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AvePoint (AVPT)
NASDAQ:AVPT
US Market

AvePoint (AVPT) AI Stock Analysis

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AvePoint

(NASDAQ:AVPT)

Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:
$20.50
▲(10.27%Upside)
AvePoint's strong revenue growth and improving operational performance are significant strengths. However, ongoing net losses and valuation concerns weigh on the overall score. Technical indicators show potential overbought conditions, and while recent earnings highlight strategic successes, macroeconomic risks and decreased cash flow introduce caution.
Positive Factors
Demand and Market Position
AvePoint is seeing sustained demand across the three suites of its Confidence Platform, indicating strong momentum for its SaaS data management portfolio.
Financial Performance
AvePoint reported healthy first-quarter beats across the board with revenue, ARR, and non-GAAP operating income nicely above consensus.
Strategic Expansion
AvePoint is working to penetrate additional ecosystems including Google and Salesforce, expanding beyond its primary focus on the Microsoft ecosystem.
Negative Factors
Financial Outlook
The revenue and operating margin outlook for the upcoming year is considerably below expectations.

AvePoint (AVPT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

AvePoint Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAvePoint, Inc. provides Microsoft 365 data management solutions worldwide. It offers SaaS platform cloud-hosted collaboration systems by providing suite of software products. The company focuses on data protection, governance, compliance management extensions for Microsoft 365, Dynamics 365, Salesforce, and Google Workspace. In addition, the company offers software solutions for Microsoft 365, including microsoft teams, sharepoint online, exchange online, onedrive, project online, planner, yammer and other public folders. The company was incorporated in 2001 and is headquartered in Jersey City, New Jersey.
How the Company Makes MoneyAvePoint makes money through a subscription-based revenue model, primarily deriving income from its cloud-based software solutions and services. The company's key revenue streams include sales of its SaaS products, which provide data management, protection, and migration services. AvePoint's partnerships with major technology platforms like Microsoft enhance its service offerings, allowing it to cater to a broad customer base across various industries. The company also generates revenue through professional services, which involve consulting and support services that help clients maximize the value of their technology investments.

AvePoint Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 08, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 6.84%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 07, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects strong financial performance and strategic execution, with significant growth in revenue, ARR, and SaaS adoption. However, the decrease in cash flow and cautious guidance due to potential macroeconomic risks temper the overall outlook.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
Total revenues in Q1 were $93.1 million, up 25% year-over-year and above the high-end of guidance. SaaS revenue grew 34% year-over-year.
Record ARR and Net New ARR
Total ARR reached $345.5 million, representing year-over-year growth of 26%. Net new ARR was $18.5 million, a 57% increase year-over-year, marking the highest ever as a public company.
Increased SaaS Adoption
SaaS comprised 74% of total revenues, up from 69% a year ago, with significant growth in key regions: North America (31%), EMEA (36%), and APAC (40%).
Channel Strategy Success
ARR from the channel increased to 55%, and 63% of incremental ARR came through the channel, reflecting a strategic priority to drive more business through channel partnerships.
Operational and Profitability Improvements
Operating margin expanded by nearly 550 basis points to 14.4%, with operating income at $13.4 million, above guidance.
Negative Updates
Decreased Cash Flow from Operations
Cash generated from operations was $495,000, a decline from $7.8 million in the same quarter of the previous year, primarily due to one-time tax payments.
Potential Macroeconomic Risks
Despite strong demand signals, guidance remains cautious due to the potential risks from the current geopolitical environment in the second half of the year.
Maintenance Revenue Decline
Maintenance revenue declined year-over-year both in dollars and as a percentage of total revenues.
Company Guidance
During the AvePoint, Inc. First Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company reported strong financial and operational performance, exceeding their guidance with total revenues of $93.1 million, representing a 25% year-over-year increase. The SaaS revenue, a key driver of the business, grew by 34%, contributing to 74% of total revenues. Total ARR reached $345.5 million, marking a 26% increase from the previous year. Net new ARR was $18.5 million, reflecting a 57% organic growth year-over-year. The company highlighted its strategic focus on AI-driven data management solutions, emphasizing the growing demand for integrated platforms to address data security, governance, and compliance needs. Looking forward, AvePoint provided guidance for the second quarter with expected revenues between $95.3 million and $97.3 million, and for the full year, they anticipate ARR growth of 26% to 28%, with total revenues reaching between $397.4 million and $405.4 million. The company continues to focus on maintaining profitability while strategically investing in growth opportunities.

