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Marqeta (MQ)
NASDAQ:MQ
US Market

Marqeta (MQ) AI Stock Analysis

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MQ

Marqeta

(NASDAQ:MQ)

Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
$6.00
▲(2.04%Upside)
The primary strengths are strong financial performance and technical indicators, suggesting growth potential. However, high valuation and some earnings call challenges pose risks.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
Marqeta reported solid results highlighted by net revenue of $135.8mm, growing +14% year-over-year, above the Street's $132mm and guide of +10-12%.
Partnerships
Marqeta announced a partnership that will enable its customers to access American Express, which could help bring low-cost deposits and enhance its offerings.
Strategic Acquisitions
The acquisition of TransactPay is seen as a positive move to accelerate capabilities and simplify customer experiences in Europe.
Negative Factors
Implementation Delays
The delay of 15 implementation/setup programs with customers was a drag on Marqeta's performance, with programs behind schedule by an average of approximately 70 days.
Regulatory Pressures
Regulatory pressures are moderating but remain a headwind, impacting stock performance due to delays in new card program launches.
Revenue Expectations
Lowering top-line expectations due to delays in new programs paired with lower take rates from renewals.

Marqeta (MQ) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Marqeta Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMarqeta, Inc. operates a cloud-based open application programming interface platform that delivers card issuing and transaction processing services to developers, technical product managers, and visionary entrepreneurs. It offers its solutions in various verticals, including commerce disruptors, digital banks, tech giants, and financial institutions. As of December 31, 2021, the company had approximately 200 customers. Marqeta, Inc. was incorporated in 2010 and is headquartered in Oakland, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyMarqeta generates revenue primarily through its modern card issuing platform by charging its clients transaction-based fees. These fees are incurred whenever a card issued through Marqeta's platform is used for a transaction. Additionally, Marqeta earns revenue from service fees for providing card issuing and processing services, as well as through interchange fees shared with its clients. The company also benefits from strategic partnerships with major financial institutions and technology companies, which contribute to its revenue through collaboration on payment solutions and increased transaction volumes. Marqeta's business model is highly dependent on the growth of digital payments and the adoption of its platform by a diverse range of clients across different sectors.

Marqeta Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Analyzes revenue generated from different business segments, highlighting which areas are driving growth and which may need strategic adjustments.
Chart InsightsMarqeta's 'Platform Services' revenue faced a significant dip in late 2023, likely due to the renegotiated platform partner agreement, but it is recovering steadily in 2024. Meanwhile, 'Other' revenue saw a sharp increase in late 2024, possibly reflecting strategic shifts or new initiatives. The earnings call highlights robust growth in total processing volume and European expansion, which could drive future revenue, despite challenges like the Varo deal termination. The company's guidance for 2025 suggests continued revenue and profit growth, bolstered by efficiency improvements.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Marqeta Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 07, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 43.77%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlights strong TPV and revenue growth, successful program migrations, and expansion in Europe. However, the termination of the Varo deal and revenue impact from a renegotiated partner agreement present challenges. Ultimately, the positive aspects, such as significant growth metrics and strategic achievements, outweigh the lowlights.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Total Processing Volume (TPV) Growth
TPV reached $84 billion in Q1, marking a 27% increase compared to the same quarter in 2024, despite a one-point growth headwind due to the leap year.
Net Revenue and Gross Profit Increase
Q1 net revenue of $139 million grew 18% year-over-year, and gross profit increased by 17% to $99 million, resulting in a gross margin of 71%.
Adjusted EBITDA Achievement
Adjusted EBITDA was $20 million in Q1, translating into a 14% margin, driven by gross profit growth and operating expense efficiency.
European Expansion
Significant growth in Europe with over 100% TPV growth in Q1, supported by the potential acquisition of TransactPay by Q3 end to enhance program management offerings.
Successful Migrations
Completed migrations for Klarna, Perpay, and Bitpanda, demonstrating capability in migrating complex programs efficiently.
Negative Updates
Termination of Varo Deal
The planned migration of Varo's program will no longer take place as Varo focuses on existing products, affecting anticipated growth in the second half of the year.
Revenue Impact from Platform Partner Agreement
Renegotiated a platform partner agreement that reduced net revenue growth by three points in Q1 due to reduced pricing, although it did not impact gross profit.
Company Guidance
During the call, Marqeta provided detailed guidance on their financial expectations for the second quarter and full year of 2025. For Q2, they anticipate net revenue growth between 11% and 13%, with gross profit growth expected to be in the range of 23% to 25%, influenced by an incentive accounting change. Adjusted EBITDA margin is projected to be between 10% and 11%. For the full year, they expect net revenue growth between 13% and 15%, despite a renegotiated platform partner agreement impacting revenue representation without affecting gross profit. Gross profit growth is expected to remain between 14% and 16%, with adjusted EBITDA margin revised upwards to 10% to 11% due to lower expenses and efficiency improvements. The company highlighted a strong start to 2025, with Q1 total processing volume reaching $84 billion, a 27% year-over-year increase, alongside an 18% growth in net revenue and a 17% increase in gross profit.

