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Payoneer Inc. (PAYO)
:PAYO
US Market
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Payoneer (PAYO) AI Stock Analysis

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PAYO

Payoneer

(NASDAQ:PAYO)

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Neutral 69 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
$6.00
▲(8.30% Upside)
Payoneer's strong financial performance and positive earnings call are significant strengths, supported by robust revenue growth and strategic initiatives. However, technical indicators suggest bearish momentum, and valuation metrics indicate limited upside potential. Macroeconomic challenges and interest rate sensitivity are notable risks.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth reflects strong market demand and effective business strategies, enhancing long-term financial stability.
B2B Segment Expansion
Expansion in the B2B segment indicates successful penetration into high-value markets, supporting sustained revenue diversification.
Strategic Partnerships
Strategic partnerships enhance liquidity management and innovation, strengthening competitive positioning and future growth potential.
Negative Factors
Profitability Margins
Declining profitability margins may hinder long-term earnings potential and indicate challenges in cost management or pricing power.
Interest Income Sensitivity
Sensitivity to interest income fluctuations can affect earnings stability, especially in varying economic conditions.
Macro Challenges
Macroeconomic challenges and tariff impacts could lead to revenue volatility, affecting long-term growth and market confidence.

Payoneer (PAYO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Payoneer Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPayoneer (PAYO) is a financial technology company that provides online money transfer and digital payment services. It primarily serves businesses, freelancers, and online sellers, facilitating cross-border payments and currency conversions. Payoneer's core products include multi-currency accounts, payment processing solutions, and working capital services, enabling users to send and receive funds globally with ease and efficiency.
How the Company Makes MoneyPayoneer generates revenue through several key streams. Primarily, it charges transaction fees for incoming and outgoing payments, which vary based on the payment method and currency conversion rates. Additionally, the company earns revenue from foreign exchange spreads when users convert currencies within their accounts. Payoneer also offers premium services, such as working capital loans, for which it charges interest and fees. Significant partnerships with major e-commerce platforms and marketplaces, such as Amazon and Upwork, enhance its user base and transaction volume, further contributing to its earnings.

Payoneer Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 26, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong revenue growth, expansion in the B2B segment, and increased ARPU, driven by strategic focus on high-value customers and partnerships. However, macroeconomic challenges and interest income sensitivity were noted as concerns.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Quarterly Revenue and Growth
Payoneer reported record quarterly revenue of $271 million, up 9% year-over-year, with revenue excluding interest income reaching $211 million, up 15% year-over-year. Adjusted EBITDA also exceeded medium-term targets.
B2B Segment Expansion
B2B revenue grew 27% in Q3 and now represents roughly 30% of revenue ex-interest. More than 50% of B2B revenue came from ICPs doing more than $250,000 per month in volume.
Increased ARPU
ARPU increased 65% since Q1 2023 from $286 to over $470, driven by a focus on high-value customers and cross-sell of higher-yielding AP products.
Growth in Customer Funds
Customers held over $7 billion on the platform, up 17% year-over-year for the second straight quarter, demonstrating trust in the platform and future revenue potential.
Strategic Partnerships and Innovation
Announced partnerships with a third-party lender and Citi's on-chain money movement capabilities to enhance liquidity management. Also planning to offer stablecoin wallet functionality in 2026.
Negative Updates
Macro Challenges and Tariff Impacts
Modest softening in volumes due to macroeconomic volatility and tariff impacts, especially affecting marketplace volumes from China.
Interest Income Sensitivity
Interest income was impacted by lower interest rates, although partially offset by growth in customer balances.
October Volume Softness
October saw a modest softening in volumes, not a good proxy for upcoming e-commerce heavy season, indicating potential volatility.
Company Guidance
During Payoneer's Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the company reported strong financial performance, with a 15% year-over-year growth in revenue excluding interest income and a record quarterly revenue of $271 million, up 9% from the previous year. Adjusted EBITDA also showed significant improvement, reaching $71 million with a 26% margin, and $12 million when excluding interest income. The company highlighted a 65% increase in ARPU since the first quarter of 2023, attributed to strategic pricing and product bundling efforts. B2B revenue grew by 27%, comprising roughly 30% of revenue excluding interest, while total customer funds held on the platform increased by 17% year-over-year to over $7 billion. Payoneer emphasized its focus on larger, more complex customers, with 30% of Q3 revenue derived from customers processing over $250,000 monthly. The company also announced an increase in their full-year 2025 guidance, projecting total revenue between $1,050 million and $1,070 million, supported by robust growth in customer funds and strategic initiatives such as multiproduct adoption and partnerships to enhance their platform's value.

