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Payoneer (PAYO)
NASDAQ:PAYO
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Payoneer (PAYO) AI Stock Analysis

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PAYO

Payoneer

(NASDAQ:PAYO)

Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$7.50
▲(12.95% Upside)
Payoneer's overall stock score is driven by strong financial performance and a positive earnings call, which highlight robust growth and strategic initiatives. However, technical analysis and valuation present moderate concerns, with bearish momentum and a moderate P/E ratio. The absence of corporate events further focuses the score on these key areas.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
PAYO's 2Q results came in above expectations driven by continued adoption of the company's higher value products as well as solid volume growth and better transaction margins.
Technology Integration
Payoneer is implementing blockchain/stablecoin technology, which could improve Treasury functions and provide more payment options.
Valuation
The attractive EV/EBITDA valuation of ~8.5x FY26 estimate presents a compelling risk-reward scenario with a reiterated BUY rating.
Negative Factors
Investor Concerns
Investor concerns about the pace of volume growth in key verticals B2B and ecommerce marketplaces contributed to the pullback in Payoneer's share price.
Revenue Headwinds
PAYO shares are down 39% year-to-date as investors are concerned about the revenue headwinds associated with lower interest rates and the impact of tariffs.
Tariff Impact
The evolving tariff situation reduces visibility, with potential impact estimated at about $50 million to total revenues in the second half of 2025.

Payoneer (PAYO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Payoneer Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPayoneer Inc. (PAYO) is a financial services company that provides online money transfer and digital payment services. It operates in the financial technology (fintech) sector, offering a platform that enables businesses, professionals, and freelancers to send and receive payments globally. Payoneer's core services include cross-border payments, global account solutions, and working capital offerings, which facilitate seamless international transactions and financial operations for its users.
How the Company Makes MoneyPayoneer makes money primarily through transaction fees, currency conversion fees, and account maintenance fees. When users send or receive payments across borders, Payoneer charges a transaction fee, which is a percentage of the amount transferred. Additionally, the company earns revenue from currency conversion fees when transactions involve different currencies. Payoneer also generates income through interest on working capital solutions provided to businesses. Key partnerships with marketplaces, e-commerce platforms, and financial institutions enhance its revenue streams by expanding its user base and integrating its services into diverse ecosystems.

Payoneer Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 2.15%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted significant achievements, including record revenue, strategic partnerships, and a successful share repurchase program. Despite challenges such as increased operating expenses and softening in e-commerce volumes, Payoneer demonstrated strong growth, particularly in B2B and ARPU expansion. The overall sentiment is positive due to the outweighing highlights and future growth initiatives.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Quarterly Revenue
Payoneer delivered record quarterly revenue ex interest income, up 16% year-over-year, ahead of medium-term target.
Adjusted EBITDA Margin
Payoneer achieved $66 million of adjusted EBITDA with a 25% margin, marking the fifth consecutive quarter of positive adjusted EBITDA, excluding interest income.
B2B Revenue Growth
B2B revenue grew 37% in Q2, led by the largest customer segments with a focus on larger multi-entity customers.
Stable Coin and Blockchain Initiatives
Payoneer is actively exploring stable coin functionality and integrating blockchain technology to enhance treasury management capabilities.
Strategic Partnership with Stripe
Payoneer launched a strategic partnership with Stripe to expand the global checkout footprint and enhance product capabilities.
Expanded Share Repurchase Program
Payoneer nearly doubled its share repurchases versus Q1, with a refreshed $300 million buyback authorization.
Strong ARPU Expansion
Payoneer delivered ARPU expansion of 21% ex interest income, marking the fourth consecutive quarter above 20%.
Negative Updates
Modest Softening in Large E-com Marketplaces
There was a modest softening in volumes from large e-com marketplaces, likely in response to the global macro and tariff environment.
Decreased Net Income
Net income was $19 million compared to $32 million in the second quarter of last year. Basic and diluted earnings per share were both $0.05, down from $0.09 in the prior year period.
Increased Operating Expenses
Total operating expenses of $231 million increased 19%, primarily driven by increases in labor-related expenses, higher transaction costs, and consultancy fees.
Company Guidance
During Payoneer's Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided robust guidance for the remainder of the year, highlighted by a reinstated full-year revenue target of between $1,040 and $1,060 million. The guidance reflects strong performance in Q2, with record quarterly revenue excluding interest income up 16% year-over-year, and adjusted EBITDA reaching $66 million, marking a 25% margin. Payoneer expects to more than triple its adjusted EBITDA excluding interest income in 2025 compared to 2024. The company reported significant growth in its B2B segment, with a 37% increase in revenue, and ARPU expansion of 21%, maintaining its trajectory of over 20% for four consecutive quarters. Additionally, Payoneer observed a 13,000 net increase in new ICPs, a 2% rise year-over-year, with Tier 1 markets contributing over 60% of the revenue. The company is focused on enhancing its financial stack through strategic partnerships, such as with Stripe, and emphasized ongoing investments in stable coins and blockchain-enabled payment technologies, as well as the opening of a new technology hub in Gurgaon, India.

