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AvidXchange Holdings (AVDX)
NASDAQ:AVDX
US Market

AvidXchange Holdings (AVDX) AI Stock Analysis

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AvidXchange Holdings

(NASDAQ:AVDX)

Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
$10.50
▲(7.25%Upside)
The overall stock score of 61 reflects a mixed outlook. The most significant factor is the high P/E ratio, indicating overvaluation concerns. Despite strong revenue growth and improving cash flows, profitability remains a challenge. The positive technical momentum offers some near-term optimism, while the acquisition news provides a strategic long-term opportunity, albeit not factored into the score due to its nature as a corporate event.
Positive Factors
Acquisition Premium
The acquisition by TPG and Corpay reflects a 45% premium over the $6.89 closing price as of March 12, 2025.
Cost Efficiencies
Even on a standalone basis, there is significant potential for cost efficiencies at AVDX, while its net cash balance sheet and outstanding NOLs offer additional flexibility/upside.
Strategic Partnership
The deal from AVDX's point of view is seen positively with CPAY considered the best strategic partner.
Negative Factors
Earnings Miss
AVDX's 1Q25 results showed misses across the board, leading to a suspension of guidance due to the acquisition.
Revenue Growth
1Q demonstrated slower-than-expected revenue growth, primarily driven by lower-than-expected transaction growth, implying slower sequential growth and transaction retention presumably remaining below 100%.

AvidXchange Holdings (AVDX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

AvidXchange Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAvidXchange Holdings, Inc. is a leading provider of accounts payable and payment automation solutions for the middle market. The company offers a cloud-based software platform that streamlines the entire invoice-to-payment process, helping businesses improve efficiency, reduce costs, and maintain control over their financial operations. AvidXchange serves a wide range of industries, including real estate, financial services, construction, and healthcare, providing tailored solutions to meet the specific needs of each sector.
How the Company Makes MoneyAvidXchange makes money primarily through its subscription-based revenue model. Customers pay recurring fees for access to its software-as-a-service (SaaS) platform, which offers a suite of tools for automating accounts payable processes. Additionally, the company generates revenue from transaction fees when clients use its payment services to execute payments through its network. AvidXchange benefits from partnerships with banks and other financial institutions, which help facilitate transactions and expand its market reach. The company also offers value-added services, such as data analytics and supplier management, which provide additional revenue streams.

AvidXchange Holdings Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Analyzes revenue from different business segments, highlighting which areas are driving growth and where the company might be vulnerable or have opportunities for expansion.
Chart InsightsAvidXchange Holdings is experiencing robust growth in its Payment segment, which shows consistent quarterly increases, reflecting strong market demand and possibly expanded client adoption. The Software segment also demonstrates steady growth, albeit at a slower pace, indicating stable revenue streams. The Services segment, however, displays volatility with recent spikes, suggesting potential new service offerings or client wins. Overall, the company's diversified revenue streams are contributing to its resilience and growth potential, but the volatility in Services warrants monitoring for sustained performance.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

AvidXchange Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 07, 2025
(Q4-2024)
|
% Change Since: 19.39%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
AvidXchange demonstrated strong financial performance with significant margin expansion and successful strategic initiatives. However, macroeconomic challenges and retention issues in certain verticals present ongoing concerns.
Q4-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance and Margin Expansion
AvidXchange reported revenue of $115 million in Q4 2024, up roughly 11% year-over-year. Non-GAAP gross margin hit a milestone of nearly 75%, up 350 basis points from last year, and adjusted EBITDA margins reached almost 23%.
Share Repurchase Program
AvidXchange repurchased $25 million worth of shares in Q4 2024, bringing the total for the year to $50 million, the maximum allowed within the calendar year under the $100 million share repurchase program.
Innovative Product Launches
The company launched several new products, including Payment Accelerator 2.0 and the AvidPay 2.0 payments platform, which are expected to significantly contribute to future growth.
Strategic Partnerships and Integration
AvidXchange formed notable partnerships with firms like AppFolio and M3, showing strong lead flow and engagement, which are expected to drive future growth.
Negative Updates
Mixed Macroeconomic Environment
The macroeconomic environment remains challenging, especially impacting the top of funnel customer engagement and buyer logo growth metrics, resulting in a 2% decline in top of funnel opportunities.
Retention Challenges
AvidXchange's transaction retention rate was below 100%, highlighting challenges in maintaining transaction volumes amidst macroeconomic pressures.
HOA Vertical Underperformance
The HOA vertical faced challenges with slowed spending decisions, impacting overall performance due to macroeconomic headwinds.
Company Guidance
During the AvidXchange Holdings, Inc. fourth quarter and full year 2024 earnings call, the company reported exceeding expectations across core financial metrics, with revenues reaching approximately $115 million, a year-over-year increase of 11%. Notably, the non-GAAP gross margin hit almost 75%, a 350 basis point improvement over the previous year, and adjusted EBITDA margins were nearly 23%. AvidXchange repurchased $25 million in shares during Q4, bringing the total to $50 million for the year, the maximum allowed under their $100 million repurchase program. The company highlighted a 6% growth in buyer customer logo count and significant progress in innovation and partnerships, particularly in the real estate, financial services, and media verticals. Despite macroeconomic challenges, the outlook for 2025 includes a revenue range of $453 million to $460 million, with anticipated non-GAAP adjusted EBITDA between $86 million and $91 million, reflecting cautious optimism amidst ongoing market uncertainties.

