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Tenable Holdings (TENB)
NASDAQ:TENB

Tenable Holdings (TENB) AI Stock Analysis

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Tenable Holdings

(NASDAQ:TENB)

Rating:70Neutral
Price Target:
$37.00
▲(9.99%Upside)
Tenable Holdings' stock score is primarily driven by strong financial performance in terms of revenue and cash flow growth, and positive technical indicators. The recent earnings call adds optimism with strategic advancements, though profitability challenges and macroeconomic uncertainties present risks. A negative P/E ratio also weighs on valuation attractiveness.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
Revenue growth of 10.7% exceeded consensus and the company beat estimates on all profitability metrics.
Market Performance
Tenable delivered solid Q1 results in an otherwise mixed macro, topping all guided metrics.
Product Innovation
Tenable is positioning itself by moving from traditional vulnerability scanning to comprehensive risk visualization across identity, cloud, and AI.
Negative Factors
Government Spending
TENB added additional risk commentary around the Federal vertical, stating the Trump administration's commitment and actions to reduce government spending could lead to fewer contract opportunities, elongated sales cycles and procurement decisions, or reduced funding for existing initiatives.
Market Uncertainty
Tenable noted that they anticipate that these historical trends will be impacted by current macro conditions and U.S. policy decisions related to the funding of government agencies and the imposition of tariffs, which could elongate purchasing/approval phases of their sales cycle in 2025.
Stock Performance
The stock looks to open significantly lower due to 2025 CCB guidance being reduced by $12.5 million as a result of further uncertainty in the macro environment.

Tenable Holdings (TENB) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Tenable Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTenable Holdings, Inc. provides cyber exposure solutions for in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia Pacific, and Japan. Its platforms include Tenable.io, a cloud-delivered software as a service that provides organizations with a risk-based view of traditional and modern attack surfaces; Tenable.cs, a cloud-native application platform that enables organizations to programmatically detect and fix cloud infrastructure misconfigurations; Tenable.io WAS, which provides scanning for modern web applications; and Tenable.ep, an unified platform that helps organizations identify, assess, and accurately prioritize cyber risks across the entire attack surface. The company also offers Tenable.ad, a solution to secure Active Directory environments; Tenable.ot, an on-premises solution that provides threat detection and mitigation, asset tracking, vulnerability management, and configuration control capabilities to protect OT environments, including industrial networks; Tenable.sc, an on-premises solution that provides a risk-based view of an organization's IT, security and compliance posture. In addition, it provides Nessus Professional, a vulnerability assessment solution for identifying security vulnerabilities, configuration issues, and malware; and Nessus Essentials, which includes vulnerability and configuration assessment for a limited number of assets. The company was founded in 2002 and is headquartered in Columbia, Maryland.
How the Company Makes MoneyTenable Holdings primarily makes money through the sale of its cybersecurity software and services. The company's revenue model is centered around subscription-based licensing, which provides customers with access to its platforms, such as Tenable.io and Nessus, on a recurring basis. This model ensures a steady stream of revenue as clients renew their subscriptions to maintain cybersecurity defenses. Additionally, Tenable offers professional services, such as consulting and training, which further contribute to its earnings. Key revenue streams include direct sales to organizations and partnerships with resellers and managed security service providers (MSSPs), which help expand the company's market reach. Significant factors contributing to Tenable's earnings include the growing demand for cybersecurity solutions due to increasing cyber threats and regulatory compliance requirements.

Tenable Holdings Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Current Billings
Current Billings
Reflects the total value of invoices sent to customers during the period, providing insight into short-term revenue trends and sales momentum.
Chart InsightsTenable's current billings show a consistent upward trend, with notable growth in Q4 each year, reflecting strong seasonal performance. The latest earnings call highlights a robust start to 2025, driven by large deal conversions and the success of the Tenable One platform. Despite macroeconomic challenges, particularly in the U.S. public sector, Tenable's strategic focus on cloud security and AI integration positions it well for sustained growth. The Vulcan acquisition is expected to further bolster revenue, especially in the latter half of the year, enhancing Tenable's competitive edge.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Tenable Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 29, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -0.12%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 29, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected a strong start to the fiscal year with significant achievements, particularly in large deal wins and product innovation. However, macroeconomic challenges, especially in the public sector, and geopolitical uncertainties have led to a more cautious outlook for the remainder of the year.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Start to Fiscal Year 2025
Tenable achieved a significant start to the year by beating all guided metrics on both the top and bottom line, with revenue growth of 11% year-over-year and a 36% unlevered free cash flow margin.
Record Large Deal Wins
The company experienced its best quarter ever for seven-figure wins, driven by the Tenable One platform, indicating strong demand for their comprehensive exposure management solution.
Expansion and Product Innovation
Tenable continued to expand integrations with third-party tools, leveraging capabilities from the Vulcan Cyber acquisition, and made strides in AI-powered exposure management, showcasing its competitive edge.
Cloud Security Momentum
Cloud security was a major driver of outperformance, with a significant seven-figure deal secured, highlighting its importance in the exposure management strategy.
Positive Contributions from Vulcan Acquisition
The Vulcan acquisition is expected to contribute approximately $5 million to the year's revenue, with significant impact expected in the latter half of the year.
Negative Updates
Incremental Caution on Guidance
Tenable revised its guidance due to macroeconomic uncertainties, particularly affecting the U.S. public sector, which accounts for about two-thirds of the guidance cut.
Public Sector Challenges
Visibility in the U.S. public sector has decreased due to leadership disruptions and budget uncertainties, impacting both new and renewal business opportunities.
Potential Impact of Economic Uncertainty
Recent U.S. policy actions and geopolitical tensions may lengthen sales cycles and reduce visibility in enterprise business, prompting a more cautious outlook.
Company Guidance
During the Tenable First Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company reported a strong performance, surpassing all guided metrics on both top and bottom lines. Tenable delivered an 11% year-over-year revenue growth and achieved a 36% unlevered free cash flow margin, reflecting their balanced growth approach. The company noted exceptional momentum with their exposure management platform, Tenable One, which was a significant contributor to large deal conversions, leading to a record number of seven-figure wins. Tenable's strategic priorities include expanding their integrations with third-party tools, enhancing their AI capabilities, and focusing on cloud security as a critical pillar of exposure management. Despite a cautious outlook for the remainder of 2025 due to macroeconomic uncertainties, especially in the U.S. public sector, Tenable expects to maintain strong operating margins, projecting $205 million to $215 million in non-GAAP income from operations for the year.

