tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
DigitalOcean Holdings (DOCN)
NYSE:DOCN
Advertisement

DigitalOcean Holdings (DOCN) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
1,501 Followers

Top Page

DOCN

DigitalOcean Holdings

(NYSE:DOCN)

Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
$31.00
▲(14.77% Upside)
DigitalOcean's overall score is driven by strong earnings call performance, strategic financial moves, and solid revenue growth. These positives are tempered by financial stability concerns due to negative equity and high leverage, as well as a neutral technical outlook.
Positive Factors
Contract Growth
Management noted a significant increase in RPO, driven by multiyear committed contracts from larger digital-native enterprises.
Customer Growth
Strong new customer acquisition and increased demand for AI/ML workloads drove a sharp increase in incremental ARR of $32 million.
Financial Performance
DigitalOcean reported solid beats across major metrics and raised full-year guidance, boosting investor confidence.
Negative Factors
Free Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow miss raises caution about the company's ability to meet growth targets and manage investments effectively.
Funding Concerns
Uncertainties regarding funding methods for growth capital raise concerns about the need for additional investments.
Refinancing Impact
The impact of refinancing, including a 6% term loan, affects Free Cash Flow visibility and could pressure the stock.

DigitalOcean Holdings (DOCN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

DigitalOcean Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDigitalOcean Holdings, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates a cloud computing platform in North America, Europe, Asia, and internationally. Its platform provides on-demand infrastructure and platform tools for developers, start-ups, and small and medium size businesses. The company offers infrastructure solutions across compute, storage, and networking, as well as enables developers to extend the native capabilities of its cloud with fully managed application, container, and database offerings. Its users include software engineers, researchers, data scientists, system administrators, students, and hobbyists. The company's customers use its platform in various industry verticals and for a range of use cases, such as web and mobile applications, website hosting, e-commerce, media and gaming, personal web projects, managed services, and others. DigitalOcean Holdings, Inc. was incorporated in 2012 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
How the Company Makes MoneyDigitalOcean generates revenue primarily through a subscription-based model where customers pay for the cloud infrastructure services they use. The company's key revenue streams include virtual machines (Droplets), managed databases, and other cloud services such as object storage and networking. Customers select from various pricing plans based on their specific computing and storage needs, with pricing determined by factors like the number of virtual machines or the amount of storage utilized. Additionally, DigitalOcean benefits from partnerships and integrations within the developer and open-source community, enhancing its platform's value proposition and driving user adoption.

DigitalOcean Holdings Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Annual Recurring Revenue
Annual Recurring Revenue
Measures the predictable revenue generated from subscriptions over a year, highlighting the company’s financial stability and growth potential.
Chart InsightsDigitalOcean's Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) has shown consistent growth, reaching $843 million in Q1 2025. The latest earnings call highlights a strategic pivot towards AI, with AI ARR surging over 160% year-over-year. This shift, coupled with a focus on high-spending customers, suggests a more stable and predictable revenue stream. Despite some capital expenditure challenges, the company maintains strong profitability metrics, indicating a robust financial position. The commitment to AI and larger deals positions DigitalOcean for continued growth, even as it navigates cautiousness in sectors like AdTech.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

DigitalOcean Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 05, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 0.00%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a positive overall sentiment driven by strong revenue growth, particularly in the AI/ML segment, increased ARR, and improved profitability. While there are some challenges with net dollar retention and share repurchase constraints due to debt priorities, the company's performance and future outlook remain robust.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
DigitalOcean reported Q2 2025 revenue of $219 million, representing a 14% year-over-year increase. The company raised its full-year revenue guidance to $888 million to $892 million.
AI/ML Business Expansion
Revenue from the AI/ML segment grew over 100% year-over-year. The company is seeing strong demand for AI infrastructure, particularly in inferencing workloads.
High Incremental ARR
The company achieved incremental annual recurring revenue (ARR) of $32 million, the highest since Q4 2022 and the highest organic incremental ARR in over three years.
Profitability and Cash Flow
Adjusted EBITDA for Q2 was $89 million with a margin of 41%. Adjusted free cash flow was $57 million, or 26% of revenue, leading to an increase in full-year free cash flow guidance to 17% to 19% of revenue.
Product Innovation
DigitalOcean released over 60 new products and features, including a new AI platform and advanced networking features, which have been adopted by many top customers.
Negative Updates
Net Dollar Retention Challenges
Net dollar retention (NDR) was reported at 99%, slightly lower than expected. The company noted that some customers are cautious and not scaling as fast.
Debt and Share Repurchase Constraints
The company is focused on addressing its 2026 convertible debt, which has limited its share repurchase activity, with only $3.4 million remaining on the current authorization.
Company Guidance
During DigitalOcean's Second Quarter 2025 earnings call, the company reported strong financial results and announced an increase in their full-year guidance for both revenue and profitability metrics. The second quarter revenue was $219 million, reflecting a 14% year-over-year growth, and revenue from their AI/ML business grew over 100% year-over-year. The company's Scalers+ customers, who contribute 24% of total revenue, experienced a 35% growth. DigitalOcean also achieved an incremental ARR of $32 million, marking the highest organic increment in over three years. In response to this positive performance, the full-year revenue guidance range has been raised to $888 million to $892 million. Additionally, the company increased its adjusted free cash flow guidance to 17% to 19% of revenue, with a second-quarter adjusted free cash flow of $57 million, or 26% of revenue. The company is capitalizing on the momentum in its AI/ML platform and core cloud services, with significant progress in product innovation and customer acquisition strategies.

