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Rapid7 (RPD)
NASDAQ:RPD
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Rapid7 (RPD) AI Stock Analysis

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RPD

Rapid7

(NASDAQ:RPD)

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Neutral 48 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:48Neutral
Price Target:
$14.00
▼(-1.41% Downside)
Rapid7's overall stock score is primarily influenced by its financial performance and technical analysis. While the company shows strong revenue growth, high leverage and low profitability pose significant risks. Technical indicators suggest bearish momentum, further impacting the score. The valuation is high relative to earnings, and the cautious outlook from the earnings call adds to the challenges.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Rapid7's robust revenue growth indicates strong demand for its cybersecurity solutions, positioning the company well for continued market expansion.
Strategic Partnerships
The partnership with Microsoft strengthens Rapid7's competitive position by integrating its SOC expertise with Microsoft's ecosystem, enhancing product offerings.
Cash Flow Management
Strong free cash flow generation reflects effective cash management, providing financial flexibility for growth investments and debt servicing.
Negative Factors
High Debt Levels
High leverage poses financial risks, potentially limiting the company's ability to invest in growth and increasing vulnerability to interest rate hikes.
ARR Growth Challenges
Slower ARR growth indicates challenges in maintaining customer acquisition and retention, potentially impacting long-term revenue stability.
Leadership Transitions
Leadership changes can lead to strategic shifts and operational disruptions, affecting the company's ability to execute its long-term vision effectively.

Rapid7 (RPD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Rapid7 Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRapid7, Inc. provides cyber security solutions. The company offers a cloud-native insight platform that enables customers to create and manage analytics-driven cyber security risk management programs. Its platform includes InsightIDR, an incident detection and response solution; InsightCloudSec, a solution that integrates posture management, workload protection, infrastructure entitlements management, infrastructure-as-code security, and Kubernetes protection; InsightVM, a vulnerability risk management solution that is designed to provide a way to collect vulnerability data, prioritize risk, and automate remediation; InsightAppSec, which provides application security testing that analyzes web applications for security vulnerabilities; and InsightConnect, a security orchestration and automation response solution that is used by security professionals. The company's other products include DivvyCloud, a cloud security posture management solution; Nexpose, an on-premises version of company's vulnerability risk management solution; AppSpider, an on-premises version of company's application security testing solution; and Metasploit, a penetration testing software solution, as well as professional services. It offers its products through term or perpetual software licenses, cloud-based subscriptions, and managed services. The company serves customers in a range of industries, including technology, energy, financial services, healthcare and life sciences, manufacturing, media and entertainment, retail, education, real estate, transportation, government, and professional services industries through sales teams, and indirect channel partner relationships, as well as directly in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. The company was incorporated in 2000 and is headquartered in Boston, Massachusetts.
How the Company Makes MoneyRapid7 generates revenue primarily through subscription-based models for its software solutions, which include its Insight platform and associated services. The company offers tiered pricing plans that cater to businesses of different sizes, driving consistent recurring revenue. Key revenue streams include subscription fees from its cloud-based services, professional services such as consulting and training, and maintenance and support for its products. Additionally, Rapid7 has formed significant partnerships with other technology firms and integrates its products with various third-party applications, enhancing its value proposition and customer reach, which further contributes to its overall earnings.