AvidXchange Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
AvidXchange Holdings shows promising revenue growth and strong gross margins but faces challenges with operational profitability and return on equity. The balance sheet reflects a solid capital structure with moderate leverage, while cash flow statements indicate improving free cash flow generation.
Income Statement
65
Positive
AvidXchange Holdings shows a positive trend in revenue growth with a 38.3% increase from 2020 to 2025. Gross profit margin is strong at approximately 70.2% for the TTM, indicating efficient cost management. However, the company is struggling with profitability as evidenced by negative EBIT and a low net profit margin of 0.4% for the TTM, suggesting challenges in controlling operational expenses.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The company maintains a healthy equity ratio of 34.1% for the TTM, indicating a strong capital structure. However, the debt-to-equity ratio is modest at 0.11, reflecting moderate leverage. Return on equity is low at 0.3% for the TTM due to minimal net income, suggesting inefficiencies in generating returns from shareholders' equity.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
There is a notable improvement in free cash flow, with a growth rate of 34.9% from 2024 to the TTM period, showing enhanced cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is robust at 46.5, indicating strong cash earnings relative to profits. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is lower at 38.3, highlighting potential constraints in cash flow relative to net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue441.28M438.94M380.72M316.35M248.41M185.93M
Gross Profit309.84M317.16M259.41M198.49M148.32M102.17M
EBITDA45.36M34.02M3.30M-47.37M-153.46M-53.42M
Net Income1.84M8.14M-47.33M-101.28M-199.65M-101.25M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.99B2.09B2.48B2.21B2.27B726.51M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments389.28M389.30M451.62M461.55M562.82M252.46M
Total Debt75.14M75.40M143.72M150.82M191.02M178.57M
Total Liabilities1.31B1.42B1.83B1.55B1.54B404.99M
Stockholders Equity679.17M671.83M656.45M657.44M723.05M321.52M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow70.65M52.34M-9.85M-56.51M-86.99M-56.18M
Operating Cash Flow85.68M71.93M8.45M-28.70M-68.67M-44.13M
Investing Cash Flow-7.29M-11.31M51.95M-140.35M-84.11M-36.56M
Financing Cash Flow-185.68M-440.27M290.85M-1.73M1.57B193.79M

AvidXchange Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price9.79
Price Trends
50DMA
9.29
Positive
100DMA
8.86
Positive
200DMA
9.24
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.11
Positive
RSI
68.00
Neutral
STOCH
72.65
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AVDX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 9.79 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 9.78, above the 50-day MA of 9.29, and above the 200-day MA of 9.24, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.11 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 68.00 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 72.65 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AVDX.

AvidXchange Holdings Risk Analysis

AvidXchange Holdings disclosed 56 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. AvidXchange Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 3 New Risks
1.
Delaware law, our status as a licensed money transmitter and provisions in our restated certificate of incorporation and amended and restated bylaws could make a merger, tender offer or proxy contest difficult, thereby depressing the trading price of our common stock. Q4, 2024
2.
If securities or industry analysts either do not publish research about us or publish inaccurate or unfavorable research about us, our business or our market, or if they change their recommendations regarding our common stock adversely, the trading price or trading volume of our common stock could decline. Q4, 2024
3.
Sales of a substantial number of shares of our common stock in the public market, or the perception that they might occur, could cause the price of our common stock to decline. Q4, 2024

AvidXchange Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (56)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$2.30B17.9924.65%0.56%17.39%100.46%
75
Outperform
$2.40B22.9115.97%14.86%-0.94%
71
Outperform
$2.13B93,566.67-0.26%13.02%-105.82%
66
Neutral
$885.47M39.262.85%7.58%-57.13%
64
Neutral
$1.88B-3.09%-1.96%19.43%
61
Neutral
$2.02B1,179.520.27%10.46%
56
Neutral
$3.16B5.05-5.68%5.76%8.05%-41.83%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AVDX
AvidXchange Holdings
9.79
-2.24
-18.62%
RAMP
LiveRamp Holdings
33.04
1.12
3.51%
EVTC
Evertec
36.05
3.35
10.24%
DAVA
Endava
15.32
-13.78
-47.35%
PAYO
Payoneer
6.85
1.42
26.15%
EVCM
EverCommerce
10.50
-0.44
-4.02%

AvidXchange Holdings Corporate Events

Shareholder Meetings
AvidXchange Holds Successful Annual Stockholders Meeting
Positive
Jun 30, 2025

On June 26, 2025, AvidXchange Holdings, Inc. conducted its annual meeting of stockholders, where key proposals were voted on, including the election of directors and the ratification of PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as the independent auditor for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025. The meeting saw a quorum of 82.31% of outstanding shares, and all proposals, including executive compensation, were approved, reflecting strong shareholder support and potentially strengthening the company’s governance and financial oversight.

The most recent analyst rating on (AVDX) stock is a Hold with a $9.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on AvidXchange Holdings stock, see the AVDX Stock Forecast page.

Delistings and Listing ChangesM&A Transactions
AvidXchange Acquired by TPG and Corpay for $2.2B
Positive
May 6, 2025

On May 6, 2025, AvidXchange Holdings announced its acquisition by TPG, in partnership with Corpay, for $2.2 billion. The transaction, which values AvidXchange at $10.00 per share, represents a significant premium over its recent stock prices and is expected to close in the fourth quarter of 2025. This acquisition will transition AvidXchange to a private company, allowing it greater flexibility to invest in growth and enhance its payment solutions. The move is anticipated to strengthen AvidXchange’s position in the AP automation industry, providing it with resources to scale its platform and deliver innovative solutions to its customers.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 01, 2025