Payoneer Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Payoneer demonstrates strong financial health with notable revenue growth and profitability, reflected in an 11.32% net profit margin. The company's low leverage and robust cash flow generation further enhance its financial stability, despite high liabilities.
Income Statement
87
Very Positive
Payoneer shows strong financial performance with a consistent revenue growth trend, growing from $345.6M in 2020 to $996.15M in TTM 2025. The gross profit margin has remained robust, showing effective cost management, and the company has turned profitable with a net profit margin of 11.32% in TTM 2025. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have also improved considerably, indicating enhanced operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a solid equity base with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.03 in TTM 2025, indicating low leverage. The equity ratio stands at approximately 9.94%, suggesting a reasonable level of equity financing. However, the company's liquidity could be a concern with a high proportion of liabilities relative to assets.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Payoneer's cash flow performance is commendable, with positive free cash flow growth and a healthy operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.69 in TTM 2025. The free cash flow to net income ratio is also strong at 1.37, demonstrating efficient cash management and a solid ability to generate cash from operations.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.02B977.72M831.10M627.62M473.40M345.59M
Gross Profit629.27M825.61M708.81M517.46M371.93M248.55M
EBITDA180.16M196.33M131.42M-8.23M-7.14M1.20M
Net Income99.82M121.16M93.33M-11.97M-33.95M-23.60M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets8.11B7.93B7.28B6.59B5.08B3.67B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments7.08B497.47M617.02M543.30M465.93M102.99M
Total Debt0.0021.38M43.42M24.50M13.66M40.02M
Total Liabilities7.34B7.21B6.62B6.05B4.59B3.65B
Stockholders Equity770.90M724.79M664.27M545.26M487.07M24.30M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow195.40M168.74M111.70M55.13M-1.32M-4.51M
Operating Cash Flow220.41M176.93M159.49M83.96M19.58M9.53M
Investing Cash Flow-1.43B-1.96B-44.25M5.73M10.16M-66.85M
Financing Cash Flow873.49M427.77M511.95M1.46B1.40B1.67B

Payoneer Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price6.64
Price Trends
50DMA
6.77
Negative
100DMA
6.85
Negative
200DMA
8.35
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Negative
RSI
48.06
Neutral
STOCH
56.35
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PAYO, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 6.64 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6.75, below the 50-day MA of 6.77, and below the 200-day MA of 8.35, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 48.06 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 56.35 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for PAYO.

Payoneer Risk Analysis

Payoneer disclosed 41 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Payoneer reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Payoneer Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$2.96B23.6726.10%
74
Outperform
$2.39B25.2213.86%13.02%-2.57%
71
Outperform
$3.36B303.692.10%34.37%95.80%
70
Outperform
$3.05B56.63-6.51%17.47%-544.72%
66
Neutral
$305.48M46.2919.65%27.84%-13.78%
63
Neutral
$2.80B6.9214.36%1.62%2.38%9.88%
62
Neutral
£517.98M25.05-6.45%2.79%3.10%-19.55%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PAYO
Payoneer
6.64
-0.28
-4.05%
PAGS
Pagseguro Digital
8.51
-3.54
-29.38%
PAYS
PaySign
5.61
1.05
23.03%
MQ
Marqeta
6.52
1.39
27.10%
DLO
DLocal
10.97
3.80
53.00%
RELY
Remitly Global
19.00
5.61
41.90%

Payoneer Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Payoneer Confirms Director Elections and Key Proposals
Neutral
Jun 10, 2025

On June 10, 2025, Payoneer Global Inc. held its annual meeting of stockholders, where several key proposals were addressed. The election of Class I directors was confirmed, with Barak Eilam and Rich Williams taking on significant roles within the Board. Additionally, the appointment of Kesselman & Kesselman as the independent registered public accounting firm for 2025 was ratified. The meeting also saw approval of executive compensation on a non-binding basis, but voting on proposals to amend the Certificate of Incorporation was adjourned to allow more time for decision-making.

The most recent analyst rating on (PAYO) stock is a Buy with a $8.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Payoneer stock, see the PAYO Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 09, 2025