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Qualys Inc (QLYS)
NASDAQ:QLYS
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Qualys (QLYS) AI Stock Analysis

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QLYS

Qualys

(NASDAQ:QLYS)

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Outperform 81 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:81Outperform
Price Target:
$148.00
▲(77.95% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:06/12/26
QLYS scores well primarily on strong financial quality (best-in-class margins, strong ROE, low leverage) and supportive earnings guidance/profitability targets. The overall score is held back by clear signals of slowing growth (TTM revenue growth ~2.35%), softer recent cash-flow momentum, and only moderate technical/valuation support (below the 200-day average; P/E ~19.5 with no dividend yield provided).
Positive Factors
High profitability & margins
Qualys exhibits durable, SaaS-style profitability with materially expanded gross and operating margins. Elevated EBIT and net margins provide structural earnings power, supporting reinvestment in product and go‑to‑market, insulating cash flow and shareholder returns amid slower top‑line periods.
Negative Factors
Revenue growth deceleration
A sharp slowdown in trailing revenue growth signals maturing core markets and elevates execution risk: sustaining overall growth will require stronger upsell, faster new product monetization, or market share gains. Persistent low top‑line expansion limits long‑run operating leverage.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
High profitability & margins
Qualys exhibits durable, SaaS-style profitability with materially expanded gross and operating margins. Elevated EBIT and net margins provide structural earnings power, supporting reinvestment in product and go‑to‑market, insulating cash flow and shareholder returns amid slower top‑line periods.
Read all positive factors

Qualys Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography
Shows where Qualys earns its sales across regions, revealing which markets drive growth and which expose the company to economic, regulatory, or currency risk. Heavy concentration in one region can mean dependence on that market, while rising international revenue signals expansion opportunity and broader addressable market.
Chart InsightsInternational revenue has been outpacing US growth, steadily narrowing Qualys’s historical US dominance and materially diversifying revenue mix—an important structural shift that reduces single‑market concentration. Management’s guide and partner-led momentum (channel growth +17%) suggest this foreign strength is critical to hitting the 10% FY25 target, while strong cash flow and margins fund ETM rollouts internationally. That said, persistent upsell headwinds (net dollar expansion ~104%) and macro budget scrutiny temper upside from cross‑sell initiatives.
Data provided by:The Fly

Qualys (QLYS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Qualys Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Qualys, Inc., founded in 1999 and headquartered in Foster City, California, specializes in delivering cloud-based solutions for information technology (IT) management, cybersecurity, and regulatory compliance to organizations globally. The company...
How the Company Makes Money
Qualys primarily makes money by selling subscriptions to its cloud-based security and compliance platform (SaaS). Customers pay recurring fees—typically under term subscriptions—to access specific Qualys applications (modules) and the underlying c...

Qualys Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 05, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 10, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed a generally positive operational and financial story: solid 10% revenue growth, strong adjusted EBITDA margin (47%), meaningful product innovation (Agent Vail, AI-driven reliability score), third-party recognition, expanding partnerships, and continued cash returns. Offsetting these positives are early-stage adoption of ETM/ATM (cohort small), a flat company-level NRR (~104%), a notable decline in free cash flow margin (53% vs 67% prior year), rising operating investments (S&M +17%), and macro-related sales-cycle risk. On balance the company demonstrated healthy growth and profitability while prudently investing for product and go-to-market expansion; adoption and monetization of new AI-driven offerings remain a near-term execution watch item.
Positive Updates
Revenue and Top-Line Growth
Q1 revenues grew 10% year-over-year to $175.6 million; company raised FY26 revenue guide to $721M–$727M (growth ~8%–9%) and Q2 guide to $177.5M–$179.5M (growth ~8%–9%).
Negative Updates
Net Dollar Expansion Rate (NRR) Largely Flat
Overall NRR closed Q1 at 104% (slightly up from 103% last quarter) and management expects no material change to company-level NRR in the near term despite an ETM/CSAM cohort NRR of 107%.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Revenue and Top-Line Growth
Q1 revenues grew 10% year-over-year to $175.6 million; company raised FY26 revenue guide to $721M–$727M (growth ~8%–9%) and Q2 guide to $177.5M–$179.5M (growth ~8%–9%).
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Qualys guided full‑year 2026 revenue of $721–$727 million (growth of 8–9%, vs. prior $717–$725M) and Q2 revenue of $177.5–$179.5 million (8–9% growth), with no material change assumed to the company net dollar expansion rate (historically ~103–104%; Q1 NRR 104%; ETM/CSAM cohort NRR 107%). Profitability targets include adjusted EBITDA margin in the mid‑40s, free‑cash‑flow margin in the low‑40s, full‑year EPS of $7.44–$7.65 (Q2 EPS $1.73–$1.80), implied mid‑teens OpEx growth (Q1 OpEx was $67.5M, up 8%; S&M +17%), and planned capex of $8–$12M for the year ($1.2–$3.2M in Q2); Q1 operating context: revenue $175.6M (+10%), adjusted EBITDA $83.3M (47% margin) and FCF $93.6M (53% margin).

