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Tenable Holdings (TENB)
NASDAQ:TENB

Tenable Holdings (TENB) AI Stock Analysis

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TENB

Tenable Holdings

(NASDAQ:TENB)

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Neutral 60 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:
$20.00
▲(4.00% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/07/26
The score is supported primarily by strong free-cash-flow generation and improving operating fundamentals, reinforced by positive FY2026 guidance and platform traction from the latest earnings call. These strengths are tempered by weak technicals (downtrend and negative momentum) and valuation pressure implied by ongoing GAAP losses (negative P/E).
Positive Factors
Free Cash Flow
Sustained high operating and free cash flow provides durable internal funding for R&D, product investment, buybacks, and debt reduction. Strong cash conversion cushions the business through slower growth periods and supports strategic flexibility without needing dilutive capital.
Platform Traction
Rapid adoption of Tenable One drives larger deals, platform consolidation and higher switching costs. As customers centralize exposure management, recurring spend and cross-sell potential grow, strengthening competitive position and improving lifetime value over the medium term.
Recurring Revenue & Expansion
A high recurring revenue mix with >100% net expansion means revenue is both predictable and organically compounding inside the installed base. This supports margin leverage, reduces churn-driven volatility, and underpins multi-year revenue visibility for durable cash generation.
Negative Factors
GAAP Profitability
Ongoing GAAP losses and negative ROE indicate the company has not fully converted operating improvements into accounting profitability. This limits some strategic options, may constrain investor appetite, and requires continued strong cash flow to bridge to sustained net income.
Growth Deceleration
A meaningful step-down in guided growth rate signals potential market saturation, tougher comps, or execution pacing. Slower top-line expansion reduces operating leverage potential and raises the bar for product-driven upsell to sustain margin and cash-flow progression.
Billing Pattern & Visibility
Shifts toward longer-duration billing and reduced upfront multiyear payments change cash timing and depress near-term FCF. De-emphasizing billings metrics like CCB/TCV also reduces external visibility into billings health, complicating investor assessment of durable demand.

Tenable Holdings (TENB) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Tenable Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTenable Holdings, Inc. provides cyber exposure solutions for in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia Pacific, and Japan. Its platforms include Tenable.io, a cloud-delivered software as a service that provides organizations with a risk-based view of traditional and modern attack surfaces; Tenable.cs, a cloud-native application platform that enables organizations to programmatically detect and fix cloud infrastructure misconfigurations; Tenable.io WAS, which provides scanning for modern web applications; and Tenable.ep, an unified platform that helps organizations identify, assess, and accurately prioritize cyber risks across the entire attack surface. The company also offers Tenable.ad, a solution to secure Active Directory environments; Tenable.ot, an on-premises solution that provides threat detection and mitigation, asset tracking, vulnerability management, and configuration control capabilities to protect OT environments, including industrial networks; Tenable.sc, an on-premises solution that provides a risk-based view of an organization's IT, security and compliance posture. In addition, it provides Nessus Professional, a vulnerability assessment solution for identifying security vulnerabilities, configuration issues, and malware; and Nessus Essentials, which includes vulnerability and configuration assessment for a limited number of assets. The company was founded in 2002 and is headquartered in Columbia, Maryland.
How the Company Makes MoneyTenable generates revenue primarily through subscription-based licensing for its software products and services. The company offers tiered pricing plans based on the number of assets to be monitored, allowing customers to select a package that meets their specific needs. Key revenue streams include renewals from existing customers, new customer acquisitions, and upselling additional features or services. Additionally, Tenable partners with various technology providers and cybersecurity firms to enhance its product offerings and reach new markets, which can contribute to increased sales and revenue growth.

Tenable Holdings Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography
Breaks down revenue across different regions, revealing where the company is strongest and where it may face risk or growth potential due to local economic conditions or market share shifts.
Chart InsightsTenable's revenue growth is robust across all regions, with the Americas leading the charge. The recent earnings call highlights strong performance driven by the Tenable One platform, which has boosted large deal conversions. However, despite the positive start to 2025, the company is cautious about macroeconomic uncertainties, particularly in the U.S. public sector. This caution may temper growth expectations, but Tenable's strategic focus on cloud security and AI integration positions it well for sustained long-term growth.
Data provided by:The Fly