Marqeta Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Marqeta shows strong revenue and gross profit margins but is challenged by negative net income and cash flow volatility. The balance sheet is robust with low leverage and strong equity.
Income Statement
62
Positive
Marqeta's TTM revenue shows slight growth, but the company struggles with profitability as indicated by negative EBIT. Gross profit margin remains strong, indicating good cost management, but the net profit margin is impacted by high operating expenses.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company maintains a solid equity base with low leverage, as seen in the low debt-to-equity ratio. Stockholders' equity forms a significant portion of total assets, enhancing financial stability. However, the return on equity is impacted by negative net income in recent years.
Cash Flow
68
Positive
Operating cash flow is positive and has improved over the periods, but free cash flow shows volatility. The company's ability to generate cash relative to net income is solid, but financing cash flows reflect significant outflows, impacting overall cash position.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue517.17M507.00M676.17M748.21M517.17M290.29M
Gross Profit231.71M351.85M329.51M320.00M231.71M117.91M
EBITDA-157.79M-7.01M-272.27M-205.96M-158.47M-43.59M
Net Income-163.93M27.29M-222.96M-184.78M-163.93M-47.70M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.77B1.46B1.59B1.77B1.83B457.68M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.46B1.10B1.25B1.62B1.70B370.34M
Total Debt8.10M13.22M16.93M12.43M12.43M18.22M
Total Liabilities340.53M378.19M346.30M297.39M256.95M169.52M
Stockholders Equity1.43B1.09B1.24B1.47B1.57B288.16M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow52.60M55.75M8.45M-16.89M52.60M47.90M
Operating Cash Flow55.35M58.17M21.10M-12.97M55.35M50.27M
Investing Cash Flow-329.12M70.79M38.52M28.72M-329.12M-57.56M
Financing Cash Flow1.30B-186.91M-261.79M-79.49M1.30B167.38M

Marqeta Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price5.88
Price Trends
50DMA
4.90
Positive
100DMA
4.45
Positive
200DMA
4.41
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.23
Negative
RSI
74.14
Negative
STOCH
96.67
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MQ, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 5.88 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.53, above the 50-day MA of 4.90, and above the 200-day MA of 4.41, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.23 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 74.14 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 96.67 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MQ.

Marqeta Risk Analysis

Marqeta disclosed 47 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Marqeta reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Marqeta Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (69)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$1.37B28.4824.36%1.26%4.90%9.91%
69
Neutral
¥231.71B14.677.64%2.70%9.09%8.55%
69
Neutral
$2.44B22.8115.97%14.86%-0.94%
MQMQ
68
Neutral
$2.71B58.235.01%-8.44%
68
Neutral
$1.32B-55.90%12.76%16.97%
66
Neutral
$2.53B25.53-41.63%13.21%109.61%
65
Neutral
$3.91B-8.39%21.70%-67.95%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MQ
Marqeta
5.88
0.33
5.95%
ATEN
A10 Networks
19.12
5.71
42.58%
AVPT
AvePoint
19.22
8.92
86.60%
PAYO
Payoneer
6.63
1.20
22.10%
DOCN
DigitalOcean Holdings
28.26
-6.41
-18.49%
BASE
Couchbase
24.36
6.56
36.85%

Marqeta Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Marqeta Stockholders Approve Key Proposals at Annual Meeting
Neutral
Jun 13, 2025

On June 12, 2025, Marqeta, Inc. held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders where Class A and Class B stockholders voted on three key proposals. The stockholders elected three Class I directors to the Board, ratified KPMG LLP as the independent auditor for 2025, and approved the executive compensation plan on a non-binding advisory basis.

The most recent analyst rating on (MQ) stock is a Buy with a $6.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Marqeta stock, see the MQ Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Marqeta Appoints New Board Members on April 18
Neutral
Apr 16, 2025

On April 10, 2025, Marqeta, Inc. announced the upcoming resignation of two board members, Godfrey Sullivan and Helen Riley, effective as of the Annual Meeting on June 12, 2025. Both resignations are not due to any disagreements with the company, and the board expressed gratitude for their years of service. Subsequently, on April 18, 2025, the board appointed Wendy Thomas and Elaine Paul as new members, with both joining the Audit Committee. Ms. Paul will also serve on the Nomination and Governance Committee, while Ms. Thomas will join the Payments Innovation Committee. There are no conflicts of interest or prior transactions involving the new appointees that require disclosure.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 06, 2025