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Tenable Holdings (TENB)
NASDAQ:TENB

Tenable Holdings (TENB) AI Stock Analysis

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TENB

Tenable Holdings

(NASDAQ:TENB)

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Neutral 60 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:
$17.00
▼(-2.35% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/07/26
The score is supported primarily by strong free-cash-flow generation and improving operating fundamentals, reinforced by positive FY2026 guidance and platform traction from the latest earnings call. These strengths are tempered by weak technicals (downtrend and negative momentum) and valuation pressure implied by ongoing GAAP losses (negative P/E).
Positive Factors
Robust free cash flow
Sustained, high free cash flow despite GAAP losses provides durable internal funding for R&D, AI investments, buybacks and debt reduction. Strong cash conversion supports strategic flexibility, lowers refinancing risk, and underpins multi‑quarter execution even if revenue growth moderates.
Negative Factors
Slowing revenue growth guide
A meaningful step‑down in year‑over‑year growth implies tougher comps, potential market saturation in segments, or a shift to longer contracts. Slower top‑line expansion can limit upside from operating leverage and extend the timeline to convert improving non‑GAAP results into sustained GAAP profitability.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Robust free cash flow
Sustained, high free cash flow despite GAAP losses provides durable internal funding for R&D, AI investments, buybacks and debt reduction. Strong cash conversion supports strategic flexibility, lowers refinancing risk, and underpins multi‑quarter execution even if revenue growth moderates.
Read all positive factors

Tenable Holdings (TENB) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Tenable Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Tenable Holdings, Inc. provides cyber exposure solutions for in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia Pacific, and Japan. Its platforms include Tenable.io, a cloud-delivered software as a service that provides organizations with ...
How the Company Makes Money
Tenable primarily makes money by selling cybersecurity software via subscription-based arrangements, where customers pay recurring fees to access and use Tenable’s platforms and capabilities over a contract term. A significant portion of revenue i...

Tenable Holdings Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography
Breaks down revenue across different regions, revealing where the company is strongest and where it may face risk or growth potential due to local economic conditions or market share shifts.
Chart InsightsTenable's revenue growth is robust across all regions, with the Americas leading the charge. The recent earnings call highlights strong performance driven by the Tenable One platform, which has boosted large deal conversions. However, despite the positive start to 2025, the company is cautious about macroeconomic uncertainties, particularly in the U.S. public sector. This caution may temper growth expectations, but Tenable's strategic focus on cloud security and AI integration positions it well for sustained long-term growth.
Data provided by:The Fly

Tenable Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 04, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 28, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed strong operational momentum: platform adoption (Tenable One) accelerated (46% of new/expansion business), revenue and profitability metrics improved, cash flow and share repurchases demonstrate balance-sheet strength, and management provided a positive 2026 guide including a notable >$1B revenue milestone. Principal negatives were transitory and related to billing-pattern shifts, temporary restructuring costs, and a guidance profile that implies slower percentage growth versus 2025. Overall, the positives (robust platform traction, margin expansion, cash generation, analyst recognition, and AI-driven pipeline) materially outweigh the lowlights, which are largely timing/metric-reporting and thus manageable in the midterm.
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth — Q4 and Full Year
Q4 revenue of $260.5M, up 10.5% year-over-year; full-year revenue growth of 11.0% YoY, demonstrating continued top-line expansion.
Negative Updates
Billing Pattern & Billings Metrics Distortion
Changes in upfront billing patterns and increasing contract durations caused divergence between CCB and CRPO; Q4 calculated current billings (CCB) was $327.8M (+8.5% YoY) while management said CCB is distorted and will no longer be a primary internal metric; TCV also being de-emphasized.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Revenue Growth — Q4 and Full Year
Q4 revenue of $260.5M, up 10.5% year-over-year; full-year revenue growth of 11.0% YoY, demonstrating continued top-line expansion.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Tenable guided Q1 2026 revenue of $257–$260M (≈8.1% YoY at the midpoint) with Q1 non‑GAAP operating income $53–$56M (≈21.1% of revenue at the midpoint), Q1 non‑GAAP net income $46–$49M (≈7.2% YoY at the midpoint) and Q1 non‑GAAP EPS $0.39–$0.42 (≈12.5% YoY at the midpoint). For full‑year 2026 the company expects revenue of $1.065–$1.075B (exceeding $1B and ≈7.1% YoY at the midpoint), non‑GAAP operating income $245–$255M (≈23.4% of revenue at the midpoint, +150 bps YoY), non‑GAAP net income $214–$224M (+12.7% YoY at the midpoint), non‑GAAP EPS $1.81–$1.90 (+16.7% YoY at the midpoint) and unlevered free cash flow $285–$295M (≈27.1% of revenue at the midpoint). Management said it will stop guiding to CCB/TCV (though expects full‑year CCB to be in line with consensus despite billings‑duration headwinds), expects net dollar expansion to stabilize around ~105%, and disclosed an estimated $24M (~220 bps) headwind to 2026 unlevered FCF from reduced upfront multiyear billings plus restructuring (Q4 restructuring $3.1M; ≈$5M more expected in H1).

