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DigitalOcean Holdings (DOCN)
NYSE:DOCN

DigitalOcean Holdings (DOCN) AI Stock Analysis

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DigitalOcean Holdings

(NYSE:DOCN)

Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
$30.00
▲(12.02%Upside)
DigitalOcean's strong financial performance and strategic initiatives in AI and customer expansion drive a positive outlook. However, the negative equity and technical indicators suggest caution. Corporate events and earnings call insights provide a balanced view, supporting a moderately positive score.
Positive Factors
Customer Expansion
Increased product velocity is driving expansionary growth in large customers while raising the spend ceiling well over $1M.
Revenue Performance
DOCN reported F1Q25 revenue of $210.7 million, showing a 14% increase year-over-year, with earnings exceeding expectations.
Negative Factors
Free Cash Flow Concerns
Free Cash Flow miss raises caution about the company's ability to meet growth targets and manage investments effectively.
Funding and Investment Uncertainty
Uncertainties regarding funding methods for growth capital raise concerns about the need for additional investments.

DigitalOcean Holdings (DOCN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

DigitalOcean Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDigitalOcean Holdings, Inc. is a cloud infrastructure provider that offers a comprehensive suite of cloud services aimed primarily at developers, startups, and small to medium-sized businesses. The company provides scalable computing, storage, and networking solutions, enabling its users to deploy and manage applications quickly and efficiently. DigitalOcean's core products include Droplets (virtual machines), Spaces (object storage), Kubernetes (container orchestration), and Databases (managed database services), emphasizing simplicity and cost-effectiveness.
How the Company Makes MoneyDigitalOcean generates revenue primarily through a subscription-based model where customers pay for the cloud infrastructure services they use. The company's key revenue streams include virtual machines (Droplets), managed databases, and other cloud services such as object storage and networking. Customers select from various pricing plans based on their specific computing and storage needs, with pricing determined by factors like the number of virtual machines or the amount of storage utilized. Additionally, DigitalOcean benefits from partnerships and integrations within the developer and open-source community, enhancing its platform's value proposition and driving user adoption.

DigitalOcean Holdings Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Annual Recurring Revenue
Annual Recurring Revenue
Measures the predictable revenue generated from subscriptions over a year, highlighting the company’s financial stability and growth potential.
Chart InsightsDigitalOcean's Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) has shown consistent growth, reaching $843 million in Q1 2025. The latest earnings call highlights a strategic pivot towards AI, with AI ARR surging over 160% year-over-year. This shift, coupled with a focus on high-spending customers, suggests a more stable and predictable revenue stream. Despite some capital expenditure challenges, the company maintains strong profitability metrics, indicating a robust financial position. The commitment to AI and larger deals positions DigitalOcean for continued growth, even as it navigates cautiousness in sectors like AdTech.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

DigitalOcean Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 06, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -18.25%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 31, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong revenue growth, significant advancements in AI infrastructure, and robust profitability metrics. While there were some challenges with capital expenditures and cautiousness in specific sectors, the overall performance and strategic initiatives indicate a positive outlook.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue and AI ARR Growth
Revenue increased by 14% year-over-year to $211 million, with AI Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) growing north of 160% year-over-year.
Robust Net Dollar Retention
Net Dollar Retention (NDR) improved to 100% for the first time since Q2 2023, indicating stable customer revenue generation.
Higher Spending Customers Drive Growth
Revenue from customers with an annual run rate over $100,000 increased by 41% year-over-year, driven by a 27% increase in customer count.
Profitability Metrics Improvement
Achieved 61% gross margin and 41% EBITDA margins, with gross margins improving by 200 basis points year-over-year.
Infrastructure and Product Innovation
Launched over 50 new products and features, and expanded AI infrastructure with NVIDIA and AMD GPUs to support growing AI inferencing workloads.
Negative Updates
Front-Loaded Capital Expenditure
2025 capital program was heavily front-loaded in Q1, causing a decline in quarterly adjusted free cash flow margin.
AdTech Sector Cautiousness
Observed heightened cautiousness in the AdTech vertical, affecting customer behavior and growth.
Company Guidance
In the call, DigitalOcean provided guidance that reflects its continued focus on scaling with digital native enterprise customers and democratizing AI access. For Q1 2025, revenue grew by 14% year-over-year to $211 million, with AI ARR increasing over 160%. The company achieved a net dollar retention rate of 100% for the first time since Q2 2023, with revenue from customers spending over $100,000 annually growing 41% year-over-year. DigitalOcean also reported a 61% gross margin and 41% EBITDA margin for Q1, driven by cost optimizations and a new data center in Atlanta. The company maintained its full-year 2025 revenue guidance of $870 million to $890 million and adjusted EBITDA margins between 37% and 40%. The call highlighted a strategic $20 million multi-year AI inferencing commitment, reflecting DigitalOcean's shift toward larger deals and a more predictable revenue base.

