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Marqeta (MQ)
NASDAQ:MQ
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Marqeta (MQ) AI Stock Analysis

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MQ

Marqeta

(NASDAQ:MQ)

Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
$7.50
▲(15.03% Upside)
Marqeta's strong technical indicators and positive earnings call significantly boost its overall score. However, ongoing profitability challenges and a negative P/E ratio weigh down the valuation, limiting the overall score. The company's strategic growth initiatives and improved operational efficiency are promising for future performance.
Positive Factors
Acquisitions
The acquisition of TransactPay gives Marqeta an incremental leg up in sales processes with larger customers by eliminating a third-party.
Earnings
Shares of Marqeta are up 15% following better-than-expected June-quarter results and raised 2025 guidance.
Financial Performance
Marqeta maintains a debt-free balance sheet with about $765 million of cash/investments.
Negative Factors
Customer Concentration
Reported results are complicated by customer concentration, with the largest customer contributing 46% of revenue.
Program Delays
The delay of 15 implementation/setup programs with customers was a drag on Marqeta's performance, with programs behind schedule by an average of approximately 70 days.
Regulatory Pressures
Regulatory pressures are moderating but remain a headwind, impacting stock performance due to delays in new card program launches.

Marqeta (MQ) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Marqeta Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMarqeta, Inc. (MQ) is a fintech company that operates in the payment technology sector, providing a modern card issuing platform. It specializes in offering infrastructure and tools for businesses to create customized payment solutions. Marqeta's core products include open API card issuing and processing capabilities that enable its clients to build and manage innovative payment programs, enhance customer experiences, and streamline their operations. The company's platform is designed to support a wide range of card types and payment applications, serving industries such as retail, financial services, and technology.
How the Company Makes MoneyMarqeta generates revenue primarily through its modern card issuing platform by charging its clients transaction-based fees. These fees are incurred whenever a card issued through Marqeta's platform is used for a transaction. Additionally, Marqeta earns revenue from service fees for providing card issuing and processing services, as well as through interchange fees shared with its clients. The company also benefits from strategic partnerships with major financial institutions and technology companies, which contribute to its revenue through collaboration on payment solutions and increased transaction volumes. Marqeta's business model is highly dependent on the growth of digital payments and the adoption of its platform by a diverse range of clients across different sectors.

Marqeta Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Analyzes revenue generated from different business segments, highlighting which areas are driving growth and which may need strategic adjustments.
Chart InsightsMarqeta's 'Platform Services' revenue faced a significant dip in late 2023, likely due to the renegotiated platform partner agreement, but it is recovering steadily in 2024. Meanwhile, 'Other' revenue saw a sharp increase in late 2024, possibly reflecting strategic shifts or new initiatives. The earnings call highlights robust growth in total processing volume and European expansion, which could drive future revenue, despite challenges like the Varo deal termination. The company's guidance for 2025 suggests continued revenue and profit growth, bolstered by efficiency improvements.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Marqeta Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 14.79%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call for Marqeta's Q2 2025 results was predominantly positive, highlighted by strong growth in TPV, revenue, and adjusted EBITDA. The company also successfully expanded in Europe and completed a strategic acquisition. However, challenges include a near miss on GAAP profitability and some uncertainty due to delayed contract renewals and macroeconomic factors.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Significant TPV Growth
Total processing volume (TPV) was $91 billion in Q2 2025, a 29% increase compared to the same quarter of 2024.
Strong Revenue and Profit Growth
Q2 net revenue of $150 million grew 20% year-over-year. Gross profit was $104 million, a 31% increase versus Q2 2024, resulting in a gross margin of 69%.
Record Adjusted EBITDA
Adjusted EBITDA reached $29 million in Q2 2025, translating into a 19% margin, marking an all-time high for the company.
Expansion in Europe
TPV in Europe continues to more than double year-over-year, with strong growth across multiple use cases including new banking and Buy Now, Pay Later (BNPL).
TransactPay Acquisition
Completed the acquisition of TransactPay on July 31, enhancing program management services in Europe and driving significant customer interest.
Increased Full-Year Guidance
Expectations for full-year 2025 revenue growth, gross profit growth, and adjusted EBITDA margin have each been raised by 3-4 points.
Negative Updates
Near Miss on GAAP Profitability
Despite strong financial metrics, the company fell just shy of GAAP net income breakeven for the quarter.
Delayed Renewals
Two key customer contract renewals expected mid-year have been delayed, now anticipated later in the year, impacting growth timing.
Regulatory and Macro Uncertainty
Ongoing macroeconomic uncertainty and potential regulatory impacts from bank partners remain a concern.
Company Guidance
During Marqeta's Second Quarter 2025 earnings call, the company reported significant growth across several financial metrics. Total processing volume (TPV) reached $91 billion, marking a 29% increase from the same quarter in the previous year. Net revenue grew by 20% year-over-year to $150 million, while gross profit increased by 31% to $104 million, achieving a gross margin of 69%. Adjusted EBITDA was reported at $29 million, representing a 19% margin, and the company noted that this was an all-time high for adjusted EBITDA, as they continue to approach GAAP net income breakeven. Marqeta highlighted its strong performance in the Buy Now, Pay Later (BNPL) sector, where they are at the forefront of innovation, and emphasized their strategic focus on expanding customer relationships and value-added services. The company's European operations are experiencing notable growth, with TPV more than doubling year-over-year, supported by the recent acquisition of TransactPay to enhance their program management capabilities in the region. Looking forward, Marqeta raised their full-year 2025 expectations for revenue, gross profit, and adjusted EBITDA, reflecting their confidence in continued business momentum.

