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Remitly Global (RELY)
NASDAQ:RELY
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Remitly Global (RELY) AI Stock Analysis

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RELY

Remitly Global

(NASDAQ:RELY)

Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$21.00
▲(10.53% Upside)
Remitly Global's overall stock score reflects strong financial performance and positive earnings call highlights, tempered by technical analysis indicating potential bearish momentum and a challenging valuation due to negative profitability metrics.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
Remitly delivered broad outperformance on volume, revenue, and EBITDA, with a consistent +35% EBITDA margin for four consecutive quarters.
Market Expansion
Remitly is leveraging its global network to capture a $20 trillion market by supporting new capabilities such as high volume transfers and digital wallets.
Share Repurchase Program
The board authorized a $200 million share repurchase program, indicating confidence in the company's financial health.
Negative Factors
Market Conditions
US outbound weakness into LatAm, particularly Mexico, is clear, but digital performance is believed to have held up better.
Regulatory Concerns
Stock underperformance is attributed to investor concerns about immigration policy, remittance taxes, stablecoins, and competition.

Remitly Global (RELY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Remitly Global Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRemitly Global, Inc. is a financial services company that specializes in international money transfers. It primarily operates in the financial technology sector, offering a digital platform that allows customers to send money across borders quickly and securely. Remitly's services cater to individuals who need to send remittances to family and friends abroad, particularly focusing on offering a user-friendly experience via its mobile and web applications.
How the Company Makes MoneyRemitly generates revenue primarily through transaction fees charged to customers who use its platform to send money internationally. The company applies a fee to each transfer, which can vary based on factors such as the transfer amount, the destination country, and the currency exchange rate. In addition to transaction fees, Remitly may earn revenue from foreign exchange spreads, which are the differences between the exchange rate offered to customers and the rate at which Remitly can obtain currency from financial institutions. The company also partners with various banks and financial institutions to facilitate its transactions, which can enhance its service offerings and expand its customer base. Remitly's focus on digital solutions and strategic partnerships helps it maintain a competitive edge in the global remittance market.

Remitly Global Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Active Customers
Active Customers
Reflects the number of individuals using Remitly's services, indicating customer base size, engagement, and potential for revenue growth through increased transactions.
Chart InsightsRemitly's active customer base has grown significantly, reaching over 8 million, a 29% increase year-over-year. This growth is fueled by strong customer retention and acquisition, alongside geographic expansion into regions like Nigeria and Mali. The earnings call highlights robust revenue growth and operational efficiency, with a notable increase in high-dollar transactions. However, macroeconomic uncertainties and anticipated marketing spend increases could pressure future margins. The company's strategic expansion and improved customer metrics suggest a positive outlook, but investors should monitor potential impacts on profitability.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Remitly Global Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 15.36%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 29, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call was overwhelmingly positive, with significant growth in revenue, send volume, and successful product innovations such as Remitly Business and Remitly One. Despite a notable fraud incident affecting transaction losses, the company showed strong financial performance and strategic advancements in stablecoin and AI technologies.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Send Volume Growth
Send volume grew 40% to $18.5 billion, with send volume per active customer increasing a record 12% year-over-year.
Strong Financial Performance
Second quarter revenue was $411.9 million, up 34% year-over-year, and adjusted EBITDA was $64 million, representing a 16% margin.
Remitly Business Expansion
Remitly Business expanded its TAM from approximately $2 trillion to over $22 trillion, targeting freelancers and small businesses.
Launch of Remitly One Membership
Introduction of Remitly One, a membership program that includes Remitly Wallet and Remitly Flex, offering unique benefits for cross-border financial needs.
Stablecoin Initiatives
Plans to store and manage stablecoin balances and enable cross-border payments in stablecoin compatible wallets.
Agentic AI Implementation
Agentic AI-enabled support experience handling nearly 2 million real-time interactions, enhancing customer acquisition and onboarding.
Geographic and Customer Diversification
U.S. revenue grew 35%, while rest of the world grew 40% year-over-year. Revenue from regions outside of India, the Philippines, and Mexico grew 41% year-over-year.
Positive GAAP Net Income
Delivered a second consecutive positive GAAP net income quarter with $6.5 million GAAP net income.
Negative Updates
Sophisticated Fraud Incident
Provision for transaction losses was $28 million due to a sophisticated fraud incident in May, leading to a discrete nonrecurring loss of $3.8 million.
Company Guidance
During Remitly's Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided extensive guidance on their strategic initiatives and financial performance. Remitly reported a 34% year-over-year increase in revenue, reaching $411.9 million, and an adjusted EBITDA of $64 million, which represents a 16% margin. The company announced the launch of Remitly Business, expanding their total addressable market (TAM) from $2 trillion to over $22 trillion, targeting small businesses and freelancers. They also introduced Remitly One, a membership program for cross-border financial needs, which includes products like Remitly Wallet and Remitly Flex. Furthermore, they are advancing stablecoin initiatives in partnership with Circle and Bridge, positioning themselves as leaders in cross-border financial modernization. Remitly's customer base grew to over 8.5 million, with a 40% increase in send volume, totaling $18.5 billion. The company raised its full-year revenue outlook to between $1.61 billion and $1.62 billion, reflecting a growth rate of 27% to 28%, and expects to maintain positive GAAP net income for the full year.