Qualys Financial Statement Overview

Summary
High-quality profitability and efficiency: expanding gross margin (~78% to ~83%) and materially higher net margin (~17% to ~30%) with strong TTM EBIT margin (~36%). Balance sheet leverage remains very low (TTM debt-to-equity ~0.09) with strong ROE (~37%). Key risk is growth deceleration (TTM revenue growth ~2.35%) alongside a modest TTM free-cash-flow decline (~-4.6%), suggesting softer momentum.
Income Statement
88
Very Positive
Balance Sheet
90
Very Positive
Cash Flow
84
Very Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue685.87M669.13M607.57M554.46M489.72M411.17M
Gross Profit570.76M554.36M496.09M446.97M386.94M321.73M
EBITDA266.87M261.32M228.34M205.64M168.32M125.29M
Net Income201.43M198.32M173.68M151.59M107.99M70.96M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.09B1.10B973.54M812.62M700.94M814.56M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments471.35M445.94M381.42M425.56M321.33M405.29M
Total Debt52.23M97.23M47.22M28.74M42.18M48.52M
Total Liabilities524.76M533.93M496.42M444.44M411.81M377.85M
Stockholders Equity569.87M561.15M477.12M368.17M289.13M436.71M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow290.49M304.41M231.76M235.82M174.87M174.96M
Operating Cash Flow295.11M309.40M244.09M244.60M198.85M200.62M
Investing Cash Flow-105.27M-105.92M-71.43M-73.17M145.07M-29.53M
Financing Cash Flow-201.04M-185.40M-145.65M-141.49M-306.03M-107.89M

Qualys Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price83.17
Price Trends
50DMA
99.81
Positive
100DMA
98.12
Positive
200DMA
117.08
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
4.60
Negative
RSI
73.74
Negative
STOCH
84.00
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For QLYS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 83.17 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 112.47, below the 50-day MA of 99.81, and below the 200-day MA of 117.08, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 4.60 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 73.74 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 84.00 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for QLYS.

Qualys Risk Analysis

Qualys disclosed 49 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Qualys reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Qualys Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$4.34B22.9137.15%10.21%13.31%
76
Outperform
$2.97B32.165.96%4.47%
75
Outperform
$3.33B-351.79-3.71%10.74%74.22%
64
Neutral
$2.52B57.6721.19%1.33%12.08%-8.14%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
59
Neutral
$5.45B-17.43-21.49%21.38%27.92%
56
Neutral
$4.63B-35.58-26.10%15.27%-39.93%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
QLYS
Qualys
137.49
-6.98
-4.83%
NTCT
Netscout Systems
43.55
18.73
75.46%
VRNS
Varonis Systems
41.96
-8.07
-16.13%
ATEN
A10 Networks
37.36
18.15
94.50%
TENB
Tenable Holdings
36.88
3.30
9.83%
S
SentinelOne
16.97
-1.21
-6.66%

Qualys Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Qualys Stockholders Back Directors, Auditor and Incentive Plan
Positive
Jun 11, 2026
On June 10, 2026, Qualys, Inc. held its 2026 annual meeting of stockholders, at which holders of approximately 90.60% of outstanding shares were present in person or by proxy. Stockholders elected three Class II directors to serve until the 2029 a...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 12, 2026