Tenable Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 04, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 28, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed strong operational momentum: platform adoption (Tenable One) accelerated (46% of new/expansion business), revenue and profitability metrics improved, cash flow and share repurchases demonstrate balance-sheet strength, and management provided a positive 2026 guide including a notable >$1B revenue milestone. Principal negatives were transitory and related to billing-pattern shifts, temporary restructuring costs, and a guidance profile that implies slower percentage growth versus 2025. Overall, the positives (robust platform traction, margin expansion, cash generation, analyst recognition, and AI-driven pipeline) materially outweigh the lowlights, which are largely timing/metric-reporting and thus manageable in the midterm.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth — Q4 and Full Year
Q4 revenue of $260.5M, up 10.5% year-over-year; full-year revenue growth of 11.0% YoY, demonstrating continued top-line expansion.
Tenable One Platform Traction
Tenable One accounted for a record 46% of new and expansion business in the quarter; the platform drew 502 new enterprise platform customers (best quarter in two years) and represents roughly one-third of overall business, driving larger deal sizes and platform consolidation.
AI and Large Deal Momentum
Closed first 7-figure deal driven by AI exposure; company emphasized AI exposure management as a key growth driver and hired a new CTO to advance AI strategy and Argentic remediation capabilities.
Recurring Revenue and Net Expansion
High-quality revenue base with 96% recurring revenue for the year; net dollar expansion rate came in at 106% (ahead of expectations), indicating expansion within the installed base.
Margins and Profitability Improvement
Q4 non-GAAP operating income was $63.7M or 24.4% of revenue; full-year non-GAAP operating margin expanded to 21.9% from 20.5% (up 140 bps YoY). Non-GAAP gross margin rose to 82.7% in Q4 from 81.7% YoY.
Earnings and Cash Flow Strength
Q4 non-GAAP EPS of $0.48, up 17.1% YoY; full-year non-GAAP EPS $1.59, up 23.3% YoY. Unlevered free cash flow for the year was $277M, up 16.5% YoY and representing 27.7% of revenue; Q4 unlevered free cash flow was $87.5M.
Balance Sheet and Capital Return
Cash & short-term investments totaled $402.2M. Repurchased 2.3M shares for $62.5M in Q4 (10.6M shares for $362.4M since Nov 2023); board approved a $150M increase to share repurchase authorization (raising authorization to $338M as of year-end).
Analyst and Customer Recognition
Named a leader in the 2025 Gartner Magic Quadrant for exposure assessment platforms, called the current company to beat in 2025 Gartner AI vendor race, recognized in Gartner Peer Insights and earlier by IDC and Forrester—reinforcing market positioning and customer validation.
Positive 2026 Financial Guide with Milestone
Full-year 2026 revenue guidance of $1.065B–$1.075B (exceeding $1B milestone) implies ~7.1% YoY growth at midpoint. Company also projects non-GAAP operating income of $245M–$255M (≈23.4% of revenue) at midpoint, a 150 bps YoY margin increase, and FY 2026 unlevered free cash flow of $285M–$295M.
Negative Updates
Billing Pattern & Billings Metrics Distortion
Changes in upfront billing patterns and increasing contract durations caused divergence between CCB and CRPO; Q4 calculated current billings (CCB) was $327.8M (+8.5% YoY) while management said CCB is distorted and will no longer be a primary internal metric; TCV also being de-emphasized.
Guidance Indicates Slower Growth vs 2025
Full-year 2026 revenue guidance (+7.1% at midpoint) is lower than 2025 growth (11% YoY), implying a deceleration in reported growth despite platform momentum.
Estimated Cash & Margin Headwind
Management expects a ~$24M drag (~220 basis points) on 2026 unlevered free cash flow/margins due to reduced upfront multiyear billings and restructuring charges, impacting near-term cash conversion metrics.
Restructuring Costs and Realignment
Incurred $3.1M of restructuring expenses in Q4 and expects an additional ~ $5M in the first half of 2026 related to departmental realignment, stripping redundant roles and reinvesting in product and AI.
Shortfall in Mid‑market $100k ACV Cohort
Analyst questioning noted net additions in the $100k ACV cohort were lower than historical levels, indicating some variability in mid‑market traction even as larger deals and platform expansions remain strong.
Potential Investor Confusion from Metric Changes
Ceasing guidance on CCB and TCV and shifting internal KPIs may cause short-term investor confusion as historic billings-based signals are de-emphasized and new metrics gain prominence.
Sequential Q1 Implication and Seasonality
Q1 2026 guidance ($257M–$260M) implies a slight sequential decline from Q4 ($260.5M), leaving near-term seasonality and early-year visibility as potential pacing concerns.
Company Guidance
Tenable guided Q1 2026 revenue of $257–$260M (≈8.1% YoY at the midpoint) with Q1 non‑GAAP operating income $53–$56M (≈21.1% of revenue at the midpoint), Q1 non‑GAAP net income $46–$49M (≈7.2% YoY at the midpoint) and Q1 non‑GAAP EPS $0.39–$0.42 (≈12.5% YoY at the midpoint). For full‑year 2026 the company expects revenue of $1.065–$1.075B (exceeding $1B and ≈7.1% YoY at the midpoint), non‑GAAP operating income $245–$255M (≈23.4% of revenue at the midpoint, +150 bps YoY), non‑GAAP net income $214–$224M (+12.7% YoY at the midpoint), non‑GAAP EPS $1.81–$1.90 (+16.7% YoY at the midpoint) and unlevered free cash flow $285–$295M (≈27.1% of revenue at the midpoint). Management said it will stop guiding to CCB/TCV (though expects full‑year CCB to be in line with consensus despite billings‑duration headwinds), expects net dollar expansion to stabilize around ~105%, and disclosed an estimated $24M (~220 bps) headwind to 2026 unlevered FCF from reduced upfront multiyear billings plus restructuring (Q4 restructuring $3.1M; ≈$5M more expected in H1).