Marqeta Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Marqeta shows strong revenue and gross profit margins but is challenged by negative net income and cash flow volatility. The balance sheet is robust with low leverage and strong equity.
Income Statement
62
Positive
Marqeta's TTM revenue shows slight growth, but the company struggles with profitability as indicated by negative EBIT. Gross profit margin remains strong, indicating good cost management, but the net profit margin is impacted by high operating expenses.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company maintains a solid equity base with low leverage, as seen in the low debt-to-equity ratio. Stockholders' equity forms a significant portion of total assets, enhancing financial stability. However, the return on equity is impacted by negative net income in recent years.
Cash Flow
68
Positive
Operating cash flow is positive and has improved over the periods, but free cash flow shows volatility. The company's ability to generate cash relative to net income is solid, but financing cash flows reflect significant outflows, impacting overall cash position.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue507.00M676.17M748.21M517.17M290.29M
Gross Profit351.85M329.51M320.00M231.71M117.91M
EBITDA-7.01M-272.27M-205.96M-158.47M-43.59M
Net Income27.29M-222.96M-184.78M-163.93M-47.70M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.46B1.59B1.77B1.83B457.68M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.10B1.25B1.62B1.70B370.34M
Total Debt13.22M16.93M12.43M12.43M18.22M
Total Liabilities378.19M346.30M297.39M256.95M169.52M
Stockholders Equity1.09B1.24B1.47B1.57B288.16M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow55.75M8.45M-16.89M52.60M47.90M
Operating Cash Flow58.17M21.10M-12.97M55.35M50.27M
Investing Cash Flow70.79M38.52M28.72M-329.12M-57.56M
Financing Cash Flow-186.91M-261.79M-79.49M1.30B167.38M

Marqeta Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price6.52
Price Trends
50DMA
5.72
Positive
100DMA
5.02
Positive
200DMA
4.53
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.13
Negative
RSI
66.61
Neutral
STOCH
71.37
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MQ, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 6.52 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.85, above the 50-day MA of 5.72, and above the 200-day MA of 4.53, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.13 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 66.61 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 71.37 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MQ.

Marqeta Risk Analysis

Marqeta disclosed 47 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Marqeta reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Marqeta Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$1.26B25.4424.39%1.38%11.04%18.70%
74
Outperform
$2.39B25.2213.86%13.02%-2.57%
73
Outperform
$3.01B25.96-41.63%13.29%79.98%
70
Outperform
$3.05B56.63-6.51%17.47%-544.72%
68
Neutral
$1.34B-55.90%12.76%16.97%
61
Neutral
$36.04B6.25-9.40%2.02%7.67%-3.03%
61
Neutral
$3.04B-2.60%24.41%40.20%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MQ
Marqeta
6.52
1.39
27.10%
ATEN
A10 Networks
17.41
4.93
39.50%
AVPT
AvePoint
14.33
3.86
36.87%
PAYO
Payoneer
6.64
-0.28
-4.05%
DOCN
DigitalOcean Holdings
33.05
-0.87
-2.56%
BASE
Couchbase
24.30
7.01
40.54%

Marqeta Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Marqeta Stockholders Approve Key Proposals at Annual Meeting
Neutral
Jun 13, 2025

On June 12, 2025, Marqeta, Inc. held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders where Class A and Class B stockholders voted on three key proposals. The stockholders elected three Class I directors to the Board, ratified KPMG LLP as the independent auditor for 2025, and approved the executive compensation plan on a non-binding advisory basis.

The most recent analyst rating on (MQ) stock is a Buy with a $6.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Marqeta stock, see the MQ Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 08, 2025