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Payoneer (PAYO)
NASDAQ:PAYO
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Payoneer (PAYO) AI Stock Analysis

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PAYO

Payoneer

(NASDAQ:PAYO)

Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
$8.00
▲(15.11% Upside)
Payoneer's strong financial performance and positive earnings call are the most significant factors contributing to the stock's score. While technical analysis and valuation present a more neutral outlook, the company's strategic initiatives and robust cash flow generation support a favorable long-term growth trajectory.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
PAYO's 2Q results came in above expectations driven by continued adoption of the company's higher value products as well as solid volume growth and better transaction margins.
Guidance
PAYO reinstated its guidance after suspending it due to the April tariffs and increased macro uncertainty, raising revenue, EBITDA, and transaction margins above consensus and estimates.
Technology Implementation
Payoneer is implementing blockchain/stablecoin technology, which could improve Treasury functions and provide more payment options.
Negative Factors
Investor Concerns
Investor concerns about the pace of volume growth in key verticals B2B and ecommerce marketplaces contributed to the pullback in Payoneer's share price.
Revenue Headwinds
PAYO shares are down 39% year-to-date as investors are concerned about the revenue headwinds associated with lower interest rates and the impact of tariffs.
Tariff Impact
The evolving tariff situation reduces visibility, with potential impact estimated at about $50 million to total revenues in the second half of 2025.

Payoneer (PAYO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Payoneer Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPayoneer Inc. (PAYO) is a financial services company that provides online money transfer and digital payment services. It operates in the financial technology (fintech) sector, offering a platform that enables businesses, professionals, and freelancers to send and receive payments globally. Payoneer's core services include cross-border payments, global account solutions, and working capital offerings, which facilitate seamless international transactions and financial operations for its users.
How the Company Makes MoneyPayoneer makes money primarily through transaction fees, currency conversion fees, and account maintenance fees. When users send or receive payments across borders, Payoneer charges a transaction fee, which is a percentage of the amount transferred. Additionally, the company earns revenue from currency conversion fees when transactions involve different currencies. Payoneer also generates income through interest on working capital solutions provided to businesses. Key partnerships with marketplaces, e-commerce platforms, and financial institutions enhance its revenue streams by expanding its user base and integrating its services into diverse ecosystems.

Payoneer Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a strong performance with record revenue, significant adjusted EBITDA growth, and strategic expansions and partnerships. However, challenges such as declining net income, volatility in the China B2B market, and increased transaction costs were noted.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Quarterly Revenue
Payoneer delivered record quarterly revenue excluding interest income, up 16% year-over-year, ahead of their medium-term target.
Strong Adjusted EBITDA Performance
Adjusted EBITDA was $66 million, a 25% margin, with expectations to more than triple adjusted EBITDA excluding interest in 2025.
B2B Growth
B2B revenue grew 37% in Q2, led by the largest customer segments, with a focus on larger multi-entity customers.
Strategic Partnership with Stripe
A new partnership with Stripe was launched to expand global checkout footprint and enhance product capabilities.
New Technology Hub in India
Announced the opening of a new technology hub in Gurgaon, India, to tap into one of the world's fastest-growing economies.
Increased Share Repurchases
Nearly doubled share repurchases versus Q1 and announced a $300 million buyback authorization.
Negative Updates
Net Income Decline
Net income was $19 million compared to $32 million in the second quarter of last year, with EPS down from $0.09 to $0.05.
China B2B Business Volatility
China B2B business grew mid-single digits, indicating volatility and fits and starts in the market.
Transaction Costs Increase
Total operating expenses increased 19%, with transaction costs of $41 million, representing 15.6% of revenue.
Company Guidance
During Payoneer's second quarter 2025 earnings call, the company reinstated its full-year guidance, showcasing confidence in navigating the current macroeconomic and tariff environment. Payoneer reported a record quarterly revenue of $202 million, excluding interest income, marking a 16% year-over-year increase. The company also achieved an adjusted EBITDA of $66 million, representing a 25% margin, and signaled an expectation to more than triple its adjusted EBITDA, excluding interest income, in 2025. Payoneer saw a 37% growth in B2B revenue and highlighted ARPU expansion of 21%, indicating strong product adoption and pricing strategy. They introduced a new $300 million share buyback program, reflecting confidence in their business value. Additionally, Payoneer is exploring stable coin functionality to leverage its global customer base and infrastructure, aiming to position itself as a critical player in digital payment technologies.

