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Qualys (QLYS)
NASDAQ:QLYS

Qualys (QLYS) AI Stock Analysis

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QLYS

Qualys

(NASDAQ:QLYS)

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Outperform 78 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:78Outperform
Price Target:
$163.00
▲(14.83% Upside)
Qualys' overall stock score is driven by its strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment. The company's robust profitability, efficient cash flow management, and strategic innovations in cybersecurity position it well for future growth. While technical analysis and valuation are moderate, they do not significantly detract from the company's strong fundamentals and positive outlook.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth indicates strong market demand and effective sales strategies, enhancing long-term business stability and expansion potential.
Product Innovation
Innovative product developments like TruConfirm and AI enhancements strengthen Qualys' competitive edge and address evolving cybersecurity needs, supporting sustained growth.
Financial Health
A strong balance sheet with low leverage enhances financial stability, providing flexibility for strategic investments and resilience against economic fluctuations.
Negative Factors
Challenging Upsell Environment
Difficulty in upselling can limit revenue growth from existing customers, potentially impacting long-term profitability and customer lifetime value.
Macroeconomic Challenges
Macroeconomic pressures may constrain new business opportunities and affect revenue growth, posing a risk to achieving financial targets.
Debt Increase
An increase in debt, even if slight, could impact cash flow and financial flexibility, necessitating careful management to maintain financial health.

Qualys (QLYS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Qualys Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionQualys, Inc. is a leading provider of cloud-based security and compliance solutions for businesses. The company operates in the cybersecurity sector, offering a comprehensive suite of products designed to help organizations identify vulnerabilities, monitor compliance, and manage security risks. Core products include Qualys Cloud Platform, which integrates various security applications such as vulnerability management, policy compliance, and web application scanning, allowing businesses to maintain a robust security posture in an increasingly complex digital landscape.
How the Company Makes MoneyQualys generates revenue primarily through a subscription-based model, offering its services on a recurring basis. Customers pay for access to its cloud-based platform and various security applications, which are billed annually or quarterly. Key revenue streams include subscriptions for vulnerability management, web application scanning, and compliance solutions. The company also benefits from upselling additional services or features to existing customers. Significant partnerships with major technology providers and integrations with other security tools enhance its offerings and expand its customer base, contributing positively to its earnings.

Qualys Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Customers Over $500,000 in Annual Revenue
Customers Over $500,000 in Annual Revenue
Tracks the number of high-value customers contributing significant revenue, indicating the company's success in securing and maintaining large accounts.
Chart InsightsQualys has consistently grown its customer base spending over $500,000 annually, reaching 212 by mid-2025. This growth aligns with strategic wins, including deals with a global fintech and a federal agency, and the launch of its Agentic AI platform. Despite macroeconomic challenges, the company's focus on AI and risk management solutions is driving customer expansion. The improved net dollar expansion rate and increased channel contributions highlight effective upselling and partner strategies, positioning Qualys for continued growth in a competitive cybersecurity market.
Data provided by:The Fly

Qualys Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 04, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Qualys delivered solid financial performance with notable revenue growth, strong profitability, and significant innovations in cybersecurity solutions. However, challenges in upselling and macroeconomic uncertainty were noted. The sentiment leans towards positive due to the strong emphasis on product innovation and strategic partnerships.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Solid Revenue Growth
Qualys reported a 10% revenue growth to $169.9 million for Q3 2025, with channel partner revenues growing 17%.
Strong EBITDA Margin
Adjusted EBITDA for Q3 2025 was $82.6 million, representing a 49% margin, up from 45% a year ago.
Innovations and Product Expansion
Introduction of TruConfirm and AI-driven enhancements to the ETM platform, contributing to risk management and operational efficiencies.
Successful Partner Ecosystem
Partner-led deal registrations increased, and nearly a dozen partners have certified for mROC services.
Notable Customer Wins
Global 700 customer expanded Qualys use with a mid-6-figure annual bookings upsell, and a high 6-figure upsell with a federal agency.
Strong Free Cash Flow
Free cash flow for Q3 was $89.5 million, representing a 53% margin, compared to 37% in the prior year.
Negative Updates
Challenging Upsell Environment
Despite improvements in gross retention, upsells remain challenging with a net dollar expansion rate of 104%, unchanged from last quarter.
Macroeconomic Challenges
Guidance assumes continued budget scrutiny and a challenging environment for new business growth in Q4.
Company Guidance
During the Qualys Third Quarter 2025 Investor Call, the company provided robust guidance underpinned by its strategic focus on Enterprise TruRisk Management (ETM). The expected revenue for the full year 2025 is between $665.8 million and $667.8 million, representing a 10% growth rate. The fourth quarter is projected to bring in revenues ranging from $172 million to $174 million, with an anticipated growth rate of 8% to 9%. Adjusted EBITDA for the full year is forecasted to remain in the mid- to high 40s, with a net free cash flow margin in the low 40s. The full-year EPS guidance was raised to $6.93 to $7.00, up from a previous range of $6.20 to $6.50. Capital expenditures for 2025 are projected between $5.5 million and $7 million. The company emphasized its innovative platform approach, highlighting ETM's potential to drive up to 100% uplift from existing VMDR customers while integrating features like Cybersecurity Asset Management and Agentic AI.