DigitalOcean Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
DigitalOcean Holdings exhibits strong revenue and profit growth with improving margins, but the negative stockholders' equity and high leverage pose significant risks. Cash flow generation remains robust, supporting ongoing operations and investments.
Income Statement
80
Positive
DigitalOcean Holdings has shown a strong revenue growth trajectory, with revenue increasing from $318M in 2020 to $806M in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) 2025. Gross profit margin is healthy at 60% in TTM, and both EBIT and EBITDA margins have improved significantly, indicating operational efficiency. The net profit margin also increased to 13.5% in TTM, reflecting profitability enhancements. However, growth rates have started to moderate compared to earlier periods.
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
The balance sheet reflects a negative stockholders' equity position of -$210M in TTM, raising concerns about financial stability. The debt-to-equity ratio is not calculable due to negative equity, indicating high leverage. Despite a high total debt level, the company has managed to maintain cash and short-term investments, but the negative equity ratio of -12.8% is a significant risk factor.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Operating cash flow is robust at $280M in TTM, supporting healthy free cash flow of $73.9M. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong, suggesting good cash conversion. However, free cash flow growth has slowed, and capital expenditures remain substantial, potentially impacting future cash flow flexibility.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
806.59M780.62M692.88M576.32M428.56M318.38M
Gross Profit
483.30M465.94M408.92M364.39M257.97M172.85M
EBIT
117.09M91.01M11.90M-15.60M-11.02M-28.79M
EBITDA
261.22M236.86M153.59M86.74M73.92M46.22M
Net Income Common Stockholders
108.56M84.49M19.41M-24.28M-19.50M-43.57M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
360.42M428.45M411.77M864.23M1.71B100.31M
Total Assets
1.64B1.64B1.46B1.82B2.10B430.25M
Total Debt
1.74B1.70B1.66B1.64B1.46B259.68M
Net Debt
1.38B1.27B1.34B1.50B-250.71M159.37M
Total Liabilities
1.85B1.84B1.77B1.76B1.52B502.35M
Stockholders Equity
-210.75M-202.96M-313.70M51.09M578.20M-72.09M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
73.85M96.20M110.13M74.94M24.02M-57.55M
Operating Cash Flow
280.12M282.73M234.94M195.15M133.11M58.12M
Investing Cash Flow
-206.23M-94.81M401.15M-1.15B-113.61M-115.49M
Financing Cash Flow
-132.38M-76.45M-468.90M-610.36M1.59B124.03M

DigitalOcean Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price26.78
Price Trends
50DMA
29.24
Negative
100DMA
34.57
Negative
200DMA
36.64
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.58
Positive
RSI
39.06
Neutral
STOCH
31.14
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DOCN, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 26.78 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 28.90, below the 50-day MA of 29.24, and below the 200-day MA of 36.64, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.58 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 39.06 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 31.14 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for DOCN.

DigitalOcean Holdings Risk Analysis

DigitalOcean Holdings disclosed 58 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. DigitalOcean Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

DigitalOcean Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$1.29B26.5524.36%1.36%4.90%9.91%
66
Neutral
$2.57B24.52-41.63%13.21%109.61%
65
Neutral
$3.85B-8.39%21.70%-67.95%
64
Neutral
$5.52B-22.21%13.34%13.71%
63
Neutral
$925.02M40.162.85%7.58%-57.13%
63
Neutral
$3.89B-12.09%11.79%35.35%
62
Neutral
$11.80B10.08-7.46%2.99%7.37%-8.21%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DOCN
DigitalOcean Holdings
26.78
-8.83
-24.80%
VRNS
Varonis Systems
49.02
5.32
12.17%
ATEN
A10 Networks
17.68
4.36
32.73%
TENB
Tenable Holdings
31.86
-7.99
-20.05%
DAVA
Endava
15.67
-9.06
-36.64%
AVPT
AvePoint
18.59
8.97
93.24%

DigitalOcean Holdings Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
DigitalOcean Holdings Annual Meeting Highlights Key Decisions
Neutral
Jun 11, 2025

DigitalOcean Holdings recently held its Annual Meeting where stockholders voted on several key proposals. Padmanabhan Srinivasan was elected as a Class I director until 2028. The selection of PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025, was ratified. Additionally, stockholders approved the compensation of the company’s named executive officers and an amendment to the Certificate of Incorporation to limit the liability of certain officers as permitted by Delaware law.

The most recent analyst rating on (DOCN) stock is a Buy with a $41.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on DigitalOcean Holdings stock, see the DOCN Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
DigitalOcean Enters New $500M Credit Agreement
Positive
May 6, 2025

On May 5, 2025, DigitalOcean Holdings, Inc. entered into a new credit agreement, replacing its previous 2022 facility, which includes a $500 million senior secured delayed draw term loan and a $300 million revolving credit facility. The term loan proceeds are designated for repurchasing existing Convertible Notes, while the revolving facility supports general corporate purposes. This financial move is part of DigitalOcean’s strategy to strengthen its financial position and support its growth initiatives. In the first quarter of 2025, DigitalOcean reported a 14% increase in revenue year-over-year, reaching $211 million, and a significant 170% rise in net income. The company also launched over 50 new products and features, highlighting its focus on innovation and expanding its market presence.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
DigitalOcean Board Member Christopher Merritt to Step Down
Neutral
Mar 28, 2025

On March 26, 2025, Christopher Merritt, a member of the Board of Directors of DigitalOcean Holdings, Inc., announced his decision not to stand for reelection at the company’s 2025 Annual Meeting of Stockholders. His decision was not due to any disagreements with the company, and he will continue to serve on the Board until the Annual Meeting.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.