AvePoint Financial Statement Overview

Summary
AvePoint demonstrates strong revenue growth and improving operational efficiency, with positive EBIT and EBITDA margins. The balance sheet is robust, with low debt levels and a strong equity position, supporting financial stability. Cash flows have improved, although consistent net losses remain a concern.
Income Statement
65
Positive
AvePoint has shown consistent revenue growth with a notable increase from $271.8M in 2023 to $330.5M in 2024. The gross profit margin improved slightly, reflecting effective cost management. However, net losses persist, with a negative net profit margin, indicating ongoing profitability challenges. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have turned positive in 2024, suggesting some operational improvements.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The balance sheet is robust with a strong equity position. The debt-to-equity ratio is low, indicating low financial leverage and risk. Return on equity remains negative due to net losses, but the equity ratio is strong at around 52%, showcasing financial stability and resilience.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
AvePoint's cash flow from operations has improved significantly, turning positive in recent years, and free cash flow has grown substantially by 175% from 2023 to 2024. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong, suggesting good cash generation relative to accounting profits, despite ongoing net losses.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
349.01M330.48M271.82M232.34M191.91M151.53M
Gross Profit
263.03M247.96M194.37M167.22M139.25M111.24M
EBIT
13.65M7.17M-15.35M-41.07M-53.49M-15.44M
EBITDA
17.86M12.55M-10.66M-30.12M-52.25M-14.38M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-23.93M-29.09M-21.73M-41.63M-35.22M-17.00M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
351.80M290.90M226.88M229.81M270.63M70.10M
Total Assets
598.85M519.05M442.58M415.53M388.74M169.05M
Total Debt
11.65M16.53M14.72M16.74M0.000.00
Net Debt
-339.83M-274.20M-208.44M-210.45M-268.22M-69.11M
Total Liabilities
237.40M248.11M217.74M172.38M133.17M148.87M
Stockholders Equity
359.50M270.95M210.60M229.15M250.35M17.13M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
99.87M85.85M31.17M-6.24M2.57M18.10M
Operating Cash Flow
105.88M88.89M34.69M-774.00K5.03M19.12M
Investing Cash Flow
-16.49M-2.60M-5.65M-21.45M-3.38M1.37M
Financing Cash Flow
73.61M-15.54M-33.67M-17.15M198.62M35.56M

AvePoint Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price18.59
Price Trends
50DMA
17.13
Positive
100DMA
16.92
Positive
200DMA
15.73
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.41
Positive
RSI
52.06
Neutral
STOCH
27.60
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AVPT, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 18.59 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 18.81, above the 50-day MA of 17.13, and above the 200-day MA of 15.73, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.41 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 52.06 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 27.60 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for AVPT.

AvePoint Risk Analysis

AvePoint disclosed 24 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. AvePoint reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

AvePoint Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
$4.09B-0.71%34.37%95.80%
SWSWI
68
Neutral
$3.20B28.867.87%5.03%
66
Neutral
$2.57B24.52-41.63%13.21%109.61%
65
Neutral
$3.82B-8.39%21.70%-67.95%
64
Neutral
$1.79B-3.09%-1.96%19.43%
62
Neutral
$11.97B10.08-7.46%2.96%7.37%-8.22%
61
Neutral
$3.79B8.73-8.85%-14.03%-167.03%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AVPT
AvePoint
18.59
8.97
93.24%
SWI
SolarWinds
18.49
6.69
56.69%
STNE
Stoneco
13.76
1.82
15.24%
DOCN
DigitalOcean Holdings
26.78
-8.83
-24.80%
EVCM
EverCommerce
9.42
-0.46
-4.66%
RELY
Remitly Global
19.35
7.26
60.05%

AvePoint Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
AvePoint Announces Redemption of Outstanding Public Warrants
Neutral
Jun 10, 2025

On June 9, 2025, AvePoint, Inc. announced the redemption of all its outstanding public warrants to purchase shares of its common stock, originally issued under a 2019 Warrant Agreement. The redemption is set for July 9, 2025, at a price of $0.01 per warrant, with unexercised warrants becoming void post-redemption. This move reflects AvePoint’s strategic decision to streamline its equity structure, potentially impacting warrant holders who must decide whether to exercise their warrants at $11.50 per share before the deadline.

The most recent analyst rating on (AVPT) stock is a Hold with a $7.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on AvePoint stock, see the AVPT Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.