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DigitalOcean Holdings (DOCN)
NYSE:DOCN
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DigitalOcean Holdings (DOCN) AI Stock Analysis

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DOCN

DigitalOcean Holdings

(NYSE:DOCN)

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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$51.00
▲(13.01% Upside)
DigitalOcean Holdings' overall stock score is driven by strong earnings call results and positive technical indicators, suggesting a bullish outlook. However, financial performance is hindered by high leverage and negative equity, and the valuation appears stretched. The company’s focus on AI and strategic growth initiatives provides a positive long-term perspective, but immediate financial risks need addressing.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth indicates strong market demand and effective business strategies, supporting long-term expansion and stability.
AI Revenue Momentum
Sustained AI revenue growth highlights DigitalOcean's successful positioning in a rapidly expanding market, ensuring future competitiveness.
Cash Flow Management
Strong cash flow margins reflect efficient financial management, providing resources for reinvestment and debt reduction, enhancing long-term resilience.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage can limit financial flexibility and increase risk, potentially impacting the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities.
Net Dollar Retention Challenges
Stagnant net dollar retention suggests difficulties in upselling to existing customers, which could hinder revenue growth and customer lifetime value.
Impact of Debt Restructuring
Debt restructuring impacts profitability, indicating potential challenges in managing financial obligations, affecting short-term earnings stability.

DigitalOcean Holdings (DOCN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

DigitalOcean Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDigitalOcean Holdings (DOCN) is a cloud infrastructure provider that primarily focuses on delivering cloud services to developers, startups, and small to medium-sized businesses. Founded in 2011, the company is headquartered in New York City and operates data centers worldwide. DigitalOcean's core products include Droplets (virtual machines), Kubernetes, databases, object storage, and a range of developer tools designed to simplify the deployment and management of applications in the cloud.
How the Company Makes MoneyDigitalOcean generates revenue primarily through a subscription-based model, where customers pay for cloud services on a usage basis. Key revenue streams include payments for Droplets, Kubernetes services, managed databases, and object storage. The company also offers additional services such as monitoring and networking solutions, which further contribute to its earnings. DigitalOcean's pricing is designed to be transparent and predictable, appealing to developers and businesses looking for cost-effective solutions. Significant partnerships with educational platforms and developer communities enhance its outreach and customer acquisition, driving recurring revenue and customer loyalty.

DigitalOcean Holdings Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Annual Recurring Revenue
Annual Recurring Revenue
Measures the predictable revenue generated from subscriptions over a year, highlighting the company’s financial stability and growth potential.
Chart InsightsDigitalOcean's Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) has shown consistent growth, with a notable acceleration in recent quarters. This trend is bolstered by strong performance in the AI/ML segment, which has seen over 100% year-over-year growth. The company achieved its highest organic incremental ARR in over three years, reflecting successful customer acquisition and product innovation. Despite challenges in net dollar retention and share repurchase constraints due to debt priorities, the company remains optimistic, raising its full-year revenue guidance and focusing on expanding its AI/ML and core cloud services.
Data provided by:The Fly

DigitalOcean Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 19, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a strong quarter with significant revenue growth, expanding high-spending customer base, and robust AI revenue growth, despite some challenges with net dollar retention and the impact of recent debt restructuring.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Revenue Growth
DigitalOcean achieved a 16% year-over-year revenue growth in Q3 2025, reaching $230 million, marking the highest growth since Q3 2023.
Increase in High-Spending Customers
Revenue from customers with more than $1 million in annualized run rate reached $110 million in ARR, growing 72% year-over-year.
Strong Free Cash Flow Margins
Delivered a 21% trailing 12-month adjusted free cash flow margin, marking strong financial performance.
AI Revenue Momentum
AI revenue more than doubled year-over-year for the fifth consecutive quarter, indicating strong demand for AI solutions.
Commitment to Future Growth
Secured around 30 megawatts of incremental data center capacity to support growth in 2026 and beyond, and increased investments in data centers and GPU capacity.
New Strategic Partnerships
Signed multiple 8-figure committed contracts after Q3, including a major customer for the AI platform.
Negative Updates
Net Dollar Retention Challenges
Net dollar retention remained at 99% in Q3, indicating some challenges in expanding existing customer revenue.
Impact of Debt Restructuring
The refinancing actions in Q3 led to a reduction of $0.05 in non-GAAP net income per share, impacting financial results.
Company Guidance
During DigitalOcean's Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company reported several key metrics, reflecting strong financial performance and growth prospects. The company exceeded its Q3 guidance with a 16% year-over-year increase in revenue, reaching $230 million, and achieved the highest incremental organic Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) in its history at $44 million. Adjusted Free Cash Flow margins were reported at 21% trailing 12 months. Additionally, DigitalOcean's largest customers with more than $1 million in annualized run rate contributed $110 million to ARR, showing a remarkable 72% growth year-over-year. Net dollar retention was steady at 99%, and the company reported a gross margin of 60%. Looking forward, DigitalOcean increased its 2025 and 2026 revenue and adjusted free cash flow outlooks, citing strong demand for its agentic cloud services, particularly from AI-native customers. The company plans to invest in additional data centers and GPU capacity, projecting revenue growth of 18% to 20% in 2026, achieving its 2027 target a year earlier than expected.

