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AvePoint
(NASDAQ:AVPT)
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Rating:78Outperform
Price Target:
$15.00
▲(22.55% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:07/16/26
AVPT scores well primarily on improving financial performance (profitability inflection, strong cash generation, and low leverage) and a constructive earnings outlook with raised ARR guidance and healthy profitability targets. The score is held back by an expensive valuation (high P/E) and stretched technical momentum (overbought indicators), which increase near-term risk despite the broader uptrend.
Positive Factors
Recurring ARR Growth
AvePoint's ARR growth (26% YoY) and sustained double-digit organic net new ARR demonstrate durable subscription momentum and predictable recurring revenue. Enterprise traction and 12 consecutive quarters of organic ARR growth support long-term visibility, cross-sell and higher lifetime value.
Negative Factors
Top-Line Deceleration
Despite healthy ARR expansion, headline revenue growth slowed materially, limiting scale benefits. Prolonged revenue deceleration can constrain margin expansion, reduce operating leverage and make it harder to sustain higher R&D and sales investment without compressing returns.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Recurring ARR Growth
AvePoint's ARR growth (26% YoY) and sustained double-digit organic net new ARR demonstrate durable subscription momentum and predictable recurring revenue. Enterprise traction and 12 consecutive quarters of organic ARR growth support long-term visibility, cross-sell and higher lifetime value.
Read all positive factors
AvePoint (AVPT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$2.76B
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)2.53M
Price to Earnings (P/E)60.0
Beta (1Y)1.30
Revenue Growth27.12%
EPS GrowthN/A
CountryUS
Employees3,443
SectorTechnology
Sector Strength88
IndustrySoftware - Infrastructure
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.22
Shares Outstanding212,017,200
10 Day Avg. Volume2,078,250
30 Day Avg. Volume2,526,548
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-0.40
Price to Book (P/B)6.02
Price to Sales (P/S)6.87
P/FCF Ratio35.35
Enterprise Value/Market Cap<0.01
Enterprise Value/Revenue<0.01
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit<0.01
Enterprise Value/Ebitda<0.01
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$15.95Price Target Upside30.35% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering10
EPS Forecast (FY)0.4
Revenue Forecast (FY)$512.84M
AvePoint Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
AvePoint, Inc. operates as a global provider specializing in data management solutions for the Microsoft 365 ecosystem. The company delivers its services via a Software-as-a-Service (SaaS) platform, offering a comprehensive suite of software produ...
How the Company Makes Money
AvePoint primarily makes money by selling software and related services that support data migration, protection, governance, and management for Microsoft 365 and other collaboration/data platforms. Key revenue streams include: (1) Subscription/Saa...
AvePoint Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:May 07, 2026
(Q1-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 06, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed strong commercial and financial momentum: robust SaaS growth, recurring revenue expansion, ARR acceleration, improved profitability, healthy cash generation and purposeful product investments (AI trust, agent governance, multi‑SaaS protection). Management also disclosed clear near-term headwinds — a SaaS mix effect that reduces upfront revenue, FX pressure, lower-margin services impacting gross margin, and retention impacts from migration offerings. Overall, the positives around growth, margin expansion, cash flow and product-market fit substantially outweigh the manageable near-term challenges.Positive Updates
Strong Top-Line Growth
Total revenues of $117.2M in Q1, up 26% year-over-year (20% on a constant currency basis) and above the high end of guidance.
Negative Updates
Term License and Support Decline
Term license and support revenues declined 29% year-over-year and now represent 8% of Q1 revenue (down from 12% a year ago), reflecting ongoing shift from term/license to SaaS models.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Strong Top-Line Growth
Total revenues of $117.2M in Q1, up 26% year-over-year (20% on a constant currency basis) and above the high end of guidance.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
AvePoint updated its guidance raising full‑year ARR to $523.4M–$529.4M (≈26% growth at the midpoint; includes a $0.5M raise offset by a $2.2M FX headwind; FX‑adjusted growth still 26%), and setting full‑year revenue at $509.4M–$515.4M (≈22% growth at the midpoint; includes the Q1 $1.8M beat offset by a $2.9M FX headwind; constant‑currency growth ≈20% at the midpoint). For Q2 management guided revenues of $120.3M–$122.3M (≈19% growth at the midpoint; ~18% on a constant‑currency basis) and non‑GAAP operating income of $18.7M–$19.7M, while full‑year non‑GAAP operating income was narrowed to $91.5M–$94.5M (includes the $0.7M Q1 beat offset by a $2.2M FX headwind); the midpoint Rule of 40 for the year is 44%.AvePoint Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
86
Very Positive
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 443.68M | 419.50M | 330.48M | 271.82M | 232.34M | 191.91M |
| Gross Profit | 326.90M | 310.70M | 247.96M | 194.37M | 166.06M | 139.25M |
| EBITDA | 58.51M | 46.71M | -19.02M | -13.93M | -30.12M | -31.55M |
| Net Income | 46.61M | 35.12M | -29.09M | -21.73M | -41.63M | -35.22M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 734.19M | 789.18M | 519.05M | 442.58M | 415.53M | 388.74M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 444.13M | 481.06M | 290.90M | 226.88M | 229.81M | 270.63M |
| Total Debt | 13.27M | 17.45M | 16.53M | 14.72M | 16.74M | 0.00 |
| Total Liabilities | 295.38M | 310.48M | 248.11M | 217.74M | 172.38M | 133.17M |
| Stockholders Equity | 438.81M | 478.70M | 269.15M | 210.60M | 229.15M | 250.35M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 104.87M | 81.57M | 85.85M | 31.17M | -6.24M | 2.57M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 109.02M | 85.26M | 88.89M | 34.69M | -774.00K | 5.03M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -4.95M | -20.20M | -2.60M | -5.65M | -21.45M | -3.38M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -11.06M | 123.99M | -15.54M | -33.67M | -17.15M | 198.62M |
AvePoint Technical Analysis
Positive
12.24
Price Trends
11.64
Positive
10.82
Positive
11.75
Positive
Market Momentum
0.44
Negative
66.37
Neutral
87.07
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AVPT, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 12.24 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 12.82, above the 50-day MA of 11.64, and above the 200-day MA of 11.75, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.44 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 66.37 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 87.07 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AVPT.
AvePoint Risk Analysis
AvePoint disclosed 28 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. AvePoint reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
AvePoint Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
83 Outperform | $2.64B | 35.28 | 8.14% | ― | 9.80% | -5.52% | |
80 Outperform | $2.42B | 35.64 | 10.01% | ― | 7.19% | -36.03% | |
78 Outperform | $2.76B | 59.96 | 10.20% | ― | 27.12% | ― | |
78 Outperform | $3.68B | 50.50 | 15.53% | ― | 18.43% | ― | |
69 Neutral | $13.74B | 45.37 | 154.32% | ― | 17.61% | 119.62% | |
62 Neutral | $3.60B | 521.41 | 2.41% | ― | 9.93% | ― | |
61 Neutral | $37.18B | 12.37 | -10.20% | 1.83% | 8.50% | -7.62% |
* Technology Sector Average
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Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.