Payoneer Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Payoneer shows strong revenue growth and effective cost management, with a solid balance sheet and low leverage. However, there are challenges in operational efficiency and profitability margins, as indicated by declining net profit and EBIT margins.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Payoneer has shown consistent revenue growth with a TTM revenue growth rate of 2.36%. The gross profit margin is strong at 62.12%, indicating effective cost management. However, the net profit margin has decreased to 10.11% in the TTM, reflecting some pressure on profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have also shown a decline compared to previous years, suggesting potential challenges in operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The company maintains a solid balance sheet with a low debt-to-equity ratio, indicating prudent financial leverage. The return on equity is healthy at 14.03%, showcasing effective use of shareholder funds. The equity ratio is strong, reflecting a stable financial position with significant equity backing the assets.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Payoneer has demonstrated positive free cash flow growth of 6.67% in the TTM, indicating strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is relatively low, suggesting that a significant portion of earnings is not being converted into cash. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is high at 92.86%, showing efficient cash management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.04B977.72M831.10M627.62M473.40M345.59M
Gross Profit874.30M825.61M708.81M517.46M371.93M248.55M
EBITDA168.70M148.17M140.62M20.03M-18.00M-8.58M
Net Income72.37M121.16M93.33M-11.97M-33.99M-23.75M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets8.21B7.93B7.28B6.59B5.08B3.67B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments479.45M497.47M617.02M543.30M465.93M102.99M
Total Debt54.43M21.38M43.42M31.01M22.95M40.02M
Total Liabilities7.45B7.21B6.62B6.05B4.59B3.65B
Stockholders Equity750.49M724.79M664.27M545.26M487.07M24.30M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow165.94M116.53M111.70M55.13M-884.00K-4.51M
Operating Cash Flow224.46M176.93M159.49M83.96M20.02M9.53M
Investing Cash Flow-316.54M-1.96B-44.25M5.73M10.16M-66.85M
Financing Cash Flow901.72M427.77M511.95M1.46B1.40B1.67B

Payoneer Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price5.54
Price Trends
50DMA
5.97
Negative
100DMA
6.36
Negative
200DMA
6.89
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.16
Negative
RSI
44.82
Neutral
STOCH
29.45
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PAYO, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 5.54 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.63, below the 50-day MA of 5.97, and below the 200-day MA of 6.89, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.16 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 44.82 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 29.45 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for PAYO.

Payoneer Risk Analysis

Payoneer disclosed 41 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Payoneer reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Payoneer Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$3.19B7.4914.28%1.41%0.58%5.76%
73
Outperform
$3.78B24.9032.78%22.02%12.42%
69
Neutral
$282.37M39.0120.36%32.61%-8.26%
69
Neutral
$1.97B29.209.79%10.58%-45.52%
66
Neutral
$2.61B133.302.94%31.27%
64
Neutral
$2.09B-4.10%20.11%-391.61%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PAYO
Payoneer
5.54
-5.40
-49.36%
PAGS
Pagseguro Digital
9.68
1.81
23.00%
PAYS
PaySign
5.13
1.63
46.57%
MQ
Marqeta
4.74
0.72
17.91%
DLO
DLocal
12.64
1.82
16.82%
RELY
Remitly Global
12.49
-8.03
-39.13%

Payoneer Corporate Events

Payoneer Inc. Reports Strong Q3 Growth Amid Challenges
Nov 7, 2025

During Payoneer’s latest earnings call, the sentiment was largely positive, underscored by strong revenue growth and strategic expansions. The company showcased its success in the B2B sector and highlighted increased Average Revenue Per User (ARPU), although it acknowledged some macroeconomic challenges and interest income sensitivity that could impact future performance.

Payoneer Inc. Reports Record Revenue and Raises 2025 Guidance
Nov 6, 2025

Payoneer Inc., a global financial technology company, specializes in providing cross-border payment solutions and financial services to businesses, particularly small and medium-sized enterprises (SMBs), enabling them to grow and transact globally with ease and confidence.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 11, 2025