Rapid7 Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Annualized Recurring Revenue
Annualized Recurring Revenue
Shows the total revenue expected from recurring sources over a year, highlighting the stability and predictability of the company’s income stream.
Chart InsightsRapid7's ARR growth has slowed, with a recent 4% year-over-year increase, reflecting challenges in the Risk and Exposure Management segment and macroeconomic pressures. Despite exceeding revenue expectations, the company adjusted its full-year ARR guidance to 1% to 5% growth, citing extended deal cycles and increased customer caution. The Detection and Response segment remains a strong growth driver, supported by international demand. Investors should monitor how Rapid7 navigates these headwinds while leveraging its core strengths to sustain growth.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Rapid7 Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 04, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 11, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted Rapid7's achievements in exceeding revenue and operating income expectations, strong free cash flow generation, and strategic partnerships, particularly with Microsoft, to enhance its AI-powered SOC vision. However, challenges with ARR growth, large deal timing variability, and ongoing operational and leadership transitions contributed to a cautious outlook. The company's decision to reduce its 2025 ARR target reflects an acknowledgment of these challenges.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Free Cash Flow
Rapid7 generated $30 million in free cash flow in Q3 2025, contributing to a year-to-date total of $98 million, indicating strong cash flow management.
Revenue and Operating Income Exceed Expectations
Revenue for the quarter was $218 million and operating income was $37 million, both ahead of the company's outlook.
Expansion with Microsoft Partnership
Rapid7 announced an expanding partnership with Microsoft to enhance detection and response capabilities across Microsoft environments, integrating Rapid7's SOC expertise with Microsoft's security ecosystem.
AI-Powered SOC Vision
The company continues to innovate on its AI-powered SOC vision, focusing on integrating AI to consolidate core elements of exposure and response in the SOC.
Negative Updates
ARR Growth Below Expectations
ARR ended the third quarter at $838 million, growing only 2% year-over-year, which was below expectations and led to a reduction in the 2025 ARR target.
Challenges with Large Deal Timing
The company experienced timing variability with large deals, affecting quarterly deal timing and overall growth performance.
Operational Changes and Leadership Transition
Rapid7 is undergoing significant organizational changes, including leadership transitions, which may lead to near-term forecasting variance.
Company Guidance
During the Q3 2025 earnings call, Rapid7 provided financial guidance and strategic insights for the company's future. The guidance highlighted a 2% year-over-year increase in Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR), bringing it to $838 million, although the company acknowledged falling short of previous ARR guidance. The revenue for the quarter was reported at $218 million, with an operating income of $37 million, both exceeding the company's outlook. Rapid7 also generated $30 million in free cash flow during the quarter. For the full fiscal year 2025, the company has revised its ARR target, reflecting a more conservative outlook due to leadership changes and operational adjustments. Rapid7 expects full-year revenue to be between $856 million and $858 million, with an operating income of $130 million to $135 million, representing an operating margin of 15% to 16%. The call also emphasized Rapid7's strategic focus on their AI-powered Security Operations Center (SOC), organizational changes to accelerate market capture, and the introduction of new leadership, including Allan Peters as Chief Commercial Officer and Rafe Brown as the incoming Chief Financial Officer.

Rapid7 Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Rapid7 shows strong revenue growth and a healthy gross profit margin, indicating a solid market position. However, profitability remains a challenge with low net profit margins. The balance sheet shows high leverage, posing financial risks, while cash flow generation is moderate with limited flexibility.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Rapid7 has shown strong revenue growth with a TTM growth rate of 38.7%, indicating a robust upward trajectory. The gross profit margin remains healthy at 70.5%, reflecting efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin is relatively low at 2.2%, suggesting limited profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have improved but remain modest, indicating room for operational efficiency improvements.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio of 7.63, indicating significant leverage and potential financial risk. The return on equity is strong at 66%, driven by improved net income, but the equity ratio is low, reflecting a reliance on debt financing. Overall, the balance sheet shows financial risk due to high leverage.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Operating cash flow has improved, with a TTM operating cash flow to net income ratio of 0.34, showing better cash generation relative to earnings. However, free cash flow growth is negative, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is close to 1, indicating limited cash flow flexibility. The cash flow statement suggests moderate cash generation capabilities with some constraints.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue858.67M844.01M777.71M685.08M535.40M411.49M
Gross Profit602.89M592.97M545.97M470.73M366.46M289.97M
EBITDA82.83M97.31M-39.14M-70.28M-88.12M-50.09M
Net Income18.77M25.53M-149.26M-124.72M-146.33M-98.85M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.67B1.65B1.51B1.36B1.30B913.12M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments407.13M521.71M383.17M291.45M223.43M312.46M
Total Debt970.78M1.02B1.02B914.34M912.56M463.94M
Total Liabilities1.54B1.63B1.62B1.48B1.42B841.59M
Stockholders Equity127.22M17.71M-118.18M-120.07M-126.00M71.54M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow172.39M168.25M84.03M40.68M35.05M-15.04M
Operating Cash Flow180.02M171.67M104.28M78.20M53.92M4.89M
Investing Cash Flow-239.22M-46.52M-178.75M-39.99M-325.38M-156.29M
Financing Cash Flow-42.05M5.58M79.60M7.42M264.13M200.93M

