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ACI Worldwide (ACIW)
NASDAQ:ACIW
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ACI Worldwide (ACIW) AI Stock Analysis

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ACIW

ACI Worldwide

(NASDAQ:ACIW)

Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$53.00
▲(13.83% Upside)
ACI Worldwide's overall stock score reflects its solid financial performance and positive earnings call, which are the most significant factors. The company's strategic initiatives and corporate events further enhance its outlook. However, the lack of technical indicators and moderate valuation slightly temper the score.
Positive Factors
Bookings
ARR from new bookings were particularly strong, jumping 85.5% year-over-year.
Earnings
ACIW reported 25% year-over-year growth in total revenue, surpassing forecasts and consensus expectations.
Shareholder Returns
ACIW bought back 2.4 million shares or 2.4% of the outstanding shares, reflecting its shareholder friendly capital allocation priorities.
Negative Factors
Guidance
The 2Q guide was below expectations, with management leaving the FY25 guidance largely unchanged.
Market Reaction
Despite strong quarterly results, the shares pulled back, potentially due to investors expecting a larger revision to future guidance.

ACI Worldwide (ACIW) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

ACI Worldwide Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionACI Worldwide, Inc., a software company, develops, markets, installs, and supports a range of software products and solutions for facilitating digital payments to banks, merchants, and billers worldwide. The company offers ACI Acquiring, a merchant management system to deliver digital innovation, improve fraud prevention, and reduce interchange fees; ACI Issuing, a digital payments issuing solution; and ACI Enterprise Payments Platform that provides payment processing and orchestration capabilities for digital payments. It also provides ACI Low Value Real-Time Payments, a platform for processing real-time payments; and ACI High Value Real-Time Payments, a payments engine that offers multi-bank, multi-currency, 24x7 payment processing, and SWIFT messaging. In addition, the company offers ACI Omni Commerce, a scalable, omni-channel payment processing platform; ACI Secure eCommerce solution; ACI Fraud Management, a real-time approach to fraud management; ACI Digital Business Banking, a cloud-based digital banking platform; and ACI Speedpay, an integrated suite of digital billing, payment, disbursement, and communication services. The company offers electronic bill presentment and payment services to consumer finance, insurance, healthcare, higher education, utility, government, and mortgage sectors; implementation services, including product installations and configurations, and custom software modifications; and business and technical consultancy, on-site support, product education, and testing services, as well as distributes or acts as a sales agent for software developed by third parties. It markets its products under the ACI Worldwide brand. The company was formerly known as Transaction Systems Architects, Inc. and changed its name to ACI Worldwide, Inc. in July 2007. The company was founded in 1975 and is based in Coral Gables, Florida.
How the Company Makes MoneyACI Worldwide generates revenue primarily through software licensing, maintenance, and transaction fees. The company offers its products on a subscription basis, providing a steady stream of recurring revenue. Additionally, ACI earns money from professional services, which include consulting, implementation, and support for its software solutions. Significant partnerships with banks and payment processors enhance ACI's market reach and drive revenue growth, as these partnerships often involve long-term contracts that provide ongoing service fees. The increasing demand for real-time payment solutions and fraud prevention services, particularly in the digital commerce space, further contributes to ACI's earnings potential.

