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ACI Worldwide (ACIW)
NASDAQ:ACIW

ACI Worldwide (ACIW) AI Stock Analysis

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ACI Worldwide

(NASDAQ:ACIW)

Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
$48.00
▲(5.52%Upside)
ACI Worldwide's strong financial performance and positive earnings call provide a solid foundation. However, the bearish technical indicators and absence of a dividend yield weigh on the stock's attractiveness. The stock's reasonable valuation and positive corporate events bolster the outlook, but the upcoming CFO transition introduces some uncertainty.
Positive Factors
Non-recurring Revenue
More than 100% year-over-year growth in non-recurring revenue was driven by high-margin Software License Fees increasing significantly.
Revenue Growth
The company reported a 25% year-over-year growth in total revenue, surpassing forecasts and consensus expectations.
Negative Factors
Future Guidance
Despite strong quarterly results, the shares pulled back, potentially due to investors expecting a larger revision to future guidance.
Revenue Decline
ACIW's 4Q results were solid across the board, though due to license renewal timing specifically in the banks segment, revenue declined 4.9%.

ACI Worldwide (ACIW) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

ACI Worldwide Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionACI Worldwide (ACIW) is a global software company that provides mission-critical real-time payment solutions to corporations. The company operates in the financial technology sector, offering a wide range of products and services that enable electronic payments for banks, financial intermediaries, merchants, and corporates. Its core offerings include payment processing, fraud detection, and risk management solutions designed to ensure secure and efficient transactions across various channels.
How the Company Makes MoneyACI Worldwide generates revenue primarily through the licensing of its software products and the provision of related services. The company offers its solutions under both perpetual and subscription-based licensing models. In addition to software licensing, ACI Worldwide earns income from maintenance and support services, which provide ongoing technical assistance and software updates. Professional services, such as implementation, consulting, and training, also contribute to its revenue streams. Significant partnerships with financial institutions and technology companies enhance its market reach and play a crucial role in driving sales and expanding its customer base.

ACI Worldwide Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 08, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -17.11%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 31, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a strong start to the fiscal year with significant revenue and EBITDA growth, driven by the Payment Software segment. The introduction of the Connetic platform and strong cash flow further supported the positive outlook. However, the limited EBITDA growth in the Billers segment and the upcoming retirement of the CFO bring some uncertainty. Overall, the highlights significantly outweigh the lowlights.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Start to Fiscal Year 2025
Q1 2025 revenue grew 25% compared to Q1 2024, and EBITDA increased by 95%.
Payment Software Segment Growth
Payment Software segment revenue increased by 42% and adjusted EBITDA more than doubled compared to Q1 2024.
Introduction of Connetic
Officially named the next-generation payments hub solution 'Connetic'. The solution is cloud-native and offers enhanced capabilities such as AI-driven analytics.
Biller Segment Growth
Biller segment revenue increased by 11% in Q1 2025, with new ARR bookings up about 40% over Q1 2024.
Strong Cash Flow and Financial Position
Cash flow from operating activities was $78 million, with $230 million in cash on hand and a net debt leverage ratio of 1.2x.
Raised Full-Year Revenue Guidance
Full-year revenue is now expected to be in the range of $1.69 billion to $1.72 billion.
Negative Updates
Limited Growth in Billers Segment EBITDA
Adjusted EBITDA for the Billers segment increased by only 1% from Q1 2024, despite an 11% increase in revenue.
Scott Behrens' Retirement
Scott Behrens, CFO, announced his plans to retire, which may lead to a transition period for the financial leadership of the company.
Company Guidance
During ACI Worldwide Inc.'s Q1 2025 earnings call, the company provided an optimistic financial outlook for the year, driven by a robust start with a 25% increase in revenue and a 95% surge in EBITDA. The Payment Software segment outperformed with a 42% revenue growth and more than doubled adjusted EBITDA, while the Biller segment saw an 11% revenue increase. The company has raised its full-year revenue guidance to $1.69 billion-$1.72 billion and expects adjusted EBITDA between $480 million and $495 million. For Q2, anticipated revenue is $375 million-$385 million with adjusted EBITDA projected between $55 million and $65 million. ACI also emphasized its strong liquidity position, with $230 million in cash and a net debt leverage ratio of 1.2x. Despite macroeconomic uncertainties, the company remains confident in its strategy and potential for long-term growth, highlighting the positive reception of its new Connetic platform, which is expected to expand its market reach.