Qualys Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Qualys exhibits strong financial health with consistent revenue growth, high profitability margins, and efficient cash flow management. The company maintains a low leverage position, enhancing its financial stability. While the slight increase in debt warrants monitoring, the overall financial trajectory is positive, positioning Qualys well for future growth.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Qualys demonstrates strong profitability with a consistent increase in revenue and margins. The TTM Gross Profit Margin stands at 82.45%, indicating efficient cost management. The Net Profit Margin is robust at 28.96%, reflecting effective expense control. Revenue growth is steady, with a TTM growth rate of 2.51%. EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy, at 33.36% and 35.73% respectively, showcasing operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet is solid with a low Debt-to-Equity Ratio of 0.10, indicating low leverage and financial stability. Return on Equity is impressive at 37.59%, reflecting strong profitability relative to shareholder equity. The Equity Ratio is stable, suggesting a balanced capital structure. However, the slight increase in debt over time could be monitored.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Cash flow performance is strong, with a TTM Free Cash Flow Growth Rate of 13.30%, indicating effective cash generation. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is 0.65, showing good cash conversion. The Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is high at 0.96, reflecting efficient cash management. Overall, cash flow metrics indicate robust liquidity and operational efficiency.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue653.03M607.57M554.46M489.72M411.17M362.96M
Gross Profit538.40M496.09M446.97M386.94M321.73M283.74M
EBITDA233.31M205.71M190.06M165.17M123.58M134.89M
Net Income189.13M173.68M151.59M107.99M70.96M91.57M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.03B973.54M812.62M700.94M814.56M736.82M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments418.57M381.42M425.56M321.33M405.29M356.02M
Total Debt54.61M47.22M28.74M42.18M48.52M57.37M
Total Liabilities502.59M496.42M444.44M411.81M377.85M332.34M
Stockholders Equity529.40M477.12M368.17M289.13M436.71M404.48M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow271.36M231.76M235.82M174.87M174.96M150.05M
Operating Cash Flow281.46M244.09M244.60M198.85M200.62M180.09M
Investing Cash Flow-109.24M-71.43M-73.17M145.07M-29.53M-80.93M
Financing Cash Flow-182.40M-145.65M-141.49M-306.03M-107.89M-112.58M

Qualys Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price141.95
Price Trends
50DMA
138.12
Positive
100DMA
135.50
Positive
200DMA
134.36
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.11
Positive
RSI
46.36
Neutral
STOCH
20.64
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For QLYS, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 141.95 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 145.23, above the 50-day MA of 138.12, and above the 200-day MA of 134.36, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 2.11 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 46.36 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 20.64 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for QLYS.

Qualys Risk Analysis

Qualys disclosed 49 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Qualys reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Qualys Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$1.29B26.4323.88%1.33%10.27%3.52%
78
Outperform
$5.15B27.5038.64%9.95%12.72%
72
Outperform
$1.99B22.115.91%9.60%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
61
Neutral
$2.94B-88.42-8.95%11.05%45.23%
61
Neutral
$5.03B-25.79%24.09%-34.25%
48
Neutral
$3.91B-22.17%11.37%-34.44%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
QLYS
Qualys
141.95
0.58
0.41%
NTCT
Netscout Systems
27.18
5.67
26.36%
VRNS
Varonis Systems
32.66
-12.86
-28.25%
ATEN
A10 Networks
18.08
-0.04
-0.22%
TENB
Tenable Holdings
24.66
-15.34
-38.35%
S
SentinelOne
14.48
-7.57
-34.33%

Qualys Corporate Events

Qualys Inc Reports Strong Q3 Earnings Amid Innovations
Nov 6, 2025

Qualys Inc’s recent earnings call reflected a generally positive sentiment, driven by strong financial performance and significant innovations in cybersecurity solutions. The company reported notable revenue growth and profitability, although challenges in upselling and macroeconomic uncertainties were acknowledged. The focus on product innovation and strategic partnerships contributed to the optimistic outlook.

Qualys Reports Strong Q3 2025 Earnings Growth
Nov 5, 2025

Qualys, Inc. is a prominent provider of cloud-based IT, security, and compliance solutions, known for its innovative approach to unifying risk management workflows and reducing operational complexity for its clients. In its third-quarter earnings report for 2025, Qualys announced a 10% year-over-year revenue growth, reaching $169.9 million, and raised its full-year revenue guidance to between $665.8 million and $667.8 million. The company reported a GAAP net income of $50.3 million and a non-GAAP net income of $67.4 million, with an adjusted EBITDA of $82.6 million, reflecting its strong financial performance.

Qualys Inc. Shines in Q2 2025 Earnings Call
Aug 8, 2025

Qualys Inc. recently held its earnings call, shedding light on the company’s impressive performance and strategic advancements. The sentiment was largely positive, with strong revenue growth, successful customer acquisitions, and innovative product launches taking center stage. Despite some challenges posed by the macroeconomic environment and a decrease in free cash flow margins, the overall outlook remains optimistic.

Qualys Reports Strong Q2 2025 Earnings and Raises Guidance
Aug 6, 2025

Qualys, Inc. is a prominent provider of cloud-based IT security and compliance solutions, serving a wide range of global clients, including many Fortune 100 companies, with a focus on streamlining security processes and enhancing business outcomes.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 03, 2025