ACI Worldwide Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 07, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 10.46%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a strong performance with significant revenue growth, notable new product launches, and recognition in the fintech space. Although there were some challenges with the Payment Software segment and adjusted EBITDA decline, the overall financial outlook remains positive with raised guidance for 2025.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth
Revenue was up 7% year-over-year for Q2 2025 and 15% for the first half of 2025 compared to the same periods in 2024.
ARR Bookings Growth
Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) bookings increased by 86% in Q2 and 71% in the first half of 2025.
New Product Launch
Launched Connetic, a next-generation cloud-native payments hub platform, attracting positive feedback and live opportunities.
Biller Segment Performance
Biller segment revenue grew 16% in Q2 2025.
Strong Cash Position
Ended the quarter with a cash balance of $190 million and a net leverage ratio of 1.4x adjusted EBITDA.
Awards and Recognition
Recognized by CNBC as one of the world's top fintech companies for 2025 and by Time as one of America's best midsized companies.
Raised Financial Guidance
Increased full-year revenue guidance to $1.71 billion - $1.74 billion and adjusted EBITDA to $490 million - $505 million.
Negative Updates
Payment Software Segment Decline
Payment Software segment revenue declined by 1% and segment adjusted EBITDA decreased by 12% compared to last year.
Decreased Operating Cash Flow
Cash flow from operating activities in the first 6 months of 2025 was $128 million, down from $178 million last year.
Adjusted EBITDA Decline
Total adjusted EBITDA in Q2 was $181 million, down 13% compared to last year.
Company Guidance
During the ACI Worldwide, Inc. conference call for Q2 2025, the company announced a strong financial performance and raised its full-year guidance. Revenue for the quarter grew by 7% year-over-year to $401 million, with recurring revenue increasing by 13% to $322 million. The company reported a net leverage ratio of 1.4x, significantly below its target of 2x, and maintained a strong cash balance of $190 million. The Biller segment showed robust growth with a 16% increase in Q2 revenue, while the Payment Software segment remained flat due to timing issues but was up 18% for the first half of 2025. ACI's ARR bookings increased by 86% in Q2, contributing to a 71% growth for the first half of the year. The company has updated its 2025 guidance, projecting total revenue to range from $1.71 billion to $1.74 billion and adjusted EBITDA to be between $490 million and $505 million. For Q3 2025, the guidance is set at $460 million to $470 million in revenue and $155 million to $165 million in adjusted EBITDA. ACI emphasized its continued investment in innovation, particularly with the launch of its Connetic payments platform, and its commitment to returning capital to shareholders, evidenced by the repurchase of 2.4 million shares in the second quarter.

ACI Worldwide Financial Statement Overview

Summary
ACI Worldwide exhibits strong financial health with robust revenue and profit growth, effective cost management, and efficient cash flow conversion. Despite high debt levels, the company manages its equity and returns effectively. Continued focus on revenue growth and debt reduction could further enhance financial stability and shareholder value.
Income Statement
78
Positive
The company shows strong revenue growth with a TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) increase to $1.67 billion from $1.59 billion annually. Gross profit margin is healthy at 49.7%, and net profit margin improved to 16.1% in the TTM. EBIT and EBITDA margins are robust at 21.4% and 26.5%, respectively, indicating operational efficiency. However, the net income growth, while positive, could be more aggressive given the industry standards.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
ACI Worldwide maintains a solid equity base with a debt-to-equity ratio at 0.58, which is manageable. Return on equity (ROE) is 18.2%, showing a good return on shareholder investments. The equity ratio is 46.3%, reflecting a balanced asset utilization. However, the total debt level, though reduced, remains considerable and could pose risks if not managed carefully.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Operating cash flow is strong at $313.7 million, supporting a healthy free cash flow of $307.2 million. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 1.16, indicating good cash conversion from earnings. Free cash flow to net income is also strong, suggesting effective cash management. However, the slight decline in free cash flow growth rate from the previous year suggests room for improvement in cash flow generation.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.70B1.59B1.45B1.42B1.37B1.29B
Gross Profit830.90M802.50M733.37M725.83M731.73M671.86M
EBITDA445.60M443.55M360.11M398.19M364.03M319.02M
Net Income251.05M203.12M121.51M142.18M127.79M72.66M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.14B3.03B3.44B3.21B3.16B3.39B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments189.70M216.39M164.24M124.98M122.06M165.37M
Total Debt946.28M956.43M1.08B1.12B1.11B1.19B
Total Liabilities1.74B1.60B2.12B2.02B1.91B2.18B
Stockholders Equity1.39B1.42B1.32B1.19B1.24B1.21B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow311.01M343.35M130.74M103.49M175.10M289.67M
Operating Cash Flow313.51M358.75M168.52M143.38M220.47M336.30M
Investing Cash Flow8.48M-45.05M-37.78M60.25M-45.37M-30.70M
Financing Cash Flow-252.47M-288.20M-111.55M-171.06M-256.88M-261.57M

ACI Worldwide Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price46.56
Price Trends
50DMA
45.11
Positive
100DMA
47.97
Negative
200DMA
50.72
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.27
Negative
RSI
59.05
Neutral
STOCH
88.10
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ACIW, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 46.56 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 44.32, above the 50-day MA of 45.11, and below the 200-day MA of 50.72, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.27 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.05 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 88.10 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for ACIW.