ACI Worldwide Financial Statement Overview

Summary
ACI Worldwide exhibits strong financial health with robust revenue and profit growth, effective cost management, and efficient cash flow conversion. Despite high debt levels, the company manages its equity and returns effectively. Continued focus on revenue growth and debt reduction could further enhance financial stability and shareholder value.
Income Statement
78
Positive
The company shows strong revenue growth with a TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) increase to $1.67 billion from $1.59 billion annually. Gross profit margin is healthy at 49.7%, and net profit margin improved to 16.1% in the TTM. EBIT and EBITDA margins are robust at 21.4% and 26.5%, respectively, indicating operational efficiency. However, the net income growth, while positive, could be more aggressive given the industry standards.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
ACI Worldwide maintains a solid equity base with a debt-to-equity ratio at 0.58, which is manageable. Return on equity (ROE) is 18.2%, showing a good return on shareholder investments. The equity ratio is 46.3%, reflecting a balanced asset utilization. However, the total debt level, though reduced, remains considerable and could pose risks if not managed carefully.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Operating cash flow is strong at $313.7 million, supporting a healthy free cash flow of $307.2 million. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 1.16, indicating good cash conversion from earnings. Free cash flow to net income is also strong, suggesting effective cash management. However, the slight decline in free cash flow growth rate from the previous year suggests room for improvement in cash flow generation.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.67B1.59B1.45B1.42B1.37B1.29B
Gross Profit831.19M802.50M733.37M725.83M731.73M671.86M
EBITDA443.72M443.55M360.11M398.19M364.03M319.02M
Net Income269.74M203.12M121.51M142.18M127.79M72.66M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.20B3.03B3.44B3.21B3.16B3.39B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments230.06M216.39M164.24M124.98M122.06M165.37M
Total Debt866.78M956.43M1.08B1.12B1.11B1.19B
Total Liabilities1.72B1.60B2.12B2.02B1.91B2.18B
Stockholders Equity1.48B1.42B1.32B1.19B1.24B1.21B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow307.19M343.35M130.74M103.49M175.10M289.67M
Operating Cash Flow313.73M358.75M168.52M143.38M220.47M336.30M
Investing Cash Flow9.83M-45.05M-37.78M60.25M-45.37M-30.70M
Financing Cash Flow-195.06M-288.20M-111.55M-171.06M-256.88M-261.57M

ACI Worldwide Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price45.49
Price Trends
50DMA
48.25
Negative
100DMA
50.48
Negative
200DMA
51.62
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.67
Negative
RSI
42.82
Neutral
STOCH
69.79
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ACIW, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 45.49 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 45.99, below the 50-day MA of 48.25, and below the 200-day MA of 51.62, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.67 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 42.82 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 69.79 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ACIW.

ACI Worldwide Risk Analysis

ACI Worldwide disclosed 43 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. ACI Worldwide reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

ACI Worldwide Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (50)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
VNVNT
75
Outperform
$5.54B15.2635.88%0.27%-3.59%-11.30%
68
Neutral
$6.79B-3.62%7.21%23.13%
67
Neutral
$4.82B17.9319.69%13.11%91.21%
67
Neutral
$6.20B676.760.46%9.05%
62
Neutral
$5.77B-3.95%13.12%75.24%
57
Neutral
$6.36B-7.09%-30.91%-148.73%
50
Neutral
AU$1.48B1.44-28.24%3.27%16.24%-7.89%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ACIW
ACI Worldwide
45.49
6.12
15.54%
QTWO
Q2 Holdings
92.30
30.62
49.64%
VNT
Vontier
38.06
0.10
0.26%
ALGM
Allegro MicroSystems
35.72
4.98
16.20%
CCCS
CCC Intelligent Solutions Holdings
9.61
-1.51
-13.58%
PATH
UiPath
12.85
-0.39
-2.95%

ACI Worldwide Corporate Events

Private Placements and Financing
ACI Worldwide Secures $200M Loan Agreement with BofA
Positive
Jun 20, 2025

On June 18, 2025, ACI Worldwide, Inc. and its subsidiaries entered into an agreement with Bank of America to supplement their existing credit agreement, allowing for incremental term loans totaling $200 million. The funds were used to fully redeem $400 million of senior notes due in 2026, improving the company’s financial positioning by managing its debt obligations.

The most recent analyst rating on (ACIW) stock is a Buy with a $66.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ACI Worldwide stock, see the ACIW Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
ACI Worldwide Appoints New CFO Robert Leibrock
Neutral
Jun 9, 2025

On June 9, 2025, ACI Worldwide, Inc. announced the appointment of Robert Leibrock as its new Chief Financial Officer and Chief Accounting Officer, effective July 1, 2025. Leibrock, who previously held senior roles at Red Hat and IBM, is expected to bring valuable experience in financial strategy and operational excellence to ACI Worldwide. This appointment marks a significant leadership transition as Scott Behrens will step down from his current roles but will remain with the company until the end of 2025. The change is poised to impact ACI Worldwide’s financial operations and strategic direction.

The most recent analyst rating on (ACIW) stock is a Buy with a $66.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ACI Worldwide stock, see the ACIW Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
ACI Worldwide Holds Annual Stockholders Meeting, Approves Key Proposals
Positive
Jun 3, 2025

On June 3, 2025, ACI Worldwide, Inc. held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders, where three key proposals were voted on. The stockholders elected eight nominees to the Board of Directors, ratified Deloitte & Touche LLP as the independent auditor for 2025, and approved the executive compensation plan, reflecting continued support for the company’s leadership and strategic direction.

The most recent analyst rating on (ACIW) stock is a Buy with a $66.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ACI Worldwide stock, see the ACIW Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesFinancial Disclosures
ACI Worldwide Announces CFO Retirement Amid Strong Q1 Results
Positive
May 8, 2025

On May 8, 2025, ACI Worldwide announced the retirement of Scott Behrens, their Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer, and Chief Accounting Officer, with a successor yet to be determined. The company reported strong financial results for Q1 2025, with a 25% revenue increase and a net income of $59 million, compared to a net loss in Q1 2024. ACI Worldwide’s Payment Software segment saw a 42% revenue growth, and the company raised its full-year 2025 revenue guidance, reflecting confidence in its strategic execution and financial outlook.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 21, 2025