections services; merchant services; analytics solutions with access to web-based data analytics platform that offers insights to fleet managers; and ancillary services and tools to fleets to manage expenses and capital requirements. This segment markets its products directly and indirectly to commercial and government vehicle fleet customers with small, medium, and large fleets, as well as with over-the-road and long haul fleets; and indirectly through co-branded and private label relationships. The Travel and Corporate Solutions segment provides payment solutions, including embedded payments; and accounts payable automation and spend management solutions. Its products include virtual cards that are used for transactions where no card is presented. This segment markets its products directly and indirectly to commercial and government organizations. The Health and Employee Benefit Solutions segment offers healthcare payment products and software-as-a-service consumer directed platforms for healthcare market, as well as payroll related and employee benefit products in Brazil. This segment markets its products through health plans, third-party administrators, financial institutions, payroll companies benefits consultants, software providers, and individuals. The company was formerly known as Wright Express Corporation and changed its name to WEX Inc. in October 2012. WEX Inc. was founded in 1983 and is based in Portland, Maine.
How the Company Makes MoneyWEX makes money through a diverse revenue model centered around its core sectors. In Fleet Solutions, the company earns revenue by processing fuel and maintenance payments for fleet operators and providing data analytics services that help manage fleet expenses. In the Travel and Corporate Solutions sector, WEX generates income by facilitating corporate travel payments and offering virtual card services that streamline payment processes. Additionally, the Health and Employee Benefit Solutions sector contributes to WEX’s earnings by offering software-as-a-service (SaaS) platforms for consumer-directed health benefits, such as health savings accounts (HSAs) and flexible spending accounts (FSAs). Key partnerships with financial institutions, corporations, and healthcare providers enhance WEX's market reach and revenue generation capabilities. Furthermore, the company's earnings are supported by transaction fees, subscription fees, and interest income on prepaid card balances.

WEX Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 30, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 7.85%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 24, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected a period of mixed performance for WEX. While the company saw growth in adjusted EPS, customer retention, and benefits segment revenues, challenges in the mobility and corporate payments segments led to a decline in overall revenue. The strategic investments and strong new application volumes indicate potential for future growth, but current economic uncertainties and specific segment challenges weigh on the outlook.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Stable Customer Retention
Despite economic uncertainties, WEX has maintained high customer retention across its segments, indicating trust and value in its offerings.
Increase in Adjusted EPS
Adjusted net income per diluted share was $3.51, an increase of 1.4% compared to the same period last year, and it grew 5% excluding fluctuations in fuel prices and foreign exchange rates.
Benefits Segment Growth
The Benefits segment saw a 4.2% increase in total revenues year-over-year, with HSA accounts growing by 7% in Q1, outperforming the market growth of 5%.
Strong New Application Volumes
Mobility segment's new application volumes outperformed the prior year by 18%, indicating strong demand and effective marketing strategies.
Direct AP Volume Growth
Within the Corporate Payments segment, direct AP volume grew nearly 25% compared to last year, showcasing robust demand for AP automation solutions.
Negative Updates
Overall Revenue Decline
Q1 revenue was $636.6 million, a decrease of 2.5% year-over-year, with a 1.7% impact from foreign exchange rates and lower fuel prices.
Mobility Segment Revenue Decline
Mobility segment revenue declined 1.5% during Q1 compared to last year, including a drag of 2.9% due to lower fuel prices and foreign exchange rates.
Corporate Payments Segment Decline
Revenues in the Corporate Payments segment decreased by 15.5% year-over-year, largely due to a customer transitioning to a new operating model.
Weather Impact on Mobility
Transaction levels in the Mobility segment were down partly due to weather events across the U.S., affecting same-store sales growth for local fleets.
Company Guidance
During the WEX First Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, guidance was provided using both GAAP and non-GAAP metrics. Revenue for Q1 was $636.6 million, a 2.5% decline year-over-year, and adjusted net income per diluted share was $3.51, a 1.4% increase. Excluding fluctuations in fuel prices and foreign exchange rates, revenue decreased by 0.8%, and adjusted EPS grew by 5%. The company expects Q2 revenue to be between $640 million and $660 million, with adjusted EPS ranging from $3.60 to $3.80. For the full year, WEX projects revenue between $2.57 billion and $2.63 billion and adjusted EPS from $14.72 to $15.32 per diluted share. The guidance reflects current economic conditions, factoring in macroeconomic impacts such as fuel prices, FX, and interest rates, while maintaining a focus on strategic investments to drive growth.