Remitly Global Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Remitly Global demonstrates strong revenue growth and improved cash flow performance, underscoring its potential in the software infrastructure industry. While profitability metrics remain a challenge, the company's robust balance sheet and cash position provide stability and opportunities for future growth and investment.
Income Statement
75
Positive
The income statement shows strong revenue growth, with a TTM revenue of $1.36 billion, up from $653.56 million in 2022. Gross profit margin is robust at 59.5%, indicating effective cost management. However, the company has yet to achieve profitability, as reflected by the negative net profit margin of -0.33% and negative EBIT and EBITDA margins. Despite this, the narrowing losses suggest improvements in operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The balance sheet is solid with a strong equity position, as evidenced by a high equity ratio of 65.7%. The debt-to-equity ratio is low at 0.03, indicating prudent leverage management. Although there is an improvement in stockholders' equity, the return on equity remains negative due to the ongoing net losses. The large cash reserves provide a buffer for ongoing operations.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Cash flow statements are impressive, showing a significant positive shift with a TTM operating cash flow of $384.2 million, up from negative levels in prior years. The free cash flow has also shown strong growth, supporting the company's liquidity and investment potential. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is favorable, highlighting efficient cash management.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.26B944.28M653.56M458.61M256.96M
Gross Profit748.44M532.65M326.63M221.47M121.11M
EBITDA-8.96M-96.47M-104.95M-31.20M-25.12M
Net Income-36.98M-117.84M-114.02M-38.76M-32.56M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.01B1.04B695.95M625.66M362.99M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments368.10M323.71M300.63M403.26M186.69M
Total Debt16.29M142.99M9.20M6.15M86.97M
Total Liabilities347.40M506.97M215.87M145.34M186.61M
Stockholders Equity665.47M529.34M480.09M480.33M176.38M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow176.78M-62.69M-115.72M-22.93M-118.58M
Operating Cash Flow194.49M-53.59M-108.66M-18.39M-114.21M
Investing Cash Flow-17.70M-50.04M-7.31M-4.53M-4.37M
Financing Cash Flow-127.44M126.65M11.07M238.20M122.22M

Remitly Global Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price19.00
Price Trends
50DMA
18.63
Positive
100DMA
19.85
Negative
200DMA
20.74
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.13
Negative
RSI
62.37
Neutral
STOCH
79.89
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RELY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 19 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 17.22, above the 50-day MA of 18.63, and below the 200-day MA of 20.74, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.13 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 62.37 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 79.89 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for RELY.

Remitly Global Risk Analysis

Remitly Global disclosed 65 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Remitly Global reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Remitly Global Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$3.13B24.2926.10%
74
Outperform
$2.39B25.2213.86%13.02%-2.57%
71
Outperform
$3.92B304.492.10%35.12%
63
Neutral
$2.80B6.9214.36%1.62%2.38%9.88%
63
Neutral
$3.12B-2.60%24.41%40.20%
61
Neutral
$35.87B6.13-9.30%2.06%7.63%-6.38%
60
Neutral
$3.88B8.73-8.77%-20.82%-154.29%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
RELY
Remitly Global
19.00
5.61
41.90%
PAGS
Pagseguro Digital
8.52
-3.53
-29.29%
STNE
Stoneco
14.30
1.44
11.20%
AVPT
AvePoint
14.72
4.25
40.59%
PAYO
Payoneer
6.63
-0.29
-4.19%
DLO
DLocal
10.65
3.48
48.54%

Remitly Global Corporate Events

Stock BuybackBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Remitly Global Reports Strong Q2 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Aug 6, 2025

On August 6, 2025, Remitly Global reported its second quarter results for 2025, showing significant growth with a 40% increase in send volume and a 34% rise in revenue compared to the previous year. The company achieved a net income of $6.5 million and an Adjusted EBITDA of $64.0 million, marking a substantial improvement from a net loss in the same quarter of 2024. Additionally, Remitly’s Board of Directors authorized a $200 million share repurchase program, aiming to return capital to stockholders and manage equity compensation dilution. The company also raised its full-year financial outlook, expecting revenue growth of 27% to 28% year over year, indicating a strong market position and positive future prospects.

The most recent analyst rating on (RELY) stock is a Buy with a $21.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Remitly Global stock, see the RELY Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Remitly Global Secures New $550M Credit Agreement
Positive
Jun 27, 2025

On June 24, 2025, Remitly Global entered into a new Credit Agreement with JPMorgan Chase Bank, replacing its previous credit agreement from 2021. The new agreement establishes a $550 million secured revolving credit facility, aimed at supporting the prefunding of customer flows in Remitly’s global remittance business and general corporate purposes. The facility is secured by a first priority lien on the assets of Remitly and its subsidiaries, with interest rates based on various SOFR rates or an alternate base rate. The agreement includes customary covenants and a leverage ratio requirement, indicating a strategic move to strengthen financial operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (RELY) stock is a Buy with a $21.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Remitly Global stock, see the RELY Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Remitly Global Holds 2025 Annual Stockholders Meeting
Neutral
Jun 13, 2025

On June 11, 2025, Remitly Global, Inc. held its 2025 Annual Meeting of Stockholders, where three key proposals were voted on and approved. The election of directors for terms expiring in 2028, the advisory vote on executive compensation, and the ratification of PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm were all passed. Additionally, CEO Matthew Oppenheimer declined an equity compensation award to prioritize employee and executive performance awards and address stockholder concerns about dilution.

The most recent analyst rating on (RELY) stock is a Buy with a $21.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Remitly Global stock, see the RELY Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 08, 2025