ACI Worldwide Risk Analysis

ACI Worldwide disclosed 43 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. ACI Worldwide reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

ACI Worldwide Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$2.37B17.3825.17%0.54%12.92%101.57%
78
Outperform
$6.00B22.0322.19%-1.62%36.57%
75
Outperform
$3.96B13.2025.94%8.71%25.75%
74
Outperform
$4.81B19.7319.09%11.22%40.85%
71
Outperform
$3.26B33.5530.36%26.12%28.03%
61
Neutral
$36.30B7.26-7.27%1.97%7.74%-7.92%
60
Neutral
$4.16B8.73-8.77%-20.82%-154.29%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ACIW
ACI Worldwide
46.56
-1.29
-2.70%
EEFT
Euronet Worldwide
95.96
-7.50
-7.25%
WEX
WEX
174.38
-6.30
-3.49%
EVTC
Evertec
36.75
3.60
10.86%
STNE
Stoneco
15.58
0.71
4.77%
ODD
ODDITY Tech Ltd. Class A
60.13
19.31
47.31%

ACI Worldwide Corporate Events

Stock BuybackBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
ACI Worldwide Reports Strong Q2 2025 Financial Performance
Positive
Aug 7, 2025

ACI Worldwide reported a strong financial performance for the quarter ending June 30, 2025, with a 7% increase in Q2 revenue and a 15% rise in year-to-date revenue compared to the previous year. The company also saw significant growth in its Payment Software and Biller segments, and repurchased 2.4 million shares, enhancing shareholder value. ACI raised its full-year 2025 guidance for revenue and adjusted EBITDA, reflecting the positive impact of organizational improvements and strategic opportunities, while continuing to focus on developing its Connetic payments hub platform.

The most recent analyst rating on (ACIW) stock is a Buy with a $66.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ACI Worldwide stock, see the ACIW Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
ACI Worldwide Secures $200M Loan Agreement with BofA
Positive
Jun 20, 2025

On June 18, 2025, ACI Worldwide, Inc. and its subsidiaries entered into an agreement with Bank of America to supplement their existing credit agreement, allowing for incremental term loans totaling $200 million. The funds were used to fully redeem $400 million of senior notes due in 2026, improving the company’s financial positioning by managing its debt obligations.

The most recent analyst rating on (ACIW) stock is a Buy with a $66.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ACI Worldwide stock, see the ACIW Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
ACI Worldwide Appoints New CFO Robert Leibrock
Neutral
Jun 9, 2025

On June 9, 2025, ACI Worldwide, Inc. announced the appointment of Robert Leibrock as its new Chief Financial Officer and Chief Accounting Officer, effective July 1, 2025. Leibrock, who previously held senior roles at Red Hat and IBM, is expected to bring valuable experience in financial strategy and operational excellence to ACI Worldwide. This appointment marks a significant leadership transition as Scott Behrens will step down from his current roles but will remain with the company until the end of 2025. The change is poised to impact ACI Worldwide’s financial operations and strategic direction.

The most recent analyst rating on (ACIW) stock is a Buy with a $66.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ACI Worldwide stock, see the ACIW Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
ACI Worldwide Holds Annual Stockholders Meeting, Approves Key Proposals
Positive
Jun 3, 2025

On June 3, 2025, ACI Worldwide, Inc. held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders, where three key proposals were voted on. The stockholders elected eight nominees to the Board of Directors, ratified Deloitte & Touche LLP as the independent auditor for 2025, and approved the executive compensation plan, reflecting continued support for the company’s leadership and strategic direction.

The most recent analyst rating on (ACIW) stock is a Buy with a $66.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ACI Worldwide stock, see the ACIW Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 14, 2025