Tenable Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong cash generation is the key positive (TTM operating cash flow ~$267M; free cash flow ~$255M) alongside high gross margins (~77–80%) and improving operating performance. Offsetting this, GAAP profitability remains weak (TTM net margin ~-3.4%) with negative ROE (~-9%), despite improving loss trends and reduced leverage.
Income Statement
58
Neutral
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
Cash Flow
78
Positive
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue999.40M900.02M798.71M683.19M541.13M
Gross Profit780.47M700.35M615.13M528.40M434.73M
EBITDA47.44M46.24M-8.95M-44.09M-27.56M
Net Income-36.12M-36.30M-78.28M-92.22M-46.68M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.75B1.74B1.61B1.44B1.25B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments402.18M577.19M473.97M567.43M512.29M
Total Debt465.56M422.31M413.31M420.40M422.09M
Total Liabilities1.42B1.34B1.26B1.17B1.03B
Stockholders Equity326.38M399.95M346.34M270.87M215.31M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow254.65M213.23M141.10M112.00M90.20M
Operating Cash Flow266.75M217.48M149.85M131.15M96.77M
Investing Cash Flow-174.58M-41.43M-212.62M-128.04M-391.59M
Financing Cash Flow-234.09M-79.40M1.25M23.32M397.65M

Tenable Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price17.41
Price Trends
50DMA
19.74
Negative
100DMA
22.11
Negative
200DMA
26.33
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.89
Positive
RSI
42.88
Neutral
STOCH
26.05
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TENB, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 17.41 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 18.30, below the 50-day MA of 19.74, and below the 200-day MA of 26.33, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.89 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 42.88 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 26.05 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TENB.

Tenable Holdings Risk Analysis

Tenable Holdings disclosed 53 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Tenable Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Tenable Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$20.61B19.7327.89%11.27%4.47%
70
Outperform
$1.72B30.3320.61%1.33%10.27%3.52%
67
Neutral
$2.72B24.2237.83%9.95%12.72%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
60
Neutral
$1.84B-949.46-10.29%11.05%45.23%
54
Neutral
$2.37B-38.13-27.04%11.37%-34.44%
49
Neutral
$334.08M79.7222.00%3.08%-54.07%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TENB
Tenable Holdings
17.41
-15.62
-47.29%
CPAY
Corpay Inc
315.17
6.66
2.16%
QLYS
Qualys
81.40
-41.84
-33.95%
VRNS
Varonis Systems
21.97
-19.69
-47.26%
ATEN
A10 Networks
24.93
9.37
60.20%
RPD
Rapid7
5.24
-18.42
-77.85%

Tenable Holdings Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackFinancial Disclosures
Tenable Reports Strong Q4 Results and Expands Buyback Plan
Positive
Feb 4, 2026
On February 4, 2026, Tenable reported that it exceeded all guided metrics for the fourth quarter and full year 2025, delivering 11% year-over-year revenue growth to $260.5 million for the quarter and $999.4 million for the year, alongside solid no...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 07, 2026