Tenable Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Tenable Holdings demonstrates strong revenue and cash flow growth with a robust gross profit margin. However, persistent net losses and negative EBIT margins indicate challenges in achieving sustainable profitability, despite improved leverage and equity positions.
Income Statement
68
Positive
Tenable Holdings has demonstrated consistent revenue growth, with a notable increase from $440 million in 2020 to $923 million in TTM 2025. The gross profit margin remains strong, consistently above 75%, indicating efficient production processes. However, the company is struggling with profitability, as indicated by persistent net losses and negative EBIT margins, posing a challenge to achieving sustainable profitability.
Balance Sheet
62
Positive
The balance sheet reveals a moderate debt-to-equity ratio, which has improved over time, indicating better financial leverage management. Stockholders' equity has been growing, and the equity ratio has increased, reflecting strengthening financial stability. However, the company carries significant liabilities, which could pose a risk if revenue growth slows.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Cash flow statements show robust free cash flow generation, with a significant increase in operating cash flow over the years. The company maintains a strong operating cash flow to net income ratio, suggesting efficient cash conversion despite net losses. However, fluctuations in capital expenditures indicate potential variability in investment strategies.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue923.20M900.02M798.71M683.19M541.13M440.22M
Gross Profit720.00M700.35M615.13M528.40M434.73M362.67M
EBITDA24.92M46.24M-8.95M-44.09M-27.56M-25.95M
Net Income-44.85M-36.30M-78.28M-92.22M-46.68M-42.73M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets558.61M1.74B1.61B1.44B1.25B690.59M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments212.27M577.19M473.97M567.43M512.29M291.85M
Total Debt45.87M419.73M413.31M420.40M422.09M58.34M
Total Liabilities459.71M1.34B1.26B1.17B1.03B539.92M
Stockholders Equity98.91M399.95M346.34M270.87M215.31M150.66M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow241.02M213.23M141.10M112.00M90.20M43.95M
Operating Cash Flow254.56M217.48M149.85M131.15M96.77M64.23M
Investing Cash Flow-161.97M-41.43M-212.62M-128.04M-391.59M4.08M
Financing Cash Flow-116.12M-79.40M1.25M23.32M397.65M36.40M

Tenable Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price33.64
Price Trends
50DMA
32.43
Positive
100DMA
34.34
Negative
200DMA
37.81
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.30
Negative
RSI
57.84
Neutral
STOCH
64.19
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TENB, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 33.64 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 32.79, above the 50-day MA of 32.43, and below the 200-day MA of 37.81, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.30 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 57.84 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 64.19 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TENB.

Tenable Holdings Risk Analysis

Tenable Holdings disclosed 53 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Tenable Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Tenable Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$5.25B29.4240.23%9.58%12.41%
74
Outperform
$1.12B27.605.32%-2.09%76.96%
70
Neutral
$4.10B-12.09%11.79%35.35%
65
Neutral
S$576.87M14.08-0.76%6.50%4.26%-65.16%
64
Neutral
$5.60B-22.21%13.34%13.71%
SS
64
Neutral
$6.04B-26.98%32.25%20.56%
RPRPD
62
Neutral
$1.54B60.12164.75%6.19%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TENB
Tenable Holdings
33.64
-10.14
-23.16%
VRNT
Verint Systems
21.44
-9.88
-31.55%
QLYS
Qualys
143.98
-1.30
-0.89%
VRNS
Varonis Systems
50.05
1.72
3.56%
RPD
Rapid7
24.00
-17.95
-42.79%
S
SentinelOne
18.13
-2.22
-10.91%

Tenable Holdings Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Tenable Holdings Expands Board with New Appointments
Neutral
May 14, 2025

On May 14, 2025, Tenable Holdings, Inc. expanded its Board of Directors to ten members, appointing Stephen A. Vintz and Mark Thurmond as Class I directors, with terms expiring at the 2028 Annual Meeting of Stockholders. Additionally, during the 2025 annual meeting of stockholders, all nominees for director positions were elected, Ernst & Young LLP was ratified as the independent registered public accounting firm for 2025, and the compensation of the company’s named executive officers was approved.

The most recent analyst rating on (TENB) stock is a Hold with a $49.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tenable Holdings stock, see the TENB Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesM&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Tenable Holdings Appoints Vintz and Thurmond as Co-CEOs
Positive
Apr 16, 2025

On April 16, 2025, Tenable Holdings announced the permanent appointment of Stephen A. Vintz and Mark Thurmond as co-Chief Executive Officers. This decision follows their successful interim leadership, during which they expanded the company’s customer base and advanced its product offerings, including the strategic acquisition of Vulcan Cyber. The Board expressed confidence in their ability to drive innovation and long-term value, highlighting their collaborative leadership and industry expertise.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 01, 2025