Tenable Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong cash generation is the key positive (TTM operating cash flow ~$267M; free cash flow ~$255M) alongside high gross margins (~77–80%) and improving operating performance. Offsetting this, GAAP profitability remains weak (TTM net margin ~-3.4%) with negative ROE (~-9%), despite improving loss trends and reduced leverage.
Income Statement
58
Neutral
TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue is ~$999M and has grown meaningfully versus 2024 (revenue growth rate 2.545), with consistently strong gross margins (~77–80%) supporting attractive unit economics. Profitability is improving but not yet fully there: net margin remains slightly negative (~-3.4% TTM), though this is a notable improvement from deeper losses in 2022–2023. EBITDA is positive in TTM and 2024, signaling operating leverage progress, but the company is still working through the final step to consistent net profitability.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
Leverage is a key mixed factor. Debt relative to equity improved sharply in TTM (total debt ~$60M vs ~$422M in 2024), while equity is healthy at ~$326M and assets are ~ $1.75B. However, returns on equity remain negative (roughly -9% in both TTM and 2024), reflecting ongoing net losses. Overall, the balance sheet trajectory looks better on debt, but profitability still limits balance-sheet quality.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Cash generation is a clear strength: TTM operating cash flow is ~$267M and free cash flow is ~$255M, both up versus 2024 (with free cash flow growth 1.555). Free cash flow remains robust even while net income is negative, indicating strong cash conversion and favorable working-capital dynamics. The main watch item is that accounting profits lag cash profitability, so sustained free-cash-flow durability matters if growth slows.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue999.40M900.02M798.71M683.19M541.13M
Gross Profit780.47M700.35M615.13M528.40M434.73M
EBITDA47.44M46.24M-8.95M-44.09M-27.56M
Net Income-36.12M-36.30M-78.28M-92.22M-46.68M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.75B1.74B1.61B1.44B1.25B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments402.18M577.19M473.97M567.43M512.29M
Total Debt465.56M422.31M413.31M420.40M422.09M
Total Liabilities1.42B1.34B1.26B1.17B1.03B
Stockholders Equity326.38M399.95M346.34M270.87M215.31M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow254.65M213.23M141.10M112.00M90.20M
Operating Cash Flow266.75M217.48M149.85M131.15M96.77M
Investing Cash Flow-174.58M-41.43M-212.62M-128.04M-391.59M
Financing Cash Flow-234.09M-79.40M1.25M23.32M397.65M

Tenable Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price19.23
Price Trends
50DMA
22.32
Negative
100DMA
25.09
Negative
200DMA
28.36
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.97
Positive
RSI
38.89
Neutral
STOCH
33.22
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TENB, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 19.23 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 20.80, below the 50-day MA of 22.32, and below the 200-day MA of 28.36, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.97 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 38.89 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 33.22 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TENB.

Tenable Holdings Risk Analysis

Tenable Holdings disclosed 53 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Tenable Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Tenable Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$22.74B21.6230.54%11.27%4.47%
73
Outperform
$3.30B16.9838.20%9.95%12.72%
70
Outperform
$1.38B33.6419.01%1.33%10.27%3.52%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
60
Neutral
$2.29B-64.06-9.95%11.05%45.23%
54
Neutral
$2.71B-20.38-24.53%11.37%-34.44%
49
Neutral
$409.86M17.3027.12%3.08%-54.07%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TENB
Tenable Holdings
19.23
-18.42
-48.92%
CPAY
Corpay Inc
325.10
-40.84
-11.16%
QLYS
Qualys
92.47
-36.84
-28.49%
VRNS
Varonis Systems
23.10
-18.49
-44.46%
ATEN
A10 Networks
19.26
-0.65
-3.28%
RPD
Rapid7
6.22
-22.13
-78.06%

Tenable Holdings Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackFinancial Disclosures
Tenable Reports Strong Q4 Results and Expands Buyback Plan
Positive
Feb 4, 2026

On February 4, 2026, Tenable reported that it exceeded all guided metrics for the fourth quarter and full year 2025, delivering 11% year-over-year revenue growth to $260.5 million for the quarter and $999.4 million for the year, alongside solid non-GAAP profitability, strong operating cash flow and unlevered free cash flow. The company highlighted growing adoption of its Tenable One platform, recognition as an industry leader in exposure management by major analyst firms, a credit rating upgrade by S&P Global, and key leadership and government-focused cloud security moves, while the board on January 15, 2026, approved a $150 million increase to the share repurchase authorization, signaling confidence in the business and returning additional capital to shareholders after repurchasing $247.5 million of stock in 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (TENB) stock is a Hold with a $23.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tenable Holdings stock, see the TENB Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 07, 2026