DigitalOcean Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
DigitalOcean Holdings exhibits strong revenue growth and improved profitability, with healthy gross margins and operational efficiencies. However, the negative stockholders' equity and high leverage pose significant financial stability risks. Cash flow is robust but capital expenditures could strain future flexibility.
Income Statement
80
Positive
DigitalOcean Holdings has shown a strong revenue growth trajectory, with revenue increasing from $318M in 2020 to $806M in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) 2025. Gross profit margin is healthy at 60% in TTM, and both EBIT and EBITDA margins have improved significantly, indicating operational efficiency. The net profit margin also increased to 13.5% in TTM, reflecting profitability enhancements. However, growth rates have started to moderate compared to earlier periods.
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
The balance sheet reflects a negative stockholders' equity position of -$210M in TTM, raising concerns about financial stability. The debt-to-equity ratio is not calculable due to negative equity, indicating high leverage. Despite a high total debt level, the company has managed to maintain cash and short-term investments, but the negative equity ratio of -12.8% is a significant risk factor.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Operating cash flow is robust at $280M in TTM, supporting healthy free cash flow of $73.9M. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong, suggesting good cash conversion. However, free cash flow growth has slowed, and capital expenditures remain substantial, potentially impacting future cash flow flexibility.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue832.81M780.62M692.88M576.32M428.56M318.38M
Gross Profit496.91M465.94M408.92M364.39M257.97M172.85M
EBITDA236.58M236.86M153.59M86.74M73.92M46.22M
Net Income126.45M84.49M19.41M-24.28M-19.50M-43.57M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.72B1.64B1.46B1.82B2.10B430.25M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments387.75M428.45M411.77M864.23M1.71B100.31M
Total Debt1.76B1.70B1.66B1.64B1.46B259.68M
Total Liabilities1.90B1.84B1.77B1.76B1.52B502.35M
Stockholders Equity-175.22M-202.96M-313.70M51.09M578.20M-72.09M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow194.29M96.20M110.13M74.94M24.02M-57.55M
Operating Cash Flow301.23M282.73M234.94M195.15M133.11M58.12M
Investing Cash Flow-207.31M-94.81M401.15M-1.15B-113.61M-115.49M
Financing Cash Flow-149.13M-76.45M-468.90M-610.36M1.59B124.03M

DigitalOcean Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price27.01
Price Trends
50DMA
28.57
Positive
100DMA
30.01
Positive
200DMA
34.62
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.18
Negative
RSI
70.89
Negative
STOCH
44.72
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DOCN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 27.01 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 28.83, below the 50-day MA of 28.57, and below the 200-day MA of 34.62, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.18 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 70.89 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 44.72 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for DOCN.

DigitalOcean Holdings Risk Analysis

DigitalOcean Holdings disclosed 58 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. DigitalOcean Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

DigitalOcean Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
$6.13B-25.73%14.29%-14.42%
70
Neutral
$1.28B26.6624.36%1.35%4.90%9.91%
67
Neutral
$2.34B23.57-41.63%13.21%109.61%
64
Neutral
$704.84M30.602.85%7.58%-57.13%
63
Neutral
$3.80B-8.39%21.70%-67.95%
61
Neutral
€6.72B13.683.39%2.07%2.67%-33.74%
61
Neutral
$3.73B-12.60%11.41%33.76%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DOCN
DigitalOcean Holdings
34.81
7.00
25.17%
VRNS
Varonis Systems
55.09
3.51
6.80%
ATEN
A10 Networks
17.79
5.61
46.06%
TENB
Tenable Holdings
29.75
-10.22
-25.57%
DAVA
Endava
11.73
-17.90
-60.41%
AVPT
AvePoint
17.58
7.64
76.86%

DigitalOcean Holdings Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
DigitalOcean Holdings Annual Meeting Highlights Key Decisions
Neutral
Jun 11, 2025

DigitalOcean Holdings recently held its Annual Meeting where stockholders voted on several key proposals. Padmanabhan Srinivasan was elected as a Class I director until 2028. The selection of PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025, was ratified. Additionally, stockholders approved the compensation of the company’s named executive officers and an amendment to the Certificate of Incorporation to limit the liability of certain officers as permitted by Delaware law.

The most recent analyst rating on (DOCN) stock is a Buy with a $41.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on DigitalOcean Holdings stock, see the DOCN Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
DigitalOcean Enters New $500M Credit Agreement
Positive
May 6, 2025

On May 5, 2025, DigitalOcean Holdings, Inc. entered into a new credit agreement, replacing its previous 2022 facility, which includes a $500 million senior secured delayed draw term loan and a $300 million revolving credit facility. The term loan proceeds are designated for repurchasing existing Convertible Notes, while the revolving facility supports general corporate purposes. This financial move is part of DigitalOcean’s strategy to strengthen its financial position and support its growth initiatives. In the first quarter of 2025, DigitalOcean reported a 14% increase in revenue year-over-year, reaching $211 million, and a significant 170% rise in net income. The company also launched over 50 new products and features, highlighting its focus on innovation and expanding its market presence.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 30, 2025