DigitalOcean Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
DigitalOcean Holdings exhibits strong revenue growth and improved profitability, with robust cash flow metrics. However, the balance sheet reveals high leverage and negative equity, posing potential financial risks. The company needs to focus on improving operational efficiency and addressing balance sheet weaknesses to sustain long-term growth.
Income Statement
75
Positive
DigitalOcean Holdings shows a solid revenue growth trajectory with a TTM revenue growth rate of 3.74%. The company has improved its profitability significantly, with a TTM net profit margin of 29.15% compared to 10.82% in the previous year. Gross profit margin remains stable around 59.5%, indicating efficient cost management. However, the EBIT margin is relatively low at 13.83%, suggesting room for operational efficiency improvements.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The balance sheet reflects high leverage, with a negative debt-to-equity ratio due to negative stockholders' equity, indicating financial instability. The return on equity is negative, highlighting inefficiencies in generating returns from equity. Despite these challenges, the company has managed to maintain a stable asset base.
Cash Flow
85
Very Positive
The cash flow statement is strong, with a significant increase in free cash flow growth rate at 194.55% TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is nearly 1, indicating robust cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is also high at 85.43%, suggesting effective cash management and potential for reinvestment or debt reduction.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue863.96M780.62M692.88M576.32M428.56M318.38M
Gross Profit514.40M465.94M408.92M364.39M257.97M172.85M
EBITDA341.11M236.86M153.59M86.74M73.92M46.53M
Net Income251.87M84.49M19.41M-27.80M-19.50M-43.57M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.73B1.64B1.46B1.82B2.10B430.25M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments236.56M428.45M411.77M864.23M1.71B100.31M
Total Debt330.46M1.70B1.66B1.64B1.46B259.68M
Total Liabilities1.80B1.84B1.77B1.77B1.52B502.35M
Stockholders Equity-69.62M-202.96M-313.70M47.57M578.20M-72.09M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow169.29M96.20M110.13M74.94M24.02M-57.35M
Operating Cash Flow327.74M282.73M234.94M195.15M133.11M58.46M
Investing Cash Flow-185.92M-94.81M401.15M-1.15B-113.61M-115.63M
Financing Cash Flow-346.68M-76.45M-468.90M-610.36M1.59B124.03M

DigitalOcean Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price45.13
Price Trends
50DMA
41.03
Positive
100DMA
36.12
Positive
200DMA
34.32
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.09
Positive
RSI
54.80
Neutral
STOCH
48.35
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DOCN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 45.13 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 44.86, above the 50-day MA of 41.03, and above the 200-day MA of 34.32, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.09 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 54.80 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 48.35 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for DOCN.

DigitalOcean Holdings Risk Analysis

DigitalOcean Holdings disclosed 58 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. DigitalOcean Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

DigitalOcean Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$1.22B24.8923.88%1.41%10.27%3.52%
73
Outperform
$4.11B18.2214.20%204.86%
73
Outperform
$3.86B25.4732.78%22.02%12.42%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
61
Neutral
$3.17B-8.95%11.05%45.23%
61
Neutral
$2.78B0.58%24.71%99.52%
60
Neutral
10.98%11.62%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DOCN
DigitalOcean Holdings
45.13
7.25
19.14%
ATEN
A10 Networks
16.98
0.02
0.12%
TENB
Tenable Holdings
26.27
-15.61
-37.27%
AVPT
AvePoint
12.89
-4.93
-27.67%
DLO
DLocal
13.05
2.18
20.06%
BASE
Couchbase
24.51
4.18
20.56%

DigitalOcean Holdings Corporate Events

DigitalOcean Reports Strong Q3 2025 Financial Results
Nov 6, 2025

DigitalOcean Holdings, Inc. is a comprehensive cloud service provider that empowers developers at AI-native and digital native enterprises to build full-stack AI applications with straightforward tools. The company operates in the cloud computing industry, focusing on simplifying cloud and AI infrastructure for over 640,000 customers globally.

DigitalOcean’s Earnings Call Highlights Robust Growth and Strategic Initiatives
Nov 6, 2025

DigitalOcean Holdings, Inc. recently held its earnings call, revealing a strong quarter characterized by significant revenue growth and an expanding high-spending customer base. The company also reported robust AI revenue growth, although it faced some challenges with net dollar retention and the impact of recent debt restructuring.

Stock BuybackPrivate Placements and Financing
DigitalOcean Holdings Completes $625M Convertible Notes Offering
Positive
Aug 14, 2025

On August 14, 2025, DigitalOcean Holdings, Inc. completed a private offering of $625 million in 0.00% Convertible Senior Notes due 2030, including an additional $75 million from initial purchasers. The proceeds are intended for capped call transactions to mitigate stock dilution and repurchase existing 2026 notes. The company also initiated a $100 million stock repurchase program, set to expire in 2027, to optimize market conditions and shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (DOCN) stock is a Buy with a $41.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on DigitalOcean Holdings stock, see the DOCN Stock Forecast page.

DigitalOcean Reports Strong Q2 2025 Financial Growth
Aug 6, 2025

DigitalOcean Holdings, Inc. is a cloud computing company that provides a scalable platform for digital native enterprises, focusing on simplifying cloud and AI solutions for its customers. In its second quarter of 2025, DigitalOcean reported a revenue of $219 million, marking a 14% increase compared to the previous year. The company also raised its full-year revenue guidance to between $888 million and $892 million, reflecting strong growth and strategic focus on AI and core cloud services.

DigitalOcean Earnings Call: AI/ML Growth Fuels Optimism
Aug 6, 2025

DigitalOcean Holdings, Inc. recently held its earnings call, revealing a positive outlook driven by robust revenue growth, particularly in the AI/ML segment, and improved profitability. Despite some challenges with net dollar retention and constraints on share repurchases due to debt priorities, the company’s performance and future outlook remain strong.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 06, 2025