Rapid7 Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price14.20
Price Trends
50DMA
18.90
Negative
100DMA
20.45
Negative
200DMA
24.09
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.99
Positive
RSI
23.20
Positive
STOCH
3.48
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RPD, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 14.2 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 17.95, below the 50-day MA of 18.90, and below the 200-day MA of 24.09, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.99 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 23.20 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 3.48 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for RPD.

Rapid7 Risk Analysis

Rapid7 disclosed 52 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Rapid7 reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Rapid7 Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$5.27B29.0038.64%9.95%12.72%
63
Neutral
$25.36B-12.73%43.26%-1651.82%
63
Neutral
$15.14B100.472.61%12.68%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
48
Neutral
$922.63M41.6137.09%3.08%-54.07%
44
Neutral
$4.13B-22.17%11.37%-34.44%
41
Neutral
$14.12B47.72%61.95%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
RPD
Rapid7
14.20
-26.34
-64.97%
QLYS
Qualys
149.73
-4.26
-2.77%
VRNS
Varonis Systems
34.14
-18.24
-34.82%
CYBR
CyberArk Software
503.87
209.26
71.03%
OKTA
Okta
85.21
8.46
11.02%
RBRK
Rubrik, Inc. Class A
73.03
28.27
63.16%

Rapid7 Corporate Events

Rapid7’s Earnings Call: Strong Gains Amid Challenges
Nov 6, 2025

Rapid7’s Earnings Call Reflects Strong Performance Amid Challenges

Rapid7 Inc. Reports Modest Growth in Q3 2025
Nov 5, 2025

Rapid7 Inc., a prominent player in the cybersecurity sector, specializes in threat detection and exposure management, providing integrated security solutions to over 11,000 global customers.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesFinancial Disclosures
Rapid7 Appoints Rafe Brown as New CFO
Positive
Nov 4, 2025

Rapid7 announced the appointment of Rafe Brown as its new Chief Financial Officer, effective December 1, 2025, succeeding Tim Adams who will retire but remain in an advisory role during the transition. This leadership change comes as Rapid7 reported its third-quarter 2025 financial results, highlighting a 2% year-over-year increase in both annualized recurring revenue and total revenue, with the company positioning itself to leverage growing demand in the security operations market.

The most recent analyst rating on (RPD) stock is a Hold with a $19.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Rapid7 stock, see the RPD Stock Forecast page.

Rapid7 Q2 Earnings Call: Balanced Growth Amid Challenges
Aug 13, 2025

The recent earnings call for Rapid7 Inc. presented a balanced sentiment, highlighting robust performance in ARR and free cash flow, while acknowledging challenges like customer spending scrutiny and extended deal cycles. The detection and response segment continues to show healthy growth, but a narrowed ARR guidance reflects cautious optimism.

Rapid7 Reports Steady Growth in Q2 2025 Earnings
Aug 8, 2025

Rapid7 Inc., a prominent player in the cybersecurity industry, specializes in threat detection and exposure management, providing integrated solutions to enhance security outcomes for over 11,000 global customers. The company, headquartered in Boston, MA, recently released its financial results for the second quarter of 2025, showcasing steady growth in its annualized recurring revenue (ARR) and total revenue.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 06, 2025