Payoneer Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Payoneer demonstrates strong financial health with consistent revenue growth, improving profitability, and robust cash flow generation. The company maintains low leverage, enhancing its financial stability. While the balance sheet shows high liabilities, effective cash flow management and profitability are key strengths that support its financial sustainability.
Income Statement
87
Very Positive
Payoneer shows strong financial performance with a consistent revenue growth trend, growing from $345.6M in 2020 to $996.15M in TTM 2025. The gross profit margin has remained robust, showing effective cost management, and the company has turned profitable with a net profit margin of 11.32% in TTM 2025. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have also improved considerably, indicating enhanced operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a solid equity base with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.03 in TTM 2025, indicating low leverage. The equity ratio stands at approximately 9.94%, suggesting a reasonable level of equity financing. However, the company's liquidity could be a concern with a high proportion of liabilities relative to assets.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Payoneer's cash flow performance is commendable, with positive free cash flow growth and a healthy operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.69 in TTM 2025. The free cash flow to net income ratio is also strong at 1.37, demonstrating efficient cash management and a solid ability to generate cash from operations.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.02B977.72M831.10M627.62M473.40M345.59M
Gross Profit849.32M825.61M708.81M517.46M371.93M248.55M
EBITDA180.86M196.33M131.42M-8.23M-7.14M1.20M
Net Income99.82M121.16M93.33M-11.97M-33.95M-23.60M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets8.11B7.93B7.28B6.59B5.08B3.67B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments497.14M497.47M617.02M543.30M465.93M102.99M
Total Debt45.88M21.38M43.42M24.50M13.66M40.02M
Total Liabilities7.34B7.21B6.62B6.05B4.59B3.65B
Stockholders Equity770.90M724.79M664.27M545.26M487.07M24.30M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow195.40M168.74M111.70M55.13M-1.32M-4.51M
Operating Cash Flow220.41M176.93M159.49M83.96M19.58M9.53M
Investing Cash Flow-1.43B-1.96B-44.25M5.73M10.16M-66.85M
Financing Cash Flow873.49M427.77M511.95M1.46B1.40B1.67B

Payoneer Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price6.95
Price Trends
50DMA
6.76
Positive
100DMA
6.77
Positive
200DMA
8.18
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.03
Negative
RSI
54.79
Neutral
STOCH
65.48
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PAYO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 6.95 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6.78, above the 50-day MA of 6.76, and below the 200-day MA of 8.18, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.03 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 54.79 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 65.48 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for PAYO.

Payoneer Risk Analysis

Payoneer disclosed 41 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Payoneer reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Payoneer Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$2.50B26.4013.86%13.02%-2.57%
77
Outperform
$4.13B34.7226.10%14.70%-18.45%
73
Outperform
$2.95B7.2014.59%1.54%0.09%5.38%
69
Neutral
$282.06M42.7419.65%27.84%-13.78%
66
Neutral
$3.82B296.962.10%35.12%
61
Neutral
$35.48B7.63-10.11%1.88%8.73%-9.23%
61
Neutral
$2.85B56.63-6.51%17.47%-544.72%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PAYO
Payoneer
6.95
-0.26
-3.61%
PAGS
Pagseguro Digital
8.96
-1.77
-16.50%
PAYS
PaySign
5.18
0.55
11.88%
MQ
Marqeta
6.36
1.25
24.46%
DLO
DLocal
14.46
6.29
76.99%
RELY
Remitly Global
18.53
5.09
37.87%

Payoneer Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Payoneer Confirms Director Elections and Key Proposals
Neutral
Jun 10, 2025

On June 10, 2025, Payoneer Global Inc. held its annual meeting of stockholders, where several key proposals were addressed. The election of Class I directors was confirmed, with Barak Eilam and Rich Williams taking on significant roles within the Board. Additionally, the appointment of Kesselman & Kesselman as the independent registered public accounting firm for 2025 was ratified. The meeting also saw approval of executive compensation on a non-binding basis, but voting on proposals to amend the Certificate of Incorporation was adjourned to allow more time for decision-making.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 29, 2025