WEX Financial Statement Overview

Summary
WEX has demonstrated strong revenue growth and improved profitability, highlighted by a significant jump in net profit margin to 12.1% in TTM 2025. However, high financial leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.83 and declining free cash flow raise concerns about financial stability and liquidity management.
Income Statement
78
Positive
WEX has shown robust revenue growth over the years with a strong progression from $1.56 billion in 2020 to $2.61 billion in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) 2025. Gross profit margins have been consistently high, hovering around 70%. The net profit margin has improved significantly from a negative in 2020 to 12.1% in TTM 2025, indicating better cost management and operational efficiency. The EBITDA margin has also shown strength, indicating healthy core earnings. However, there is a slight decline in EBIT margin from 2024 to TTM 2025, which might suggest increasing operating expenses.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
WEX's balance sheet shows a decrease in stockholders' equity from 2024 to TTM 2025, leading to a higher debt-to-equity ratio of 1.83, which is a concern for financial stability. The equity ratio has also decreased to 5.8% in TTM 2025, indicating a lower proportion of equity financing. However, the company has maintained a solid asset base, and return on equity has improved to 38.9% in TTM 2025, which is a positive sign of profitability relative to shareholder equity.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
WEX's cash flow from operations has seen fluctuations, with a significant drop in TTM 2025. The free cash flow has also decreased notably from $334.1 million in 2024 to $2.1 million in TTM 2025, raising concerns about liquidity and cash management. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.49 in TTM 2025, suggesting some challenges in converting income into cash flow. The free cash flow to net income ratio is very low, indicating potential strain on cash reserves for future investments and obligations.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
2.61B2.63B2.55B2.35B1.85B1.56B
Gross Profit
1.55B1.59B1.49B1.42B1.15B886.69M
EBIT
680.50M686.30M647.10M469.84M342.00M171.06M
EBITDA
981.20M975.00M849.20M649.87M630.66M133.77M
Net Income Common Stockholders
315.30M309.60M266.60M201.40M136.14M-280.48M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
4.44B4.36B4.00B2.32B1.54B852.03M
Total Assets
13.96B13.32B13.88B11.53B10.31B8.18B
Total Debt
5.58B4.38B3.87B2.72B2.85B3.03B
Net Debt
4.97B3.78B2.89B1.80B2.26B2.17B
Total Liabilities
13.15B11.83B12.06B9.88B8.21B6.15B
Stockholders Equity
810.40M1.49B1.82B1.65B1.84B1.90B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
2.10M334.10M763.90M563.21M64.36M776.55M
Operating Cash Flow
153.10M481.40M907.90M679.42M150.40M857.02M
Investing Cash Flow
-666.30M-960.60M-2.14B-716.65M-1.60B-329.09M
Financing Cash Flow
-296.00M-260.30M1.57B681.26M1.40B-179.26M

WEX Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price140.61
Price Trends
50DMA
132.21
Positive
100DMA
147.21
Negative
200DMA
168.03
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
1.77
Negative
RSI
57.38
Neutral
STOCH
88.13
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For WEX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 140.61 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 136.86, above the 50-day MA of 132.21, and below the 200-day MA of 168.03, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 1.77 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 57.38 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 88.13 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for WEX.

WEX Risk Analysis

WEX disclosed 57 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. WEX reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

WEX Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$8.26B110.9425.23%18.63%-55.09%
VNVNT
75
Outperform
$5.47B15.0735.88%0.27%-3.59%-11.30%
74
Outperform
$4.87B16.6625.00%7.73%19.76%
74
Outperform
$4.97B18.6819.69%13.11%91.21%
WEWEX
64
Neutral
$4.87B18.3024.37%0.90%26.13%
62
Neutral
$11.93B10.60-7.51%3.00%7.40%-8.09%
62
Neutral
$5.63B-3.95%13.12%75.24%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
WEX
WEX
140.61
-36.72
-20.71%
ACIW
ACI Worldwide
47.06
11.81
33.50%
CVLT
CommVault Systems
188.29
71.89
61.76%
EEFT
Euronet Worldwide
112.74
2.10
1.90%
QTWO
Q2 Holdings
89.10
28.80
47.76%
VNT
Vontier
36.74
-2.03
-5.24%

WEX Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
WEX Stockholders Approve Key Proposals at Annual Meeting
Neutral
May 20, 2025

At the annual meeting held on May 15, 2025, WEX Inc.’s stockholders approved several key proposals, including an amendment to the company’s equity and incentive plan, increasing the available shares for issuance to 4.0 million. Additionally, the stockholders elected new board members and approved a non-binding advisory proposal on executive compensation. The amendment to the company’s certificate of incorporation to provide officer exculpation was also approved, and Deloitte & Touche, LLP was ratified as the independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (WEX) stock is a Hold with a $210.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on WEX stock, see the WEX Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.